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2022-08-06 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2856
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.5%
in alpha space · 78.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+6.51%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.2744.1213-3.57%3.972-7.07%0.1471✓1.755.2M2022-08-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.26450.255809-3.29%0.2265-14.37%0.2041✓1.311,5612022-08-13
QNTQuantEthereum120.14116.3734-3.14%126.57+5.35%0.0225✓0.974.5M2022-08-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.198360.192736-2.84%0.20197+1.82%0.0979✓2.291,1202022-08-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6321.0522-2.67%21.34-1.34%0.0385✓0.832.6M2022-08-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.035250.034418-2.36%0.03126-11.32%0.1878✓1.4513.9M2022-08-13
TRBTellor TributesEthereum31.7330.9943-2.32%40.15+26.54%0.1712✗1.39949k2022-08-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,723.9311,452.34-2.32%11,424.48-2.55%0.0940✓1.454.9M2022-08-13
APEApeCoinEthereum7.2647.1055-2.18%6.66-8.31%0.1729✓1.7111.9M2022-08-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.837.0111-2.09%43.58+15.29%0.0737✗1.4213.0M2022-08-13
COMPCompoundEthereum65.0563.741-2.01%65.44+0.60%0.0627✓1.4138k2022-08-13
OPTIMOptimism1.9011.8634-1.98%1.542-18.88%0.3125✓1.953.1M2022-08-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.691750.678079-1.98%0.72052+4.16%0.0347✓1.5178k2022-08-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3662.3214-1.89%2.328-1.61%0.0874✓1.43169k2022-08-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.37331.3488-1.78%1.4348+4.48%0.0348✓1.536.4M2022-08-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.9316.6578-1.61%15.39-9.10%0.1681✓1.412.6M2022-08-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.98850.972917-1.58%1.0121+2.39%0.0665✓1.68296k2022-08-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.43230.426426-1.36%0.4375+1.20%0.0490✓1.1880k2022-08-13
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.6646-1.31%8.987+2.36%0.0513✓1.399.9M2022-08-13
FLOWFlownative2.572.5427-1.06%2.923+13.74%0.0593✗1.27466k2022-08-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8020.795157-0.85%0.792-1.25%0.0962✓1.462,7912022-08-13
ELAElastosEthereum2.2792.2605-0.81%2.107-7.55%0.1415✓1.13219k2022-08-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.610.516-0.79%10.46-1.32%0.0942✓1.41358k2022-08-13
METISMetisEthereum41.2340.9674-0.64%47.76+15.84%0.0357✗1.87293k2022-08-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche26.6426.4796-0.60%29.19+9.57%0.0021✓1.5827.5M2022-08-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.531.5218-0.53%1.55+1.31%0.0001✓0.29242k2022-08-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.44783.4301-0.51%3.4312-0.48%0.0549✓0.871.6M2022-08-13
KSMKusamaHydration66.4166.0866-0.49%61.18-7.88%0.1507✓1.16419k2022-08-13
API3Api3Ethereum2.1192.1092-0.46%2.408+13.64%0.0522✗1.27619k2022-08-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin9.4459.4131-0.34%8.374-11.34%0.1826✓1.043.3M2022-08-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.56690.565853-0.18%0.5216-7.99%0.1647✓1.32234k2022-08-13
MOVRMoonriverBase18.505918.4787-0.15%17.0389-7.93%0.1523✓1.1353k2022-08-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.412090.411727-0.09%0.41477+0.65%0.0794✓1.38507k2022-08-13
PROPropyEthereum0.920.919702-0.03%0.82-10.87%0.1511✓0.5878k2022-08-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8710.871221+0.03%0.912+4.71%0.0643✗1.744.4M2022-08-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.63210.6383+0.06%11.906+11.98%0.0269✓1.3613.0M2022-08-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.16681.1676+0.07%1.1627-0.35%0.0584✗0.864.1M2022-08-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5490.549739+0.13%0.558+1.64%0.0573✗1.1516k2022-08-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100020.00010023+0.21%0.00009674-3.28%0.1676✗2.10480k2022-08-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9931.9985+0.28%1.994+0.05%0.0905✗1.40253k2022-08-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56940.571195+0.32%0.5584-1.93%0.0935✗1.1246k2022-08-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6780.680251+0.33%0.702+3.54%0.0567✗1.4090k2022-08-13
HIVEHivenative0.58410.586039+0.33%0.6334+8.44%0.0034✓1.182.1M2022-08-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.8080.810995+0.37%0.872+7.92%0.0074✓1.03390k2022-08-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2230.223856+0.38%0.235+5.38%0.0464✗1.50716k2022-08-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.360270.361663+0.39%0.37115+3.02%0.0555✗1.2913k2022-08-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.430780.43276+0.46%0.46097+7.01%0.0123✗1.20124k2022-08-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.6311.6894+0.51%12.18+4.73%0.0352✗1.21290k2022-08-13
