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2022-08-17 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0217
187 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-7.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.2%
in alpha space · 63.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.46%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.4133.4829+2.05%3-12.10%0.0935✗0.63853k2022-08-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.18211.2045+1.89%1.1766-0.47%0.1112✓1.525.6M2022-08-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.158730.161538+1.77%0.14186-10.63%0.0206✗1.24250k2022-08-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09970.101402+1.71%0.1052+5.52%0.1078✓0.80215k2022-08-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.43710.443715+1.51%0.4098-6.25%0.0431✓1.39209k2022-08-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.025750.026135+1.50%0.02382-7.50%0.0148✓0.8814.3M2022-08-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.0921.1064+1.32%1.0301-5.67%0.0165✗0.623.9M2022-08-24
RARESuperRareEthereum0.24860.251564+1.19%0.2201-11.46%0.0452✗1.00111k2022-08-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.96510.976549+1.19%0.8581-11.09%0.0255✗1.182.2M2022-08-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.37410.378499+1.18%0.3737-0.11%0.0854✓1.11105k2022-08-24
APEApeCoinEthereum6.1076.1779+1.16%5.312-13.02%0.0310✗1.3611.8M2022-08-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.8991.9173+0.96%1.766-7.00%0.0278✓1.25142k2022-08-24
MOVRMoonriverBase14.827214.945+0.79%13.8671-6.48%0.0094✓0.9553k2022-08-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05090.051283+0.75%0.0464-8.84%0.0138✗0.98212k2022-08-24
STXStacksnative0.45670.45994+0.71%0.3867-15.33%0.0749✗1.11808k2022-08-24
AAVEAaveEthereum100.14100.8479+0.71%88.41-11.71%0.0036✓1.536.4M2022-08-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04270.04298+0.66%0.0402-5.85%0.0158✓0.9411k2022-08-24
UNIUniswapEthereum7.9618.0131+0.65%7.045-11.51%0.0138✗1.3010.3M2022-08-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9090.913484+0.49%0.886-2.53%0.0099✓0.464.4M2022-08-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.5053.5221+0.49%3.034-13.44%0.0101✗1.575.2M2022-08-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.4219.5143+0.49%18.34-5.56%0.0021✓0.682.2M2022-08-24
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0019550.001964+0.47%0.001729-11.56%0.0392✗1.00950k2022-08-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.024860.024969+0.44%0.02359-5.11%0.0220✓0.89310k2022-08-24
NANOnanopayBase0.978230.982483+0.43%0.935146-4.40%0.0166✓0.7577k2022-08-24
XVSVenusEthereum66.0222+0.37%5.72-4.67%0.0290✓0.911.5M2022-08-24
QNTQuantEthereum109.91110.2883+0.34%108-1.74%0.0520✓0.833.6M2022-08-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.9911.9975+0.33%1.827-8.24%0.0011✓1.00181k2022-08-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3030.303734+0.24%0.285-5.94%0.0001✓0.721.0M2022-08-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5150.516239+0.24%0.452-12.23%0.0452✗0.999,8012022-08-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.5260.6516+0.22%56.46-6.71%0.0168✓1.0013.5M2022-08-24
GTGateEthereum4.84494.8544+0.20%4.4922-7.28%0.0129✗0.73882k2022-08-24
TRXTRONTron0.0681260.068244+0.17%0.06482-4.85%0.0026✓0.61182k2022-08-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14530.145496+0.13%0.1328-8.60%0.0378✗0.614.4M2022-08-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8541.8562+0.12%1.548-16.50%0.0826✗1.12170k2022-08-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2181.2194+0.12%1.0444-14.25%0.0455✗1.241.1M2022-08-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07930.079388+0.11%0.0676-14.75%0.0909✗0.79130k2022-08-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.387.3881+0.11%6.406-13.20%0.0571✗0.975.4M2022-08-24
DODODODOEthereum0.1590.159163+0.10%0.1408-11.45%0.0360✗0.982.1M2022-08-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.56530.565858+0.10%0.5089-9.98%0.0337✗0.82755k2022-08-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.19750.197683+0.09%0.1725-12.66%0.0433✗1.051,7922022-08-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47010.47034+0.05%0.4107-12.64%0.0345✗1.1464k2022-08-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077550.07757+0.03%0.07009-9.62%0.0328✗0.789142022-08-24
KCSKuCoinnative10.25610.2575+0.02%9.631-6.09%0.0227✓0.971.9M2022-08-24
