8=======>

2022-07-11 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 182 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1579
182 of 182 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+3.94%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
48.9%
in alpha space · 33.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+12.46%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (182 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ORCAOrcaSolana0.7660.728371-4.91%0.9376+22.40%0.0605✗1.63173k2022-07-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.7143.5767-3.70%3.852+3.72%0.0104✓0.542.2M2022-07-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.00010490.00010158-3.17%0.00010626+1.30%0.1792✓1.91744k2022-07-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana2.9412.858-2.82%3.189+8.43%0.0357✗0.632.3M2022-07-18
FORTFortaEthereum0.27790.270175-2.78%0.2907+4.61%0.0442✓1.00440k2022-07-18
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.165620.161129-2.71%0.18888+14.04%0.1866✓2.948572022-07-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.8480.827159-2.46%0.8258-2.62%0.1184✓0.994.0M2022-07-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.6330.618075-2.36%0.691+9.16%0.0656✓1.513,0312022-07-18
FISStafiEthereum0.3550.347396-2.14%0.4483+26.28%0.1376✗1.004912022-07-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.8310.813628-2.09%1.129+35.86%0.1132✗1.83620k2022-07-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.7790.762751-2.09%0.817+4.88%0.1541✓1.908.7M2022-07-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum14.4614.1697-2.01%17.85+23.44%0.0364✗1.66446k2022-07-18
RADRadworksEthereum1.71.6671-1.94%1.81+6.47%0.0499✓1.13114k2022-07-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.017960.017628-1.85%0.017412-3.05%0.0760✓0.54241k2022-07-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.521.4921-1.83%1.6+5.26%0.0426✗0.23614k2022-07-18
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.263.2008-1.82%3.85+18.10%0.1377✗0.4082k2022-07-18
QNTQuantEthereum79.0177.5897-1.80%103.99+31.62%0.1764✗0.992.5M2022-07-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.63.5394-1.68%4.13+14.72%0.0816✗0.62726k2022-07-18
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.096810.095199-1.66%0.08878-8.29%0.1873✓1.00357k2022-07-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.07240.071231-1.61%0.0756+4.42%0.0620✓1.03114k2022-07-18
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.2610.256881-1.58%0.2617+0.27%0.0989✓1.0045k2022-07-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.3072.2709-1.56%2.949+27.83%0.0564✗1.743.4M2022-07-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.073.0229-1.53%3.88+26.38%0.1666✗0.71693k2022-07-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.761.7331-1.53%1.949+10.74%0.0391✓1.33915k2022-07-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03570.035181-1.45%0.0392+9.80%0.0416✓1.28105k2022-07-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.444980.438547-1.45%0.47782+7.38%0.0974✓1.561.3M2022-07-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.5673.5159-1.43%3.951+10.77%0.0424✗0.631.8M2022-07-18
DIADIAEthereum0.374050.368849-1.39%0.44826+19.84%0.1071✗0.7554k2022-07-18
CHRChromiaEthereum0.16710.16482-1.36%0.2055+22.98%0.0374✗1.562,7942022-07-18
OPTIMOptimism0.4820.47555-1.34%0.817+69.50%0.3399✗1.711.4M2022-07-18
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.37520.370529-1.25%0.4506+20.10%0.0782✗1.00180k2022-07-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum14.7414.5574-1.24%14.75+0.07%0.1080✓1.03527k2022-07-18
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025940.025619-1.24%0.02896+11.64%0.0678✓1.622,0152022-07-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.644730.636929-1.21%0.6986+8.36%0.1013✓1.65120k2022-07-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.022690.022417-1.20%0.02637+16.22%0.0338✓1.6721.5M2022-07-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017960.017756-1.14%0.01948+8.46%0.0001✓0.79414k2022-07-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08520.084231-1.14%0.0882+3.52%0.1046✓1.28179k2022-07-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2776.2062-1.13%7.533+20.01%0.0364✗1.345.5M2022-07-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.38560.381309-1.11%0.427+10.74%0.0744✓1.60215k2022-07-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067030.066335-1.04%0.07699+14.86%0.0542✗0.812,1062022-07-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45390.449202-1.03%0.5225+15.11%0.0193✗1.1260k2022-07-18
