XVG

Verge · native · gru_s2

token id: #522
symbol: XVG
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,304

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0941

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0167

actual -0.0002

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.002616	0.002552	-2.44%	–	pending	–	–	0.91
2026-10-21	oos	0.002608	0.002552	-2.12%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-20	oos	0.002588	0.002539	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.90
2026-10-19	oos	0.002506	0.00247	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-18	oos	0.002517	0.002482	-1.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-17	oos	0.002567	0.002529	-1.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-10-16	oos	0.002596	0.002558	-1.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.87
2026-10-15	oos	0.002636	0.002597	-1.47%	0.002616	-0.76%	0.0145	✓	0.86
2026-10-14	oos	0.002629	0.002596	-1.24%	0.002608	-0.82%	0.0213	✓	0.86
2026-10-13	oos	0.002773	0.002726	-1.69%	0.002588	-6.67%	0.0503	✓	0.85
2026-10-12	oos	0.002734	0.002695	-1.41%	0.002506	-8.34%	0.0739	✓	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.002933	0.002873	-2.07%	0.002517	-14.20%	0.1166	✓	0.77
2026-10-10	oos	0.002969	0.002906	-2.14%	0.002567	-13.54%	0.1095	✓	0.77
2026-10-09	oos	0.002837	0.002788	-1.71%	0.002596	-8.48%	0.0616	✓	0.77
2026-10-08	oos	0.00279	0.002749	-1.48%	0.002636	-5.52%	0.0459	✓	0.77
2026-10-07	oos	0.002967	0.002907	-2.01%	0.002629	-11.39%	0.0852	✓	0.74
2026-10-06	oos	0.003074	0.003004	-2.29%	0.002773	-9.79%	0.0588	✓	0.73
2026-10-05	oos	0.003147	0.00307	-2.46%	0.002734	-13.12%	0.0810	✓	0.73
2026-10-04	oos	0.003182	0.0031	-2.57%	0.002933	-7.81%	0.0308	✓	0.74
2026-10-03	oos	0.003217	0.003133	-2.62%	0.002969	-7.69%	0.0372	✓	0.75
2026-10-02	oos	0.003112	0.003037	-2.41%	0.002837	-8.85%	0.0507	✓	0.75
2026-10-01	oos	0.003205	0.003123	-2.56%	0.00279	-12.95%	0.0847	✓	0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.003278	0.00319	-2.67%	0.002967	-9.49%	0.0700	✓	0.76
2026-09-29	oos	0.003142	0.003072	-2.23%	0.003074	-2.18%	0.0167	✓	0.76
2026-09-28	oos	0.003132	0.003067	-2.07%	0.003147	+0.49%	0.0047	✓	0.78
2026-09-27	oos	0.003476	0.00334	-3.93%	0.003182	-8.46%	0.0668	✓	0.77
2026-09-26	oos	0.003173	0.003094	-2.50%	0.003217	+1.39%	0.0361	✗	0.78
2026-09-25	oos	0.003124	0.00305	-2.37%	0.003112	-0.38%	0.0164	✓	0.78
2026-09-24	oos	0.003019	0.00296	-1.96%	0.003205	+6.16%	0.0753	✗	0.79
2026-09-23	oos	0.00285	0.002811	-1.37%	0.003278	+15.02%	0.1615	✗	0.80
2026-09-22	oos	0.003191	0.003124	-2.09%	0.003142	-1.50%	0.0284	✗	0.74
2026-09-21	oos	0.003143	0.003082	-1.95%	0.003132	-0.37%	0.0441	✗	0.76
2026-09-20	oos	0.003043	0.002986	-1.86%	0.003476	+14.23%	0.1202	✗	0.79
2026-09-19	oos	0.003151	0.003085	-2.09%	0.003173	+0.71%	0.0019	✓	0.78
2026-09-18	oos	0.003204	0.003131	-2.26%	0.003124	-2.48%	0.0330	✓	0.79
2026-09-17	oos	0.002975	0.002921	-1.83%	0.003019	+1.48%	0.0396	✓	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.002802	0.002765	-1.32%	0.00285	+1.71%	0.0447	✓	0.73
2026-09-15	oos	0.002642	0.002624	-0.66%	0.003191	+20.78%	0.0997	✗	0.73
2026-09-14	oos	0.00275	0.002731	-0.66%	0.003143	+14.31%	0.0672	✗	0.72
2026-09-13	oos	0.002674	0.00266	-0.54%	0.003043	+13.78%	0.0951	✗	0.71
2026-09-12	oos	0.002687	0.002677	-0.38%	0.003151	+17.25%	0.1266	✗	0.72
2026-09-11	oos	0.002584	0.00259	+0.22%	0.003204	+23.95%	0.1783	✓	0.74
2026-09-10	oos	0.00258	0.002588	+0.33%	0.002975	+15.33%	0.1412	✓	0.74
2026-09-09	oos	0.002711	0.002718	+0.27%	0.002802	+3.36%	0.0502	✓	0.72
2026-09-08	oos	0.00292	0.002914	-0.23%	0.002642	-9.55%	0.0708	✓	0.73
2026-09-07	oos	0.00291	0.002906	-0.13%	0.00275	-5.52%	0.0467	✓	0.74
