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2022-08-08 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3832
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.76%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.7%
in alpha space · 62.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.18%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.15450.14112-8.66%0.1145-25.89%0.2190✓0.84184k2022-08-15
FLOWFlownative3.0232.8829-4.64%2.71-10.35%0.0771✓1.30540k2022-08-15
OPTIMOptimism1.8991.8157-4.39%1.569-17.38%0.1687✓1.933.1M2022-08-15
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.112720.107806-4.36%0.09505-15.68%0.1434✓1.481.4M2022-08-15
CELLCellframeEthereum0.51110.489011-4.32%0.4009-21.56%0.2123✓1.1680k2022-08-15
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8410.806207-4.14%0.718-14.63%0.1326✓1.422,7022022-08-15
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.14910.143466-3.78%0.1342-9.99%0.0831✓1.393.0M2022-08-15
RADRadworksEthereum2.742.6451-3.46%2.46-10.22%0.0857✓1.12636k2022-08-15
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.089650.08671-3.28%0.08413-6.16%0.0391✓0.768502022-08-15
METISMetisEthereum45.6344.1427-3.26%40.9-10.37%0.0981✓1.85304k2022-08-15
STORJStorjEthereum0.698950.677171-3.12%0.71526+2.33%0.0375✗1.4669k2022-08-15
WOOWOOEthereum0.26770.259389-3.10%0.2205-17.63%0.1773✓1.261,5612022-08-15
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0315.8477-3.04%6.023-0.13%0.0247✓0.413.0M2022-08-15
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.0953.971-3.03%3.694-9.79%0.0922✓1.695.2M2022-08-15
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.06621.0349-2.94%1.4669+37.58%0.3361✗1.08907k2022-08-15
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98750.959235-2.86%1.0012+1.39%0.0226✓1.72296k2022-08-15
QNTQuantEthereum128.79125.1041-2.86%113.47-11.90%0.1084✓0.924.5M2022-08-15
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8980.87357-2.72%0.87-3.12%0.0241✓1.704.3M2022-08-15
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,448.8111,138.78-2.71%11,093.56-3.10%0.0204✓1.395.3M2022-08-15
COMPCompoundEthereum62.0160.3578-2.66%62.03+0.03%0.0115✓1.3435k2022-08-15
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche27.9227.1792-2.65%27.9-0.07%0.0081✓1.5430.5M2022-08-15
GMTGMTEthereum0.9440.919039-2.64%1.053+11.55%0.1171✗1.61462k2022-08-15
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0582.0054-2.56%1.893-8.02%0.0740✓1.38234k2022-08-15
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.035130.034233-2.55%0.02883-17.93%0.1871✓1.3013.9M2022-08-15
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0680.066293-2.51%0.0659-3.09%0.0205✓1.24803k2022-08-15
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.8421.3004-2.47%20.58-5.77%0.0433✓0.752.6M2022-08-15
MOVRMoonriverBase19.466618.9859-2.47%15.8559-18.55%0.1932✓1.1153k2022-08-15
API3Api3Ethereum2.1412.0882-2.47%2.455+14.67%0.1486✗1.12595k2022-08-15
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5530.539355-2.47%0.519-6.15%0.0516✓1.1213k2022-08-15
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4982.4366-2.46%2.119-15.17%0.1552✓1.32169k2022-08-15
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum18.6718.2141-2.44%18.18-2.62%0.0173✓1.311.4M2022-08-15
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099290.000096866-2.44%0.00009691-2.40%0.0222✓1.93421k2022-08-15
IMXImmutableEthereum1.21331.1842-2.40%1.0393-14.34%0.1466✓1.371.8M2022-08-15
DOTPolkadotPolkadot9.2769.0562-2.37%8.787-5.27%0.0440✓1.1711.6M2022-08-15
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2598.0661-2.34%7.794-5.63%0.0483✓1.186.5M2022-08-15
