GITCOIN

GITCOIN · · gru_s2

token id: #910
symbol: GITCOIN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,274

Track record at +7d

assessed

391

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

55.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0949

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0092

actual +0.0062

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.305135	0.287911	-5.64%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-20	oos	0.3197	0.301546	-5.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.34262	0.320183	-6.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-18	oos	0.262905	0.249677	-5.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.236285	0.225121	-4.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.194295	0.189757	-2.34%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-15	oos	0.19959	0.194956	-2.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.32
2026-10-14	oos	0.22069	0.213519	-3.25%	0.305135	+38.26%	0.3524	✗	0.34
2026-10-13	oos	0.22483	0.217169	-3.41%	0.3197	+42.20%	0.3874	✗	0.34
2026-10-12	oos	0.28174	0.26259	-6.80%	0.34262	+21.61%	0.2655	✗	0.44
2026-10-11	oos	0.181495	0.179335	-1.19%	0.262905	+44.86%	0.3982	✗	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.18555	0.181854	-1.99%	0.236285	+27.34%	0.2766	✗	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	0.191325	0.185726	-2.93%	0.194295	+1.55%	0.0552	✗	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.21178	0.201907	-4.66%	0.19959	-5.76%	0.0159	✓	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.190335	0.182219	-4.26%	0.22069	+15.95%	0.2100	✗	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.14877	0.14597	-1.88%	0.22483	+51.13%	0.4638	✗	1.10
2026-10-05	oos	0.187335	0.179144	-4.37%	0.28174	+50.39%	0.5039	✗	1.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.17482	0.166049	-5.02%	0.181495	+3.82%	0.1259	✗	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.11475	0.111643	-2.71%	0.18555	+61.70%	0.5281	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.13424	0.128726	-4.11%	0.191325	+42.52%	0.4178	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.143895	0.135993	-5.49%	0.21178	+47.18%	0.4766	✗	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.09422	0.090891	-3.53%	0.190335	+102.01%	0.7417	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.08629	0.084467	-2.11%	0.14877	+72.41%	0.5485	✗	0.78
2026-09-28	oos	0.085545	0.08411	-1.68%	0.187335	+118.99%	0.7783	✗	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.0909	0.08972	-1.30%	0.17482	+92.32%	0.6476	✗	0.81
2026-09-26	oos	0.091	0.090231	-0.85%	0.11475	+26.10%	0.2373	✗	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.092755	0.091965	-0.85%	0.13424	+44.73%	0.3743	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.086435	0.087072	+0.74%	0.143895	+66.48%	0.4979	✓	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.083	0.08369	+0.83%	0.09422	+13.52%	0.1266	✓	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.088195	0.087152	-1.18%	0.08629	-2.16%	0.0142	✗	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.087215	0.085216	-2.29%	0.085545	-1.91%	0.0337	✗	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.083935	0.084296	+0.43%	0.0909	+8.30%	0.0411	✓	0.86
2026-09-19	oos	0.08571	0.085488	-0.26%	0.091	+6.17%	0.0294	✗	0.86
2026-09-18	oos	0.081885	0.082001	+0.14%	0.092755	+13.27%	0.0892	✓	0.87
2026-09-17	oos	0.07708	0.077826	+0.97%	0.086435	+12.14%	0.0191	✓	0.86
2026-09-16	oos	0.0758	0.07691	+1.46%	0.083	+9.50%	0.0116	✓	0.85
2026-09-15	oos	0.07503	0.076326	+1.73%	0.088195	+17.55%	0.0294	✓	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077365	0.079139	+2.29%	0.087215	+12.73%	0.0070	✓	0.88
2026-09-13	oos	0.07788	0.079182	+1.67%	0.083935	+7.77%	0.0096	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.077905	0.079524	+2.08%	0.08571	+10.02%	0.0307	✓	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.07607	0.07844	+3.12%	0.081885	+7.64%	0.0017	✓	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.075515	0.077864	+3.11%	0.07708	+2.07%	0.0079	✓	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.078425	0.08104	+3.33%	0.0758	-3.35%	0.0423	✗	0.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.082695	0.085012	+2.80%	0.07503	-9.27%	0.0903	✗	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.080165	0.082762	+3.24%	0.077365	-3.49%	0.0563	✗	0.95