2026-09-06	oos	0.002873	0.002884	+0.40%	0.002674	-6.91%	0.0409	✗	0.77
2026-09-05	oos	0.002804	0.002813	+0.31%	0.002687	-4.17%	0.0206	✗	0.77
2026-09-04	oos	0.002835	0.002838	+0.11%	0.002584	-8.84%	0.0692	✗	0.77
2026-09-03	oos	0.002638	0.002676	+1.44%	0.00258	-2.20%	0.0136	✓	0.84
2026-09-02	oos	0.002763	0.002731	-1.16%	0.002711	-1.88%	0.0193	✓	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.002458	0.002474	+0.65%	0.00292	+18.82%	0.1528	✓	0.98
2026-08-31	oos	0.002551	0.002567	+0.64%	0.00291	+14.07%	0.1190	✓	0.95
2026-08-30	oos	0.002396	0.002415	+0.80%	0.002873	+19.91%	0.1402	✓	0.99
2026-08-29	oos	0.002445	0.002466	+0.86%	0.002804	+14.68%	0.1090	✓	0.96
2026-08-28	oos	0.002443	0.002463	+0.84%	0.002835	+16.05%	0.1182	✓	0.96
2026-08-27	oos	0.002577	0.002611	+1.30%	0.002638	+2.35%	0.0013	✓	0.94
2026-08-26	oos	0.002557	0.002577	+0.77%	0.002763	+8.04%	0.0904	✓	0.94
2026-08-25	oos	0.00246	0.00248	+0.83%	0.002458	-0.08%	0.0044	✓	0.93
2026-08-24	oos	0.002533	0.002549	+0.62%	0.002551	+0.71%	0.0058	✓	0.92
2026-08-23	oos	0.002637	0.002627	-0.39%	0.002396	-9.14%	0.0912	✓	0.94
2026-08-22	oos	0.002557	0.002532	-1.00%	0.002445	-4.40%	0.0492	✓	0.94
2026-08-21	oos	0.002445	0.002442	-0.10%	0.002443	-0.06%	0.0064	✗	0.96
2026-08-20	oos	0.002209	0.002185	-1.10%	0.002577	+16.66%	0.0803	✗	0.89
2026-08-19	oos	0.002108	0.002068	-1.88%	0.002557	+21.32%	0.0931	✗	0.91
2026-08-18	oos	0.001982	0.001941	-2.05%	0.00246	+24.12%	0.0626	✗	0.90
2026-08-17	oos	0.002018	0.001975	-2.13%	0.002533	+25.52%	0.0590	✗	0.94
2026-08-16	oos	0.002029	0.001987	-2.06%	0.002637	+29.97%	0.0783	✗	0.96
2026-08-15	oos	0.002076	0.002032	-2.11%	0.002557	+23.22%	0.0375	✗	0.96
2026-08-14	oos	0.002105	0.00206	-2.15%	0.002445	+16.13%	0.0387	✓	0.96
2026-08-13	oos	0.00207	0.002027	-2.08%	0.002209	+6.71%	0.0514	✓	0.98
2026-08-12	oos	0.002107	0.002062	-2.12%	0.002108	+0.05%	0.0689	✓	1.02
2026-08-11	oos	0.002116	0.002072	-2.05%	0.001982	-6.31%	0.0635	✓	1.06
2026-08-10	oos	0.002203	0.002154	-2.21%	0.002018	-8.40%	0.0747	✓	1.07
2026-08-09	oos	0.002248	0.002192	-2.49%	0.002029	-9.74%	0.0432	✓	1.08
2026-08-08	oos	0.002103	0.002056	-2.23%	0.002076	-1.31%	0.0412	✗	1.08
2026-08-07	oos	0.002018	0.001979	-1.92%	0.002105	+4.31%	0.0938	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.002	0.001964	-1.82%	0.00207	+3.50%	0.0669	✗	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.001984	0.001947	-1.82%	0.002107	+6.23%	0.0988	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.001953	0.001919	-1.74%	0.002116	+8.32%	0.1062	✗	1.08
2026-08-03	oos	0.002014	0.001974	-1.99%	0.002203	+9.38%	0.1022	✗	1.09
2026-08-02	oos	0.001912	0.001879	-1.68%	0.002248	+17.60%	0.1558	✗	1.11
2026-08-01	oos	0.001924	0.001891	-1.68%	0.002103	+9.33%	0.0684	✗	1.12
2026-07-31	oos	0.001917	0.001886	-1.60%	0.002018	+5.27%	0.0311	✗	1.13
2026-07-30	oos	0.001889	0.001861	-1.49%	0.002	+5.88%	0.0804	✗	1.17
2026-07-29	oos	0.001892	0.001866	-1.35%	0.001984	+4.84%	0.0475	✗	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.001999	0.001968	-1.54%	0.001953	-2.30%	0.0116	✓	1.21
2026-07-27	oos	0.00211	0.002067	-2.02%	0.002014	-4.55%	0.0218	✓	1.22
2026-07-26	oos	0.002172	0.002129	-1.97%	0.001912	-11.99%	0.0728	✓	1.23
2026-07-25	oos	0.002139	0.0021	-1.81%	0.001924	-10.07%	0.0582	✓	1.23
2026-07-24	oos	0.00214	0.002102	-1.78%	0.001917	-10.42%	0.0676	✓	1.23
2026-07-23	oos	0.002101	0.002069	-1.54%	0.001889	-10.09%	0.0846	✓	1.25
2026-07-22	oos	0.002167	0.002134	-1.51%	0.001892	-12.69%	0.0788	✓	1.24
2026-07-21	oos	0.002124	0.002097	-1.29%	0.001999	-5.89%	0.0031	✓	1.24
2026-07-20	oos	0.002099	0.002066	-1.57%	0.00211	+0.52%	0.0489	✗	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.002173	0.002126	-2.17%	0.002172	-0.05%	0.0094	✓	1.19
