STX

Stacks · native · gru_s2

token id: #65
symbol: STX
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-01-20
predictions: 5,166

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

56.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0240

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0021

actual +0.0004

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.35975	0.357772	-0.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.54
2026-10-20	oos	0.35575	0.353982	-0.50%	0.35975	+1.12%	0.0207	✗	1.54
2026-10-19	oos	0.3583	0.356929	-0.38%	0.35575	-0.71%	0.0240	✓	1.55
2026-10-18	oos	0.35505	0.35375	-0.37%	0.3583	+0.92%	0.0160	✗	1.54
2026-10-17	oos	0.3681	0.366823	-0.35%	0.35505	-3.55%	0.0444	✓	1.54
2026-10-16	oos	0.3924	0.39081	-0.41%	0.3681	-6.19%	0.0576	✓	1.54
2026-10-15	oos	0.43015	0.42787	-0.53%	0.3924	-8.78%	0.0751	✓	1.51
2026-10-14	oos	0.4238	0.421829	-0.47%	0.43015	+1.50%	0.0093	✗	1.51
2026-10-13	oos	0.4344	0.431969	-0.56%	0.4238	-2.44%	0.0089	✗	1.50
2026-10-12	oos	0.4101	0.408222	-0.46%	0.4344	+5.93%	0.0376	✗	1.49
2026-10-11	oos	0.3984	0.39681	-0.40%	0.4101	+2.94%	0.0675	✗	1.47
2026-10-10	oos	0.40105	0.39943	-0.40%	0.3984	-0.66%	0.0161	✓	1.47
2026-10-09	oos	0.39515	0.393606	-0.39%	0.40105	+1.49%	0.0122	✗	1.47
2026-10-08	oos	0.38165	0.38045	-0.31%	0.39515	+3.54%	0.0227	✗	1.47
2026-10-07	oos	0.37065	0.369261	-0.37%	0.38165	+2.97%	0.0617	✗	1.50
2026-10-06	oos	0.3845	0.381873	-0.68%	0.37065	-3.60%	0.0102	✗	1.49
2026-10-05	oos	0.37935	0.376668	-0.71%	0.3845	+1.36%	0.0242	✗	1.47
2026-10-04	oos	0.38935	0.386411	-0.75%	0.37935	-2.57%	0.0054	✓	1.48
2026-10-03	oos	0.3843	0.380618	-0.96%	0.38935	+1.31%	0.0080	✓	1.49
2026-10-02	oos	0.3678	0.364633	-0.86%	0.3843	+4.49%	0.0484	✗	1.48
2026-10-01	oos	0.37365	0.370445	-0.86%	0.3678	-1.57%	0.0012	✓	1.48
2026-09-30	oos	0.37085	0.36715	-1.00%	0.37365	+0.76%	0.0053	✓	1.49
2026-09-29	oos	0.3168	0.31567	-0.36%	0.37085	+17.06%	0.1626	✗	1.49
2026-09-28	oos	0.3139	0.312926	-0.31%	0.3168	+0.92%	0.0091	✗	1.48
2026-09-27	oos	0.3385	0.337412	-0.32%	0.3139	-7.27%	0.0548	✓	1.46
2026-09-26	oos	0.3427	0.341686	-0.30%	0.3385	-1.23%	0.0101	✓	1.45
2026-09-25	oos	0.32625	0.325563	-0.21%	0.3427	+5.04%	0.0457	✗	1.45
2026-09-24	oos	0.3134	0.313122	-0.09%	0.32625	+4.10%	0.0462	✗	1.46
2026-09-23	oos	0.3081	0.308062	-0.01%	0.3134	+1.72%	0.0171	✗	1.47
2026-09-22	oos	0.33585	0.335879	+0.01%	0.3081	-8.26%	0.0556	✗	1.44
2026-09-21	oos	0.3414	0.340955	-0.13%	0.33585	-1.63%	0.0085	✓	1.43
2026-09-20	oos	0.33615	0.334537	-0.48%	0.3414	+1.56%	0.0810	✓	1.56
2026-09-19	oos	0.3152	0.313334	-0.59%	0.33615	+6.65%	0.0717	✗	1.57
2026-09-18	oos	0.2841	0.282639	-0.51%	0.3152	+10.95%	0.1021	✗	1.57
2026-09-17	oos	0.2511	0.250459	-0.26%	0.2841	+13.14%	0.0389	✗	1.51
2026-09-16	oos	0.24255	0.242416	-0.06%	0.2511	+3.53%	0.0312	✗	1.51
2026-09-15	oos	0.2348	0.235179	+0.16%	0.24255	+3.30%	0.0198	✓	1.50
2026-09-14	oos	0.2637	0.26314	-0.21%	0.2348	-10.96%	0.0662	✓	1.42
2026-09-13	oos	0.26525	0.264855	-0.15%	0.2637	-0.58%	0.0297	✓	1.43
2026-09-12	oos	0.26815	0.267804	-0.13%	0.26525	-1.08%	0.0010	✓	1.42
2026-09-11	oos	0.25275	0.253117	+0.15%	0.26815	+6.09%	0.0567	✓	1.44
2026-09-10	oos	0.25315	0.253635	+0.19%	0.25275	-0.16%	0.0161	✗	1.45
2026-09-09	oos	0.27385	0.273865	+0.01%	0.25315	-7.56%	0.0468	✗	1.41
2026-09-08	oos	0.2715	0.271574	+0.03%	0.27385	+0.87%	0.0113	✓	1.41
2026-09-07	oos	0.2772	0.277053	-0.05%	0.2715	-2.06%	0.0087	✓	1.41
2026-09-06	oos	0.2692	0.269056	-0.05%	0.2772	+2.97%	0.0523	✗	1.43