METISMetisEthereum20.2220.0116-1.03%29.68+46.79%0.2767✗1.00110k2022-07-18
CBKCobakEthereum0.966920.957081-1.02%1.0463+8.21%0.0456✓1.152,3312022-07-18
XYMSymbolnative0.0510020.050484-1.02%0.053178+4.27%0.0230✓0.6415k2022-07-18
ELAElastosEthereum1.4821.4675-0.98%1.594+7.56%0.0348✓1.00180k2022-07-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.68e-73.64e-7-0.96%3.64e-7-1.05%0.1307✓1.11513k2022-07-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV50.20649.7341-0.94%57.553+14.63%0.0467✗0.85456k2022-07-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.85920.851344-0.91%0.9815+14.23%0.0051✓1.25325k2022-07-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.7081.6926-0.90%2.094+22.60%0.0366✗1.50109k2022-07-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.85690.849203-0.90%1.0287+20.05%0.0218✗1.451.8M2022-07-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04530.044895-0.89%0.0507+11.92%0.0232✓1.23264k2022-07-18
XVSVenusEthereum4.814.7685-0.86%5.47+13.72%0.0351✓1.471.3M2022-07-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.374050.370937-0.83%0.41424+10.74%0.0370✓1.26155k2022-07-18
COMPCompoundEthereum48.5648.1592-0.83%57.66+18.74%0.0153✗1.4027k2022-07-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.10630.105466-0.78%0.1146+7.81%0.0459✓1.10551k2022-07-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.0610.060542-0.75%0.0733+20.16%0.0218✗1.44316k2022-07-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.0941.0861-0.72%1.389+26.97%0.1081✗1.171.7M2022-07-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3830.380335-0.70%0.53+38.38%0.2000✗1.1210k2022-07-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2280.226425-0.69%0.22-3.51%0.2109✓1.551.0M2022-07-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana5.945.8998-0.68%7+17.85%0.1133✗0.49750k2022-07-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4042.388-0.67%2.536+5.49%0.0466✓0.91127k2022-07-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.431.4205-0.67%1.62+13.29%0.0401✓1.46214k2022-07-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.374.3413-0.66%4.97+13.73%0.0589✗0.65758k2022-07-18
CTKShentuOsmosis0.7710.765994-0.65%0.83+7.65%0.0139✓0.801.6M2022-07-18
UNIUniswapEthereum5.5615.5259-0.63%7.327+31.76%0.1219✗1.365.4M2022-07-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.2062.1922-0.63%2.6883+21.86%0.0105✗1.654,8022022-07-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0242.0117-0.61%2.661+31.47%0.0796✗1.7090k2022-07-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13960.138762-0.60%0.1709+22.42%0.0516✗1.33349k2022-07-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.08222.0697-0.60%2.3115+11.01%0.0172✗0.791.0M2022-07-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana3.873.847-0.59%4.43+14.47%0.0658✗0.64629k2022-07-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.23540.23402-0.59%0.2526+7.31%0.0554✓1.1262k2022-07-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23570.234333-0.58%0.2476+5.05%0.0948✓1.28220k2022-07-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.75641.7463-0.57%2.1493+22.37%0.1064✗0.86937k2022-07-18
PROPropyEthereum0.830.825356-0.56%0.8-3.61%0.1159✓0.72129k2022-07-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0065280.006492-0.55%0.00707+8.30%0.0173✗0.5897k2022-07-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.39460.392435-0.55%0.4332+9.78%0.0577✓1.3394k2022-07-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.1638.1232-0.49%9.579+17.35%0.0081✗1.3412.9M2022-07-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.804610.800711-0.48%0.92106+14.47%0.0182✓1.35493k2022-07-18
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13360.132974-0.47%0.1331-0.37%0.1573✓1.3534k2022-07-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.13570.135078-0.46%0.1512+11.42%0.0372✓1.2898k2022-07-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6450.642049-0.46%0.72+11.63%0.0375✓1.29157k2022-07-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0682.0592-0.43%2.375+14.85%0.0240✓1.4265k2022-07-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.283380.282204-0.41%0.30487+7.58%0.0843✓1.383,1392022-07-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana2.7952.7836-0.41%3.316+18.64%0.0860✗0.76530k2022-07-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1911.1862-0.40%1.335+12.09%0.0352✓1.312.8M2022-07-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.40115.3799-0.39%5.4359+0.64%0.0123✓0.19335k2022-07-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.043190.043024-0.38%0.04751+10.00%0.0097✓0.935,7282022-07-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0202430.020166-0.38%0.022154+9.44%0.0250✓1.018952022-07-18