2026-07-18	oos	0.002024	0.002002	-1.11%	0.002139	+5.68%	0.0753	✗	1.15
2026-07-17	oos	0.002038	0.002016	-1.06%	0.00214	+5.00%	0.0562	✗	1.10
2026-07-16	oos	0.002069	0.002046	-1.10%	0.002101	+1.55%	0.0042	✓	1.12
2026-07-15	oos	0.002119	0.002095	-1.13%	0.002167	+2.27%	0.0149	✗	0.90
2026-07-14	oos	0.002116	0.002094	-1.05%	0.002124	+0.38%	0.0067	✓	0.91
2026-07-13	oos	0.002107	0.002086	-1.00%	0.002099	-0.38%	0.0373	✓	0.94
2026-07-12	oos	0.002131	0.002109	-1.02%	0.002173	+1.97%	0.0157	✗	0.96
2026-07-11	oos	0.002154	0.002133	-1.00%	0.002024	-6.04%	0.0668	✓	0.92
2026-07-10	oos	0.002172	0.00215	-1.00%	0.002038	-6.17%	0.0502	✓	0.94
2026-07-09	oos	0.002133	0.002114	-0.87%	0.002069	-3.00%	0.0305	✓	0.93
2026-07-08	oos	0.00211	0.002095	-0.71%	0.002119	+0.43%	0.0259	✓	0.95
2026-07-07	oos	0.002144	0.002129	-0.72%	0.002116	-1.31%	0.0313	✓	0.98
2026-07-06	oos	0.002238	0.002219	-0.86%	0.002107	-5.85%	0.0249	✓	0.97
2026-07-05	oos	0.002262	0.002242	-0.86%	0.002131	-5.79%	0.0535	✓	1.02
2026-07-04	oos	0.002292	0.002272	-0.88%	0.002154	-6.02%	0.0642	✓	1.02
2026-07-03	oos	0.002314	0.002293	-0.92%	0.002172	-6.14%	0.0799	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.00224	0.002225	-0.66%	0.002133	-4.78%	0.0697	✓	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.002193	0.002184	-0.39%	0.00211	-3.78%	0.0722	✓	1.01
2026-06-30	oos	0.002089	0.002091	+0.12%	0.002144	+2.63%	0.0531	✗	0.99
2026-06-29	oos	0.002221	0.002212	-0.42%	0.002238	+0.77%	0.0479	✓	0.97
2026-06-28	oos	0.002229	0.002222	-0.30%	0.002262	+1.50%	0.0487	✓	1.00
2026-06-27	oos	0.002243	0.002236	-0.32%	0.002292	+2.18%	0.0261	✓	0.99
2026-06-26	oos	0.002293	0.002285	-0.37%	0.002314	+0.89%	0.0284	✓	1.00
2026-06-25	oos	0.002269	0.002265	-0.18%	0.00224	-1.28%	0.0403	✓	0.99
2026-06-24	oos	0.00235	0.002339	-0.46%	0.002193	-6.68%	0.0476	✓	1.01
2026-06-23	oos	0.00244	0.002423	-0.73%	0.002089	-14.40%	0.0809	✓	0.99
2026-06-22	oos	0.002481	0.002461	-0.82%	0.002221	-10.48%	0.0420	✓	0.99
2026-06-21	oos	0.002518	0.002497	-0.80%	0.002229	-11.48%	0.0529	✓	0.99
2026-06-20	oos	0.002557	0.002535	-0.87%	0.002243	-12.30%	0.0534	✓	1.00
2026-06-19	oos	0.002632	0.002607	-0.96%	0.002293	-12.86%	0.0710	✓	1.01
2026-06-18	oos	0.002554	0.002537	-0.65%	0.002269	-11.16%	0.0599	✓	1.00
2026-06-17	oos	0.002626	0.002605	-0.80%	0.00235	-10.51%	0.0479	✓	1.00
2026-06-16	oos	0.002673	0.002649	-0.89%	0.00244	-8.70%	0.0356	✓	1.00
2026-06-15	oos	0.002746	0.002714	-1.15%	0.002481	-9.63%	0.0534	✓	1.02
2026-06-14	oos	0.002605	0.002587	-0.70%	0.002518	-3.36%	0.0115	✗	1.01
2026-06-13	oos	0.002517	0.002506	-0.44%	0.002557	+1.61%	0.0236	✗	1.02
2026-06-12	oos	0.00246	0.002457	-0.13%	0.002632	+6.99%	0.0699	✗	1.01
2026-06-11	oos	0.002514	0.002509	-0.17%	0.002554	+1.61%	0.0287	✗	1.01
2026-06-10	oos	0.00239	0.002403	+0.56%	0.002626	+9.87%	0.0412	✓	0.99
2026-06-09	oos	0.002466	0.002479	+0.52%	0.002673	+8.39%	0.0144	✓	0.99
2026-06-08	oos	0.002553	0.00256	+0.27%	0.002746	+7.54%	0.0210	✓	0.99
2026-06-07	oos	0.002574	0.002584	+0.39%	0.002605	+1.20%	0.0280	✗	0.97
2026-06-06	oos	0.002486	0.002522	+1.47%	0.002517	+1.25%	0.0571	✗	0.96
2026-06-05	oos	0.002541	0.00258	+1.53%	0.00246	-3.19%	0.0862	✗	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.00263	0.002652	+0.85%	0.002514	-4.43%	0.0501	✗	0.97
2026-06-03	oos	0.002924	0.002928	+0.15%	0.00239	-18.26%	0.1629	✗	0.97
2026-06-02	oos	0.002989	0.002974	-0.51%	0.002466	-17.50%	0.1095	✓	1.00
2026-06-01	oos	0.003302	0.00323	-2.19%	0.002553	-22.68%	0.1225	✓	0.92
2026-05-31	oos	0.003314	0.00323	-2.54%	0.002574	-22.33%	0.0856	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.003228	0.003153	-2.33%	0.002486	-22.99%	0.0653	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.00321	0.003139	-2.21%	0.002541	-20.83%	0.0441	✓	0.91