METISMetisEthereum38.7938.7958+0.02%35.76-7.81%0.0916✓1.96408k2022-08-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.17940.179391-0.01%0.16688-6.98%0.1251✗2.236712022-08-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10180.101782-0.02%0.091-10.61%0.0241✓0.9912k2022-08-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.49.3973-0.03%8.04-14.47%0.0602✓1.08523k2022-08-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085980.085954-0.03%0.07101-17.41%0.0880✓1.172.4M2022-08-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6430.642748-0.04%0.562-12.60%0.0317✓1.16105k2022-08-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12090.120845-0.05%0.1118-7.53%0.0152✓0.714,2082022-08-24
BANDBandEthereum1.5631.562-0.06%1.364-12.73%0.0225✓1.28529k2022-08-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12260.122524-0.06%0.1146-6.53%0.0310✗1.113.8M2022-08-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.0618.0557-0.07%7.122-11.65%0.0275✓1.0820.0M2022-08-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.41.399-0.07%1.38-1.43%0.0191✓-0.06124k2022-08-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.371.3686-0.10%1.1971-12.62%0.0229✓1.261.1M2022-08-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0151840.015168-0.11%0.014302-5.81%0.0058✓0.602.1M2022-08-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum16.8816.8616-0.11%14.55-13.80%0.0388✓1.231.6M2022-08-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.329720.329352-0.11%0.34078+3.35%0.1125✗0.89402k2022-08-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7810.779953-0.13%0.727-6.91%0.0118✗0.93280k2022-08-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,834.611,831.81-0.15%1,656.74-9.70%0.0169✗1.33534.1M2022-08-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.611.6074-0.16%1.42-11.80%0.0386✓0.97182k2022-08-24
SOLSolanaSolana40.5540.4751-0.18%34.88-13.98%0.0433✓1.1981.1M2022-08-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.2940.293387-0.21%0.27-8.16%0.0115✗1.07160k2022-08-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6540.652366-0.25%0.588-10.09%0.0014✓1.192,9182022-08-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05990.059747-0.25%0.0518-13.52%0.0514✓1.03877k2022-08-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,341.1723,281.60-0.26%21,367.12-8.46%0.0026✓1.00482.6M2022-08-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.967770.964987-0.29%0.8327-13.96%0.0644✓0.94623k2022-08-24
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.57e-7-0.33%9.10e-7-5.21%0.0194✗0.795.3M2022-08-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41880.417412-0.33%0.3738-10.74%0.0012✓1.26239k2022-08-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.893.877-0.34%4.9+25.96%0.2510✗0.191.9M2022-08-24
XMRMoneroMonero168.3167.7326-0.34%150.55-10.55%0.0237✓0.951.2M2022-08-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42060.41918-0.34%0.3871-7.96%0.0183✗1.11190k2022-08-24
XEMNEMnative0.0502950.050123-0.34%0.046228-8.09%0.0017✓0.9043k2022-08-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54010.538114-0.37%0.4861-10.00%0.0026✓1.12388k2022-08-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06620.065909-0.44%0.0606-8.46%0.0150✓0.78116k2022-08-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07780.077457-0.44%0.0669-14.01%0.0422✓1.181.4M2022-08-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.83133.2359-0.44%130.34-2.61%0.0754✗1.105.1M2022-08-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.006520.00649-0.46%0.005761-11.63%0.0572✓0.703,0362022-08-24
ZENHorizenBase19.0118.9186-0.48%17.01-10.52%0.0074✓1.12130k2022-08-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3480820.346363-0.49%0.308844-11.27%0.0221✓1.05916k2022-08-24
ZECZcashZcash74.2273.8398-0.51%67.69-8.80%0.0105✗1.102.0M2022-08-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2410.239714-0.53%0.2239-7.10%0.0538✗1.38117k2022-08-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,298.3023,168.88-0.56%21,418.40-8.07%0.0074✗0.977,5932022-08-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.6165.5843-0.56%6.816+21.37%0.2064✗0.083.4M2022-08-24
XECeCashnative0.000043330.000043085-0.57%0.00003875-10.57%0.0291✓0.871.9M2022-08-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.944.9112-0.58%5.19+5.06%0.0898✗0.391.1M2022-08-24
PROPropyEthereum0.780.775118-0.63%0.74-5.13%0.0089✓0.42105k2022-08-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.3728.3189-0.63%7.565-9.64%0.0043✓1.0314.4M2022-08-24
QTUMQtumQtum4.0123.9865-0.64%3.4798-13.26%0.0497✓0.9848k2022-08-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.409860.407175-0.66%0.36794-10.23%0.0137✓0.9995k2022-08-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.4762.4594-0.67%2.176-12.12%0.0329✗1.76134k2022-08-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02990.029698-0.67%0.02692-9.97%0.0165✗1.302,9912022-08-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.361.3507-0.69%1.24-8.82%0.0031✓1.002.5M2022-08-24