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04540.044341-2.33%0.0425-6.39%0.0559✓1.1477k2022-08-15
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16621.1393-2.31%1.1419-2.08%0.0071✓0.804.1M2022-08-15
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.47733.3978-2.29%3.6239+4.22%0.0557✗0.741.7M2022-08-15
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.81711.5475-2.28%11.408-3.46%0.0274✓1.3014.4M2022-08-15
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.7416.3607-2.27%15.12-9.68%0.0949✓1.362.6M2022-08-15
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.92.8344-2.26%2.73-5.86%0.0537✓1.3850k2022-08-15
TRBTellor TributesEthereum30.0429.3637-2.25%40+33.16%0.2924✗1.421.2M2022-08-15
DIADIAEthereum0.482930.472073-2.25%0.47474-1.70%0.0024✓0.6968k2022-08-15
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017630.017234-2.24%0.01742-1.19%0.0017✓0.76172k2022-08-15
CHZChilizEthereum0.15260.149205-2.22%0.1968+28.96%0.2651✗1.001.1M2022-08-15
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.024.909-2.21%4.97-1.00%0.0053✓0.601.3M2022-08-15
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3631040.355109-2.20%0.371538+2.32%0.0310✗1.21987k2022-08-15
SUSHISushiEthereum1.561.5261-2.18%1.44-7.69%0.0744✓1.391.2M2022-08-15
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.7211.4667-2.16%11.94+1.88%0.0262✗1.21279k2022-08-15
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.7074.6054-2.16%5.456+15.91%0.1642✗0.451.2M2022-08-15
XVSVenusEthereum6.926.7718-2.14%6.3-8.96%0.0871✓1.261.4M2022-08-15
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8892.8273-2.13%2.725-5.68%0.0580✓1.80131k2022-08-15
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.625.5005-2.13%5.44-3.20%0.0173✓0.532.1M2022-08-15
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5610.549112-2.12%0.4992-11.02%0.1104✓1.29232k2022-08-15
BANDBandEthereum1.8751.8357-2.09%1.711-8.75%0.0869✓1.40371k2022-08-15
FORTFortaEthereum0.31260.306053-2.09%0.2975-4.83%0.0413✓1.10300k2022-08-15
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.196530.192414-2.09%0.18875-3.96%0.0459✓2.271,0642022-08-15
ZECZcashZcash77.5375.91-2.09%73.84-4.76%0.0423✓1.251.9M2022-08-15
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1254.0392-2.08%3.991-3.25%0.0177✓0.481.9M2022-08-15
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3511.3229-2.08%1.311-2.96%0.0236✓1.241.1M2022-08-15
AAVEAaveEthereum102.58100.4464-2.08%107.14+4.45%0.0454✗1.629.1M2022-08-15
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17590.172282-2.06%0.1799+2.27%0.0297✗1.15529k2022-08-15
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009110.008927-2.00%0.0085-6.70%0.0632✓1.20450k2022-08-15
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21153.1484-1.97%3.4246+6.64%0.0765✗0.641.2M2022-08-15
COTICOTIEthereum0.11990.117557-1.95%0.1148-4.25%0.0377✓1.18566k2022-08-15
DODODODOEthereum0.18040.176958-1.91%0.168-6.87%0.0659✓1.183.1M2022-08-15
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.230.225655-1.89%0.226-1.74%0.0150✓1.40703k2022-08-15
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011920.00117-1.88%0.001637+37.31%0.3221✗1.191.3M2022-08-15
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.42811.4012-1.88%1.3341-6.58%0.0669✓1.516.4M2022-08-15
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.199.9988-1.88%9.92-2.65%0.0238✓1.35436k2022-08-15
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.16740.164339-1.83%0.1569-6.27%0.0563✓0.843.6M2022-08-15
SOLSolanaSolana42.241.429-1.83%43.72+3.60%0.0380✗1.3479.4M2022-08-15
