OPTIM

Optimism · · gru_s2

token id: #80
symbol: OPTIM
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-06-01
predictions: 4,773

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

51.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0732

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0079

actual -0.0150

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.129435	0.125615	-2.95%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-21	oos	0.12882	0.125506	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	1.61
2026-10-20	oos	0.12975	0.126248	-2.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-19	oos	0.124265	0.121386	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-18	oos	0.125295	0.122393	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-17	oos	0.129015	0.125961	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-16	oos	0.13792	0.134154	-2.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.62
2026-10-15	oos	0.13735	0.133649	-2.69%	0.129435	-5.76%	0.0726	✓	1.61
2026-10-14	oos	0.14076	0.136798	-2.81%	0.12882	-8.48%	0.1080	✓	1.61
2026-10-13	oos	0.158405	0.15138	-4.44%	0.12975	-18.09%	0.1511	✓	1.57
2026-10-12	oos	0.130645	0.12735	-2.52%	0.124265	-4.88%	0.0263	✓	1.50
2026-10-11	oos	0.14363	0.138761	-3.39%	0.125295	-12.77%	0.0734	✓	1.42
2026-10-10	oos	0.13915	0.134314	-3.48%	0.129015	-7.28%	0.0141	✓	1.41
2026-10-09	oos	0.13233	0.128178	-3.14%	0.13792	+4.22%	0.0912	✗	1.41
2026-10-08	oos	0.11895	0.116589	-1.99%	0.13735	+15.47%	0.1566	✗	1.39
2026-10-07	oos	0.123	0.119894	-2.53%	0.14076	+14.44%	0.1892	✗	1.38
2026-10-06	oos	0.130325	0.126422	-2.99%	0.158405	+21.55%	0.2652	✗	1.37
2026-10-05	oos	0.138525	0.133847	-3.38%	0.130645	-5.69%	0.0409	✗	1.36
2026-10-04	oos	0.134225	0.130136	-3.05%	0.14363	+7.01%	0.1448	✗	1.39
2026-10-03	oos	0.136365	0.131646	-3.46%	0.13915	+2.04%	0.0862	✗	1.41
2026-10-02	oos	0.1272	0.123404	-2.98%	0.13233	+4.03%	0.1029	✗	1.41
2026-10-01	oos	0.12807	0.124242	-2.99%	0.11895	-7.12%	0.0098	✓	1.41
2026-09-30	oos	0.129565	0.12546	-3.17%	0.123	-5.07%	0.0150	✓	1.44
2026-09-29	oos	0.128755	0.124789	-3.08%	0.130325	+1.22%	0.0109	✓	1.44
2026-09-28	oos	0.1342	0.129803	-3.28%	0.138525	+3.22%	0.0268	✓	1.41
2026-09-27	oos	0.14935	0.143532	-3.90%	0.134225	-10.13%	0.0998	✓	1.37
2026-09-26	oos	0.14384	0.138434	-3.76%	0.136365	-5.20%	0.0203	✓	1.37
2026-09-25	oos	0.146435	0.140088	-4.33%	0.1272	-13.14%	0.1032	✓	1.37
2026-09-24	oos	0.1314	0.127061	-3.30%	0.12807	-2.53%	0.0002	✓	1.40
2026-09-23	oos	0.12285	0.119741	-2.53%	0.129565	+5.47%	0.0926	✗	1.41
2026-09-22	oos	0.135295	0.130781	-3.34%	0.128755	-4.83%	0.0246	✓	1.33
2026-09-21	oos	0.12745	0.123894	-2.79%	0.1342	+5.30%	0.1277	✗	1.29
2026-09-20	oos	0.12514	0.120828	-3.45%	0.14935	+19.35%	0.1569	✗	1.38
2026-09-19	oos	0.121635	0.117652	-3.27%	0.14384	+18.26%	0.1478	✗	1.38
2026-09-18	oos	0.120565	0.116004	-3.78%	0.146435	+21.46%	0.1787	✗	1.39
2026-09-17	oos	0.1009	0.099232	-1.65%	0.1314	+30.23%	0.1591	✗	1.22
2026-09-16	oos	0.095765	0.094961	-0.84%	0.12285	+28.28%	0.1342	✗	1.20
2026-09-15	oos	0.093615	0.093248	-0.39%	0.135295	+44.52%	0.2188	✗	1.17
2026-09-14	oos	0.10221	0.101053	-1.13%	0.12745	+24.69%	0.1195	✗	1.10
2026-09-13	oos	0.094715	0.094366	-0.37%	0.12514	+32.12%	0.2234	✗	1.07
2026-09-12	oos	0.095695	0.095534	-0.17%	0.121635	+27.11%	0.1882	✗	1.07
2026-09-11	oos	0.095525	0.095789	+0.28%	0.120565	+26.21%	0.1807	✓	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.09379	0.094306	+0.55%	0.1009	+7.58%	0.0702	✓	1.08