2026-05-28	oos	0.003261	0.003185	-2.33%	0.00263	-19.35%	0.0632	✓	0.91
2026-05-27	oos	0.003242	0.003165	-2.37%	0.002924	-9.81%	0.0576	✗	0.92
2026-05-26	oos	0.00324	0.003161	-2.43%	0.002989	-7.75%	0.0644	✗	0.93
2026-05-25	oos	0.003328	0.00324	-2.65%	0.003302	-0.78%	0.0918	✗	0.91
2026-05-24	oos	0.003265	0.003188	-2.34%	0.003314	+1.52%	0.0798	✗	0.91
2026-05-23	oos	0.003363	0.00328	-2.46%	0.003228	-4.00%	0.0176	✓	0.88
2026-05-22	oos	0.003264	0.003196	-2.08%	0.00321	-1.67%	0.0284	✗	0.87
2026-05-21	oos	0.003442	0.003354	-2.55%	0.003261	-5.26%	0.0175	✓	0.85
2026-05-20	oos	0.003503	0.003402	-2.88%	0.003242	-7.45%	0.0125	✓	0.86
2026-05-19	oos	0.003191	0.003125	-2.05%	0.00324	+1.55%	0.0465	✗	0.84
2026-05-18	oos	0.003217	0.003151	-2.08%	0.003328	+3.43%	0.0515	✗	0.84
2026-05-17	oos	0.003172	0.00311	-1.96%	0.003265	+2.92%	0.0532	✗	0.84
2026-05-16	oos	0.003249	0.00318	-2.12%	0.003363	+3.49%	0.0714	✗	0.84
2026-05-15	oos	0.003376	0.003299	-2.27%	0.003264	-3.32%	0.0291	✗	0.85
2026-05-14	oos	0.003678	0.003578	-2.71%	0.003442	-6.42%	0.0022	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.003438	0.003351	-2.52%	0.003503	+1.89%	0.0626	✗	0.79
2026-05-12	oos	0.003562	0.003469	-2.60%	0.003191	-10.43%	0.0474	✓	0.77
2026-05-11	oos	0.003743	0.003644	-2.64%	0.003217	-14.04%	0.0800	✓	0.74
2026-05-10	oos	0.003779	0.003683	-2.54%	0.003172	-16.06%	0.1064	✓	0.71
2026-05-09	oos	0.003699	0.003602	-2.62%	0.003249	-12.17%	0.0804	✓	0.71
2026-05-08	oos	0.003748	0.003651	-2.60%	0.003376	-9.93%	0.0681	✓	0.71
2026-05-07	oos	0.003641	0.00356	-2.22%	0.003678	+1.02%	0.0231	✗	0.71
2026-05-06	oos	0.003775	0.003703	-1.91%	0.003438	-8.93%	0.0504	✓	0.89
2026-05-05	oos	0.003839	0.003762	-2.00%	0.003562	-7.22%	0.0502	✓	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.00362	0.003551	-1.90%	0.003743	+3.40%	0.0335	✗	0.83
2026-05-03	oos	0.003532	0.003438	-2.66%	0.003779	+6.99%	0.0574	✗	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.003224	0.003179	-1.38%	0.003699	+14.73%	0.1306	✗	0.84
2026-05-01	oos	0.003281	0.003231	-1.53%	0.003748	+14.23%	0.1278	✗	0.84
2026-04-30	oos	0.00306	0.003018	-1.35%	0.003641	+19.01%	0.1477	✗	0.84
2026-04-29	oos	0.003122	0.003076	-1.48%	0.003775	+20.92%	0.1436	✗	0.85
2026-04-28	oos	0.003263	0.003206	-1.73%	0.003839	+17.65%	0.1297	✗	0.86
2026-04-27	oos	0.003312	0.003259	-1.59%	0.00362	+9.30%	0.0776	✗	0.86
2026-04-26	oos	0.003422	0.003373	-1.43%	0.003532	+3.21%	0.0473	✗	0.86
2026-04-25	oos	0.003368	0.003318	-1.47%	0.003224	-4.28%	0.0403	✓	0.86
2026-04-24	oos	0.003439	0.003387	-1.49%	0.003281	-4.58%	0.0407	✓	0.89
2026-04-23	oos	0.0034	0.003359	-1.21%	0.00306	-10.01%	0.0706	✓	0.89
2026-04-22	oos	0.003441	0.003406	-1.02%	0.003122	-9.27%	0.0586	✓	0.89
2026-04-21	oos	0.003618	0.00357	-1.31%	0.003263	-9.80%	0.0895	✓	0.91
2026-04-20	oos	0.003616	0.00357	-1.28%	0.003312	-8.41%	0.0931	✓	0.93
2026-04-19	oos	0.003684	0.00363	-1.48%	0.003422	-7.11%	0.1198	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.003538	0.003503	-1.00%	0.003368	-4.80%	0.0634	✓	0.97
2026-04-17	oos	0.00373	0.003694	-0.96%	0.003439	-7.82%	0.0762	✓	0.96
2026-04-16	oos	0.004677	0.004585	-1.96%	0.0034	-27.30%	0.3413	✓	1.04
2026-04-15	oos	0.004599	0.004515	-1.82%	0.003441	-25.17%	0.3174	✓	1.04
2026-04-14	oos	0.00465	0.004557	-2.00%	0.003618	-22.20%	0.2611	✓	1.05
2026-04-13	oos	0.00483	0.004724	-2.19%	0.003616	-25.13%	0.2872	✓	1.05
2026-04-12	oos	0.00475	0.004647	-2.16%	0.003684	-22.44%	0.2771	✓	1.06
2026-04-11	oos	0.005028	0.004904	-2.46%	0.003538	-29.63%	0.3643	✓	1.06
2026-04-10	oos	0.005014	0.004881	-2.65%	0.00373	-25.61%	0.3269	✓	1.06