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.738.5714-1.82%8.417-3.59%0.0297✓0.985.1M2022-08-15
HIVEHivenative0.60640.595389-1.82%0.6251+3.08%0.0355✗1.122.1M2022-08-15
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.0637.3701-1.81%41.97+10.27%0.0993✗1.4213.5M2022-08-15
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6970.684568-1.78%0.681-2.30%0.0210✓1.3491k2022-08-15
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08960.088008-1.78%0.0835-6.81%0.0656✓1.11126k2022-08-15
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.6078.4542-1.78%8.649+0.49%0.0085✓1.2117.7M2022-08-15
ZENHorizenBase19.1518.8105-1.77%20.11+5.01%0.0516✗1.29118k2022-08-15
C98Coin98Ethereum0.57960.569341-1.77%0.5236-9.66%0.0968✓1.1148k2022-08-15
APEApeCoinEthereum7.3147.1855-1.76%6.215-15.03%0.1636✓1.5711.9M2022-08-15
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8940.878409-1.74%0.857-4.14%0.0384✓1.17253k2022-08-15
ETHEthereumEthereum1,777.361,746.91-1.71%1,899.39+6.87%0.0682✗1.32427.7M2022-08-15
UOSUltraEthereum0.331070.325419-1.71%0.35764+8.03%0.0827✗0.99383k2022-08-15
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.052.9982-1.70%2.96-2.95%0.0186✓0.49110k2022-08-15
GALAGALAEthereum0.0620.060952-1.69%0.067+8.06%0.0789✗1.33185k2022-08-15
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14470.142268-1.68%0.1474+1.87%0.0213✗1.2059k2022-08-15
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.848.6925-1.67%8.78-0.68%0.0060✓0.341.8M2022-08-15
MANADecentralandEthereum1.08551.0675-1.66%1.0534-2.96%0.0279✓1.24543k2022-08-15
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8350.821199-1.65%0.819-1.92%0.0135✓0.92377k2022-08-15
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0161310.015865-1.65%0.016006-0.77%0.0009✓0.822.1M2022-08-15
XECeCashnative0.000045890.000045138-1.64%0.00004601+0.26%0.0067✓1.061.8M2022-08-15
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03320.032658-1.63%0.04885+47.14%0.3890✗1.1614k2022-08-15
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.36290.356997-1.63%0.3578-1.41%0.0104✓1.078.3M2022-08-15
XTZTezosTezos1.8941.8632-1.63%1.8279-3.49%0.0332✓1.19536k2022-08-15
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.422030.415208-1.62%0.41114-2.58%0.0248✓1.27488k2022-08-15
STXStacksnative0.50850.500295-1.61%0.4859-4.44%0.0435✓1.21892k2022-08-15
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.175850.173019-1.61%0.1756-0.14%0.0030✓1.51217k2022-08-15
XLMStellarStellar0.1301560.12808-1.60%0.123528-5.09%0.0477✓0.977.0M2022-08-15
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash143.54141.2815-1.57%137.34-4.32%0.0421✓1.174.8M2022-08-15
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.993.9276-1.56%3.69-7.52%0.0722✓0.83976k2022-08-15
UNIUniswapEthereum8.7918.6542-1.56%8.475-3.59%0.0371✓1.379.9M2022-08-15
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.429960.423296-1.55%0.44286+3.00%0.0319✗1.12124k2022-08-15
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12670.124738-1.55%0.1261-0.47%0.0008✓0.99370k2022-08-15
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.043.9775-1.55%4.131+2.25%0.0311✗0.581.6M2022-08-15
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.333763-1.54%0.324-4.42%0.0416✓1.011.1M2022-08-15
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26240.258347-1.54%0.2726+3.89%0.0401✗1.1597k2022-08-15
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0034330.003381-1.53%0.004238+23.45%0.2145✗0.98994k2022-08-15
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.46590.458892-1.50%0.4503-3.35%0.0369✓1.53207k2022-08-15
