STX

Stacks · native · gru_s2

token id: #65
symbol: STX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-01-20
predictions: 5,166

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.0%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0721

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0040

actual +0.0035

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.35975	0.349632	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-20	oos	0.35575	0.346299	-2.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.3583	0.349469	-2.46%	–	pending	–	–	1.55
2026-10-18	oos	0.35505	0.347436	-2.14%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.3681	0.36122	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.3924	0.384665	-1.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.43015	0.42021	-2.31%	–	pending	–	–	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.4238	0.414734	-2.14%	0.35975	-15.11%	0.1629	✓	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.4344	0.425313	-2.09%	0.35575	-18.11%	0.1756	✓	1.50
2026-10-12	oos	0.4101	0.401953	-1.99%	0.3583	-12.63%	0.1167	✓	1.49
2026-10-11	oos	0.3984	0.392836	-1.40%	0.35505	-10.88%	0.0714	✓	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.40105	0.394679	-1.59%	0.3681	-8.22%	0.0423	✓	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.39515	0.388799	-1.61%	0.3924	-0.70%	0.0280	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.38165	0.375743	-1.55%	0.43015	+12.71%	0.1275	✗	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.37065	0.36742	-0.87%	0.4238	+14.34%	0.1738	✗	1.50
2026-10-06	oos	0.3845	0.382589	-0.50%	0.4344	+12.98%	0.1701	✗	1.49
2026-10-05	oos	0.37935	0.376941	-0.63%	0.4101	+8.11%	0.1548	✗	1.47
2026-10-04	oos	0.38935	0.383676	-1.46%	0.3984	+2.32%	0.0868	✗	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	0.3843	0.378053	-1.63%	0.40105	+4.36%	0.0915	✗	1.49
2026-10-02	oos	0.3678	0.360702	-1.93%	0.39515	+7.44%	0.1260	✗	1.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.37365	0.363454	-2.73%	0.38165	+2.14%	0.1049	✗	1.48
2026-09-30	oos	0.37085	0.359256	-3.13%	0.37065	-0.05%	0.0362	✗	1.49
2026-09-29	oos	0.3168	0.310568	-1.97%	0.3845	+21.37%	0.1801	✗	1.49
2026-09-28	oos	0.3139	0.308266	-1.79%	0.37935	+20.85%	0.1673	✗	1.48
2026-09-27	oos	0.3385	0.333633	-1.44%	0.38935	+15.02%	0.1196	✗	1.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.3427	0.339081	-1.06%	0.3843	+12.14%	0.1196	✗	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.32625	0.324547	-0.52%	0.3678	+12.74%	0.1180	✗	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.3134	0.314081	+0.22%	0.37365	+19.22%	0.1657	✓	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.3081	0.310315	+0.72%	0.37085	+20.37%	0.1926	✓	1.47
2026-09-22	oos	0.33585	0.340342	+1.34%	0.3168	-5.67%	0.0283	✗	1.44
2026-09-21	oos	0.3414	0.344376	+0.87%	0.3139	-8.06%	0.0398	✗	1.43
2026-09-20	oos	0.33615	0.334339	-0.54%	0.3385	+0.70%	0.0500	✓	1.56
2026-09-19	oos	0.3152	0.31296	-0.71%	0.3427	+8.72%	0.0305	✗	1.57
2026-09-18	oos	0.2841	0.281557	-0.89%	0.32625	+14.84%	0.0861	✗	1.57
2026-09-17	oos	0.2511	0.247735	-1.34%	0.3134	+24.81%	0.0837	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.24255	0.240692	-0.77%	0.3081	+27.03%	0.0924	✗	1.51
2026-09-15	oos	0.2348	0.234476	-0.14%	0.33585	+43.04%	0.1627	✗	1.50
2026-09-14	oos	0.2637	0.261094	-0.99%	0.3414	+29.47%	0.1232	✗	1.42
2026-09-13	oos	0.26525	0.262865	-0.90%	0.33615	+26.73%	0.1670	✗	1.43
2026-09-12	oos	0.26815	0.265699	-0.91%	0.3152	+17.55%	0.0995	✗	1.42
2026-09-11	oos	0.25275	0.253231	+0.19%	0.2841	+12.40%	0.0482	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.25315	0.254574	+0.56%	0.2511	-0.81%	0.0102	✗	1.45
2026-09-09	oos	0.27385	0.274423	+0.21%	0.24255	-11.43%	0.0843	✗	1.41
2026-09-08	oos	0.2715	0.273262	+0.65%	0.2348	-13.52%	0.0992	✗	1.41