2026-09-06	oos	0.08248	0.084712	+2.71%	0.07788	-5.58%	0.0415	✗	0.95
2026-09-05	oos	0.08222	0.084142	+2.34%	0.077905	-5.25%	0.0461	✗	0.95
2026-09-04	oos	0.079325	0.08122	+2.39%	0.07607	-4.10%	0.0368	✗	0.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.08127	0.082988	+2.11%	0.075515	-7.08%	0.0394	✗	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.078745	0.079822	+1.37%	0.078425	-0.41%	0.0296	✗	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.07956	0.080327	+0.96%	0.082695	+3.94%	0.0161	✓	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.08127	0.082239	+1.19%	0.080165	-1.36%	0.0317	✗	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.08009	0.081488	+1.75%	0.08248	+2.98%	0.0209	✗	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.083185	0.084903	+2.07%	0.08222	-1.16%	0.0505	✗	0.91
2026-08-28	oos	0.0849	0.086227	+1.56%	0.079325	-6.57%	0.1046	✗	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.08845	0.090028	+1.78%	0.08127	-8.12%	0.1134	✗	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.085315	0.086629	+1.54%	0.078745	-7.70%	0.0758	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.08244	0.08357	+1.37%	0.07956	-3.49%	0.0362	✗	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.08557	0.086436	+1.01%	0.08127	-5.03%	0.0570	✗	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.08864	0.088669	+0.03%	0.08009	-9.65%	0.1010	✗	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.08692	0.08679	-0.15%	0.083185	-4.30%	0.0560	✓	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.09159	0.091338	-0.27%	0.0849	-7.30%	0.0677	✓	0.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.085985	0.086411	+0.50%	0.08845	+2.87%	0.0576	✗	0.85
2026-08-19	oos	0.084035	0.083179	-1.02%	0.085315	+1.52%	0.0870	✓	0.86
2026-08-18	oos	0.08141	0.080723	-0.84%	0.08244	+1.27%	0.1578	✓	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.08341	0.082598	-0.97%	0.08557	+2.59%	0.1535	✓	0.93
2026-08-16	oos	0.085125	0.084068	-1.24%	0.08864	+4.13%	0.1541	✓	0.97
2026-08-15	oos	0.08596	0.084702	-1.46%	0.08692	+1.12%	0.1704	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.084925	0.083586	-1.58%	0.09159	+7.85%	0.1231	✓	0.98
2026-08-13	oos	0.08063	0.080282	-0.43%	0.085985	+6.64%	0.0717	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.081675	0.081339	-0.41%	0.084035	+2.89%	0.0614	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	0.083095	0.082776	-0.38%	0.08141	-2.03%	0.0348	✓	1.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.086115	0.085518	-0.69%	0.08341	-3.14%	0.0343	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.088645	0.087684	-1.08%	0.085125	-3.97%	0.0071	✓	1.16
2026-08-08	oos	0.088445	0.087256	-1.34%	0.08596	-2.81%	0.0174	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.084405	0.0834	-1.19%	0.084925	+0.62%	0.0505	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.08178	0.080704	-1.32%	0.08063	-1.41%	0.0132	✓	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.079185	0.078315	-1.10%	0.081675	+3.14%	0.0620	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.07476	0.074216	-0.73%	0.083095	+11.15%	0.1215	✗	1.04
2026-08-03	oos	0.077655	0.076519	-1.46%	0.086115	+10.89%	0.1107	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.07726	0.075859	-1.81%	0.088645	+14.74%	0.1341	✗	1.03
2026-08-01	oos	0.07626	0.074779	-1.94%	0.088445	+15.98%	0.1335	✗	1.02
2026-07-31	oos	0.07421	0.072288	-2.59%	0.084405	+13.74%	0.1220	✗	1.02
2026-07-30	oos	0.073465	0.06996	-4.77%	0.08178	+11.32%	0.1636	✗	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.073065	0.069964	-4.24%	0.079185	+8.38%	0.1121	✗	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.07689	0.073171	-4.84%	0.07476	-2.77%	0.0181	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.07114	0.068633	-3.52%	0.077655	+9.16%	0.1273	✗	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.068975	0.067008	-2.85%	0.07726	+12.01%	0.1740	✗	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.0688	0.067286	-2.20%	0.07626	+10.84%	0.1511	✗	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.065655	0.06554	-0.18%	0.07421	+13.03%	0.1448	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.06713	0.06669	-0.66%	0.073465	+9.44%	0.1019	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.06796	0.067338	-0.91%	0.073065	+7.51%	0.1148	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.06845	0.067582	-1.27%	0.07689	+12.33%	0.1697	✗	0.99
