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2022-08-06 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3408
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.65%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
70.8%
in alpha space · 22.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+6.51%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.954.9477-0.05%4.8922-1.17%0.0222✓0.17228k2022-08-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,960.9322,928.69-0.14%24,456.49+6.51%0.0014✗1.00427.9M2022-08-13
TRXTRONTron0.069510.069388-0.18%0.069903+0.57%0.0374✓0.71327k2022-08-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.008317-0.28%0.00828-0.72%0.0621✓0.911.6M2022-08-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0232040.023138-0.29%0.025853+11.42%0.0504✗0.9612k2022-08-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002210.002203-0.30%0.002197-0.59%0.0660✓1.001.1M2022-08-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063240.006305-0.30%0.006994+10.59%0.0494✗0.864,5222022-08-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.360270.359065-0.33%0.37115+3.02%0.0483✓1.2913k2022-08-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.57290.570577-0.41%0.6153+7.40%0.0029✓1.15318k2022-08-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064590.006424-0.55%0.006824+5.65%0.0292✗0.4944k2022-08-13
XMRMoneroMonero160.51159.5739-0.58%168.13+4.75%0.0187✓1.121.1M2022-08-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017090.001697-0.71%0.001748+2.28%0.0353✓1.039,0932022-08-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.15881.1506-0.71%1.2311+6.24%0.0017✓1.1012k2022-08-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,221.9023,048.42-0.75%24,547.20+5.71%0.0013✓0.9812k2022-08-13
XYMSymbolnative0.054630.054207-0.77%0.056988+4.32%0.0143✗0.5725k2022-08-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0686410.068098-0.79%0.072906+6.21%0.0062✓1.181.6M2022-08-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.10841.0993-0.82%1.243+12.15%0.0572✗1.0413k2022-08-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07440.073786-0.83%0.0823+10.62%0.0398✗1.101.1M2022-08-13
GTGateEthereum4.77754.7374-0.84%5.1095+6.95%0.0283✗0.75908k2022-08-13
STEEMSteemnative0.25780.255602-0.85%0.2759+7.02%0.0023✓1.17768k2022-08-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.009972-0.88%0.01031+2.49%0.0224✓0.885.2M2022-08-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21550.213598-0.88%0.2195+1.86%0.0621✓1.421,2762022-08-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.19371.1831-0.89%1.2916+8.20%0.0212✗1.0543k2022-08-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.258948-0.90%0.261-0.11%0.0071✓0.0131k2022-08-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023020.022808-0.92%0.02741+19.07%0.1200✗1.01159k2022-08-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.059796-1.00%0.0784+29.80%0.1820✗1.41350k2022-08-13
FTTFTXEthereum30.3930.0829-1.01%31.33+3.09%0.0195✓0.959.4M2022-08-13
NANOnanopayBase1.04631.0356-1.02%1.0828+3.48%0.0149✓0.9458k2022-08-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7490.741341-1.02%1.038+38.58%0.2595✗1.22963k2022-08-13
DASHDashDash52.5752.027-1.03%57.07+8.56%0.0226✗1.11574k2022-08-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55891.5422-1.07%1.7029+9.24%0.0116✗1.39619k2022-08-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031370.031032-1.08%0.03326+6.02%0.0122✓1.291,3502022-08-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43530.4306-1.08%0.4939+13.46%0.0542✗1.31134k2022-08-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12980.128385-1.09%0.1341+3.31%0.0193✓1.004,7012022-08-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07740.076545-1.11%0.1176+51.94%0.3833✗0.73159k2022-08-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046510.045994-1.11%0.04922+5.83%0.0088✓0.932,3002022-08-13
ADACardanoCardano0.51140.505712-1.11%0.5598+9.46%0.0255✗1.2140.5M2022-08-13
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.59e-7-1.14%0.00000102+5.15%0.0085✓0.846.1M2022-08-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.12754.0803-1.14%4.2917+3.98%0.0177✓1.0853k2022-08-13
ZECZcashZcash67.6566.8747-1.15%76.21+12.65%0.0506✗1.271.7M2022-08-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.452.4214-1.17%4.135+68.78%0.4788✗0.8992k2022-08-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.97582.9403-1.19%2.999+0.78%0.0418✓0.981.2M2022-08-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.8460.1004-1.22%63.86+4.96%0.0130✓1.1713.5M2022-08-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.316260.312411-1.22%0.3817+20.69%0.1301✗1.11366k2022-08-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.58e-7-1.22%0.00000101+4.12%0.0074✓0.7225k2022-08-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7690.759597-1.22%0.733-4.68%0.1285✓1.47135k2022-08-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.16260.160607-1.23%0.1743+7.20%0.0032✓1.25102k2022-08-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1219030.120395-1.24%0.126836+4.05%0.0104✓0.997.0M2022-08-13