2026-09-07	oos	0.2772	0.279371	+0.78%	0.2637	-4.87%	0.0412	✗	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.2692	0.271983	+1.03%	0.26525	-1.47%	0.0395	✓	1.43
2026-09-05	oos	0.2693	0.271461	+0.80%	0.26815	-0.43%	0.0347	✓	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.2646	0.265807	+0.46%	0.25275	-4.48%	0.0058	✗	1.42
2026-09-03	oos	0.2749	0.27366	-0.45%	0.25315	-7.91%	0.0064	✗	1.41
2026-09-02	oos	0.2611	0.260597	-0.19%	0.27385	+4.88%	0.0312	✗	1.46
2026-09-01	oos	0.2553	0.253932	-0.54%	0.2715	+6.35%	0.0469	✗	1.48
2026-08-31	oos	0.2511	0.249666	-0.57%	0.2772	+10.39%	0.0950	✗	1.44
2026-08-30	oos	0.2343	0.234013	-0.12%	0.2692	+14.90%	0.0919	✗	1.42
2026-08-29	oos	0.2434	0.242608	-0.33%	0.2693	+10.64%	0.0761	✗	1.40
2026-08-28	oos	0.2603	0.258295	-0.77%	0.2646	+1.65%	0.0087	✓	1.41
2026-08-27	oos	0.2572	0.25544	-0.68%	0.2749	+6.88%	0.0557	✗	1.45
2026-08-26	oos	0.2688	0.26428	-1.68%	0.2611	-2.86%	0.0203	✗	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.2634	0.256293	-2.70%	0.2553	-3.08%	0.0174	✓	1.47
2026-08-24	oos	0.231	0.224285	-2.91%	0.2511	+8.70%	0.1209	✗	1.50
2026-08-23	oos	0.234	0.225198	-3.76%	0.2343	+0.13%	0.0409	✗	1.51
2026-08-22	oos	0.2193	0.210515	-4.01%	0.2434	+10.99%	0.1224	✗	1.49
2026-08-21	oos	0.1898	0.184516	-2.78%	0.2603	+37.14%	0.3538	✗	1.56
2026-08-20	oos	0.1461	0.145361	-0.51%	0.2572	+76.04%	0.4512	✗	1.26
2026-08-19	oos	0.1284	0.129813	+1.10%	0.2688	+109.35%	0.5766	✓	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.11995	0.121607	+1.38%	0.2634	+119.59%	0.5461	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.1209	0.122565	+1.38%	0.231	+91.07%	0.3940	✓	1.18
2026-08-16	oos	0.1222	0.124906	+2.21%	0.234	+91.49%	0.3686	✓	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.12165	0.124859	+2.64%	0.2193	+80.27%	0.3190	✓	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.1222	0.125462	+2.67%	0.1898	+55.32%	0.1489	✓	1.22
2026-08-13	oos	0.1245	0.127149	+2.13%	0.1461	+17.35%	0.0334	✗	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.1229	0.125518	+2.13%	0.1284	+4.48%	0.0883	✗	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.1276	0.129601	+1.57%	0.11995	-6.00%	0.0996	✗	1.24
2026-08-10	oos	0.1309	0.132297	+1.07%	0.1209	-7.64%	0.1009	✗	1.23
2026-08-09	oos	0.1298	0.130365	+0.44%	0.1222	-5.86%	0.0257	✗	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.1326	0.131859	-0.56%	0.12165	-8.26%	0.0441	✓	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.1292	0.128567	-0.49%	0.1222	-5.42%	0.0139	✓	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.1301	0.129804	-0.23%	0.1245	-4.30%	0.0255	✓	1.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.1338	0.131113	-2.01%	0.1229	-8.15%	0.0416	✓	1.24
2026-08-04	oos	0.1347	0.131479	-2.39%	0.1276	-5.27%	0.0199	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.1386	0.135047	-2.56%	0.1309	-5.56%	0.0399	✓	1.24
2026-08-02	oos	0.1391	0.134042	-3.64%	0.1298	-6.69%	0.0595	✓	1.30
2026-08-01	oos	0.1393	0.135108	-3.01%	0.1326	-4.81%	0.0622	✓	1.29
2026-07-31	oos	0.1375	0.133807	-2.69%	0.1292	-6.04%	0.0769	✓	1.29
2026-07-30	oos	0.14015	0.140066	-0.06%	0.1301	-7.17%	0.0645	✓	1.32
2026-07-29	oos	0.1348	0.134518	-0.21%	0.1338	-0.74%	0.0195	✓	1.29
2026-07-28	oos	0.13795	0.137879	-0.05%	0.1347	-2.36%	0.0274	✓	1.28
2026-07-27	oos	0.1342	0.134834	+0.47%	0.1386	+3.28%	0.0321	✓	1.28
2026-07-26	oos	0.1469	0.147378	+0.33%	0.1391	-5.31%	0.0226	✗	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.1368	0.138266	+1.07%	0.1393	+1.83%	0.0363	✓	1.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.1449	0.145965	+0.74%	0.1375	-5.11%	0.0357	✗	1.21
2026-07-23	oos	0.16445	0.164226	-0.14%	0.14015	-14.78%	0.1526	✓	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1693	0.169012	-0.17%	0.1348	-20.38%	0.1873	✓	1.15
