GITCOIN

GITCOIN · · gru_s2

token id: #910
symbol: GITCOIN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,274

Track record at +30d

assessed

367

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

65.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1646

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0360

actual +0.0035

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.305135	0.255486	-16.27%	–	pending	–	–	0.26
2026-10-20	oos	0.3197	0.270053	-15.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.34262	0.289419	-15.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-18	oos	0.262905	0.228395	-13.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.236285	0.207039	-12.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.194295	0.175441	-9.70%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-15	oos	0.19959	0.182908	-8.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.32
2026-10-14	oos	0.22069	0.199898	-9.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-13	oos	0.22483	0.207856	-7.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-12	oos	0.28174	0.2466	-12.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-10-11	oos	0.181495	0.17413	-4.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.18555	0.17623	-5.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	0.191325	0.179747	-6.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.21178	0.193543	-8.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.190335	0.178664	-6.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.14877	0.146406	-1.59%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-05	oos	0.187335	0.178601	-4.66%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.17482	0.16688	-4.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.11475	0.113012	-1.51%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.13424	0.129381	-3.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.143895	0.136898	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.09422	0.091803	-2.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.08629	0.085524	-0.89%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-09-28	oos	0.085545	0.084771	-0.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.0909	0.089459	-1.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-26	oos	0.091	0.089659	-1.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.092755	0.091834	-0.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.086435	0.086095	-0.39%	–	pending	–	–	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.083	0.082966	-0.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.088195	0.088484	+0.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.087215	0.087884	+0.77%	0.305135	+249.87%	1.2819	✓	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.083935	0.083284	-0.78%	0.3197	+280.89%	1.3265	✗	0.86
2026-09-19	oos	0.08571	0.084484	-1.43%	0.34262	+299.74%	1.3937	✗	0.86
2026-09-18	oos	0.081885	0.081671	-0.26%	0.262905	+221.07%	1.1570	✗	0.87
2026-09-17	oos	0.07708	0.077655	+0.75%	0.236285	+206.55%	1.0580	✓	0.86
2026-09-16	oos	0.0758	0.076579	+1.03%	0.194295	+156.33%	0.8729	✓	0.85
2026-09-15	oos	0.07503	0.076042	+1.35%	0.19959	+166.01%	0.8923	✓	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077365	0.077954	+0.76%	0.22069	+185.26%	1.0032	✓	0.88
2026-09-13	oos	0.07788	0.078523	+0.83%	0.22483	+188.69%	0.9824	✓	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.077905	0.078327	+0.54%	0.28174	+261.65%	1.2304	✓	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.07607	0.07737	+1.71%	0.181495	+138.59%	0.7810	✓	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.075515	0.077299	+2.36%	0.18555	+145.71%	0.8040	✓	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.078425	0.080096	+2.13%	0.191325	+143.96%	0.8239	✓	0.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.082695	0.083823	+1.36%	0.21178	+156.10%	0.8892	✓	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.080165	0.081866	+2.12%	0.190335	+137.43%	0.7946	✓	0.95
2026-09-06	oos	0.08248	0.084007	+1.85%	0.14877	+80.37%	0.5122	✓	0.95
2026-09-05	oos	0.08222	0.083684	+1.78%	0.187335	+127.85%	0.7382	✓	0.95
