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2022-08-04 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3055
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.31%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
57.3%
in alpha space · 84.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.756013+3.99%0.74+1.79%0.1049✗1.47121k2022-08-11
KCSKuCoinnative10.03510.4016+3.65%10.512+4.75%0.0521✗1.102.0M2022-08-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001713+3.39%0.001703+2.78%0.0646✗1.039,0682022-08-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.5587+3.17%2.58+4.03%0.0528✗1.08507k2022-08-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.165048+3.16%0.17809+11.31%0.0110✓1.53212k2022-08-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.087859+2.88%0.0916+7.26%0.0235✓1.15126k2022-08-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.56076+2.82%0.5937+8.86%0.0074✓1.14333k2022-08-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.023072+2.78%0.024997+11.36%0.0255✓0.9611k2022-08-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.055186+2.77%0.0549+2.23%0.0778✗1.28284k2022-08-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.160357+2.73%0.1701+8.97%0.0108✓1.23107k2022-08-11
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635915.024+2.65%17.0874+16.75%0.0636✓1.1558k2022-08-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.009234+2.61%0.00871-3.22%0.1311✗1.28387k2022-08-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.757018+2.58%0.911+23.44%0.1163✓1.21968k2022-08-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.031155+2.55%0.03187+4.90%0.0512✗1.301,4012022-08-11
NANOnanopayBase1.01511.0409+2.53%1.0862+7.00%0.0108✓0.9460k2022-08-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.123199+2.49%0.1425+18.55%0.0678✓1.372.9M2022-08-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.003145+2.49%0.004951+61.32%0.3974✓0.991.0M2022-08-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.049381+2.45%0.0488+1.24%0.0857✗1.307,5232022-08-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.231799+2.43%0.2297+1.50%0.0923✗1.4787k2022-08-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.204227+2.37%0.2226+11.58%0.0069✓1.401,2762022-08-11
ZENHorizenBase17.3217.7304+2.37%21.63+24.88%0.1203✓1.38116k2022-08-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34137.4858+2.34%142.98+6.43%0.0288✗1.204.6M2022-08-11
GTGateEthereum4.554.6549+2.30%4.9372+8.51%0.0165✓0.75920k2022-08-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.95924.0496+2.28%4.2149+6.46%0.0216✓1.0945k2022-08-11
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.070534+2.25%0.070371+2.02%0.0417✗0.69345k2022-08-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.254049+2.23%0.2705+8.85%0.0066✓1.22101k2022-08-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7518.145+2.23%18.45+3.94%0.0575✗1.311.3M2022-08-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.068813+2.17%0.070882+5.24%0.0369✗1.171.7M2022-08-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.060531+2.08%0.0621+4.72%0.0535✗1.39172k2022-08-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.099524+2.08%0.0988+1.33%0.0756✗1.207,1482022-08-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006839+2.07%0.006698-0.03%0.0499✗0.5140k2022-08-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.050108+2.05%0.05344+8.84%0.0141✓0.8915k2022-08-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.3236+2.05%1.324+2.08%0.0702✗1.241.1M2022-08-11
XEMNEMnative0.050210.051238+2.05%0.053086+5.73%0.0325✗1.2035k2022-08-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.649+2.04%2.875+10.75%0.0176✓1.75109k2022-08-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.074783+2.02%0.0819+11.73%0.0281✓1.111.1M2022-08-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.008385+2.00%0.00834+1.46%0.0566✗0.901.6M2022-08-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992451.0122+1.99%1.0527+6.07%0.0344✗1.30532k2022-08-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.9236+1.98%8.57-2.06%0.0681✗0.491.8M2022-08-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.017927+1.97%0.01787+1.65%0.0498✗0.82193k2022-08-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.00001208+1.94%0.00001233+4.05%0.0503✗1.25951k2022-08-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.02154+1.94%0.02718+28.63%0.1750✓1.02159k2022-08-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.078405+1.92%0.08332+8.31%0.0193✓0.739772022-08-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004627+1.91%0.00517+13.88%0.0368✓1.31112k2022-08-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.607739+1.88%0.6487+8.75%0.0004✓1.14690k2022-08-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.074473+1.88%0.1304+78.39%0.5188✓0.73159k2022-08-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05051.0702+1.88%1.2255+16.66%0.0761✓1.0513k2022-08-11