2026-07-20	oos	0.06732	0.067075	-0.36%	0.07114	+5.67%	0.0808	✗	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.06641	0.066314	-0.14%	0.068975	+3.86%	0.0301	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.06636	0.066408	+0.07%	0.0688	+3.68%	0.0426	✓	0.93
2026-07-17	oos	0.066405	0.066298	-0.16%	0.065655	-1.13%	0.0122	✓	0.82
2026-07-16	oos	0.067165	0.067232	+0.10%	0.06713	-0.05%	0.0168	✗	0.77
2026-07-15	oos	0.06929	0.069512	+0.32%	0.06796	-1.92%	0.0386	✗	0.76
2026-07-14	oos	0.070405	0.070844	+0.62%	0.06845	-2.78%	0.0524	✗	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.0674	0.067694	+0.44%	0.06732	-0.12%	0.0411	✗	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.06919	0.069938	+1.08%	0.06641	-4.02%	0.0630	✗	0.77
2026-07-11	oos	0.068475	0.069419	+1.38%	0.06636	-3.09%	0.0589	✗	0.87
2026-07-10	oos	0.069415	0.070324	+1.31%	0.066405	-4.34%	0.0541	✗	0.88
2026-07-09	oos	0.06843	0.069215	+1.15%	0.067165	-1.85%	0.0383	✗	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.069165	0.069607	+0.64%	0.06929	+0.18%	0.0389	✗	0.88
2026-07-07	oos	0.070535	0.071056	+0.74%	0.070405	-0.18%	0.0318	✗	0.87
2026-07-06	oos	0.074435	0.074596	+0.22%	0.0674	-9.45%	0.0778	✗	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.07528	0.075205	-0.10%	0.06919	-8.09%	0.0854	✓	0.83
2026-07-04	oos	0.07538	0.075088	-0.39%	0.068475	-9.16%	0.1011	✓	0.83
2026-07-03	oos	0.08036	0.079345	-1.26%	0.069415	-13.62%	0.1543	✓	0.81
2026-07-02	oos	0.07374	0.073647	-0.13%	0.06843	-7.20%	0.0946	✓	0.78
2026-07-01	oos	0.073425	0.073011	-0.56%	0.069165	-5.80%	0.0836	✓	0.79
2026-06-30	oos	0.066145	0.066888	+1.12%	0.070535	+6.64%	0.0053	✓	0.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.068145	0.068658	+0.75%	0.074435	+9.23%	0.0354	✓	0.73
2026-06-28	oos	0.06846	0.068964	+0.74%	0.07528	+9.96%	0.0382	✓	0.74
2026-06-27	oos	0.068265	0.068272	+0.01%	0.07538	+10.42%	0.0611	✓	0.74
2026-06-26	oos	0.06861	0.068474	-0.20%	0.08036	+17.13%	0.1294	✗	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.068195	0.068318	+0.18%	0.07374	+8.13%	0.0545	✓	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.06986	0.069693	-0.24%	0.073425	+5.10%	0.0639	✗	0.70
2026-06-23	oos	0.07161	0.07106	-0.77%	0.066145	-7.63%	0.0213	✓	0.74
2026-06-22	oos	0.07623	0.075279	-1.25%	0.068145	-10.61%	0.0566	✓	0.70
2026-06-21	oos	0.075245	0.074572	-0.89%	0.06846	-9.02%	0.0428	✓	0.70
2026-06-20	oos	0.07835	0.077382	-1.23%	0.068265	-12.87%	0.0784	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.075955	0.074988	-1.27%	0.06861	-9.67%	0.0516	✓	0.66
2026-06-18	oos	0.076205	0.075104	-1.45%	0.068195	-10.51%	0.0611	✓	0.68
2026-06-17	oos	0.080185	0.078684	-1.87%	0.06986	-12.88%	0.0834	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	0.082235	0.080573	-2.02%	0.07161	-12.92%	0.0883	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	0.08092	0.079394	-1.89%	0.07623	-5.80%	0.0176	✓	0.65
2026-06-14	oos	0.081315	0.079577	-2.14%	0.075245	-7.46%	0.0311	✓	0.65
2026-06-13	oos	0.07894	0.077252	-2.14%	0.07835	-0.75%	0.0161	✓	0.62
2026-06-12	oos	0.07697	0.075317	-2.15%	0.075955	-1.32%	0.0090	✓	0.61
2026-06-11	oos	0.0787	0.076972	-2.20%	0.076205	-3.17%	0.0035	✓	0.61
2026-06-10	oos	0.072485	0.07139	-1.51%	0.080185	+10.62%	0.0916	✗	0.52
2026-06-09	oos	0.07651	0.074807	-2.23%	0.082235	+7.48%	0.0612	✗	0.54
2026-06-07	oos	0.07432	0.072417	-2.56%	0.081315	+9.41%	0.0951	✗	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.0741	0.071437	-3.59%	0.07894	+6.53%	0.0653	✗	0.60
2026-06-05	oos	0.07737	0.073673	-4.78%	0.07697	-0.52%	0.0198	✓	0.60
2026-06-04	oos	0.08171	0.077247	-5.46%	0.0787	-3.68%	0.0208	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.08873	0.083055	-6.40%	0.072485	-18.31%	0.1119	✓	0.59
