8=======>

2022-06-24 · +7d

gru_s2 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 178 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1761
178 of 178 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.82%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
58.4%
in alpha space · 39.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.29%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (178 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000058990.000060757+2.99%0.00013124+122.48%0.9695✓2.051.2M2022-07-01
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.540.552502+2.32%0.4743-12.17%0.0403✗1.1592k2022-07-01
NEXONEXOEthereum0.6860.69952+1.97%0.562-18.08%0.1031✗1.191.0M2022-07-01
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.6860.698625+1.84%0.644-6.12%0.0844✓1.70305k2022-07-01
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,181.8021,546.92+1.72%19,383.00-8.49%0.0101✓0.9843k2022-07-01
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.05480.055739+1.71%0.0494-9.85%0.0432✗0.80267k2022-07-01
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,223.7221,578.66+1.67%19,252.76-9.29%0.0166✓1.00546.7M2022-07-01
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.002790.002834+1.58%0.002578-7.60%0.0100✓1.072.1M2022-07-01
ETHEthereumEthereum1,224.471,243.70+1.57%1,057.57-13.63%0.0477✗1.17370.0M2022-07-01
MOVRMoonriverBase12.821613.0117+1.48%11.9157-7.07%0.0402✓1.32222k2022-07-01
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11490.116561+1.45%0.105-8.62%0.0173✗0.89228k2022-07-01
AAVEAaveEthereum71.0272.0143+1.40%56.18-20.90%0.0834✗1.698.7M2022-07-01
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08980.091038+1.38%0.0761-15.26%0.0535✗1.296,7422022-07-01
XMRMoneroMonero126.48128.1525+1.32%115.07-9.02%0.0069✓1.181.7M2022-07-01
NANOnanopayBase0.8709630.882351+1.31%0.812926-6.66%0.0229✓1.08115k2022-07-01
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash114.43115.9173+1.30%101.28-11.49%0.0238✗1.145.7M2022-07-01
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.57e-73.61e-7+1.30%3.27e-7-8.34%0.0030✓0.99756k2022-07-01
TRXTRONTron0.0657760.066622+1.29%0.064879-1.36%0.0600✓0.89990k2022-07-01
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.002910.002947+1.28%0.001956-32.78%0.3044✗1.085,8812022-07-01
SUNSun TokenTron0.0064580.006537+1.21%0.00559-13.45%0.0562✗1.033,8152022-07-01
KCSKuCoinnative10.92811.0585+1.19%8.797-19.50%0.1192✗1.123.9M2022-07-01
METRONOMEMETRONOME0.85990.870104+1.19%0.76202-11.38%0.0518✗0.839712022-07-01
GTGateEthereum4.28424.3335+1.15%4.0293-5.95%0.0008✓0.751.4M2022-07-01
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121190.01225+1.08%0.012076-0.35%0.0693✓0.861.8M2022-07-01
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020050.020267+1.08%0.01951-2.69%0.0609✓1.02123k2022-07-01
APEApeCoinEthereum4.4834.5309+1.07%4.521+0.85%0.1730✓1.8015.8M2022-07-01
STXStacksnative0.41190.416106+1.02%0.3884-5.71%0.0606✓1.33238k2022-07-01
QTUMQtumQtum3.10493.1362+1.01%2.7326-11.99%0.0253✗1.1542k2022-07-01
CRVCurve DAOEthereum0.8410.849462+1.01%0.7454-11.37%0.0098✓1.443.8M2022-07-01
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06030.060906+1.01%0.0491-18.57%0.0988✗1.20130k2022-07-01
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.05520.055749+0.99%0.04899-11.25%0.0196✓1.531.4M2022-07-01
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3521.3653+0.98%1.241-8.21%0.0531✓1.52170k2022-07-01
