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2022-07-30 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0050
185 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.94%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
28.1%
in alpha space · 37.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-2.91%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
OPTIMOptimism1.8091.7199-4.92%1.901+5.09%0.1584✗1.971.3M2022-08-06
YFIyearn.financeEthereum11,772.2011,259.20-4.36%11,723.93-0.41%0.0815✗1.394.0M2022-08-06
TRBTellor TributesEthereum32.0330.6455-4.32%31.73-0.94%0.0756✗1.38563k2022-08-06
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0347.7367-3.70%9.445+17.56%0.2313✗1.082.3M2022-08-06
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.084940.081831-3.66%0.08585+1.07%0.0922✗1.50768k2022-08-06
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.3195.1252-3.64%5.583+4.96%0.1017✗0.552.0M2022-08-06
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97430.942902-3.22%0.9885+1.46%0.0956✗1.64202k2022-08-06
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.840.817261-2.71%0.802-4.52%0.0252✓1.493,1392022-08-06
LUNATerraTerra 20.000098120.000095465-2.71%0.00010002+1.94%0.1039✗1.94635k2022-08-06
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.5710.555814-2.66%0.5669-0.72%0.0613✗1.40234k2022-08-06
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0591.0319-2.56%1.178+11.24%0.1529✗0.691.3M2022-08-06
WOOWOOEthereum0.22930.223491-2.53%0.2645+15.35%0.2089✗1.371,5612022-08-06
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.033190.032361-2.50%0.03525+6.21%0.1306✗1.5311.5M2022-08-06
IMXImmutableEthereum1.1871.1575-2.49%1.1291-4.88%0.0167✓1.401.4M2022-08-06
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8840.863111-2.36%0.871-1.47%0.0600✗1.725.2M2022-08-06
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.192340.187992-2.26%0.19836+3.13%0.1223✗2.321,1512022-08-06
QNTQuantEthereum106.35103.9744-2.23%120.14+12.97%0.1744✗1.014.2M2022-08-06
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.4712-2.13%5.65+1.07%0.0504✗0.62956k2022-08-06
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.426257-2.05%–pending––0.902142022-08-06
STORJStorjEthereum0.676430.66257-2.05%0.69175+2.26%0.0878✗1.5181k2022-08-06
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.010270.010062-2.03%0.00885-13.83%0.0911✓1.26355k2022-08-06
GMTGMTEthereum0.9760.956285-2.02%0.923-5.43%0.0168✓1.77513k2022-08-06
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum8.2788.1124-2.00%8.285+0.08%0.0580✗1.255.9M2022-08-06
FORTFortaEthereum0.29690.291071-1.96%0.313+5.42%0.1062✗1.13309k2022-08-06
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum19.1218.7629-1.87%17.94-6.17%0.0051✓1.341.3M2022-08-06
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1916.8699-1.86%21.63+25.83%0.2745✗0.882.2M2022-08-06
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.6473.5807-1.82%4.274+17.19%0.2281✗1.734.3M2022-08-06
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.08973.0363-1.73%3.4478+11.59%0.1535✗0.891.1M2022-08-06
API3Api3Ethereum1.9311.9003-1.59%2.119+9.74%0.1465✗1.27637k2022-08-06
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.3282.2914-1.57%2.366+1.63%0.0739✗1.42169k2022-08-06
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.13190.129903-1.51%0.1278-3.11%0.0243✗1.372.5M2022-08-06
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5050.497421-1.50%0.549+8.71%0.1327✗1.1513k2022-08-06
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.980.965542-1.48%1.0945+11.68%0.1599✗1.171.2M2022-08-06