2026-06-02	oos	0.08961	0.085723	-4.34%	0.07651	-14.62%	0.0663	✓	0.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.09889	0.096055	-2.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.094545	0.092868	-1.77%	0.07432	-21.39%	0.1499	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.09347	0.092025	-1.55%	0.0741	-20.72%	0.1252	✓	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.092475	0.091224	-1.35%	0.07737	-16.33%	0.0738	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.09348	0.09235	-1.21%	0.08171	-12.59%	0.0544	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.09646	0.095294	-1.21%	0.08873	-8.01%	0.0004	✓	0.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.093435	0.092655	-0.83%	0.08961	-4.09%	0.0311	✗	0.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.09847	0.097525	-0.96%	0.09889	+0.43%	0.0555	✗	0.52
2026-05-24	oos	0.10152	0.100525	-0.98%	0.094545	-6.87%	0.0377	✓	0.52
2026-05-23	oos	0.109445	0.107761	-1.54%	0.09347	-14.60%	0.1215	✓	0.54
2026-05-22	oos	0.10947	0.107749	-1.57%	0.092475	-15.52%	0.1375	✓	0.55
2026-05-21	oos	0.108555	0.106734	-1.68%	0.09348	-13.89%	0.1022	✓	0.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.104355	0.102991	-1.31%	0.09646	-7.57%	0.0420	✓	0.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.10251	0.100987	-1.49%	0.093435	-8.85%	0.0708	✓	0.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.095495	0.095043	-0.47%	0.09847	+3.12%	0.0331	✗	0.58
2026-05-17	oos	0.09797	0.096428	-1.57%	0.10152	+3.62%	0.0548	✗	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.10234	0.098707	-3.55%	0.109445	+6.94%	0.1142	✗	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.10441	0.099144	-5.04%	0.10947	+4.85%	0.1264	✗	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.11545	0.109078	-5.52%	0.108555	-5.97%	0.0188	✓	0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.11943	0.113217	-5.20%	0.104355	-12.62%	0.0679	✓	0.59
2026-05-12	oos	0.1365	0.128519	-5.85%	0.10251	-24.90%	0.2012	✓	0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.177745	0.160751	-9.56%	0.095495	-46.27%	0.4956	✓	0.42
2026-05-10	oos	0.10148	0.100767	-0.70%	0.09797	-3.46%	0.0033	✓	0.52
2026-05-09	oos	0.10086	0.10014	-0.71%	0.10234	+1.47%	0.0385	✗	0.52
2026-05-07	oos	0.092805	0.092793	-0.01%	0.11545	+24.40%	0.2117	✗	0.51
2026-05-06	oos	0.09127	0.092	+0.80%	0.11943	+30.85%	0.2781	✓	0.64
2026-05-05	oos	0.088365	0.089748	+1.57%	0.1365	+54.47%	0.4232	✓	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.09352	0.094072	+0.59%	0.177745	+90.06%	0.6190	✓	0.74
2026-05-03	oos	0.09292	0.093138	+0.24%	0.10148	+9.21%	0.0519	✓	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	0.09292	0.093622	+0.76%	0.10086	+8.54%	0.0556	✓	0.76
2026-04-30	oos	0.093425	0.093388	-0.04%	0.092805	-0.66%	0.0441	✓	0.80
2026-04-29	oos	0.093435	0.093201	-0.25%	0.09127	-2.32%	0.0789	✓	0.80
2026-04-28	oos	0.095645	0.095528	-0.12%	0.088365	-7.61%	0.1260	✓	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.09717	0.097441	+0.28%	0.09352	-3.76%	0.0671	✗	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.09153	0.093197	+1.82%	0.09292	+1.52%	0.0018	✓	0.83
2026-04-25	oos	0.094655	0.094866	+0.22%	0.09292	-1.83%	0.0319	✗	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.116335	0.112691	-3.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.109425	0.10636	-2.80%	0.093425	-14.62%	0.1071	✓	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.102415	0.099907	-2.45%	0.093435	-8.77%	0.0389	✓	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.10705	0.102866	-3.91%	0.095645	-10.65%	0.0724	✓	0.90
2026-04-20	oos	0.11432	0.108909	-4.73%	0.09717	-15.00%	0.1318	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.109585	0.103623	-5.44%	0.09153	-16.48%	0.1830	✓	0.93
2026-04-18	oos	0.097545	0.093699	-3.94%	0.094655	-2.96%	0.0138	✓	0.96
2026-04-17	oos	0.0899	0.088454	-1.61%	0.116335	+29.40%	0.2694	✗	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.08841	0.085746	-3.01%	0.109425	+23.77%	0.2038	✗	0.99
2026-04-15	oos	0.08242	0.080907	-1.84%	0.102415	+24.26%	0.1925	✗	0.98
2026-04-14	oos	0.07959	0.078366	-1.54%	0.10705	+34.50%	0.2836	✗	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.08342	0.081991	-1.71%	0.11432	+37.04%	0.3141	✗	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.07559	0.07429	-1.72%	0.109585	+44.97%	0.3479	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.078515	0.077682	-1.06%	0.097545	+24.24%	0.1935	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.07798	0.077509	-0.60%	0.0899	+15.29%	0.0959	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.07821	0.077561	-0.83%	0.08841	+13.04%	0.0869	✗	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.07942	0.078511	-1.14%	0.08242	+3.78%	0.0010	✓	0.96