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21360.215558+0.92%0.1856-13.11%0.0075✓1.46184k2022-07-01
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0070330.007097+0.91%0.00653-7.15%0.0129✗0.72134k2022-07-01
XTZTezosTezos1.53271.5466+0.91%1.3775-10.13%0.0114✓1.30702k2022-07-01
STEEMSteemnative0.23080.232881+0.90%0.2149-6.89%0.0392✓1.23701k2022-07-01
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.88e-7+0.89%8.10e-7-7.95%0.0062✓0.885.5M2022-07-01
NMRNumeraireEthereum9.149.2151+0.82%20.56+124.95%0.9006✓1.01238k2022-07-01
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0668620.067399+0.80%0.066339-0.78%0.1081✓1.271.8M2022-07-01
ZECZcashZcash69.1469.6958+0.80%53.47-22.66%0.1349✗1.342.6M2022-07-01
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0008410.000847712+0.80%0.000932+10.82%0.2294✓1.382.3M2022-07-01
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.07910.079726+0.79%0.0887+12.14%0.2474✓1.44179k2022-07-01
CELLCellframeEthereum0.26320.26528+0.79%0.2384-9.42%0.0155✓1.2531k2022-07-01
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12220.123162+0.79%0.1119-8.43%0.0387✓1.3846k2022-07-01
ETCEthereum Classicnative16.4216.5477+0.78%14.61-11.02%0.0051✓1.232.1M2022-07-01
BFCBifrostEthereum0.05660.057033+0.77%0.05579-1.43%0.1125✓1.3870k2022-07-01
SCSiacoinnative0.004230.004262+0.76%0.00367-13.24%0.0059✓1.47248k2022-07-01
AMPAmpEthereum0.009410.009481+0.75%0.00943+0.21%0.0902✓0.981.4M2022-07-01
XVGVergenative0.003320.003345+0.75%0.00278-16.27%0.0483✗1.40705k2022-07-01
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1030.10372+0.70%0.1011-1.84%0.0888✓1.17575k2022-07-01
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.674512+0.67%0.607-9.40%0.0244✓1.33352k2022-07-01
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7550.760071+0.67%0.649-14.04%0.0596✗1.01398k2022-07-01
DASHDashDash51.6151.9499+0.66%41.74-19.12%0.1089✗1.13767k2022-07-01
FLOWFlownative1.7011.7122+0.66%1.453-14.58%0.0468✗1.20388k2022-07-01
HIVEHivenative0.41570.418311+0.63%0.4754+14.36%0.2603✓1.361.1M2022-07-01
UOSUltraEthereum0.29660.298418+0.61%0.25771-13.11%0.0199✗1.30478k2022-07-01
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.010270.010331+0.60%0.00916-10.81%0.0275✗0.958.0M2022-07-01
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.1828.23+0.59%6.743-17.59%0.0746✗1.2814.3M2022-07-01
KSMKusamaHydration57.3657.6953+0.58%48.36-15.69%0.0605✗1.19898k2022-07-01
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3017560.303519+0.58%0.305237+1.15%0.1399✓1.382.4M2022-07-01
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007010.00705+0.57%0.00657-6.28%0.0274✓1.00430k2022-07-01
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos8.258.2963+0.56%8.074-2.13%0.1046✓1.3515.3M2022-07-01
DODODODOEthereum0.1310.131735+0.56%0.1191-9.08%0.0344✓1.394.1M2022-07-01
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05730.057619+0.56%0.0457-20.24%0.0948✗1.411.4M2022-07-01
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3590.360973+0.55%0.389+8.36%0.1913✓1.2014k2022-07-01
FTTFTXEthereum26.7226.8645+0.54%24.59-7.97%0.0033✓0.9410.5M2022-07-01
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.4621.4699+0.54%1.2358-15.47%0.0498✗1.271.1M2022-07-01
LSKLiskEthereum1.10371.109+0.48%1.0163-7.92%0.0252✓1.1551k2022-07-01
LTCLitecoinLitecoin55.7956.0548+0.47%51.13-8.35%0.0241✓1.1918.4M2022-07-01
CHZChilizEthereum0.10120.101666+0.46%0.0949-6.23%0.0487✓1.21608k2022-07-01
