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2022-08-01 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1815
185 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.58%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
42.2%
in alpha space · 28.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+2.33%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
HIVEHivenative0.77450.726964-6.14%0.6064-21.70%0.2082✓1.171.4M2022-08-08
ORCAOrcaSolana1.13981.0798-5.26%0.9875-13.36%0.1273✓1.65205k2022-08-08
OPTIMOptimism1.5121.4552-3.76%1.899+25.60%0.2206✗1.981.7M2022-08-08
CHZChilizEthereum0.14940.144175-3.50%0.1526+2.14%0.0313✓1.11698k2022-08-08
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,611.3211,210.77-3.45%11,448.81-1.40%0.0111✓1.404.2M2022-08-08
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana6.536.3084-3.39%5.62-13.94%0.1298✓0.621.2M2022-08-08
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.03680.035653-3.12%0.03513-4.54%0.0498✓1.5212.6M2022-08-08
LUNATerraTerra 20.000104790.000101561-3.08%0.00009929-5.25%0.0673✓1.94592k2022-08-08
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8310.806973-2.89%0.841+1.20%0.0071✓1.493,6872022-08-08
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.815.6585-2.61%5.71-1.72%0.0050✓0.61732k2022-08-08
STORJStorjEthereum0.711570.693303-2.57%0.69895-1.77%0.0267✓1.5188k2022-08-08
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.9194.7943-2.54%6.031+22.61%0.2168✗0.552.0M2022-08-08
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8610.840277-2.41%0.898+4.30%0.0267✗1.735.0M2022-08-08
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.28523.2073-2.37%3.4773+5.85%0.0603✗0.891.2M2022-08-08
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08050.078598-2.36%0.11272+40.02%0.3260✗1.50773k2022-08-08
GMTGMTEthereum0.9550.932979-2.31%0.944-1.15%0.0290✓1.77513k2022-08-08
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04130.040353-2.29%0.0454+9.93%0.0896✗1.2371k2022-08-08
QNTQuantEthereum103.46101.1258-2.26%128.79+24.48%0.2185✗1.014.2M2022-08-08
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana5.074.9566-2.24%5.02-0.99%0.0036✓0.711.2M2022-08-08
DIADIAEthereum0.487140.476384-2.21%0.48293-0.86%0.0044✓0.7863k2022-08-08
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6053.5255-2.20%4.095+13.59%0.1099✗1.735.0M2022-08-08
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.19250.188303-2.18%0.19653+2.09%0.0105✓2.311,2222022-08-08
TRBTellor TributesEthereum28.4427.8248-2.16%30.04+5.63%0.0446✗1.39641k2022-08-08
API3Api3Ethereum2.0221.9798-2.09%2.141+5.89%0.0489✗1.28637k2022-08-08
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03151.01-2.09%1.0662+3.36%0.0273✗1.171.1M2022-08-08
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.7768.5933-2.08%8.73-0.52%0.0087✓1.062.4M2022-08-08
FORTFortaEthereum0.30590.299587-2.06%0.3126+2.19%0.0166✓1.12300k2022-08-08
NMRNumeraireEthereum19.218.8203-1.98%21.84+13.75%0.1290✗0.862.2M2022-08-08
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4162.3687-1.96%2.498+3.39%0.0206✗1.41177k2022-08-08
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.859.6671-1.86%8.84-10.25%0.1015✓0.521.7M2022-08-08
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.01790.017569-1.85%0.01763-1.51%0.0145✓0.78229k2022-08-08
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.9472.8932-1.83%2.9-1.59%0.0305✓1.4349k2022-08-08
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.54010.530295-1.82%0.561+3.87%0.0238✗1.41234k2022-08-08
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5190.509663-1.80%0.553+6.55%0.0553✗1.1513k2022-08-08
