HIVE

Hive · native · gru_s2

token id: #559
symbol: HIVE
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,304

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

58.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0190

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0023

actual -0.0021

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.05055	0.050279	-0.54%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.05045	0.050186	-0.52%	0.05055	+0.20%	0.0097	✗	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04885	0.048658	-0.39%	0.05045	+3.28%	0.0249	✗	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.04855	0.04838	-0.35%	0.04885	+0.62%	0.0114	✗	0.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.04985	0.049701	-0.30%	0.04855	-2.61%	0.0299	✓	0.85
2026-10-16	oos	0.05155	0.051385	-0.32%	0.04985	-3.30%	0.0291	✓	0.84
2026-10-15	oos	0.05165	0.051471	-0.35%	0.05155	-0.19%	0.0079	✗	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	0.05155	0.051381	-0.33%	0.05165	+0.19%	0.0005	✓	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.05265	0.052427	-0.42%	0.05155	-2.09%	0.0012	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05215	0.051969	-0.35%	0.05265	+0.96%	0.0008	✓	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.05615	0.055824	-0.58%	0.05215	-7.12%	0.0496	✓	0.79
2026-10-10	oos	0.05585	0.055551	-0.53%	0.05615	+0.54%	0.0035	✓	0.78
2026-10-09	oos	0.05535	0.05509	-0.47%	0.05585	+0.90%	0.0102	✗	0.78
2026-10-08	oos	0.0534	0.053231	-0.32%	0.05535	+3.65%	0.0310	✗	0.78
2026-10-07	oos	0.05495	0.0546	-0.64%	0.0534	-2.82%	0.0075	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	0.05755	0.056851	-1.22%	0.05495	-4.52%	0.0140	✓	0.74
2026-10-05	oos	0.05785	0.057176	-1.16%	0.05755	-0.52%	0.0083	✓	0.74
2026-10-04	oos	0.05795	0.057455	-0.85%	0.05785	-0.17%	0.0134	✗	0.75
2026-10-03	oos	0.05655	0.056065	-0.86%	0.05795	+2.48%	0.0178	✗	0.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0562	0.055778	-0.75%	0.05655	+0.62%	0.0117	✗	0.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.05675	0.056365	-0.68%	0.0562	-0.97%	0.0001	✓	0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.05675	0.056374	-0.66%	0.05675	+0.00%	0.0048	✓	0.75
2026-09-29	oos	0.05585	0.055517	-0.60%	0.05675	+1.61%	0.0227	✗	0.74
2026-09-28	oos	0.05595	0.05563	-0.57%	0.05585	-0.18%	0.0023	✓	0.76
2026-09-27	oos	0.0596	0.059239	-0.61%	0.05595	-6.12%	0.0481	✓	0.76
2026-09-26	oos	0.05995	0.059618	-0.55%	0.0596	-0.58%	0.0007	✓	0.75
2026-09-25	oos	0.05785	0.057608	-0.42%	0.05995	+3.63%	0.0370	✗	0.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.0576	0.057397	-0.35%	0.05785	+0.43%	0.0104	✗	0.74
2026-09-23	oos	0.0541	0.054036	-0.12%	0.0576	+6.47%	0.0638	✗	0.75
2026-09-22	oos	0.05615	0.056139	-0.02%	0.0541	-3.65%	0.0219	✓	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	0.05555	0.055567	+0.03%	0.05615	+1.08%	0.0137	✓	0.70
2026-09-20	oos	0.05375	0.053648	-0.19%	0.05555	+3.35%	0.0125	✓	0.73
2026-09-19	oos	0.05505	0.054896	-0.28%	0.05375	-2.36%	0.0204	✓	0.73
2026-09-18	oos	0.05345	0.053365	-0.16%	0.05505	+2.99%	0.0279	✗	0.73
2026-09-17	oos	0.0513	0.051212	-0.17%	0.05345	+4.19%	0.0007	✓	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.0523	0.052187	-0.22%	0.0513	-1.91%	0.0191	✓	0.72
2026-09-15	oos	0.0544	0.054155	-0.45%	0.0523	-3.86%	0.0403	✓	0.74
2026-09-14	oos	0.0524	0.052295	-0.20%	0.0544	+3.82%	0.0663	✗	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.05105	0.05088	-0.33%	0.0524	+2.64%	0.0155	✗	0.79
2026-09-12	oos	0.04885	0.0488	-0.10%	0.05105	+4.50%	0.0499	✗	0.80
2026-09-11	oos	0.04565	0.045717	+0.15%	0.04885	+7.01%	0.0657	✓	0.80
2026-09-10	oos	0.04375	0.043875	+0.29%	0.04565	+4.34%	0.0328	✓	0.79