2026-09-09	oos	0.099445	0.100272	+0.83%	0.095765	-3.70%	0.0168	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.1053	0.10594	+0.61%	0.093615	-11.10%	0.0839	✗	1.07
2026-09-07	oos	0.11045	0.111019	+0.52%	0.10221	-7.46%	0.0702	✗	1.07
2026-09-06	oos	0.1102	0.111359	+1.05%	0.094715	-14.05%	0.1142	✗	1.06
2026-09-05	oos	0.10758	0.108801	+1.14%	0.095695	-11.05%	0.0938	✗	1.06
2026-09-04	oos	0.09814	0.100162	+2.06%	0.095525	-2.66%	0.0144	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.10119	0.104104	+2.88%	0.09379	-7.31%	0.0413	✗	1.05
2026-09-02	oos	0.09923	0.100276	+1.05%	0.099445	+0.22%	0.0235	✗	1.21
2026-09-01	oos	0.09518	0.096254	+1.13%	0.1053	+10.63%	0.0733	✓	1.23
2026-08-31	oos	0.09355	0.095078	+1.63%	0.11045	+18.07%	0.1425	✓	1.10
2026-08-30	oos	0.08641	0.087811	+1.62%	0.1102	+27.53%	0.1906	✓	1.08
2026-08-29	oos	0.08869	0.090299	+1.81%	0.10758	+21.30%	0.1547	✓	1.01
2026-08-28	oos	0.09007	0.09149	+1.58%	0.09814	+8.96%	0.0465	✓	1.01
2026-08-27	oos	0.09722	0.099506	+2.35%	0.10119	+4.08%	0.0048	✓	0.98
2026-08-26	oos	0.099	0.100476	+1.49%	0.09923	+0.23%	0.0094	✓	0.99
2026-08-25	oos	0.10149	0.102589	+1.08%	0.09518	-6.22%	0.0604	✗	1.01
2026-08-24	oos	0.10775	0.108697	+0.88%	0.09355	-13.18%	0.1448	✗	1.00
2026-08-23	oos	0.11218	0.112146	-0.03%	0.08641	-22.97%	0.2599	✓	1.02
2026-08-22	oos	0.10893	0.108452	-0.44%	0.08869	-18.58%	0.2166	✓	1.02
2026-08-21	oos	0.10715	0.106721	-0.40%	0.09007	-15.94%	0.1632	✓	1.03
2026-08-20	oos	0.098	0.096536	-1.49%	0.09722	-0.80%	0.0877	✓	1.00
2026-08-19	oos	0.08996	0.088433	-1.70%	0.099	+10.05%	0.0129	✓	0.96
2026-08-18	oos	0.08199	0.080808	-1.44%	0.10149	+23.78%	0.0559	✗	0.89
2026-08-17	oos	0.08417	0.082928	-1.48%	0.10775	+28.01%	0.0793	✗	0.90
2026-08-16	oos	0.08335	0.082303	-1.26%	0.11218	+34.59%	0.1160	✗	0.91
2026-08-15	oos	0.08482	0.083701	-1.32%	0.10893	+28.42%	0.0808	✗	0.91
2026-08-14	oos	0.08635	0.085136	-1.41%	0.10715	+24.09%	0.0304	✗	0.91
2026-08-13	oos	0.08867	0.087124	-1.74%	0.098	+10.52%	0.0115	✓	0.92
2026-08-12	oos	0.085925	0.084612	-1.53%	0.08996	+4.70%	0.0221	✓	0.94
2026-08-11	oos	0.0915	0.089672	-2.00%	0.08199	-10.39%	0.1059	✓	0.91
2026-08-10	oos	0.0915	0.089408	-2.29%	0.08417	-8.01%	0.0685	✓	0.92
2026-08-09	oos	0.088	0.086105	-2.15%	0.08335	-5.28%	0.0025	✓	0.95
2026-08-08	oos	0.0885	0.08655	-2.20%	0.08482	-4.16%	0.0080	✓	0.96
2026-08-07	oos	0.0865	0.08467	-2.12%	0.08635	-0.17%	0.0478	✗	0.94
2026-08-06	oos	0.0865	0.084811	-1.95%	0.08867	+2.51%	0.0567	✗	0.93
2026-08-05	oos	0.0875	0.085667	-2.10%	0.085925	-1.80%	0.0207	✓	0.95
2026-08-04	oos	0.0885	0.086578	-2.17%	0.0915	+3.39%	0.0629	✗	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.0885	0.086587	-2.16%	0.0915	+3.39%	0.0485	✗	0.96
2026-08-02	oos	0.086	0.084412	-1.85%	0.088	+2.33%	0.0212	✗	0.97
2026-08-01	oos	0.0825	0.081372	-1.37%	0.0885	+7.27%	0.0519	✗	0.95
2026-07-31	oos	0.085	0.083721	-1.51%	0.0865	+1.76%	0.0017	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0875	0.085932	-1.79%	0.0865	-1.14%	0.0134	✓	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.0895	0.087957	-1.72%	0.0875	-2.23%	0.0158	✓	0.97
2026-07-28	oos	0.0895	0.088019	-1.65%	0.0885	-1.12%	0.0024	✓	0.97
2026-07-27	oos	0.0875	0.086229	-1.45%	0.0885	+1.14%	0.0295	✗	0.97
2026-07-26	oos	0.0955	0.093457	-2.14%	0.086	-9.95%	0.0570	✓	0.91
2026-07-25	oos	0.0925	0.090883	-1.75%	0.0825	-10.81%	0.0749	✓	0.91
2026-07-24	oos	0.0925	0.091159	-1.45%	0.085	-8.11%	0.0521	✓	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.0925	0.09135	-1.24%	0.0875	-5.41%	0.0384	✓	0.91
2026-07-22	oos	0.0965	0.095243	-1.30%	0.0895	-7.25%	0.0324	✓	0.88
