8=======>

2022-07-17 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 183 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2388
182 of 183 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+4.50%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
69.8%
in alpha space · 24.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+8.62%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (183 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana0.87550.830708-5.12%0.9082+3.74%0.0439✓1.61209k2022-07-24
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010150.000098096-3.35%0.00009951-1.96%0.1429✓1.90692k2022-07-24
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.184760.178873-3.19%–pending––2.747222022-07-24
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.543.4322-3.04%3.51-0.85%0.0150✓0.4578k2022-07-24
OPTIMOptimism0.5820.564669-2.98%0.919+57.90%0.3473✗1.691.1M2022-07-24
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.640.620989-2.97%0.812+26.88%0.1437✗1.513,6872022-07-24
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5110.49699-2.74%0.519+1.57%0.0574✓1.2211k2022-07-24
FORTFortaEthereum0.28650.278769-2.70%0.2858-0.24%0.0914✓1.41435k2022-07-24
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.3916.9212-2.70%20.61+18.52%0.0606✗1.65421k2022-07-24
QNTQuantEthereum98.8696.2734-2.62%97.73-1.14%0.0698✓1.032.7M2022-07-24
GMTGMTEthereum0.8960.872691-2.60%0.97+8.26%0.0426✓1.79528k2022-07-24
STORJStorjEthereum0.663320.64709-2.45%0.65726-0.91%0.1200✓1.64104k2022-07-24
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16630.162249-2.44%0.1597-3.97%0.1258✓1.33349k2022-07-24
FISStafiEthereum0.40.390266-2.43%0.4415+10.37%0.0407✗1.003902022-07-24
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.5973.51-2.42%3.816+6.09%0.0378✗0.552.2M2022-07-24
DIADIAEthereum0.437090.426988-2.31%0.43017-1.58%0.0561✓0.7753k2022-07-24
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7760.758168-2.30%0.75-3.35%0.1632✓1.847.0M2022-07-24
AVTAventusEthereum1.641.6027-2.27%1.48-9.76%0.1020✓0.27485k2022-07-24
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.0873.017-2.27%3.162+2.43%0.0063✓0.641.9M2022-07-24
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.6532.5935-2.24%3.422+28.99%0.1321✗1.763.7M2022-07-24
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.2257.0746-2.08%6.605-8.58%0.1783✓1.335.5M2022-07-24
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.80240.786063-2.04%0.8733+8.84%0.0203✓1.033.5M2022-07-24
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.473.4036-1.91%3.98+14.70%0.0957✗0.74597k2022-07-24
ETCEthereum Classicnative19.2218.8645-1.85%25.57+33.04%0.2056✗1.191.2M2022-07-24
GITCOINGITCOIN2.54742.5006-1.84%2.4539-3.67%0.1531✓1.625,9882022-07-24
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03630.035634-1.83%0.0359-1.10%0.0968✓1.2695k2022-07-24
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1870.183588-1.82%0.1961+4.87%0.0543✓1.452,5392022-07-24
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2683.2127-1.69%3.57+9.24%0.0107✓1.15544k2022-07-24
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.090820.089298-1.68%0.09544+5.09%0.0161✓1.00432k2022-07-24
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.93770.922015-1.67%0.904-3.59%0.1223✓1.241.0M2022-07-24
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0179150.017619-1.65%0.01749-2.37%0.0511✓0.53176k2022-07-24
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.66252.7766-1.65%58.103+8.28%0.0265✗0.84387k2022-07-24
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.0181.9856-1.61%2.152+6.64%0.0438✓1.50116k2022-07-24