2026-04-07	oos	0.08039	0.079441	-1.18%	0.07959	-1.00%	0.0281	✓	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.07956	0.078292	-1.59%	0.08342	+4.85%	0.0133	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.07457	0.073847	-0.97%	0.07559	+1.37%	0.0012	✓	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.0766	0.0761	-0.65%	0.078515	+2.50%	0.0513	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.07325	0.073413	+0.22%	0.07798	+6.46%	0.0257	✗	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.0744	0.074518	+0.16%	0.07821	+5.12%	0.0223	✗	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.07843	0.078149	-0.36%	0.07942	+1.26%	0.0265	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.07749	0.077361	-0.17%	0.08039	+3.74%	0.0148	✓	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	0.07634	0.076276	-0.08%	0.07956	+4.22%	0.0106	✗	1.01
2026-03-29	oos	0.07582	0.07575	-0.09%	0.07457	-1.65%	0.0615	✓	1.01
2026-03-28	oos	0.07925	0.078844	-0.51%	0.0766	-3.34%	0.0436	✓	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.07896	0.078582	-0.48%	0.07325	-7.23%	0.0795	✓	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.07768	0.077644	-0.05%	0.0744	-4.22%	0.0140	✓	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.0836	0.083709	+0.13%	0.07843	-6.18%	0.0182	✗	1.03
2026-03-24	oos	0.08545	0.084852	-0.70%	0.07749	-9.32%	0.0564	✓	1.03
2026-03-23	oos	0.08246	0.082384	-0.09%	0.07634	-7.42%	0.0141	✓	1.03
2026-03-22	oos	0.08039	0.079875	-0.64%	0.07582	-5.68%	0.0228	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.07959	0.079469	-0.15%	0.07925	-0.43%	0.0373	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.083455	0.0836	+0.17%	0.07896	-5.39%	0.0057	✓	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.089	0.088382	-0.69%	0.07768	-12.72%	0.1117	✓	1.05
2026-03-18	oos	0.09065	0.090685	+0.04%	0.0836	-7.78%	0.0822	✗	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.09312	0.093959	+0.90%	0.08545	-8.24%	0.0447	✗	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.09414	0.095258	+1.19%	0.08246	-12.41%	0.0853	✗	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09439	0.095285	+0.95%	0.08039	-14.83%	0.0937	✗	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.09464	0.095202	+0.59%	0.07959	-15.90%	0.1434	✗	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.0955	0.095816	+0.33%	0.083455	-12.61%	0.1312	✗	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.108195	0.1065	-1.57%	0.089	-17.74%	0.1699	✓	1.10
2026-03-11	oos	0.09188	0.092043	+0.18%	0.09065	-1.34%	0.0312	✗	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.08344	0.084769	+1.59%	0.09312	+11.60%	0.0345	✓	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.08216	0.083459	+1.58%	0.09414	+14.58%	0.0231	✓	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.078635	0.080247	+2.05%	0.09439	+20.04%	0.0549	✓	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.07856	0.0802	+2.09%	0.09464	+20.47%	0.1029	✓	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.08108	0.082337	+1.55%	0.0955	+17.78%	0.1040	✓	1.08
2026-03-05	oos	0.08471	0.085834	+1.33%	0.108195	+27.72%	0.2370	✓	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.08731	0.088259	+1.09%	0.09188	+5.23%	0.0781	✓	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.08708	0.087406	+0.37%	0.08344	-4.18%	0.0734	✗	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.08459	0.085211	+0.73%	0.08216	-2.87%	0.0298	✗	1.14
2026-03-01	oos	0.08345	0.083201	-0.30%	0.078635	-5.77%	0.0599	✓	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.08748	0.087296	-0.21%	0.07856	-10.20%	0.1104	✓	1.15
2026-02-27	oos	0.08944	0.088707	-0.82%	0.08108	-9.35%	0.1288	✓	1.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.09121	0.090866	-0.38%	0.08471	-7.13%	0.1272	✓	1.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0915	0.091249	-0.27%	0.08731	-4.58%	0.1217	✓	1.16
