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2022-08-04 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3588
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.90%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
53.0%
in alpha space · 17.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
METISMetisEthereum46.0143.2632-5.97%44.8-2.63%0.0685✓1.82266k2022-08-11
FLOWFlownative2.62.4497-5.78%2.971+14.27%0.1214✗1.26448k2022-08-11
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.8322-4.47%1.558-18.77%0.2740✓1.972.8M2022-08-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.546162-3.79%0.5522-2.73%0.0522✓1.1146k2022-08-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.1431-3.56%1.127-4.92%0.0635✓0.874.1M2022-08-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.1458-3.47%2.184-1.75%0.0544✓1.27626k2022-08-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1564.9907-3.21%6.256+21.33%0.1961✗0.532.4M2022-08-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.55937-3.16%0.5389-6.70%0.1153✓1.38234k2022-08-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.646714-2.88%0.7242+8.75%0.0274✓1.5188k2022-08-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01920.990576-2.81%1.0027-1.62%0.0851✓1.71241k2022-08-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.078672-2.75%0.09833+21.55%0.1387✗1.49871k2022-08-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.823457-2.66%0.889+5.08%0.0221✓1.744.6M2022-08-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.543238-2.65%0.551-1.25%0.0508✓1.1414k2022-08-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000096695-2.57%0.00009727-1.99%0.1099✓2.04516k2022-08-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6221.0674-2.56%21.14-2.22%0.0445✓0.842.4M2022-08-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.8210,374.76-2.56%11,294.44+6.08%0.0041✓1.424.5M2022-08-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.681-2.54%4.038+6.91%0.0063✓1.745.0M2022-08-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03391.0077-2.54%1.4845+43.58%0.3223✗1.151.0M2022-08-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.034111-2.46%0.03161-9.61%0.1580✓1.4413.9M2022-08-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.184339-2.40%0.1952+3.35%0.0740✓2.311,1512022-08-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.767452-2.36%0.769-2.16%0.0806✓1.463,1392022-08-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.061527-2.34%0.0749+18.89%0.1239✗1.28802k2022-08-11
QNTQuantEthereum103.74101.3591-2.30%124.47+19.98%0.1492✗0.994.2M2022-08-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7517.3433-2.29%18.45+3.94%0.0123✓1.311.3M2022-08-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.888817-2.22%0.967+6.38%0.0158✓1.76496k2022-08-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.425-2.22%2.58+4.03%0.0009✓1.08507k2022-08-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.5138-2.21%4.683+1.45%0.0048✓0.561.4M2022-08-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.017191-2.21%0.01787+1.65%0.0079✓0.82193k2022-08-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.7601-2.18%4.034+4.94%0.0372✗0.581.9M2022-08-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.212761-2.18%0.2554+17.43%0.1085✗1.311,5612022-08-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.141565-2.17%0.1497+3.46%0.0056✓1.08907k2022-08-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.2998-2.14%3.3972+0.74%0.0214✓0.891.4M2022-08-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.1033-2.13%1.1274+0.01%0.0561✓1.371.4M2022-08-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.041209-2.12%0.0439+4.28%0.0063✓1.2376k2022-08-11
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.447495-2.09%0.47814+4.61%0.0229✗0.7668k2022-08-11
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.7182-2.09%1.767+0.68%0.0532✓1.43341k2022-08-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9927.4091-2.08%36.12+29.05%0.1990✗1.36946k2022-08-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.1608-2.07%0.1949+18.70%0.1219✗1.24518k2022-08-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.123.0558-2.06%3.13+0.32%0.0621✓1.52211k2022-08-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.6721-2.05%2.849+4.44%0.0170✓1.4349k2022-08-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.7311-2.05%4.8-0.62%0.0253✓0.701.3M2022-08-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.8176-2.04%8.186+2.58%0.0232✓1.227.0M2022-08-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.295875-2.03%0.3078+1.92%0.0237✓1.11300k2022-08-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0710.8492-1.99%