2026-07-21	oos	0.098	0.096658	-1.37%	0.0895	-8.67%	0.0408	✓	0.88
2026-07-20	oos	0.0945	0.09326	-1.31%	0.0875	-7.41%	0.0441	✓	0.83
2026-07-19	oos	0.0945	0.093189	-1.39%	0.0955	+1.06%	0.0160	✗	0.83
2026-07-18	oos	0.0955	0.094171	-1.39%	0.0925	-3.14%	0.0114	✓	0.84
2026-07-17	oos	0.0965	0.095261	-1.28%	0.0925	-4.15%	0.0320	✓	0.87
2026-07-16	oos	0.0985	0.097187	-1.33%	0.0925	-6.09%	0.0673	✓	0.90
2026-07-15	oos	0.1025	0.100962	-1.50%	0.0965	-5.85%	0.0637	✓	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.1015	0.100129	-1.35%	0.098	-3.45%	0.0424	✓	0.90
2026-07-13	oos	0.0985	0.097264	-1.25%	0.0945	-4.06%	0.0721	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.1005	0.099184	-1.31%	0.0945	-5.97%	0.0622	✓	0.94
2026-07-11	oos	0.1015	0.100297	-1.19%	0.0955	-5.91%	0.0651	✓	1.01
2026-07-10	oos	0.1035	0.102297	-1.16%	0.0965	-6.76%	0.0545	✓	1.04
2026-07-09	oos	0.102	0.100819	-1.16%	0.0985	-3.43%	0.0331	✓	1.04
2026-07-08	oos	0.0995	0.098469	-1.04%	0.1025	+3.02%	0.0004	✓	1.04
2026-07-07	oos	0.102	0.100868	-1.11%	0.1015	-0.49%	0.0205	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.107	0.105635	-1.28%	0.0985	-7.94%	0.0417	✓	1.02
2026-07-05	oos	0.1085	0.107083	-1.31%	0.1005	-7.37%	0.0661	✓	1.07
2026-07-04	oos	0.1075	0.106271	-1.14%	0.1015	-5.58%	0.0575	✓	1.07
2026-07-03	oos	0.107	0.105812	-1.11%	0.1035	-3.27%	0.0489	✓	1.05
2026-07-02	oos	0.099	0.098347	-0.66%	0.102	+3.03%	0.0087	✗	1.02
2026-07-01	oos	0.095	0.0947	-0.32%	0.0995	+4.74%	0.0117	✗	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.097	0.096706	-0.30%	0.102	+5.15%	0.0300	✓	1.06
2026-06-29	oos	0.1005	0.099879	-0.62%	0.107	+6.47%	0.0038	✓	1.05
2026-06-28	oos	0.0995	0.099047	-0.46%	0.1085	+9.05%	0.0197	✗	1.07
2026-06-27	oos	0.1005	0.100066	-0.43%	0.1075	+6.97%	0.0164	✗	1.08
2026-06-26	oos	0.105	0.104436	-0.54%	0.107	+1.90%	0.0201	✓	1.08
2026-06-25	oos	0.106	0.105413	-0.55%	0.099	-6.60%	0.0945	✓	1.08
2026-06-24	oos	0.1045	0.10383	-0.64%	0.095	-9.09%	0.0702	✓	1.11
2026-06-23	oos	0.1015	0.100874	-0.62%	0.097	-4.43%	0.0395	✗	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.1005	0.099831	-0.67%	0.1005	+0.00%	0.0781	✗	1.17
2026-06-21	oos	0.0995	0.098972	-0.53%	0.0995	+0.00%	0.0771	✗	1.17
2026-06-20	oos	0.1035	0.102747	-0.73%	0.1005	-2.90%	0.0531	✗	1.09
2026-06-19	oos	0.1035	0.102866	-0.61%	0.105	+1.45%	0.0822	✗	1.10
2026-06-18	oos	0.1095	0.108608	-0.81%	0.106	-3.20%	0.0342	✗	1.13
2026-06-17	oos	0.109	0.108041	-0.88%	0.1045	-4.13%	0.0303	✗	1.15
2026-06-16	oos	0.1085	0.107555	-0.87%	0.1015	-6.45%	0.0035	✓	1.17
2026-06-15	oos	0.1085	0.107504	-0.92%	0.1005	-7.37%	0.0242	✓	1.21
2026-06-14	oos	0.108	0.107143	-0.79%	0.0995	-7.87%	0.0278	✓	1.21
2026-06-13	oos	0.1065	0.105764	-0.69%	0.1035	-2.82%	0.0177	✓	1.24
2026-06-12	oos	0.0995	0.099427	-0.07%	0.1035	+4.02%	0.0414	✗	1.23
2026-06-11	oos	0.096	0.096283	+0.29%	0.1095	+14.06%	0.1419	✓	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.0905	0.091603	+1.22%	0.109	+20.44%	0.1162	✓	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.0965	0.097399	+0.93%	0.1085	+12.44%	0.0335	✓	1.20
2026-06-08	oos	0.096	0.097041	+1.08%	0.1085	+13.02%	0.0507	✓	1.23
2026-06-07	oos	0.097	0.098286	+1.33%	0.108	+11.34%	0.0492	✓	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.094	0.096514	+2.67%	0.1065	+13.30%	0.0292	✓	1.21
2026-06-05	oos	0.098	0.100746	+2.80%	0.0995	+1.53%	0.0610	✗	1.21
2026-06-04	oos	0.112	0.113358	+1.21%	0.096	-14.29%	0.1620	✗	1.11
2026-06-03	oos	0.123	0.123526	+0.43%	0.0905	-26.42%	0.2656	✗	1.10
2026-06-02	oos	0.115	0.115955	+0.83%	0.0965	-16.09%	0.0890	✗	1.22