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.4814.2478-1.60%16.16+11.60%0.0440✗0.991.7M2022-07-24
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.07720.075965-1.60%0.07382-4.38%0.0959✓0.811,9712022-07-24
UNIUniswapEthereum6.9436.8321-1.60%7.25+4.42%0.0566✓1.405.7M2022-07-24
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26160.257471-1.58%0.2614-0.08%0.0675✓1.0045k2022-07-24
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.00e-78.86e-7-1.55%9.30e-7+3.33%0.0343✓1.0025k2022-07-24
API3Api3Ethereum1.7781.7518-1.48%1.762-0.90%0.1021✓1.31668k2022-07-24
WOOWOOEthereum0.17840.17582-1.45%0.1966+10.20%0.0034✓1.392,2022022-07-24
METISMetisEthereum23.7723.4345-1.41%30.54+28.48%0.1822✗1.00127k2022-07-24
COMPCompoundEthereum54.8654.0882-1.41%56.28+2.59%0.0762✓1.4032k2022-07-24
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444410.438163-1.41%0.44105-0.76%0.1186✓1.51862k2022-07-24
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.018570.018309-1.40%0.01899+2.26%0.0270✓0.77381k2022-07-24
C98Coin98Ethereum0.48170.47494-1.40%0.4828+0.23%0.0744✓1.1052k2022-07-24
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08570.084515-1.38%0.0864+0.82%0.0823✓1.26167k2022-07-24
SUSHISushiEthereum1.41.3809-1.36%1.35-3.57%0.1498✓1.54809k2022-07-24
LCXLCXEthereum0.0710.070036-1.36%0.0645-9.15%0.2020✓1.45312k2022-07-24
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5371.5162-1.35%1.614+5.01%0.0602✓1.48182k2022-07-24
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.913.8571-1.35%4.24+8.44%0.0421✗0.64694k2022-07-24
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02730.026934-1.34%0.02752+0.81%0.0987✓1.451,4722022-07-24
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.39460.389432-1.31%0.4229+7.17%0.0481✓1.58191k2022-07-24
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022990.022697-1.27%0.02626+14.22%0.0098✓1.6514.6M2022-07-24
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.38730.382478-1.25%0.4595+18.64%0.1008✗1.00241k2022-07-24
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.101441-1.23%0.1059+3.12%0.0695✓1.36526k2022-07-24
RADRadworksEthereum1.711.6893-1.21%1.88+9.94%0.0139✗1.13127k2022-07-24
DODODODOEthereum0.15320.151349-1.21%0.1558+1.70%0.0805✓1.322.8M2022-07-24
IMXImmutableEthereum0.91240.901451-1.20%0.9183+0.65%0.1019✓1.461.4M2022-07-24
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04960.049016-1.18%0.0503+1.41%0.0769✓1.24276k2022-07-24
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.826.7406-1.16%6.86+0.59%0.0239✓0.50670k2022-07-24
KSMKusamaHydration54.4353.8003-1.16%64.71+18.89%0.0861✗1.19235k2022-07-24
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.53e-7-1.15%3.80e-7+6.42%0.0115✓1.03344k2022-07-24
XVSVenusEthereum5.155.0912-1.14%5.34+3.69%0.0726✓1.461.2M2022-07-24
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6220.385-1.14%23.82+15.52%0.0271✗1.5625.2M2022-07-24
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.1821.1688-1.12%1.337+13.11%0.0369✗1.181.4M2022-07-24
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8723.8297-1.09%3.873+0.03%0.0422✓0.651.5M2022-07-24
CBKCobakEthereum0.98940.978621-1.09%1.0569+6.82%0.0176✓1.144,6812022-07-24
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.2233.1884-1.07%3.263+1.24%0.0415✓0.78488k2022-07-24
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5114.3548-1.07%17.2+18.54%0.0683✗1.361.3M2022-07-24
ELAElastosEthereum1.5291.5127-1.07%1.608+5.17%0.0216✓1.00180k2022-07-24
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.382620.378546-1.06%0.38976+1.87%0.0733✓1.24128k2022-07-24