2026-02-24	oos	0.08644	0.085427	-1.17%	0.08708	+0.74%	0.0565	✓	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.08701	0.086166	-0.97%	0.08459	-2.78%	0.0915	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09035	0.090097	-0.28%	0.08345	-7.64%	0.0442	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.093555	0.093232	-0.35%	0.08748	-6.49%	0.0467	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.09345	0.093162	-0.31%	0.08944	-4.29%	0.0039	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.09335	0.092961	-0.42%	0.09121	-2.29%	0.0280	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.09564	0.095127	-0.54%	0.0915	-4.33%	0.0664	✓	1.17
2026-02-17	oos	0.10139	0.100691	-0.69%	0.08644	-14.75%	0.0959	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.104625	0.103778	-0.81%	0.08701	-16.84%	0.1066	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.10273	0.101986	-0.72%	0.09035	-12.05%	0.1023	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	0.1054	0.10445	-0.90%	0.093555	-11.24%	0.0811	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.10411	0.103157	-0.92%	0.09345	-10.24%	0.0856	✓	1.10
2026-02-12	oos	0.09806	0.097731	-0.34%	0.09335	-4.80%	0.0583	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.09563	0.095482	-0.15%	0.09564	+0.01%	0.0114	✗	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.09579	0.095458	-0.35%	0.10139	+5.85%	0.0815	✗	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.09841	0.097665	-0.76%	0.104625	+6.32%	0.0881	✗	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.0974	0.096498	-0.93%	0.10273	+5.47%	0.0859	✗	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.10021	0.098641	-1.57%	0.1054	+5.18%	0.0577	✗	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.101	0.098406	-2.57%	0.10411	+3.08%	0.0834	✗	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.0899	0.092452	+2.84%	0.09806	+9.08%	0.0002	✓	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.10425	0.099745	-4.32%	0.09563	-8.27%	0.0635	✗	1.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.1073	0.103077	-3.94%	0.09579	-10.73%	0.0448	✗	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.1112	0.108891	-2.08%	0.09841	-11.50%	0.0451	✗	1.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.1046	0.101865	-2.61%	0.0974	-6.88%	0.0595	✗	1.16
2026-01-31	oos	0.1058	0.104266	-1.45%	0.10021	-5.28%	0.1153	✗	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	0.1176	0.117111	-0.42%	0.101	-14.12%	0.0595	✗	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.1196	0.11912	-0.40%	0.0899	-24.83%	0.0692	✗	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.1301	0.128992	-0.85%	0.10425	-19.87%	0.0174	✗	1.15
2026-01-27	oos	0.1314	0.130059	-1.02%	0.1073	-18.34%	0.0018	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.1307	0.129407	-0.99%	0.1112	-14.92%	0.0169	✓	1.17
2026-01-25	oos	0.12455	0.123897	-0.52%	0.1046	-16.02%	0.0317	✓	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.1358	0.132948	-2.10%	0.1058	-22.09%	0.0880	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.1314	0.128373	-2.30%	0.1176	-10.50%	0.0176	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.1265	0.123851	-2.09%	0.1196	-5.45%	0.0293	✗	1.13
2026-01-21	oos	0.1297	0.126586	-2.40%	0.1301	+0.31%	0.0299	✗	1.13
2026-01-20	oos	0.1263	0.123983	-1.83%	0.1314	+4.04%	0.0478	✗	1.13
2026-01-19	oos	0.1382	0.133068	-3.71%	0.1307	-5.43%	0.0341	✓	1.09
2026-01-18	oos	0.1387	0.134141	-3.29%	0.12455	-10.20%	0.0123	✓	1.10
2026-01-17	oos	0.1472	0.142295	-3.33%	0.1358	-7.74%	0.0234	✓	1.07
2026-01-16	oos	0.1408	0.136095	-3.34%	0.1314	-6.68%	0.0354	✗	1.08
2026-01-15	oos	0.1368	0.132096	-3.44%	0.1265	-7.53%	0.0283	✓	1.08
2026-01-14	oos	0.1429	0.136518	-4.47%	0.1297	-9.24%	0.0359	✓	1.07
2026-01-13	oos	0.1487	0.141203	-5.04%	0.1263	-15.06%	0.0264	✓	1.11
2026-01-12	oos	0.1361	0.134388	-1.26%	0.1382	+1.54%	0.0122	✓	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.1414	0.138718	-1.90%	0.1387	-1.91%	0.0324	✓	1.08
2026-01-10	oos	0.1427	0.139668	-2.13%	0.1472	+3.15%	0.0031	✓	1.09
2026-01-09	oos	0.1446	0.141407	-2.21%	0.1408	-2.63%	0.0654	✓	1.14
2026-01-08	oos	0.1451	0.142119	-2.05%	0.1368	-5.72%	0.0920	✓	1.10
2026-01-07	oos	0.1457	0.143244	-1.69%	0.1429	-1.92%	0.0936	✓	1.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.1516	0.150457	-0.75%	0.1487	-1.91%	0.0383	✓	1.51
2026-01-05	oos	0.1541	0.153063	-0.67%	0.1361	-11.68%	0.0733	✓	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.1497	0.148108	-1.06%	0.1414	-5.54%	0.0359	✓	1.53