2026-06-01	oos	0.124	0.122653	-1.09%	0.096	-22.58%	0.1042	✓	1.14
2026-05-31	oos	0.1185	0.117419	-0.91%	0.097	-18.14%	0.0081	✓	1.22
2026-05-30	oos	0.1205	0.119342	-0.96%	0.094	-21.99%	0.0106	✓	1.18
2026-05-29	oos	0.1185	0.11797	-0.45%	0.098	-17.30%	0.0309	✗	1.18
2026-05-28	oos	0.1185	0.118113	-0.33%	0.112	-5.49%	0.1135	✗	1.18
2026-05-27	oos	0.124	0.122734	-1.02%	0.123	-0.81%	0.1723	✗	1.14
2026-05-26	oos	0.127	0.124959	-1.61%	0.115	-9.45%	0.0651	✗	1.15
2026-05-25	oos	0.1295	0.12684	-2.05%	0.124	-4.25%	0.0674	✗	1.13
2026-05-24	oos	0.126	0.124165	-1.46%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0044	✓	1.13
2026-05-23	oos	0.1305	0.128277	-1.70%	0.1205	-7.66%	0.0211	✓	1.08
2026-05-22	oos	0.126	0.124856	-0.91%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0220	✓	1.08
2026-05-21	oos	0.1325	0.129998	-1.89%	0.1185	-10.57%	0.0354	✓	1.07
2026-05-20	oos	0.129	0.127023	-1.53%	0.124	-3.88%	0.0192	✗	1.04
2026-05-19	oos	0.1255	0.124224	-1.02%	0.127	+1.20%	0.0345	✗	1.01
2026-05-18	oos	0.1295	0.127743	-1.36%	0.1295	+0.00%	0.0095	✓	1.05
2026-05-17	oos	0.1285	0.126817	-1.31%	0.126	-1.95%	0.0006	✓	1.05
2026-05-16	oos	0.1325	0.130561	-1.46%	0.1305	-1.51%	0.0192	✗	1.04
2026-05-15	oos	0.1365	0.134163	-1.71%	0.126	-7.69%	0.0138	✓	1.05
2026-05-14	oos	0.1445	0.141524	-2.06%	0.1325	-8.30%	0.0196	✓	1.04
2026-05-13	oos	0.1465	0.14338	-2.13%	0.129	-11.95%	0.0813	✓	1.05
2026-05-12	oos	0.152	0.148573	-2.25%	0.1255	-17.43%	0.1199	✓	1.03
2026-05-11	oos	0.157	0.153811	-2.03%	0.1295	-17.52%	0.1102	✓	1.03
2026-05-10	oos	0.1635	0.160226	-2.00%	0.1285	-21.41%	0.1591	✓	1.03
2026-05-09	oos	0.164	0.160553	-2.10%	0.1325	-19.21%	0.1588	✓	1.03
2026-05-08	oos	0.172	0.167137	-2.83%	0.1365	-20.64%	0.1879	✓	1.02
2026-05-07	oos	0.148	0.145231	-1.87%	0.1445	-2.36%	0.0186	✓	1.02
2026-05-06	oos	0.1425	0.140054	-1.72%	0.1465	+2.81%	0.0713	✗	0.98
2026-05-05	oos	0.1285	0.127066	-1.12%	0.152	+18.29%	0.1846	✗	1.04
2026-05-04	oos	0.124	0.122442	-1.26%	0.157	+26.61%	0.2254	✗	1.00
2026-05-03	oos	0.123	0.121424	-1.28%	0.1635	+32.93%	0.2515	✗	1.02
2026-05-02	oos	0.126	0.124209	-1.42%	0.164	+30.16%	0.2528	✗	1.01
2026-05-01	oos	0.121	0.119444	-1.29%	0.172	+42.15%	0.3397	✗	1.01
2026-04-30	oos	0.1205	0.118548	-1.62%	0.148	+22.82%	0.1724	✗	1.05
2026-04-29	oos	0.1195	0.11736	-1.79%	0.1425	+19.25%	0.1185	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.1215	0.119441	-1.69%	0.1285	+5.76%	0.0105	✓	1.07
2026-04-27	oos	0.1225	0.120584	-1.56%	0.124	+1.22%	0.0061	✓	1.07
2026-04-26	oos	0.1255	0.12379	-1.36%	0.123	-1.99%	0.0048	✓	1.08
2026-04-25	oos	0.1255	0.123407	-1.67%	0.126	+0.40%	0.0065	✓	1.08
2026-04-24	oos	0.1255	0.123203	-1.83%	0.121	-3.59%	0.0288	✓	1.09
2026-04-23	oos	0.1215	0.119772	-1.42%	0.1205	-0.82%	0.0340	✗	1.09
2026-04-22	oos	0.121	0.119341	-1.37%	0.1195	-1.24%	0.0362	✗	1.09
2026-04-21	oos	0.1235	0.12108	-1.96%	0.1215	-1.62%	0.0039	✓	1.10
2026-04-20	oos	0.1235	0.120934	-2.08%	0.1225	-0.81%	0.0088	✓	1.11
2026-04-19	oos	0.12	0.117486	-2.10%	0.1255	+4.58%	0.0045	✓	1.11
2026-04-18	oos	0.1255	0.123126	-1.89%	0.1255	+0.00%	0.0085	✓	1.10
2026-04-17	oos	0.1345	0.131783	-2.02%	0.1255	-6.69%	0.0540	✓	1.10
2026-04-16	oos	0.1325	0.128926	-2.70%	0.1215	-8.30%	0.1042	✓	1.10
2026-04-15	oos	0.1195	0.117037	-2.06%	0.121	+1.26%	0.0150	✓	1.10
2026-04-14	oos	0.1115	0.109437	-1.85%	0.1235	+10.76%	0.0895	✗	1.09
2026-04-13	oos	0.1165	0.114233	-1.95%	0.1235	+6.01%	0.0577	✗	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.1065	0.104545	-1.84%	0.12	+12.68%	0.0902	✗	1.12
2026-04-11	oos	0.1145	0.112338	-1.89%	0.1255	+9.61%	0.0712	✗	1.11