XYMSymbolnative0.0514280.050883-1.06%0.054852+6.66%0.0232✗0.6314k2022-07-24
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.1487-1.03%2.362+8.80%0.0232✓1.4343k2022-07-24
XEMNEMnative0.0405550.040144-1.01%0.048682+20.04%0.0971✗1.1616k2022-07-24
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain2.0432.0229-0.98%2.2345+9.37%0.0243✗0.91857k2022-07-24
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07861.068-0.98%1.3757+27.54%0.1328✗1.464.2M2022-07-24
AAVEAaveEthereum88.2787.406-0.98%90.53+2.56%0.1048✓1.6910.8M2022-07-24
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.784.7337-0.97%4.85+1.46%0.0316✓0.68574k2022-07-24
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.9158.829-0.96%9.98+11.95%0.0107✗1.3512.5M2022-07-24
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.4459-0.96%1.46+0.00%0.1113✓1.46142k2022-07-24
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33650.333304-0.95%0.3406+1.22%0.0761✓1.188.2M2022-07-24
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.522.4962-0.95%2.45-2.78%0.1476✓1.56205k2022-07-24
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0068380.006774-0.94%0.006729-1.59%0.0546✓0.5869k2022-07-24
SOLSolanaSolana38.6338.2707-0.93%40.94+5.98%0.0430✓1.3481.1M2022-07-24
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.786310.779268-0.90%1.0106+28.52%0.1881✗0.874662022-07-24
BANDBandEthereum1.3821.3699-0.87%1.569+13.53%0.0156✗1.45380k2022-07-24
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.1642.1451-0.87%2.64+22.00%0.0674✗1.7084k2022-07-24
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11050.109539-0.87%0.1182+6.97%0.0149✓1.10380k2022-07-24
UOSUltraEthereum0.321850.319077-0.86%0.354+9.99%0.0011✓1.24411k2022-07-24
MANADecentralandEthereum0.837550.830361-0.86%0.9645+15.16%0.0387✗1.34399k2022-07-24
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07060.069996-0.85%0.0684-3.12%0.1058✓1.00253k2022-07-24
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09790.097077-0.84%0.1049+7.15%0.0340✓1.352.4M2022-07-24
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0212770.021103-0.82%0.021787+2.40%0.0511✓1.001,5692022-07-24
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.324.2852-0.81%4.33+0.23%0.0435✓0.65579k2022-07-24
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.955.9024-0.80%6.21+4.37%0.0624✓1.37263k2022-07-24
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2945960.29225-0.80%0.308601+4.75%0.0503✓1.271.4M2022-07-24
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05050.0501-0.79%0.053+4.95%0.0563✓1.36817k2022-07-24
ZENHorizenBase16.5516.4195-0.79%17.01+2.78%0.0821✓1.4289k2022-07-24
XVGVergenative0.003530.003502-0.79%0.00368+4.25%0.0637✓1.37635k2022-07-24
GLMGolemEthereum0.23710.235239-0.78%0.2536+6.96%0.0163✓1.1160k2022-07-24
HIVEHivenative0.44040.436995-0.77%0.4587+4.16%0.0567✓1.271.2M2022-07-24
BFCBifrostEthereum0.062690.062208-0.77%0.0691+10.22%0.0098✓1.3924k2022-07-24
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.058.9814-0.76%9.1+0.55%0.0845✓1.18272k2022-07-24
UMAUMAEthereum2.6242.6042-0.75%2.862+9.07%0.0013✓1.13729k2022-07-24
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6670.662179-0.72%0.747+11.99%0.0163✗1.26127k2022-07-24
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.3552.338-0.72%2.529+7.39%0.0024✓0.9288k2022-07-24
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.23752.2216-0.71%2.2717+1.53%0.0449✓0.81947k2022-07-24
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.3456.3007-0.70%7.093+11.79%0.0140✗1.2617.9M2022-07-24