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.045.9495-1.50%6.12+1.32%0.0214✗0.59887k2022-08-15
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012290.000012107-1.49%0.00001525+24.08%0.2178✗1.10898k2022-08-15
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4381.4166-1.49%1.47+2.23%0.0227✗1.222.5M2022-08-15
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.66570.65583-1.48%0.5965-10.40%0.1074✓1.07726k2022-08-15
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.851.8226-1.48%1.72-7.03%0.0727✓1.26130k2022-08-15
GLMGolemEthereum0.27330.269251-1.48%0.2853+4.39%0.0453✗1.0765k2022-08-15
ELAElastosEthereum2.062.0295-1.48%2.01-2.43%0.0222✓1.06238k2022-08-15
KSMKusamaHydration64.663.6541-1.46%57.71-10.67%0.1115✓1.14462k2022-08-15
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05430.053509-1.46%0.0544+0.18%0.0022✓1.22254k2022-08-15
KCSKuCoinnative10.76710.6105-1.45%10.526-2.24%0.0208✓1.081.9M2022-08-15
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.022.9762-1.45%3.32+9.93%0.0926✗1.42234k2022-08-15
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.033330.032852-1.43%0.03112-6.63%0.0694✓1.301,3552022-08-15
XVGVergenative0.003770.003716-1.42%0.00403+6.90%0.0661✗1.26517k2022-08-15
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34740.342497-1.41%0.3448-0.75%0.0067✓1.143.6M2022-08-15
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.0290.028595-1.40%0.02686-7.38%0.0739✓0.96159k2022-08-15
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10380.102356-1.39%0.1007-2.99%0.0298✓1.146,7662022-08-15
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.37e-73.32e-7-1.39%7.43e-7+120.53%0.7951✗0.82146k2022-08-15
QTUMQtumQtum4.16564.1097-1.34%4.042-2.97%0.0292✓1.0757k2022-08-15
BFCBifrostEthereum0.085570.084429-1.33%0.0886+3.54%0.0332✗1.2829k2022-08-15
BTTCBTTC9.90e-79.77e-7-1.32%9.90e-7+0.00%0.0035✓0.836.0M2022-08-15
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.31761.4963-1.32%61.418-1.44%0.0105✓0.78321k2022-08-15
UMAUMAEthereum3.0523.0119-1.31%3.305+8.29%0.0808✗1.02587k2022-08-15
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6262.5915-1.31%3.896+48.36%0.3970✗0.9092k2022-08-15
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7740.763854-1.31%0.99+27.91%0.2445✗1.26963k2022-08-15
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.6161.7919-1.31%60.69-3.07%0.0310✓1.1013.6M2022-08-15
SCSiacoinnative0.004740.004679-1.29%0.00488+2.95%0.0274✗1.25102k2022-08-15
XEMNEMnative0.0524760.051807-1.28%0.053067+1.13%0.0113✓1.0837k2022-08-15
DASHDashDash56.2255.5138-1.26%53.17-5.43%0.0559✓1.08552k2022-08-15
LRCLoopringEthereum0.47040.464573-1.24%0.4715+0.23%0.0003✓1.28165k2022-08-15
ADACardanoCardano0.53720.530564-1.24%0.5501+2.40%0.0226✗1.1540.5M2022-08-15
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05170.051062-1.23%0.045-12.96%0.1410✓1.2410k2022-08-15
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.08260.081617-1.19%0.0788-4.60%0.0486✓1.151.4M2022-08-15
FTTFTXEthereum31.4931.1189-1.18%30.85-2.03%0.0197✓0.949.1M2022-08-15
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.60871.5898-1.17%1.6772+4.26%0.0369✗1.41619k2022-08-15
CVCCivicEthereum0.1630.161089-1.17%0.1994+22.33%0.1996✗1.17104k2022-08-15
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.99752.9625-1.17%3.0966+3.31%0.0343✗0.851.2M2022-08-15
AVTAventusEthereum1.551.5319-1.17%1.47-5.16%0.0443✓0.26186k2022-08-15
GITCOINGITCOIN3.00822.9735-1.15%3.3016+9.75%0.0873✗1.4713k2022-08-15
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.715.6446-1.15%6.38+11.73%0.1165✗0.511.1M2022-08-15