2026-01-03	oos	0.1473	0.1458	-1.02%	0.1427	-3.12%	0.0177	✓	1.53
2026-01-02	oos	0.1445	0.143268	-0.85%	0.1446	+0.07%	0.0001	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.1407	0.139642	-0.75%	0.1451	+3.13%	0.0002	✓	1.52
2025-12-31	oos	0.1303	0.130235	-0.05%	0.1457	+11.82%	0.0493	✗	1.49
2025-12-30	oos	0.1337	0.133569	-0.10%	0.1516	+13.39%	0.0395	✗	1.49
2025-12-29	oos	0.1317	0.13151	-0.14%	0.1541	+17.01%	0.0450	✗	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.1333	0.133173	-0.10%	0.1497	+12.30%	0.0557	✗	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.1347	0.134395	-0.23%	0.1473	+9.35%	0.0454	✗	1.48
2025-12-26	oos	0.1287	0.12883	+0.10%	0.1445	+12.28%	0.0708	✓	1.46
2025-12-25	oos	0.1252	0.125632	+0.35%	0.1407	+12.38%	0.0873	✓	1.46
2025-12-24	oos	0.1287	0.128901	+0.16%	0.1303	+1.24%	0.0127	✓	1.47
2025-12-23	oos	0.1291	0.12923	+0.10%	0.1337	+3.56%	0.0176	✓	1.49
2025-12-22	oos	0.1286	0.128771	+0.13%	0.1317	+2.41%	0.0471	✓	1.49
2025-12-21	oos	0.126	0.126288	+0.23%	0.1333	+5.79%	0.0669	✓	1.49
2025-12-20	oos	0.1281	0.128128	+0.02%	0.1347	+5.15%	0.0589	✓	1.51
2025-12-19	oos	0.1271	0.127093	-0.01%	0.1287	+1.26%	0.0263	✗	1.51
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.120675	+1.15%	0.1252	+4.95%	0.0071	✓	1.50
2025-12-17	oos	0.122	0.12349	+1.22%	0.1287	+5.49%	0.0170	✓	1.51
2025-12-16	oos	0.126	0.12655	+0.44%	0.1291	+2.46%	0.0273	✓	1.51
2025-12-15	oos	0.12745	0.128599	+0.90%	0.1286	+0.90%	0.0373	✗	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.12835	0.128428	+0.06%	0.126	-1.83%	0.0272	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.1368	0.134843	-1.43%	0.1281	-6.36%	0.0183	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.1387	0.136511	-1.58%	0.1271	-8.36%	0.0340	✓	1.53
2025-12-11	oos	0.1407	0.137972	-1.94%	0.1193	-15.21%	0.0225	✓	1.54
2025-12-10	oos	0.1427	0.140305	-1.68%	0.122	-14.51%	0.0382	✓	1.55
2025-12-09	oos	0.1517	0.14872	-1.96%	0.126	-16.94%	0.0836	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	0.14445	0.142693	-1.22%	0.12745	-11.77%	0.0406	✓	1.51
2025-12-07	oos	0.1409	0.139802	-0.78%	0.12835	-8.91%	0.0478	✓	1.51
2025-12-06	oos	0.1435	0.142468	-0.72%	0.1368	-4.67%	0.0573	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	0.1362	0.135927	-0.20%	0.1387	+1.84%	0.0044	✗	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	0.1435	0.142281	-0.85%	0.1407	-1.95%	0.0186	✓	1.52
2025-12-03	oos	0.1448	0.143388	-0.97%	0.1427	-1.45%	0.0186	✗	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	0.143	0.142071	-0.65%	0.1517	+6.08%	0.0424	✗	1.54
2025-12-01	oos	0.14	0.139706	-0.21%	0.14445	+3.18%	0.0476	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	0.1531	0.151776	-0.86%	0.1409	-7.97%	0.0749	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	0.1539	0.152359	-1.00%	0.1435	-6.76%	0.0320	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.1578	0.155794	-1.27%	0.1362	-13.69%	0.1065	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	0.1612	0.158672	-1.57%	0.1435	-10.98%	0.1142	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.1578	0.155476	-1.47%	0.1448	-8.24%	0.1242	✓	1.63
2025-11-25	oos	0.1562	0.154432	-1.13%	0.143	-8.45%	0.1528	✓	1.70
2025-11-24	oos	0.1593	0.156787	-1.58%	0.14	-12.12%	0.0746	✓	1.70
2025-11-23	oos	0.1603	0.157434	-1.79%	0.1531	-4.49%	0.0972	✓	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.156	0.152512	-2.24%	0.1539	-1.35%	0.1139	✓	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.154	0.149674	-2.81%	0.1578	+2.47%	0.0635	✓	1.75
2025-11-20	oos	0.1607	0.154362	-3.94%	0.1612	+0.31%	0.0508	✓	1.75
2025-11-19	oos	0.155	0.152052	-1.90%	0.1578	+1.81%	0.0583	✗	1.94
2025-11-18	oos	0.16	0.157233	-1.73%	0.1562	-2.37%	0.1125	✗	1.92
2025-11-17	oos	0.159	0.155967	-1.91%	0.1593	+0.19%	0.1030	✗	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.1628	0.16022	-1.58%	0.1603	-1.54%	0.1540	✗	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.1658	0.162809	-1.80%	0.156	-5.91%	0.1870	✗	1.90
2025-11-14	oos	0.1648	0.161682	-1.89%	0.154	-6.55%	0.1521	✗	1.91
2025-11-13	oos	0.1699	0.166662	-1.91%	0.1607	-5.41%	0.2476	✗	2.02
2025-11-12	oos	0.1754	0.172885	-1.43%	0.155	-11.63%	0.1054	✗	2.03
2025-11-11	oos	0.1778	0.176172	-0.92%	0.16	-10.01%	0.1176	✗	2.07
2025-11-10	oos	0.1908	0.189451	-0.71%	0.159	-16.67%	0.1455	✗	2.28
