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2022-08-03 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2435
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
40.0%
in alpha space · 16.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+4.98%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.9931.8766-5.84%1.569-21.27%0.2748✓1.972.4M2022-08-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum10.7310.246-4.51%10.61-1.12%0.0323✓1.38334k2022-08-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.037490.036435-2.81%0.03296-12.08%0.1702✓1.4413.9M2022-08-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.436.2507-2.79%5.43-15.55%0.1704✓0.611.4M2022-08-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9814.8457-2.72%6.395+28.39%0.2517✗0.532.2M2022-08-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.9821.3939-2.67%21.15-3.78%0.0528✓0.852.2M2022-08-10
ORCAOrcaSolana1.00270.976024-2.66%0.9791-2.35%0.0803✓1.72211k2022-08-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,725.0410,446.41-2.60%11,510.60+7.32%0.0278✗1.424.4M2022-08-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.081210.079109-2.59%0.10427+28.40%0.2038✗1.49786k2022-08-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099970.000097442-2.53%0.00009856-1.41%0.0876✓2.04536k2022-08-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.648990.632757-2.50%0.71796+10.63%0.0529✗1.5188k2022-08-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.472.4105-2.41%2.59+4.86%0.0194✓1.08398k2022-08-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.31830.310668-2.40%0.3078-3.30%0.0633✓1.11294k2022-08-10
QNTQuantEthereum105.18102.684-2.37%126.64+20.40%0.1616✗0.994.2M2022-08-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.9971.9497-2.37%2.075+3.91%0.0005✓1.27626k2022-08-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01780.99373-2.36%1.4709+44.52%0.3364✗1.151.1M2022-08-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54110.52834-2.36%0.537-0.76%0.0519✓1.40222k2022-08-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.713.6229-2.35%4.199+13.18%0.0630✗1.745.0M2022-08-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum16.4416.0554-2.34%16.17-1.64%0.0612✓1.412.3M2022-08-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03431.0101-2.34%1.1615+12.30%0.0970✗0.883.9M2022-08-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8160.79708-2.32%0.88+7.84%0.0144✓1.744.8M2022-08-10
METISMetisEthereum35.334.4863-2.31%47.24+33.82%0.2214✗1.92251k2022-08-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.26543.1936-2.20%3.2108-1.67%0.0317✓0.761.1M2022-08-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.040401-2.18%0.0441+6.78%0.0280✗1.2376k2022-08-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017680.017297-2.17%0.01893+7.07%0.0501✗0.82207k2022-08-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.9050.885684-2.13%0.98+8.29%0.0152✓1.77513k2022-08-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.084.9719-2.13%4.92-3.15%0.0446✓0.701.3M2022-08-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188040.184047-2.12%0.19756+5.06%0.0417✓2.311,1512022-08-10
DIADIAEthereum0.465640.455814-2.11%0.48951+5.13%0.0341✗0.7668k2022-08-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.780.7637-2.09%0.79+1.28%0.0369✓1.453,6872022-08-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.6427.0889-1.99%38.68+39.94%0.2902✗1.36773k2022-08-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8263.7502-1.98%4.079+6.61%0.0555✗0.591.9M2022-08-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5170.506819-1.97%0.532+2.90%0.0073✓1.1513k2022-08-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.35773.2917-1.96%3.3964+1.15%0.0119✓0.891.3M2022-08-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum2.0241.9846-1.95%2.049+1.24%0.0367✓1.41255k2022-08-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.8617.7175-1.83%8.348+6.20%0.0192✗1.227.0M2022-08-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1716.8581-1.82%18.55+8.04%0.0321✗1.311.3M2022-08-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15880.155928-1.81%0.1861+17.19%0.1165✗1.24508k2022-08-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.173.1128-1.80%3.02-4.73%0.0543✓0.49102k2022-08-10
IMXImmutableEthereum1.08341.064-1.79%1.133+4.58%0.0039✓1.371.4M2022-08-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4784.3994-1.76%4.752+6.12%0.0496✗0.561.3M2022-08-10
BANDBandEthereum1.6891.6599-1.72%1.849+9.47%0.0383✗1.43341k2022-08-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.7991.7681-1.72%2.108+17.18%0.1449✗0.64189k2022-08-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.6952.649-1.71%2.856+5.97%0.0058✓1.4349k2022-08-10