2026-04-10	oos	0.1155	0.113357	-1.86%	0.1345	+16.45%	0.1103	✗	1.11
2026-04-09	oos	0.114	0.111855	-1.88%	0.1325	+16.23%	0.1185	✗	1.11
2026-04-08	oos	0.1145	0.112277	-1.94%	0.1195	+4.37%	0.0052	✓	1.11
2026-04-07	oos	0.1185	0.115976	-2.13%	0.1115	-5.91%	0.0738	✓	1.11
2026-04-06	oos	0.1095	0.107572	-1.76%	0.1165	+6.39%	0.0055	✓	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.1105	0.108588	-1.73%	0.1065	-3.62%	0.0468	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.1105	0.10875	-1.58%	0.1145	+3.62%	0.0396	✓	1.10
2026-04-03	oos	0.1105	0.108879	-1.47%	0.1155	+4.52%	0.0365	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.1065	0.105326	-1.10%	0.114	+7.04%	0.0009	✓	1.11
2026-04-01	oos	0.1105	0.109013	-1.35%	0.1145	+3.62%	0.0017	✓	1.11
2026-03-31	oos	0.1105	0.109044	-1.32%	0.1185	+7.24%	0.0238	✗	1.13
2026-03-30	oos	0.1055	0.104639	-0.82%	0.1095	+3.79%	0.0105	✗	1.12
2026-03-29	oos	0.1015	0.101181	-0.31%	0.1105	+8.87%	0.0378	✗	1.11
2026-03-28	oos	0.1025	0.102116	-0.37%	0.1105	+7.80%	0.0627	✗	1.11
2026-03-27	oos	0.104	0.103576	-0.41%	0.1105	+6.25%	0.0546	✗	1.11
2026-03-26	oos	0.1085	0.107637	-0.80%	0.1065	-1.84%	0.0203	✗	1.12
2026-03-25	oos	0.1135	0.112513	-0.87%	0.1105	-2.64%	0.0333	✗	1.12
2026-03-24	oos	0.1135	0.112686	-0.72%	0.1105	-2.64%	0.0179	✗	1.12
2026-03-23	oos	0.1135	0.112813	-0.61%	0.1055	-7.05%	0.0006	✓	1.12
2026-03-22	oos	0.1145	0.113801	-0.61%	0.1015	-11.35%	0.0819	✓	1.15
2026-03-21	oos	0.1175	0.116918	-0.50%	0.1025	-12.77%	0.0875	✓	1.15
2026-03-20	oos	0.1235	0.123147	-0.29%	0.104	-15.79%	0.0997	✓	1.14
2026-03-19	oos	0.1215	0.121511	+0.01%	0.1085	-10.70%	0.0943	✗	1.14
2026-03-18	oos	0.1265	0.126635	+0.11%	0.1135	-10.28%	0.1104	✗	1.16
2026-03-17	oos	0.1365	0.136873	+0.27%	0.1135	-16.85%	0.1332	✗	1.15
2026-03-16	oos	0.1375	0.137963	+0.34%	0.1135	-17.45%	0.1313	✗	1.16
2026-03-15	oos	0.1285	0.128939	+0.34%	0.1145	-10.89%	0.0378	✗	1.14
2026-03-14	oos	0.1235	0.124071	+0.46%	0.1175	-4.86%	0.0168	✗	1.13
2026-03-13	oos	0.123	0.123587	+0.48%	0.1235	+0.41%	0.0065	✓	1.14
2026-03-12	oos	0.1195	0.120227	+0.61%	0.1215	+1.67%	0.0205	✓	1.14
2026-03-11	oos	0.121	0.121667	+0.55%	0.1265	+4.55%	0.0223	✓	1.13
2026-03-10	oos	0.1185	0.119212	+0.60%	0.1365	+15.19%	0.0731	✓	1.13
2026-03-09	oos	0.1185	0.119173	+0.57%	0.1375	+16.03%	0.0407	✓	1.14
2026-03-08	oos	0.115	0.115845	+0.73%	0.1285	+11.74%	0.0102	✗	1.15
2026-03-07	oos	0.117	0.117919	+0.79%	0.1235	+5.56%	0.0202	✗	1.16
2026-03-06	oos	0.121	0.122039	+0.86%	0.123	+1.65%	0.0390	✗	1.15
2026-03-05	oos	0.1255	0.126545	+0.83%	0.1195	-4.78%	0.0514	✗	1.16
2026-03-04	oos	0.129	0.13013	+0.88%	0.121	-6.20%	0.0323	✗	1.17
2026-03-03	oos	0.126	0.127104	+0.88%	0.1185	-5.95%	0.0984	✗	1.20
2026-03-02	oos	0.125	0.126207	+0.97%	0.1185	-5.20%	0.0560	✗	1.21
2026-03-01	oos	0.1215	0.123014	+1.25%	0.115	-5.35%	0.0712	✗	1.25
2026-02-28	oos	0.1225	0.124023	+1.24%	0.117	-4.49%	0.0638	✗	1.27
2026-02-27	oos	0.12	0.121797	+1.50%	0.121	+0.83%	0.0493	✗	1.27
2026-02-26	oos	0.1195	0.12129	+1.50%	0.1255	+5.02%	0.0289	✗	1.28
2026-02-25	oos	0.124	0.125784	+1.44%	0.129	+4.03%	0.0603	✗	1.28
2026-02-24	oos	0.118	0.120685	+2.28%	0.126	+6.78%	0.0409	✗	1.30
2026-02-23	oos	0.1215	0.124211	+2.23%	0.125	+2.88%	0.0746	✗	1.28
2026-02-22	oos	0.1225	0.124894	+1.95%	0.1215	-0.82%	0.0088	✓	1.31
2026-02-21	oos	0.1285	0.130987	+1.94%	0.1225	-4.67%	0.0476	✗	1.32
2026-02-20	oos	0.129	0.131694	+2.09%	0.12	-6.98%	0.0514	✗	1.31
2026-02-19	oos	0.14	0.14267	+1.91%	0.1195	-14.64%	0.1875	✗	1.33
2026-02-18	oos	0.165	0.167085	+1.26%	0.124	-24.85%	0.3306	✗	1.38
2026-02-17	oos	0.1875	0.188718	+0.65%	0.118	-37.07%	0.4004	✗	1.34