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.348.1912-1.78%8.259-0.97%0.0204✓1.246.8M2022-08-08
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8493.7806-1.78%4.125+7.17%0.0735✗0.591.7M2022-08-08
CTSICartesiEthereum0.1720.16897-1.76%0.1759+2.27%0.0114✓1.25491k2022-08-08
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.15.9932-1.75%6.04-0.98%0.0075✓0.66623k2022-08-08
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.333.2726-1.72%3.05-8.41%0.0817✓0.4994k2022-08-08
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.94512.8948-1.71%3.2115+9.05%0.0860✗0.77978k2022-08-08
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.93880.922872-1.70%1.1662+24.22%0.2134✗0.903.2M2022-08-08
COMPCompoundEthereum58.957.9049-1.69%62.01+5.28%0.0365✗1.3932k2022-08-08
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.009380.009223-1.68%0.00911-2.88%0.0413✓1.26359k2022-08-08
RADRadworksEthereum2.392.3504-1.66%2.74+14.64%0.1288✗1.07301k2022-08-08
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.3644.2922-1.65%4.707+7.86%0.0789✗0.581.2M2022-08-08
GALAGALAEthereum0.06480.063735-1.64%0.062-4.32%0.0607✓1.44154k2022-08-08
COTICOTIEthereum0.11620.114344-1.60%0.1199+3.18%0.0175✗1.30472k2022-08-08
CTKShentuOsmosis1.081.0632-1.55%1.084+0.37%0.0032✓0.701.5M2022-08-08
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.8817.6041-1.54%18.67+4.42%0.0278✗1.351.3M2022-08-08
DODODODOEthereum0.17760.174933-1.50%0.1804+1.58%0.0019✓1.263.5M2022-08-08
AVTAventusEthereum1.561.5366-1.50%1.55-0.64%0.0037✓0.22268k2022-08-08
METISMetisEthereum33.6233.1256-1.47%45.63+35.72%0.2755✗1.94229k2022-08-08
SKLSKALEEthereum0.06120.060325-1.43%0.068+11.11%0.0897✗1.30799k2022-08-08
XVSVenusEthereum6.516.4174-1.42%6.92+6.30%0.0432✗1.401.1M2022-08-08
BANDBandEthereum1.7181.694-1.40%1.875+9.14%0.0681✗1.45327k2022-08-08
AUCTIONBounceEthereum87.8883-1.40%10.19+27.37%0.2246✗1.37263k2022-08-08
XEMNEMnative0.0514460.050732-1.39%0.052476+2.00%0.0065✓1.1938k2022-08-08
IMXImmutableEthereum1.07891.0639-1.39%1.2133+12.46%0.0989✗1.411.4M2022-08-08
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.14380.141808-1.39%0.1447+0.63%0.0094✓1.2859k2022-08-08
WOOWOOEthereum0.21060.207686-1.38%0.2677+27.11%0.2226✗1.361,6972022-08-08
ELAElastosEthereum1.7951.7702-1.38%2.06+14.76%0.1369✗0.64189k2022-08-08
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9343.8805-1.36%4.04+2.69%0.0238✗0.721.4M2022-08-08
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2511.0991-1.34%11.72+4.18%0.0265✗1.21243k2022-08-08
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12360.121948-1.34%0.1491+20.63%0.1692✗1.382.8M2022-08-08
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.8773.8266-1.30%3.99+2.91%0.0215✗0.88754k2022-08-08
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4710.464925-1.29%0.4659-1.08%0.0317✓1.47273k2022-08-08
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1813.9972-1.29%16.74+18.05%0.1465✗1.411.9M2022-08-08
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.5923.2879-1.28%27.92+18.36%0.1447✗1.6027.5M2022-08-08
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.891.8659-1.27%2.058+8.89%0.0652✗1.42234k2022-08-08
UNIUniswapEthereum8.3658.2597-1.26%8.791+5.09%0.0301✗1.408.5M2022-08-08
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032040.031637-1.26%0.0332+3.62%0.0197✗1.2414k2022-08-08
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010960.001082-1.25%0.001192+8.77%0.0671✗1.291.4M2022-08-08
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.15410.152228-1.21%0.1674+8.63%0.0722✗0.993.5M2022-08-08