BANDBandEthereum1.3221.3173-0.36%1.512+14.37%0.0324✓1.45400k2022-07-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.151.146-0.35%1.5+30.43%0.0917✗1.51784k2022-07-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.62.5913-0.33%3.27+25.77%0.1026✗1.11544k2022-07-18
XTZTezosTezos1.57161.5664-0.33%1.7336+10.31%0.0476✓1.27582k2022-07-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4780.476469-0.32%0.572+19.67%0.0190✗1.3999k2022-07-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2650.264157-0.32%0.313+18.11%0.0503✗1.02575k2022-07-18
UMAUMAEthereum2.4722.4646-0.30%2.737+10.72%0.0307✓1.15969k2022-07-18
DODODODOEthereum0.12410.123733-0.30%0.1628+31.18%0.1237✗1.282.8M2022-07-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.2941.2902-0.30%1.657+28.05%0.0777✗1.47170k2022-07-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.88690.884391-0.28%1.3413+51.23%0.2536✗1.394.3M2022-07-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0009430.000940512-0.26%0.001042+10.52%0.0487✓1.292.4M2022-07-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09150.091259-0.26%0.1101+20.33%0.0300✗1.342.7M2022-07-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.281580.280863-0.25%0.36013+27.90%0.1016✗1.25464k2022-07-18
XEMNEMnative0.0378760.037783-0.25%0.044928+18.62%0.0361✗1.1714k2022-07-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.355.3374-0.24%6.23+16.45%0.0016✓1.33264k2022-07-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010310.000010287-0.23%0.00001196+16.00%0.0055✗1.241.3M2022-07-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.11110.110869-0.21%0.1322+18.99%0.0593✗0.994.0M2022-07-18
XVGVergenative0.003220.003213-0.21%0.00383+18.94%0.0176✗1.35664k2022-07-18
HIVEHivenative0.43510.434209-0.20%0.4706+8.16%0.0692✓1.271.3M2022-07-18
ZENHorizenBase15.0415.0095-0.20%17.74+17.95%0.0001✓1.4281k2022-07-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.4713.4457-0.18%16.35+21.38%0.0357✗1.361.5M2022-07-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.006490.006478-0.18%0.00698+7.55%0.0433✓1.00403k2022-07-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.16040.160141-0.16%0.2011+25.37%0.0620✗1.413,0332022-07-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10140.101236-0.16%0.1174+15.78%0.0184✗1.10388k2022-07-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum8.548.5274-0.15%11.39+33.37%0.1182✗1.461.1M2022-07-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29670.296276-0.14%0.3598+21.27%0.0558✗1.189.2M2022-07-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.08730.087185-0.13%0.1074+23.02%0.0503✗1.35644k2022-07-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.0366.0283-0.13%7.038+16.60%0.0057✗1.2720.3M2022-07-18
XECeCashnative0.000037970.000037924-0.12%0.00004216+11.04%0.0380✓1.232.2M2022-07-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2832240.282913-0.11%0.320943+13.32%0.0233✓1.272.2M2022-07-18
FTTFTXEthereum24.9824.9601-0.08%29.86+19.54%0.0699✗0.9311.6M2022-07-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009740.009733-0.08%0.00954-2.05%0.1435✓1.055.3M2022-07-18
SOLSolanaSolana33.4133.3853-0.07%43.55+30.35%0.1113✗1.3290.8M2022-07-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche17.3117.298-0.07%23.97+38.47%0.1469✗1.5326.1M2022-07-18
ADACardanoCardano0.43440.434134-0.06%0.49+12.80%0.0287✓1.2846.5M2022-07-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09950.099441-0.06%0.1131+13.67%0.0128✗0.997,0862022-07-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum8.258.2452-0.06%9.61+16.48%0.0153✗1.17299k2022-07-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0117530.011747-0.05%0.012981+10.45%0.0011✗0.841.4M2022-07-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.46710.466905-0.04%0.553+18.39%0.0273✗1.21611k2022-07-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.054810.054805-0.01%0.06313+15.18%0.0224✓1.3927k2022-07-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.70521.7053+0.00%1.9281+13.07%0.0234✗1.2434k2022-07-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.00461.0049+0.02%1.1185+11.34%0.0220✗1.1065k2022-07-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.23511.2354+0.03%1.4467+17.13%0.0039✗1.38684k2022-07-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.026350.026359+0.04%0.02926+11.04%0.0468✗1.2924k2022-07-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.29022.2917+0.06%2.5947+13.30%0.0063✓1.001.3M2022-07-18
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.71e-7+0.07%9.30e-7+6.90%0.0318✗0.835.7M2022-07-18