2026-02-16	oos	0.1905	0.191623	+0.59%	0.1215	-36.22%	0.3706	✗	1.34
2026-02-15	oos	0.1895	0.19092	+0.75%	0.1225	-35.36%	0.4206	✗	1.35
2026-02-14	oos	0.197	0.198219	+0.62%	0.1285	-34.77%	0.3976	✗	1.35
2026-02-13	oos	0.189	0.190711	+0.91%	0.129	-31.75%	0.3747	✗	1.34
2026-02-12	oos	0.1825	0.185135	+1.44%	0.14	-23.29%	0.2950	✗	1.35
2026-02-11	oos	0.1775	0.180374	+1.62%	0.165	-7.04%	0.0770	✗	1.33
2026-02-10	oos	0.1825	0.185159	+1.46%	0.1875	+2.74%	0.0387	✓	1.33
2026-02-09	oos	0.1885	0.1911	+1.38%	0.1905	+1.06%	0.0207	✓	1.33
2026-02-08	oos	0.1905	0.193492	+1.57%	0.1895	-0.52%	0.0079	✓	1.35
2026-02-07	oos	0.1965	0.200187	+1.88%	0.197	+0.25%	0.0267	✗	1.36
2026-02-06	oos	0.198	0.201853	+1.95%	0.189	-4.55%	0.0323	✗	1.36
2026-02-05	oos	0.1815	0.189701	+4.52%	0.1825	+0.55%	0.1176	✗	1.49
2026-02-04	oos	0.2185	0.222201	+1.69%	0.1775	-18.76%	0.0800	✗	1.69
2026-02-03	oos	0.2125	0.216335	+1.80%	0.1825	-14.12%	0.0036	✓	1.75
2026-02-02	oos	0.2295	0.231846	+1.02%	0.1885	-17.86%	0.0032	✓	1.77
2026-02-01	oos	0.2275	0.231398	+1.71%	0.1905	-16.26%	0.0398	✗	1.72
2026-01-31	oos	0.234	0.237376	+1.44%	0.1965	-16.03%	0.0415	✓	1.81
2026-01-30	oos	0.2625	0.261984	-0.20%	0.198	-24.57%	0.0406	✗	1.82
2026-01-29	oos	0.2695	0.268368	-0.42%	0.1815	-32.65%	0.1514	✗	1.83
2026-01-28	oos	0.301	0.296171	-1.60%	0.2185	-27.41%	0.0554	✗	1.80
2026-01-27	oos	0.3015	0.296731	-1.58%	0.2125	-29.52%	0.0357	✓	1.82
2026-01-26	oos	0.2975	0.293192	-1.45%	0.2295	-22.86%	0.0393	✓	1.79
2026-01-25	oos	0.2865	0.283466	-1.06%	0.2275	-20.59%	0.0080	✓	1.79
2026-01-24	oos	0.3035	0.298652	-1.60%	0.234	-22.90%	0.0214	✓	1.79
2026-01-23	oos	0.304	0.299496	-1.48%	0.2625	-13.65%	0.0217	✓	1.78
2026-01-22	oos	0.307	0.302367	-1.51%	0.2695	-12.21%	0.0138	✓	1.78
2026-01-21	oos	0.3085	0.303428	-1.64%	0.301	-2.43%	0.0040	✓	1.79
2026-01-20	oos	0.2995	0.295351	-1.39%	0.3015	+0.67%	0.0045	✓	1.78
2026-01-19	oos	0.3195	0.313217	-1.97%	0.2975	-6.89%	0.0345	✗	1.80
2026-01-18	oos	0.323	0.316376	-2.05%	0.2865	-11.30%	0.0424	✗	1.80
2026-01-17	oos	0.3465	0.338383	-2.34%	0.3035	-12.41%	0.0078	✓	1.78
2026-01-16	oos	0.34	0.332604	-2.18%	0.304	-10.59%	0.0264	✗	1.78
2026-01-15	oos	0.341	0.33382	-2.11%	0.307	-9.97%	0.0345	✗	1.79
2026-01-14	oos	0.3515	0.344141	-2.09%	0.3085	-12.23%	0.0357	✗	1.78
2026-01-13	oos	0.367	0.355306	-3.19%	0.2995	-18.39%	0.0300	✓	1.83
2026-01-12	oos	0.3085	0.301942	-2.13%	0.3195	+3.57%	0.0309	✗	1.72
2026-01-11	oos	0.3155	0.308742	-2.14%	0.323	+2.38%	0.0064	✓	1.72
2026-01-10	oos	0.3175	0.310962	-2.06%	0.3465	+9.13%	0.0198	✓	1.73
2026-01-09	oos	0.3145	0.30852	-1.90%	0.34	+8.11%	0.0042	✓	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.3135	0.307669	-1.86%	0.341	+8.77%	0.0169	✓	1.76
2026-01-07	oos	0.317	0.311206	-1.83%	0.3515	+10.88%	0.0066	✓	2.13
2026-01-06	oos	0.332	0.325328	-2.01%	0.367	+10.54%	0.0830	✗	2.14
2026-01-05	oos	0.33	0.323225	-2.05%	0.3085	-6.52%	0.0152	✓	2.13
2026-01-04	oos	0.319	0.312726	-1.97%	0.3155	-1.10%	0.0235	✗	2.15
2026-01-03	oos	0.31	0.304359	-1.82%	0.3175	+2.42%	0.0476	✗	2.16
2026-01-02	oos	0.305	0.299624	-1.76%	0.3145	+3.11%	0.0352	✗	2.15
2026-01-01	oos	0.296	0.291231	-1.61%	0.3135	+5.91%	0.0191	✗	2.14
2025-12-31	oos	0.2675	0.264957	-0.95%	0.317	+18.50%	0.0906	✗	2.10
2025-12-30	oos	0.2715	0.268776	-1.00%	0.332	+22.28%	0.0875	✗	2.12
2025-12-29	oos	0.269	0.266775	-0.83%	0.33	+22.68%	0.0562	✗	2.09
2025-12-28	oos	0.274	0.271675	-0.85%	0.319	+16.42%	0.0761	✗	2.09
2025-12-27	oos	0.278	0.275434	-0.92%	0.31	+11.51%	0.0535	✗	2.07
2025-12-26	oos	0.2675	0.265739	-0.66%	0.305	+14.02%	0.0763	✗	2.05