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07370.072863-1.14%0.0692-6.11%0.0628✓0.95158k2022-08-15
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22850.225941-1.12%0.2573+12.60%0.1123✗1.5089k2022-08-15
FISStafiEthereum0.37330.36916-1.11%0.4936+32.23%0.2798✗0.911602022-08-15
NANOnanopayBase1.08431.0723-1.11%1.0171-6.20%0.0633✓0.8956k2022-08-15
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.3852.3587-1.10%2.3338-2.15%0.0242✓1.1638k2022-08-15
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010440.010329-1.06%0.01073+2.78%0.0273✗0.925.3M2022-08-15
GTGateEthereum4.90554.8553-1.02%4.9822+1.56%0.0168✗0.76887k2022-08-15
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.086290.085408-1.02%0.08417-2.46%0.0178✓0.271.1M2022-08-15
PHAPHALAEthereum0.13170.13037-1.01%0.129-2.05%0.0231✓1.064,2082022-08-15
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7670.759531-0.97%0.72-6.13%0.0705✓1.44135k2022-08-15
LCXLCXEthereum0.06070.060114-0.97%0.0707+16.47%0.1457✗1.40331k2022-08-15
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0841.0738-0.94%0.947-12.64%0.1325✓0.582.7M2022-08-15
XYMSymbolnative0.057250.056712-0.94%0.055866-2.42%0.0219✓0.5827k2022-08-15
BTTBitTorrentEthereum0.0000019.91e-7-0.90%0.000001+0.00%0.0005✓0.7224k2022-08-15
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0189740.018805-0.89%0.020413+7.58%0.0788✗0.28194k2022-08-15
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0700560.069439-0.88%0.076696+9.48%0.0862✗1.121.6M2022-08-15
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.60880.603675-0.84%0.5804-4.66%0.0529✓1.16303k2022-08-15
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017640.00175-0.81%0.001789+1.42%0.0109✗0.968,8902022-08-15
XMRMoneroMonero167.1165.7421-0.81%163.5-2.15%0.0262✓1.061.1M2022-08-15
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22820.226379-0.80%0.2114-7.36%0.0852✓1.421,2762022-08-15
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.17391.165-0.76%1.2127+3.31%0.0269✗1.1313k2022-08-15
LSKLiskEthereum1.23041.2213-0.74%1.2755+3.67%0.0312✗1.0447k2022-08-15
STEEMSteemnative0.26240.2605-0.72%0.2752+4.88%0.0419✗1.10701k2022-08-15
PROPropyEthereum0.790.784541-0.69%0.82+3.80%0.0373✗0.5983k2022-08-15
DKAdKargoEthereum0.052690.052332-0.68%0.05379+2.09%0.0174✗0.8617k2022-08-15
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,846.6023,710.90-0.57%23,840.30-0.03%0.0061✓0.9812k2022-08-15
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002240.002228-0.54%0.002105-6.03%0.0686✓1.001.3M2022-08-15
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,815.6523,693.62-0.51%24,097.82+1.18%0.0051✗1.00427.9M2022-08-15
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00630.006269-0.49%0.006721+6.68%0.0631✗0.5549k2022-08-15
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046650.046423-0.49%0.04763+2.10%0.0148✗0.922,4562022-08-15
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26140.260193-0.46%0.2613-0.04%0.0041✓0.0132k2022-08-15
CBKCobakEthereum1.16481.1601-0.40%1.184+1.66%0.0077✗1.0712k2022-08-15
AMPAmpEthereum0.008370.008337-0.40%0.00821-1.91%0.0243✓0.761.6M2022-08-15
SUNSun TokenTron0.0067160.006692-0.34%0.006763+0.70%0.0012✓0.784,5222022-08-15
BORABORAKlay Token0.369410.368823-0.16%0.36134-2.18%0.0353✓1.2513k2022-08-15
TRXTRONTron0.0700470.069944-0.15%0.068965-1.54%0.0212✓0.60279k2022-08-15
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0235790.023591+0.05%0.025193+6.85%0.0545✓0.9512k2022-08-15
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.84.8141+0.29%5.3846+12.18%0.1100✓0.17300k2022-08-15
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.