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.4620.5518+0.45%16.09-21.36%0.0998✗1.4940.5M2022-07-01
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2870.288232+0.43%0.271-5.57%0.0373✓1.02792k2022-07-01
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10870.109166+0.43%0.1051-3.31%0.0631✓1.046,3732022-07-01
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.146330.146935+0.41%0.12129-17.11%0.0315✗1.64226k2022-07-01
ORCAOrcaSolana0.560.562288+0.41%0.714+27.50%0.3401✓1.0462k2022-07-01
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.0172.0252+0.40%1.8073-10.40%0.0132✓1.3069k2022-07-01
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.016970.017037+0.39%0.01895+11.67%0.1851✓0.81369k2022-07-01
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.2567.2839+0.38%6.069-16.36%0.0550✗1.3141.5M2022-07-01
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.1166.1387+0.37%5.224-14.58%0.0282✗1.3711.0M2022-07-01
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.1096.1314+0.37%5.342-12.56%0.0118✗1.292.6M2022-07-01
ZENHorizenBase15.6515.7069+0.36%13.27-15.21%0.0306✗1.4265k2022-07-01
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0490.049167+0.34%0.0421-14.08%0.0156✗1.4312k2022-07-01
LRCLoopringEthereum0.42510.426543+0.34%0.3786-10.94%0.0212✓1.44117k2022-07-01
COTICOTIEthereum0.10010.100436+0.34%0.0926-7.49%0.0610✓1.46953k2022-07-01
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.30520.306169+0.32%0.2636-13.63%0.0286✗1.244.5M2022-07-01
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000010820.000010854+0.32%0.00001-7.58%0.0403✓1.25928k2022-07-01
GALAGALAEthereum0.06250.06269+0.30%0.0516-17.44%0.0472✗1.51139k2022-07-01
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16710.167585+0.29%0.1481-11.37%0.0132✓1.40818k2022-07-01
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22950.230155+0.29%0.2312+0.74%0.1363✓1.35289k2022-07-01
AUCTIONBounceEthereum5.325.3351+0.28%5.15-3.20%0.0926✓1.31400k2022-07-01
PROPropyEthereum0.870.872384+0.27%0.83-4.60%0.0234✓0.75165k2022-07-01
XEMNEMnative0.04310.043218+0.27%0.038066-11.68%0.0042✗1.2626k2022-07-01
CVCCivicEthereum0.14630.146679+0.26%0.1357-7.25%0.0534✓1.35151k2022-07-01
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.942.9473+0.25%2.54-13.61%0.0400✗1.12600k2022-07-01
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11570.115982+0.24%0.0921-20.40%0.0959✗1.383.9M2022-07-01
ADACardanoCardano0.49790.499039+0.23%0.4479-10.04%0.0215✓1.3376.9M2022-07-01
XLMStellarStellar0.1277320.128015+0.22%0.109884-13.97%0.0495✗1.0611.7M2022-07-01
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.642.6454+0.21%2.3996-9.11%0.0063✓1.072.4M2022-07-01
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.1743.1801+0.19%2.806-11.59%0.0481✗0.791.2M2022-07-01
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.561.563+0.19%1.344-13.85%0.0070✗1.4888k2022-07-01
SUSHISushiEthereum1.281.2824+0.19%0.97-24.22%0.1266✗1.57936k2022-07-01
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.04370.043782+0.19%0.0395-9.61%0.0002✓1.063,4202022-07-01
XECeCashnative0.000042990.00004307+0.19%0.0000375-12.77%0.0129✗1.292.6M2022-07-01
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0222910.02233+0.18%0.020523-7.93%0.0225✓1.105,4422022-07-01
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04230.042365+0.15%0.0454+7.33%0.2065✓1.41274k2022-07-01