UNIUniswapEthereum8.9078.7574-1.68%9.22+3.51%0.0161✓1.399.8M2022-08-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6722.6271-1.68%2.928+9.58%0.0232✗1.75109k2022-08-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2462.2085-1.67%2.452+9.17%0.0373✗1.38177k2022-08-10
APEApeCoinEthereum7.1687.05-1.65%7.116-0.73%0.0750✓1.7312.2M2022-08-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08610.084685-1.64%0.0919+6.74%0.0258✗1.15128k2022-08-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05850.05755-1.62%0.0686+17.26%0.1132✗1.28799k2022-08-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.559.3949-1.62%8.75-8.38%0.0947✓0.491.7M2022-08-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.49e-73.43e-7-1.62%3.34e-7-4.32%0.0759✓0.99170k2022-08-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.2070.203709-1.59%0.2472+19.42%0.1300✗1.311,6972022-08-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1180.116142-1.57%0.1462+23.90%0.1635✗1.372.9M2022-08-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.8210.6529-1.54%12.16+12.38%0.0740✗1.20259k2022-08-10
COMPCompoundEthereum55.7654.913-1.52%65.2+16.93%0.1041✗1.3934k2022-08-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.087710.086388-1.51%0.08743-0.32%0.0543✓1.3629k2022-08-10
HIVEHivenative0.5960.587019-1.51%0.6261+5.05%0.0069✓1.181.5M2022-08-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.11090.109238-1.50%0.1219+9.92%0.0487✗1.25505k2022-08-10
DODODODOEthereum0.17080.16825-1.49%0.1819+6.50%0.0187✗1.223.5M2022-08-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9053.8473-1.48%4.198+7.50%0.0456✗0.86922k2022-08-10
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.3356-1.47%6.71+4.35%0.0101✓1.391.2M2022-08-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.995.9022-1.47%5.97-0.33%0.0216✓0.68725k2022-08-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010870.001071-1.45%0.001521+39.94%0.2904✗1.241.3M2022-08-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05460.053809-1.45%0.0548+0.37%0.0440✓1.28284k2022-08-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0877.97-1.45%8.306+2.71%0.0095✓1.042.4M2022-08-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4981-1.44%1.52+0.00%0.0003✓0.30221k2022-08-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.405920.400114-1.43%0.41642+2.59%0.0272✓1.38583k2022-08-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4752.4398-1.42%2.734+10.46%0.0705✗0.89110k2022-08-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078280.077185-1.40%0.08525+8.90%0.0638✗0.731,0202022-08-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031270.030833-1.40%0.03518+12.50%0.0719✗1.2314k2022-08-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.431.4101-1.39%1.58+10.49%0.0452✗1.411.1M2022-08-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.0422.7221-1.38%29.18+26.65%0.1732✗1.5827.5M2022-08-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.31159.4856-1.37%62.292+3.28%0.0056✓0.83330k2022-08-10
XEMNEMnative0.0492910.048631-1.34%0.052134+5.77%0.0114✓1.2035k2022-08-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.1251.1101-1.33%1.046-7.02%0.0912✓0.651.8M2022-08-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008680.008565-1.32%0.00896+3.23%0.0171✓1.28375k2022-08-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.9642.9254-1.30%3.098+4.52%0.0032✓1.11597k2022-08-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9783.9262-1.30%4.046+1.71%0.0037✓0.691.5M2022-08-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2130.210292-1.27%0.229+7.51%0.0117✓1.51786k2022-08-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3358930.331634-1.27%0.369005+9.86%0.0450✗1.271.1M2022-08-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23110.228192-1.26%0.2326+0.65%0.0524✓1.4789k2022-08-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199490.019701-1.25%0.020275+1.63%0.0082✓0.42165k2022-08-10
XVGVergenative0.003730.003684-1.22%0.00383+2.68%0.0242✓1.29551k2022-08-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.812.7759-1.21%3.04+8.19%0.0171✗1.52198k2022-08-10