2026-09-05	oos	0.2693	0.268896	-0.15%	0.2692	-0.04%	0.0080	✓	1.44
2026-09-04	oos	0.2646	0.264053	-0.21%	0.2693	+1.78%	0.0169	✗	1.42
2026-09-03	oos	0.2749	0.273962	-0.34%	0.2646	-3.75%	0.0070	✓	1.41
2026-09-02	oos	0.2611	0.260256	-0.32%	0.2749	+5.29%	0.0183	✓	1.46
2026-09-01	oos	0.2553	0.254539	-0.30%	0.2611	+2.27%	0.0272	✗	1.48
2026-08-31	oos	0.2511	0.25061	-0.19%	0.2553	+1.67%	0.0400	✗	1.44
2026-08-30	oos	0.2343	0.234222	-0.03%	0.2511	+7.17%	0.0532	✗	1.42
2026-08-29	oos	0.2434	0.243082	-0.13%	0.2343	-3.74%	0.0266	✓	1.40
2026-08-28	oos	0.2603	0.259325	-0.37%	0.2434	-6.49%	0.0705	✓	1.41
2026-08-27	oos	0.2572	0.25549	-0.66%	0.2603	+1.21%	0.0634	✗	1.45
2026-08-26	oos	0.2688	0.265391	-1.27%	0.2572	-4.32%	0.0545	✓	1.47
2026-08-25	oos	0.2634	0.258048	-2.03%	0.2688	+2.05%	0.0315	✗	1.47
2026-08-24	oos	0.231	0.226646	-1.88%	0.2634	+14.03%	0.1589	✗	1.50
2026-08-23	oos	0.234	0.227873	-2.62%	0.231	-1.28%	0.0104	✓	1.51
2026-08-22	oos	0.2193	0.212961	-2.89%	0.234	+6.70%	0.0812	✗	1.49
2026-08-21	oos	0.1898	0.185668	-2.18%	0.2193	+15.54%	0.1921	✗	1.56
2026-08-20	oos	0.1461	0.145633	-0.32%	0.1898	+29.91%	0.1764	✗	1.26
2026-08-19	oos	0.1284	0.128358	-0.03%	0.1461	+13.79%	0.0694	✗	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.11995	0.11984	-0.09%	0.1284	+7.04%	0.0116	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.1209	0.120753	-0.12%	0.11995	-0.79%	0.0104	✓	1.18
2026-08-16	oos	0.1222	0.122359	+0.13%	0.1209	-1.06%	0.0434	✗	1.22
2026-08-15	oos	0.12165	0.121887	+0.19%	0.1222	+0.45%	0.0061	✓	1.21
2026-08-14	oos	0.1222	0.122467	+0.22%	0.12165	-0.45%	0.0075	✗	1.22
2026-08-13	oos	0.1245	0.124686	+0.15%	0.1222	-1.85%	0.0114	✗	1.22
2026-08-12	oos	0.1229	0.12312	+0.18%	0.1245	+1.30%	0.0109	✓	1.25
2026-08-11	oos	0.1276	0.12774	+0.11%	0.1229	-3.68%	0.0363	✗	1.24
2026-08-10	oos	0.1309	0.130967	+0.05%	0.1276	-2.52%	0.0187	✗	1.23
2026-08-09	oos	0.1298	0.129827	+0.02%	0.1309	+0.85%	0.0262	✓	1.24
2026-08-08	oos	0.1326	0.132475	-0.09%	0.1298	-2.11%	0.0193	✓	1.23
2026-08-07	oos	0.1292	0.129017	-0.14%	0.1326	+2.63%	0.0271	✗	1.23
2026-08-06	oos	0.1301	0.130012	-0.07%	0.1292	-0.69%	0.0182	✓	1.23
2026-08-05	oos	0.1338	0.133123	-0.51%	0.1301	-2.77%	0.0165	✓	1.24
2026-08-04	oos	0.1347	0.13403	-0.50%	0.1338	-0.67%	0.0123	✓	1.23
2026-08-03	oos	0.1386	0.137715	-0.64%	0.1347	-2.81%	0.0335	✓	1.24
2026-08-02	oos	0.1391	0.137994	-0.80%	0.1386	-0.36%	0.0051	✓	1.30
2026-08-01	oos	0.1393	0.138388	-0.65%	0.1391	-0.14%	0.0099	✓	1.29
2026-07-31	oos	0.1375	0.136752	-0.54%	0.1393	+1.31%	0.0197	✗	1.29
2026-07-30	oos	0.14015	0.139886	-0.19%	0.1375	-1.89%	0.0219	✗	1.32
2026-07-29	oos	0.1348	0.134643	-0.12%	0.14015	+3.97%	0.0236	✗	1.29
2026-07-28	oos	0.13795	0.13779	-0.12%	0.1348	-2.28%	0.0229	✓	1.28
2026-07-27	oos	0.1342	0.134175	-0.02%	0.13795	+2.79%	0.0247	✗	1.28
2026-07-26	oos	0.1469	0.14674	-0.11%	0.1342	-8.65%	0.0579	✓	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.1368	0.136908	+0.08%	0.1469	+7.38%	0.0511	✓	1.20
2026-07-24	oos	0.1449	0.144898	-0.00%	0.1368	-5.59%	0.0615	✓	1.21
2026-07-23	oos	0.16445	0.164189	-0.16%	0.1449	-11.89%	0.1075	✓	1.16
2026-07-22	oos	0.1693	0.169211	-0.05%	0.16445	-2.86%	0.0103	✓	1.15
2026-07-21	oos	0.1674	0.167481	+0.05%	0.1693	+1.14%	0.0183	✓	1.16
2026-07-20	oos	0.1655	0.165557	+0.03%	0.1674	+1.15%	0.0117	✗	1.15
2026-07-19	oos	0.1637	0.163796	+0.06%	0.1655	+1.10%	0.0010	✓	1.15
2026-07-18	oos	0.16525	0.165345	+0.06%	0.1637	-0.94%	0.0080	✗	1.14