11.8+6.59%0.0159✓1.20263k2022-08-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.4787-1.99%5.28-5.55%0.0717✓0.611.4M2022-08-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14163.0792-1.99%3.2004+1.87%0.0047✓0.761.1M2022-08-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.2075-1.98%2.326+3.29%0.0265✓1.39172k2022-08-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.1243-1.92%3.1366-1.53%0.0847✓1.5612k2022-08-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.67284-1.92%0.691+0.73%0.0527✓1.4088k2022-08-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.7795-1.90%2.089+15.16%0.1245✗0.63206k2022-08-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.117927-1.89%0.1425+18.55%0.1115✗1.372.9M2022-08-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.5606-1.89%15.6-1.64%0.0772✓1.412.5M2022-08-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.1911-1.88%0.993-18.20%0.2188✓0.651.9M2022-08-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.49e-7-1.84%3.27e-7-8.29%0.1240✓0.99164k2022-08-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.008839-1.79%0.00871-3.22%0.0873✓1.28387k2022-08-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.932-1.78%2.005+1.93%0.0430✓1.41266k2022-08-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.031736-1.78%0.05195+60.79%0.4230✗1.2314k2022-08-11
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4377.3071-1.75%6.929-6.83%0.1514✓1.7313.1M2022-08-11
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.169949-1.71%0.1775+2.66%0.0259✓1.223.5M2022-08-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.08395-1.70%0.0916+7.26%0.0220✗1.15126k2022-08-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.412436-1.69%0.40616-3.19%0.0936✓1.38583k2022-08-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.093.0378-1.69%2.93-5.18%0.0642✓0.49109k2022-08-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.9158-1.66%4.091+2.74%0.0048✓0.86922k2022-08-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.256768-1.66%0.2613+0.08%0.0168✗0.0129k2022-08-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5538-1.66%1.52-3.80%0.0389✓0.30242k2022-08-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.29.0476-1.66%10.3+11.96%0.0510✗1.39334k2022-08-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.5531-1.65%2.875+10.75%0.0193✗1.75109k2022-08-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.10783-1.61%0.1215+10.86%0.0482✗1.25505k2022-08-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.2761-1.61%1.324+2.08%0.0336✓1.241.1M2022-08-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.334746-1.61%0.376118+10.55%0.0445✗1.271.0M2022-08-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.397879-1.60%0.4605+13.89%0.0786✗1.19107k2022-08-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4466-1.59%1.54+4.76%0.0174✓1.411.2M2022-08-11
XEMNEMnative0.050210.049412-1.59%0.053086+5.73%0.0038✓1.2035k2022-08-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0927.9634-1.59%8.347+3.15%0.0122✓1.042.5M2022-08-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3722.9996-1.59%28.54+22.12%0.1261✗1.5826.1M2022-08-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.8714-1.58%2.9337+0.56%0.0342✓0.981.2M2022-08-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.214569-1.57%0.228+4.59%0.0251✓1.51782k2022-08-11
COMPCompoundEthereum5655.1247-1.56%63.11+12.70%0.0564✗1.3935k2022-08-11
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.3297-1.56%6.61+2.80%0.0355✓1.391.2M2022-08-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.9356-1.56%3.021+1.31%0.0348✓1.12591k2022-08-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001072-1.55%0.001521+39.72%0.2797✗1.241.3M2022-08-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.6737-1.55%1.91+12.35%0.0572✗1.32122k2022-08-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.3778-1.51%1.456+4.07%0.0172✓1.282.6M2022-08-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.058404-1.51%0.0621+4.72%0.0178✓1.39172k2022-08-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26959.3629-1.50%61.928+2.75%0.0050✓0.83321k2022-08-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.733-1.49%5.91+1.55%0.0080✓0.68746k2022-08-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.075796-1.47%0.08332+8.31%0.0531✗0.739772022-08-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.78725-1.47%0.864+8.14%0.0352✗1.02377k2022-08-11
HIVEHivenative0.58130.572762-1.47%0.6302+8.41%0.0284✗1.181.8M2022-08-11
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.69-1.46%8.964+1.64%0.0480✓1.399.9M2022-08-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.020225-1.46%0.019255-6.19%0.0730✓0.42167k2022-08-11