AAVEAaveEthereum94.9793.8171-1.21%111.17+17.06%0.0892✗1.6610.2M2022-08-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43990.434643-1.20%0.4553+3.50%0.0254✓1.48278k2022-08-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3320.328042-1.19%0.34+2.41%0.0146✓1.041.1M2022-08-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.03080.030433-1.19%0.03249+5.49%0.0021✓1.301,3502022-08-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3591.343-1.18%1.444+6.25%0.0104✓1.282.5M2022-08-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.258151-1.17%0.2616+0.15%0.0127✗0.0129k2022-08-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6330.625628-1.16%0.697+10.11%0.0400✗1.4088k2022-08-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0157850.015601-1.16%0.015766-0.12%0.0330✓0.892.1M2022-08-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.163040.161146-1.16%0.17975+10.25%0.0346✗1.53212k2022-08-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2591.2444-1.16%1.348+7.07%0.0195✗1.241.2M2022-08-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0037.9103-1.16%9.529+19.07%0.1268✗1.2211.0M2022-08-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.16510.0493-1.14%11.986+17.91%0.1104✗1.3514.4M2022-08-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.790.781052-1.13%0.976+23.54%0.1644✗1.20225k2022-08-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.73812.7071-1.13%3.0285+10.61%0.0362✗1.5612k2022-08-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14480.143171-1.12%0.1704+17.68%0.1281✗0.953.6M2022-08-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7670.758412-1.12%0.883+15.12%0.1027✗1.02377k2022-08-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.13380.132314-1.11%0.1532+14.50%0.0938✗1.09779k2022-08-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.394220.389878-1.10%0.46429+17.77%0.1168✗1.19118k2022-08-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.825.7573-1.08%5.68-2.41%0.0423✓0.59873k2022-08-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.3341.3198-1.06%1.3894+4.15%0.0214✓1.506.4M2022-08-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.25980.257042-1.06%0.2716+4.54%0.0008✓1.1265k2022-08-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011830.000011706-1.05%0.0000124+4.82%0.0030✓1.25986k2022-08-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.61.5832-1.05%1.82+13.75%0.0751✗1.32122k2022-08-10
ZENHorizenBase17.1516.9723-1.04%21.93+27.87%0.1895✗1.37116k2022-08-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06820.067495-1.03%0.0739+8.36%0.0450✗0.94229k2022-08-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.05830.057698-1.03%0.0635+8.92%0.0282✗1.39167k2022-08-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12880.127473-1.03%0.1324+2.80%0.0105✓1.004,9522022-08-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.821,602.19-1.03%1,854.12+14.54%0.0840✗1.28404.0M2022-08-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.960.95028-1.01%1.072+11.67%0.0574✗1.30532k2022-08-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative36.0635.6983-1.00%38.83+7.68%0.0158✗1.409.4M2022-08-10
KSMKusamaHydration61.3160.7047-0.99%62.92+2.63%0.0212✓1.17379k2022-08-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.80e-79.70e-7-0.97%0.00000103+5.10%0.0109✗1.0025k2022-08-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.84852.8211-0.96%2.9592+3.89%0.0001✓0.981.2M2022-08-10
SOLSolanaSolana38.5538.1843-0.95%42.5+10.25%0.0406✗1.3781.8M2022-08-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.60360.597969-0.93%0.6574+8.91%0.0393✗1.14690k2022-08-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.47440.470153-0.90%0.5471+15.32%0.0971✗1.1246k2022-08-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.17592.1566-0.89%2.3862+9.66%0.0428✗1.2032k2022-08-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24610.243933-0.88%0.2649+7.64%0.0230✗1.22110k2022-08-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2857.2213-0.87%9.062+24.39%0.1662✗1.2518.3M2022-08-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.088010.087247-0.87%0.08979+2.02%0.0160✗0.261.1M2022-08-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031410.003114-0.87%0.003961+26.11%0.1926✗0.991.0M2022-08-10
ADACardanoCardano0.50090.496562-0.87%0.5376+7.33%0.0210✗1.2041.9M2022-08-10
XECeCashnative0.000042440.000042079-0.85%0.00004643+9.40%0.0422✗1.161.9M2022-08-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004560.004522-0.83%0.00485+6.36%0.0064✓1.31112k2022-08-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1160.115052-0.82%0.1265+9.05%0.0426✗1.07370k2022-08-10
XTZTezosTezos1.72041.7064-0.81%1.8733+8.89%0.0316✗1.27530k2022-08-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash133.7132.6415-0.79%142.18+6.34%0.0112✗1.204.5M2022-08-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066980.006647-0.76%0.006078-9.26%0.1146✓0.5239k2022-08-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0557310.055322-0.73%0.057508+3.19%0.0105✗0.5824k2022-08-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32670.324334-0.72%0.3644+11.54%0.0618✗1.138.1M2022-08-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.320.317711-0.72%0.3479+8.72%0.0341✗1.173.5M2022-08-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13490.133948-0.71%0.1428+5.86%0.0022✓1.2761k2022-08-10