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.41280.407834-1.20%0.42203+2.24%0.0021✓1.39583k2022-08-08
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084190.083184-1.19%0.08557+1.64%0.0026✓1.3429k2022-08-08
GLMGolemEthereum0.2770.27373-1.18%0.2733-1.34%0.0263✓1.0867k2022-08-08
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3231.3075-1.17%1.351+2.12%0.0042✓1.241.2M2022-08-08
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08580.084803-1.16%0.0896+4.43%0.0279✗1.18137k2022-08-08
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0199980.019768-1.15%0.018974-5.12%0.0528✓0.51165k2022-08-08
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2210.218461-1.15%0.23+4.07%0.0166✗1.51821k2022-08-08
SOLSolanaSolana41.6741.1915-1.15%42.2+1.27%0.0071✓1.3681.1M2022-08-08
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6446.5681-1.14%7.314+10.08%0.0677✗1.7311.3M2022-08-08
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3627650.358726-1.11%0.363104+0.09%0.0177✓1.301.0M2022-08-08
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.419380.41476-1.10%0.42996+2.52%0.0081✓1.21118k2022-08-08
AAVEAaveEthereum96.5895.5181-1.10%102.58+6.21%0.0331✗1.6610.2M2022-08-08
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.078980.078113-1.10%0.08965+13.51%0.1209✗0.731,1722022-08-08
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5652.5373-1.08%2.889+12.63%0.0894✗1.7595k2022-08-08
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.39910.2873-1.07%11.817+13.64%0.1070✗1.3714.4M2022-08-08
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.26310.26031-1.06%0.2624-0.27%0.0203✓1.23101k2022-08-08
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.67660.0515-1.03%62.317+2.70%0.0176✗0.85345k2022-08-08
KSMKusamaHydration64.2363.5698-1.03%64.6+0.58%0.0112✓1.18354k2022-08-08
SCSiacoinnative0.004780.004732-1.00%0.00474-0.84%0.0286✓1.32112k2022-08-08
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.30621.2931-1.00%1.4281+9.33%0.0646✗1.515.6M2022-08-08
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4231.4091-0.98%1.438+1.05%0.0090✓1.272.5M2022-08-08
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05320.052683-0.97%0.0543+2.07%0.0015✓1.25269k2022-08-08
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.29e-73.26e-7-0.93%3.37e-7+2.27%0.0097✗0.96178k2022-08-08
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.3360.332872-0.93%0.3474+3.39%0.0155✗1.183.1M2022-08-08
XTZTezosTezos1.81991.803-0.93%1.894+4.07%0.0202✗1.26492k2022-08-08
MANADecentralandEthereum1.01631.007-0.92%1.0855+6.81%0.0447✗1.32525k2022-08-08
SUSHISushiEthereum1.421.4071-0.91%1.56+9.86%0.0700✗1.441.1M2022-08-08
XVGVergenative0.003750.003717-0.89%0.00377+0.53%0.0159✓1.31559k2022-08-08
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9339-0.88%3.052+3.11%0.0137✗1.12619k2022-08-08
FLOWFlownative2.0252.0075-0.86%3.023+49.28%0.3801✗1.27415k2022-08-08
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.0234.7256-0.84%38.06+8.68%0.0592✗1.416.9M2022-08-08
ZENHorizenBase18.1618.0074-0.84%19.15+5.45%0.0300✗1.37116k2022-08-08
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6460.64069-0.82%0.697+7.89%0.0519✗1.4088k2022-08-08
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.61960.614514-0.82%0.6657+7.44%0.0534✗1.16642k2022-08-08
XECeCashnative0.000045140.00004477-0.82%0.00004589+1.66%0.0020✓1.161.9M2022-08-08
ETHEthereumEthereum1,630.821,617.49-0.82%1,777.36+8.99%0.0653✗1.26387.0M2022-08-08
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8592.8357-0.82%3.0082+5.22%0.0231✗1.5612k2022-08-08
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.5747.5135-0.80%8.607+13.64%0.1068✗1.2616.9M2022-08-08