YFIyearn.financeEthereum6,069.876,029.61-0.66%6,980.96+15.01%0.0354✗1.344.2M2022-07-24
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001070.000010629-0.66%0.00001161+8.50%0.0148✓1.251.1M2022-07-24
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.6895.6516-0.66%5.641-0.84%0.0953✓1.131.9M2022-07-24
DKAdKargoEthereum0.045020.044724-0.66%0.04716+4.75%0.0232✓0.926,5622022-07-24
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7770.771995-0.64%0.779+0.26%0.0554✓0.781.1M2022-07-24
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.7455.3855-0.64%58.37+4.72%0.0447✓1.1814.8M2022-07-24
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.379.3114-0.62%13.17+40.55%0.2259✗1.461.1M2022-07-24
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2441.2362-0.62%1.375+10.53%0.0034✓1.332.6M2022-07-24
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11680.116073-0.62%0.1302+11.47%0.0318✗1.013.3M2022-07-24
CHZChilizEthereum0.10550.104843-0.62%0.1085+2.84%0.0573✓1.11560k2022-07-24
FTTFTXEthereum27.6127.4384-0.62%29.12+5.47%0.0203✓0.9610.6M2022-07-24
SPELLSpellEthereum0.00099010.000983989-0.62%0.001062+7.29%0.0307✓1.301.8M2022-07-24
CVCCivicEthereum0.13860.137747-0.62%0.144+3.90%0.0592✓1.2587k2022-07-24
BORABORAKlay Token0.288740.286981-0.61%0.3104+7.50%0.0339✓1.363,2792022-07-24
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23160.230189-0.61%0.2403+3.76%0.0618✓1.27160k2022-07-24
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.23075.2002-0.58%5.2117-0.36%0.0133✓0.19358k2022-07-24
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2820.280374-0.58%0.286+1.42%0.0665✓1.04599k2022-07-24
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4970.494266-0.55%0.584+17.51%0.0514✗1.4084k2022-07-24
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50720.5045-0.53%0.5808+14.51%0.0399✗1.22456k2022-07-24
PROPropyEthereum0.810.805767-0.52%0.78-3.70%0.0945✓0.75111k2022-07-24
APEApeCoinEthereum4.9694.9436-0.51%6.443+29.66%0.1197✗1.7611.7M2022-07-24
ADACardanoCardano0.44770.445422-0.51%0.512+14.36%0.0341✗1.2743.9M2022-07-24
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0124040.012342-0.50%0.014221+14.65%0.0728✗0.831.2M2022-07-24
SCSiacoinnative0.003940.00392-0.50%0.00428+8.63%0.0239✓1.35127k2022-07-24
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2030.201993-0.50%0.21+3.45%0.0909✓1.57881k2022-07-24
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10960.109068-0.49%0.1227+11.95%0.0361✗0.996,1432022-07-24
XTZTezosTezos1.57311.5656-0.47%1.6816+6.90%0.0339✓1.27519k2022-07-24
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.50422.493-0.45%2.464-1.61%0.0953✓1.011.1M2022-07-24
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37740.37572-0.45%0.4035+6.92%0.0378✓1.3282k2022-07-24
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.35481.3488-0.44%1.4165+4.55%0.0692✓1.43684k2022-07-24
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1260.125469-0.42%0.131+3.97%0.0682✓1.3534k2022-07-24
XECeCashnative0.000040040.000039874-0.41%0.00004165+4.02%0.0566✓1.211.9M2022-07-24
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.80141.7942-0.40%2.0467+13.62%0.0293✗1.2427k2022-07-24
GALAGALAEthereum0.05070.050499-0.40%0.053+4.54%0.0740✓1.48106k2022-07-24
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.132790.132268-0.39%0.15871+19.52%0.0480✗1.62176k2022-07-24
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04160.041441-0.38%0.0439+5.53%0.0542✓1.357,2812022-07-24
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2730.27208-0.34%0.302+10.62%0.0057✗1.192.9M2022-07-24