PROPropyEthereum0.740.753714+1.85%0.85+14.86%0.0863✓0.6079k2022-08-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.25162.2+1.85%160.49+0.78%0.0734✗1.111.2M2022-08-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.319158+1.84%0.38689+23.46%0.1287✓1.12396k2022-08-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.082391+1.84%0.09833+21.55%0.0925✓1.49871k2022-08-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,637.73+1.84%1,881.04+16.97%0.0661✓1.28407.7M2022-08-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9423,039.67+1.84%23,944.86+5.84%0.0182✗1.00427.9M2022-08-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.796317+1.83%0.924+18.16%0.0804✓1.20225k2022-08-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.093.1465+1.83%2.93-5.18%0.0993✗0.49109k2022-08-11
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.465357+1.81%0.47814+4.61%0.0162✓0.7668k2022-08-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.055238+1.79%0.057169+5.35%0.0015✓0.5825k2022-08-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14163.1974+1.78%3.2004+1.87%0.0424✗0.761.1M2022-08-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.141659+1.77%0.1646+18.25%0.0963✓0.953.6M2022-08-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.2279+1.73%2.3938+9.31%0.0038✓1.2032k2022-08-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006249+1.67%0.006618+7.67%0.0093✓0.857,1222022-08-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.345877+1.67%0.376118+10.55%0.0118✓1.271.0M2022-08-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.118744+1.66%0.1263+8.13%0.0007✓1.08370k2022-08-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.423085+1.65%0.458+10.04%0.0047✓1.31127k2022-08-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.306939+1.64%0.3078+1.92%0.0604✗1.11300k2022-08-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.334362+1.63%0.4285+30.24%0.1842✓1.1377k2022-08-11
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.5345+1.63%6.61+2.80%0.0674✗1.391.2M2022-08-11
XECeCashnative0.000042940.000043622+1.59%0.00004644+8.15%0.0030✓1.161.9M2022-08-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.044556+1.59%0.04793+9.28%0.0197✓0.942,0262022-08-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.9628+1.55%2.9337+0.56%0.0655✗0.981.2M2022-08-11
SOLSolanaSolana38.8239.4212+1.55%42.8+10.25%0.0047✓1.3781.1M2022-08-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.9044+1.54%4.8-0.62%0.0613✗0.701.3M2022-08-11
ZECZcashZcash64.3865.3666+1.53%79.26+23.11%0.1218✓1.251.6M2022-08-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.1299+1.52%1.1706+5.18%0.0273✗1.1111k2022-08-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.8878+1.51%4.044+5.59%0.0000✓0.691.5M2022-08-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.115622+1.49%0.125283+9.97%0.0240✓0.996.9M2022-08-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.5244+1.49%1.6643+10.81%0.0085✓1.40594k2022-08-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.445326+1.49%0.4591+4.63%0.0535✗1.48278k2022-08-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.128783+1.48%0.134+5.59%0.0168✗1.004,7012022-08-11
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3497.7558+1.47%107.55+11.64%0.0016✓1.6610.2M2022-08-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1669+1.45%1.2591+9.48%0.0165✓1.0543k2022-08-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,813.14+1.41%24,153.10+7.37%0.0015✓0.9813k2022-08-11
HIVEHivenative0.58130.589471+1.41%0.6302+8.41%0.0004✓1.181.8M2022-08-11
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.8504+1.40%1.9022+4.24%0.0444✗1.27530k2022-08-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0928.2053+1.40%9.201+13.70%0.0453✓1.2211.0M2022-08-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.063876+1.39%0.0749+18.89%0.0864✓1.28802k2022-08-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.61e-7+1.39%3.27e-7-8.29%0.1563✗0.99164k2022-08-11
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.7793+1.39%1.767+0.68%0.0881✗1.43341k2022-08-11
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.255659+1.37%0.2695+6.86%0.0132✓1.16768k2022-08-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.067614+1.37%0.0718+7.65%0.0068✓0.94183k2022-08-11