2026-07-17	oos	0.1646	0.164692	+0.06%	0.16525	+0.39%	0.0129	✗	1.16
2026-07-16	oos	0.1671	0.167145	+0.03%	0.1646	-1.50%	0.0176	✗	1.17
2026-07-15	oos	0.1684	0.168521	+0.07%	0.1671	-0.77%	0.0084	✓	1.15
2026-07-14	oos	0.16875	0.168948	+0.12%	0.1684	-0.21%	0.0016	✓	1.15
2026-07-13	oos	0.166	0.166023	+0.01%	0.16875	+1.66%	0.0360	✗	1.22
2026-07-12	oos	0.16895	0.169122	+0.10%	0.166	-1.75%	0.0102	✓	1.23
2026-07-11	oos	0.1718	0.171942	+0.08%	0.16895	-1.66%	0.0169	✗	1.25
2026-07-10	oos	0.1717	0.171866	+0.10%	0.1718	+0.06%	0.0065	✓	1.24
2026-07-09	oos	0.169	0.169119	+0.07%	0.1717	+1.60%	0.0034	✗	1.24
2026-07-08	oos	0.1669	0.166927	+0.02%	0.169	+1.26%	0.0061	✗	1.24
2026-07-07	oos	0.1647	0.164834	+0.08%	0.1669	+1.34%	0.0341	✓	1.25
2026-07-06	oos	0.171	0.171058	+0.03%	0.1647	-3.68%	0.0246	✗	1.25
2026-07-05	oos	0.1726	0.172594	-0.00%	0.171	-0.93%	0.0174	✓	1.24
2026-07-04	oos	0.1731	0.173074	-0.01%	0.1726	-0.29%	0.0125	✓	1.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.1736	0.173485	-0.07%	0.1731	-0.29%	0.0133	✓	1.22
2026-07-02	oos	0.1664	0.166203	-0.12%	0.1736	+4.33%	0.0233	✗	1.21
2026-07-01	oos	0.1652	0.164521	-0.41%	0.1664	+0.73%	0.0194	✓	1.23
2026-06-30	oos	0.1608	0.160275	-0.33%	0.1652	+2.74%	0.0002	✓	1.24
2026-06-29	oos	0.1666	0.16642	-0.11%	0.1608	-3.48%	0.0001	✓	1.24
2026-06-28	oos	0.1651	0.165276	+0.11%	0.1666	+0.91%	0.0063	✗	1.24
2026-06-27	oos	0.1675	0.16773	+0.14%	0.1651	-1.43%	0.0062	✗	1.24
2026-06-26	oos	0.1696	0.169772	+0.10%	0.1675	-1.24%	0.0121	✗	1.25
2026-06-25	oos	0.1643	0.164437	+0.08%	0.1696	+3.23%	0.0247	✓	1.24
2026-06-24	oos	0.1719	0.171858	-0.02%	0.1643	-4.42%	0.0191	✓	1.22
2026-06-23	oos	0.1774	0.177295	-0.06%	0.1719	-3.10%	0.0017	✗	1.21
2026-06-22	oos	0.1796	0.179466	-0.07%	0.1774	-1.22%	0.0135	✗	1.21
2026-06-21	oos	0.1771	0.177009	-0.05%	0.1796	+1.41%	0.0009	✗	1.21
2026-06-20	oos	0.1835	0.183374	-0.07%	0.1771	-3.49%	0.0161	✓	1.21
2026-06-19	oos	0.1808	0.180704	-0.05%	0.1835	+1.49%	0.0012	✗	1.21
2026-06-18	oos	0.1843	0.184124	-0.10%	0.1808	-1.90%	0.0297	✓	1.22
2026-06-17	oos	0.1901	0.189818	-0.15%	0.1843	-3.05%	0.0005	✓	1.22
2026-06-16	oos	0.193	0.192619	-0.20%	0.1901	-1.50%	0.0088	✗	1.22
2026-06-15	oos	0.1936	0.19314	-0.24%	0.193	-0.31%	0.0116	✗	1.23
2026-06-14	oos	0.1951	0.194479	-0.32%	0.1936	-0.77%	0.0152	✓	1.23
2026-06-13	oos	0.1847	0.184188	-0.28%	0.1951	+5.63%	0.0335	✗	1.23
2026-06-12	oos	0.17915	0.178654	-0.28%	0.1847	+3.10%	0.0163	✗	1.22
2026-06-11	oos	0.1834	0.182644	-0.41%	0.17915	-2.32%	0.0188	✓	1.22
2026-06-10	oos	0.1751	0.174421	-0.39%	0.1834	+4.74%	0.0092	✗	1.21
2026-06-09	oos	0.18185	0.180712	-0.63%	0.1751	-3.71%	0.0269	✓	1.21
2026-06-08	oos	0.1853	0.183826	-0.80%	0.18185	-1.86%	0.0160	✗	1.21
2026-06-07	oos	0.1875	0.185562	-1.03%	0.1853	-1.17%	0.0032	✓	1.21
2026-06-06	oos	0.1802	0.177131	-1.70%	0.1875	+4.05%	0.0101	✓	1.19
2026-06-05	oos	0.1759	0.172787	-1.77%	0.1802	+2.44%	0.0455	✗	1.19
2026-06-04	oos	0.1913	0.1889	-1.25%	0.1759	-8.05%	0.0201	✓	1.15
2026-06-03	oos	0.2105	0.207705	-1.33%	0.1913	-9.12%	0.0782	✓	1.11
2026-06-02	oos	0.2124	0.211293	-0.52%	0.2105	-0.89%	0.0420	✗	1.14
2026-06-01	oos	0.234	0.233493	-0.22%	0.2124	-9.23%	0.0221	✓	1.08
2026-05-31	oos	0.2396	0.23895	-0.27%	0.234	-2.34%	0.0129	✗	1.08
2026-05-30	oos	0.2355	0.23498	-0.22%	0.2396	+1.74%	0.0222	✗	1.05
2026-05-29	oos	0.2345	0.234059	-0.19%	0.2355	+0.43%	0.0004	✓	1.05
2026-05-28	oos	0.2335	0.23311	-0.17%	0.2345	+0.43%	0.0080	✗	1.05
2026-05-27	oos	0.233	0.232683	-0.14%	0.2335	+0.21%	0.0148	✗	1.04