2026-09-04	oos	0.079325	0.081418	+2.64%	0.17482	+120.38%	0.6891	✓	0.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.08127	0.083993	+3.35%	0.11475	+41.20%	0.2736	✓	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.078745	0.080901	+2.74%	0.13424	+70.47%	0.4220	✓	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.07956	0.081979	+3.04%	0.143895	+80.86%	0.4743	✓	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.08127	0.083907	+3.24%	0.09422	+15.93%	0.0592	✓	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.08009	0.083526	+4.29%	0.08629	+7.74%	0.0398	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.083185	0.086383	+3.84%	0.085545	+2.84%	0.0684	✗	0.91
2026-08-28	oos	0.0849	0.087379	+2.92%	0.0909	+7.07%	0.0347	✗	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.08845	0.091554	+3.51%	0.091	+2.88%	0.0514	✗	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.085315	0.088031	+3.18%	0.092755	+8.72%	0.0032	✓	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.08244	0.084762	+2.82%	0.086435	+4.85%	0.0448	✗	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.08557	0.087194	+1.90%	0.083	-3.00%	0.1062	✗	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.08864	0.089402	+0.86%	0.088195	-0.50%	0.1063	✗	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.08692	0.088309	+1.60%	0.087215	+0.34%	0.1164	✗	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.09159	0.093192	+1.75%	0.083935	-8.36%	0.1355	✗	0.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.085985	0.086227	+0.28%	0.08571	-0.32%	0.0971	✗	0.85
2026-08-19	oos	0.084035	0.082502	-1.82%	0.081885	-2.56%	0.1397	✓	0.86
2026-08-18	oos	0.08141	0.079428	-2.43%	0.07708	-5.32%	0.1829	✓	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.08341	0.081342	-2.48%	0.0758	-9.12%	0.2253	✓	0.93
2026-08-16	oos	0.085125	0.082468	-3.12%	0.07503	-11.86%	0.2743	✓	0.97
2026-08-15	oos	0.08596	0.083003	-3.44%	0.077365	-10.00%	0.2807	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.084925	0.081886	-3.58%	0.07788	-8.30%	0.2454	✓	0.98
2026-08-13	oos	0.08063	0.078787	-2.29%	0.077905	-3.38%	0.2080	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.081675	0.079728	-2.38%	0.07607	-6.86%	0.2553	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	0.083095	0.081256	-2.21%	0.075515	-9.12%	0.2615	✓	1.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.086115	0.083925	-2.54%	0.078425	-8.93%	0.2824	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.088645	0.08597	-3.02%	0.082695	-6.71%	0.2604	✓	1.16
2026-08-08	oos	0.088445	0.085478	-3.36%	0.080165	-9.36%	0.2808	✓	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.084405	0.081575	-3.35%	0.08248	-2.28%	0.2199	✓	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.08178	0.078937	-3.48%	0.08222	+0.54%	0.1919	✓	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.079185	0.076421	-3.49%	0.079325	+0.18%	0.1884	✓	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.07476	0.072446	-3.10%	0.08127	+8.71%	0.1324	✓	1.04
2026-08-03	oos	0.077655	0.07465	-3.87%	0.078745	+1.40%	0.1569	✓	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.07726	0.073746	-4.55%	0.07956	+2.98%	0.1276	✓	1.03
2026-08-01	oos	0.07626	0.072662	-4.72%	0.08127	+6.57%	0.1173	✓	1.02
2026-07-31	oos	0.07421	0.070423	-5.10%	0.08009	+7.92%	0.0876	✓	1.02
2026-07-30	oos	0.073465	0.068841	-6.29%	0.083185	+13.23%	0.0117	✓	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.073065	0.068662	-6.03%	0.0849	+16.20%	0.0024	✓	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.07689	0.071887	-6.51%	0.08845	+15.03%	0.0369	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.07114	0.067347	-5.33%	0.085315	+19.93%	0.0086	✓	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.068975	0.065657	-4.81%	0.08244	+19.52%	0.0243	✓	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.0688	0.066191	-3.79%	0.08557	+24.38%	0.0360	✓	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.065655	0.065037	-0.94%	0.08864	+35.01%	0.1091	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.06713	0.066263	-1.29%	0.08692	+29.48%	0.1014	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.06796	0.067278	-1.00%	0.09159	+34.77%	0.1412	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.06845	0.067505	-1.38%	0.085985	+25.62%	0.1495	✗	0.99