2026-07-21	oos	0.1674	0.167711	+0.19%	0.13795	-17.59%	0.1479	✗	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1655	0.165495	-0.00%	0.1342	-18.91%	0.1825	✓	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1637	0.163871	+0.10%	0.1469	-10.26%	0.1210	✗	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.16525	0.165838	+0.36%	0.1368	-17.22%	0.1837	✗	1.14
2026-07-17	oos	0.1646	0.165078	+0.29%	0.1449	-11.97%	0.1338	✗	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.1671	0.167705	+0.36%	0.16445	-1.59%	0.0429	✗	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.1684	0.169715	+0.78%	0.1693	+0.53%	0.0265	✗	1.15
2026-07-14	oos	0.16875	0.170235	+0.88%	0.1674	-0.80%	0.0436	✗	1.15
2026-07-13	oos	0.166	0.166533	+0.32%	0.1655	-0.30%	0.0628	✗	1.22
2026-07-12	oos	0.16895	0.170116	+0.69%	0.1637	-3.11%	0.0565	✗	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.1718	0.172858	+0.62%	0.16525	-3.81%	0.0649	✗	1.25
2026-07-10	oos	0.1717	0.172894	+0.70%	0.1646	-4.14%	0.0446	✗	1.24
2026-07-09	oos	0.169	0.169964	+0.57%	0.1671	-1.12%	0.0286	✗	1.24
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.167459	+0.33%	0.1684	+0.90%	0.0427	✗	1.24
2026-07-07	oos	0.1647	0.165819	+0.68%	0.16875	+2.46%	0.0150	✗	1.25
2026-07-06	oos	0.171	0.171807	+0.47%	0.166	-2.92%	0.0000	✓	1.25
2026-07-05	oos	0.1726	0.173201	+0.35%	0.16895	-2.11%	0.0279	✗	1.24
2026-07-04	oos	0.1731	0.173675	+0.33%	0.1718	-0.75%	0.0243	✗	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.1736	0.174013	+0.24%	0.1717	-1.09%	0.0445	✗	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.1664	0.166936	+0.32%	0.169	+1.56%	0.0206	✗	1.21
2026-07-01	oos	0.1652	0.164513	-0.42%	0.1669	+1.03%	0.0313	✓	1.23
2026-06-30	oos	0.1608	0.15796	-1.77%	0.1647	+2.43%	0.0558	✓	1.24
2026-06-29	oos	0.1666	0.165198	-0.84%	0.171	+2.64%	0.0421	✓	1.24
2026-06-28	oos	0.1651	0.163506	-0.97%	0.1726	+4.54%	0.0287	✓	1.24
2026-06-27	oos	0.1675	0.166606	-0.53%	0.1731	+3.34%	0.0255	✓	1.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.1696	0.169204	-0.23%	0.1736	+2.36%	0.0256	✓	1.25
2026-06-25	oos	0.1643	0.165008	+0.43%	0.1664	+1.28%	0.0280	✗	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.1719	0.172374	+0.28%	0.1652	-3.90%	0.0219	✗	1.22
2026-06-23	oos	0.1774	0.177254	-0.08%	0.1608	-9.36%	0.0150	✓	1.21
2026-06-22	oos	0.1796	0.179009	-0.33%	0.1666	-7.24%	0.0023	✓	1.21
2026-06-21	oos	0.1771	0.176751	-0.20%	0.1651	-6.78%	0.0062	✗	1.21
2026-06-20	oos	0.1835	0.182763	-0.40%	0.1675	-8.72%	0.0037	✓	1.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.1808	0.180305	-0.27%	0.1696	-6.19%	0.0070	✗	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1843	0.183711	-0.32%	0.1643	-10.85%	0.0485	✓	1.22
2026-06-17	oos	0.1901	0.188879	-0.64%	0.1719	-9.57%	0.0269	✓	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.193	0.191298	-0.88%	0.1774	-8.08%	0.0188	✓	1.22
2026-06-15	oos	0.1936	0.191544	-1.06%	0.1796	-7.23%	0.0205	✓	1.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.1951	0.192764	-1.20%	0.1771	-9.23%	0.0375	✓	1.23
2026-06-13	oos	0.1847	0.183071	-0.88%	0.1835	-0.65%	0.0063	✓	1.23
2026-06-12	oos	0.17915	0.177803	-0.75%	0.1808	+0.92%	0.0179	✗	1.22
2026-06-11	oos	0.1834	0.181371	-1.11%	0.1843	+0.49%	0.0292	✗	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.1751	0.173883	-0.69%	0.1901	+8.57%	0.0315	✗	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.18185	0.179471	-1.31%	0.193	+6.13%	0.0020	✓	1.21
2026-06-08	oos	0.1853	0.181801	-1.89%	0.1936	+4.48%	0.0026	✓	1.21
2026-06-07	oos	0.1875	0.182764	-2.53%	0.1951	+4.05%	0.0202	✓	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.1802	0.173632	-3.64%	0.1847	+2.50%	0.0060	✓	1.19
2026-06-05	oos	0.1759	0.168028	-4.48%	0.17915	+1.85%	0.0163	✓	1.19
2026-06-04	oos	0.1913	0.182389	-4.66%	0.1834	-4.13%	0.0099	✓	1.15
2026-06-03	oos	0.2105	0.198498	-5.70%	0.1751	-16.82%	0.0795	✓	1.11