2025-12-25	oos	0.252	0.251515	-0.19%	0.296	+17.46%	0.1265	✗	2.04
2025-12-24	oos	0.2635	0.262488	-0.38%	0.2675	+1.52%	0.0215	✗	2.05
2025-12-23	oos	0.2705	0.269245	-0.46%	0.2715	+0.37%	0.0141	✓	2.03
2025-12-22	oos	0.271	0.269834	-0.43%	0.269	-0.74%	0.0304	✗	2.03
2025-12-21	oos	0.2725	0.271499	-0.37%	0.274	+0.55%	0.0268	✗	2.04
2025-12-20	oos	0.2785	0.277431	-0.38%	0.278	-0.18%	0.0141	✗	2.06
2025-12-19	oos	0.2795	0.278696	-0.29%	0.2675	-4.29%	0.0223	✓	2.06
2025-12-18	oos	0.26	0.261084	+0.42%	0.252	-3.08%	0.0761	✗	2.05
2025-12-17	oos	0.273	0.273293	+0.11%	0.2635	-3.48%	0.0695	✗	2.05
2025-12-16	oos	0.2935	0.292413	-0.37%	0.2705	-7.84%	0.0680	✓	2.05
2025-12-15	oos	0.2925	0.291824	-0.23%	0.271	-7.35%	0.1244	✓	2.06
2025-12-14	oos	0.3005	0.299245	-0.42%	0.2725	-9.32%	0.1046	✓	2.07
2025-12-13	oos	0.3155	0.313558	-0.62%	0.2785	-11.73%	0.0738	✓	2.07
2025-12-12	oos	0.3075	0.306296	-0.39%	0.2795	-9.11%	0.0408	✓	2.07
2025-12-11	oos	0.3145	0.313267	-0.39%	0.26	-17.33%	0.0200	✓	2.09
2025-12-10	oos	0.3235	0.321693	-0.56%	0.273	-15.61%	0.0270	✓	2.10
2025-12-09	oos	0.3385	0.335792	-0.80%	0.2935	-13.29%	0.0224	✓	2.09
2025-12-08	oos	0.3185	0.316946	-0.49%	0.2925	-8.16%	0.0187	✗	2.07
2025-12-07	oos	0.305	0.304054	-0.31%	0.3005	-1.48%	0.0397	✗	2.06
2025-12-06	oos	0.3145	0.313152	-0.43%	0.3155	+0.32%	0.0155	✓	2.09
2025-12-05	oos	0.3005	0.30017	-0.11%	0.3075	+2.33%	0.0025	✗	2.08
2025-12-04	oos	0.319	0.317966	-0.32%	0.3145	-1.41%	0.0211	✓	2.09
2025-12-03	oos	0.3275	0.326203	-0.40%	0.3235	-1.22%	0.0237	✗	2.09
2025-12-02	oos	0.3165	0.315736	-0.24%	0.3385	+6.95%	0.0380	✗	2.10
2025-12-01	oos	0.2875	0.288789	+0.45%	0.3185	+10.78%	0.0075	✗	2.13
2025-11-30	oos	0.3185	0.318109	-0.12%	0.305	-4.24%	0.0429	✓	2.14
2025-11-29	oos	0.3265	0.326087	-0.13%	0.3145	-3.68%	0.0007	✓	2.13
2025-11-28	oos	0.332	0.331654	-0.10%	0.3005	-9.49%	0.0618	✓	2.13
2025-11-27	oos	0.3335	0.333141	-0.11%	0.319	-4.35%	0.0614	✓	2.13
2025-11-26	oos	0.3255	0.325676	+0.05%	0.3275	+0.61%	0.0629	✗	2.11
2025-11-25	oos	0.3245	0.325599	+0.34%	0.3165	-2.47%	0.1261	✗	2.19
2025-11-24	oos	0.3185	0.320018	+0.48%	0.2875	-9.73%	0.0571	✗	2.20
2025-11-23	oos	0.3015	0.304858	+1.11%	0.3185	+5.64%	0.0443	✗	2.19
2025-11-22	oos	0.3025	0.307319	+1.59%	0.3265	+7.93%	0.0982	✗	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.308	0.31309	+1.65%	0.332	+7.79%	0.0918	✗	2.27
2025-11-20	oos	0.3605	0.363054	+0.71%	0.3335	-7.49%	0.2037	✗	2.21
2025-11-19	oos	0.3745	0.374671	+0.05%	0.3255	-13.08%	0.1150	✗	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.3805	0.379855	-0.17%	0.3245	-14.72%	0.0115	✓	2.35
2025-11-17	oos	0.3645	0.365437	+0.26%	0.3185	-12.62%	0.0373	✗	2.36
2025-11-16	oos	0.382	0.381549	-0.12%	0.3015	-21.07%	0.0445	✓	2.34
2025-11-15	oos	0.3895	0.388596	-0.23%	0.3025	-22.34%	0.0335	✗	2.35
2025-11-14	oos	0.378	0.37859	+0.16%	0.308	-18.52%	0.0411	✓	2.35
2025-11-13	oos	0.3905	0.389021	-0.38%	0.3605	-7.68%	0.2748	✗	2.49
2025-11-12	oos	0.3995	0.397193	-0.58%	0.3745	-6.26%	0.2063	✗	2.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.406	0.403425	-0.63%	0.3805	-6.28%	0.2062	✗	2.57
2025-11-10	oos	0.444	0.438048	-1.34%	0.3645	-17.91%	0.1794	✗	2.59
2025-11-09	oos	0.428	0.423675	-1.01%	0.382	-10.75%	0.1707	✗	2.59
2025-11-08	oos	0.424	0.420618	-0.80%	0.3895	-8.14%	0.1025	✗	2.63
2025-11-07	oos	0.424	0.419258	-1.12%	0.378	-10.85%	0.1251	✗	2.57
2025-11-06	oos	0.365	0.366265	+0.35%	0.3905	+6.99%	0.1060	✓	2.51
2025-11-05	oos	0.373	0.373019	+0.01%	0.3995	+7.10%	0.1235	✓	2.53
2025-11-04	oos	0.345	0.348268	+0.95%	0.406	+17.68%	0.1153	✓	2.53