2026-07-20	oos	0.06732	0.067547	+0.34%	0.084035	+24.83%	0.1617	✓	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.06641	0.067028	+0.93%	0.08141	+22.59%	0.1944	✓	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.06636	0.066987	+0.94%	0.08341	+25.69%	0.2239	✓	0.93
2026-07-17	oos	0.066405	0.066863	+0.69%	0.085125	+28.19%	0.2552	✓	0.82
2026-07-16	oos	0.067165	0.067736	+0.85%	0.08596	+27.98%	0.2474	✓	0.77
2026-07-15	oos	0.06929	0.06904	-0.36%	0.084925	+22.56%	0.2279	✗	0.76
2026-07-14	oos	0.070405	0.070558	+0.22%	0.08063	+14.52%	0.1523	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.0674	0.067712	+0.46%	0.081675	+21.18%	0.1734	✓	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.06919	0.069394	+0.29%	0.083095	+20.10%	0.1827	✓	0.77
2026-07-11	oos	0.068475	0.068777	+0.44%	0.086115	+25.76%	0.2229	✓	0.87
2026-07-10	oos	0.069415	0.069966	+0.79%	0.088645	+27.70%	0.2268	✓	0.88
2026-07-09	oos	0.06843	0.06867	+0.35%	0.088445	+29.25%	0.2293	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.069165	0.068524	-0.93%	0.084405	+22.03%	0.1717	✗	0.88
2026-07-07	oos	0.070535	0.070616	+0.11%	0.08178	+15.94%	0.1339	✓	0.87
2026-07-06	oos	0.074435	0.074053	-0.51%	0.079185	+6.38%	0.0590	✗	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.07528	0.074711	-0.76%	0.07476	-0.69%	0.0054	✓	0.83
2026-07-04	oos	0.07538	0.074408	-1.29%	0.077655	+3.02%	0.0377	✗	0.83
2026-07-03	oos	0.08036	0.079112	-1.55%	0.07726	-3.86%	0.0363	✓	0.81
2026-07-02	oos	0.07374	0.073595	-0.20%	0.07626	+3.42%	0.0195	✗	0.78
2026-07-01	oos	0.073425	0.073531	+0.14%	0.07421	+1.07%	0.0277	✗	0.79
2026-06-30	oos	0.066145	0.067242	+1.66%	0.073465	+11.07%	0.0140	✓	0.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.068145	0.069476	+1.95%	0.073065	+7.22%	0.0062	✓	0.73
2026-06-28	oos	0.06846	0.069389	+1.36%	0.07689	+12.31%	0.0502	✓	0.74
2026-06-27	oos	0.068265	0.069242	+1.43%	0.07114	+4.21%	0.0180	✗	0.74
2026-06-26	oos	0.06861	0.069283	+0.98%	0.068975	+0.53%	0.0680	✗	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.068195	0.068881	+1.01%	0.0688	+0.89%	0.0564	✗	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.06986	0.069014	-1.21%	0.065655	-6.02%	0.0844	✓	0.70
2026-06-23	oos	0.07161	0.068549	-4.27%	0.06713	-6.26%	0.0488	✓	0.74
2026-06-22	oos	0.07623	0.070582	-7.41%	0.06796	-10.85%	0.0610	✓	0.70
2026-06-21	oos	0.075245	0.070078	-6.87%	0.06845	-9.03%	0.0587	✓	0.70
2026-06-20	oos	0.07835	0.072058	-8.03%	0.06732	-14.08%	0.0784	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.075955	0.070424	-7.28%	0.06641	-12.57%	0.0712	✓	0.66
2026-06-18	oos	0.076205	0.070881	-6.99%	0.06636	-12.92%	0.0864	✓	0.68
2026-06-17	oos	0.080185	0.073771	-8.00%	0.066405	-17.19%	0.0997	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	0.082235	0.075131	-8.64%	0.067165	-18.33%	0.0938	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	0.08092	0.074126	-8.40%	0.06929	-14.37%	0.0521	✓	0.65
2026-06-14	oos	0.081315	0.074733	-8.09%	0.070405	-13.42%	0.0525	✓	0.65
2026-06-13	oos	0.07894	0.073063	-7.45%	0.0674	-14.62%	0.0594	✓	0.62
2026-06-12	oos	0.07697	0.071502	-7.10%	0.06919	-10.11%	0.0348	✓	0.61
2026-06-11	oos	0.0787	0.072167	-8.30%	0.068475	-12.99%	0.0545	✓	0.61
2026-06-10	oos	0.072485	0.0679	-6.32%	0.069415	-4.24%	0.0001	✓	0.52
2026-06-09	oos	0.07651	0.071061	-7.12%	0.06843	-10.56%	0.0506	✓	0.54
2026-06-07	oos	0.07432	0.067991	-8.52%	0.070535	-5.09%	0.0366	✓	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.0741	0.068095	-8.10%	0.074435	+0.45%	0.0585	✓	0.60
2026-06-05	oos	0.07737	0.070244	-9.21%	0.07528	-2.70%	0.0448	✓	0.60
2026-06-04	oos	0.08171	0.07296	-10.71%	0.07538	-7.75%	0.0391	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.08873	0.078515	-11.51%	0.08036	-9.43%	0.0373	✓	0.59
2026-06-02	oos	0.08961	0.080093	-10.62%	0.07374	-17.71%	0.0332	✓	0.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.09889	0.087952	-11.06%	0.073425	-25.75%	0.1047	✓	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.094545	0.083795	-11.37%	0.066145	-30.04%	0.1256	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.09347	0.083433	-10.74%	0.068145	-27.09%	0.1056	✓	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.092475	0.082919	-10.33%	0.06846	-25.97%	0.0880	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.09348	0.084345	-9.77%	0.068265	-26.97%	0.1135	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.09646	0.087386	-9.41%	0.06861	-28.87%	0.1399	✓	0.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.093435	0.084096	-10.00%	0.068195	-27.01%	0.0899	✓	0.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.09847	0.088396	-10.23%	0.06986	-29.05%	0.1123	✓	0.52