2026-04-09	oos	0.004749	0.004639	-2.31%	0.004677	-1.52%	0.0400	✓	1.05
2026-04-08	oos	0.0045	0.0044	-2.22%	0.004599	+2.20%	0.0095	✓	1.05
2026-04-07	oos	0.004663	0.004555	-2.31%	0.00465	-0.28%	0.0118	✓	1.04
2026-04-06	oos	0.004368	0.004283	-1.95%	0.00483	+10.58%	0.0386	✗	1.05
2026-04-05	oos	0.004322	0.004243	-1.83%	0.00475	+9.90%	0.0867	✗	1.05
2026-04-04	oos	0.004264	0.004202	-1.45%	0.005028	+17.92%	0.0935	✗	1.04
2026-04-03	oos	0.004232	0.004181	-1.21%	0.005014	+18.48%	0.0918	✗	1.04
2026-04-02	oos	0.004245	0.004196	-1.14%	0.004749	+11.89%	0.0498	✗	1.05
2026-04-01	oos	0.00439	0.004329	-1.37%	0.0045	+2.51%	0.0059	✓	1.04
2026-03-31	oos	0.004503	0.004434	-1.53%	0.004663	+3.56%	0.0042	✓	1.04
2026-03-30	oos	0.004259	0.004223	-0.85%	0.004368	+2.56%	0.0015	✓	1.04
2026-03-29	oos	0.0043	0.004268	-0.74%	0.004322	+0.52%	0.0353	✓	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.004474	0.004432	-0.94%	0.004264	-4.69%	0.0540	✓	1.05
2026-03-27	oos	0.004527	0.004486	-0.91%	0.004232	-6.52%	0.0678	✓	1.05
2026-03-26	oos	0.004792	0.004723	-1.43%	0.004245	-11.43%	0.0779	✓	1.05
2026-03-25	oos	0.004935	0.004854	-1.63%	0.00439	-11.05%	0.0526	✓	1.05
2026-03-24	oos	0.004971	0.004886	-1.72%	0.004503	-9.42%	0.0465	✓	1.06
2026-03-23	oos	0.00487	0.004789	-1.67%	0.004259	-12.55%	0.0537	✓	1.06
2026-03-22	oos	0.004678	0.004623	-1.17%	0.0043	-8.09%	0.0427	✓	1.06
2026-03-21	oos	0.004794	0.004726	-1.42%	0.004474	-6.68%	0.0143	✓	1.06
2026-03-20	oos	0.004901	0.004824	-1.57%	0.004527	-7.63%	0.0002	✓	1.05
2026-03-19	oos	0.004967	0.004892	-1.51%	0.004792	-3.53%	0.0032	✓	1.06
2026-03-18	oos	0.00509	0.005007	-1.62%	0.004935	-3.05%	0.0154	✓	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.005407	0.00531	-1.79%	0.004971	-8.06%	0.0165	✓	1.05
2026-03-16	oos	0.005616	0.005508	-1.92%	0.00487	-13.28%	0.0646	✓	1.06
2026-03-15	oos	0.005364	0.005264	-1.85%	0.004678	-12.78%	0.0435	✓	1.05
2026-03-14	oos	0.005304	0.005203	-1.91%	0.004794	-9.62%	0.0470	✓	1.05
2026-03-13	oos	0.005117	0.005031	-1.68%	0.004901	-4.22%	0.0195	✓	1.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.005049	0.004968	-1.61%	0.004967	-1.61%	0.0092	✓	1.06
2026-03-11	oos	0.00514	0.005054	-1.68%	0.00509	-0.97%	0.0085	✓	1.07
2026-03-10	oos	0.005124	0.00504	-1.64%	0.005407	+5.52%	0.0109	✓	1.07
2026-03-09	oos	0.005201	0.005117	-1.61%	0.005616	+7.98%	0.0051	✓	1.09
2026-03-08	oos	0.005075	0.005019	-1.10%	0.005364	+5.68%	0.0424	✓	1.10
2026-03-07	oos	0.00519	0.005121	-1.33%	0.005304	+2.19%	0.0280	✓	1.10
2026-03-06	oos	0.005142	0.005077	-1.27%	0.005117	-0.49%	0.0368	✓	1.10
2026-03-05	oos	0.005438	0.005348	-1.67%	0.005049	-7.16%	0.0520	✓	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.005652	0.005549	-1.82%	0.00514	-9.06%	0.0399	✓	1.06
2026-03-03	oos	0.00546	0.005375	-1.55%	0.005124	-6.15%	0.0735	✓	1.09
2026-03-02	oos	0.005413	0.005334	-1.46%	0.005201	-3.93%	0.0189	✓	1.10
2026-03-01	oos	0.005432	0.005371	-1.12%	0.005075	-6.57%	0.0600	✓	1.08
2026-02-28	oos	0.005708	0.005617	-1.59%	0.00519	-9.07%	0.0839	✓	1.11
2026-02-27	oos	0.005688	0.005611	-1.36%	0.005142	-9.60%	0.1247	✓	1.12
2026-02-26	oos	0.005916	0.005812	-1.76%	0.005438	-8.07%	0.1209	✓	1.11
2026-02-25	oos	0.005993	0.00588	-1.89%	0.005652	-5.69%	0.1136	✓	1.11
2026-02-24	oos	0.005805	0.005735	-1.20%	0.00546	-5.94%	0.1218	✓	1.13
2026-02-23	oos	0.005849	0.005768	-1.39%	0.005413	-7.45%	0.1336	✓	1.11
2026-02-22	oos	0.005962	0.005851	-1.87%	0.005432	-8.89%	0.0429	✓	1.13
2026-02-21	oos	0.006039	0.005923	-1.92%	0.005708	-5.48%	0.0203	✓	1.14
2026-02-20	oos	0.006171	0.006047	-2.02%	0.005688	-7.83%	0.0260	✓	1.11
2026-02-19	oos	0.006065	0.005958	-1.76%	0.005916	-2.46%	0.0157	✓	1.11
2026-02-18	oos	0.00597	0.005881	-1.48%	0.005993	+0.39%	0.0071	✓	1.11
