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2022-07-25 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 185 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0159
184 of 185 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.47%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
32.6%
in alpha space · 14.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+9.20%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (185 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
DEXEDeXeEthereum5.0154.7431-5.42%3.877-22.69%0.2860✓0.96584k2022-08-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82580.797584-3.42%1.1398+38.02%0.2150✗1.61214k2022-08-01
OPTIMOptimism0.7940.768854-3.17%1.512+90.43%0.5194✗1.781.1M2022-08-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7890.765907-2.93%0.831+5.32%0.0543✓1.544,1662022-08-01
HIVEHivenative0.5190.5047-2.76%0.7745+49.23%0.3231✗1.191.4M2022-08-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.083.974-2.60%5.07+24.26%0.1775✗0.75597k2022-08-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.7817.3293-2.53%19.2+7.99%0.0248✓0.882.1M2022-08-01
LUNATerraTerra 20.000092210.000089881-2.53%0.00010479+13.64%0.0138✓1.90735k2022-08-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.90170.880866-2.31%0.9388+4.11%0.0193✓0.943.5M2022-08-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.16990.166051-2.27%0.1925+13.30%0.0682✓2.451,1272022-08-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.9150.894286-2.26%0.955+4.37%0.0916✓1.79591k2022-08-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum20.5520.0996-2.19%28.44+38.39%0.2127✗1.53440k2022-08-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5040.493129-2.16%0.519+2.98%0.0528✓1.1811k2022-08-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.27410.268315-2.11%0.3059+11.60%0.0246✗1.21335k2022-08-01
DIADIAEthereum0.404070.39558-2.10%0.48714+20.56%0.1418✗0.7551k2022-08-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.213.1434-2.08%3.33+3.74%0.0111✓0.5382k2022-08-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana4.334.2407-2.06%6.53+50.81%0.3785✗0.60694k2022-08-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7053.629-2.05%4.919+32.77%0.2556✗0.552.1M2022-08-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9682.9072-2.05%3.605+21.46%0.0661✗1.693.7M2022-08-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.597970.585985-2.00%0.71157+19.00%0.0565✗1.5686k2022-08-01
RADRadworksEthereum1.881.8432-1.96%2.39+27.13%0.1647✗1.08157k2022-08-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0913.031-1.94%3.849+24.52%0.1839✗0.631.5M2022-08-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017920.017586-1.86%0.0179-0.11%0.0498✓0.77354k2022-08-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0187260.018387-1.81%0.019998+6.79%0.0419✗0.48163k2022-08-01
FISStafiEthereum0.37020.363537-1.80%–pending––1.273902022-08-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42880.421722-1.65%0.471+9.84%0.0214✓1.50208k2022-08-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14720.14494-1.54%0.172+16.85%0.0581✗1.28379k2022-08-01
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.257373-1.39%0.2618+0.31%0.0159✗0.0135k2022-08-01
UNIUniswapEthereum7.0476.9522-1.35%8.365+18.70%0.0665✗1.355.6M2022-08-01
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.093290.092043-1.34%0.09236-1.00%0.0846✓1.00706k2022-08-01
XEMNEMnative0.0447030.044115-1.32%0.051446+15.08%0.0479✗1.2021k2022-08-01
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.420.414489-1.31%0.5401+28.60%0.1767✗1.00234k2022-08-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.024480.024159-1.31%0.0368+50.33%0.2803✗1.6013.4M2022-08-01
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.88e-7-1.30%9.60e-7+6.67%0.0104✓1.0025k2022-08-01
KSMKusamaHydration58.4957.7329-1.29%64.23+9.81%0.0007✓1.20227k2022-08-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.1353.4305-1.29%60.676+12.09%0.0533✗0.84369k2022-08-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum12.5112.3495-1.28%14.18+13.35%0.0094✓1.461.2M2022-08-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6930.684123-1.28%0.861+24.24%0.0751✗1.765.3M2022-08-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.406710.401593-1.26%0.4128+1.50%0.1020✓1.47602k2022-08-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7813.7337-1.25%4.364+15.42%0.1017✗0.621.2M2022-08-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.946.8535-1.25%9.85+41.93%0.3205✗0.48670k2022-08-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.3515.1606-1.23%17.88+16.48%0.0439✗1.381.3M2022-08-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.361.3433-1.23%1.42+4.41%0.0724✓1.45856k2022-08-