2026-05-24	oos	0.10152	0.091629	-9.74%	0.07161	-29.46%	0.1389	✓	0.52
2026-05-23	oos	0.109445	0.099004	-9.54%	0.07623	-30.35%	0.1629	✓	0.54
2026-05-22	oos	0.10947	0.100561	-8.14%	0.075245	-31.26%	0.1926	✓	0.55
2026-05-21	oos	0.108555	0.09809	-9.64%	0.07835	-27.82%	0.1176	✓	0.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.104355	0.095159	-8.81%	0.075955	-27.21%	0.1126	✓	0.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.10251	0.093028	-9.25%	0.076205	-25.66%	0.0880	✓	0.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.095495	0.087807	-8.05%	0.080185	-16.03%	0.0127	✓	0.58
2026-05-17	oos	0.09797	0.089433	-8.71%	0.082235	-16.06%	0.0135	✓	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.10234	0.091487	-10.61%	0.08092	-20.93%	0.0273	✓	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.10441	0.091498	-12.37%	0.081315	-22.12%	0.0101	✓	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.11545	0.100215	-13.20%	0.07894	-31.62%	0.1168	✓	0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.11943	0.10476	-12.28%	0.07697	-35.55%	0.1782	✓	0.59
2026-05-12	oos	0.1365	0.118662	-13.07%	0.0787	-42.34%	0.2862	✓	0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.177745	0.145264	-18.27%	0.072485	-59.22%	0.5759	✓	0.42
2026-05-10	oos	0.10148	0.095598	-5.80%	0.07651	-24.61%	0.0725	✓	0.52
2026-05-09	oos	0.10086	0.095074	-5.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.52
2026-05-07	oos	0.092805	0.087028	-6.22%	0.0741	-20.16%	0.0211	✓	0.51
2026-05-06	oos	0.09127	0.085526	-6.29%	0.07737	-15.23%	0.0843	✗	0.64
2026-05-05	oos	0.088365	0.08345	-5.56%	0.08171	-7.53%	0.1533	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.09352	0.087409	-6.53%	0.08873	-5.12%	0.1793	✗	0.74
2026-05-03	oos	0.09292	0.086764	-6.63%	0.08961	-3.56%	0.1551	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	0.09292	0.087008	-6.36%	0.09889	+6.42%	0.2028	✗	0.76
2026-04-30	oos	0.093425	0.088102	-5.70%	0.09347	+0.05%	0.0862	✗	0.80
2026-04-29	oos	0.093435	0.087916	-5.91%	0.092475	-1.03%	0.0762	✗	0.80
2026-04-28	oos	0.095645	0.090254	-5.64%	0.09348	-2.26%	0.0659	✗	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.09717	0.092034	-5.29%	0.09646	-0.73%	0.0800	✗	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.09153	0.089287	-2.45%	0.093435	+2.08%	0.0762	✗	0.83
2026-04-25	oos	0.094655	0.091994	-2.81%	0.09847	+4.03%	0.0724	✗	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.116335	0.107609	-7.50%	0.10152	-12.73%	0.0527	✓	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.109425	0.102224	-6.58%	0.109445	+0.02%	0.0868	✗	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.102415	0.096717	-5.56%	0.10947	+6.89%	0.1556	✗	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.10705	0.097985	-8.47%	0.108555	+1.41%	0.0884	✓	0.90
2026-04-20	oos	0.11432	0.102607	-10.25%	0.104355	-8.72%	0.0022	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.109585	0.097473	-11.05%	0.10251	-6.46%	0.0142	✓	0.93
2026-04-18	oos	0.097545	0.089427	-8.32%	0.095495	-2.10%	0.0505	✓	0.96
2026-04-17	oos	0.0899	0.08594	-4.40%	0.09797	+8.98%	0.1271	✗	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.08841	0.08197	-7.28%	0.10234	+15.76%	0.1841	✗	0.99
2026-04-15	oos	0.08242	0.077511	-5.96%	0.10441	+26.68%	0.2441	✗	0.98
2026-04-14	oos	0.07959	0.074806	-6.01%	0.11545	+45.06%	0.3467	✗	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.08342	0.078171	-6.29%	0.11943	+43.17%	0.3628	✗	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.07559	0.071344	-5.62%	0.1365	+80.58%	0.5247	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.078515	0.074202	-5.49%	0.177745	+126.38%	0.7663	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.07798	0.074582	-4.36%	0.10148	+30.14%	0.1942	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.07821	0.075016	-4.08%	0.10086	+28.96%	0.1842	✗	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.07942	0.076132	-4.14%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-04-07	