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16840.165918-1.47%0.1743+3.50%0.0861✗1.25446k2022-08-06
XVSVenusEthereum6.766.6604-1.47%6.62-2.07%0.0352✗1.391.0M2022-08-06
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.534.4636-1.47%5.03+11.04%0.1405✗0.71912k2022-08-06
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.95050.936638-1.46%1.1668+22.76%0.2462✗0.893.6M2022-08-06
DIADIAEthereum0.461420.454768-1.44%0.47249+2.40%0.0614✗0.7857k2022-08-06
BANDBandEthereum1.7951.7691-1.44%1.828+1.84%0.0755✗1.45316k2022-08-06
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018670.018405-1.42%0.01771-5.14%0.0160✓0.76254k2022-08-06
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.193.1449-1.42%3.1-2.82%0.0004✓0.5077k2022-08-06
RADRadworksEthereum2.412.3763-1.40%2.51+4.15%0.0866✗1.08207k2022-08-06
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.4838.9467-1.35%37.8-4.26%0.0117✓1.412.8M2022-08-06
UNIUniswapEthereum8.788.6634-1.33%8.78+0.00%0.0547✗1.407.7M2022-08-06
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03850.03799-1.32%0.0444+15.32%0.1919✗1.2268k2022-08-06
COMPCompoundEthereum58.2357.4985-1.26%65.05+11.71%0.1645✗1.3932k2022-08-06
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.067.9605-1.23%10.6+31.51%0.3266✗1.36256k2022-08-06
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.7493.703-1.23%4.041+7.79%0.1049✗0.591.5M2022-08-06
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9661.9422-1.21%1.993+1.37%0.0680✗1.42234k2022-08-06
SOLSolanaSolana43.8443.3151-1.20%40.07-8.60%0.0377✓1.3681.8M2022-08-06
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0208760.020631-1.18%0.020238-3.06%0.0039✓0.52167k2022-08-06
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.8042.7712-1.17%2.76-1.57%0.0381✗1.4243k2022-08-06
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.611.4671-1.15%11.63+0.26%0.0500✗1.21241k2022-08-06
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.159.0463-1.13%8.88-2.95%0.0030✓0.531.2M2022-08-06
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.431880.427068-1.11%0.41209-4.58%0.0055✓1.39583k2022-08-06
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.7614.5966-1.11%16.93+14.70%0.1904✗1.421.7M2022-08-06
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2523.9825-1.10%26.64+9.86%0.1523✗1.6027.5M2022-08-06
METISMetisEthereum34.4934.1244-1.06%41.23+19.54%0.2469✗1.95213k2022-08-06
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.35861.3444-1.04%1.3733+1.08%0.0656✗1.506.4M2022-08-06
DODODODOEthereum0.1710.169252-1.02%0.1805+5.56%0.1015✗1.263.1M2022-08-06
HIVEHivenative0.52750.522206-1.00%0.5841+10.73%0.1463✗1.161.4M2022-08-06
APEApeCoinEthereum6.6976.6306-0.99%7.264+8.47%0.1425✗1.7311.0M2022-08-06
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7913.7534-0.99%3.966+4.62%0.0814✗0.89754k2022-08-06
AVTAventusEthereum1.511.4952-0.98%1.53+1.32%0.0295✗0.22268k2022-08-06
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.244.1987-0.97%4.656+9.81%0.1207✗0.591.3M2022-08-06
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08930.088432-0.97%0.0869-2.69%0.0173✗1.18155k2022-08-06
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0720.071302-0.97%0.071-1.39%0.0240✗0.96183k2022-08-06
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.45870.454312-0.96%0.4528-1.29%0.0402✗1.47242k2022-08-06
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.60e-73.57e-7-0.95%3.37e-7-6.43%0.0288✓0.95188k2022-08-06
XEMNEMnative0.049120.048667-0.92%0.051804+5.46%0.0977✗1.1935k2022-08-06
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.83142.8054-0.92%3.2103+13.38%0.1577✗0.77978k2022-08-06
