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2022-08-24 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 187 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1758
186 of 187 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
55.4%
in alpha space · 82.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.17%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (187 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DEXEDeXeEthereum33.0213+0.71%2.922-2.60%0.0068✓0.63693k2022-08-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2746.3151+0.65%5.746-8.42%0.0405✗0.8510.1M2022-08-31
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.071010.071351+0.48%0.06211-12.53%0.0679✗1.112.4M2022-08-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074280.074546+0.36%0.07274-2.07%0.0513✓1.1929k2022-08-31
APEApeCoinEthereum5.3125.3309+0.36%4.761-10.37%0.0268✗1.3510.1M2022-08-31
OPTIMOptimism1.2261.2295+0.29%1.129-7.91%0.0248✓1.733.6M2022-08-31
FLOWFlownative2.1472.1521+0.24%2.072-3.49%0.0452✓1.311.2M2022-08-31
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5481.5515+0.23%1.43-7.62%0.0067✗1.17138k2022-08-31
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023820.023873+0.22%0.02026-14.95%0.1088✗0.8713.4M2022-08-31
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0017290.001732+0.17%0.001503-13.07%0.0852✗0.89653k2022-08-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.048.0534+0.17%7.66-4.73%0.0211✓1.12638k2022-08-31
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0457.0547+0.14%6.142-12.82%0.0561✗1.2910.3M2022-08-31
CBKCobakEthereum0.946690.947058+0.04%0.89656-5.30%0.0068✓0.9713k2022-08-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,367.1221,370.39+0.02%20,048.26-6.17%0.0002✗1.00485.5M2022-08-31
TRXTRONTron0.064820.064823+0.00%0.063428-2.15%0.0153✓0.58164k2022-08-31
QTUMQtumQtum3.47983.4798-0.00%3.149-9.51%0.0368✓0.9934k2022-08-31
STEEMSteemnative0.23530.235203-0.04%0.2291-2.63%0.0309✗0.90510k2022-08-31
C98Coin98Ethereum0.41070.410509-0.05%0.439+6.89%0.1379✗1.1189k2022-08-31
DODODODOEthereum0.14080.140733-0.05%0.1276-9.38%0.0362✓0.971.9M2022-08-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0343.0323-0.06%2.959-2.47%0.0758✗1.574.0M2022-08-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057610.005757-0.08%0.005668-1.61%0.0270✗0.672,6422022-08-31
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5880.587346-0.11%0.475-19.22%0.1344✓1.221,8732022-08-31
BORABORAKlay Token0.29790.297558-0.11%0.31172+4.64%0.1130✗1.0412k2022-08-31
STXStacksnative0.38670.386141-0.14%0.365-5.61%0.0172✗1.15487k2022-08-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4066.3945-0.18%6.25-2.44%0.0360✗0.925.2M2022-08-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37380.373086-0.19%0.3462-7.38%0.0043✗1.24215k2022-08-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0222610.022218-0.19%0.02152-3.33%0.0198✗0.8113k2022-08-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,418.4021,373.67-0.21%19,990.40-6.67%0.0062✓0.9511k2022-08-31
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06060.060453-0.24%0.0574-5.28%0.0063✗0.91120k2022-08-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17661.1734-0.27%1.1463-2.58%0.0713✗1.494.9M2022-08-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.006980.006961-0.27%0.00619-11.32%0.0764✓0.641.3M2022-08-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1227.1024-0.28%6.628-6.94%0.0013✓1.0619.5M2022-08-31
KSMKusamaHydration48.9948.8534-0.28%47.42-3.20%0.0332✗0.99606k2022-08-31
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8860.883116-0.33%0.91+2.71%0.0571✗0.434.3M2022-08-31
ADACardanoCardano0.45770.456065-0.36%0.4458-2.60%0.0436✗1.0442.0M2022-08-31
SUSHISushiEthereum1.19711.1926-0.38%1.0347-13.57%0.0631✓1.24981k2022-08-31
XMRMoneroMonero150.55149.9694-0.39%149.22-0.88%0.0584✗1.001.2M2022-08-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,349.199,312.59-0.39%9,021.07-3.51%0.0546✗1.367.3M2022-08-31
ELAElastosEthereum1.8271.8197-0.40%1.818-0.49%0.0601✗0.96147k2022-08-31
AAVEAaveEthereum88.4188.048-0.41%84.85-4.03%0.0612✗1.546.5M2022-08-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.412.3996-0.43%2.15-10.79%0.0327✓1.21299k2022-08-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06690.066605-0.44%0.0622-7.03%0.0092✗1.221.0M2022-08-31
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1710.170244-0.44%0.1824+6.67%0.1551✗1.352,1742022-08-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.009058-0.46%0.00858-5.71%0.0065✓0.756.4M2022-08-31
