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2022-07-28 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0135
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+1.48%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
32.6%
in alpha space · 44.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-5.15%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061790.006287+1.75%0.006146-0.54%0.0241✓0.894,8812022-08-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08490.086288+1.64%0.0975+14.84%0.1863✓1.216,3652022-08-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54660.554217+1.39%0.5454-0.22%0.0441✓1.14350k2022-08-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015240.001544+1.29%0.001657+8.73%0.1245✓1.0120k2022-08-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08360.084367+0.92%0.0731-12.56%0.0997✗0.83155k2022-08-04
TRXTRONTron0.0697620.070386+0.89%0.068981-1.12%0.0214✓0.79376k2022-08-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07010.070677+0.82%0.0733+4.56%0.0928✓1.07299k2022-08-04
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7230.728842+0.81%0.738+2.07%0.0762✓1.21806k2022-08-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.05320.053567+0.69%0.0593+11.47%0.1787✓1.46109k2022-08-04
GTGateEthereum4.29644.325+0.67%4.55+5.90%0.0889✓0.72968k2022-08-04
STEEMSteemnative0.25050.252169+0.67%0.2522+0.68%0.0614✓1.16643k2022-08-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin23,851.7024,008.40+0.66%22,623.94-5.15%0.0065✗1.00429.5M2022-08-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7490.753812+0.64%0.727-2.94%0.0433✓1.5180k2022-08-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30140.303223+0.60%0.329+9.16%0.1421✓1.1575k2022-08-04
STXStacksnative0.43440.436944+0.59%0.4737+9.05%0.1472✓1.26606k2022-08-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.325690.327433+0.54%0.31338-3.78%0.0182✓1.18407k2022-08-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043190.043383+0.45%0.04386+1.55%0.0621✓0.971,9372022-08-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0691040.069375+0.39%0.067353-2.53%0.0313✓1.151.7M2022-08-04
PROPropyEthereum0.80.803007+0.38%0.74-7.50%0.0493✗0.6179k2022-08-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50212.5113+0.37%2.9175+16.60%0.2019✓0.98863k2022-08-04
MOVRMoonriverBase14.286314.3356+0.35%14.6359+2.45%0.0838✓1.1970k2022-08-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04430.044441+0.32%0.0482+8.80%0.1520✓1.347,1312022-08-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.13561.139+0.30%1.1502+1.28%0.0665✓1.0743k2022-08-04
ZECZcashZcash63.6463.8283+0.30%64.38+1.16%0.0760✓1.271.5M2022-08-04
BTTCBTTC9.50e-79.53e-7+0.28%9.60e-7+1.05%0.0519✓0.845.9M2022-08-04
KCSKuCoinnative10.34310.3714+0.27%10.035-2.98%0.0248✓1.092.4M2022-08-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.008950.008974+0.27%0.00822-8.16%0.0393✗0.921.6M2022-08-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031070.003115+0.26%0.003069-1.22%0.0379✓1.001.0M2022-08-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.24060.241172+0.24%0.2263-5.94%0.0151✓1.4999k2022-08-04
NANOnanopayBase0.9965430.998882+0.23%1.0151+1.87%0.0678✓0.9857k2022-08-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.14980.150146+0.23%0.1561+4.21%0.1048✓1.2587k2022-08-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009230.009251+0.23%0.00979+6.07%0.1078✓0.974.7M2022-08-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020990.021037+0.22%0.02113+0.67%0.0589✓1.03136k2022-08-04
XMRMoneroMonero162.51162.8236+0.19%159.25-2.01%0.0358✓1.101.3M2022-08-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.317510.318064+0.17%0.36281+14.27%0.2011✓1.3111k2022-08-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2620.262422+0.16%0.2611-0.34%0.0045✗0.0131k2022-08-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum23,875.3023,910.65+0.15%22,495.20-5.78%0.0093✗0.9819k2022-08-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1170.117167+0.14%0.1168-0.17%0.0536✓1.07357k2022-08-04
DASHDashDash52.4852.5492+0.13%49.4-5.87%0.0026✗1.12594k2022-08-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1166880.116829+0.12%0.113921-2.37%0.0276✓1.006.8M2022-08-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13060.130745+0.11%0.1347+3.14%0.0983✓1.3049k2022-08-04
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.094340.094393+0.06%0.08541-9.47%0.0861✗0.26859k2022-08-04