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3494.9394-1.45%107.55+11.64%0.0308✗1.6610.2M2022-08-11
XVGVergenative0.003770.003716-1.44%0.00393+4.24%0.0174✓1.30551k2022-08-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0927.9769-1.42%9.201+13.70%0.0736✗1.2211.0M2022-08-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.328283-1.42%0.321-3.60%0.0813✓1.041.1M2022-08-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.052942-1.41%0.0549+2.23%0.0363✓1.28284k2022-08-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.978534-1.40%1.0527+6.07%0.0006✓1.30532k2022-08-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.084946-1.40%0.08708+1.08%0.0526✓1.3629k2022-08-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35910.2161-1.38%11.749+13.42%0.0629✗1.3513.7M2022-08-11
ZENHorizenBase17.3217.0828-1.37%21.63+24.88%0.1575✗1.38116k2022-08-11
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.8002-1.35%1.9022+4.24%0.0169✓1.27530k2022-08-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.7788-1.34%4.044+5.59%0.0284✗0.691.5M2022-08-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.6351-1.31%8.57-2.06%0.0352✓0.491.8M2022-08-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.43312-1.29%0.4591+4.63%0.0257✓1.48278k2022-08-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011697-1.29%0.00001233+4.05%0.0180✓1.25951k2022-08-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.257239-1.29%0.3041+16.69%0.1042✗1.1165k2022-08-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.22345-1.26%0.2297+1.50%0.0556✓1.4787k2022-08-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.1632-1.22%2.3938+9.31%0.0332✗1.2032k2022-08-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.015407-1.21%0.015949+2.27%0.0161✓0.892.1M2022-08-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.158111-1.18%0.17809+11.31%0.0320✗1.53212k2022-08-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.115434-1.17%0.1263+8.13%0.0289✗1.08370k2022-08-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.245614-1.16%0.2705+8.85%0.0272✗1.22101k2022-08-11
XECeCashnative0.000042940.000042442-1.16%0.00004644+8.15%0.0244✗1.161.9M2022-08-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.773015-1.15%0.924+18.16%0.1101✗1.20225k2022-08-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.39e-7-1.15%0.00000102+7.37%0.0259✗1.0025k2022-08-11
KSMKusamaHydration61.1260.4222-1.14%60.91-0.34%0.0585✓1.17379k2022-08-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.133202-1.11%0.1474+9.43%0.0292✗1.2761k2022-08-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.3883-1.11%3.611+49.52%0.3628✗0.89110k2022-08-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.33242-1.10%0.3613+7.50%0.0191✗1.138.2M2022-08-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.327-1.09%0.3493+5.66%0.0002✓1.173.5M2022-08-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.137685-1.09%0.1646+18.25%0.1248✗0.953.6M2022-08-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.047683-1.07%0.0488+1.24%0.0507✓1.307,5232022-08-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.411791-1.06%0.458+10.04%0.0318✗1.31127k2022-08-11
SOLSolanaSolana38.8238.4091-1.06%42.8+10.25%0.0307✗1.3781.1M2022-08-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.2866-1.05%8.96+21.67%0.1358✗1.2516.9M2022-08-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004493-1.04%0.00517+13.88%0.0663✗1.31112k2022-08-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,591.42-1.04%1,881.04+16.97%0.0948✗1.28407.7M2022-08-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.3148-1.04%1.3595+2.33%0.0513✓1.495.6M2022-08-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.096487-1.04%0.0988+1.33%0.0446✓1.207,1482022-08-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6559.0309-1.04%61.89+3.76%0.0182✓1.1513.6M2022-08-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34132.946-1.04%142.98+6.43%0.0048✓1.204.6M2022-08-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.125586-1.04%0.134+5.59%0.0083✓1.004,7012022-08-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.084528-1.03%0.08746+2.40%0.0187✗0.271.1M2022-08-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.590347-1.03%0.6487+8.75%0.0295✗1.14690k2022-08-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.4833-1.02%5.8+4.69%0.0226✗0.59873k2022-08-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.066034-1.00%0.0718+7.65%0.0304✗0.94183k2022-08-11
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635914.4966-0.95%17.0874+16.75%0.0993✗1.1558k2022-08-11