2026-05-26	oos	0.2425	0.242109	-0.16%	0.233	-3.92%	0.0176	✓	1.03
2026-05-25	oos	0.2476	0.247135	-0.19%	0.2425	-2.06%	0.0017	✓	1.11
2026-05-24	oos	0.244	0.243734	-0.11%	0.2476	+1.48%	0.0118	✗	1.10
2026-05-23	oos	0.2479	0.24765	-0.10%	0.244	-1.57%	0.0195	✓	1.09
2026-05-22	oos	0.2406	0.240557	-0.02%	0.2479	+3.03%	0.0129	✗	1.09
2026-05-21	oos	0.2509	0.250699	-0.08%	0.2406	-4.11%	0.0114	✓	1.08
2026-05-20	oos	0.2419	0.241999	+0.04%	0.2509	+3.72%	0.0351	✓	1.08
2026-05-19	oos	0.2334	0.233737	+0.14%	0.2419	+3.64%	0.0245	✓	1.07
2026-05-18	oos	0.2381	0.238153	+0.02%	0.2334	-1.97%	0.0177	✗	1.08
2026-05-17	oos	0.2338	0.234	+0.09%	0.2381	+1.84%	0.0239	✓	1.08
2026-05-16	oos	0.238	0.237483	-0.22%	0.2338	-1.76%	0.0059	✓	1.08
2026-05-15	oos	0.2496	0.248408	-0.48%	0.238	-4.65%	0.0297	✓	1.08
2026-05-14	oos	0.2681	0.26713	-0.36%	0.2496	-6.90%	0.0412	✓	1.06
2026-05-13	oos	0.2663	0.264998	-0.49%	0.2681	+0.68%	0.0119	✓	1.06
2026-05-12	oos	0.2703	0.26953	-0.28%	0.2663	-1.48%	0.0036	✗	1.04
2026-05-11	oos	0.2713	0.270784	-0.19%	0.2703	-0.37%	0.0139	✗	1.02
2026-05-10	oos	0.2684	0.267901	-0.19%	0.2713	+1.08%	0.0186	✗	1.04
2026-05-09	oos	0.2645	0.264028	-0.18%	0.2684	+1.47%	0.0033	✓	1.04
2026-05-08	oos	0.2656	0.265088	-0.19%	0.2645	-0.41%	0.0082	✓	1.04
2026-05-07	oos	0.25205	0.251724	-0.13%	0.2656	+5.38%	0.0513	✗	1.04
2026-05-06	oos	0.2516	0.250929	-0.27%	0.25205	+0.18%	0.0228	✗	1.04
2026-05-05	oos	0.2531	0.251872	-0.49%	0.2516	-0.59%	0.0072	✓	0.94
2026-05-04	oos	0.2234	0.223526	+0.06%	0.2531	+13.29%	0.1117	✓	0.96
2026-05-03	oos	0.2239	0.223686	-0.10%	0.2234	-0.22%	0.0161	✓	0.91
2026-05-02	oos	0.2266	0.226722	+0.05%	0.2239	-1.19%	0.0111	✗	0.94
2026-05-01	oos	0.2227	0.222881	+0.08%	0.2266	+1.75%	0.0112	✓	0.94
2026-04-30	oos	0.22055	0.220449	-0.05%	0.2227	+0.97%	0.0140	✓	0.97
2026-04-29	oos	0.22185	0.221768	-0.04%	0.22055	-0.59%	0.0126	✓	0.97
2026-04-28	oos	0.22455	0.224648	+0.04%	0.22185	-1.20%	0.0054	✗	0.97
2026-04-27	oos	0.2268	0.227019	+0.10%	0.22455	-0.99%	0.0022	✓	0.97
2026-04-26	oos	0.2317	0.231821	+0.05%	0.2268	-2.11%	0.0057	✗	0.97
2026-04-25	oos	0.2275	0.227325	-0.08%	0.2317	+1.85%	0.0063	✗	0.97
2026-04-24	oos	0.2285	0.228153	-0.15%	0.2275	-0.44%	0.0053	✓	0.99
2026-04-23	oos	0.2275	0.227566	+0.03%	0.2285	+0.44%	0.0145	✓	0.99
2026-04-22	oos	0.2262	0.226376	+0.08%	0.2275	+0.57%	0.0040	✓	0.99
2026-04-21	oos	0.2244	0.224176	-0.10%	0.2262	+0.80%	0.0149	✓	0.99
2026-04-20	oos	0.2239	0.223726	-0.08%	0.2244	+0.22%	0.0033	✓	1.00
2026-04-19	oos	0.2195	0.219064	-0.20%	0.2239	+2.00%	0.0057	✓	1.01
2026-04-18	oos	0.2308	0.230541	-0.11%	0.2195	-4.90%	0.0233	✓	1.01
2026-04-17	oos	0.2416	0.241365	-0.10%	0.2308	-4.47%	0.0268	✓	1.01
2026-04-16	oos	0.24285	0.242122	-0.30%	0.2416	-0.51%	0.0281	✓	1.02
2026-04-15	oos	0.2351	0.234565	-0.23%	0.24285	+3.30%	0.0303	✗	1.02
2026-04-14	oos	0.2199	0.219673	-0.10%	0.2351	+6.91%	0.0589	✗	1.01
2026-04-13	oos	0.2279	0.227444	-0.20%	0.2199	-3.51%	0.0301	✓	1.00
2026-04-12	oos	0.212	0.211689	-0.15%	0.2279	+7.50%	0.0233	✗	0.99
2026-04-11	oos	0.2186	0.218373	-0.10%	0.212	-3.02%	0.0026	✗	0.99
2026-04-10	oos	0.2231	0.222847	-0.11%	0.2186	-2.02%	0.0204	✓	0.99
2026-04-09	oos	0.2216	0.221313	-0.13%	0.2231	+0.68%	0.0084	✓	0.99
2026-04-08	oos	0.2208	0.220561	-0.11%	0.2216	+0.36%	0.0052	✓	0.99
2026-04-07	oos	0.2272	0.226684	-0.23%	0.2208	-2.82%	0.0149	✓	0.99
2026-04-06	oos	0.2173	0.217061	-0.11%	0.2272	+4.56%	0.0022	✗	1.00
2026-04-05	oos	0.2136	0.21342	-0.08%	0.2173	+1.73%	0.0202	✗	1.00