DASHDashDash52.5752.8453+0.52%57.07+8.56%0.0070✓1.11574k2022-08-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2858.329+0.53%8.197-1.06%0.0936✗1.236.9M2022-08-13
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12911.1352+0.54%1.138+0.79%0.0842✗1.371.5M2022-08-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.511.5183+0.55%1.54+1.99%0.0749✗1.411.2M2022-08-13
DODODODOEthereum0.18050.181498+0.55%0.1759-2.55%0.1095✗1.243.3M2022-08-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.5835.6152+0.58%6.38+14.28%0.0950✓0.522.6M2022-08-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010060.010121+0.60%0.01031+2.49%0.0372✗0.885.2M2022-08-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.085850.086376+0.61%0.09698+12.96%0.0221✓1.481.1M2022-08-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0011170.001124+0.69%0.001473+31.89%0.1913✓1.241.3M2022-08-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6564.6898+0.73%4.814+3.39%0.0089✗0.551.3M2022-08-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3390.341501+0.74%0.333-1.77%0.0901✗1.031.1M2022-08-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.17430.175629+0.76%0.1908+9.47%0.0036✓1.26529k2022-08-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.002210.002228+0.81%0.002197-0.59%0.0770✗1.001.1M2022-08-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45280.456469+0.81%0.462+2.03%0.0814✗1.48242k2022-08-13
AAVEAaveEthereum99.0899.8857+0.81%110.5+11.53%0.0039✓1.6610.0M2022-08-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15840.159688+0.81%0.1717+8.40%0.0118✓0.963.6M2022-08-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.8350.8421+0.85%0.917+9.82%0.0086✓1.21241k2022-08-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.14620.147463+0.86%0.1616+10.53%0.0236✓1.081.0M2022-08-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086090.086841+0.87%0.09127+6.02%0.0356✗1.3529k2022-08-13
STXStacksnative0.48450.488904+0.91%0.5095+5.16%0.0369✗1.24808k2022-08-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.831.8468+0.92%1.85+1.09%0.0820✗1.33129k2022-08-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3534720.356724+0.92%0.387693+9.68%0.0032✓1.271.0M2022-08-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.70e-79.79e-7+0.93%0.00000101+4.12%0.0141✗0.7225k2022-08-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.09451.1048+0.94%1.419+29.65%0.1779✓1.151.0M2022-08-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.6520.658217+0.95%0.6271-3.82%0.1214✗1.16755k2022-08-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.34110.344419+0.97%0.3595+5.39%0.0308✗1.173.6M2022-08-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04440.044852+1.02%0.0442-0.45%0.0926✗1.2376k2022-08-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.9230.932581+1.04%0.974+5.53%0.0698✗1.80469k2022-08-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13850.139959+1.05%0.1512+9.17%0.0023✓1.2661k2022-08-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0202380.020454+1.07%0.020481+1.20%0.0238✗0.40173k2022-08-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0414.0844+1.07%4.099+1.44%0.0327✗0.571.9M2022-08-13
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1781.1907+1.07%0.991-15.87%0.2236✗0.632.1M2022-08-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV61.42462.0846+1.08%63.346+3.13%0.0329✗0.84321k2022-08-13
MANADecentralandEthereum1.04721.0585+1.08%1.0614+1.35%0.0800✗1.31532k2022-08-13
UMAUMAEthereum3.0343.0667+1.08%3.746+23.47%0.1289✓1.13572k2022-08-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.755.8121+1.08%6.12+6.43%0.0144✓0.59878k2022-08-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.033.0628+1.08%3.24+6.93%0.0397✗1.52234k2022-08-13
XVGVergenative0.00370.00374+1.09%0.00389+5.14%0.0425✗1.30551k2022-08-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.431.4456+1.09%1.485+3.85%0.0530✗1.272.5M2022-08-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0710.071783+1.10%0.0716+0.85%0.0612✗0.93158k2022-08-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26130.264195+1.11%0.261-0.11%0.0130✗0.0131k2022-08-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07740.07826+1.11%0.1176+51.94%0.3611✓0.73159k2022-08-13