WOOWOOEthereum0.17250.171688-0.47%0.1531-11.25%0.0464✓1.071,7802022-08-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48610.483801-0.47%0.4594-5.49%0.0191✗1.11400k2022-08-31
IMXImmutableEthereum0.85810.853693-0.51%0.8327-2.96%0.0434✗1.072.2M2022-08-31
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7270.723063-0.54%0.663-8.80%0.0308✓0.88253k2022-08-31
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.04441.0386-0.56%0.9427-9.74%0.0197✓1.211.0M2022-08-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29830.296602-0.57%0.2809-5.83%0.0058✗0.953.4M2022-08-31
SCSiacoinnative0.004090.004067-0.57%0.00404-1.22%0.0564✗0.99152k2022-08-31
MANADecentralandEthereum0.83270.827908-0.58%0.77191-7.30%0.0116✓0.92507k2022-08-31
MOVRMoonriverBase13.867113.787-0.58%12.38-10.72%0.0467✓0.9640k2022-08-31
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4520.449308-0.60%0.418-7.52%0.0089✓0.998,8922022-08-31
FORTFortaEthereum0.270.26839-0.60%0.2325-13.89%0.0810✓0.98112k2022-08-31
AVTAventusEthereum1.381.3716-0.61%1.52+10.14%0.0990✗-0.06105k2022-08-31
GTGateEthereum4.49224.4645-0.62%4.3008-4.26%0.0121✗0.78827k2022-08-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.4535.224-0.64%32.41-8.58%0.0075✗1.4216.0M2022-08-31
GITCOINGITCOIN2.44032.4246-0.64%2.1594-11.51%0.0391✓1.2013k2022-08-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023590.023437-0.65%0.02304-2.33%0.0348✗0.81444k2022-08-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046560.046249-0.67%0.04593-1.35%0.0368✗0.6916k2022-08-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7661.7542-0.67%1.522-13.82%0.0660✓1.19114k2022-08-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50890.505433-0.68%0.5054-0.69%0.0513✗0.81625k2022-08-31
FTTFTXEthereum27.5527.3604-0.69%26.73-2.98%0.0375✗0.957.6M2022-08-31
SOLSolanaSolana34.8834.6367-0.70%31.5-9.69%0.0214✓1.1575.2M2022-08-31
XLMStellarStellar0.1094820.108709-0.71%0.104365-4.67%0.0138✗0.867.8M2022-08-31
NANOnanopayBase0.9351460.928454-0.72%0.894603-4.34%0.0133✗0.7977k2022-08-31
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.40980.40685-0.72%0.3203-21.84%0.1581✓1.27152k2022-08-31
XYMSymbolnative0.0482590.047909-0.73%0.043128-10.63%0.0711✓0.5330k2022-08-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7210.71576-0.73%0.663-8.04%0.0183✓0.91322k2022-08-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21970.218088-0.73%0.2112-3.87%0.0315✗1.0067k2022-08-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.8313.7269-0.75%12.5-9.62%0.0220✓1.122.0M2022-08-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.3418.2031-0.75%17.27-5.83%0.0080✓0.701.5M2022-08-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141860.140799-0.75%0.13698-3.44%0.0508✗1.23223k2022-08-31
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81510.808901-0.76%0.9023+10.70%0.2028✗1.47205k2022-08-31
RARESuperRareEthereum0.22010.218421-0.76%0.201-8.68%0.0194✓1.00152k2022-08-31
DASHDashDash49.1348.7517-0.77%44.55-9.32%0.0284✓0.97504k2022-08-31
BANDBandEthereum1.3641.3535-0.77%1.275-6.52%0.0184✗1.23534k2022-08-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.421.4089-0.78%1.31-7.75%0.0122✓0.95182k2022-08-31
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06760.067052-0.81%0.0595-11.98%0.0614✓0.91113k2022-08-31
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.166880.165509-0.82%0.15568-6.71%0.0737✗2.126042022-08-31
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04020.039868-0.83%0.0357-11.19%0.0564✓0.8511k2022-08-31
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12490.123862-0.83%0.1236-1.04%0.0622✗1.0135k2022-08-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04640.046008-0.84%0.044-5.17%0.0176✗0.98184k2022-08-31
XTZTezosTezos1.60061.5869-0.85%1.5108-5.61%0.0201✗1.09388k2022-08-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.051357-0.86%0.0484-6.56%0.0016✓0.96827k2022-08-31
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.026920.026688-0.86%0.02455-8.80%0.0027✓1.273,2032022-08-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30230.29967-0.87%0.2885-4.57%0.0205✗0.928.2M2022-08-31
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1762.1567-0.89%1.915-11.99%0.0086✓1.73114k2022-08-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.49554.9908-0.91%51.915-6.45%0.0104✓0.74332k2022-08-31
XECeCashnative0.000038750.000038394-0.92%0.00004452+14.89%0.2043✗0.881.7M2022-08-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034260.003395-0.92%0.002994-12.61%0.0709✓0.861.1M2022-08-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13280.131576-0.92%0.1324-0.30%0.0414✗0.553.9M2022-08-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11180.110763-0.93%0.1003-10.29%0.0544✓0.703,6712022-08-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.96541.947-0.93%1.7939-8.72%0.0144✓1.0633k2022-08-31