2026-06-02	oos	0.2124	0.204826	-3.57%	0.18185	-14.38%	0.0304	✓	1.14
2026-06-01	oos	0.234	0.230305	-1.58%	0.1853	-20.81%	0.0852	✓	1.08
2026-05-31	oos	0.2396	0.235853	-1.56%	0.1875	-21.74%	0.0664	✓	1.08
2026-05-30	oos	0.2355	0.232193	-1.40%	0.1802	-23.48%	0.0519	✓	1.05
2026-05-29	oos	0.2345	0.231368	-1.34%	0.1759	-24.99%	0.0801	✓	1.05
2026-05-28	oos	0.2335	0.23055	-1.26%	0.1913	-18.07%	0.0377	✓	1.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.233	0.230393	-1.12%	0.2105	-9.66%	0.0647	✗	1.04
2026-05-26	oos	0.2425	0.239866	-1.09%	0.2124	-12.41%	0.0115	✗	1.03
2026-05-25	oos	0.2476	0.245395	-0.89%	0.234	-5.49%	0.0411	✗	1.11
2026-05-24	oos	0.244	0.242614	-0.57%	0.2396	-1.80%	0.0374	✗	1.10
2026-05-23	oos	0.2479	0.246669	-0.50%	0.2355	-5.00%	0.0048	✓	1.09
2026-05-22	oos	0.2406	0.240068	-0.22%	0.2345	-2.54%	0.0068	✗	1.09
2026-05-21	oos	0.2509	0.251426	+0.21%	0.2335	-6.94%	0.0163	✗	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	0.2419	0.244005	+0.87%	0.233	-3.68%	0.0011	✓	1.08
2026-05-19	oos	0.2334	0.236358	+1.27%	0.2425	+3.90%	0.0389	✓	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.2381	0.240385	+0.96%	0.2476	+3.99%	0.0253	✓	1.08
2026-05-17	oos	0.2338	0.236494	+1.15%	0.244	+4.36%	0.0373	✓	1.08
2026-05-16	oos	0.238	0.238317	+0.13%	0.2479	+4.16%	0.0598	✓	1.08
2026-05-15	oos	0.2496	0.246435	-1.27%	0.2406	-3.61%	0.0265	✗	1.08
2026-05-14	oos	0.2681	0.261128	-2.60%	0.2509	-6.42%	0.0071	✓	1.06
2026-05-13	oos	0.2663	0.26128	-1.89%	0.2419	-9.16%	0.0527	✓	1.06
2026-05-12	oos	0.2703	0.264066	-2.31%	0.2334	-13.65%	0.0742	✓	1.04
2026-05-11	oos	0.2713	0.267087	-1.55%	0.2381	-12.24%	0.0531	✓	1.02
2026-05-10	oos	0.2684	0.266562	-0.68%	0.2338	-12.89%	0.0689	✓	1.04
2026-05-09	oos	0.2645	0.261358	-1.19%	0.238	-10.02%	0.0602	✓	1.04
2026-05-08	oos	0.2656	0.262613	-1.12%	0.2496	-6.02%	0.0361	✓	1.04
2026-05-07	oos	0.25205	0.250797	-0.50%	0.2681	+6.37%	0.0528	✗	1.04
2026-05-06	oos	0.2516	0.250334	-0.50%	0.2663	+5.84%	0.0895	✗	1.04
2026-05-05	oos	0.2531	0.25133	-0.70%	0.2703	+6.80%	0.0777	✗	0.94
2026-05-04	oos	0.2234	0.225105	+0.76%	0.2713	+21.44%	0.1645	✓	0.96
2026-05-03	oos	0.2239	0.224142	+0.11%	0.2684	+19.87%	0.1390	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.2266	0.228082	+0.65%	0.2645	+16.73%	0.1249	✓	0.94
2026-05-01	oos	0.2227	0.224482	+0.80%	0.2656	+19.26%	0.1450	✓	0.94
2026-04-30	oos	0.22055	0.221096	+0.25%	0.25205	+14.28%	0.0851	✓	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.22185	0.222655	+0.36%	0.2516	+13.41%	0.0520	✓	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.22455	0.227674	+1.39%	0.2531	+12.71%	0.0495	✓	0.97
2026-04-27	oos	0.2268	0.232359	+2.45%	0.2234	-1.50%	0.0699	✗	0.97
2026-04-26	oos	0.2317	0.237836	+2.65%	0.2239	-3.37%	0.0590	✗	0.97
2026-04-25	oos	0.2275	0.233194	+2.50%	0.2266	-0.40%	0.0415	✗	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.2285	0.232783	+1.87%	0.2227	-2.54%	0.0541	✗	0.99
2026-04-23	oos	0.2275	0.229916	+1.06%	0.22055	-3.05%	0.0163	✗	0.99
2026-04-22	oos	0.2262	0.227279	+0.48%	0.22185	-1.92%	0.0073	✓	0.99
2026-04-21	oos	0.2244	0.224281	-0.05%	0.22455	+0.07%	0.0016	✗	0.99
2026-04-20	oos	0.2239	0.222638	-0.56%	0.2268	+1.30%	0.0010	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.2195	0.217546	-0.89%	0.2317	+5.56%	0.0012	✓	1.01
2026-04-18	oos	0.2308	0.228886	-0.83%	0.2275	-1.43%	0.0312	✓	1.01
2026-04-17	oos	0.2416	0.241743	+0.06%	0.2285	-5.42%	0.0611	✗	1.01
2026-04-16	oos	0.24285	0.24011	-1.13%	0.2275	-6.32%	0.0954	✓	1.02
2026-04-15	oos	0.2351	0.233572	-0.65%	0.2262	-3.79%	0.0769	✓	1.02
2026-04-14	oos	0.2199	0.21975	-0.07%	0.2244	+2.05%	0.0083	✓	1.01
2026-04-13	oos	0.2279	0.227678	-0.10%	0.2239	-1.76%	0.0357	✓	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.212	0.211512	-0.23%	0.2195	+3.54%	0.0050	✓	0.99
2026-04-11	oos	0.2186	0.218817	+0.10%	0.2308	+5.58%	0.0179	✓	0.99