2026-09-09	oos	0.0456	0.045716	+0.25%	0.04375	-4.06%	0.0265	✗	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.04565	0.045792	+0.31%	0.0456	-0.11%	0.0025	✓	0.82
2026-09-07	oos	0.0456	0.045792	+0.42%	0.04565	+0.11%	0.0036	✓	0.82
2026-09-06	oos	0.04685	0.047059	+0.45%	0.0456	-2.67%	0.0185	✗	0.83
2026-09-05	oos	0.04675	0.046958	+0.45%	0.04685	+0.21%	0.0076	✗	0.83
2026-09-04	oos	0.04645	0.046632	+0.39%	0.04675	+0.65%	0.0010	✓	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.04615	0.04635	+0.43%	0.04645	+0.65%	0.0180	✓	0.80
2026-09-02	oos	0.0442	0.044386	+0.42%	0.04615	+4.41%	0.0044	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	0.04375	0.04398	+0.53%	0.0442	+1.03%	0.0060	✓	0.88
2026-08-31	oos	0.04335	0.043656	+0.71%	0.04375	+0.92%	0.0153	✓	0.88
2026-08-30	oos	0.042	0.042314	+0.75%	0.04335	+3.21%	0.0154	✓	0.76
2026-08-29	oos	0.04285	0.043154	+0.71%	0.042	-1.98%	0.0210	✗	0.84
2026-08-28	oos	0.04325	0.043522	+0.63%	0.04285	-0.92%	0.0197	✗	0.82
2026-08-27	oos	0.04395	0.044235	+0.65%	0.04325	-1.59%	0.0032	✓	0.83
2026-08-26	oos	0.0436	0.043826	+0.52%	0.04395	+0.80%	0.0103	✗	0.83
2026-08-25	oos	0.0419	0.042119	+0.52%	0.0436	+4.06%	0.0293	✓	0.83
2026-08-24	oos	0.04285	0.043015	+0.38%	0.0419	-2.22%	0.0215	✗	0.83
2026-08-23	oos	0.04395	0.044046	+0.22%	0.04285	-2.50%	0.0411	✗	0.85
2026-08-22	oos	0.0438	0.043868	+0.16%	0.04395	+0.34%	0.0056	✗	0.85
2026-08-21	oos	0.04515	0.045183	+0.07%	0.0438	-2.99%	0.0172	✗	0.85
2026-08-20	oos	0.0421	0.042111	+0.03%	0.04515	+7.24%	0.0113	✓	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.04015	0.040088	-0.16%	0.0421	+4.86%	0.0065	✗	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	0.03805	0.037943	-0.28%	0.04015	+5.52%	0.0004	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.03865	0.038551	-0.26%	0.03805	-1.55%	0.0157	✓	0.82
2026-08-16	oos	0.03885	0.038882	+0.08%	0.03865	-0.51%	0.0278	✗	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	0.03935	0.039383	+0.08%	0.03885	-1.27%	0.0112	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.0392	0.039261	+0.16%	0.03935	+0.38%	0.0017	✓	0.85
2026-08-13	oos	0.0396	0.039631	+0.08%	0.0392	-1.01%	0.0049	✗	0.85
2026-08-12	oos	0.03955	0.039579	+0.07%	0.0396	+0.13%	0.0003	✓	0.87
2026-08-11	oos	0.04015	0.040143	-0.02%	0.03955	-1.49%	0.0132	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.04095	0.040884	-0.16%	0.04015	-1.95%	0.0127	✓	0.90
2026-08-09	oos	0.0416	0.04141	-0.46%	0.04095	-1.56%	0.0019	✓	0.90
2026-08-08	oos	0.04185	0.041603	-0.59%	0.0416	-0.60%	0.0008	✓	0.90
2026-08-07	oos	0.04145	0.04119	-0.63%	0.04185	+0.97%	0.0157	✗	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.0414	0.041212	-0.45%	0.04145	+0.12%	0.0028	✓	0.89
2026-08-05	oos	0.04165	0.041344	-0.73%	0.0414	-0.60%	0.0060	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.04135	0.041116	-0.56%	0.04165	+0.73%	0.0052	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.04185	0.041614	-0.56%	0.04135	-1.19%	0.0143	✓	0.87
2026-08-02	oos	0.04245	0.042144	-0.72%	0.04185	-1.41%	0.0065	✓	0.98
2026-08-01	oos	0.04175	0.041541	-0.50%	0.04245	+1.68%	0.0104	✗	0.96
2026-07-31	oos	0.04245	0.042252	-0.47%	0.04175	-1.65%	0.0110	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0425	0.042393	-0.25%	0.04245	-0.12%	0.0309	✗	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	0.04215	0.042043	-0.25%	0.0425	+0.83%	0.0018	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	0.04395	0.043777	-0.39%	0.04215	-4.10%	0.0386	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	0.0439	0.04371	-0.43%	0.04395	+0.11%	0.0031	✓	0.98
2026-07-26	oos	0.0473	0.047018	-0.60%	0.0439	-7.19%	0.0447	✓	0.94