KCSKuCoinnative10.50110.3698-1.25%10.697+1.87%0.0385✓1.102.0M2022-08-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.00462-1.29%0.00504+7.69%0.0044✓1.31112k2022-08-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08640.085276-1.30%0.08755+1.33%0.0091✓0.271.1M2022-08-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10140.100055-1.33%0.1028+1.38%0.0490✓1.205,6912022-08-13
GITCOINGITCOIN3.00292.9627-1.34%3.2141+7.03%0.0170✓1.5613k2022-08-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202380.019966-1.34%0.020481+1.20%0.0003✓0.40173k2022-08-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032410.003197-1.35%0.004633+42.95%0.3076✗1.001.0M2022-08-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33962.308-1.35%2.4159+3.26%0.0309✓1.2137k2022-08-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05050.049818-1.35%0.0501-0.79%0.0759✓1.2910k2022-08-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7947.6883-1.36%9.149+17.39%0.0944✗1.2616.9M2022-08-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,690.811,667.85-1.36%1,984.75+17.38%0.0927✗1.29407.7M2022-08-13
STXStacksnative0.48450.477916-1.36%0.5095+5.16%0.0142✓1.24808k2022-08-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34110.336437-1.37%0.3595+5.39%0.0073✓1.173.6M2022-08-13
XVGVergenative0.00370.003649-1.37%0.00389+5.14%0.0179✓1.30551k2022-08-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086090.084909-1.37%0.09127+6.02%0.0131✓1.3529k2022-08-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0710.070015-1.39%0.0716+0.85%0.0363✓0.93158k2022-08-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.755.6695-1.40%6.12+6.43%0.0392✗0.59878k2022-08-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34920.344221-1.43%0.3686+5.56%0.0043✓1.158.2M2022-08-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.37331.3537-1.43%1.4348+4.48%0.0384✓1.536.4M2022-08-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.796403-1.44%0.872+7.92%0.0255✗1.03390k2022-08-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169290.166826-1.46%0.18116+7.01%0.0154✓1.55212k2022-08-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.5076-1.46%1.55+1.31%0.0092✓0.29242k2022-08-13
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.6511-1.47%8.987+2.36%0.0497✓1.399.9M2022-08-13
SOLSolanaSolana40.0739.4798-1.47%46.63+16.37%0.0801✗1.3780.8M2022-08-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000011774-1.48%0.00001262+5.61%0.0089✓1.24934k2022-08-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.837.2384-1.49%43.58+15.29%0.0676✗1.4213.0M2022-08-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8350.82254-1.49%0.917+9.82%0.0321✗1.21241k2022-08-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12120.11939-1.49%0.1296+6.93%0.0138✓1.08370k2022-08-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.054404-1.50%0.05467-1.01%0.0505✓0.8816k2022-08-13
XECeCashnative0.000044740.00004407-1.50%0.0000474+5.95%0.0008✓1.171.9M2022-08-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45280.445969-1.51%0.462+2.03%0.0581✓1.48242k2022-08-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.34139.2053-1.51%144.43+2.19%0.0394✓1.214.7M2022-08-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.37e-73.32e-7-1.52%3.22e-7-4.51%0.0919✓0.97153k2022-08-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.27080.266666-1.53%0.2886+6.57%0.0092✓1.1165k2022-08-13
XEMNEMnative0.0518040.05101-1.53%0.054466+5.14%0.0099✓1.2037k2022-08-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.032.9833-1.54%3.24+6.93%0.0134✓1.52234k2022-08-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0158910.015643-1.56%0.01624+2.20%0.0196✓0.902.1M2022-08-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13850.136335-1.56%0.1512+9.17%0.0239✗1.2661k2022-08-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25860.254541-1.57%0.2745+6.15%0.0016✓1.2299k2022-08-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.74-1.58%8.81-0.79%0.0222✓0.481.8M2022-08-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9663.9034-1.58%4.065+2.50%0.0131✓0.85976k2022-08-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.04721.0306-1.58%1.0614+1.35%0.0533✓1.31532k2022-08-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.412090.405542-1.59%0.41477+0.65%0.0643✓1.38507k2022-08-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.06010.059144-1.59%0.0672+11.81%0.0397✗1.39179k2022-08-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.431.4072-1.59%1.485+3.85%0.0261✓1.272.5M2022-08-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1781.1592-1.60%0.991-15.87%0.1967✓0.632.1M2022-08-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.42460.4402-1.60%63.346+3.13%0.0060✓0.84321k2022-08-13