2026-02-17	oos	0.006017	0.005919	-1.63%	0.005805	-3.52%	0.0377	✗	1.11
2026-02-16	oos	0.006118	0.006007	-1.82%	0.005849	-4.40%	0.0448	✗	1.13
2026-02-15	oos	0.00603	0.005935	-1.58%	0.005962	-1.13%	0.0238	✗	1.12
2026-02-14	oos	0.00654	0.006391	-2.28%	0.006039	-7.66%	0.0284	✓	1.06
2026-02-13	oos	0.006368	0.006249	-1.87%	0.006171	-3.09%	0.0005	✓	1.06
2026-02-12	oos	0.006231	0.006159	-1.15%	0.006065	-2.66%	0.0282	✓	1.11
2026-02-11	oos	0.006002	0.005952	-0.83%	0.00597	-0.53%	0.0127	✗	1.08
2026-02-10	oos	0.006002	0.005943	-0.99%	0.006017	+0.25%	0.0338	✗	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.005808	0.005769	-0.66%	0.006118	+5.34%	0.0784	✗	1.10
2026-02-08	oos	0.005841	0.005815	-0.45%	0.00603	+3.24%	0.0603	✗	1.12
2026-02-07	oos	0.005826	0.00583	+0.07%	0.00654	+12.26%	0.1062	✓	1.11
2026-02-06	oos	0.005992	0.005971	-0.35%	0.006368	+6.28%	0.0921	✗	1.13
2026-02-05	oos	0.005072	0.005246	+3.43%	0.006231	+22.85%	0.1154	✓	1.07
2026-02-04	oos	0.005735	0.005757	+0.38%	0.006002	+4.66%	0.1443	✓	1.20
2026-02-03	oos	0.005656	0.005669	+0.22%	0.006002	+6.12%	0.1745	✓	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.005829	0.005798	-0.54%	0.005808	-0.36%	0.1489	✗	1.28
2026-02-01	oos	0.005417	0.005459	+0.77%	0.005841	+7.83%	0.1750	✓	1.19
2026-01-31	oos	0.005505	0.005529	+0.43%	0.005826	+5.83%	0.1962	✓	1.13
2026-01-30	oos	0.006033	0.005963	-1.17%	0.005992	-0.69%	0.1996	✗	1.11
2026-01-29	oos	0.006261	0.006171	-1.44%	0.005072	-18.99%	0.1395	✗	1.13
2026-01-28	oos	0.0068	0.006646	-2.26%	0.005735	-15.66%	0.0785	✗	1.13
2026-01-27	oos	0.00729	0.007099	-2.62%	0.005656	-22.41%	0.0375	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.007216	0.007039	-2.45%	0.005829	-19.22%	0.0574	✓	1.14
2026-01-25	oos	0.006987	0.006846	-2.02%	0.005417	-22.47%	0.0983	✓	1.15
2026-01-24	oos	0.007835	0.007603	-2.96%	0.005505	-29.74%	0.1874	✓	1.09
2026-01-23	oos	0.007722	0.007489	-3.02%	0.006033	-21.87%	0.1463	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.007151	0.006968	-2.56%	0.006261	-12.45%	0.0422	✓	1.14
2026-01-21	oos	0.007626	0.007373	-3.32%	0.0068	-10.83%	0.0783	✓	1.15
2026-01-20	oos	0.006698	0.006532	-2.48%	0.00729	+8.84%	0.1002	✗	1.06
2026-01-19	oos	0.007259	0.007014	-3.38%	0.007216	-0.59%	0.0772	✗	1.02
2026-01-18	oos	0.007115	0.006886	-3.21%	0.006987	-1.80%	0.0978	✗	1.06
2026-01-17	oos	0.007088	0.00686	-3.21%	0.007835	+10.54%	0.2020	✗	1.06
2026-01-16	oos	0.007037	0.00681	-3.23%	0.007722	+9.73%	0.1948	✗	1.06
2026-01-15	oos	0.006845	0.00663	-3.14%	0.007151	+4.47%	0.1465	✗	1.07
2026-01-14	oos	0.007327	0.007066	-3.56%	0.007626	+4.08%	0.1624	✗	1.06
2026-01-13	oos	0.007091	0.006813	-3.93%	0.006698	-5.54%	0.0641	✗	1.05
2026-01-12	oos	0.006986	0.006653	-4.77%	0.007259	+3.91%	0.0706	✗	1.11
2026-01-11	oos	0.005938	0.005737	-3.39%	0.007115	+19.82%	0.1822	✗	1.11
2026-01-10	oos	0.005961	0.00576	-3.37%	0.007088	+18.91%	0.1505	✗	1.12
2026-01-09	oos	0.00582	0.005632	-3.23%	0.007037	+20.91%	0.1572	✗	1.22
2026-01-08	oos	0.005969	0.005767	-3.38%	0.006845	+14.68%	0.1120	✗	1.21
2026-01-07	oos	0.005805	0.005617	-3.24%	0.007327	+26.22%	0.1712	✗	1.57
2026-01-06	oos	0.006263	0.00604	-3.56%	0.007091	+13.22%	0.1331	✗	1.55
2026-01-05	oos	0.006123	0.005911	-3.46%	0.006986	+14.09%	0.2129	✗	1.58
2026-01-04	oos	0.006133	0.00592	-3.48%	0.005938	-3.18%	0.0143	✓	1.64
2026-01-03	oos	0.006005	0.005798	-3.44%	0.005961	-0.73%	0.0317	✓	1.63
2026-01-02	oos	0.005757	0.005586	-2.98%	0.00582	+1.09%	0.0313	✗	1.59
2026-01-01	oos	0.005785	0.00562	-2.85%	0.005969	+3.18%	0.0194	✓	1.60
2025-12-31	oos	0.005761	0.005613	-2.58%	0.005805	+0.76%	0.0315	✓	1.54
2025-12-30	oos	0.006339	0.006089	-3.95%	0.006263	-1.20%	0.0715	✓	1.70