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3487630.345612-0.90%0.353472+1.35%0.0612✗1.311.0M2022-08-06
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.077850.077163-0.88%0.07779-0.08%0.0299✗0.741,1722022-08-06
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010970.001088-0.88%0.001117+1.78%0.0644✗1.281.5M2022-08-06
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05860.058095-0.86%0.0647+10.41%0.1462✗1.30787k2022-08-06
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.7110.6196-0.84%10.632-0.73%0.0417✗1.3715.0M2022-08-06
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3381.327-0.82%1.32-1.35%0.0314✗1.241.2M2022-08-06
SUSHISushiEthereum1.491.4779-0.81%1.51+1.34%0.0639✗1.441.1M2022-08-06
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.6272.6059-0.80%2.698+2.70%0.0867✗1.7692k2022-08-06
AAVEAaveEthereum95.2694.5123-0.78%99.08+4.01%0.0964✗1.6610.0M2022-08-06
BFCBifrostEthereum0.081650.081026-0.76%0.08609+5.44%0.1004✗1.3528k2022-08-06
MANADecentralandEthereum1.00881.0013-0.75%1.0472+3.81%0.0839✗1.32431k2022-08-06
COTICOTIEthereum0.10980.108987-0.74%0.1141+3.92%0.0842✗1.30491k2022-08-06
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14570.144628-0.74%0.1584+8.72%0.1201✗0.983.5M2022-08-06
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.214415-0.73%0.223+3.24%0.0840✗1.51786k2022-08-06
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV62.6862.2206-0.73%61.424-2.00%0.0121✗0.84386k2022-08-06
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3781.3681-0.72%1.43+3.77%0.0820✗1.282.4M2022-08-06
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.645.5995-0.72%6.11+8.33%0.1068✗0.66554k2022-08-06
ELAElastosEthereum1.821.807-0.72%2.279+25.22%0.2509✗0.64219k2022-08-06
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0156130.015501-0.71%0.015891+1.78%0.0510✗0.881.2M2022-08-06
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11121.1035-0.70%1.1084-0.26%0.0349✗1.0313k2022-08-06
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.8237.7693-0.69%7.794-0.37%0.0405✗1.2616.2M2022-08-06
XTZTezosTezos1.81721.8047-0.69%1.8777+3.33%0.0768✗1.26492k2022-08-06
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.862.8413-0.65%3.03+5.94%0.1094✗1.52192k2022-08-06
C98Coin98Ethereum0.5070.503725-0.65%0.5694+12.31%0.1557✗1.1245k2022-08-06
KSMKusamaHydration63.162.6934-0.64%66.41+5.25%0.0927✗1.19257k2022-08-06
CHZChilizEthereum0.12670.125885-0.64%0.1462+15.39%0.1821✗1.10617k2022-08-06
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.6843.6604-0.64%3.961+7.52%0.1003✗0.721.1M2022-08-06
GITCOINGITCOIN2.8162.7986-0.62%3.0029+6.64%0.1169✗1.5711k2022-08-06
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05350.053173-0.61%0.0547+2.24%0.0655✗1.26263k2022-08-06
ETHEthereumEthereum1,698.011,687.75-0.60%1,690.81-0.42%0.0390✗1.26387.0M2022-08-06
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7930.788527-0.56%0.835+5.30%0.0937✗1.23210k2022-08-06
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21860.217391-0.55%0.2155-1.42%0.0324✗1.391,0652022-08-06
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6270.623535-0.55%0.678+8.13%0.1251✗1.4086k2022-08-06
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.641.6311-0.54%1.83+11.59%0.1556✗1.37114k2022-08-06
ADACardanoCardano0.52670.523857-0.54%0.5114-2.90%0.0128✗1.2543.2M2022-08-06
UMAUMAEthereum2.962.9442-0.53%3.034+2.50%0.0630✗1.11619k2022-08-06
FTTFTXEthereum31.1130.9462-0.53%30.39-2.31%0.0100✗0.9510.8M2022-08-06
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.035.0044-0.51%5.75+14.31%0.1570✗0.61605k2022-08-06
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7660.762553-0.45%0.808+5.48%0.0870✗0.99360k2022-08-06