2026-04-04	oos	0.214	0.214099	+0.05%	0.2136	-0.19%	0.0279	✗	1.02
2026-04-03	oos	0.2141	0.214242	+0.07%	0.214	-0.05%	0.0063	✗	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.21415	0.2143	+0.07%	0.2141	-0.02%	0.0020	✗	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.2239	0.223876	-0.01%	0.21415	-4.35%	0.0254	✓	1.05
2026-03-31	oos	0.2245	0.22446	-0.02%	0.2239	-0.27%	0.0008	✓	1.07
2026-03-30	oos	0.219	0.219052	+0.02%	0.2245	+2.51%	0.0011	✓	1.07
2026-03-29	oos	0.214	0.214109	+0.05%	0.219	+2.34%	0.0101	✓	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.2204	0.220399	-0.00%	0.214	-2.90%	0.0236	✓	1.06
2026-03-27	oos	0.22555	0.225461	-0.04%	0.2204	-2.28%	0.0222	✓	1.06
2026-03-26	oos	0.23395	0.233606	-0.15%	0.22555	-3.59%	0.0031	✗	1.07
2026-03-25	oos	0.2421	0.241789	-0.13%	0.23395	-3.37%	0.0058	✗	1.07
2026-03-24	oos	0.2427	0.242366	-0.14%	0.2421	-0.25%	0.0127	✓	1.07
2026-03-23	oos	0.2437	0.243436	-0.11%	0.2427	-0.41%	0.0022	✗	1.07
2026-03-22	oos	0.2314	0.231333	-0.03%	0.2437	+5.32%	0.0052	✗	1.07
2026-03-21	oos	0.2392	0.239118	-0.03%	0.2314	-3.26%	0.0161	✓	1.07
2026-03-20	oos	0.246	0.245914	-0.03%	0.2392	-2.76%	0.0034	✓	1.07
2026-03-19	oos	0.2461	0.246014	-0.04%	0.246	-0.04%	0.0089	✓	1.07
2026-03-18	oos	0.2516	0.251481	-0.05%	0.2461	-2.19%	0.0014	✓	1.08
2026-03-17	oos	0.2653	0.265134	-0.06%	0.2516	-5.16%	0.0127	✓	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.2696	0.269441	-0.06%	0.2653	-1.59%	0.0017	✓	1.08
2026-03-15	oos	0.2569	0.256826	-0.03%	0.2696	+4.94%	0.0188	✗	1.07
2026-03-14	oos	0.2504	0.250348	-0.02%	0.2569	+2.60%	0.0020	✗	1.07
2026-03-13	oos	0.25565	0.255483	-0.07%	0.2504	-2.05%	0.0245	✓	1.08
2026-03-12	oos	0.2558	0.25562	-0.07%	0.25565	-0.06%	0.0062	✓	1.08
2026-03-11	oos	0.2556	0.255423	-0.07%	0.2558	+0.08%	0.0035	✓	1.08
2026-03-10	oos	0.2589	0.258674	-0.09%	0.2556	-1.27%	0.0158	✓	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.2531	0.253044	-0.02%	0.2589	+2.29%	0.0010	✓	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.2503	0.250491	+0.08%	0.2531	+1.12%	0.0302	✗	1.11
2026-03-07	oos	0.2566	0.256395	-0.08%	0.2503	-2.46%	0.0026	✓	1.11
2026-03-06	oos	0.2605	0.260102	-0.15%	0.2566	-1.50%	0.0002	✓	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.2645	0.264305	-0.07%	0.2605	-1.51%	0.0300	✗	1.11
2026-03-04	oos	0.2692	0.269063	-0.05%	0.2645	-1.75%	0.0110	✗	1.12
2026-03-03	oos	0.256	0.255708	-0.11%	0.2692	+5.16%	0.0192	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.2564	0.256178	-0.09%	0.256	-0.16%	0.0076	✗	1.15
2026-03-01	oos	0.2525	0.251918	-0.23%	0.2564	+1.54%	0.0365	✓	1.19
2026-02-28	oos	0.2615	0.260887	-0.23%	0.2525	-3.44%	0.0109	✓	1.20
2026-02-27	oos	0.2596	0.258727	-0.34%	0.2615	+0.73%	0.0095	✓	1.21
2026-02-26	oos	0.2612	0.260544	-0.25%	0.2596	-0.61%	0.0261	✗	1.21
2026-02-25	oos	0.265	0.264098	-0.34%	0.2612	-1.43%	0.0020	✓	1.21
2026-02-24	oos	0.2369	0.236132	-0.32%	0.265	+11.86%	0.0452	✗	1.18
2026-02-23	oos	0.2363	0.235732	-0.24%	0.2369	+0.25%	0.0150	✗	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.2443	0.244044	-0.10%	0.2363	-3.27%	0.0209	✗	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.254	0.253598	-0.16%	0.2443	-3.82%	0.0315	✓	1.18
2026-02-20	oos	0.2561	0.255664	-0.17%	0.254	-0.82%	0.0060	✓	1.17
2026-02-19	oos	0.2501	0.249698	-0.16%	0.2561	+2.40%	0.0078	✗	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.25275	0.252299	-0.18%	0.2501	-1.05%	0.0185	✓	1.18
2026-02-17	oos	0.2607	0.260152	-0.21%	0.25275	-3.05%	0.0107	✓	1.16