XVGVergenative0.003780.003753-0.72%0.00321-15.08%0.0662✓1.02528k2022-08-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.5252.5067-0.73%2.264-10.34%0.0025✓1.1864k2022-08-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19540.19398-0.73%0.171-12.49%0.0005✓1.431,3972022-08-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche25.5625.3673-0.75%23.01-9.98%0.0234✗1.3728.7M2022-08-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.41071.4-0.76%1.5383+9.05%0.1775✗0.941.0M2022-08-24
FISStafiEthereum0.41420.410999-0.77%–pending––0.901922022-08-24
ADACardanoCardano0.53860.534429-0.77%0.4577-15.02%0.0641✓1.0343.6M2022-08-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31980.317317-0.78%0.2983-6.72%0.0256✗0.993.6M2022-08-24
OPTIMOptimism1.3211.3107-0.78%1.226-7.19%0.1034✗1.933.6M2022-08-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.7415.6059-0.85%13.83-12.13%0.0245✓1.092.6M2022-08-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000014760.000014633-0.86%0.00001305-11.59%0.0295✓0.96827k2022-08-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1213050.120248-0.87%0.109482-9.75%0.0151✓0.897.8M2022-08-24
COMPCompoundEthereum58.3157.7895-0.89%51.17-12.24%0.0124✓1.2420k2022-08-24
FLOWFlownative2.5652.5417-0.91%2.147-16.30%0.0557✓1.281.0M2022-08-24
API3Api3Ethereum2.2662.2452-0.92%1.936-14.56%0.0666✓0.92680k2022-08-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.07080.070149-0.92%0.0641-9.46%0.0120✗1.16331k2022-08-24
FTTFTXEthereum30.1129.819-0.97%27.55-8.50%0.0030✓0.939.1M2022-08-24
UMAUMAEthereum3.2633.2313-0.97%2.932-10.14%0.0238✓0.83719k2022-08-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008140.00806-0.98%0.0082+0.74%0.1153✗1.11456k2022-08-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12140.120181-1.00%0.1104-9.06%0.0084✓0.87311k2022-08-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34080.33737-1.01%0.3023-11.30%0.0276✓0.938.3M2022-08-24
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004633-1.01%0.00409-12.61%0.0356✓1.01158k2022-08-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.765064-1.03%0.721-6.73%0.0240✗0.94344k2022-08-24
XTZTezosTezos1.88471.8651-1.04%1.6006-15.07%0.0546✓1.11488k2022-08-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.09833.0656-1.06%4.3422+40.15%0.3926✗0.501.3M2022-08-24
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.045180.044697-1.07%0.04014-11.16%0.0367✓0.802,6002022-08-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.0630.062325-1.07%0.0549-12.86%0.0366✓1.02253k2022-08-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.10910.107882-1.12%0.099-9.26%0.0015✓0.99456k2022-08-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9280.917556-1.13%0.956+3.02%0.1493✗1.221.1M2022-08-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.1938.0992-1.14%6.274-23.42%0.1836✓0.819.9M2022-08-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25350.250576-1.15%0.2197-13.33%0.0421✓1.0183k2022-08-24
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001680.00166-1.17%0.0016-4.76%0.0239✗0.699,5772022-08-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.59e-7-1.18%9.20e-7-5.15%0.0271✗0.7721k2022-08-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6720.663813-1.22%0.6-10.71%0.0047✓1.20130k2022-08-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.6427-1.23%9.29+6.17%0.1075✗0.401.8M2022-08-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.7511.6043-1.24%13.019+10.80%0.2148✗1.1312.0M2022-08-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.6823.636-1.25%4.724+28.30%0.3375✗0.86124k2022-08-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.08710.085962-1.31%0.07428-14.72%0.0447✓1.1529k2022-08-24
KSMKusamaHydration54.7754.054-1.31%48.99-10.55%0.0087✓1.01595k2022-08-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0801150.079059-1.32%0.067837-15.33%0.0623✓1.031.9M2022-08-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.922.8811-1.33%2.41-17.47%0.0731✓1.19269k2022-08-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.21191.1957-1.34%1.1172-7.81%0.0096✓0.8855k2022-08-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.226.1361-1.35%6.94+11.58%0.1552✗0.361.1M2022-08-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.30115.2295-1.35%5.386+1.60%0.0414✗0.14217k2022-08-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.1444.0881-1.35%4.876+17.66%0.2031✗0.301.5M2022-08-24
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98420.970862-1.36%0.8151-17.18%0.0376✓1.55244k2022-08-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.046850.046212-1.36%0.04016-14.28%0.0540✓0.9821k2022-08-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.20162.1716-1.36%1.9654-10.73%0.0069✓1.0536k2022-08-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV59.92259.103-1.37%55.495-7.39%0.0007✓0.71365k2022-08-24