SCSiacoinnative0.004420.004422+0.05%0.00454+2.71%0.0963✓1.32106k2022-08-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3040.304139+0.05%0.333+9.54%0.1457✓1.04681k2022-08-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011855+0.04%0.00001185+0.00%0.0654✓1.25986k2022-08-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24420.244226+0.01%0.2485+1.76%0.0827✓1.24110k2022-08-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0069010.006901-0.00%0.0067-2.91%0.0012✓0.5440k2022-08-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.935.9289-0.02%8.092+36.46%0.3693✗1.102.0M2022-08-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.8567.8518-0.05%8.092+3.00%0.0966✗1.269.4M2022-08-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33630.336112-0.06%0.3361-0.06%0.0606✗1.157.7M2022-08-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.06290.062863-0.06%0.0616-2.07%0.0539✗1.41337k2022-08-04
XECeCashnative0.000044280.000044253-0.06%0.00004294-3.03%0.0320✗1.181.7M2022-08-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.32295.3194-0.07%5-6.07%0.0509✓0.21214k2022-08-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12160.121486-0.09%0.1269+4.36%0.0962✗1.005,8712022-08-04
FLOWFlownative1.8761.8737-0.12%2.6+38.59%0.3949✗1.27413k2022-08-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.51.4981-0.13%1.502+0.13%0.0783✗1.43561k2022-08-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0550410.054969-0.13%0.054264-1.41%0.0195✗0.6120k2022-08-04
XTZTezosTezos1.71661.7139-0.16%1.8249+6.31%0.1293✗1.26492k2022-08-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218760.021839-0.17%0.022448+2.61%0.0795✗0.988,3682022-08-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7530.751572-0.19%0.782+3.85%0.1055✗1.25178k2022-08-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13590.135624-0.20%0.1392+2.43%0.0793✗1.013.2M2022-08-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6120.61072-0.21%0.686+12.09%0.1908✗1.4184k2022-08-04
XVGVergenative0.003690.003682-0.21%0.00377+2.17%0.0929✗1.31505k2022-08-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.25470.254133-0.22%0.2606+2.32%0.0825✗1.0963k2022-08-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.57640.575099-0.23%0.5965+3.49%0.0983✗1.17624k2022-08-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3741.3708-0.23%1.399+1.82%0.0884✗1.292.4M2022-08-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05470.054568-0.24%0.063+15.17%0.2129✗1.31765k2022-08-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.42952.4236-0.24%3.1416+29.31%0.3008✗0.78884k2022-08-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.029930.029845-0.29%0.03231+7.95%0.1456✗1.2514k2022-08-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6342.6264-0.29%2.415-8.31%0.0350✓0.93105k2022-08-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06550.06531-0.29%0.0667+1.83%0.0717✗0.96183k2022-08-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.31360.31266-0.30%0.3306+5.42%0.1188✗1.192.7M2022-08-04
UMAUMAEthereum2.8642.8553-0.30%2.982+4.12%0.1017✗1.10597k2022-08-04
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.60e-79.57e-7-0.30%9.50e-7-1.04%0.0454✗1.0024k2022-08-04
CBKCobakEthereum1.0441.0409-0.31%1.1129+6.60%0.1255✗1.119,1202022-08-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.774.7546-0.32%5.54+16.14%0.1857✗0.62587k2022-08-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.408860.407498-0.33%0.40433-1.11%0.0568✗1.22118k2022-08-04
FTTFTXEthereum30.2430.1383-0.34%29.14-3.64%0.0167✗0.9510.8M2022-08-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.4310.429332-0.39%0.4162-3.43%0.0404✗1.35104k2022-08-04
ADACardanoCardano0.51290.510901-0.39%0.4997-2.57%0.0441✗1.2543.2M2022-08-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160010.159382-0.39%0.16-0.01%0.0856✗1.55205k2022-08-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.1060.105563-0.41%0.1096+3.40%0.1070✗1.32491k2022-08-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047440.047243-0.42%0.0491+3.50%0.0865✗0.9115k2022-08-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.591.5834-0.42%1.7+6.92%0.1442✗1.38114k2022-08-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.227.1894-0.42%7.364+1.99%0.0910✗1.2716.2M2022-08-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.49940.497144-0.45%0.5677+13.68%0.1920✗1.1242k2022-08-04
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8840.879673-0.49%1.214+37.33%0.3598✗0.711.2M2022-08-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.64e-73.62e-7-0.50%3.56e-7-2.07%0.0346✗0.96195k2022-08-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3309680.329316-0.50%0.340211+2.79%0.1007✗1.291.0M2022-08-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.980390.975417-0.51%0.99245+1.23%0.0882✗1.34399k2022-08-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.4983.4801-0.51%3.83+9.49%0.1331✗0.71497k2022-08-04