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.73e-7+1.37%0.00000101+5.21%0.0103✓0.846.4M2022-08-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.136516+1.35%0.1474+9.43%0.0046✓1.2761k2022-08-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.6652+1.35%5.28-5.55%0.1052✗0.611.4M2022-08-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.086554+1.34%0.08746+2.40%0.0050✓0.271.1M2022-08-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum55.0648+1.30%4.7078-5.84%0.0830✗0.17219k2022-08-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.042644+1.29%0.0439+4.28%0.0405✗1.2376k2022-08-11
FTTFTXEthereum29.1429.5143+1.28%30.52+4.74%0.0203✗0.9510.0M2022-08-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.110999+1.28%0.1215+10.86%0.0193✓1.25505k2022-08-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.8932+1.26%5.91+1.55%0.0355✗0.68746k2022-08-11
COMPCompoundEthereum5656.6889+1.23%63.11+12.70%0.0284✓1.3935k2022-08-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.015787+1.23%0.015949+2.27%0.0404✗0.892.1M2022-08-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.7208+1.23%1.91+12.35%0.0295✓1.32122k2022-08-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03391.0464+1.21%1.4845+43.58%0.2845✓1.151.0M2022-08-11
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.505715+1.20%0.5306+6.18%0.0202✗1.2040.5M2022-08-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.334563+1.20%0.3493+5.66%0.0230✗1.173.5M2022-08-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6560.3572+1.19%61.89+3.76%0.0404✗1.1513.6M2022-08-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.4511+1.18%8.96+21.67%0.1134✓1.2516.9M2022-08-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.34007+1.18%0.3613+7.50%0.0037✓1.138.2M2022-08-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.263633+1.16%0.3041+16.69%0.0796✓1.1165k2022-08-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.919402+1.14%0.967+6.38%0.0496✗1.76496k2022-08-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.002214+1.14%0.002212+1.05%0.0576✗1.001.4M2022-08-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1565.2147+1.14%6.256+21.33%0.1522✓0.532.4M2022-08-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.032673+1.12%0.05195+60.79%0.3939✓1.2314k2022-08-11
STXStacksnative0.47370.478902+1.10%0.5032+6.23%0.0208✗1.24808k2022-08-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0928.1797+1.08%8.347+3.15%0.0390✗1.042.5M2022-08-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.7572+1.07%2.849+4.44%0.0484✗1.4349k2022-08-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.33644+1.03%0.321-3.60%0.1059✗1.041.1M2022-08-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.146192+1.03%0.1497+3.46%0.0377✗1.08907k2022-08-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.5967+1.02%5.8+4.69%0.0021✓0.59873k2022-08-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26960.8793+1.01%61.928+2.75%0.0302✗0.83321k2022-08-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.8829+1.01%4.034+4.94%0.0050✓0.581.9M2022-08-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.1381+0.95%1.1274+0.01%0.0871✗1.371.4M2022-08-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9824.02+0.95%4.091+2.74%0.0311✗0.86922k2022-08-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.9823.0094+0.92%3.021+1.31%0.0596✗1.12591k2022-08-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.062166+0.92%0.078+26.62%0.1458✓1.43350k2022-08-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4835+0.92%1.54+4.76%0.0426✗1.411.2M2022-08-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3723.5834+0.91%28.54+22.12%0.1011✓1.5826.1M2022-08-11
DASHDashDash49.449.8427+0.90%55.61+12.57%0.0473✓1.10574k2022-08-11
XVGVergenative0.003770.003803+0.88%0.00393+4.24%0.0407✗1.30551k2022-08-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.086892+0.86%0.08708+1.08%0.0752✗1.3629k2022-08-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.691682+0.83%0.691+0.73%0.0803✗1.4088k2022-08-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0711.1574+0.79%11.8+6.59%0.0121✗1.20263k2022-08-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.988.0426+0.78%8.186+2.58%0.0516✗1.227.0M2022-08-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.4099+0.78%1.456+4.07%0.0402✗1.282.6M2022-08-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001097+0.74%0.001521+39.72%0.2567✓1.241.3M2022-08-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.8273+0.73%2.089+15.16%0.0980✓0.63206k2022-08-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.262999+0.73%0.2613+0.08%0.0071✓0.0129k2022-08-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009861+0.73%0.01006+2.76%0.0300✗0.885.1M2022-08-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.57e-7+0.72%0.00000102+7.37%0.0072✓1.0025k2022-08-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.6487+0.71%4.683+1.45%0.0246✗0.561.4M2022-08-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.165364+0.71%0.1949+18.70%0.0939✓1.24518k2022-08-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.020663+0.67%0.019255-6.19%0.0944✗0.42167k2022-08-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.406958+0.65%0.4605+13.89%0.0560✓1.19107k2022-08-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.4306+0.65%3.611+49.52%0.3453✓0.89110k2022-08-11