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2647.1446-1.64%6.66-8.31%0.1784✓1.7111.9M2022-08-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56940.560015-1.65%0.5584-1.93%0.0737✓1.1246k2022-08-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23530.23141-1.65%0.2699+14.70%0.0611✗1.4789k2022-08-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008850.008703-1.66%0.00886+0.11%0.0622✓1.27392k2022-08-13
UMAUMAEthereum3.0342.9836-1.66%3.746+23.47%0.1564✗1.13572k2022-08-13
XTZTezosTezos1.87771.8461-1.68%1.9104+1.74%0.0465✓1.28530k2022-08-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.63210.4502-1.71%11.906+11.98%0.0448✗1.3613.0M2022-08-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6520.640847-1.71%0.6271-3.82%0.0947✓1.16755k2022-08-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.33318-1.72%0.333-1.77%0.0655✓1.031.1M2022-08-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.13.0466-1.72%3.03-2.26%0.0371✓0.50116k2022-08-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05470.053758-1.72%0.0554+1.28%0.0508✓1.28269k2022-08-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9613.8922-1.74%4.086+3.16%0.0050✓0.691.5M2022-08-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6780.666219-1.74%0.702+3.54%0.0359✓1.4090k2022-08-13
HIVEHivenative0.58410.573898-1.75%0.6334+8.44%0.0244✗1.182.1M2022-08-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08690.085375-1.76%0.0916+5.41%0.0030✓1.16126k2022-08-13
AAVEAaveEthereum99.0897.3399-1.76%110.5+11.53%0.0219✗1.6610.0M2022-08-13
XVSVenusEthereum6.626.503-1.77%6.65+0.45%0.0648✓1.381.4M2022-08-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.5248.3715-1.79%9.31+9.22%0.0284✗1.2311.0M2022-08-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011170.001097-1.79%0.001473+31.89%0.2163✗1.241.3M2022-08-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2230.218969-1.81%0.235+5.38%0.0243✓1.50716k2022-08-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.321.2959-1.82%1.326+0.45%0.0555✓1.241.1M2022-08-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.4821-1.85%1.54+1.99%0.0508✓1.411.2M2022-08-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.115.9963-1.86%6.06-0.82%0.0317✓0.67754k2022-08-13
DODODODOEthereum0.18050.177063-1.90%0.1759-2.55%0.0848✓1.243.3M2022-08-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6982.6464-1.91%2.902+7.56%0.0187✓1.76118k2022-08-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032650.032024-1.92%0.04514+38.25%0.2654✗1.2314k2022-08-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.7948-1.92%1.85+1.09%0.0534✓1.33129k2022-08-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15840.155323-1.94%0.1717+8.40%0.0395✗0.963.6M2022-08-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12911.107-1.95%1.138+0.79%0.0591✓1.371.5M2022-08-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11410.11182-2.00%0.1229+7.71%0.0149✓1.26505k2022-08-13
KSMKusamaHydration66.4165.0671-2.02%61.18-7.88%0.1351✓1.16419k2022-08-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.14620.143185-2.06%0.1616+10.53%0.0530✗1.081.0M2022-08-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.6311.3892-2.07%12.18+4.73%0.0092✓1.21290k2022-08-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.430780.421835-2.08%0.46097+7.01%0.0133✓1.20124k2022-08-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.610.3789-2.09%10.46-1.32%0.0811✓1.41358k2022-08-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21033.1426-2.11%3.4228+6.62%0.0376✗0.761.2M2022-08-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5490.537387-2.12%0.558+1.64%0.0346✓1.1516k2022-08-13
BANDBandEthereum1.8281.7892-2.12%1.823-0.27%0.0719✓1.43371k2022-08-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3534720.345978-2.12%0.387693+9.68%0.0338✗1.271.0M2022-08-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17430.17057-2.14%0.1908+9.47%0.0328✗1.26529k2022-08-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6564.5532-2.21%4.814+3.39%0.0207✓0.551.3M2022-08-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.762.699-2.21%2.867+3.88%0.0303✓1.4447k2022-08-13