ZENHorizenBase19.2719.4843+1.11%20.82+8.04%0.0198✗1.36118k2022-08-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.8461.5241+1.12%63.86+4.96%0.0364✗1.1713.5M2022-08-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.27080.273862+1.13%0.2886+6.57%0.0175✗1.1165k2022-08-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9664.0109+1.13%4.065+2.50%0.0403✗0.85976k2022-08-13
SGBSongbirdnative0.02520.025495+1.17%0.029+15.08%0.0938✓0.5545k2022-08-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0158910.016077+1.17%0.01624+2.20%0.0470✗0.902.1M2022-08-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34920.353303+1.18%0.3686+5.56%0.0303✗1.158.2M2022-08-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046510.047057+1.18%0.04922+5.83%0.0141✗0.932,3002022-08-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.5248.6253+1.19%9.31+9.22%0.0015✓1.2311.0M2022-08-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.452.4796+1.21%4.135+68.78%0.4550✓0.8992k2022-08-13
SCSiacoinnative0.004680.004737+1.22%0.00504+7.69%0.0207✗1.31112k2022-08-13
ZECZcashZcash67.6568.4936+1.25%76.21+12.65%0.0267✓1.271.7M2022-08-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.055230.055921+1.25%0.05467-1.01%0.0780✗0.8816k2022-08-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.116.1868+1.26%6.06-0.82%0.0630✗0.67754k2022-08-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7947.8922+1.26%9.149+17.39%0.0682✓1.2616.9M2022-08-13
LSKLiskEthereum1.19371.2088+1.26%1.2916+8.20%0.0003✓1.0543k2022-08-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.762.7949+1.26%2.867+3.88%0.0652✗1.4447k2022-08-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.55891.579+1.29%1.7029+9.24%0.0120✓1.39619k2022-08-13
XLMStellarStellar0.1219030.123473+1.29%0.126836+4.05%0.0356✗0.997.0M2022-08-13
CBKCobakEthereum1.15881.1742+1.33%1.2311+6.24%0.0220✗1.1012k2022-08-13
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.83e-7+1.33%0.00000102+5.15%0.0161✗0.846.1M2022-08-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.023020.023332+1.35%0.02741+19.07%0.0973✓1.01159k2022-08-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.11410.115661+1.37%0.1229+7.71%0.0189✗1.26505k2022-08-13
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.10841.1236+1.38%1.243+12.15%0.0353✓1.0413k2022-08-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12120.122875+1.38%0.1296+6.93%0.0150✗1.08370k2022-08-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6982.7354+1.38%2.902+7.56%0.0518✗1.76118k2022-08-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.035.0999+1.39%4.96-1.39%0.0721✗0.701.3M2022-08-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,221.9023,544.73+1.39%24,547.20+5.71%0.0200✗0.9812k2022-08-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.06040.061244+1.40%0.0784+29.80%0.1580✓1.41350k2022-08-13
SOLSolanaSolana40.0740.6345+1.41%46.63+16.37%0.0513✓1.3780.8M2022-08-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017710.01796+1.41%0.01788+0.96%0.0565✗0.83176k2022-08-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08640.087627+1.42%0.08755+1.33%0.0181✗0.271.1M2022-08-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032650.033115+1.42%0.04514+38.25%0.2319✓1.2314k2022-08-13
XVSVenusEthereum6.626.7148+1.43%6.65+0.45%0.0968✗1.381.4M2022-08-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.955.0212+1.44%4.8922-1.17%0.0370✗0.17228k2022-08-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.9418.1981+1.44%19.24+7.25%0.0286✗1.341.3M2022-08-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.25860.26233+1.44%0.2745+6.15%0.0317✗1.2299k2022-08-13
QTUMQtumQtum4.12754.1874+1.45%4.2917+3.98%0.0436✗1.0853k2022-08-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43530.44166+1.46%0.4939+13.46%0.0288✓1.31134k2022-08-13
STEEMSteemnative0.25780.261627+1.48%0.2759+7.02%0.0210✗1.17768k2022-08-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,690.811,715.91+1.48%1,984.75+17.38%0.0643✓1.29407.7M2022-08-13
ADACardanoCardano0.51140.519031+1.49%0.5598+9.46%0.0005✓1.2140.5M2022-08-13
XTZTezosTezos1.87771.9064+1.53%1.9104+1.74%0.0787✗1.28530k2022-08-13
FTTFTXEthereum30.3930.8593+1.54%31.33+3.09%0.0450✗0.959.4M2022-08-13
XECeCashnative0.000044740.000045435+1.55%0.0000474+5.95%0.0313✗1.171.9M2022-08-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06470.065728+1.59%0.0714+10.36%0.0012✓1.29803k2022-08-13
BANDBandEthereum1.8281.8574+1.61%1.823-0.27%0.1092✗1.43371k2022-08-13
XMRMoneroMonero160.51163.0927+1.61%168.13+4.75%0.0406✗1.121.1M2022-08-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07440.075607+1.62%0.0823+10.62%0.0154✓1.101.1M2022-08-13