ELAElastosEthereum1.7091.6998-0.54%1.814+6.14%0.0992✗0.65223k2022-08-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030570.030398-0.56%0.03038-0.62%0.0685✗1.311,3002022-08-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.075340.074915-0.56%0.07693+2.11%0.0654✗0.741,3772022-08-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.12070.120017-0.57%0.1447+19.88%0.2458✗1.11617k2022-08-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05240.052094-0.58%0.0537+2.48%0.0938✗1.20263k2022-08-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.365.3283-0.59%5.82+8.58%0.1235✗0.67514k2022-08-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2160.214678-0.61%0.218+0.93%0.0952✗1.51786k2022-08-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08460.08408-0.62%0.0854+0.95%0.0789✗1.20155k2022-08-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.4363.0344-0.62%59.65-5.96%0.0061✓1.1613.5M2022-08-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0154290.015329-0.65%0.015595+1.08%0.0644✗0.891.2M2022-08-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.9913.9648-0.66%4.616+15.66%0.1836✗0.601.1M2022-08-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7730.767837-0.67%0.799+3.36%0.0926✗1.00360k2022-08-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11480.114029-0.67%0.1202+4.70%0.1258✗1.382.5M2022-08-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,725.191,713.49-0.68%1,608.16-6.78%0.0031✓1.26383.0M2022-08-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010980.00109-0.69%0.001089-0.82%0.0673✗1.301.6M2022-08-04
XVSVenusEthereum5.65.5589-0.73%6.43+14.82%0.2202✗1.41959k2022-08-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.32022.3025-0.76%3.3721+45.34%0.4292✗0.90979k2022-08-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.7243.6944-0.79%3.982+6.93%0.1214✗0.88754k2022-08-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.3573.3299-0.81%3.844+14.51%0.1754✗0.601.5M2022-08-04
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.48290.478929-0.82%0.5776+19.61%0.2402✗1.00224k2022-08-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.3571.3458-0.83%1.297-4.42%0.0286✗1.241.2M2022-08-04
IMXImmutableEthereum0.95280.944812-0.84%1.1273+18.31%0.2521✗1.431.4M2022-08-04
ZENHorizenBase18.4618.2995-0.87%17.32-6.18%0.0180✗1.38100k2022-08-04
API3Api3Ethereum1.8281.812-0.88%2.223+21.61%0.2724✗1.29626k2022-08-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.85810.7597-0.91%10.359-4.60%0.0346✗1.3714.4M2022-08-04
XEMNEMnative0.0492890.04883-0.93%0.05021+1.87%0.0905✗1.1832k2022-08-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.425470.421388-0.96%0.41954-1.39%0.0702✗1.41592k2022-08-04
KSMKusamaHydration65.4464.8065-0.97%61.12-6.60%0.0044✓1.19244k2022-08-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0209380.020733-0.98%0.020525-1.97%0.0168✗0.51165k2022-08-04
SOLSolanaSolana42.9342.5051-0.99%38.82-9.57%0.0183✓1.3781.8M2022-08-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV63.1362.4976-1.00%60.269-4.53%0.0087✓0.85386k2022-08-04
DODODODOEthereum0.16380.162147-1.01%0.1729+5.56%0.1319✗1.282.8M2022-08-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche24.2323.9799-1.03%23.37-3.55%0.0589✗1.6027.5M2022-08-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.19860.196536-1.04%0.2175+9.52%0.1739✗1.371,5612022-08-04
HIVEHivenative0.55270.546593-1.10%0.5813+5.17%0.1231✗1.161.5M2022-08-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.46540.460256-1.11%0.4388-5.72%0.0303✗1.48220k2022-08-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1816.9861-1.13%17.75+3.32%0.1164✗1.371.3M2022-08-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.8582.8257-1.13%2.596-9.17%0.0080✓1.7692k2022-08-04
AAVEAaveEthereum100.4199.265-1.14%96.34-4.05%0.0583✗1.679.0M2022-08-04
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.11731.1045-1.15%1.0505-5.98%0.0045✓1.0312k2022-08-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.84362.8097-1.19%3.1854+12.02%0.2093✗1.5810k2022-08-04
COMPCompoundEthereum57.9757.254-1.24%56-3.40%0.0514✗1.3932k2022-08-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.114.9133-1.24%15.86+5.03%0.1364✗1.421.5M2022-08-04