2026-02-16	oos	0.2673	0.266613	-0.26%	0.2607	-2.47%	0.0012	✓	1.16
2026-02-15	oos	0.2667	0.265988	-0.27%	0.2673	+0.22%	0.0038	✗	1.16
2026-02-14	oos	0.2771	0.276095	-0.36%	0.2667	-3.75%	0.0180	✓	1.16
2026-02-13	oos	0.2697	0.268768	-0.35%	0.2771	+2.74%	0.0142	✗	1.16
2026-02-12	oos	0.2619	0.261457	-0.17%	0.2697	+2.98%	0.0139	✓	1.17
2026-02-11	oos	0.2551	0.254651	-0.18%	0.2619	+2.67%	0.0424	✗	1.17
2026-02-10	oos	0.2531	0.252332	-0.30%	0.2551	+0.79%	0.0420	✗	1.19
2026-02-09	oos	0.2634	0.262094	-0.50%	0.2531	-3.91%	0.0128	✓	1.18
2026-02-08	oos	0.2689	0.266954	-0.72%	0.2634	-2.05%	0.0104	✓	1.19
2026-02-07	oos	0.2678	0.265298	-0.93%	0.2689	+0.41%	0.0042	✓	1.19
2026-02-06	oos	0.278	0.272953	-1.82%	0.2678	-3.67%	0.0029	✓	1.20
2026-02-05	oos	0.2489	0.250703	+0.72%	0.278	+11.69%	0.0422	✗	1.25
2026-02-04	oos	0.2779	0.271067	-2.46%	0.2489	-10.44%	0.1542	✗	1.59
2026-02-03	oos	0.3082	0.300299	-2.56%	0.2779	-9.83%	0.0221	✓	1.55
2026-02-02	oos	0.2895	0.287449	-0.71%	0.3082	+6.46%	0.1334	✗	1.64
2026-02-01	oos	0.25485	0.253375	-0.58%	0.2895	+13.60%	0.0981	✗	1.55
2026-01-31	oos	0.2615	0.26089	-0.23%	0.25485	-2.54%	0.0129	✗	1.61
2026-01-30	oos	0.2892	0.288972	-0.08%	0.2615	-9.58%	0.0089	✗	1.62
2026-01-29	oos	0.2864	0.286306	-0.03%	0.2892	+0.98%	0.0178	✗	1.62
2026-01-28	oos	0.2999	0.299425	-0.16%	0.2864	-4.50%	0.0455	✗	1.68
2026-01-27	oos	0.3001	0.299485	-0.20%	0.2999	-0.07%	0.0005	✓	1.70
2026-01-26	oos	0.2978	0.297181	-0.21%	0.3001	+0.77%	0.0066	✓	1.68
2026-01-25	oos	0.2823	0.28245	+0.05%	0.2978	+5.49%	0.0207	✓	1.67
2026-01-24	oos	0.3024	0.300921	-0.49%	0.2823	-6.65%	0.0164	✓	1.65
2026-01-23	oos	0.3096	0.307888	-0.55%	0.3024	-2.33%	0.0107	✓	1.66
2026-01-22	oos	0.3143	0.312996	-0.41%	0.3096	-1.50%	0.0111	✓	1.66
2026-01-21	oos	0.3148	0.314196	-0.19%	0.3143	-0.16%	0.0015	✓	1.66
2026-01-20	oos	0.30075	0.30115	+0.13%	0.3148	+4.67%	0.0248	✓	1.64
2026-01-19	oos	0.3232	0.321643	-0.48%	0.30075	-6.95%	0.0104	✗	1.65
2026-01-18	oos	0.3426	0.340787	-0.53%	0.3232	-5.66%	0.0340	✓	1.64
2026-01-17	oos	0.3621	0.360096	-0.55%	0.3426	-5.39%	0.0244	✓	1.62
2026-01-16	oos	0.3721	0.370055	-0.55%	0.3621	-2.69%	0.0150	✓	1.63
2026-01-15	oos	0.3664	0.364693	-0.47%	0.3721	+1.56%	0.0215	✗	1.62
2026-01-14	oos	0.38445	0.382731	-0.45%	0.3664	-4.70%	0.0207	✓	1.62
2026-01-13	oos	0.3951	0.393333	-0.45%	0.38445	-2.70%	0.0497	✓	1.65
2026-01-12	oos	0.37705	0.375516	-0.41%	0.3951	+4.79%	0.0249	✓	1.68
2026-01-11	oos	0.3827	0.38118	-0.40%	0.37705	-1.48%	0.0168	✓	1.69
2026-01-10	oos	0.3862	0.384325	-0.49%	0.3827	-0.91%	0.0136	✓	1.70
2026-01-09	oos	0.3733	0.371904	-0.37%	0.3862	+3.46%	0.0404	✗	1.73
2026-01-08	oos	0.354	0.353137	-0.24%	0.3733	+5.45%	0.0652	✗	1.72
2026-01-07	oos	0.3476	0.346911	-0.20%	0.354	+1.84%	0.0260	✗	2.06
2026-01-06	oos	0.3722	0.371437	-0.21%	0.3476	-6.61%	0.0122	✓	2.05
2026-01-05	oos	0.3755	0.37391	-0.42%	0.3722	-0.88%	0.0014	✓	2.05
2026-01-04	oos	0.3558	0.353044	-0.77%	0.3755	+5.54%	0.0092	✗	2.05
2026-01-03	oos	0.3022	0.301689	-0.17%	0.3558	+17.74%	0.1452	✗	2.01
2026-01-02	oos	0.276	0.276154	+0.06%	0.3022	+9.49%	0.0761	✓	1.99
2026-01-01	oos	0.2632	0.263484	+0.11%	0.276	+4.86%	0.0195	✓	1.97
2025-12-31	oos	0.24385	0.244373	+0.21%	0.2632	+7.94%	0.0469	✓	1.94
2025-12-30	oos	0.2535	0.253947	+0.18%	0.24385	-3.81%	0.0208	✗	1.94
2025-12-29	oos	0.2547	0.255055	+0.14%	0.2535	-0.47%	0.0344	✗	1.93
2025-12-28	oos	0.2646	0.264822	+0.08%	0.2547	-3.74%	0.0221	✗	1.93
2025-12-27	oos	0.2656	0.265753	+0.06%	0.2646	-0.38%	0.0059	✗	1.91