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.9341.9103-1.22%2.416+24.92%0.1074✗1.45132k2022-08-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3928-1.22%1.56+10.64%0.0930✗0.23319k2022-08-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2036.1275-1.22%8.34+34.45%0.1959✗1.285.3M2022-08-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.53e-7-1.20%3.29e-7-7.87%0.1565✓0.99234k2022-08-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.344430.340286-1.20%0.30912-10.25%0.2019✓1.20400k2022-08-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08160.08062-1.20%0.0858+5.15%0.0451✓1.22172k2022-08-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.1740.171957-1.17%0.2106+21.03%0.0770✗1.431,7562022-08-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1772.1521-1.14%2.947+35.37%0.1897✗1.4237k2022-08-01
QNTQuantEthereum87.8786.8653-1.14%103.46+17.74%0.0847✗1.023.2M2022-08-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03370.033324-1.12%0.0413+22.55%0.1059✗1.2472k2022-08-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2283.192-1.12%3.934+21.87%0.1411✗0.77488k2022-08-01
METISMetisEthereum27.3727.065-1.11%33.62+22.84%0.1289✗1.00151k2022-08-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative23.2522.9918-1.11%35.02+50.62%0.3074✗1.291.3M2022-08-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.3662.3398-1.11%2.565+8.41%0.0620✓1.7587k2022-08-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18420.182173-1.10%0.207+12.38%0.0039✓1.411,0652022-08-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7980.789496-1.07%1.08+35.34%0.2470✗0.751.1M2022-08-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.0710.070244-1.06%0.07898+11.24%0.0528✗0.731,6422022-08-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.83960.830689-1.06%1.0315+22.86%0.1104✗1.211.2M2022-08-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4172.3916-1.05%2.435+0.74%0.0626✓0.92105k2022-08-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5451.5288-1.05%1.89+22.33%0.0846✗1.45212k2022-08-01
COMPCompoundEthereum50.2449.724-1.03%58.9+17.24%0.0478✗1.3832k2022-08-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.9120.6984-1.01%23.59+12.82%0.0098✓1.6027.0M2022-08-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030990.003068-1.01%0.003256+5.07%0.0295✓1.011.0M2022-08-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0534050.05287-1.00%0.057234+7.17%0.0249✗0.6218k2022-08-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.764.7126-1.00%6.1+28.15%0.1999✗0.66514k2022-08-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.953570.94408-1.00%1.0779+13.04%0.0454✗0.998,9622022-08-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0066890.006624-0.97%0.00665-0.58%0.0446✓0.5546k2022-08-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04810.047634-0.97%0.0532+10.60%0.0035✓1.22263k2022-08-01
APEApeCoinEthereum5.9965.939-0.95%6.644+10.81%0.0393✓1.7211.9M2022-08-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26452.2432-0.94%2.859+26.25%0.1043✗1.579,0562022-08-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.1312.1114-0.92%3.2852+54.16%0.3628✗0.90971k2022-08-01
XVSVenusEthereum5.085.0336-0.91%6.51+28.15%0.1315✗1.43947k2022-08-01
DODODODOEthereum0.14170.140411-0.91%0.1776+25.34%0.1211✗1.292.8M2022-08-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09570.094834-0.91%0.1236+29.15%0.1440✗1.372.4M2022-08-01
ELAElastosEthereum1.5571.543-0.90%1.795+15.29%0.0950✗0.64223k2022-08-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.17631.166-0.87%1.3062+11.04%0.0166✓1.484.9M2022-08-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.067820.067237-0.86%0.08419+24.14%0.1111✗1.2928k2022-08-01
BANDBandEthereum1.41.3881-0.85%1.718+22.71%0.0853✗1.45317k2022-08-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.3590.355989-0.84%0.41938+16.82%0.0556✗1.23113k2022-08-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.873470.866271-0.82%1.0163+16.35%0.0404✗1.36423k2022-08-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2810.278721-0.81%0.335+19.22%0.0917✗1.05673k2022-08-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.24392.2257-0.81%2.9451+31.25%0.2108✗0.79895k2022-08-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.965.9122-0.80%8+34.23%0.1869✗1.31248k2022-08-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.047219-0.80%0.0612+28.57%0.1418✗1.34787k2022-08-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.5961.5833-0.80%2.022+26.69%0.1315✗1.29606k2022-08-01
XVGVergenative0.003450.003423-0.79%0.00375+8.70%0.0270✓1.34566k2022-08-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025710.025511-0.77%0.03001+16.73%0.0433✗1.351,3002022-08-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2011.1918-0.77%1.323+10.16%0.0050✓1.241.3M2022-08-01