2026-04-10	oos	0.2231	0.223344	+0.11%	0.2416	+8.29%	0.0243	✓	0.99
2026-04-09	oos	0.2216	0.221704	+0.05%	0.24285	+9.59%	0.0456	✓	0.99
2026-04-08	oos	0.2208	0.220899	+0.04%	0.2351	+6.48%	0.0113	✓	0.99
2026-04-07	oos	0.2272	0.226632	-0.25%	0.2199	-3.21%	0.0609	✓	0.99
2026-04-06	oos	0.2173	0.216731	-0.26%	0.2279	+4.88%	0.0278	✓	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.2136	0.213405	-0.09%	0.212	-0.75%	0.0316	✓	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.214	0.214415	+0.19%	0.2186	+2.15%	0.0648	✗	1.02
2026-04-03	oos	0.2141	0.214635	+0.25%	0.2231	+4.20%	0.0513	✗	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.21415	0.214722	+0.27%	0.2216	+3.48%	0.0429	✗	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.2239	0.224118	+0.10%	0.2208	-1.38%	0.0600	✗	1.05
2026-03-31	oos	0.2245	0.224708	+0.09%	0.2272	+1.20%	0.0451	✗	1.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.219	0.219209	+0.10%	0.2173	-0.78%	0.0421	✗	1.07
2026-03-29	oos	0.214	0.214286	+0.13%	0.2136	-0.19%	0.0512	✗	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.2204	0.220399	-0.00%	0.214	-2.90%	0.0449	✓	1.06
2026-03-27	oos	0.22555	0.225214	-0.15%	0.2141	-5.08%	0.0603	✓	1.06
2026-03-26	oos	0.23395	0.233534	-0.18%	0.21415	-8.46%	0.0571	✓	1.07
2026-03-25	oos	0.2421	0.241997	-0.04%	0.2239	-7.52%	0.0287	✓	1.07
2026-03-24	oos	0.2427	0.241334	-0.56%	0.2245	-7.50%	0.0365	✓	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.2437	0.242802	-0.37%	0.219	-10.14%	0.0385	✓	1.07
2026-03-22	oos	0.2314	0.230892	-0.22%	0.214	-7.52%	0.0457	✓	1.07
2026-03-21	oos	0.2392	0.238619	-0.24%	0.2204	-7.86%	0.0384	✓	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.246	0.24606	+0.02%	0.22555	-8.31%	0.0224	✗	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.2461	0.246423	+0.13%	0.23395	-4.94%	0.0342	✗	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.2516	0.252356	+0.30%	0.2421	-3.78%	0.0423	✗	1.08
2026-03-17	oos	0.2653	0.265867	+0.21%	0.2427	-8.52%	0.0407	✗	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.2696	0.270563	+0.36%	0.2437	-9.61%	0.0452	✗	1.08
2026-03-15	oos	0.2569	0.258457	+0.61%	0.2314	-9.93%	0.0349	✗	1.07
2026-03-14	oos	0.2504	0.252582	+0.87%	0.2392	-4.47%	0.0188	✗	1.07
2026-03-13	oos	0.25565	0.257204	+0.61%	0.246	-3.77%	0.0377	✗	1.08
2026-03-12	oos	0.2558	0.257103	+0.51%	0.2461	-3.79%	0.0343	✗	1.08
2026-03-11	oos	0.2556	0.256486	+0.35%	0.2516	-1.56%	0.0351	✗	1.08
2026-03-10	oos	0.2589	0.258954	+0.02%	0.2653	+2.47%	0.0355	✗	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.2531	0.252823	-0.11%	0.2696	+6.52%	0.0334	✓	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.2503	0.249281	-0.41%	0.2569	+2.64%	0.0793	✓	1.11
2026-03-07	oos	0.2566	0.255402	-0.47%	0.2504	-2.42%	0.0833	✓	1.11
2026-03-06	oos	0.2605	0.259948	-0.21%	0.25565	-1.86%	0.0616	✓	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.2645	0.265226	+0.27%	0.2558	-3.29%	0.0306	✗	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.2692	0.269986	+0.29%	0.2556	-5.05%	0.0158	✗	1.12
2026-03-03	oos	0.256	0.256106	+0.04%	0.2589	+1.13%	0.0161	✗	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.2564	0.256759	+0.14%	0.2531	-1.29%	0.0077	✗	1.15
2026-03-01	oos	0.2525	0.251369	-0.45%	0.2503	-0.87%	0.0079	✓	1.19
2026-02-28	oos	0.2615	0.260677	-0.31%	0.2566	-1.87%	0.0210	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.2596	0.257986	-0.62%	0.2605	+0.35%	0.0309	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.2612	0.260553	-0.25%	0.2645	+1.26%	0.0446	✓	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.265	0.264151	-0.32%	0.2692	+1.58%	0.0621	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.2369	0.235404	-0.63%	0.256	+8.06%	0.0078	✗	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.2363	0.235397	-0.38%	0.2564	+8.51%	0.0121	✗	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.2443	0.244661	+0.15%	0.2525	+3.36%	0.0641	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.254	0.254095	+0.04%	0.2615	+2.95%	0.0460	✓	1.18