2025-12-26	oos	0.25095	0.251267	+0.13%	0.2656	+5.84%	0.0444	✓	1.89
2025-12-25	oos	0.2443	0.244704	+0.17%	0.25095	+2.72%	0.0225	✓	1.89
2025-12-24	oos	0.2488	0.249172	+0.15%	0.2443	-1.81%	0.0103	✗	1.89
2025-12-23	oos	0.2436	0.24406	+0.19%	0.2488	+2.13%	0.0154	✓	1.87
2025-12-22	oos	0.2477	0.248111	+0.17%	0.2436	-1.66%	0.0055	✓	1.86
2025-12-21	oos	0.24925	0.249658	+0.16%	0.2477	-0.62%	0.0061	✗	1.86
2025-12-20	oos	0.2561	0.256442	+0.13%	0.24925	-2.67%	0.0351	✗	1.88
2025-12-19	oos	0.2542	0.254549	+0.14%	0.2561	+0.75%	0.0012	✓	1.88
2025-12-18	oos	0.24065	0.241765	+0.46%	0.2542	+5.63%	0.0067	✗	1.87
2025-12-17	oos	0.2509	0.251886	+0.39%	0.24065	-4.09%	0.0292	✗	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.2637	0.263928	+0.09%	0.2509	-4.85%	0.0152	✗	1.88
2025-12-15	oos	0.2638	0.265103	+0.49%	0.2637	-0.04%	0.0365	✗	1.89
2025-12-14	oos	0.2785	0.279101	+0.22%	0.2638	-5.28%	0.0185	✗	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.2891	0.289439	+0.12%	0.2785	-3.67%	0.0056	✓	1.89
2025-12-12	oos	0.2881	0.288726	+0.22%	0.2891	+0.35%	0.0018	✓	1.89
2025-12-11	oos	0.2974	0.297851	+0.15%	0.2881	-3.13%	0.0138	✓	1.90
2025-12-10	oos	0.30685	0.307065	+0.07%	0.2974	-3.08%	0.0424	✗	1.91
2025-12-09	oos	0.3159	0.31584	-0.02%	0.30685	-2.86%	0.0153	✓	1.91
2025-12-08	oos	0.3006	0.300771	+0.06%	0.3159	+5.09%	0.0069	✓	1.90
2025-12-07	oos	0.2932	0.293283	+0.03%	0.3006	+2.52%	0.0194	✓	1.89
2025-12-06	oos	0.2967	0.296629	-0.02%	0.2932	-1.18%	0.0357	✓	1.91
2025-12-05	oos	0.2922	0.29224	+0.01%	0.2967	+1.54%	0.0168	✓	1.91
2025-12-04	oos	0.3079	0.307652	-0.08%	0.2922	-5.10%	0.0064	✗	1.91
2025-12-03	oos	0.3205	0.32002	-0.15%	0.3079	-3.93%	0.0106	✓	1.91
2025-12-02	oos	0.308	0.307619	-0.12%	0.3205	+4.06%	0.0035	✓	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.2824	0.282279	-0.04%	0.308	+9.07%	0.0229	✓	1.94
2025-11-30	oos	0.30755	0.307076	-0.15%	0.2824	-8.18%	0.0065	✗	1.95
2025-11-29	oos	0.3129	0.312364	-0.17%	0.30755	-1.71%	0.0057	✓	1.94
2025-11-28	oos	0.3171	0.316478	-0.20%	0.3129	-1.32%	0.0098	✓	1.94
2025-11-27	oos	0.32335	0.322627	-0.22%	0.3171	-1.93%	0.0085	✓	1.94
2025-11-26	oos	0.3224	0.321566	-0.26%	0.32335	+0.29%	0.0124	✓	1.92
2025-11-25	oos	0.3193	0.31822	-0.34%	0.3224	+0.97%	0.0570	✓	1.98
2025-11-24	oos	0.321	0.319659	-0.42%	0.3193	-0.53%	0.0202	✗	1.99
2025-11-23	oos	0.3078	0.306511	-0.42%	0.321	+4.29%	0.0131	✗	1.98
2025-11-22	oos	0.3075	0.305317	-0.71%	0.3078	+0.10%	0.0423	✓	2.03
2025-11-21	oos	0.3121	0.308579	-1.13%	0.3075	-1.47%	0.0057	✓	2.03
2025-11-20	oos	0.3277	0.322517	-1.58%	0.3121	-4.76%	0.0018	✓	2.02
2025-11-19	oos	0.342	0.340426	-0.46%	0.3277	-4.18%	0.0798	✗	2.13
2025-11-18	oos	0.3463	0.345094	-0.35%	0.342	-1.24%	0.0247	✗	2.14
2025-11-17	oos	0.3375	0.336524	-0.29%	0.3463	+2.61%	0.0098	✗	2.14
2025-11-16	oos	0.3473	0.346322	-0.28%	0.3375	-2.82%	0.0223	✗	2.15
2025-11-15	oos	0.3604	0.358805	-0.44%	0.3473	-3.63%	0.0017	✓	2.15
2025-11-14	oos	0.3595	0.357772	-0.48%	0.3604	+0.25%	0.0163	✓	2.16
2025-11-13	oos	0.38295	0.381437	-0.40%	0.3595	-6.12%	0.0586	✗	2.24
2025-11-12	oos	0.40275	0.401778	-0.24%	0.38295	-4.92%	0.0030	✓	2.23
2025-11-11	oos	0.4116	0.410918	-0.17%	0.40275	-2.15%	0.0100	✗	2.25
2025-11-10	oos	0.4293	0.428892	-0.09%	0.4116	-4.12%	0.0232	✗	2.27
2025-11-09	oos	0.422	0.420963	-0.25%	0.4293	+1.73%	0.0082	✓	2.28
2025-11-08	oos	0.4026	0.401997	-0.15%	0.422	+4.82%	0.0046	✓	2.28
2025-11-07	oos	0.4112	0.41114	-0.01%	0.4026	-2.09%	0.0009	✗	2.25