2026-07-25	oos	0.04705	0.046733	-0.67%	0.0473	+0.53%	0.0033	✓	0.95
2026-07-24	oos	0.04615	0.045865	-0.62%	0.04705	+1.95%	0.0224	✗	0.94
2026-07-23	oos	0.0469	0.046757	-0.30%	0.04615	-1.60%	0.0010	✓	0.94
2026-07-22	oos	0.04805	0.047993	-0.12%	0.0469	-2.39%	0.0083	✓	0.93
2026-07-21	oos	0.04875	0.048696	-0.11%	0.04805	-1.44%	0.0073	✓	0.93
2026-07-20	oos	0.0482	0.048147	-0.11%	0.04875	+1.14%	0.0056	✓	0.91
2026-07-19	oos	0.04795	0.047895	-0.11%	0.0482	+0.52%	0.0011	✓	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.04795	0.047887	-0.13%	0.04795	+0.00%	0.0029	✗	0.91
2026-07-17	oos	0.04845	0.048364	-0.18%	0.04795	-1.03%	0.0220	✓	0.96
2026-07-16	oos	0.0484	0.048317	-0.17%	0.04845	+0.10%	0.0009	✓	0.94
2026-07-15	oos	0.04945	0.049388	-0.13%	0.0484	-2.12%	0.0062	✓	0.95
2026-07-14	oos	0.0493	0.049272	-0.06%	0.04945	+0.30%	0.0076	✗	0.96
2026-07-13	oos	0.0482	0.048122	-0.16%	0.0493	+2.28%	0.0183	✓	0.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.04885	0.048832	-0.04%	0.0482	-1.33%	0.0104	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.04945	0.049418	-0.06%	0.04885	-1.21%	0.0111	✓	0.97
2026-07-10	oos	0.0493	0.049276	-0.05%	0.04945	+0.30%	0.0088	✗	0.96
2026-07-09	oos	0.0488	0.04877	-0.06%	0.0493	+1.02%	0.0035	✓	0.96
2026-07-08	oos	0.0487	0.048652	-0.10%	0.0488	+0.21%	0.0113	✓	0.96
2026-07-07	oos	0.04885	0.048834	-0.03%	0.0487	-0.31%	0.0140	✗	0.97
2026-07-06	oos	0.0504	0.050352	-0.09%	0.04885	-3.08%	0.0200	✓	0.97
2026-07-05	oos	0.0507	0.050643	-0.11%	0.0504	-0.59%	0.0111	✓	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.05185	0.051759	-0.18%	0.0507	-2.22%	0.0282	✓	0.96
2026-07-03	oos	0.0516	0.051475	-0.24%	0.05185	+0.48%	0.0012	✓	0.94
2026-07-02	oos	0.0504	0.050241	-0.32%	0.0516	+2.38%	0.0111	✗	0.93
2026-07-01	oos	0.0504	0.050069	-0.66%	0.0504	+0.00%	0.0173	✓	0.95
2026-06-30	oos	0.0481	0.047887	-0.44%	0.0504	+4.78%	0.0285	✗	0.93
2026-06-29	oos	0.0506	0.050408	-0.38%	0.0481	-4.94%	0.0217	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.0514	0.05118	-0.43%	0.0506	-1.56%	0.0219	✓	0.91
2026-06-27	oos	0.0501	0.050069	-0.06%	0.0514	+2.59%	0.0333	✗	0.92
2026-06-26	oos	0.0503	0.050266	-0.07%	0.0501	-0.40%	0.0023	✓	0.92
2026-06-25	oos	0.0491	0.049052	-0.10%	0.0503	+2.44%	0.0206	✗	0.92
2026-06-24	oos	0.0479	0.047875	-0.05%	0.0491	+2.51%	0.0455	✗	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.04835	0.048273	-0.16%	0.0479	-0.93%	0.0181	✗	0.96
2026-06-22	oos	0.0496	0.049479	-0.24%	0.04835	-2.52%	0.0034	✓	0.96
2026-06-21	oos	0.049	0.048886	-0.23%	0.0496	+1.22%	0.0038	✗	0.95
2026-06-20	oos	0.04945	0.049322	-0.26%	0.049	-0.91%	0.0081	✗	0.94
2026-06-19	oos	0.04845	0.048355	-0.20%	0.04945	+2.06%	0.0114	✗	0.94
2026-06-18	oos	0.05005	0.049928	-0.24%	0.04845	-3.20%	0.0392	✓	0.97
2026-06-17	oos	0.0517	0.051526	-0.34%	0.05005	-3.19%	0.0052	✓	0.97
2026-06-16	oos	0.05125	0.05105	-0.39%	0.0517	+0.88%	0.0304	✗	0.99
2026-06-15	oos	0.0514	0.051157	-0.47%	0.05125	-0.29%	0.0117	✗	0.99
2026-06-14	oos	0.05065	0.050409	-0.48%	0.0514	+1.48%	0.0110	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0504	0.050151	-0.49%	0.05065	+0.50%	0.0095	✓	0.99
2026-06-12	oos	0.05075	0.050457	-0.58%	0.0504	-0.69%	0.0150	✓	0.99
2026-06-11	oos	0.0521	0.051662	-0.84%	0.05075	-2.59%	0.0174	✓	0.99
2026-06-10	oos	0.0484	0.048121	-0.58%	0.0521	+7.64%	0.0473	✗	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	0.04705	0.046886	-0.35%	0.0484	+2.87%	0.0355	✗	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	0.0492	0.048835	-0.74%	0.04705	-4.37%	0.0164	✓	0.94
2026-06-07	oos	0.0502	0.049713	-0.97%	0.0492	-1.99%	0.0068	✓	0.93
2026-06-06	oos	0.0508	0.050226	-1.13%	0.0502	-1.18%	0.0387	✓	0.97