APEApeCoinEthereum6.9246.8377-1.25%7.437+7.41%0.1727✗1.6811.5M2022-08-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018830.018595-1.25%0.01758-6.64%0.0160✓0.76263k2022-08-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.872.8333-1.28%3.12+8.71%0.1776✗1.54192k2022-08-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16450.162361-1.30%0.1642-0.18%0.0779✗1.26411k2022-08-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.5618.3178-1.30%27.99+50.81%0.4975✗1.39534k2022-08-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02730.026939-1.32%0.03497+28.10%0.3425✗1.5411.5M2022-08-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.30992.2793-1.33%2.1899-5.20%0.0258✗1.2524k2022-08-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5589-1.33%1.58+0.00%0.0273✗0.26283k2022-08-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.21920.21626-1.34%0.1995-8.99%0.0071✓1.391,1792022-08-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.94160.928875-1.35%1.0339+9.80%0.1695✗1.181.2M2022-08-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2657.1656-1.37%7.98+9.84%0.1745✗1.265.5M2022-08-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.8531.8275-1.38%1.967+6.15%0.1496✗1.44217k2022-08-04
DIADIAEthereum0.446410.440125-1.41%0.45707+2.39%0.0788✗0.7853k2022-08-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.571.5477-1.42%1.47-6.37%0.0254✗1.451.0M2022-08-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9780.9634-1.49%1.1853+21.20%0.2555✗0.913.9M2022-08-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03870.038121-1.50%0.0421+8.79%0.1643✗1.2368k2022-08-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.273.2206-1.51%3.09-5.50%0.0150✓0.5082k2022-08-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.50.492399-1.52%0.558+11.60%0.1856✗1.1413k2022-08-04
QTUMQtumQtum4.48454.416-1.53%3.9592-11.71%0.0510✓1.1028k2022-08-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.34.2335-1.55%4.83+12.33%0.1698✗0.72685k2022-08-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash155.69153.2298-1.58%134.34-13.71%0.0685✓1.193.9M2022-08-04
METISMetisEthereum36.335.7121-1.62%46.01+26.75%0.3557✗1.94181k2022-08-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.084060.082698-1.62%0.08615+2.49%0.1116✗1.3428k2022-08-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1164.0489-1.63%5.156+25.27%0.2709✗0.552.0M2022-08-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.275.1815-1.68%5.59+6.07%0.1088✗0.62786k2022-08-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.4072.3661-1.70%2.252-6.44%0.0263✗1.43160k2022-08-04
BANDBandEthereum1.7561.7243-1.80%1.755-0.06%0.0946✗1.46316k2022-08-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.851-1.87%8.75-2.99%0.0168✓0.53918k2022-08-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.671380.65838-1.94%0.66591-0.81%0.0920✗1.5379k2022-08-04
FISStafiEthereum0.43520.426592-1.98%–pending––0.912142022-08-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.4317.0846-1.98%21.62+24.04%0.2817✗0.882.4M2022-08-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.29510.288922-2.09%0.302+2.34%0.1042✗1.13323k2022-08-04
QNTQuantEthereum103.78101.5621-2.14%103.74-0.04%0.0749✗1.014.1M2022-08-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7832.7226-2.17%2.728-1.98%0.0781✗1.4443k2022-08-04
GMTGMTEthereum1.0120.989877-2.19%0.909-10.18%0.0083✓1.77551k2022-08-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.54481.5109-2.19%1.3286-14.00%0.0488✓1.515.6M2022-08-04
UNIUniswapEthereum9.2759.0644-2.27%8.819-4.92%0.0471✗1.416.7M2022-08-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.183560.179133-2.41%0.18887+2.89%0.1755✗2.321,1272022-08-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.8460.822268-2.81%0.786-7.09%0.0342✗1.503,1392022-08-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.000100260.000097431-2.82%0.00009925-1.01%0.1215✗1.95662k2022-08-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.792.7063-3.00%2.48-11.11%0.0303✓1.08175k2022-08-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum4.1354.0048-3.15%3.777-8.66%0.0338✗1.753.8M2022-08-04
ORCAOrcaSolana0.97640.944392-3.28%1.0192+4.38%0.1627✗1.64209k2022-08-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum8.227.9478-3.31%9.2+11.92%0.2183✗1.36256k2022-08-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8450.816489-3.37%0.846+0.12%0.1273✗1.745.2M2022-08-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,140.608,829.44-3.40%10,646.82+16.48%0.2601✗1.384.0M2022-08-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative40.8339.3458-3.63%34.8-14.77%0.0475✓1.421.3M2022-08-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum12.0111.5575-3.77%11.07-7.83%0.0213✓1.22241k2022-08-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.072110.069341-3.84%0.0809+12.19%0.2344✗1.52768k2022-08-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.011460.01098-4.19%0.009-21.47%0.1317✓1.27352k2022-08-04
OPTIMOptimism1.4481.3506-6.73%1.918+32.46%0.4548✗1.971.1M2022-08-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.