2025-11-06	oos	0.3523	0.355753	+0.98%	0.4112	+16.72%	0.1023	✓	2.18
2025-11-05	oos	0.3613	0.364341	+0.84%	0.3523	-2.49%	0.0218	✓	2.20
2025-11-04	oos	0.3551	0.358349	+0.91%	0.3613	+1.75%	0.0442	✗	2.24
2025-11-03	oos	0.3715	0.372787	+0.35%	0.3551	-4.41%	0.0661	✓	2.34
2025-11-02	oos	0.4251	0.42495	-0.04%	0.3715	-12.61%	0.0503	✓	2.30
2025-11-01	oos	0.4243	0.424224	-0.02%	0.4251	+0.19%	0.0080	✓	2.30
2025-10-31	oos	0.4127	0.412936	+0.06%	0.4243	+2.81%	0.0167	✓	2.30
2025-10-30	oos	0.4062	0.406617	+0.10%	0.4127	+1.60%	0.0115	✗	2.30
2025-10-29	oos	0.44075	0.440717	-0.01%	0.4062	-7.84%	0.0457	✓	2.27
2025-10-28	oos	0.4417	0.441797	+0.02%	0.44075	-0.22%	0.0577	✓	2.33
2025-10-27	oos	0.458	0.458039	+0.01%	0.4417	-3.56%	0.0121	✗	2.33
2025-10-26	oos	0.4691	0.468874	-0.05%	0.458	-2.37%	0.0141	✓	2.33
2025-10-25	oos	0.4467	0.446874	+0.04%	0.4691	+5.01%	0.0113	✗	2.35
2025-10-24	oos	0.44955	0.449755	+0.05%	0.4467	-0.63%	0.0201	✗	2.37
2025-10-23	oos	0.4321	0.432744	+0.15%	0.44955	+4.04%	0.0183	✓	2.36
2025-10-22	oos	0.4216	0.422463	+0.20%	0.4321	+2.49%	0.0326	✗	2.37
2025-10-21	oos	0.4273	0.428332	+0.24%	0.4216	-1.33%	0.0012	✓	2.37
2025-10-20	oos	0.4426	0.443715	+0.25%	0.4273	-3.46%	0.0110	✓	2.42
2025-10-19	oos	0.4367	0.437931	+0.28%	0.4426	+1.35%	0.0310	✗	2.41
2025-10-18	oos	0.4218	0.423351	+0.37%	0.4367	+3.53%	0.0017	✓	2.41
2025-10-17	oos	0.42245	0.424176	+0.41%	0.4218	-0.15%	0.0224	✗	2.41
2025-10-16	oos	0.4364	0.438366	+0.45%	0.42245	-3.20%	0.0020	✓	2.41
2025-10-15	oos	0.4554	0.45747	+0.45%	0.4364	-4.17%	0.0105	✓	2.42
2025-10-14	oos	0.4704	0.47231	+0.41%	0.4554	-3.19%	0.0130	✓	2.45
2025-10-13	oos	0.48935	0.490862	+0.31%	0.4704	-3.87%	0.0048	✓	2.45
2025-10-12	oos	0.4605	0.463191	+0.58%	0.48935	+6.26%	0.0506	✓	2.40
2025-10-11	oos	0.422	0.425587	+0.85%	0.4605	+9.12%	0.0126	✗	2.40
2025-10-10	oos	0.4292	0.432215	+0.70%	0.422	-1.68%	0.0246	✓	2.45
2025-10-09	oos	0.5939	0.593993	+0.02%	0.4292	-27.73%	0.1795	✗	1.95
2025-10-08	oos	0.61245	0.612768	+0.05%	0.5939	-3.03%	0.0055	✗	1.94
2025-10-07	oos	0.5965	0.596585	+0.01%	0.61245	+2.67%	0.0045	✗	1.93
2025-10-06	oos	0.6297	0.628822	-0.14%	0.5965	-5.27%	0.0003	✓	1.94
2025-10-05	oos	0.5985	0.597403	-0.18%	0.6297	+5.21%	0.0340	✗	1.93
2025-10-04	oos	0.6028	0.600729	-0.34%	0.5985	-0.71%	0.0204	✓	1.93
2025-10-03	oos	0.62005	0.616601	-0.56%	0.6028	-2.78%	0.0249	✓	1.94
2025-10-02	oos	0.6237	0.619131	-0.73%	0.62005	-0.59%	0.0258	✓	1.95
2025-10-01	oos	0.6052	0.600708	-0.74%	0.6237	+3.06%	0.0052	✓	1.97
2025-09-30	oos	0.572	0.570349	-0.29%	0.6052	+5.80%	0.0198	✓	2.01
2025-09-29	oos	0.58455	0.582227	-0.40%	0.572	-2.15%	0.0124	✓	2.03
2025-09-28	oos	0.585	0.583172	-0.31%	0.58455	-0.08%	0.0373	✓	2.07
2025-09-27	oos	0.57445	0.573537	-0.16%	0.585	+1.84%	0.0281	✓	2.11
2025-09-26	oos	0.5796	0.578237	-0.24%	0.57445	-0.89%	0.0063	✓	2.12
2025-09-25	oos	0.5648	0.56387	-0.16%	0.5796	+2.62%	0.0147	✗	2.12
2025-09-24	oos	0.59475	0.588831	-1.00%	0.5648	-5.04%	0.0430	✗	2.18
2025-09-23	oos	0.59685	0.591455	-0.90%	0.59475	-0.35%	0.0205	✓	2.20
2025-09-22	oos	0.60435	0.598771	-0.92%	0.59685	-1.24%	0.0108	✗	2.20
2025-09-21	oos	0.6457	0.641531	-0.65%	0.60435	-6.40%	0.0108	✓	2.19
2025-09-20	oos	0.6585	0.656284	-0.34%	0.6457	-1.94%	0.0072	✓	2.23
2025-09-19	oos	0.65575	0.654556	-0.18%	0.6585	+0.42%	0.0048	✗	2.24
2025-09-18	oos	0.6902	0.688923	-0.18%	0.65575	-4.99%	0.0219	✓	2.24
2025-09-17	oos	0.6744	0.673516	-0.13%	0.6902	+2.34%	0.0124	✗	2.23

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.