2026-06-05	oos	0.0511	0.050375	-1.42%	0.0508	-0.59%	0.0113	✓	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.0561	0.055165	-1.67%	0.0511	-8.91%	0.0366	✓	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.0585	0.057505	-1.70%	0.0561	-4.10%	0.0215	✓	0.88
2026-06-02	oos	0.0604	0.05955	-1.41%	0.0585	-3.15%	0.0176	✗	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	0.0605	0.060043	-0.76%	0.0604	-0.17%	0.0682	✗	0.92
2026-05-31	oos	0.0684	0.067222	-1.72%	0.0605	-11.55%	0.0792	✓	0.84
2026-05-30	oos	0.0583	0.058056	-0.42%	0.0684	+17.32%	0.1662	✗	0.84
2026-05-29	oos	0.05795	0.057746	-0.35%	0.0583	+0.60%	0.0049	✗	0.84
2026-05-28	oos	0.05815	0.057967	-0.32%	0.05795	-0.34%	0.0014	✓	0.84
2026-05-27	oos	0.06	0.059807	-0.32%	0.05815	-3.08%	0.0189	✓	0.84
2026-05-26	oos	0.061	0.060843	-0.26%	0.06	-1.64%	0.0029	✗	0.84
2026-05-25	oos	0.0631	0.062857	-0.39%	0.061	-3.33%	0.0147	✓	0.82
2026-05-24	oos	0.06005	0.05995	-0.17%	0.0631	+5.08%	0.0483	✗	0.82
2026-05-23	oos	0.0612	0.060981	-0.36%	0.06005	-1.88%	0.0188	✓	0.82
2026-05-22	oos	0.0591	0.059032	-0.11%	0.0612	+3.55%	0.0232	✗	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.06035	0.060213	-0.23%	0.0591	-2.07%	0.0037	✗	0.81
2026-05-20	oos	0.05955	0.059437	-0.19%	0.06035	+1.34%	0.0145	✗	0.81
2026-05-19	oos	0.0582	0.058153	-0.08%	0.05955	+2.32%	0.0163	✗	0.81
2026-05-18	oos	0.0594	0.059237	-0.28%	0.0582	-2.02%	0.0158	✓	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	0.0581	0.057975	-0.22%	0.0594	+2.24%	0.0292	✗	0.82
2026-05-16	oos	0.0603	0.059833	-0.77%	0.0581	-3.65%	0.0221	✓	0.81
2026-05-15	oos	0.0612	0.060568	-1.03%	0.0603	-1.47%	0.0056	✓	0.83
2026-05-14	oos	0.0642	0.063843	-0.56%	0.0612	-4.67%	0.0216	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.06215	0.061767	-0.62%	0.0642	+3.30%	0.0206	✗	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.0669	0.066546	-0.53%	0.06215	-7.10%	0.0567	✓	0.78
2026-05-11	oos	0.0672	0.066952	-0.37%	0.0669	-0.45%	0.0108	✗	0.76
2026-05-10	oos	0.0667	0.066515	-0.28%	0.0672	+0.75%	0.0147	✗	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.0662	0.065988	-0.32%	0.0667	+0.76%	0.0039	✓	0.77
2026-05-08	oos	0.0676	0.067313	-0.42%	0.0662	-2.07%	0.0210	✓	0.75
2026-05-07	oos	0.0663	0.066025	-0.41%	0.0676	+1.96%	0.0219	✗	0.72
2026-05-06	oos	0.0677	0.067232	-0.69%	0.0663	-2.07%	0.0005	✓	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.0733	0.072167	-1.55%	0.0677	-7.64%	0.0695	✓	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.0595	0.059471	-0.05%	0.0733	+23.19%	0.1982	✗	0.83
2026-05-03	oos	0.0596	0.05944	-0.27%	0.0595	-0.17%	0.0124	✓	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.0603	0.060293	-0.01%	0.0596	-1.16%	0.0103	✓	0.82
2026-05-01	oos	0.0595	0.059564	+0.11%	0.0603	+1.34%	0.0076	✓	0.82
2026-04-30	oos	0.05905	0.059017	-0.06%	0.0595	+0.76%	0.0126	✓	0.83
2026-04-29	oos	0.0595	0.059455	-0.08%	0.05905	-0.76%	0.0129	✓	0.83
2026-04-28	oos	0.0606	0.060642	+0.07%	0.0595	-1.82%	0.0127	✗	0.84
2026-04-27	oos	0.0605	0.0607	+0.33%	0.0606	+0.17%	0.0099	✓	0.85
2026-04-26	oos	0.0624	0.062551	+0.24%	0.0605	-3.04%	0.0192	✗	0.84
2026-04-25	oos	0.06275	0.062712	-0.06%	0.0624	-0.56%	0.0161	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.0615	0.061454	-0.08%	0.06275	+2.03%	0.0188	✗	0.85
2026-04-23	oos	0.06145	0.061454	+0.01%	0.0615	+0.08%	0.0097	✓	0.85
2026-04-22	oos	0.06095	0.06096	+0.02%	0.06145	+0.82%	0.0072	✓	0.85
2026-04-21	oos	0.0616	0.061367	-0.38%	0.06095	-1.06%	0.0275	✓	0.86
2026-04-20	oos	0.06175	0.061495	-0.41%	0.0616	-0.24%	0.0038	✓	0.86
2026-04-19	oos	0.0602	0.059859	-0.57%	0.06175	+2.57%	0.0074	✗	0.87
2026-04-18	oos	0.0646	0.064229	-0.58%	0.0602	-6.81%	0.0428	✓	0.86
2026-04-17	oos	0.0641	0.063916	-0.29%	0.0646	+0.78%	0.0261	✗	0.87