HIVEHivenative0.59610.587645-1.42%0.5577-6.44%0.0313✗0.952.0M2022-08-24
DASHDashDash52.8752.1187-1.42%49.13-7.07%0.0263✗0.97548k2022-08-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16970.167158-1.50%0.1509-11.08%0.0079✓1.07616k2022-08-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.007940.007817-1.55%0.00698-12.09%0.0566✓0.641.6M2022-08-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13810.135944-1.56%0.1249-9.56%0.0070✓1.0441k2022-08-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.29130.286569-1.62%0.2557-12.22%0.0319✓0.9381k2022-08-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.17690.174018-1.63%0.1481-16.28%0.0721✓1.01140k2022-08-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.47123.4131-1.67%5.6172+61.82%0.5259✗0.311.8M2022-08-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.344910.339105-1.68%0.2979-13.63%0.0377✓1.0413k2022-08-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0039360.003869-1.69%0.003426-12.96%0.0517✓0.791.0M2022-08-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.3611.1654-1.71%11.09-2.38%0.0938✗1.14313k2022-08-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8040.790121-1.73%0.727-9.58%0.0415✗1.414.6M2022-08-24
DIADIAEthereum0.460510.452519-1.74%0.40312-12.46%0.0356✓0.9170k2022-08-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.050730.049831-1.77%0.04656-8.22%0.0043✓0.7216k2022-08-24
CBKCobakEthereum1.11151.0917-1.78%0.94669-14.83%0.0592✓0.9412k2022-08-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,164.6210,965.87-1.78%9,349.19-16.26%0.0418✓1.336.8M2022-08-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70661.6762-1.78%1.8503+8.42%0.2051✗1.20598k2022-08-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0239350.023501-1.81%0.022261-6.99%0.0172✓0.8113k2022-08-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.20421.1824-1.81%0.06201-94.85%2.8473✓1.1412k2022-08-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2170.213019-1.83%0.186-14.29%0.0382✓1.10696k2022-08-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08320.08167-1.84%0.08425+1.26%0.0531✗0.251.0M2022-08-24
RADRadworksEthereum2.372.3254-1.88%2.34-1.27%0.0855✗0.90636k2022-08-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood2.922.8643-1.91%2.77-5.14%0.0126✓0.5296k2022-08-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0015460.001516-1.91%0.001535-0.71%0.0824✗0.791.6M2022-08-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.00009510.000093227-1.97%0.00009991+5.06%0.1582✗1.01336k2022-08-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.256103-1.99%0.2599-0.54%0.0158✓0.0165k2022-08-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.36.1737-2.00%6.85+8.73%0.1376✗0.381.6M2022-08-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.2939.4623-2.05%35.45-12.01%0.0151✓1.3816.5M2022-08-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0535190.052409-2.07%0.048259-9.83%0.0385✓0.5033k2022-08-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.92612.8648-2.09%2.4403-16.60%0.0535✓1.2113k2022-08-24
STEEMSteemnative0.27560.269805-2.10%0.2353-14.62%0.0602✓0.87550k2022-08-24
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.65774.5588-2.12%4.5679-1.93%0.0904✗1.00140k2022-08-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.383270.374999-2.16%0.36571-4.58%0.0522✗0.88435k2022-08-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018080.017689-2.16%0.01734-4.09%0.0345✗0.62153k2022-08-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.9670.945912-2.18%0.7861-18.71%0.0587✓1.43469k2022-08-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.652840.637393-2.37%0.58763-9.99%0.0347✗1.3147k2022-08-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum40.0939.086-2.50%37.33-6.88%0.0469✗1.051.8M2022-08-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.525.3811-2.52%6.1+10.51%0.1583✗0.372.0M2022-08-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.22220.216593-2.52%0.2424+9.09%0.1880✗0.851.2M2022-08-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0219640.021409-2.53%0.023439+6.72%0.1081✗0.20233k2022-08-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.81143.7084-2.70%5.8769+54.19%0.5011✗0.462.0M2022-08-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006750.006564-2.76%0.00668-1.04%0.0571✗0.4555k2022-08-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04390.042638-2.88%0.0377-14.12%0.0395✓0.9576k2022-08-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010860.010546-2.89%0.0091-16.21%0.0820✓0.745.8M2022-08-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.9665.7905-2.94%14.339+140.35%0.9392✗0.371.2M2022-08-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.87e-76.60e-7-3.96%8.05e-7+17.06%0.2539✗0.63164k2022-08-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.