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana4.144.1462+0.15%3.79-8.45%0.0264✗0.651.2M2022-07-01
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5430.543742+0.14%0.478-11.97%0.0080✓1.40117k2022-07-01
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain1.88581.8881+0.12%1.6935-10.20%0.0246✗0.862.2M2022-07-01
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.5580.558673+0.12%0.4913-11.95%0.0035✗1.28662k2022-07-01
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.34990.350297+0.11%0.3061-12.52%0.0176✗1.2012.5M2022-07-01
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.561.5617+0.11%1.68+7.69%0.2219✓1.53499k2022-07-01
RADRadworksEthereum1.651.6512+0.07%1.61-2.42%0.0880✓1.16242k2022-07-01
FORTFortaEthereum0.3060.306169+0.06%0.2701-11.73%0.0279✗1.001.2M2022-07-01
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana4.754.7505+0.01%4.37-8.00%0.0166✗0.691.4M2022-07-01
UNIUniswapEthereum5.4675.4671+0.00%4.855-11.19%0.0144✓1.374.7M2022-07-01
BANDBandEthereum1.5051.5045-0.03%1.272-15.48%0.0221✓1.50503k2022-07-01
SOLSolanaSolana41.8841.8484-0.08%32.82-21.63%0.1130✓1.33104.7M2022-07-01
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.2912.2882-0.12%1.802-21.34%0.0773✓1.6697k2022-07-01
BORABORAKlay Token0.317560.317155-0.13%0.30204-4.89%0.0880✗1.407,9102022-07-01
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.23522.2321-0.14%2.0691-7.43%0.0069✗0.852.2M2022-07-01
LCXLCXEthereum0.06520.065107-0.14%0.0578-11.35%0.0229✗1.46409k2022-07-01
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.6352.6311-0.15%2.29-13.09%0.0459✓0.95128k2022-07-01
QNTQuantEthereum58.5158.4199-0.15%52.59-10.12%0.0117✓0.962.1M2022-07-01
COMPCompoundEthereum46.8946.8143-0.16%47.39+1.07%0.1567✗1.4828k2022-07-01
RLCiExec RLCEthereum0.790.788669-0.17%1.327+67.97%0.6620✗1.45207k2022-07-01
DIADIAEthereum0.406220.405369-0.21%0.36885-9.20%0.0252✓0.71165k2022-07-01
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum9.919.889-0.21%8.4-15.24%0.0166✓1.501.6M2022-07-01
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0160050.015963-0.26%0.014373-10.20%0.0510✓0.55501k2022-07-01
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.82.7915-0.30%2.61-6.79%0.0915✗1.63301k2022-07-01
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.11.0966-0.31%1.068-2.91%0.0710✗1.001.5M2022-07-01
MANADecentralandEthereum0.937210.934193-0.32%0.83384-11.03%0.0172✗1.34713k2022-07-01
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8750.87192-0.35%0.8969+2.50%0.1805✗1.562.9M2022-07-01
CBKCobakEthereum1.00631.0025-0.38%0.90067-10.50%0.0100✗1.205,8422022-07-01
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.83615.8137-0.38%5.7902-0.79%0.0193✗0.24233k2022-07-01
GLMGolemEthereum0.25370.252717-0.39%0.2313-8.83%0.0269✗1.1895k2022-07-01
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana6.856.8207-0.43%5.97-12.85%0.0842✓0.501.4M2022-07-01
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.031560.031408-0.48%0.02703-14.35%0.0206✓1.3323k2022-07-01
DKAdKargoEthereum0.048890.048638-0.52%0.04378-10.45%0.0098✓0.9811k2022-07-01
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.062390.062067-0.52%0.06323+1.35%0.1160✗1.001,5062022-07-01
UMAUMAEthereum2.8332.8182-0.52%2.506-11.54%0.0036✓1.24969k2022-07-01
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.1217.0258-0.55%14.02-18.11%0.0608✓1.371.7M2022-07-01
XVSVenusEthereum5.175.1412-0.56%4.68-9.48%0.0576✗1.561.5M2022-07-01