2026-04-16	oos	0.06175	0.061505	-0.40%	0.0641	+3.81%	0.0194	✗	0.86
2026-04-15	oos	0.0596	0.059438	-0.27%	0.06175	+3.61%	0.0344	✗	0.86
2026-04-14	oos	0.05845	0.058309	-0.24%	0.0596	+1.97%	0.0143	✗	0.86
2026-04-13	oos	0.0602	0.060055	-0.24%	0.05845	-2.91%	0.0240	✓	0.86
2026-04-12	oos	0.0585	0.058277	-0.38%	0.0602	+2.91%	0.0118	✓	0.87
2026-04-11	oos	0.0597	0.059558	-0.24%	0.0585	-2.01%	0.0104	✗	0.87
2026-04-10	oos	0.0603	0.060189	-0.18%	0.0597	-1.00%	0.0092	✓	0.87
2026-04-09	oos	0.0599	0.059774	-0.21%	0.0603	+0.67%	0.0057	✓	0.87
2026-04-08	oos	0.059	0.058882	-0.20%	0.0599	+1.53%	0.0085	✗	0.87
2026-04-07	oos	0.06045	0.060258	-0.32%	0.059	-2.40%	0.0111	✓	0.87
2026-04-06	oos	0.0586	0.058446	-0.26%	0.06045	+3.16%	0.0032	✓	0.85
2026-04-05	oos	0.0586	0.058438	-0.28%	0.0586	+0.00%	0.0046	✗	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.05905	0.058956	-0.16%	0.0586	-0.76%	0.0277	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0597	0.059584	-0.19%	0.05905	-1.09%	0.0133	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.0572	0.05717	-0.05%	0.0597	+4.37%	0.0425	✗	0.86
2026-04-01	oos	0.058	0.057924	-0.13%	0.0572	-1.38%	0.0030	✗	0.86
2026-03-31	oos	0.057	0.056937	-0.11%	0.058	+1.75%	0.0199	✗	0.86
2026-03-30	oos	0.0568	0.056746	-0.10%	0.057	+0.35%	0.0146	✓	0.87
2026-03-29	oos	0.05625	0.056203	-0.08%	0.0568	+0.98%	0.0005	✓	0.86
2026-03-28	oos	0.0578	0.057691	-0.19%	0.05625	-2.68%	0.0206	✓	0.85
2026-03-27	oos	0.0581	0.057967	-0.23%	0.0578	-0.52%	0.0025	✓	0.85
2026-03-26	oos	0.06065	0.060282	-0.61%	0.0581	-4.20%	0.0063	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.0626	0.062341	-0.41%	0.06065	-3.12%	0.0034	✓	0.86
2026-03-24	oos	0.0627	0.062459	-0.39%	0.0626	-0.16%	0.0070	✓	0.86
2026-03-23	oos	0.06175	0.061619	-0.21%	0.0627	+1.54%	0.0215	✗	0.86
2026-03-22	oos	0.05985	0.05978	-0.12%	0.06175	+3.17%	0.0051	✓	0.86
2026-03-21	oos	0.0609	0.060843	-0.09%	0.05985	-1.72%	0.0030	✓	0.86
2026-03-20	oos	0.0643	0.064201	-0.15%	0.0609	-5.29%	0.0334	✓	0.85
2026-03-19	oos	0.06275	0.062724	-0.04%	0.0643	+2.47%	0.0178	✗	0.85
2026-03-18	oos	0.06425	0.064221	-0.05%	0.06275	-2.33%	0.0070	✓	0.86
2026-03-17	oos	0.0671	0.067074	-0.04%	0.06425	-4.25%	0.0113	✓	0.86
2026-03-16	oos	0.0654	0.065487	+0.13%	0.0671	+2.60%	0.0355	✓	0.87
2026-03-15	oos	0.0635	0.063638	+0.22%	0.0654	+2.99%	0.0033	✓	0.86
2026-03-14	oos	0.06255	0.062725	+0.28%	0.0635	+1.52%	0.0069	✗	0.87
2026-03-13	oos	0.0627	0.062879	+0.29%	0.06255	-0.24%	0.0088	✗	0.87
2026-03-12	oos	0.0633	0.063461	+0.25%	0.0627	-0.95%	0.0171	✗	0.87
2026-03-11	oos	0.0636	0.06374	+0.22%	0.0633	-0.47%	0.0109	✗	0.87
2026-03-10	oos	0.0621	0.062303	+0.33%	0.0636	+2.42%	0.0175	✓	0.87
2026-03-09	oos	0.0622	0.06242	+0.35%	0.0621	-0.16%	0.0244	✗	0.87
2026-03-08	oos	0.061	0.061345	+0.57%	0.0622	+1.97%	0.0185	✗	0.88
2026-03-07	oos	0.0613	0.061459	+0.26%	0.061	-0.49%	0.0097	✓	0.89
2026-03-06	oos	0.0623	0.062371	+0.11%	0.0613	-1.61%	0.0063	✗	0.88
2026-03-05	oos	0.0639	0.064009	+0.17%	0.0623	-2.50%	0.0083	✓	0.89
2026-03-04	oos	0.0649	0.065028	+0.20%	0.0639	-1.54%	0.0047	✓	0.89
2026-03-03	oos	0.0641	0.064105	+0.01%	0.0649	+1.25%	0.0446	✗	0.92
2026-03-02	oos	0.06555	0.065523	-0.04%	0.0641	-2.21%	0.0153	✓	0.92
2026-03-01	oos	0.0641	0.063959	-0.22%	0.06555	+2.26%	0.0180	✓	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	0.0658	0.065668	-0.20%	0.0641	-2.58%	0.0072	✓	0.94
2026-02-27	oos	0.06555	0.065362	-0.29%	0.0658	+0.38%	0.0091	✓	0.94
2026-02-26	oos	0.0683	0.068082	-0.32%	0.06555	-4.03%	0.0149	✓	0.94
2026-02-25	oos	0.0663	0.066195	-0.16%	0.0683	+3.02%	0.0383	✗	0.94
2026-02-24	oos	0.06355	0.063325	-0.35%	0.0663	+4.33%	0.0109	✓	0.95
2026-02-23	oos	0.0636	0.063466	-0.21%	0.06355	-0.08%	0.0095	✗	0.94