HIVEHivenative0.55770.552479-0.94%0.5573-0.07%0.0652✗0.891.8M2022-08-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0143020.014167-0.94%0.013176-7.87%0.0322✓0.631.5M2022-08-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin56.4655.9245-0.95%53.84-4.64%0.0252✗0.9913.5M2022-08-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15090.149466-0.95%0.1395-7.55%0.0075✓0.97614k2022-08-31
XEMNEMnative0.0462280.045784-0.96%0.043941-4.95%0.0125✗0.8432k2022-08-31
XVSVenusEthereum5.725.665-0.96%4.86-15.03%0.0996✓0.841.6M2022-08-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.0990.098043-0.97%0.0899-9.19%0.0269✓0.94430k2022-08-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0122.7796-1.00%19.13-16.86%0.0924✓1.2924.5M2022-08-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.365710.362005-1.01%0.31794-13.06%0.0671✓0.98435k2022-08-31
METISMetisEthereum35.7635.3972-1.01%31.03-13.23%0.0123✓1.87365k2022-08-31
ETHEthereumEthereum1,656.741,639.39-1.05%1,554.00-6.20%0.0313✗1.33608.4M2022-08-31
LRCLoopringEthereum0.38710.383021-1.05%0.3513-9.25%0.0166✓1.10174k2022-08-31
DIADIAEthereum0.403120.398824-1.07%0.3717-7.79%0.0106✓0.9462k2022-08-31
LSKLiskEthereum1.11721.1049-1.10%1.0708-4.16%0.0228✗0.8553k2022-08-31
COMPCompoundEthereum51.1750.6051-1.10%47.14-7.88%0.0072✓1.2315k2022-08-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.241.2261-1.12%1.205-2.82%0.0452✗0.982.1M2022-08-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5620.555654-1.13%0.515-8.36%0.0041✓1.1388k2022-08-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040140.039682-1.14%0.03845-4.21%0.0207✗0.822,7072022-08-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.14810.146405-1.14%0.1445-2.43%0.0505✗1.00149k2022-08-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5514.3823-1.15%14.14-2.82%0.0611✗1.231.3M2022-08-31
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.99e-7-1.15%8.80e-7-3.30%0.0289✗0.802.6M2022-08-31
XVGVergenative0.003210.003173-1.16%0.00335+4.36%0.1201✗1.03537k2022-08-31
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0910.08993-1.18%0.0821-9.78%0.0291✓0.9713k2022-08-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1860.183771-1.20%0.168-9.68%0.0219✓1.06519k2022-08-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11040.109056-1.22%0.1033-6.43%0.0014✓0.87255k2022-08-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3088440.304991-1.25%0.29809-3.48%0.0458✗1.08778k2022-08-31
ZECZcashZcash67.6966.8449-1.25%59.88-11.54%0.0389✓1.122.0M2022-08-31
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.592488-1.25%0.528-12.00%0.0461✓1.09102k2022-08-31
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37370.369012-1.25%0.3041-18.62%0.1204✓1.15111k2022-08-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.063285-1.27%0.0577-9.98%0.0189✓1.15266k2022-08-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03011.017-1.28%0.9535-7.44%0.0296✓0.553.7M2022-08-31
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.25990.256583-1.28%0.247-4.96%0.0375✓0.0187k2022-08-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.5657.4676-1.29%7.033-7.03%0.0050✓1.0214.0M2022-08-31
GLMGolemEthereum0.25570.252355-1.31%0.2447-4.30%0.0295✗0.9584k2022-08-31
STORJStorjEthereum0.587630.579905-1.31%0.55118-6.20%0.0309✗1.2845k2022-08-31
KCSKuCoinnative9.6319.5039-1.32%9.001-6.54%0.0064✓0.951.8M2022-08-31
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2642.2338-1.33%2.012-11.13%0.0316✓1.1560k2022-08-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.281082-1.37%0.282-1.05%0.0488✗0.72826k2022-08-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03770.037176-1.39%0.0349-7.43%0.0041✓0.9381k2022-08-31
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.070090.069113-1.39%0.06618-5.58%0.0086✓0.818802022-08-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7270.716839-1.40%0.673-7.43%0.0224✗1.345.0M2022-08-31
ZENHorizenBase17.0116.7719-1.40%15.53-8.70%0.0067✓1.10130k2022-08-31
UMAUMAEthereum2.9322.8889-1.47%2.728-6.96%0.0039✓0.84749k2022-08-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.85031.8219-1.53%1.7276-6.63%0.0147✓1.07862k2022-08-31
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.772.7273-1.54%2.03-26.71%0.2634✓0.5093k2022-08-31
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.20e-79.06e-7-1.55%8.70e-7-5.43%0.0119✓0.8217k2022-08-31