ZENHorizenBase19.2718.8429-2.22%20.82+8.04%0.0137✓1.36118k2022-08-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9931.9482-2.25%1.994+0.05%0.0650✓1.40253k2022-08-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06470.06324-2.26%0.0714+10.36%0.0398✗1.29803k2022-08-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44783.3696-2.27%3.4312-0.48%0.0371✓0.871.6M2022-08-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.3130.305878-2.28%0.3084-1.47%0.0610✓1.10300k2022-08-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3662.3119-2.29%2.328-1.61%0.0833✓1.43169k2022-08-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9417.5291-2.29%19.24+7.25%0.0088✓1.341.3M2022-08-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12780.124868-2.29%0.1441+12.75%0.0547✗1.402.9M2022-08-13
FLOWFlownative2.572.5109-2.30%2.923+13.74%0.0719✗1.27466k2022-08-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.5199-2.30%5.4-4.42%0.0603✓0.611.5M2022-08-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.9316.5388-2.31%15.39-9.10%0.1609✓1.412.6M2022-08-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2858.0935-2.31%8.197-1.06%0.0649✓1.236.9M2022-08-13
DIADIAEthereum0.472490.461534-2.32%0.53395+13.01%0.0980✗0.7670k2022-08-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16681.1393-2.36%1.1627-0.35%0.0339✓0.864.1M2022-08-13
METISMetisEthereum41.2340.2429-2.39%47.76+15.84%0.0535✗1.87293k2022-08-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04440.043335-2.40%0.0442-0.45%0.0582✓1.2376k2022-08-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198360.193582-2.41%0.20197+1.82%0.1023✓2.291,1202022-08-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.034.9083-2.42%4.96-1.39%0.0338✓0.701.3M2022-08-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017710.017277-2.44%0.01788+0.96%0.0178✓0.83176k2022-08-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9230.900352-2.45%0.974+5.53%0.0347✓1.80469k2022-08-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077790.075881-2.45%0.08281+6.45%0.0414✗0.739072022-08-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56690.552911-2.47%0.5216-7.99%0.1416✓1.32234k2022-08-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.84916-2.51%0.912+4.71%0.0387✓1.744.4M2022-08-13
ELAElastosEthereum2.2792.2218-2.51%2.107-7.55%0.1242✓1.13219k2022-08-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0413.9389-2.53%4.099+1.44%0.0036✓0.571.9M2022-08-13
API3Api3Ethereum2.1192.0647-2.56%2.408+13.64%0.0734✗1.27619k2022-08-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.4449-2.59%2.66+5.98%0.0168✓1.07507k2022-08-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.7330.8995-2.62%40.15+26.54%0.1743✗1.39949k2022-08-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100020.000097386-2.63%0.00009674-3.28%0.1389✓2.10480k2022-08-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.035250.034314-2.66%0.03126-11.32%0.1848✓1.4513.9M2022-08-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.6425.9321-2.66%29.19+9.57%0.0188✓1.5827.5M2022-08-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8020.780214-2.72%0.792-1.25%0.0772✓1.462,7912022-08-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6321.0403-2.73%21.34-1.34%0.0380✓0.832.6M2022-08-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43230.420387-2.76%0.4375+1.20%0.0348✓1.1880k2022-08-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.95969-2.91%1.0121+2.39%0.0528✓1.68296k2022-08-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,723.9311,375.94-2.97%11,424.48-2.55%0.0873✓1.454.9M2022-08-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.4459.1411-3.22%8.374-11.34%0.1533✓1.043.3M2022-08-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.691750.669261-3.25%0.72052+4.16%0.0216✓1.5178k2022-08-13
COMPCompoundEthereum65.0562.9187-3.28%65.44+0.60%0.0497✓1.4138k2022-08-13
QNTQuantEthereum120.14116.1503-3.32%126.57+5.35%0.0244✓0.974.5M2022-08-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.09451.058-3.33%1.419+29.65%0.2211✗1.151.0M2022-08-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085850.082916-3.42%0.09698+12.96%0.0630✗1.481.1M2022-08-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2744.1247-3.49%3.972-7.07%0.1480✓1.755.2M2022-08-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.5835.3866-3.52%6.38+14.28%0.1365✗0.522.6M2022-08-13
OPTIMOptimism1.9011.8202-4.25%1.542-18.88%0.2891✓1.953.1M2022-08-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.26450.253122-4.30%0.2265-14.37%0.1936✓1.311,5612022-08-13
MOVRMoonriverBase18.505917.6844-4.44%17.0389-7.93%0.1084✓1.1353k2022-08-13
PROPropyEthereum0.920.877589-4.61%0.82-10.87%0.1042✓0.5878k2022-08-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.