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.17398+0.62%0.1775+2.66%0.0493✗1.223.5M2022-08-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.2212+0.59%0.993-18.20%0.2437✗0.651.9M2022-08-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.2028+0.55%3.1366-1.53%0.1096✗1.5612k2022-08-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.364424+0.44%0.36776+1.36%0.0649✗1.3013k2022-08-11
KSMKusamaHydration61.1261.3678+0.41%60.91-0.34%0.0741✗1.17379k2022-08-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35910.4007+0.40%11.749+13.42%0.0450✓1.3513.7M2022-08-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.802215+0.40%0.864+8.14%0.0163✓1.02377k2022-08-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.29.2211+0.23%10.3+11.96%0.0320✓1.39334k2022-08-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.9701+0.16%2.005+1.93%0.0625✗1.41266k2022-08-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.123.1218+0.06%3.13+0.32%0.0835✗1.52211k2022-08-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.217697-0.14%0.228+4.59%0.0396✓1.51782k2022-08-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.217118-0.18%0.2554+17.43%0.0882✗1.311,5612022-08-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.55629-0.31%0.551-1.25%0.0745✓1.1414k2022-08-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.3616-0.31%3.3972+0.74%0.0400✓0.891.4M2022-08-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.3241-0.34%1.3595+2.33%0.0583✓1.495.6M2022-08-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.8061-0.34%15.6-1.64%0.0929✓1.412.5M2022-08-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.418005-0.37%0.40616-3.19%0.1070✓1.38583k2022-08-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.1808-0.38%1.127-4.92%0.0960✓0.874.1M2022-08-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.565282-0.43%0.5522-2.73%0.0867✓1.1146k2022-08-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000098805-0.45%0.00009727-1.99%0.1314✓2.04516k2022-08-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.834.625-0.50%42.06+20.86%0.1148✗1.4011.4M2022-08-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.574602-0.52%0.5389-6.70%0.1422✓1.38234k2022-08-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.034775-0.56%0.03161-9.61%0.1772✓1.4413.9M2022-08-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.8210,565.82-0.76%11,294.44+6.08%0.0142✓1.424.5M2022-08-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.839266-0.80%0.889+5.08%0.0411✓1.744.6M2022-08-11
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.7313-0.99%8.964+1.64%0.0527✓1.399.9M2022-08-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.777941-1.03%0.769-2.16%0.0942✓1.463,1392022-08-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.657661-1.24%0.7242+8.75%0.0106✓1.5188k2022-08-11
QNTQuantEthereum103.74102.4144-1.28%124.47+19.98%0.1389✗0.994.2M2022-08-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.2211-1.37%2.326+3.29%0.0327✓1.39172k2022-08-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.7228-1.43%4.038+6.91%0.0176✓1.745.0M2022-08-11
FLOWFlownative2.62.5619-1.46%2.971+14.27%0.0766✗1.26448k2022-08-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9927.5718-1.49%36.12+29.05%0.1930✗1.36946k2022-08-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5552-1.57%1.52-3.80%0.0398✓0.30242k2022-08-11
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4377.3196-1.58%6.929-6.83%0.1531✓1.7313.1M2022-08-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.1869-1.62%2.184-1.75%0.0734✓1.27626k2022-08-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01920.999859-1.90%1.0027-1.62%0.0944✓1.71241k2022-08-11
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.8811-1.92%1.558-18.77%0.3004✓1.972.8M2022-08-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6221.1381-2.23%21.14-2.22%0.0478✓0.842.4M2022-08-11
METISMetisEthereum46.0144.811-2.61%44.8-2.63%0.1036✓1.82266k2022-08-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.183872-2.65%0.1952+3.35%0.0715✓2.311,1512022-08-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.