oos	0.08039	0.077277	-3.87%	0.092805	+15.44%	0.0802	✗	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.07956	0.075754	-4.78%	0.09127	+14.72%	0.0215	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.07457	0.072009	-3.43%	0.088365	+18.50%	0.0486	✗	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.0766	0.074399	-2.87%	0.09352	+22.09%	0.0577	✗	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.07325	0.072395	-1.17%	0.09292	+26.85%	0.0904	✗	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.0744	0.07357	-1.12%	0.09292	+24.89%	0.0713	✗	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.07843	0.076998	-1.83%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.07749	0.076355	-1.47%	0.093425	+20.56%	0.0887	✗	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	0.07634	0.075229	-1.46%	0.093435	+22.39%	0.0885	✗	1.01
2026-03-29	oos	0.07582	0.074719	-1.45%	0.095645	+26.15%	0.0991	✗	1.01
2026-03-28	oos	0.07925	0.077591	-2.09%	0.09717	+22.61%	0.0691	✗	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.07896	0.077345	-2.05%	0.09153	+15.92%	0.0039	✓	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.07768	0.076453	-1.58%	0.094655	+21.85%	0.0876	✗	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.0836	0.083093	-0.61%	0.116335	+39.16%	0.2516	✗	1.03
2026-03-24	oos	0.08545	0.084357	-1.28%	0.109425	+28.06%	0.1528	✗	1.03
2026-03-23	oos	0.08246	0.082384	-0.09%	0.102415	+24.20%	0.1160	✗	1.03
2026-03-22	oos	0.08039	0.079289	-1.37%	0.10705	+33.16%	0.1775	✗	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.07959	0.0794	-0.24%	0.11432	+43.64%	0.2641	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.083455	0.084061	+0.73%	0.109585	+31.31%	0.2173	✓	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.089	0.088539	-0.52%	0.097545	+9.60%	0.0132	✗	1.05
2026-03-18	oos	0.09065	0.090883	+0.26%	0.0899	-0.83%	0.0946	✗	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.09312	0.093233	+0.12%	0.08841	-5.06%	0.0707	✗	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.09414	0.094247	+0.11%	0.08242	-12.45%	0.1334	✗	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09439	0.094879	+0.52%	0.07959	-15.68%	0.1955	✗	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.09464	0.095292	+0.69%	0.08342	-11.86%	0.1807	✗	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.0955	0.09628	+0.82%	0.07559	-20.85%	0.2390	✗	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.108195	0.107356	-0.78%	0.078515	-27.43%	0.3521	✓	1.10
2026-03-11	oos	0.09188	0.092939	+1.15%	0.07798	-15.13%	0.2178	✗	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.08344	0.086143	+3.24%	0.07821	-6.27%	0.1245	✗	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.08216	0.085453	+4.01%	0.07942	-3.33%	0.1143	✗	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.078635	0.082286	+4.64%	0.08039	+2.23%	0.1169	✗	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.07856	0.081083	+3.21%	0.07956	+1.27%	0.0446	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.08108	0.082397	+1.62%	0.07457	-8.03%	0.1140	✗	1.08
2026-03-05	oos	0.08471	0.085603	+1.05%	0.0766	-9.57%	0.0545	✗	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.08731	0.087333	+0.03%	0.07325	-16.10%	0.0862	✗	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.08708	0.087288	+0.24%	0.0744	-14.56%	0.1353	✗	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.08459	0.085162	+0.68%	0.07843	-7.28%	0.0703	✗	1.14
2026-03-01	oos	0.08345	0.082348	-1.32%	0.07749	-7.14%	0.1024	✓	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.08748	0.0867	-0.89%	0.07634	-12.73%	0.1233	✓	1.15
2026-02-27	oos	0.08944	0.087472	-2.20%	0.07582	-15.23%	0.1447	✓	1.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.09121	0.090129	-1.19%	0.07925	-13.11%	0.1083	✓	1.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0915	0.090458	-1.14%	0.07896	-13.70%	0.1076	✓	1.16
2026-02-24	oos	0.08644	0.083445	-3.46%	0.07768	-10.13%	0.1546	✓	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.08701	0.084349	-3.06%	0.0836	-3.92%	0.1228	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09035	0.088739	-1.78%	0.08545	-5.42%	0.0871	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.093555	0.091546	-2.15%	0.08246	-11.86%	0.1534	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.09345	0.091285	-2.32%	0.08039	-13.98%	0.1247	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.09335	0.090976	-2.54%	0.07959	-14.74%	0.1670	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.09564	0.092854	-2.91%	0.083455	-12.74%	0.1767	✓	1.17