FTTFTXEthereum30.7530.506-0.79%31.49+2.41%0.0098✗0.9510.2M2022-08-08
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26180.259739-0.79%0.2614-0.15%0.0061✓0.0128k2022-08-08
LSKLiskEthereum1.2461.2362-0.79%1.2304-1.25%0.0292✓1.0643k2022-08-08
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3350.332388-0.78%0.339+1.19%0.0040✓1.03959k2022-08-08
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.165410.164134-0.77%0.17585+6.31%0.0334✗1.54212k2022-08-08
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0032560.003231-0.76%0.003433+5.44%0.0371✗1.021.0M2022-08-08
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06740.066891-0.76%0.0737+9.35%0.0749✗0.96229k2022-08-08
DKAdKargoEthereum0.051690.051302-0.75%0.05269+1.93%0.0059✓0.9015k2022-08-08
CBKCobakEthereum1.19911.1901-0.75%1.1648-2.87%0.0468✓1.1010k2022-08-08
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8386-0.75%3.02+5.59%0.0270✗1.52192k2022-08-08
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.7871-0.74%0.894+12.74%0.0990✗1.23218k2022-08-08
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.188.1194-0.74%9.276+13.40%0.1046✗1.2410.0M2022-08-08
CVCCivicEthereum0.16470.163498-0.73%0.163-1.03%0.0316✓1.2494k2022-08-08
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.26812.2517-0.72%2.385+5.15%0.0291✗1.2329k2022-08-08
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.53e-7-0.70%0.000001+4.17%0.0249✗1.0025k2022-08-08
ADACardanoCardano0.51280.509207-0.70%0.5372+4.76%0.0248✗1.2541.9M2022-08-08
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011970.000011887-0.70%0.00001229+2.67%0.0050✓1.23986k2022-08-08
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.79682.7776-0.69%2.9975+7.18%0.0537✗0.981.0M2022-08-08
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49660.493232-0.68%0.5796+16.71%0.1356✗1.1247k2022-08-08
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7720.766851-0.67%0.835+8.16%0.0624✗0.99377k2022-08-08
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.07791.0708-0.66%1.1739+8.90%0.0683✗1.0313k2022-08-08
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.57471.5644-0.66%1.6087+2.16%0.0051✓1.44589k2022-08-08
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34240.340158-0.65%0.3629+5.99%0.0385✗1.147.7M2022-08-08
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.12070.119929-0.64%0.1267+4.97%0.0303✗1.07352k2022-08-08
XYMSymbolnative0.0572340.056871-0.63%0.05725+0.03%0.0071✓0.6022k2022-08-08
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.631.6197-0.63%1.85+13.50%0.1014✗1.37114k2022-08-08
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.046180.04589-0.63%0.04665+1.02%0.0057✓0.962,3002022-08-08
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash137.87137.0664-0.58%143.54+4.11%0.0187✗1.194.3M2022-08-08
BORABORAKlay Token0.345490.343551-0.56%0.36941+6.92%0.0423✗1.3112k2022-08-08
MOVRMoonriverBase15.134315.0501-0.56%19.4666+28.63%0.2302✗1.1868k2022-08-08
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.4759.1416-0.55%62.61+5.28%0.0304✗1.1613.6M2022-08-08
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0150170.014935-0.55%0.016131+7.42%0.0568✗0.881.6M2022-08-08
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4352.422-0.53%2.626+7.84%0.0597✗0.92105k2022-08-08
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,172.7023,056.71-0.50%23,846.60+2.91%0.0111✗0.9814k2022-08-08
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.092360.091916-0.48%0.08629-6.57%0.0688✓0.241.1M2022-08-08
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04830.048077-0.46%0.0517+7.04%0.0417✗1.347,6872022-08-08