2025-11-03	oos	0.3525	0.35363	+0.32%	0.444	+25.96%	0.2422	✓	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.4205	0.417106	-0.81%	0.428	+1.78%	0.1673	✗	2.61
2025-11-01	oos	0.417	0.414393	-0.63%	0.424	+1.68%	0.2147	✗	2.62
2025-10-31	oos	0.3985	0.397698	-0.20%	0.424	+6.40%	0.2183	✗	2.62
2025-10-30	oos	0.4005	0.400137	-0.09%	0.365	-8.86%	0.0842	✗	2.63
2025-10-29	oos	0.4405	0.437705	-0.63%	0.373	-15.32%	0.0112	✓	2.58
2025-10-28	oos	0.436	0.433543	-0.56%	0.345	-20.87%	0.0550	✗	2.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.4515	0.44809	-0.76%	0.3525	-21.93%	0.0588	✓	2.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.4645	0.460109	-0.95%	0.4205	-9.47%	0.0045	✓	2.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.4465	0.44349	-0.67%	0.417	-6.61%	0.0230	✓	2.65
2025-10-24	oos	0.4485	0.445958	-0.57%	0.3985	-11.15%	0.0767	✓	2.66
2025-10-23	oos	0.4335	0.432447	-0.24%	0.4005	-7.61%	0.0329	✓	2.65
2025-10-22	oos	0.4195	0.42032	+0.20%	0.4405	+5.01%	0.0129	✗	2.66
2025-10-21	oos	0.4335	0.433715	+0.05%	0.436	+0.58%	0.1039	✗	2.66
2025-10-20	oos	0.4475	0.446375	-0.25%	0.4515	+0.89%	0.0735	✓	2.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.439	0.439329	+0.08%	0.4645	+5.81%	0.0851	✗	2.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.4275	0.429802	+0.54%	0.4465	+4.44%	0.0711	✗	2.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.42	0.424257	+1.01%	0.4485	+6.79%	0.0570	✗	2.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.4275	0.431577	+0.95%	0.4335	+1.40%	0.0428	✗	2.69
2025-10-15	oos	0.4565	0.458949	+0.54%	0.4195	-8.11%	0.0113	✗	2.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.4855	0.486241	+0.15%	0.4335	-10.71%	0.0015	✗	2.66
2025-10-13	oos	0.503	0.501648	-0.27%	0.4475	-11.03%	0.0028	✓	2.67
2025-10-12	oos	0.488	0.488554	+0.11%	0.439	-10.04%	0.0415	✓	2.60
2025-10-11	oos	0.456	0.462108	+1.34%	0.4275	-6.25%	0.0084	✓	2.64
2025-10-10	oos	0.498	0.499285	+0.26%	0.42	-15.66%	0.0183	✗	2.60
2025-10-09	oos	0.7075	0.694027	-1.90%	0.4275	-39.58%	0.2437	✓	2.05
2025-10-08	oos	0.7315	0.717394	-1.93%	0.4565	-37.59%	0.2348	✓	2.03
2025-10-07	oos	0.712	0.698296	-1.92%	0.4855	-31.81%	0.2154	✓	2.08
2025-10-06	oos	0.7585	0.742642	-2.09%	0.503	-33.68%	0.2245	✓	2.10
2025-10-05	oos	0.7185	0.70459	-1.94%	0.488	-32.08%	0.2197	✓	2.08
2025-10-04	oos	0.725	0.710819	-1.96%	0.456	-37.10%	0.2351	✓	2.08
2025-10-03	oos	0.745	0.730317	-1.97%	0.498	-33.15%	0.2177	✓	2.08
2025-10-02	oos	0.7515	0.733841	-2.35%	0.7075	-5.85%	0.0555	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.705	0.689587	-2.19%	0.7315	+3.76%	0.0230	✓	2.12
2025-09-30	oos	0.6705	0.658193	-1.84%	0.712	+6.19%	0.0573	✓	2.18
2025-09-29	oos	0.674	0.661339	-1.88%	0.7585	+12.54%	0.0522	✓	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.683	0.670718	-1.80%	0.7185	+5.20%	0.1487	✓	2.26
2025-09-27	oos	0.6735	0.663794	-1.44%	0.725	+7.65%	0.1682	✓	2.33
2025-09-26	oos	0.67	0.660763	-1.38%	0.745	+11.19%	0.1369	✓	2.36
2025-09-25	oos	0.641	0.634238	-1.05%	0.7515	+17.24%	0.0680	✓	2.35
2025-09-24	oos	0.6825	0.670616	-1.74%	0.705	+3.30%	0.0603	✓	2.41
2025-09-23	oos	0.6825	0.671905	-1.55%	0.6705	-1.76%	0.0462	✓	2.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.704	0.691401	-1.79%	0.674	-4.26%	0.0597	✓	2.39
2025-09-21	oos	0.779	0.760559	-2.37%	0.683	-12.32%	0.0445	✓	2.33
2025-09-20	oos	0.809	0.789131	-2.46%	0.6735	-16.75%	0.0315	✓	2.36
2025-09-19	oos	0.7925	0.774143	-2.32%	0.67	-15.46%	0.0186	✓	2.37
2025-09-18	oos	0.831	0.808565	-2.70%	0.641	-22.86%	0.0619	✓	2.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.