2026-02-22	oos	0.066	0.065922	-0.12%	0.0636	-3.64%	0.0068	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.06845	0.068334	-0.17%	0.066	-3.58%	0.0300	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0684	0.068299	-0.15%	0.06845	+0.07%	0.0026	✗	0.94
2026-02-19	oos	0.0684	0.068287	-0.17%	0.0684	+0.00%	0.0125	✓	0.95
2026-02-18	oos	0.06855	0.06842	-0.19%	0.0684	-0.22%	0.0082	✓	0.95
2026-02-17	oos	0.072	0.07183	-0.24%	0.06855	-4.79%	0.0323	✓	0.93
2026-02-16	oos	0.0724	0.072245	-0.21%	0.072	-0.55%	0.0155	✗	0.93
2026-02-15	oos	0.0719	0.07178	-0.17%	0.0724	+0.70%	0.0077	✗	0.93
2026-02-14	oos	0.0763	0.076057	-0.32%	0.0719	-5.77%	0.0429	✓	0.92
2026-02-13	oos	0.0739	0.073735	-0.22%	0.0763	+3.25%	0.0212	✗	0.92
2026-02-12	oos	0.07205	0.072097	+0.07%	0.0739	+2.57%	0.0111	✗	0.93
2026-02-11	oos	0.0711	0.071155	+0.08%	0.07205	+1.34%	0.0236	✓	0.91
2026-02-10	oos	0.07045	0.070429	-0.03%	0.0711	+0.92%	0.0336	✗	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.073	0.0728	-0.27%	0.07045	-3.49%	0.0157	✓	0.92
2026-02-08	oos	0.0716	0.071374	-0.32%	0.073	+1.96%	0.0249	✗	0.92
2026-02-07	oos	0.0768	0.076101	-0.91%	0.0716	-6.77%	0.0750	✓	0.94
2026-02-06	oos	0.0736	0.07287	-0.99%	0.0768	+4.35%	0.0700	✗	0.95
2026-02-05	oos	0.0666	0.067838	+1.86%	0.0736	+10.51%	0.0310	✗	0.97
2026-02-04	oos	0.0789	0.077543	-1.72%	0.0666	-15.59%	0.0108	✓	0.94
2026-02-03	oos	0.0809	0.079896	-1.24%	0.0789	-2.47%	0.0208	✗	0.93
2026-02-02	oos	0.0816	0.081313	-0.35%	0.0809	-0.86%	0.0325	✗	0.97
2026-02-01	oos	0.0801	0.079517	-0.73%	0.0816	+1.87%	0.0037	✓	0.97
2026-01-31	oos	0.0812	0.08095	-0.31%	0.0801	-1.35%	0.0130	✗	1.05
2026-01-30	oos	0.08735	0.087352	+0.00%	0.0812	-7.04%	0.0031	✗	1.04
2026-01-29	oos	0.0871	0.087137	+0.04%	0.08735	+0.29%	0.0074	✓	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.09345	0.093354	-0.10%	0.0871	-6.80%	0.0143	✓	1.03
2026-01-27	oos	0.0946	0.094431	-0.18%	0.09345	-1.22%	0.0110	✓	1.05
2026-01-26	oos	0.0928	0.092697	-0.11%	0.0946	+1.94%	0.0102	✗	1.03
2026-01-25	oos	0.0914	0.091344	-0.06%	0.0928	+1.53%	0.0042	✓	1.04
2026-01-24	oos	0.0953	0.094685	-0.65%	0.0914	-4.09%	0.0057	✓	1.03
2026-01-23	oos	0.0947	0.093853	-0.89%	0.0953	+0.63%	0.0199	✗	1.04
2026-01-22	oos	0.09465	0.093856	-0.84%	0.0947	+0.05%	0.0088	✗	1.03
2026-01-21	oos	0.0968	0.096151	-0.67%	0.09465	-2.22%	0.0169	✓	1.03
2026-01-20	oos	0.094	0.093738	-0.28%	0.0968	+2.98%	0.0200	✗	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.1001	0.099207	-0.89%	0.094	-6.09%	0.0063	✓	1.01
2026-01-18	oos	0.1021	0.101327	-0.76%	0.1001	-1.96%	0.0004	✓	1.02
2026-01-17	oos	0.1067	0.105946	-0.71%	0.1021	-4.31%	0.0214	✓	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.1066	0.10593	-0.63%	0.1067	+0.09%	0.0114	✗	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.10445	0.103915	-0.51%	0.1066	+2.06%	0.0264	✗	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.1084	0.107856	-0.50%	0.10445	-3.64%	0.0180	✓	0.99
2026-01-13	oos	0.1093	0.108792	-0.46%	0.1084	-0.82%	0.0202	✓	1.01
2026-01-12	oos	0.1039	0.103448	-0.44%	0.1093	+5.20%	0.0094	✗	1.01
2026-01-11	oos	0.106	0.105554	-0.42%	0.1039	-1.98%	0.0194	✓	1.03
2026-01-10	oos	0.1103	0.10976	-0.49%	0.106	-3.90%	0.0406	✓	1.04
2026-01-09	oos	0.1082	0.107732	-0.43%	0.1103	+1.94%	0.0252	✗	1.08
2026-01-08	oos	0.1098	0.109263	-0.49%	0.1082	-1.46%	0.0037	✓	1.07
2026-01-07	oos	0.1084	0.107872	-0.49%	0.1098	+1.29%	0.0216	✗	1.40
2026-01-06	oos	0.1026	0.102523	-0.07%	0.1084	+5.65%	0.0942	✗	1.46
2026-01-05	oos	0.102	0.101982	-0.02%	0.1026	+0.59%	0.0083	✗	1.46
2026-01-04	oos	0.0992	0.099118	-0.08%	0.102	+2.82%	0.0089	✓	1.46
2026-01-03	oos	0.0988	0.098723	-0.08%	0.0992	+0.40%	0.0097	✓	1.47