2025-12-29	oos	0.005615	0.005433	-3.24%	0.006123	+9.05%	0.0168	✓	1.82
2025-12-28	oos	0.005033	0.004937	-1.91%	0.006133	+21.84%	0.1427	✗	1.84
2025-12-27	oos	0.005116	0.005004	-2.19%	0.006005	+17.38%	0.1253	✗	1.82
2025-12-26	oos	0.004759	0.0047	-1.23%	0.005757	+20.97%	0.1487	✗	1.80
2025-12-25	oos	0.004825	0.004769	-1.15%	0.005785	+19.90%	0.1610	✗	1.80
2025-12-24	oos	0.004878	0.004823	-1.12%	0.005761	+18.10%	0.1800	✗	1.80
2025-12-23	oos	0.004879	0.004831	-0.98%	0.006339	+29.92%	0.2514	✗	1.84
2025-12-22	oos	0.004835	0.004786	-1.02%	0.005615	+16.13%	0.1901	✗	1.84
2025-12-21	oos	0.004755	0.004723	-0.68%	0.005033	+5.86%	0.0797	✗	1.84
2025-12-20	oos	0.00501	0.004965	-0.90%	0.005116	+2.12%	0.0410	✗	1.87
2025-12-19	oos	0.004946	0.004917	-0.57%	0.004759	-3.77%	0.0157	✓	1.87
2025-12-18	oos	0.004765	0.004789	+0.51%	0.004825	+1.26%	0.0300	✗	1.88
2025-12-17	oos	0.005085	0.005074	-0.22%	0.004878	-4.08%	0.0698	✓	1.88
2025-12-16	oos	0.00558	0.005505	-1.34%	0.004879	-12.56%	0.1117	✓	1.86
2025-12-15	oos	0.005587	0.005528	-1.05%	0.004835	-13.46%	0.1799	✓	1.88
2025-12-14	oos	0.005616	0.005543	-1.30%	0.004755	-15.33%	0.1633	✓	1.88
2025-12-13	oos	0.005997	0.005877	-2.00%	0.00501	-16.46%	0.1193	✓	1.86
2025-12-12	oos	0.00594	0.005833	-1.81%	0.004946	-16.74%	0.1193	✓	1.87
2025-12-11	oos	0.006286	0.006145	-2.25%	0.004765	-24.20%	0.1063	✓	1.86
2025-12-10	oos	0.006125	0.006003	-2.00%	0.005085	-16.97%	0.0443	✓	1.86
2025-12-09	oos	0.006552	0.006398	-2.34%	0.00558	-14.84%	0.0381	✓	1.84
2025-12-08	oos	0.00636	0.006233	-2.00%	0.005587	-12.15%	0.0214	✓	1.84
2025-12-07	oos	0.006327	0.006204	-1.95%	0.005616	-11.24%	0.0535	✓	1.84
2025-12-06	oos	0.006425	0.006301	-1.94%	0.005997	-6.66%	0.0699	✓	1.86
2025-12-05	oos	0.006527	0.006393	-2.05%	0.00594	-8.99%	0.0929	✓	1.86
2025-12-04	oos	0.006261	0.006142	-1.91%	0.006286	+0.39%	0.0138	✓	1.92
2025-12-03	oos	0.006445	0.006314	-2.03%	0.006125	-4.97%	0.0010	✓	1.92
2025-12-02	oos	0.006032	0.005939	-1.55%	0.006552	+8.62%	0.0695	✗	1.92
2025-12-01	oos	0.006069	0.006002	-1.10%	0.00636	+4.79%	0.0458	✓	2.10
2025-11-30	oos	0.006753	0.006619	-1.99%	0.006327	-6.31%	0.0458	✓	2.06
2025-11-29	oos	0.006782	0.006649	-1.96%	0.006425	-5.26%	0.0014	✓	2.06
2025-11-28	oos	0.006916	0.006777	-2.01%	0.006527	-5.62%	0.0020	✓	2.06
2025-11-27	oos	0.00704	0.006891	-2.12%	0.006261	-11.06%	0.1132	✓	2.06
2025-11-26	oos	0.007597	0.007408	-2.49%	0.006445	-15.16%	0.2073	✓	2.10
2025-11-25	oos	0.007468	0.007306	-2.17%	0.006032	-19.23%	0.2880	✓	2.16
2025-11-24	oos	0.007677	0.007486	-2.48%	0.006069	-20.95%	0.1608	✓	2.16
2025-11-23	oos	0.007305	0.007163	-1.95%	0.006753	-7.56%	0.1454	✓	2.15
2025-11-22	oos	0.007715	0.007535	-2.33%	0.006782	-12.09%	0.2640	✓	2.27
2025-11-21	oos	0.006828	0.006753	-1.10%	0.006916	+1.29%	0.1262	✓	2.26
2025-11-20	oos	0.006926	0.006844	-1.19%	0.00704	+1.65%	0.0941	✓	2.28
2025-11-19	oos	0.007339	0.007197	-1.93%	0.007597	+3.52%	0.0797	✗	2.35
2025-11-18	oos	0.008345	0.008102	-2.91%	0.007468	-10.51%	0.0621	✗	2.31
2025-11-17	oos	0.008631	0.008282	-4.05%	0.007677	-11.05%	0.0237	✓	2.34
2025-11-16	oos	0.00731	0.007142	-2.29%	0.007305	-0.07%	0.2222	✗	2.45
2025-11-15	oos	0.007727	0.007429	-3.85%	0.007715	-0.16%	0.3325	✗	2.44
2025-11-14	oos	0.006365	0.006277	-1.38%	0.006828	+7.27%	0.3348	✗	2.38
2025-11-13	oos	0.006292	0.006174	-1.87%	0.006926	+10.08%	0.4782	✗	2.58
2025-11-12	oos	0.006572	0.006422	-2.28%	0.007339	+11.67%	0.4059	✗	2.58
2025-11-11	oos	0.006829	0.006657	-2.52%	0.008345	+22.20%	0.4932	✗	2.59
2025-11-10	oos	0.007461	0.007231	-3.09%	0.008631	+15.68%	0.5325	✗	2.53
2025-11-09	oos	0.007729	0.007465	-3.42%	0.00731	-5.42%	0.2506	✗	2.57
2025-11-08	oos	0.007187	0.007003	-2.57%	0.007727	+7.51%	0.2733	✗	2.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.008097	0.0078	-3.67%	0.006365	-21.39%	0.0170	✓	2.48