2025-11-09	oos	0.18975	0.187804	-1.03%	0.1628	-14.20%	0.1013	✗	2.31
2025-11-08	oos	0.1872	0.181504	-3.04%	0.1658	-11.43%	0.0689	✗	2.34
2025-11-07	oos	0.1896	0.184979	-2.44%	0.1648	-13.08%	0.0882	✗	2.29
2025-11-06	oos	0.1712	0.168506	-1.57%	0.1699	-0.76%	0.0459	✗	2.26
2025-11-05	oos	0.1747	0.175598	+0.51%	0.1754	+0.40%	0.0483	✓	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.1662	0.166952	+0.45%	0.1778	+6.98%	0.0286	✓	2.28
2025-11-03	oos	0.1627	0.164786	+1.28%	0.1908	+17.27%	0.1601	✓	2.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.1818	0.181095	-0.39%	0.18975	+4.37%	0.1803	✗	2.46
2025-11-01	oos	0.1838	0.182978	-0.45%	0.1872	+1.85%	0.2032	✗	2.46
2025-10-31	oos	0.1805	0.179901	-0.33%	0.1896	+5.04%	0.1979	✗	2.47
2025-10-30	oos	0.1788	0.178391	-0.23%	0.1712	-4.25%	0.1245	✗	2.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.1883	0.187643	-0.35%	0.1747	-7.22%	0.0693	✗	2.44
2025-10-28	oos	0.1962	0.195884	-0.16%	0.1662	-15.29%	0.0995	✗	2.47
2025-10-27	oos	0.2055	0.20581	+0.15%	0.1627	-20.83%	0.0668	✗	2.46
2025-10-26	oos	0.214	0.213915	-0.04%	0.1818	-15.05%	0.0750	✓	2.46
2025-10-25	oos	0.2071	0.207038	-0.03%	0.1838	-11.25%	0.0826	✓	2.51
2025-10-24	oos	0.20795	0.20783	-0.06%	0.1805	-13.20%	0.1071	✓	2.51
2025-10-23	oos	0.2065	0.206881	+0.18%	0.1788	-13.41%	0.1042	✗	2.52
2025-10-22	oos	0.2004	0.201254	+0.43%	0.1883	-6.04%	0.1234	✗	2.53
2025-10-21	oos	0.2095	0.210527	+0.49%	0.1962	-6.35%	0.1742	✗	2.53
2025-10-20	oos	0.2176	0.218852	+0.58%	0.2055	-5.56%	0.1430	✗	2.55
2025-10-19	oos	0.22035	0.221145	+0.36%	0.214	-2.88%	0.1659	✗	2.53
2025-10-18	oos	0.2146	0.215701	+0.51%	0.2071	-3.49%	0.1438	✗	2.53
2025-10-17	oos	0.2137	0.215172	+0.69%	0.20795	-2.69%	0.1404	✗	2.52
2025-10-16	oos	0.2164	0.219311	+1.35%	0.2065	-4.57%	0.1048	✗	2.54
2025-10-15	oos	0.2265	0.231221	+2.08%	0.2004	-11.52%	0.0680	✗	2.55
2025-10-14	oos	0.2356	0.24082	+2.22%	0.2095	-11.08%	0.0306	✗	2.56
2025-10-13	oos	0.24855	0.250716	+0.87%	0.2176	-12.45%	0.0356	✗	2.54
2025-10-12	oos	0.2306	0.236181	+2.42%	0.22035	-4.44%	0.0718	✓	2.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.212	0.219659	+3.61%	0.2146	+1.23%	0.0577	✓	2.48
2025-10-10	oos	0.20085	0.208315	+3.72%	0.2137	+6.40%	0.1771	✓	2.55
2025-10-09	oos	0.2782	0.275928	-0.82%	0.2164	-22.21%	0.0011	✓	2.07
2025-10-08	oos	0.28345	0.282388	-0.37%	0.2265	-20.09%	0.0009	✓	2.07
2025-10-07	oos	0.2716	0.271442	-0.06%	0.2356	-13.25%	0.0055	✗	2.07
2025-10-06	oos	0.2847	0.283576	-0.39%	0.24855	-12.70%	0.0327	✗	2.09
2025-10-05	oos	0.2785	0.276797	-0.61%	0.2306	-17.20%	0.0342	✓	2.09
2025-10-04	oos	0.2827	0.279345	-1.19%	0.212	-25.01%	0.0663	✓	2.09
2025-10-03	oos	0.2881	0.282728	-1.86%	0.20085	-30.28%	0.1763	✓	2.09
2025-10-02	oos	0.28665	0.2805	-2.15%	0.2782	-2.95%	0.0272	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.2778	0.272439	-1.93%	0.28345	+2.03%	0.0430	✓	2.13
2025-09-30	oos	0.2555	0.254514	-0.39%	0.2716	+6.30%	0.0673	✓	2.13
2025-09-29	oos	0.2643	0.262942	-0.51%	0.2847	+7.72%	0.1089	✓	2.17
2025-09-28	oos	0.2784	0.277189	-0.43%	0.2785	+0.04%	0.2137	✓	2.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.275	0.274465	-0.19%	0.2827	+2.80%	0.2249	✓	2.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.2823	0.281491	-0.29%	0.2881	+2.05%	0.2289	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.2714	0.272218	+0.30%	0.28665	+5.62%	0.1815	✗	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.299	0.295635	-1.13%	0.2778	-7.09%	0.1671	✓	2.29
2025-09-23	oos	0.3021	0.299121	-0.99%	0.2555	-15.43%	0.1996	✓	2.32
2025-09-22	oos	0.3062	0.302116	-1.33%	0.2643	-13.68%	0.1666	✓	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.33405	0.323726	-3.09%	0.2784	-16.66%	0.0900	✓	2.24
2025-09-20	oos	0.3417	0.329821	-3.48%	0.275	-19.52%	0.0600	✓	2.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.3364	0.325339	-3.29%	0.2823	-16.08%	0.0205	✓	2.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.36885	0.353934	-4.04%	0.2714	-26.42%	0.1045	✓	2.25
2025-09-17	oos	0.3637	0.349672	-3.86%	0.299	-17.79%	0.0953	✓	2.25
2025-09-16	oos	0.35105	0.338953	-3.45%	0.3021	-13.94%	0.0200	✓	2.26
2025-09-15	oos	0.34875	0.338398	-2.97%	0.3062	-12.20%	0.0473	✓	2.27
2025-09-14	oos	0.3584	0.347695	-2.99%	0.33405	-6.79%	0.0394	✓	2.26

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.