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.494954-0.95%0.5306+6.18%0.0013✓1.2040.5M2022-08-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.061016-0.95%0.078+26.62%0.1645✗1.43350k2022-08-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.030102-0.91%0.03187+4.90%0.0168✓1.301,4012022-08-11
STXStacksnative0.47370.4694-0.91%0.5032+6.23%0.0008✓1.24808k2022-08-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.834.488-0.90%42.06+20.86%0.1188✗1.4011.4M2022-08-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.003042-0.88%0.004951+61.32%0.4308✗0.991.0M2022-08-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.4889-0.87%1.6643+10.81%0.0320✗1.40594k2022-08-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.9256-0.85%4.2149+6.46%0.0095✗1.0945k2022-08-11
ZECZcashZcash64.3863.8509-0.82%79.26+23.11%0.1453✗1.251.6M2022-08-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.31082-0.82%0.38689+23.46%0.1552✗1.12396k2022-08-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05051.0422-0.78%1.2255+16.66%0.1026✗1.0513k2022-08-11
KCSKuCoinnative10.0359.9572-0.78%10.512+4.75%0.0084✓1.102.0M2022-08-11
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.53e-7-0.75%0.00000101+5.21%0.0108✗0.846.4M2022-08-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.721624-0.74%0.74+1.79%0.0584✓1.47121k2022-08-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.053867-0.73%0.057169+5.35%0.0266✗0.5825k2022-08-11
FTTFTXEthereum29.1428.9293-0.72%30.52+4.74%0.0003✓0.9510.0M2022-08-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.326652-0.71%0.4285+30.24%0.2075✗1.1377k2022-08-11
NANOnanopayBase1.01511.0082-0.69%1.0862+7.00%0.0211✗0.9460k2022-08-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.1054-0.68%1.1706+5.18%0.0054✓1.1111k2022-08-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.155044-0.68%0.1701+8.97%0.0229✗1.23107k2022-08-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.07261-0.67%0.1304+78.39%0.5441✗0.73159k2022-08-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006655-0.67%0.006698-0.03%0.0228✓0.5140k2022-08-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.048772-0.67%0.05344+8.84%0.0411✗0.8915k2022-08-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.113182-0.65%0.125283+9.97%0.0453✗0.996.9M2022-08-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009729-0.63%0.01006+2.76%0.0165✓0.885.1M2022-08-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.198314-0.59%0.2226+11.58%0.0363✗1.401,2762022-08-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.043602-0.59%0.04793+9.28%0.0413✗0.942,0262022-08-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.733757-0.57%0.911+23.44%0.1475✗1.21968k2022-08-11
PROPropyEthereum0.740.735847-0.56%0.85+14.86%0.1103✗0.6079k2022-08-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.02102-0.52%0.02718+28.63%0.1994✗1.02159k2022-08-11
DASHDashDash49.449.1486-0.51%55.61+12.57%0.0613✗1.10574k2022-08-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1446-0.49%1.2591+9.48%0.0358✗1.0543k2022-08-11
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.25099-0.48%0.2695+6.86%0.0052✗1.16768k2022-08-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.25158.5075-0.47%160.49+0.78%0.0504✓1.111.2M2022-08-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.361211-0.44%0.36776+1.36%0.0560✓1.3013k2022-08-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.067062-0.43%0.070882+5.24%0.0111✓1.171.7M2022-08-11
GTGateEthereum4.554.5315-0.41%4.9372+8.51%0.0434✗0.75920k2022-08-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,403.94-0.41%24,153.10+7.37%0.0196✗0.9813k2022-08-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001651-0.36%0.001703+2.78%0.0276✓1.039,0682022-08-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.022403-0.20%0.024997+11.36%0.0549✗0.9611k2022-08-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.07318-0.16%0.0819+11.73%0.0498✗1.111.1M2022-08-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum54.9928-0.14%4.7078-5.84%0.0687✓0.17219k2022-08-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006145-0.01%0.006618+7.67%0.0260✗0.857,1222022-08-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.008219-0.01%0.00834+1.46%0.0367✓0.901.6M2022-08-11
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.069041+0.09%0.070371+2.02%0.0203✗0.69345k2022-08-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9422,646.69+0.10%23,944.86+5.84%0.0010✗1.00427.9M2022-08-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.546189+0.14%0.5937+8.86%0.0189✓1.14333k2022-08-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.002193+0.19%0.002212+1.05%0.0482✗1.001.4M2022-08-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.