SOLSolanaSolana36.6436.3581-0.77%41.67+13.73%0.0165✗1.3680.3M2022-08-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.264.2274-0.76%5.81+36.38%0.2631✗0.62504k2022-08-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2481.2387-0.75%1.423+14.02%0.0222✗1.322.4M2022-08-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00099010.00098289-0.73%0.001096+10.71%0.0058✓1.311.7M2022-08-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.4216.3753-0.71%7.574+17.96%0.0600✗1.2816.7M2022-08-01
PROPropyEthereum0.790.784399-0.71%0.78-1.27%0.0664✓0.6983k2022-08-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43540.432359-0.70%0.4966+14.06%0.0400✗1.1241k2022-08-01
ADACardanoCardano0.47490.471654-0.68%0.5128+7.98%0.0280✓1.2741.4M2022-08-01
CBKCobakEthereum0.985390.978685-0.68%1.1991+21.69%0.1035✗1.138,4242022-08-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,273.726,231.24-0.68%11,611.32+85.08%0.5034✗1.354.0M2022-08-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026750.026574-0.66%0.03204+19.78%0.0749✗1.2718k2022-08-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.448.3847-0.66%11.25+33.29%0.1919✗1.16243k2022-08-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12320.1224-0.65%0.1541+25.08%0.1415✗1.013.1M2022-08-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.6292.612-0.65%2.96+12.59%0.0267✗1.12619k2022-08-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.09280.092209-0.64%0.1162+25.22%0.1134✗1.34502k2022-08-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52560.522411-0.61%0.6196+17.88%0.0649✗1.20642k2022-08-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9738.9189-0.60%10.399+15.89%0.0329✗1.3713.0M2022-08-01
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82490.820067-0.59%1.0789+30.79%0.1478✗1.441.4M2022-08-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.23210.230743-0.58%0.277+19.35%0.0853✗1.1161k2022-08-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.530.526927-0.58%0.646+21.89%0.0775✗1.4384k2022-08-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.11450.113866-0.55%0.1255+9.61%0.0086✗1.015,8712022-08-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31160.309894-0.55%0.3424+9.88%0.0041✓1.187.5M2022-08-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.3626-0.54%1.63+18.98%0.0529✗1.44127k2022-08-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10780.107221-0.54%0.1207+11.97%0.0225✗1.09380k2022-08-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6740.670379-0.54%0.793+17.66%0.0576✗1.25149k2022-08-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006550.006515-0.53%0.00938+43.21%0.2756✗1.01355k2022-08-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039792-0.52%0.04618+15.45%0.0622✗0.992,0302022-08-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1930.191997-0.52%0.221+14.51%0.0039✓1.55881k2022-08-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010690.000010636-0.50%0.00001197+11.97%0.0071✗1.261.1M2022-08-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044030.04381-0.50%0.05169+17.40%0.0839✗0.9315k2022-08-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2814470.28012-0.47%0.362765+28.89%0.1441✗1.301.1M2022-08-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21570.214694-0.47%0.2307+6.95%0.0596✓1.4999k2022-08-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04140.041207-0.47%0.0483+16.67%0.0396✗1.357,5232022-08-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.140170.13952-0.46%0.16541+18.01%0.0310✗1.58176k2022-08-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.10140.100942-0.45%0.1494+47.34%0.2947✗1.11617k2022-08-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6630.66001-0.45%0.731+10.26%0.0309✓1.5179k2022-08-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22210.221118-0.44%0.2631+18.46%0.0629✗1.26119k2022-08-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.0253.782-0.44%59.47+10.09%0.0006✓1.1513.6M2022-08-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.2403-0.43%2.86+27.11%0.1108✗1.52205k2022-08-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.08625.0655-0.41%5.19+2.04%0.0072✗0.19214k2022-08-01
AAVEAaveEthereum81.481.0687-0.41%96.58+18.65%0.0290✗1.668.1M2022-08-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013450.013396-0.40%0.015017+11.65%0.0341✗0.911.2M2022-08-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,440.751,435.14-0.39%1,630.82+13.19%0.0184✗1.24344.6M2022-08-01
ZENHorizenBase15.2515.1925-0.38%18.16+19.08%0.0564✗1.3997k2022-08-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.08550.08518-0.37%0.0641-25.03%0.3580✓0.84148k2022-08-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.293060.291964-0.37%0.34549+17.89%0.0503✗1.349,2162022-08-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.03117.5919-0.37%137.87+16.81%0.0572✗1.164.2M2022-08-01