2025-11-06	oos	0.007891	0.00763	-3.31%	0.006292	-20.26%	0.1511	✓	2.50
2025-11-05	oos	0.007973	0.007678	-3.70%	0.006572	-17.57%	0.1009	✓	2.52
2025-11-04	oos	0.007436	0.00719	-3.31%	0.006829	-8.16%	0.0894	✓	2.51
2025-11-03	oos	0.007494	0.007237	-3.43%	0.007461	-0.44%	0.0451	✗	2.68
2025-11-02	oos	0.007159	0.006925	-3.27%	0.007729	+7.96%	0.2648	✗	2.85
2025-11-01	oos	0.006955	0.006667	-4.14%	0.007187	+3.34%	0.2842	✗	2.86
2025-10-31	oos	0.006029	0.005869	-2.65%	0.008097	+34.30%	0.4891	✗	2.84
2025-10-30	oos	0.00538	0.005279	-1.88%	0.007891	+46.67%	0.5902	✗	2.81
2025-10-29	oos	0.00582	0.005687	-2.28%	0.007973	+36.99%	0.4978	✗	2.77
2025-10-28	oos	0.005772	0.005646	-2.18%	0.007436	+28.83%	0.5793	✗	2.85
2025-10-27	oos	0.006075	0.005934	-2.32%	0.007494	+23.36%	0.4272	✗	2.84
2025-10-26	oos	0.006418	0.006219	-3.11%	0.007159	+11.55%	0.2419	✗	2.83
2025-10-25	oos	0.005879	0.005735	-2.44%	0.006955	+18.30%	0.2341	✗	2.84
2025-10-24	oos	0.005456	0.005348	-1.98%	0.006029	+10.50%	0.1580	✗	2.83
2025-10-23	oos	0.005343	0.005254	-1.67%	0.00538	+0.69%	0.0706	✗	2.83
2025-10-22	oos	0.005511	0.005427	-1.52%	0.00582	+5.61%	0.0046	✓	2.90
2025-10-21	oos	0.005692	0.005598	-1.66%	0.005772	+1.41%	0.0885	✓	2.90
2025-10-20	oos	0.006148	0.006009	-2.27%	0.006075	-1.19%	0.0803	✓	2.91
2025-10-19	oos	0.006143	0.006015	-2.08%	0.006418	+4.48%	0.0877	✓	2.90
2025-10-18	oos	0.006015	0.005905	-1.83%	0.005879	-2.26%	0.1229	✓	2.91
2025-10-17	oos	0.005669	0.005602	-1.17%	0.005456	-3.76%	0.1481	✓	2.89
2025-10-16	oos	0.005854	0.005775	-1.34%	0.005343	-8.73%	0.1287	✓	2.90
2025-10-15	oos	0.005989	0.005899	-1.50%	0.005511	-7.98%	0.0181	✗	2.92
2025-10-14	oos	0.006257	0.006149	-1.72%	0.005692	-9.03%	0.0479	✗	2.94
2025-10-13	oos	0.006624	0.006465	-2.40%	0.006148	-7.19%	0.0720	✗	2.93
2025-10-12	oos	0.006247	0.006099	-2.38%	0.006143	-1.66%	0.1714	✗	2.87
2025-10-11	oos	0.005424	0.005393	-0.56%	0.006015	+10.90%	0.2012	✗	2.82
2025-10-10	oos	0.005462	0.005423	-0.72%	0.005669	+3.79%	0.2147	✗	2.86
2025-10-09	oos	0.007354	0.007162	-2.61%	0.005854	-20.40%	0.1002	✗	2.56
2025-10-08	oos	0.007706	0.007443	-3.41%	0.005989	-22.28%	0.0532	✗	2.52
2025-10-07	oos	0.007019	0.006848	-2.45%	0.006257	-10.86%	0.0889	✗	2.52
2025-10-06	oos	0.007606	0.00739	-2.84%	0.006624	-12.91%	0.0878	✗	2.51
2025-10-05	oos	0.007616	0.007405	-2.77%	0.006247	-17.98%	0.0085	✓	2.52
2025-10-04	oos	0.008481	0.008116	-4.31%	0.005424	-36.05%	0.1467	✓	2.55
2025-10-03	oos	0.008139	0.007824	-3.87%	0.005462	-32.89%	0.1571	✓	2.55
2025-10-02	oos	0.009417	0.008753	-7.05%	0.007354	-21.91%	0.1981	✓	2.65
2025-10-01	oos	0.006286	0.006012	-4.35%	0.007706	+22.59%	0.1547	✗	2.42
2025-09-30	oos	0.00498	0.004915	-1.31%	0.007019	+40.95%	0.2229	✗	2.14
2025-09-29	oos	0.004977	0.00491	-1.35%	0.007606	+52.82%	0.2488	✗	2.18
2025-09-28	oos	0.004948	0.00489	-1.17%	0.007616	+53.92%	0.2283	✗	2.23
2025-09-27	oos	0.004853	0.004814	-0.80%	0.008481	+74.76%	0.3172	✗	2.26
2025-09-26	oos	0.004928	0.004887	-0.83%	0.008139	+65.16%	0.2621	✗	2.28
2025-09-25	oos	0.004767	0.004743	-0.51%	0.009417	+97.55%	0.4565	✗	2.27
2025-09-24	oos	0.005314	0.005235	-1.48%	0.006286	+18.29%	0.0806	✗	2.23
2025-09-23	oos	0.005216	0.005147	-1.33%	0.00498	-4.52%	0.0736	✓	2.24
2025-09-22	oos	0.005302	0.005225	-1.45%	0.004977	-6.13%	0.0803	✓	2.21
2025-09-21	oos	0.005739	0.005628	-1.93%	0.004948	-13.78%	0.0698	✓	2.17
2025-09-20	oos	0.005775	0.005665	-1.91%	0.004853	-15.97%	0.0361	✓	2.20
2025-09-19	oos	0.005737	0.005631	-1.86%	0.004928	-14.10%	0.0167	✓	2.19
2025-09-18	oos	0.006008	0.005881	-2.12%	0.004767	-20.66%	0.0541	✓	2.18

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.