2026-01-02	oos	0.0985	0.098436	-0.06%	0.0988	+0.30%	0.0067	✓	1.47
2026-01-01	oos	0.0967	0.096666	-0.03%	0.0985	+1.86%	0.0012	✓	1.46
2025-12-31	oos	0.0965	0.09646	-0.04%	0.0967	+0.21%	0.0181	✓	1.47
2025-12-30	oos	0.1011	0.10094	-0.16%	0.0965	-4.55%	0.0301	✓	1.46
2025-12-29	oos	0.1048	0.104301	-0.48%	0.1011	-3.53%	0.0527	✓	1.47
2025-12-28	oos	0.0991	0.09874	-0.36%	0.1048	+5.75%	0.0725	✗	1.48
2025-12-27	oos	0.095	0.094927	-0.08%	0.0991	+4.32%	0.0419	✗	1.46
2025-12-26	oos	0.09	0.090046	+0.05%	0.095	+5.56%	0.0451	✓	1.44
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.090935	+0.04%	0.09	-0.99%	0.0124	✗	1.44
2025-12-24	oos	0.0922	0.092207	+0.01%	0.0909	-1.41%	0.0070	✗	1.45
2025-12-23	oos	0.09415	0.094081	-0.07%	0.0922	-2.07%	0.0232	✓	1.45
2025-12-22	oos	0.0955	0.095277	-0.23%	0.09415	-1.41%	0.0066	✗	1.45
2025-12-21	oos	0.0884	0.088498	+0.11%	0.0955	+8.03%	0.0775	✓	1.44
2025-12-20	oos	0.08965	0.089743	+0.10%	0.0884	-1.39%	0.0203	✗	1.46
2025-12-19	oos	0.0899	0.089999	+0.11%	0.08965	-0.28%	0.0077	✗	1.46
2025-12-18	oos	0.0854	0.085861	+0.54%	0.0899	+5.27%	0.0020	✓	1.45
2025-12-17	oos	0.08915	0.089467	+0.36%	0.0854	-4.21%	0.0339	✗	1.45
2025-12-16	oos	0.0938	0.093785	-0.02%	0.08915	-4.96%	0.0234	✓	1.44
2025-12-15	oos	0.0947	0.094999	+0.32%	0.0938	-0.95%	0.0367	✗	1.46
2025-12-14	oos	0.09845	0.098439	-0.01%	0.0947	-3.81%	0.0096	✓	1.45
2025-12-13	oos	0.1024	0.10217	-0.22%	0.09845	-3.86%	0.0033	✓	1.45
2025-12-12	oos	0.10175	0.101589	-0.16%	0.1024	+0.64%	0.0083	✗	1.45
2025-12-11	oos	0.1031	0.102912	-0.18%	0.10175	-1.31%	0.0249	✗	1.46
2025-12-10	oos	0.1031	0.102958	-0.14%	0.1031	+0.00%	0.0067	✓	1.46
2025-12-09	oos	0.1059	0.105653	-0.23%	0.1031	-2.64%	0.0141	✓	1.46
2025-12-08	oos	0.1024	0.102232	-0.16%	0.1059	+3.42%	0.0032	✗	1.44
2025-12-07	oos	0.1009	0.100732	-0.17%	0.1024	+1.49%	0.0124	✗	1.44
2025-12-06	oos	0.1047	0.104379	-0.31%	0.1009	-3.63%	0.0523	✓	1.46
2025-12-05	oos	0.1028	0.102585	-0.21%	0.1047	+1.85%	0.0217	✗	1.46
2025-12-04	oos	0.1056	0.105316	-0.27%	0.1028	-2.65%	0.0205	✗	1.47
2025-12-03	oos	0.1081	0.107743	-0.33%	0.1056	-2.31%	0.0015	✓	1.48
2025-12-02	oos	0.1063	0.105992	-0.29%	0.1081	+1.69%	0.0148	✓	1.48
2025-12-01	oos	0.1008	0.100596	-0.20%	0.1063	+5.46%	0.0312	✓	1.53
2025-11-30	oos	0.1069	0.106568	-0.31%	0.1008	-5.71%	0.0158	✗	1.54
2025-11-29	oos	0.1088	0.108436	-0.33%	0.1069	-1.75%	0.0065	✓	1.54
2025-11-28	oos	0.1091	0.1087	-0.37%	0.1088	-0.27%	0.0022	✓	1.54
2025-11-27	oos	0.1102	0.109739	-0.42%	0.1091	-1.00%	0.0011	✓	1.54
2025-11-26	oos	0.107	0.106603	-0.37%	0.1102	+2.99%	0.0191	✗	1.51
2025-11-25	oos	0.10675	0.106335	-0.39%	0.107	+0.23%	0.0490	✓	1.56
2025-11-24	oos	0.1064	0.10593	-0.44%	0.10675	+0.33%	0.0245	✗	1.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.1023	0.101844	-0.45%	0.1064	+4.01%	0.0177	✗	1.57
2025-11-22	oos	0.102	0.101278	-0.71%	0.1023	+0.29%	0.0295	✓	1.60
2025-11-21	oos	0.1023	0.101183	-1.09%	0.102	-0.29%	0.0153	✗	1.59
2025-11-20	oos	0.1078	0.106254	-1.43%	0.1023	-5.10%	0.0108	✓	1.58
2025-11-19	oos	0.1102	0.109408	-0.72%	0.1078	-2.18%	0.0787	✗	1.69
2025-11-18	oos	0.111	0.110276	-0.65%	0.1102	-0.72%	0.0261	✗	1.70
2025-11-17	oos	0.1078	0.107169	-0.59%	0.111	+2.97%	0.0202	✗	1.70
2025-11-16	oos	0.1099	0.109293	-0.55%	0.1078	-1.91%	0.0243	✗	1.70
2025-11-15	oos	0.1138	0.112948	-0.75%	0.1099	-3.43%	0.0030	✓	1.70
2025-11-14	oos	0.1124	0.111532	-0.77%	0.1138	+1.25%	0.0015	✓	1.70
2025-11-13	oos	0.1136	0.112881	-0.63%	0.1124	-1.06%	0.0918	✗	1.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1187	0.11821	-0.41%	0.1136	-4.30%	0.0032	✓	1.82
2025-11-11	oos	0.1196	0.119339	-0.22%	0.1187	-0.75%	0.0189	✗	1.81
2025-11-10	oos	0.1261	0.126026	-0.06%	0.1196	-5.15%	0.0014	✓	1.79