SCSiacoinnative0.003970.003956-0.36%0.00478+20.40%0.0713✗1.34106k2022-08-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.30961.3049-0.36%1.5747+20.24%0.0599✗1.46561k2022-08-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.83871.832-0.36%2.2681+23.36%0.1057✗1.2324k2022-08-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06050.060282-0.36%0.0674+11.40%0.0251✗0.98156k2022-08-01
FTTFTXEthereum27.0126.9145-0.35%30.75+13.85%0.0497✗0.9510.6M2022-08-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.7576.7358-0.31%8.18+21.06%0.0849✗1.248.6M2022-08-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.0590.058818-0.31%0.0602+2.03%0.1028✓1.43328k2022-08-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.2982.2913-0.29%2.7968+21.71%0.1112✗1.00863k2022-08-01
MOVRMoonriverBase12.677312.641-0.29%15.1343+19.38%0.0745✗1.2078k2022-08-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0204790.020422-0.28%0.023621+15.34%0.0579✗1.006,1832022-08-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.28363.2748-0.27%4.1461+26.27%0.1419✗1.0725k2022-08-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,619.2021,565.47-0.25%23,172.70+7.19%0.0140✓0.9820k2022-08-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.04760.047492-0.23%0.0648+36.13%0.1802✗1.48119k2022-08-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1059880.105754-0.22%0.118304+11.62%0.0236✗1.016.7M2022-08-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27480.274234-0.21%0.336+22.27%0.0974✗1.202.7M2022-08-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.05261.0505-0.20%1.246+18.37%0.0739✗1.1045k2022-08-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36240.361739-0.18%0.4239+16.97%0.0390✗1.3670k2022-08-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.13160.131397-0.15%0.1647+25.15%0.1149✗1.2681k2022-08-01
XECeCashnative0.000038290.000038231-0.15%0.00004514+17.89%0.0616✗1.191.9M2022-08-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6230.622077-0.15%0.772+23.92%0.1307✗0.97387k2022-08-01
XTZTezosTezos1.50841.5062-0.15%1.8199+20.65%0.0765✗1.28492k2022-08-01
KCSKuCoinnative9.469.4463-0.15%9.963+5.32%0.0446✓1.112.1M2022-08-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11940.11923-0.14%0.1438+20.44%0.0699✗1.3447k2022-08-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019370.019343-0.14%0.02156+11.31%0.0156✗1.06129k2022-08-01
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6810.680147-0.13%0.727+6.75%0.0400✓1.21758k2022-08-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.2385.2337-0.08%8.776+67.54%0.4192✗1.111.9M2022-08-01
FLOWFlownative1.6271.6258-0.07%2.025+24.46%0.1085✗1.26332k2022-08-01
NANOnanopayBase0.9137150.913154-0.06%1.0185+11.47%0.0230✗0.9851k2022-08-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.008450.008447-0.03%0.00842-0.36%0.0849✓0.931.3M2022-08-01
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.80e-7-0.02%9.70e-7+10.23%0.0239✗0.845.9M2022-08-01
XMRMoneroMonero144.12144.1894+0.05%160.69+11.50%0.0110✓1.111.1M2022-08-01
ZECZcashZcash54.254.2492+0.09%62.87+16.00%0.0345✓1.281.4M2022-08-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06420.064264+0.10%0.0705+9.81%0.0023✗1.08239k2022-08-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.27570.27605+0.13%0.3238+17.45%0.0590✓1.1465k2022-08-01
DASHDashDash44.8844.9495+0.15%49.75+10.85%0.0041✓1.11498k2022-08-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.061930.062028+0.16%0.068721+10.96%0.0008✓1.151.8M2022-08-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008430.008447+0.20%0.01021+21.12%0.1029✓0.994.5M2022-08-01
STEEMSteemnative0.23090.231484+0.25%0.2657+15.07%0.0311✓1.21701k2022-08-01
STXStacksnative0.40070.401835+0.28%0.4613+15.12%0.0255✓1.28606k2022-08-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.047940.048097+0.33%0.0805+67.92%0.3864✓1.46712k2022-08-01
GTGateEthereum3.96963.9838+0.36%4.4164+11.26%0.0401✓0.72919k2022-08-01
TRXTRONTron0.0636630.064013+0.55%0.069972+9.91%0.0190✓0.80373k2022-08-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,313.4121,432.89+0.56%23,273.86+9.20%0.0056✗1.00374.5M2022-08-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014790.001489+0.66%0.001697+14.74%0.0381✓1.0620k2022-08-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056290.005667+0.68%0.006321+12.30%0.0288✓0.912,9222022-08-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07850.079098+0.76%0.0951+21.15%0.0763✓1.236,7862022-08-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.48880.49448+1.16%0.5574+14.03%0.0190✓1.15350k2022-08-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.