2026-02-20	oos	0.2561	0.256179	+0.03%	0.2596	+1.37%	0.0503	✓	1.17
2026-02-19	oos	0.2501	0.250229	+0.05%	0.2612	+4.44%	0.0339	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.25275	0.25277	+0.01%	0.265	+4.85%	0.0197	✓	1.18
2026-02-17	oos	0.2607	0.260564	-0.05%	0.2369	-9.13%	0.0353	✓	1.16
2026-02-16	oos	0.2673	0.266886	-0.15%	0.2363	-11.60%	0.0483	✓	1.16
2026-02-15	oos	0.2667	0.266212	-0.18%	0.2443	-8.40%	0.0659	✓	1.16
2026-02-14	oos	0.2771	0.275786	-0.47%	0.254	-8.34%	0.0515	✓	1.16
2026-02-13	oos	0.2697	0.268683	-0.38%	0.2561	-5.04%	0.0340	✓	1.16
2026-02-12	oos	0.2619	0.262227	+0.12%	0.2501	-4.51%	0.0607	✗	1.17
2026-02-11	oos	0.2551	0.255436	+0.13%	0.25275	-0.92%	0.0000	✓	1.17
2026-02-10	oos	0.2531	0.252651	-0.18%	0.2607	+3.00%	0.0547	✗	1.19
2026-02-09	oos	0.2634	0.261429	-0.75%	0.2673	+1.48%	0.0434	✗	1.18
2026-02-08	oos	0.2689	0.265559	-1.24%	0.2667	-0.82%	0.0297	✗	1.19
2026-02-07	oos	0.2678	0.263543	-1.59%	0.2771	+3.47%	0.0409	✗	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.278	0.269259	-3.14%	0.2697	-2.99%	0.0311	✓	1.20
2026-02-05	oos	0.2489	0.253511	+1.85%	0.2619	+5.22%	0.0338	✗	1.25
2026-02-04	oos	0.2779	0.264012	-5.00%	0.2551	-8.20%	0.1014	✗	1.59
2026-02-03	oos	0.3082	0.29227	-5.17%	0.2531	-17.88%	0.0029	✓	1.55
2026-02-02	oos	0.2895	0.282778	-2.32%	0.2634	-9.02%	0.1175	✗	1.64
2026-02-01	oos	0.25485	0.249762	-2.00%	0.2689	+5.51%	0.2130	✗	1.55
2026-01-31	oos	0.2615	0.258439	-1.17%	0.2678	+2.41%	0.2406	✗	1.61
2026-01-30	oos	0.2892	0.287102	-0.73%	0.278	-3.87%	0.2531	✗	1.62
2026-01-29	oos	0.2864	0.284934	-0.51%	0.2489	-13.09%	0.3474	✗	1.62
2026-01-28	oos	0.2999	0.298709	-0.40%	0.2779	-7.34%	0.2637	✗	1.68
2026-01-27	oos	0.3001	0.298863	-0.41%	0.3082	+2.70%	0.3089	✗	1.70
2026-01-26	oos	0.2978	0.296754	-0.35%	0.2895	-2.79%	0.1680	✗	1.68
2026-01-25	oos	0.2823	0.28329	+0.35%	0.25485	-9.72%	0.0917	✓	1.67
2026-01-24	oos	0.3024	0.300853	-0.51%	0.2615	-13.53%	0.0658	✗	1.65
2026-01-23	oos	0.3096	0.30679	-0.91%	0.2892	-6.59%	0.0435	✗	1.66
2026-01-22	oos	0.3143	0.311031	-1.04%	0.2864	-8.88%	0.0117	✗	1.66
2026-01-21	oos	0.3148	0.311954	-0.90%	0.2999	-4.73%	0.0357	✓	1.66
2026-01-20	oos	0.30075	0.300117	-0.21%	0.3001	-0.22%	0.0150	✓	1.64
2026-01-19	oos	0.3232	0.315028	-2.53%	0.2978	-7.86%	0.0225	✓	1.65
2026-01-18	oos	0.3426	0.33276	-2.87%	0.2823	-17.60%	0.0355	✓	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	0.3621	0.350243	-3.27%	0.3024	-16.49%	0.0407	✓	1.62
2026-01-16	oos	0.3721	0.359065	-3.50%	0.3096	-16.80%	0.0422	✓	1.63
2026-01-15	oos	0.3664	0.353867	-3.42%	0.3143	-14.22%	0.0111	✓	1.62
2026-01-14	oos	0.38445	0.374264	-2.65%	0.3148	-18.12%	0.0413	✓	1.62
2026-01-13	oos	0.3951	0.383514	-2.93%	0.30075	-23.88%	0.1163	✓	1.65
2026-01-12	oos	0.37705	0.36629	-2.85%	0.3232	-14.28%	0.1503	✓	1.68
2026-01-11	oos	0.3827	0.37167	-2.88%	0.3426	-10.48%	0.1321	✓	1.69
2026-01-10	oos	0.3862	0.374453	-3.04%	0.3621	-6.24%	0.1206	✓	1.70
2026-01-09	oos	0.3733	0.364393	-2.39%	0.3721	-0.32%	0.0716	✓	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.354	0.349365	-1.31%	0.3664	+3.50%	0.0367	✓	1.72
2026-01-07	oos	0.3476	0.344782	-0.81%	0.38445	+10.60%	0.0152	✓	2.06
2026-01-06	oos	0.3722	0.370813	-0.37%	0.3951	+6.15%	0.0274	✗	2.05
2026-01-05	oos	0.3755	0.373069	-0.65%	0.37705	+0.41%	0.0700	✗	2.05
2026-01-04	oos	0.3558	0.350773	-1.41%	0.3827	+7.56%	0.1011	✗	2.05
2026-01-03	oos	0.3022	0.301335	-0.29%	0.3862	+27.80%	0.2531	✗	2.01
2026-01-02	oos	0.276	0.277456	+0.53%	0.3733	+35.25%	0.2845	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.2632	0.265191	+0.76%	0.354	+34.50%	0.2386	✓	1.97
2025-12-31	oos	0.24385	0.247027	+1.30%	0.3476	+42.55%	0.2595	✓	1.94