2026-02-17	oos	0.10139	0.098027	-3.32%	0.089	-12.22%	0.1358	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.104625	0.100641	-3.81%	0.09065	-13.36%	0.1420	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.10273	0.098668	-3.95%	0.09312	-9.35%	0.1369	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	0.1054	0.100757	-4.40%	0.09414	-10.68%	0.1451	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.10411	0.099585	-4.35%	0.09439	-9.34%	0.1157	✓	1.10
2026-02-12	oos	0.09806	0.094574	-3.56%	0.09464	-3.49%	0.0785	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.09563	0.091926	-3.87%	0.0955	-0.14%	0.0227	✓	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.09579	0.091671	-4.30%	0.108195	+12.95%	0.1389	✗	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.09841	0.093698	-4.79%	0.09188	-6.64%	0.0212	✓	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.0974	0.092534	-5.00%	0.08344	-14.33%	0.0985	✓	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.10021	0.094916	-5.28%	0.08216	-18.01%	0.1313	✓	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.101	0.094634	-6.30%	0.078635	-22.14%	0.1118	✓	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.0899	0.091831	+2.15%	0.07856	-12.61%	0.2328	✗	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.10425	0.094838	-9.03%	0.08108	-22.23%	0.0710	✓	1.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.1073	0.097859	-8.80%	0.08471	-21.05%	0.0633	✓	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.1112	0.104761	-5.79%	0.08731	-21.48%	0.0818	✓	1.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.1046	0.096951	-7.31%	0.08708	-16.75%	0.0295	✓	1.16
2026-01-31	oos	0.1058	0.100181	-5.31%	0.08459	-20.05%	0.0069	✓	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	0.1176	0.115212	-2.03%	0.08345	-29.04%	0.0328	✓	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.1196	0.117241	-1.97%	0.08748	-26.86%	0.0182	✓	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.1301	0.126168	-3.02%	0.08944	-31.25%	0.0048	✓	1.15
2026-01-27	oos	0.1314	0.126817	-3.49%	0.09121	-30.59%	0.0060	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.1307	0.12613	-3.50%	0.0915	-29.99%	0.0154	✓	1.17
2026-01-25	oos	0.12455	0.120987	-2.86%	0.08644	-30.60%	0.0134	✓	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.1358	0.128364	-5.48%	0.08701	-35.93%	0.0272	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.1314	0.123548	-5.98%	0.09035	-31.24%	0.0045	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.1265	0.11899	-5.94%	0.093555	-26.04%	0.0699	✗	1.13
2026-01-21	oos	0.1297	0.121288	-6.49%	0.09345	-27.95%	0.0486	✓	1.13
2026-01-20	oos	0.1263	0.118746	-5.98%	0.09335	-26.09%	0.0718	✗	1.13
2026-01-19	oos	0.1382	0.128117	-7.30%	0.09564	-30.80%	0.0698	✓	1.09
2026-01-18	oos	0.1387	0.131625	-5.10%	0.10139	-26.90%	0.0999	✗	1.10
2026-01-17	oos	0.1472	0.14084	-4.32%	0.104625	-28.92%	0.0487	✗	1.07
2026-01-16	oos	0.1408	0.135593	-3.70%	0.10273	-27.04%	0.0772	✗	1.08
2026-01-15	oos	0.1368	0.131493	-3.88%	0.1054	-22.95%	0.1189	✗	1.08
2026-01-14	oos	0.1429	0.134998	-5.53%	0.10411	-27.14%	0.1066	✗	1.07
2026-01-13	oos	0.1487	0.139885	-5.93%	0.09806	-34.06%	0.0483	✓	1.11
2026-01-12	oos	0.1361	0.132417	-2.71%	0.09563	-29.74%	0.0004	✓	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.1414	0.137002	-3.11%	0.09579	-32.26%	0.0583	✓	1.08
2026-01-10	oos	0.1427	0.138168	-3.18%	0.09841	-31.04%	0.0627	✓	1.09
2026-01-09	oos	0.1446	0.13989	-3.26%	0.0974	-32.64%	0.0739	✓	1.14
2026-01-08	oos	0.1451	0.139772	-3.67%	0.10021	-30.94%	0.0313	✓	1.10
2026-01-07	oos	0.1457	0.13976	-4.08%	0.101	-30.68%	0.0651	✗	1.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.1516	0.145379	-4.10%	0.0899	-40.70%	0.1250	✗	1.51
2026-01-05	oos	0.1541	0.14785	-4.06%	0.10425	-32.35%	0.0333	✓	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.1497	0.143118	-4.40%	0.1073	-28.32%	0.0026	✓	1.53
2026-01-03	oos	0.1473	0.141132	-4.19%	0.1112	-24.51%	0.0221	✓	1.53