KSMKusamaHydration46.6646.6999+0.09%63.82+36.78%0.1737✓1.18270k2022-07-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.019410.019431+0.11%0.02116+9.02%0.0392✗1.06100k2022-07-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26640.266705+0.11%0.2963+11.22%0.0352✗1.203.1M2022-07-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.008820.00883+0.12%0.00926+4.99%0.0621✗0.931.2M2022-07-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.222.2229+0.13%2.7+21.62%0.0095✓1.57236k2022-07-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum5,496.415,504.35+0.14%6,611.88+20.29%0.0265✓1.344.5M2022-07-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03980.03987+0.18%0.0441+10.80%0.0594✗1.369,6482022-07-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin48.6748.7607+0.19%58.58+20.36%0.0447✓1.1818.4M2022-07-18
SCSiacoinnative0.003770.003777+0.19%0.00428+13.53%0.0346✗1.36165k2022-07-18
FLOWFlownative1.5081.511+0.20%1.688+11.94%0.0309✗1.21297k2022-07-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.1935.2034+0.20%5.939+14.37%0.0015✓1.142.1M2022-07-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.119020.119291+0.23%0.14623+22.86%0.0147✓1.61186k2022-07-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0026670.002674+0.25%0.003004+12.64%0.0044✗1.031.3M2022-07-18
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.690.692225+0.32%0.96529+39.90%0.2314✓0.862702022-07-18
AAVEAaveEthereum69.8270.0493+0.33%96.23+37.83%0.1236✓1.659.9M2022-07-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative14.214.2469+0.33%25.3+78.17%0.4359✓1.181.5M2022-07-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05010.050272+0.34%0.0993+98.20%0.5897✓0.78209k2022-07-18
ZECZcashZcash55.6555.8567+0.37%65.57+17.83%0.0052✓1.321.7M2022-07-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04280.042969+0.39%0.0547+27.80%0.0818✓1.36879k2022-07-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0617270.061987+0.42%0.06754+9.42%0.0567✗1.212.3M2022-07-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1013910.10182+0.42%0.114184+12.62%0.0045✗1.018.8M2022-07-18
XMRMoneroMonero126.93127.4764+0.43%147.68+16.35%0.0130✓1.141.3M2022-07-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.09340.093803+0.43%0.092-1.50%0.1156✗0.82157k2022-07-18
APEApeCoinEthereum4.344.3592+0.44%5.992+38.06%0.1085✓1.7816.0M2022-07-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.0480.048239+0.50%0.0561+16.88%0.0245✗1.49111k2022-07-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.5216.5542+0.51%7.654+17.37%0.0101✓1.2310.8M2022-07-18
KCSKuCoinnative8.8678.9125+0.51%9.854+11.13%0.0312✗1.123.0M2022-07-18
NANOnanopayBase0.8431570.847662+0.53%0.979062+16.12%0.0239✓1.0290k2022-07-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.19180.192835+0.54%0.2255+17.57%0.0150✗1.46145k2022-07-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.24360.244988+0.57%0.2632+8.05%0.0622✗1.1433k2022-07-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.60.603494+0.58%0.69+15.00%0.0490✗1.56186k2022-07-18
QTUMQtumQtum2.70052.7179+0.64%3.2012+18.54%0.0339✓1.1130k2022-07-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash99.0499.6875+0.65%121.21+22.38%0.0618✓1.145.3M2022-07-18
MOVRMoonriverBase11.595511.6732+0.67%14.3354+23.63%0.0667✓1.18316k2022-07-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.046640.046966+0.70%0.05685+21.89%0.0160✓1.49821k2022-07-18
GTGateEthereum3.89333.9207+0.70%4.2854+10.07%0.0059✓0.711.2M2022-07-18
STXStacksnative0.37480.377474+0.71%0.4256+13.55%0.0294✗1.27364k2022-07-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5910.595229+0.72%0.72+21.83%0.0816✓0.93419k2022-07-18
DASHDashDash41.4941.8044+0.76%48.86+17.76%0.0268✓1.10693k2022-07-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,940.9020,112.18+0.86%21,641.50+8.53%0.0426✗0.9948k2022-07-18
TRXTRONTron0.0645810.065143+0.87%0.069093+6.99%0.0390✗0.83611k2022-07-18
STEEMSteemnative0.21280.214701+0.89%0.22+3.38%0.1181✗1.21695k2022-07-18
ETHEthereumEthereum1,095.561,105.66+0.92%1,581.34+44.34%0.2201✓1.17326.5M2022-07-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6040.609632+0.93%0.657+8.77%0.0676✗1.21936k2022-07-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,942.4320,130.51+0.94%22,427.56+12.46%0.0094✓1.00472.7M2022-07-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0055430.0056+1.03%0.005922+6.84%0.0558✗0.953,1492022-07-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.0750.075793+1.06%0.0841+12.13%0.0431✗1.256,9982022-07-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45290.461091+1.81%0.5296+16.94%0.0070✓1.12289k2022-07-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.