QNTQuantEthereum108106.327-1.55%96.47-10.68%0.0434✓0.853.5M2022-08-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.3865.3024-1.55%5.8014+7.71%0.0994✗0.15169k2022-08-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006680.006576-1.55%0.006495-2.77%0.0157✗0.4457k2022-08-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.367940.362184-1.56%0.33416-9.18%0.0192✓0.9687k2022-08-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.00820.008072-1.56%0.00799-2.56%0.0625✗1.14513k2022-08-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0678370.066772-1.57%0.061277-9.67%0.0209✓1.021.7M2022-08-31
GMTGMTEthereum0.78610.773635-1.59%0.6723-14.48%0.0510✓1.40267k2022-08-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11460.112779-1.59%0.1026-10.47%0.0265✓1.073.7M2022-08-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.00160.001573-1.66%0.00156-2.50%0.0362✗0.709,9742022-08-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.299.1334-1.69%8.84-4.84%0.0054✓0.432.6M2022-08-31
API3Api3Ethereum1.9361.9032-1.69%1.65-14.77%0.0850✓0.91782k2022-08-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.856.7336-1.70%6.4-6.57%0.0276✓0.372.7M2022-08-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.3336.6957-1.70%19.03-49.02%0.6004✓0.881.8M2022-08-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0910.8967-1.74%10.1-8.93%0.0008✓1.18439k2022-08-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.34128.0634-1.75%115.16-11.65%0.0351✓1.124.9M2022-08-31
GALAGALAEthereum0.05490.053928-1.77%0.0503-8.38%0.0064✓0.99256k2022-08-31
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099910.000098138-1.77%0.00022156+121.76%0.8652✗0.80329k2022-08-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013050.000012818-1.77%0.00001208-7.43%0.0012✓0.91864k2022-08-31
RADRadworksEthereum2.342.298-1.79%2.13-8.97%0.0243✓0.81636k2022-08-31
PROPropyEthereum0.740.72649-1.83%0.73-1.35%0.0290✗0.38105k2022-08-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.195.0946-1.84%4.79-7.71%0.0359✓0.401.4M2022-08-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22390.219603-1.92%0.2184-2.46%0.0807✗1.35124k2022-08-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.8764.7775-2.02%4.337-11.05%0.0762✓0.321.9M2022-08-31
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0234390.022938-2.14%0.030314+29.33%0.2860✗0.11239k2022-08-31
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9560.934664-2.23%1.078+12.76%0.2204✗1.221.3M2022-08-31
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.084250.082354-2.25%0.08149-3.28%0.0048✓0.09737k2022-08-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.946.7784-2.33%6.7-3.46%0.0126✓0.382.1M2022-08-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015350.001499-2.35%0.001342-12.57%0.0611✓0.782.0M2022-08-31
UOSUltraEthereum0.340780.332223-2.51%0.35+2.71%0.1109✗0.92321k2022-08-31
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017340.016892-2.58%0.01358-21.68%0.1753✓0.67167k2022-08-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain5.87695.7214-2.65%6.6294+12.80%0.1575✗0.164.5M2022-08-31
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.10520.102298-2.76%0.1161+10.36%0.1708✗0.69247k2022-08-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.15.9298-2.79%5.61-8.03%0.0324✓0.363.1M2022-08-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.01912.6464-2.86%11.825-9.17%0.0034✓1.1110.4M2022-08-31
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.34224.2113-3.01%4.0516-6.69%0.0046✓0.532.5M2022-08-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.040160.038914-3.10%0.03519-12.38%0.0380✓0.9825k2022-08-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.8166.5978-3.20%6.047-11.28%0.0682✓0.305.3M2022-08-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.94.739-3.29%4.449-9.20%0.0578✓0.082.4M2022-08-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.61725.4223-3.47%7.8611+39.95%0.3830✗0.182.6M2022-08-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.24240.233914-3.50%0.2179-10.11%0.0187✓0.822.3M2022-08-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.7244.5326-4.05%3.743-20.77%0.1302✓0.96172k2022-08-31
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56794.379-4.13%4.8276+5.69%0.1612✗1.00173k2022-08-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.53831.4641-4.82%1.1394-25.93%0.1913✓0.931.4M2022-08-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.33913.5523-5.49%13.005-9.30%0.0139✓0.433.0M2022-08-31
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.05e-77.55e-7-6.17%9.25e-7+15.01%0.2528✗0.77180k2022-08-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.062010.025684-58.58%–pending––0.8612k2022-08-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.