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana3.343.3203-0.59%3.02-9.58%0.0237✓0.731.4M2022-07-01
CTKShentuOsmosis0.8580.852878-0.60%0.796-7.23%0.0157✗0.871.7M2022-07-01
CHRChromiaEthereum0.22210.220688-0.64%0.1806-18.69%0.1030✓1.003,7762022-07-01
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5110.4428-0.64%8.39-20.17%0.0996✓1.22398k2022-07-01
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.027060.026885-0.65%0.02439-9.87%0.0001✓1.003,7142022-07-01
XYMSymbolnative0.0560.055585-0.74%0.0515-8.04%0.0119✓0.6635k2022-07-01
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7262.7051-0.77%2.222-18.49%0.0544✓1.4686k2022-07-01
TRBTellor TributesEthereum12.7112.6115-0.78%10-21.32%0.0747✓1.61441k2022-07-01
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.450.446376-0.81%0.3997-11.18%0.0510✗1.66212k2022-07-01
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153670.152411-0.82%0.13699-10.85%0.0092✓1.008552022-07-01
C98Coin98Ethereum0.54370.538884-0.89%0.4613-15.16%0.0580✓1.00126k2022-07-01
YFIyearn.financeEthereum7,085.937,018.72-0.95%5,458.52-22.97%0.1216✓1.333.9M2022-07-01
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.4861.4713-0.99%1.232-17.09%0.0401✓1.414.3M2022-07-01
OPTIMOptimism0.5890.583123-1.00%0.529-10.19%0.0001✓1.004.2M2022-07-01
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2610.258149-1.09%0.243-6.90%0.0999✗1.651.3M2022-07-01
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14990.148157-1.16%0.1095-26.95%0.2028✓1.023.8M2022-07-01
GITCOINGITCOIN2.7212.6889-1.18%2.6694-1.90%0.1603✗1.7215k2022-07-01
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana3.933.8832-1.19%3.56-9.41%0.0251✓0.631.7M2022-07-01
GMTGMTEthereum0.8340.823761-1.23%0.827-0.84%0.1793✗1.801.3M2022-07-01
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.549880.542772-1.29%0.45108-17.97%0.0255✓1.642.6M2022-07-01
API3Api3Ethereum1.7141.6916-1.31%1.857+8.34%0.2234✗1.34953k2022-07-01
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.63.5529-1.31%3.35-6.94%0.0387✗1.00169k2022-07-01
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV64.27863.4201-1.33%51.952-19.18%0.1165✓0.851.3M2022-07-01
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8263.767-1.54%3.475-9.17%0.0158✓0.674.1M2022-07-01
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.439950.432972-1.59%0.39987-9.11%0.0486✗1.31138k2022-07-01
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5330.523976-1.69%0.744+39.59%0.5003✗1.543,0312022-07-01
WOOWOOEthereum0.2250.221091-1.74%0.1616-28.18%0.1830✓1.344,0222022-07-01
AVTAventusEthereum1.71.6609-2.30%1.45-14.71%0.0969✓0.40614k2022-07-01
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.86890.848016-2.40%0.7298-16.01%0.0459✓1.073.3M2022-07-01
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.028710.028007-2.45%0.0226-21.28%0.0434✓1.7636.8M2022-07-01
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0292.9511-2.57%2.227-26.48%0.1026✓1.843.0M2022-07-01
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.2763.1804-2.92%2.958-9.71%0.0078✓0.665.2M2022-07-01
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.9280.897767-3.26%0.843-9.16%0.1320✗2.0033.4M2022-07-01
STORJStorjEthereum0.980850.940867-4.08%0.65455-33.27%0.2011✓1.6680k2022-07-01
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04040.038718-4.16%0.0387-4.21%0.1282✗1.32192k2022-07-01
OGOG Fan TokenSolana3.553.3472-5.71%3.173-10.62%0.0040✓0.593.8M2022-07-01
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.