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.405530.403708-0.45%0.43078+6.23%0.1007✗1.21118k2022-08-06
GLMGolemEthereum0.25650.25538-0.44%0.2708+5.58%0.0905✗1.0863k2022-08-06
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047250.047045-0.43%0.05523+16.89%0.1870✗0.9015k2022-08-06
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.2128.1777-0.42%8.524+3.80%0.0782✗1.249.4M2022-08-06
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.166140.16546-0.41%0.16929+1.90%0.0686✗1.55207k2022-08-06
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash145.47144.8803-0.41%141.34-2.84%0.0104✗1.193.9M2022-08-06
XYMSymbolnative0.0578340.057601-0.40%0.05463-5.54%0.0352✓0.6022k2022-08-06
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59140.589148-0.38%0.652+10.25%0.1356✗1.16624k2022-08-06
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.58661.5807-0.37%1.5589-1.75%0.0288✗1.44609k2022-08-06
FLOWFlownative1.9231.9161-0.36%2.57+33.65%0.3312✗1.27413k2022-08-06
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029780.029674-0.36%0.03265+9.64%0.1322✗1.2414k2022-08-06
QTUMQtumQtum4.32124.3059-0.35%4.1275-4.48%0.0101✓1.0933k2022-08-06
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31650.315402-0.35%0.3411+7.77%0.1134✗1.192.9M2022-08-06
ZENHorizenBase17.7217.6591-0.34%19.27+8.75%0.1279✗1.37108k2022-08-06
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12710.126667-0.34%0.1298+2.12%0.0537✗0.995,2722022-08-06
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.4760.2641-0.34%60.84+0.61%0.0437✗1.1613.5M2022-08-06
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.57e-7-0.34%9.70e-7+1.04%0.0433✗1.0024k2022-08-06
LCXLCXEthereum0.06410.063889-0.33%0.0604-5.77%0.0148✓1.40339k2022-08-06
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum24,608.2024,535.05-0.30%23,221.90-5.63%0.0260✓0.9817k2022-08-06
CBKCobakEthereum1.04951.0465-0.29%1.1588+10.41%0.1344✗1.109,9742022-08-06
XVGVergenative0.003630.00362-0.28%0.0037+1.93%0.0605✗1.31566k2022-08-06
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26120.260481-0.28%0.2613+0.04%0.0035✗0.0129k2022-08-06
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069720.006953-0.27%0.006459-7.36%0.0578✓0.5439k2022-08-06
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.25462.249-0.25%2.3396+3.77%0.0760✗1.2324k2022-08-06
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3380.33733-0.20%0.3492+3.31%0.0680✗1.137.7M2022-08-06
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011930.000011909-0.17%0.00001195+0.17%0.0398✗1.23951k2022-08-06
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24350.24311-0.16%0.2586+6.20%0.0982✗1.23101k2022-08-06
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0221980.022165-0.15%0.023204+4.53%0.0747✗0.989,2332022-08-06
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031720.003167-0.14%0.003241+2.18%0.0529✗1.01999k2022-08-06
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3090.30856-0.14%0.339+9.71%0.1248✗1.04766k2022-08-06
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11790.117751-0.13%0.1212+2.80%0.0603✗1.06337k2022-08-06
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.8020.801007-0.12%0.769-4.11%0.0033✗1.4980k2022-08-06
XLMStellarStellar0.1196680.119523-0.12%0.121903+1.87%0.0491✗0.996.8M2022-08-06
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.71372.7109-0.10%2.9758+9.66%0.1221✗0.981.0M2022-08-06
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13140.131287-0.09%0.1385+5.40%0.0915✗1.2850k2022-08-06
LRCLoopringEthereum0.43120.430845-0.08%0.4353+0.95%0.0495✗1.33104k2022-08-06
XECeCashnative0.000044180.00004415-0.07%0.00004474+1.27%0.0475✗1.161.9M2022-08-06