XYMSymbolnative0.054630.055525+1.64%0.056988+4.32%0.0097✓0.5725k2022-08-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.3130.318147+1.64%0.3084-1.47%0.1003✗1.10300k2022-08-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.97583.0253+1.66%2.999+0.78%0.0703✗0.981.2M2022-08-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12980.131958+1.66%0.1341+3.31%0.0468✗1.004,7012022-08-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9614.0275+1.68%4.086+3.16%0.0292✗0.691.5M2022-08-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.316260.321645+1.70%0.3817+20.69%0.1010✓1.11366k2022-08-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.37e-73.43e-7+1.71%3.22e-7-4.51%0.1242✗0.97153k2022-08-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12780.130017+1.73%0.1441+12.75%0.0143✓1.402.9M2022-08-13
XEMNEMnative0.0518040.052706+1.74%0.054466+5.14%0.0426✗1.2037k2022-08-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.33962.3806+1.75%2.4159+3.26%0.0619✗1.2137k2022-08-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash141.34143.9465+1.84%144.43+2.19%0.0729✗1.214.7M2022-08-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.655.7545+1.85%5.4-4.42%0.1019✗0.611.5M2022-08-13
GITCOINGITCOIN3.00293.0585+1.85%3.2141+7.03%0.0488✗1.5613k2022-08-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064590.00658+1.87%0.006824+5.65%0.0053✓0.4944k2022-08-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.008340.008496+1.87%0.00828-0.72%0.0834✗0.911.6M2022-08-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.13.1581+1.88%3.03-2.26%0.0730✗0.50116k2022-08-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,960.9323,393.05+1.88%24,456.49+6.51%0.0186✓1.00427.9M2022-08-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077790.079259+1.89%0.08281+6.45%0.0022✓0.739072022-08-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011950.000012177+1.90%0.00001262+5.61%0.0426✗1.24934k2022-08-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23530.239781+1.90%0.2699+14.70%0.0256✓1.4789k2022-08-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0686410.069957+1.92%0.072906+6.21%0.0331✗1.181.6M2022-08-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063240.006448+1.96%0.006994+10.59%0.0269✓0.864,5222022-08-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.05050.051507+1.99%0.0501-0.79%0.1093✗1.2910k2022-08-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08690.08871+2.08%0.0916+5.41%0.0413✗1.16126k2022-08-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21550.220003+2.09%0.2195+1.86%0.0916✗1.421,2762022-08-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.57290.585126+2.13%0.6153+7.40%0.0222✗1.15318k2022-08-13
TRXTRONTron0.069510.070995+2.14%0.069903+0.57%0.0603✗0.71327k2022-08-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.21033.2791+2.14%3.4228+6.62%0.0049✓0.761.2M2022-08-13
GTGateEthereum4.77754.88+2.15%5.1095+6.95%0.0014✓0.75908k2022-08-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.169290.172926+2.15%0.18116+7.01%0.0513✗1.55212k2022-08-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.10140.103602+2.17%0.1028+1.38%0.0838✗1.205,6912022-08-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.06010.061425+2.21%0.0672+11.81%0.0019✓1.39179k2022-08-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.321.3491+2.21%1.326+0.45%0.0957✗1.241.1M2022-08-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032410.003315+2.29%0.004633+42.95%0.2714✓1.001.0M2022-08-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.16260.166325+2.29%0.1743+7.20%0.0318✗1.25102k2022-08-13
DIADIAEthereum0.472490.483345+2.30%0.53395+13.01%0.0518✓0.7670k2022-08-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.889.0905+2.37%8.81-0.79%0.0615✗0.481.8M2022-08-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.031370.032115+2.38%0.03326+6.02%0.0465✗1.291,3502022-08-13
NANOnanopayBase1.04631.0716+2.42%1.0828+3.48%0.0490✗0.9458k2022-08-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7490.767519+2.47%1.038+38.58%0.2248✓1.22963k2022-08-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.512.5729+2.51%2.66+5.98%0.0342✗1.07507k2022-08-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017090.001753+2.60%0.001748+2.28%0.0681✗1.039,0932022-08-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0232040.023828+2.69%0.025853+11.42%0.0210✓0.9612k2022-08-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05470.056186+2.72%0.0554+1.28%0.0950✗1.28269k2022-08-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008850.009092+2.74%0.00886+0.11%0.1060✗1.27392k2022-08-13
KCSKuCoinnative10.50110.7984+2.83%10.697+1.87%0.0790✗1.102.0M2022-08-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7690.792935+3.11%0.733-4.68%0.1714✗1.47135k2022-08-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.