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010210.010163-0.46%0.01044+2.25%0.0047✗0.974.7M2022-08-08
CHRChromiaEthereum0.2070.206077-0.45%0.2282+10.24%0.0698✗1.401,1792022-08-08
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0236210.023518-0.43%0.023579-0.18%0.0199✓0.989,6292022-08-08
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030010.029882-0.43%0.03333+11.06%0.0791✗1.311,2932022-08-08
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12550.124967-0.42%0.1317+4.94%0.0297✗0.994,9522022-08-08
LCXLCXEthereum0.06020.059964-0.39%0.0607+0.83%0.0201✓1.40339k2022-08-08
XLMStellarStellar0.1183040.117869-0.37%0.130156+10.02%0.0763✗0.996.8M2022-08-08
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23070.229949-0.33%0.2285-0.95%0.0404✓1.4897k2022-08-08
XMRMoneroMonero160.69160.172-0.32%167.1+3.99%0.0168✗1.111.3M2022-08-08
QTUMQtumQtum4.14614.1329-0.32%4.1656+0.47%0.0173✓1.0939k2022-08-08
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006650.00663-0.30%0.0063-5.26%0.0635✓0.5438k2022-08-08
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32380.323013-0.24%0.5111+57.84%0.4325✗1.1576k2022-08-08
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42390.422993-0.21%0.4704+10.97%0.0757✗1.33127k2022-08-08
PROPropyEthereum0.780.778358-0.21%0.79+1.28%0.0009✓0.6179k2022-08-08
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021560.02152-0.19%0.029+34.51%0.2746✗1.03159k2022-08-08
BTTCBTTC9.70e-79.68e-7-0.18%9.90e-7+2.06%0.0031✗0.836.4M2022-08-08
STXStacksnative0.46130.460585-0.15%0.5085+10.23%0.0703✗1.25778k2022-08-08
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.195.1844-0.11%4.8-7.51%0.0818✓0.21210k2022-08-08
KCSKuCoinnative9.9639.9524-0.11%10.767+8.07%0.0537✗1.082.1M2022-08-08
STEEMSteemnative0.26570.265464-0.09%0.2624-1.24%0.0376✓1.13768k2022-08-08
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7270.72703+0.00%0.774+6.46%0.0347✓1.21806k2022-08-08
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0687210.068731+0.01%0.070056+1.94%0.0073✗1.151.7M2022-08-08
ZECZcashZcash62.8762.8959+0.04%77.53+23.32%0.1804✓1.251.5M2022-08-08
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07050.070531+0.04%0.0826+17.16%0.1332✓1.08567k2022-08-08
UOSUltraEthereum0.309120.309349+0.07%0.33107+7.10%0.0410✓1.17398k2022-08-08
NANOnanopayBase1.01851.0198+0.13%1.0843+6.46%0.0393✓0.9660k2022-08-08
GTGateEthereum4.41644.4233+0.16%4.9055+11.07%0.0867✓0.73916k2022-08-08
DASHDashDash49.7549.8332+0.17%56.22+13.01%0.0951✓1.11574k2022-08-08
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0024290.002434+0.19%0.00224-7.78%0.1059✗1.001.8M2022-08-08
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,273.8623,328.78+0.24%23,815.65+2.33%0.0024✗1.00414.2M2022-08-08
AMPAmpEthereum0.008420.008443+0.27%0.00837-0.59%0.0297✗0.911.6M2022-08-08
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7310.733183+0.30%0.767+4.92%0.0108✓1.4980k2022-08-08
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016970.001703+0.35%0.001764+3.95%0.0117✓1.0211k2022-08-08
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09510.095522+0.44%0.1038+9.15%0.0554✓1.216,7862022-08-08
TRXTRONTron0.0699720.070289+0.45%0.070047+0.11%0.0213✗0.78373k2022-08-08
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063210.006377+0.88%0.006716+6.25%0.0311✓0.909,1592022-08-08
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.06410.064709+0.95%0.1545+141.03%0.8516✓0.81155k2022-08-08
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.55740.563115+1.03%0.6088+9.22%0.0518✓1.14341k2022-08-08
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.