LSKLiskEthereum1.05111.0476-0.33%1.1341+7.89%0.0111✓1.0948k2022-07-24
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09430.094001-0.32%0.0906-3.92%0.1051✓0.83144k2022-07-24
MOVRMoonriverBase13.242813.2009-0.32%13.6065+2.75%0.0699✓1.21242k2022-07-24
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006450.00643-0.31%0.00679+5.27%0.0287✓1.01390k2022-07-24
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.027360.027282-0.29%0.02897+5.88%0.0454✓1.2821k2022-07-24
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020090.020034-0.28%0.02021+0.60%0.0802✓1.08112k2022-07-24
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027910.002783-0.28%0.003115+11.61%0.0271✗1.031.2M2022-07-24
AMPAmpEthereum0.008920.008905-0.17%0.00896+0.45%0.0708✓0.931.2M2022-07-24
XLMStellarStellar0.1066250.106445-0.17%0.113207+6.17%0.0213✓1.007.2M2022-07-24
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.99e-7-0.16%9.40e-7+4.44%0.0253✓0.855.8M2022-07-24
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.9196.9087-0.15%7.399+6.94%0.0339✓1.249.0M2022-07-24
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6440.643183-0.13%0.675+4.81%0.0304✓0.95425k2022-07-24
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash109.99109.9017-0.08%131.93+19.95%0.0903✗1.124.0M2022-07-24
ETHEthereumEthereum1,338.201,337.14-0.08%1,597.72+19.39%0.0780✗1.21326.5M2022-07-24
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.051940.051909-0.06%0.05269+1.44%0.1066✓1.47773k2022-07-24
FLOWFlownative1.5641.5631-0.06%1.834+17.26%0.0593✗1.22287k2022-07-24
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0629840.062948-0.06%0.067748+7.56%0.0275✓1.222.0M2022-07-24
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20710.20701-0.04%0.2348+13.38%0.0010✗1.51117k2022-07-24
ZECZcashZcash59.4359.413-0.03%59-0.72%0.1156✓1.311.5M2022-07-24
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0540.053985-0.03%0.0722+33.70%0.2259✗0.78209k2022-07-24
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.00910.009098-0.02%0.00896-1.54%0.1002✓1.034.9M2022-07-24
QTUMQtumQtum2.95052.9502-0.01%3.4175+15.83%0.0565✗1.1026k2022-07-24
DASHDashDash45.9245.9233+0.01%48.91+6.51%0.0284✗1.11616k2022-07-24
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6210.621191+0.03%0.729+17.39%0.0355✓1.51108k2022-07-24
NANOnanopayBase0.903560.904228+0.07%0.946427+4.74%0.0388✗1.0263k2022-07-24
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,043.2021,067.64+0.12%22,846.40+8.57%0.0009✓0.9935k2022-07-24
STXStacksnative0.38590.386447+0.14%0.437+13.24%0.0190✓1.26381k2022-07-24
XMRMoneroMonero135.99136.2513+0.19%151.27+11.24%0.0120✓1.121.3M2022-07-24
KCSKuCoinnative9.079.0887+0.21%9.873+8.85%0.0094✗1.112.2M2022-07-24
CELLCellframeEthereum0.25370.254277+0.23%0.2999+18.21%0.0706✓1.1440k2022-07-24
GTGateEthereum4.09154.103+0.28%4.1627+1.74%0.0448✗0.72930k2022-07-24
TRXTRONTron0.0674370.067703+0.39%0.066846-0.88%0.0804✗0.82405k2022-07-24
SUNSun TokenTron0.0056480.005679+0.54%0.005864+3.84%0.0437✗0.922,9622022-07-24
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07960.08004+0.55%0.0845+6.16%0.0487✗1.246,7832022-07-24
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,791.7420,924.31+0.64%22,583.43+8.62%0.0064✓1.00398.7M2022-07-24
STEEMSteemnative0.21230.2138+0.71%0.2409+13.47%0.0192✓1.21705k2022-07-24
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6020.606416+0.73%0.693+15.12%0.0340✓1.20858k2022-07-24
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47870.484873+1.29%0.529+10.51%0.0065✓1.13311k2022-07-24
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.