2025-11-09	oos	0.1244	0.124312	-0.07%	0.1261	+1.37%	0.0077	✓	1.80
2025-11-08	oos	0.1233	0.123095	-0.17%	0.1244	+0.89%	0.0319	✓	1.83
2025-11-07	oos	0.124	0.124226	+0.18%	0.1233	-0.56%	0.0099	✓	1.79
2025-11-06	oos	0.1119	0.113247	+1.20%	0.124	+10.81%	0.0566	✓	1.75
2025-11-05	oos	0.1111	0.112475	+1.24%	0.1119	+0.72%	0.0397	✓	1.78
2025-11-04	oos	0.1068	0.108248	+1.36%	0.1111	+4.03%	0.0157	✗	1.78
2025-11-03	oos	0.1126	0.113132	+0.47%	0.1068	-5.15%	0.0326	✓	1.84
2025-11-02	oos	0.1278	0.127688	-0.09%	0.1126	-11.89%	0.0604	✓	1.78
2025-11-01	oos	0.1281	0.128031	-0.05%	0.1278	-0.23%	0.0097	✓	1.79
2025-10-31	oos	0.1237	0.123768	+0.05%	0.1281	+3.56%	0.0263	✓	1.78
2025-10-30	oos	0.1225	0.122611	+0.09%	0.1237	+0.98%	0.0116	✗	1.79
2025-10-29	oos	0.1309	0.130833	-0.05%	0.1225	-6.42%	0.0381	✓	1.76
2025-10-28	oos	0.1323	0.132217	-0.06%	0.1309	-1.06%	0.0364	✗	1.80
2025-10-27	oos	0.1349	0.134873	-0.02%	0.1323	-1.93%	0.0005	✓	1.80
2025-10-26	oos	0.1407	0.140474	-0.16%	0.1349	-4.12%	0.0332	✓	1.80
2025-10-25	oos	0.1365	0.136394	-0.08%	0.1407	+3.08%	0.0153	✓	1.82
2025-10-24	oos	0.1379	0.137822	-0.06%	0.1365	-1.02%	0.0199	✓	1.82
2025-10-23	oos	0.1371	0.137169	+0.05%	0.1379	+0.58%	0.0100	✗	1.83
2025-10-22	oos	0.1338	0.134002	+0.15%	0.1371	+2.47%	0.0198	✗	1.84
2025-10-21	oos	0.1366	0.136911	+0.23%	0.1338	-2.05%	0.0098	✗	1.84
2025-10-20	oos	0.1413	0.141632	+0.23%	0.1366	-3.33%	0.0011	✓	1.85
2025-10-19	oos	0.1419	0.142215	+0.22%	0.1413	-0.42%	0.0385	✗	1.86
2025-10-18	oos	0.1382	0.138653	+0.33%	0.1419	+2.68%	0.0021	✓	1.86
2025-10-17	oos	0.1367	0.137252	+0.40%	0.1382	+1.10%	0.0060	✗	1.85
2025-10-16	oos	0.1379	0.138731	+0.60%	0.1367	-0.87%	0.0153	✓	1.86
2025-10-15	oos	0.1435	0.144391	+0.62%	0.1379	-3.90%	0.0018	✓	1.86
2025-10-14	oos	0.1494	0.150068	+0.45%	0.1435	-3.95%	0.0072	✗	1.86
2025-10-13	oos	0.1552	0.155474	+0.18%	0.1494	-3.74%	0.0039	✗	1.86
2025-10-12	oos	0.1486	0.149502	+0.61%	0.1552	+4.44%	0.0341	✓	1.83
2025-10-11	oos	0.1377	0.139395	+1.23%	0.1486	+7.92%	0.0052	✓	1.82
2025-10-10	oos	0.1381	0.139443	+0.97%	0.1377	-0.29%	0.0237	✓	1.83
2025-10-09	oos	0.182	0.181737	-0.14%	0.1381	-24.12%	0.1745	✓	1.34
2025-10-08	oos	0.1872	0.187027	-0.09%	0.182	-2.78%	0.0095	✓	1.34
2025-10-07	oos	0.18265	0.182496	-0.08%	0.1872	+2.49%	0.0048	✗	1.29
2025-10-06	oos	0.1907	0.19039	-0.16%	0.18265	-4.22%	0.0071	✓	1.27
2025-10-05	oos	0.1849	0.184476	-0.23%	0.1907	+3.14%	0.0209	✗	1.27
2025-10-04	oos	0.1866	0.185831	-0.41%	0.1849	-0.91%	0.0160	✓	1.27
2025-10-03	oos	0.1926	0.191347	-0.65%	0.1866	-3.12%	0.0266	✓	1.27
2025-10-02	oos	0.1918	0.190316	-0.77%	0.1926	+0.42%	0.0059	✓	1.28
2025-10-01	oos	0.1894	0.187818	-0.84%	0.1918	+1.27%	0.0001	✓	1.29
2025-09-30	oos	0.1807	0.17985	-0.47%	0.1894	+4.81%	0.0007	✓	1.29
2025-09-29	oos	0.1803	0.179385	-0.51%	0.1807	+0.22%	0.0109	✗	1.37
2025-09-28	oos	0.182	0.181303	-0.38%	0.1803	-0.93%	0.0326	✓	1.42
2025-09-27	oos	0.1793	0.178983	-0.18%	0.182	+1.51%	0.0156	✓	1.43
2025-09-26	oos	0.1806	0.180231	-0.20%	0.1793	-0.72%	0.0050	✓	1.43
2025-09-25	oos	0.1762	0.17608	-0.07%	0.1806	+2.50%	0.0167	✗	1.43
2025-09-24	oos	0.1869	0.185205	-0.91%	0.1762	-5.72%	0.0053	✓	1.42
2025-09-23	oos	0.1858	0.1844	-0.75%	0.1869	+0.59%	0.0034	✓	1.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.1843	0.18263	-0.91%	0.1858	+0.81%	0.0263	✗	1.42
2025-09-21	oos	0.1974	0.195615	-0.90%	0.1843	-6.64%	0.0287	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.1992	0.198008	-0.60%	0.1974	-0.90%	0.0027	✓	1.42
2025-09-19	oos	0.19885	0.198015	-0.42%	0.1992	+0.18%	0.0052	✗	1.43
2025-09-18	oos	0.206	0.205163	-0.41%	0.19885	-3.47%	0.0137	✓	1.43
2025-09-17	oos	0.204	0.20325	-0.37%	0.206	+0.98%	0.0057	✗	1.43

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.