2025-12-30	oos	0.2535	0.256343	+1.12%	0.3722	+46.82%	0.2597	✓	1.94
2025-12-29	oos	0.2547	0.256743	+0.80%	0.3755	+47.43%	0.2358	✓	1.93
2025-12-28	oos	0.2646	0.266056	+0.55%	0.3558	+34.47%	0.2128	✓	1.93
2025-12-27	oos	0.2656	0.266782	+0.44%	0.3022	+13.78%	0.0648	✓	1.91
2025-12-26	oos	0.25095	0.252933	+0.79%	0.276	+9.98%	0.0305	✓	1.89
2025-12-25	oos	0.2443	0.246725	+0.99%	0.2632	+7.74%	0.0310	✓	1.89
2025-12-24	oos	0.2488	0.251079	+0.92%	0.24385	-1.99%	0.0268	✗	1.89
2025-12-23	oos	0.2436	0.246249	+1.09%	0.2535	+4.06%	0.0084	✓	1.87
2025-12-22	oos	0.2477	0.250214	+1.01%	0.2547	+2.83%	0.0485	✓	1.86
2025-12-21	oos	0.24925	0.251721	+0.99%	0.2646	+6.16%	0.0660	✓	1.86
2025-12-20	oos	0.2561	0.258216	+0.83%	0.2656	+3.71%	0.0392	✓	1.88
2025-12-19	oos	0.2542	0.256513	+0.91%	0.25095	-1.28%	0.0049	✓	1.88
2025-12-18	oos	0.24065	0.247361	+2.79%	0.2443	+1.52%	0.0496	✗	1.87
2025-12-17	oos	0.2509	0.25858	+3.06%	0.2488	-0.84%	0.0688	✗	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.2637	0.267705	+1.52%	0.2436	-7.62%	0.0853	✗	1.88
2025-12-15	oos	0.2638	0.272398	+3.26%	0.2477	-6.10%	0.1412	✗	1.89
2025-12-14	oos	0.2785	0.280896	+0.86%	0.24925	-10.50%	0.1295	✗	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.2891	0.286784	-0.80%	0.2561	-11.41%	0.0723	✓	1.89
2025-12-12	oos	0.2881	0.286408	-0.59%	0.2542	-11.77%	0.0730	✓	1.89
2025-12-11	oos	0.2974	0.293193	-1.41%	0.24065	-19.08%	0.0463	✓	1.90
2025-12-10	oos	0.30685	0.30293	-1.28%	0.2509	-18.23%	0.0637	✓	1.91
2025-12-09	oos	0.3159	0.311215	-1.48%	0.2637	-16.52%	0.0633	✓	1.91
2025-12-08	oos	0.3006	0.299366	-0.41%	0.2638	-12.24%	0.0356	✓	1.90
2025-12-07	oos	0.2932	0.293272	+0.02%	0.2785	-5.01%	0.0043	✗	1.89
2025-12-06	oos	0.2967	0.296794	+0.03%	0.2891	-2.56%	0.0473	✗	1.91
2025-12-05	oos	0.2922	0.292698	+0.17%	0.2881	-1.40%	0.0356	✗	1.91
2025-12-04	oos	0.3079	0.306494	-0.46%	0.2974	-3.41%	0.0394	✓	1.91
2025-12-03	oos	0.3205	0.317917	-0.81%	0.30685	-4.26%	0.0062	✓	1.91
2025-12-02	oos	0.308	0.306494	-0.49%	0.3159	+2.56%	0.0015	✓	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.2824	0.283719	+0.47%	0.3006	+6.44%	0.0383	✗	1.94
2025-11-30	oos	0.30755	0.306481	-0.35%	0.2932	-4.67%	0.0450	✓	1.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.3129	0.311376	-0.49%	0.2967	-5.18%	0.0146	✓	1.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.3171	0.31512	-0.62%	0.2922	-7.85%	0.0420	✓	1.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.32335	0.320814	-0.78%	0.3079	-4.78%	0.0575	✓	1.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.3224	0.319983	-0.75%	0.3205	-0.59%	0.0608	✓	1.92
2025-11-25	oos	0.3193	0.318081	-0.38%	0.308	-3.54%	0.1206	✓	1.98
2025-11-24	oos	0.321	0.318651	-0.73%	0.2824	-12.02%	0.0756	✓	1.99
2025-11-23	oos	0.3078	0.306779	-0.33%	0.30755	-0.08%	0.0773	✓	1.98
2025-11-22	oos	0.3075	0.305536	-0.64%	0.3129	+1.76%	0.1187	✓	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.3121	0.307536	-1.46%	0.3171	+1.60%	0.1041	✓	2.03
2025-11-20	oos	0.3277	0.319128	-2.62%	0.32335	-1.33%	0.0956	✓	2.02
2025-11-19	oos	0.342	0.337963	-1.18%	0.3224	-5.73%	0.0239	✓	2.13
2025-11-18	oos	0.3463	0.343325	-0.86%	0.3193	-7.80%	0.0601	✗	2.14
2025-11-17	oos	0.3375	0.335471	-0.60%	0.321	-4.89%	0.0470	✗	2.14
2025-11-16	oos	0.3473	0.345609	-0.49%	0.3078	-11.37%	0.0594	✗	2.15
2025-11-15	oos	0.3604	0.357097	-0.92%	0.3075	-14.68%	0.1100	✗	2.15
2025-11-14	oos	0.3595	0.356168	-0.93%	0.3121	-13.18%	0.0948	✗	2.16
2025-11-13	oos	0.38295	0.379326	-0.95%	0.3277	-14.43%	0.1686	✗	2.24
2025-11-12	oos	0.40275	0.399764	-0.74%	0.342	-15.08%	0.0797	✗	2.23
2025-11-11	oos	0.4116	0.409085	-0.61%	0.3463	-15.86%	0.0653	✗	2.25
2025-11-10	oos	0.4293	0.427142	-0.50%	0.3375	-21.38%	0.0825	✗	2.27
2025-11-09	oos	0.422	0.41884	-0.75%	0.3473	-17.70%	0.0537	✗	2.28
2025-11-08	oos	0.4026	0.398105	-1.12%	0.3604	-10.48%	0.0562	✗	2.28