2026-01-02	oos	0.1445	0.139098	-3.74%	0.1046	-27.61%	0.0463	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.1407	0.135917	-3.40%	0.1058	-24.80%	0.0675	✓	1.52
2025-12-31	oos	0.1303	0.127759	-1.95%	0.1176	-9.75%	0.0242	✓	1.49
2025-12-30	oos	0.1337	0.131343	-1.76%	0.1196	-10.55%	0.0267	✓	1.49
2025-12-29	oos	0.1317	0.129445	-1.71%	0.1301	-1.21%	0.0303	✓	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.1333	0.131538	-1.32%	0.1314	-1.43%	0.0223	✓	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.1347	0.132932	-1.31%	0.1307	-2.97%	0.0244	✓	1.48
2025-12-26	oos	0.1287	0.127964	-0.57%	0.12455	-3.22%	0.0147	✓	1.46
2025-12-25	oos	0.1252	0.125125	-0.06%	0.1358	+8.47%	0.0502	✗	1.46
2025-12-24	oos	0.1287	0.128186	-0.40%	0.1314	+2.10%	0.0061	✓	1.47
2025-12-23	oos	0.1291	0.128483	-0.48%	0.1265	-2.01%	0.0499	✓	1.49
2025-12-22	oos	0.1286	0.127889	-0.55%	0.1297	+0.86%	0.0005	✓	1.49
2025-12-21	oos	0.126	0.125302	-0.55%	0.1263	+0.24%	0.0135	✗	1.49
2025-12-20	oos	0.1281	0.12683	-0.99%	0.1382	+7.88%	0.0150	✗	1.51
2025-12-19	oos	0.1271	0.12566	-1.13%	0.1387	+9.13%	0.0065	✓	1.51
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.119856	+0.47%	0.1472	+23.39%	0.0454	✓	1.50
2025-12-17	oos	0.122	0.122269	+0.22%	0.1408	+15.41%	0.0134	✗	1.51
2025-12-16	oos	0.126	0.124382	-1.28%	0.1368	+8.57%	0.0325	✓	1.51
2025-12-15	oos	0.12745	0.127174	-0.22%	0.1429	+12.12%	0.0590	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.12835	0.126369	-1.54%	0.1487	+15.86%	0.0420	✗	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.1368	0.131965	-3.53%	0.1361	-0.51%	0.0152	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.1387	0.133326	-3.87%	0.1414	+1.95%	0.0488	✗	1.53
2025-12-11	oos	0.1407	0.133191	-5.34%	0.1427	+1.42%	0.1055	✗	1.54
2025-12-10	oos	0.1427	0.134282	-5.90%	0.1446	+1.33%	0.0999	✗	1.55
2025-12-09	oos	0.1517	0.141001	-7.05%	0.1451	-4.35%	0.0564	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	0.14445	0.134925	-6.59%	0.1457	+0.87%	0.0664	✓	1.51
2025-12-07	oos	0.1409	0.131213	-6.87%	0.1516	+7.59%	0.0901	✗	1.51
2025-12-06	oos	0.1435	0.134426	-6.32%	0.1541	+7.39%	0.0601	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	0.1362	0.128705	-5.50%	0.1497	+9.91%	0.1149	✗	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	0.1435	0.133054	-7.28%	0.1473	+2.65%	0.1266	✗	1.52
2025-12-03	oos	0.1448	0.133865	-7.55%	0.1445	-0.21%	0.1348	✗	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	0.143	0.133892	-6.37%	0.1407	-1.61%	0.0937	✗	1.54
2025-12-01	oos	0.14	0.135365	-3.31%	0.1303	-6.93%	0.0611	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	0.1531	0.14399	-5.95%	0.1337	-12.67%	0.0385	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	0.1539	0.144121	-6.35%	0.1317	-14.42%	0.0227	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.1578	0.147248	-6.69%	0.1333	-15.53%	0.0449	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	0.1612	0.149677	-7.15%	0.1347	-16.44%	0.0421	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.1578	0.146871	-6.93%	0.1287	-18.44%	0.0737	✓	1.63
2025-11-25	oos	0.1562	0.147624	-5.49%	0.1252	-19.85%	0.1618	✓	1.70
2025-11-24	oos	0.1593	0.149083	-6.41%	0.1287	-19.21%	0.1343	✓	1.70
2025-11-23	oos	0.1603	0.150919	-5.85%	0.1291	-19.46%	0.1684	✓	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.156	0.147429	-5.49%	0.1286	-17.56%	0.2152	✓	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.154	0.144391	-6.24%	0.126	-18.18%	0.2084	✓	1.75
2025-11-20	oos	0.1607	0.148015	-7.89%	0.1281	-20.29%	0.1803	✓	1.75
2025-11-19	oos	0.155	0.143898	-7.16%	0.1271	-18.00%	0.0513	✓	1.94
2025-11-18	oos	0.16	0.14847	-7.21%	0.1193	-25.44%	0.0582	✓	1.92
2025-11-17	oos	0.159	0.147635	-7.15%	0.122	-23.27%	0.0634	✓	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.1628	0.151012	-7.24%	0.126	-22.60%	0.0501	✓	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.1658	0.153126	-7.64%	0.12745	-23.13%	0.0076	✓	1.90
2025-11-14	oos	0.1648	0.152423	-7.51%	0.12835	-22.12%	0.0395	✓	1.91
2025-11-13	oos	0.1699	0.15753	-7.28%	0.1368	-19.48%	0.0580	✓	2.02
2025-11-12	oos	0.1754	0.164867	-6.01%	0.1387	-20.92%	0.0682	✗	2.03
2025-11-11	oos	0.1778	0.169026	-4.93%	0.1407	-20.87%	0.0388	✓	2.07
2025-11-10	oos	0.1908	0.182723	-4.23%	0.1427	-25.21%	0.0751	✗	2.28
2025-11-09	oos	0.18975	0.180438	-4.91%	0.1517	-20.05%	0.1076	✗	2.31