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.03721.0299-0.70%1.1836+14.12%0.0879✗1.0513k2022-08-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.7857.3816-0.69%61.61+6.63%0.0150✗1.1513.7M2022-08-10
STXStacksnative0.46630.463104-0.69%0.4979+6.78%0.0121✗1.24892k2022-08-10
MOVRMoonriverBase14.622114.5245-0.67%17.7+21.05%0.1419✗1.1563k2022-08-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,844.1022,692.77-0.66%23,919.30+4.71%0.0050✓0.9814k2022-08-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19990.198635-0.63%0.2383+19.21%0.1141✗1.401,1742022-08-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.40220.399667-0.63%0.4648+15.56%0.0870✗1.32127k2022-08-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07730.076816-0.63%0.0827+6.99%0.0201✗1.11952k2022-08-10
FLOWFlownative1.841.8286-0.62%3.057+66.14%0.4518✗1.28430k2022-08-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09720.096604-0.61%0.1008+3.70%0.0160✓1.206,5342022-08-10
FTTFTXEthereum29.128.9294-0.59%31.37+7.80%0.0349✗0.9510.8M2022-08-10
KCSKuCoinnative10.0289.9697-0.58%10.779+7.49%0.0243✗1.102.0M2022-08-10
NANOnanopayBase1.02431.0184-0.58%1.0722+4.67%0.0058✗0.9460k2022-08-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.45891.4507-0.56%1.6203+11.06%0.0425✗1.40675k2022-08-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05870.058376-0.55%0.0607+3.41%0.0304✓1.43350k2022-08-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009760.009709-0.53%0.01031+5.64%0.0173✗0.885.0M2022-08-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048340.048086-0.52%0.05257+8.75%0.0460✗0.8915k2022-08-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1141840.113622-0.49%0.125982+10.33%0.0551✗0.997.0M2022-08-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.309310.307794-0.49%0.37799+22.20%0.1506✗1.13398k2022-08-10
CBKCobakEthereum1.10561.1005-0.47%1.145+3.56%0.0141✓1.1111k2022-08-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0017040.001696-0.46%0.001757+3.11%0.0150✓1.039,4962022-08-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.021203-0.46%0.02661+24.93%0.1778✗1.02159k2022-08-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04580.045595-0.45%0.0495+8.08%0.0189✗1.309,0132022-08-10
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.56e-7-0.42%0.00000101+5.21%0.0143✗0.846.4M2022-08-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.15520.154549-0.42%0.1652+6.44%0.0068✗1.23102k2022-08-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7440.740965-0.41%0.884+18.82%0.1174✗1.22895k2022-08-10
ZECZcashZcash61.8561.6162-0.38%78.7+27.24%0.1839✗1.251.5M2022-08-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.89863.885-0.35%4.1947+7.59%0.0239✗1.0945k2022-08-10
XMRMoneroMonero157.11156.5806-0.34%167.53+6.63%0.0139✗1.101.2M2022-08-10
PROPropyEthereum0.740.737655-0.32%0.77+4.05%0.0140✗0.5983k2022-08-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31820.317316-0.28%0.4951+55.59%0.3900✗1.1377k2022-08-10
GTGateEthereum4.50944.4982-0.25%4.9377+9.50%0.0570✗0.75920k2022-08-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043450.043349-0.23%0.04665+7.36%0.0277✗0.942,3002022-08-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.01515.0035-0.23%4.7-6.28%0.0709✓0.17219k2022-08-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.349220.348522-0.20%0.36767+5.28%0.0100✓1.3113k2022-08-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0230560.023015-0.18%0.024212+5.01%0.0039✗0.9611k2022-08-10
STEEMSteemnative0.24950.24906-0.18%0.266+6.61%0.0092✗1.17768k2022-08-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.13851.1366-0.16%1.2251+7.61%0.0239✗1.0547k2022-08-10
DASHDashDash48.7748.6919-0.16%54.6+11.95%0.0612✗1.10574k2022-08-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.06620.066129-0.11%0.071244+7.62%0.0176✗1.171.7M2022-08-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.686229+0.03%0.766+11.66%0.0383✓1.47106k2022-08-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,825.0022,851.28+0.12%23,962.18+4.98%0.0012✓1.00427.9M2022-08-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0022550.002258+0.13%0.002157-4.35%0.0943✗1.001.5M2022-08-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062080.006218+0.17%0.006634+6.87%0.0239✓0.848,9962022-08-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.008190.008204+0.18%0.00837+2.20%0.0239✗0.901.6M2022-08-10
TRXTRONTron0.0677990.067989+0.28%0.070307+3.70%0.0002✓0.69364k2022-08-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54530.54793+0.48%0.6134+12.49%0.0577✓1.14335k2022-08-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0620.06234+0.55%0.1362+119.68%0.7457✓0.74159k2022-08-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.