2025-11-07	oos	0.4112	0.407521	-0.89%	0.3595	-12.57%	0.0746	✗	2.25
2025-11-06	oos	0.3523	0.358212	+1.68%	0.38295	+8.70%	0.1032	✓	2.18
2025-11-05	oos	0.3613	0.36853	+2.00%	0.40275	+11.47%	0.1366	✓	2.20
2025-11-04	oos	0.3551	0.361724	+1.87%	0.4116	+15.91%	0.0954	✓	2.24
2025-11-03	oos	0.3715	0.375383	+1.05%	0.4293	+15.56%	0.1470	✓	2.34
2025-11-02	oos	0.4251	0.42532	+0.05%	0.422	-0.73%	0.1168	✓	2.30
2025-11-01	oos	0.4243	0.424211	-0.02%	0.4026	-5.11%	0.1163	✗	2.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.4127	0.413258	+0.14%	0.4112	-0.36%	0.1305	✓	2.30
2025-10-30	oos	0.4062	0.406777	+0.14%	0.3523	-13.27%	0.0104	✓	2.30
2025-10-29	oos	0.44075	0.439958	-0.18%	0.3613	-18.03%	0.0663	✓	2.27
2025-10-28	oos	0.4417	0.443072	+0.31%	0.3551	-19.61%	0.0274	✓	2.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.458	0.460252	+0.49%	0.3715	-18.89%	0.0554	✗	2.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.4691	0.470643	+0.33%	0.4251	-9.38%	0.0189	✗	2.33
2025-10-25	oos	0.4467	0.448473	+0.40%	0.4243	-5.01%	0.0212	✗	2.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.44955	0.450974	+0.32%	0.4127	-8.20%	0.0567	✗	2.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.4321	0.434801	+0.63%	0.4062	-5.99%	0.0289	✗	2.36
2025-10-22	oos	0.4216	0.42463	+0.72%	0.44075	+4.54%	0.0161	✗	2.37
2025-10-21	oos	0.4273	0.431003	+0.87%	0.4417	+3.37%	0.0730	✗	2.37
2025-10-20	oos	0.4426	0.44691	+0.97%	0.458	+3.48%	0.0512	✗	2.42
2025-10-19	oos	0.4367	0.44096	+0.98%	0.4691	+7.42%	0.0651	✗	2.41
2025-10-18	oos	0.4218	0.427425	+1.33%	0.4467	+5.90%	0.0540	✗	2.41
2025-10-17	oos	0.42245	0.428407	+1.41%	0.44955	+6.41%	0.0531	✗	2.41
2025-10-16	oos	0.4364	0.445009	+1.97%	0.4321	-0.99%	0.0718	✗	2.41
2025-10-15	oos	0.4554	0.468402	+2.85%	0.4216	-7.42%	0.0339	✗	2.42
2025-10-14	oos	0.4704	0.484348	+2.97%	0.4273	-9.16%	0.0214	✓	2.45
2025-10-13	oos	0.48935	0.499002	+1.97%	0.4426	-9.55%	0.0178	✓	2.45
2025-10-12	oos	0.4605	0.475196	+3.19%	0.4367	-5.17%	0.0528	✓	2.40
2025-10-11	oos	0.422	0.440619	+4.41%	0.4218	-0.05%	0.0348	✓	2.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.4292	0.445782	+3.86%	0.42245	-1.57%	0.0917	✓	2.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.5939	0.594991	+0.18%	0.4364	-26.52%	0.0799	✗	1.95
2025-10-08	oos	0.61245	0.615919	+0.57%	0.4554	-25.64%	0.0943	✗	1.94
2025-10-07	oos	0.5965	0.599276	+0.47%	0.4704	-21.14%	0.1051	✗	1.93
2025-10-06	oos	0.6297	0.62944	-0.04%	0.48935	-22.29%	0.0988	✓	1.94
2025-10-05	oos	0.5985	0.597889	-0.10%	0.4605	-23.06%	0.1243	✓	1.93
2025-10-04	oos	0.6028	0.599281	-0.58%	0.422	-29.99%	0.1568	✓	1.93
2025-10-03	oos	0.62005	0.612469	-1.22%	0.4292	-30.78%	0.2020	✓	1.94
2025-10-02	oos	0.6237	0.613603	-1.62%	0.5939	-4.78%	0.0503	✓	1.95
2025-10-01	oos	0.6052	0.595236	-1.65%	0.61245	+1.20%	0.0479	✓	1.97
2025-09-30	oos	0.572	0.567446	-0.80%	0.5965	+4.28%	0.0749	✓	2.01
2025-09-29	oos	0.58455	0.578495	-1.04%	0.6297	+7.72%	0.0915	✓	2.03
2025-09-28	oos	0.585	0.579674	-0.91%	0.5985	+2.31%	0.1672	✓	2.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.57445	0.570403	-0.70%	0.6028	+4.94%	0.1775	✓	2.11
2025-09-26	oos	0.5796	0.574128	-0.94%	0.62005	+6.98%	0.1539	✓	2.12
2025-09-25	oos	0.5648	0.559905	-0.87%	0.6237	+10.43%	0.1058	✓	2.12
2025-09-24	oos	0.59475	0.579817	-2.51%	0.6052	+1.76%	0.0571	✓	2.18
2025-09-23	oos	0.59685	0.579405	-2.92%	0.572	-4.16%	0.0528	✓	2.20
2025-09-22	oos	0.60435	0.585682	-3.09%	0.58455	-3.28%	0.0334	✓	2.20
2025-09-21	oos	0.6457	0.624697	-3.25%	0.585	-9.40%	0.0062	✓	2.19
2025-09-20	oos	0.6585	0.641748	-2.54%	0.57445	-12.76%	0.0096	✓	2.23
2025-09-19	oos	0.65575	0.641824	-2.12%	0.5796	-11.61%	0.0172	✓	2.24
2025-09-18	oos	0.6902	0.676452	-1.99%	0.5648	-18.17%	0.0202	✓	2.24
2025-09-17	oos	0.6744	0.664852	-1.42%	0.59475	-11.81%	0.0504	✓	2.23

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.