2025-11-08	oos	0.1872	0.174604	-6.73%	0.14445	-22.84%	0.0926	✗	2.34
2025-11-07	oos	0.1896	0.177721	-6.27%	0.1409	-25.69%	0.0733	✗	2.29
2025-11-06	oos	0.1712	0.164586	-3.86%	0.1435	-16.18%	0.1481	✗	2.26
2025-11-05	oos	0.1747	0.169554	-2.95%	0.1362	-22.04%	0.1239	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.1662	0.160682	-3.32%	0.1435	-13.66%	0.1076	✗	2.28
2025-11-03	oos	0.1627	0.157526	-3.18%	0.1448	-11.00%	0.2414	✗	2.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.1818	0.171775	-5.51%	0.143	-21.34%	0.2871	✗	2.46
2025-11-01	oos	0.1838	0.173053	-5.85%	0.14	-23.83%	0.3877	✗	2.46
2025-10-31	oos	0.1805	0.16962	-6.03%	0.1531	-15.18%	0.3723	✗	2.47
2025-10-30	oos	0.1788	0.167951	-6.07%	0.1539	-13.93%	0.3480	✗	2.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.1883	0.17847	-5.22%	0.1578	-16.20%	0.3432	✗	2.44
2025-10-28	oos	0.1962	0.189741	-3.29%	0.1612	-17.84%	0.3612	✗	2.47
2025-10-27	oos	0.2055	0.203238	-1.10%	0.1578	-23.21%	0.3186	✗	2.46
2025-10-26	oos	0.214	0.212477	-0.71%	0.1562	-27.01%	0.3600	✗	2.46
2025-10-25	oos	0.2071	0.204477	-1.27%	0.1593	-23.08%	0.3395	✗	2.51
2025-10-24	oos	0.20795	0.205258	-1.29%	0.1603	-22.91%	0.3715	✗	2.51
2025-10-23	oos	0.2065	0.204916	-0.77%	0.156	-24.46%	0.3880	✗	2.52
2025-10-22	oos	0.2004	0.198158	-1.12%	0.154	-23.15%	0.3418	✗	2.53
2025-10-21	oos	0.2095	0.20919	-0.15%	0.1607	-23.29%	0.3043	✗	2.53
2025-10-20	oos	0.2176	0.218422	+0.38%	0.155	-28.77%	0.1417	✓	2.55
2025-10-19	oos	0.22035	0.22025	-0.05%	0.16	-27.39%	0.0765	✗	2.53
2025-10-18	oos	0.2146	0.214003	-0.28%	0.159	-25.91%	0.0875	✗	2.53
2025-10-17	oos	0.2137	0.21371	+0.00%	0.1628	-23.82%	0.0371	✓	2.52
2025-10-16	oos	0.2164	0.217937	+0.71%	0.1658	-23.38%	0.0423	✓	2.54
2025-10-15	oos	0.2265	0.228535	+0.90%	0.1648	-27.24%	0.0782	✓	2.55
2025-10-14	oos	0.2356	0.237554	+0.83%	0.1699	-27.89%	0.0112	✗	2.56
2025-10-13	oos	0.24855	0.246851	-0.68%	0.1754	-29.43%	0.0215	✓	2.54
2025-10-12	oos	0.2306	0.236105	+2.39%	0.1778	-22.90%	0.0100	✓	2.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.212	0.219752	+3.66%	0.1908	-10.00%	0.0317	✓	2.48
2025-10-10	oos	0.20085	0.209304	+4.21%	0.18975	-5.53%	0.0963	✓	2.55
2025-10-09	oos	0.2782	0.264279	-5.00%	0.1872	-32.71%	0.0158	✓	2.07
2025-10-08	oos	0.28345	0.269265	-5.00%	0.1896	-33.11%	0.0158	✓	2.07
2025-10-07	oos	0.2716	0.260475	-4.10%	0.1712	-36.97%	0.0447	✓	2.07
2025-10-06	oos	0.2847	0.271364	-4.68%	0.1747	-38.64%	0.0581	✓	2.09
2025-10-05	oos	0.2785	0.265192	-4.78%	0.1662	-40.32%	0.0555	✓	2.09
2025-10-04	oos	0.2827	0.268262	-5.11%	0.1627	-42.45%	0.2096	✓	2.09
2025-10-03	oos	0.2881	0.271696	-5.69%	0.1818	-36.90%	0.1904	✓	2.09
2025-10-02	oos	0.28665	0.270805	-5.53%	0.1838	-35.88%	0.1949	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.2778	0.264136	-4.92%	0.1805	-35.03%	0.2103	✓	2.13
2025-09-30	oos	0.2555	0.249175	-2.48%	0.1788	-30.02%	0.2218	✓	2.13
2025-09-29	oos	0.2643	0.257288	-2.65%	0.1883	-28.76%	0.2282	✓	2.17
2025-09-28	oos	0.2784	0.271878	-2.34%	0.1962	-29.53%	0.3405	✓	2.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.275	0.268325	-2.43%	0.2055	-25.27%	0.3577	✓	2.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.2823	0.274522	-2.76%	0.214	-24.19%	0.3492	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.2714	0.265007	-2.36%	0.2071	-23.69%	0.3016	✓	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.299	0.288046	-3.66%	0.20795	-30.45%	0.2787	✓	2.29
2025-09-23	oos	0.3021	0.291384	-3.55%	0.2065	-31.65%	0.3047	✓	2.32
2025-09-22	oos	0.3062	0.295083	-3.63%	0.2004	-34.55%	0.2797	✓	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.33405	0.317733	-4.88%	0.2095	-37.28%	0.2776	✓	2.24
2025-09-20	oos	0.3417	0.322879	-5.51%	0.2176	-36.32%	0.2911	✓	2.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.3364	0.317818	-5.52%	0.22035	-34.50%	0.2235	✓	2.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.36885	0.342298	-7.20%	0.2146	-41.82%	0.2678	✓	2.25
2025-09-17	oos	0.3637	0.337301	-7.26%	0.2137	-41.24%	0.2544	✓	2.25
2025-09-16	oos	0.35105	0.325463	-7.29%	0.2164	-38.36%	0.2346	✓	2.26
2025-09-15	oos	0.34875	0.32501	-6.81%	0.2265	-35.05%	0.2691	✓	2.27
2025-09-14	oos	0.3584	0.332236	-7.30%	0.2356	-34.26%	0.2993	✓	2.26

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.