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009610.009603-0.07%0.01006+4.68%0.0751✗0.974.7M2022-08-06
SCSiacoinnative0.004370.004369-0.02%0.00468+7.09%0.1076✗1.32103k2022-08-06
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090580.090578-0.00%0.0864-4.61%0.0391✓0.27985k2022-08-06
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.029750.029761+0.04%0.03137+5.45%0.0914✓1.311,3342022-08-06
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02150.021516+0.08%0.02302+7.07%0.0981✓1.03149k2022-08-06
MOVRMoonriverBase14.700814.7123+0.08%18.5059+25.88%0.2642✓1.1870k2022-08-06
GALAGALAEthereum0.05570.05575+0.09%0.0601+7.90%0.1175✓1.43140k2022-08-06
ZECZcashZcash65.1365.2203+0.14%67.65+3.87%0.0737✓1.251.5M2022-08-06
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05165.0594+0.15%4.95-2.01%0.0156✗0.21210k2022-08-06
AMPAmpEthereum0.009010.009025+0.17%0.00834-7.44%0.0518✗0.921.6M2022-08-06
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04520.045276+0.17%0.0505+11.73%0.1488✓1.347,5232022-08-06
KCSKuCoinnative10.18310.2017+0.18%10.501+3.12%0.0610✓1.082.6M2022-08-06
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.23560.236116+0.22%0.2353-0.13%0.0404✓1.4892k2022-08-06
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4672.4727+0.23%2.45-0.69%0.0180✓0.92105k2022-08-06
XMRMoneroMonero155.85156.22+0.24%160.51+2.99%0.0597✓1.101.3M2022-08-06
NANOnanopayBase1.01461.017+0.24%1.0463+3.13%0.0568✓0.9658k2022-08-06
LSKLiskEthereum1.14191.1448+0.25%1.1937+4.53%0.0733✓1.0643k2022-08-06
BTTCBTTC9.40e-79.42e-7+0.26%9.70e-7+3.19%0.0535✓0.836.0M2022-08-06
BORABORAKlay Token0.317750.318574+0.26%0.36027+13.38%0.1618✓1.3111k2022-08-06
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0695750.069756+0.26%0.068641-1.34%0.0178✓1.151.7M2022-08-06
CVCCivicEthereum0.14780.148193+0.27%0.1626+10.01%0.1295✓1.2488k2022-08-06
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043020.043159+0.32%0.04651+8.11%0.1033✓0.961,9372022-08-06
UOSUltraEthereum0.32150.322565+0.33%0.31626-1.63%0.0148✓1.17400k2022-08-06
DASHDashDash50.7150.884+0.34%52.57+3.67%0.0653✓1.11574k2022-08-06
GTGateEthereum4.44444.4617+0.39%4.7775+7.49%0.0899✓0.73947k2022-08-06
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016440.00165+0.39%0.001709+3.95%0.0652✓1.0216k2022-08-06
STEEMSteemnative0.25120.252458+0.50%0.2578+2.63%0.0545✓1.13681k2022-08-06
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0023420.002354+0.51%0.00221-5.64%0.0336✗1.001.8M2022-08-06
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7240.728063+0.56%0.749+3.45%0.0644✓1.22776k2022-08-06
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,650.1323,783.99+0.57%22,960.93-2.91%0.0056✓1.00427.9M2022-08-06
PROPropyEthereum0.750.754813+0.64%0.92+22.67%0.2158✓0.6179k2022-08-06
STXStacksnative0.43030.433127+0.66%0.4845+12.60%0.1489✓1.25613k2022-08-06
CELLCellframeEthereum0.28810.290296+0.76%0.4323+50.05%0.4318✓1.1475k2022-08-06
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.0780.078642+0.82%0.0774-0.77%0.0085✓0.82148k2022-08-06
TRXTRONTron0.0690340.069696+0.96%0.06951+0.69%0.0201✓0.77376k2022-08-06
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06710.067797+1.04%0.0744+10.88%0.1247✓1.08351k2022-08-06
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.570.577227+1.27%0.5729+0.51%0.0261✓1.14350k2022-08-06
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08740.088562+1.33%0.1014+16.02%0.1713✓1.216,3652022-08-06
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061490.006257+1.75%0.006324+2.85%0.0372✓0.909,1592022-08-06
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.