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2022-09-13 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1879
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+10.23%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.0%
in alpha space · 89.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.43%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.215.4177+1.43%14.09-7.30%0.0379✗0.781.4M2022-09-20
TRXTRONTron0.0606820.060695+0.02%0.059529-1.90%0.0104✓0.45123k2022-09-20
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13650.136312-0.14%0.1242-9.01%0.0583✓0.5283k2022-09-20
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1650.164305-0.42%0.1444-12.48%0.0542✓1.131,7442022-09-20
FORTFortaEthereum0.21030.209391-0.43%0.1835-12.74%0.0828✓0.7467k2022-09-20
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4490.446713-0.51%0.371-17.37%0.1086✓1.164,5592022-09-20
STORJStorjEthereum0.507980.505126-0.56%0.45604-10.22%0.0159✓1.3041k2022-09-20
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,237.1020,117.66-0.59%18,902.70-6.59%0.0011✓0.9215k2022-09-20
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.309660.3076-0.67%0.41753+34.83%0.3481✗0.64326k2022-09-20
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.811.7978-0.68%2.18+20.44%0.2235✗0.4656k2022-09-20
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015190.001508-0.71%0.00153+0.72%0.0638✗0.74353k2022-09-20
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121520.012066-0.71%0.011385-6.31%0.0028✓0.83882k2022-09-20
FTTFTXEthereum25.8925.685-0.79%23.34-9.85%0.0293✓1.006.8M2022-09-20
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023170.022973-0.85%0.02122-8.42%0.0118✓1.022,9582022-09-20
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2980.29531-0.90%0.274-8.05%0.0107✓0.9774k2022-09-20
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09680.095906-0.92%0.0914-5.58%0.0005✓0.722,9132022-09-20
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020430.02024-0.93%0.02253+10.28%0.1755✗1.039.7M2022-09-20
CBKCobakEthereum0.824730.816785-0.96%0.77688-5.80%0.0013✓0.7313k2022-09-20
XMRMoneroMonero145.44143.9607-1.02%142.45-2.06%0.0553✗0.991.4M2022-09-20
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0590.058399-1.02%0.0554-6.10%0.0270✗1.20568k2022-09-20
QNTQuantEthereum97.8796.8489-1.04%101.37+3.58%0.1071✗0.933.5M2022-09-20
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0596350.05901-1.05%0.058378-2.11%0.0530✗0.961.2M2022-09-20
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036480.03609-1.07%0.03363-7.81%0.0234✓0.712,2982022-09-20
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4551.4392-1.09%1.333-8.38%0.0055✓1.0771k2022-09-20
STEEMSteemnative0.21610.213747-1.09%0.2133-1.30%0.0557✗0.87527k2022-09-20
AAVEAaveEthereum82.9782.0598-1.10%74.07-10.73%0.0051✓1.466.2M2022-09-20
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4340.429004-1.15%0.422-2.76%0.0527✗1.047,9852022-09-20
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87960.869299-1.17%0.8421-4.26%0.0488✗1.21899k2022-09-20
GITCOINGITCOIN2.03292.0086-1.19%1.8224-10.35%0.0267✓1.0613k2022-09-20
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,174.7819,929.21-1.22%18,876.91-6.43%0.0122✗1.00480.9M2022-09-20
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.54.4442-1.24%4.18-7.11%0.0236✓0.571.4M2022-09-20
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05720.056485-1.25%0.053-7.34%0.0102✓0.8090k2022-09-20
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46250.456714-1.25%0.4282-7.42%0.0099✓1.12366k2022-09-20
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012090.000011937-1.27%0.00001052-12.99%0.0620✓0.971.0M2022-09-20
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2630.259655-1.27%0.252-4.18%0.0190✗0.74534k2022-09-20
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058990.005824-1.28%0.005383-8.74%0.0361✓0.641,9622022-09-20
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064680.063841-1.30%0.06189-4.31%0.0279✗0.897802022-09-20
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042730.04217-1.31%0.0401-6.15%0.0048✓0.6814k2022-09-20
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012520.012355-1.32%0.01085-13.34%0.0887✓0.62233k2022-09-20
LSKLiskEthereum1.00270.989428-1.33%0.951207-5.14%0.0118✓0.7741k2022-09-20
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18980.187278-1.33%0.1738-8.43%0.0068✓1.02101k2022-09-20
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20850.205714-1.34%0.1922-7.82%0.0074✓0.9159k2022-09-20
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02231.0084-1.36%0.9058-11.40%0.0749✓0.492.8M2022-09-20
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04520.044585-1.36%0.0414-8.41%0.0175✓0.85142k2022-09-20
CVCCivicEthereum0.13920.137291-1.37%0.1288-7.47%0.0011✓0.98128k2022-09-20
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.56650.8451-1.40%48.664-5.63%0.0127✓0.85246k2022-09-20
XEMNEMnative0.0421630.041569-1.41%0.039923-5.31%0.0194✗0.9028k2022-09-20
MANADecentralandEthereum0.731470.721127-1.41%0.70726-3.31%0.0522✗1.08624k2022-09-20
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.05251.0375-1.42%0.9445-10.26%0.0040✓1.474.5M2022-09-20
BFCBifrostEthereum0.06790.066935-1.42%0.06198-8.72%0.0133✓0.9625k2022-09-20
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6220.613131-1.43%0.555-10.77%0.0270✓1.093.2M2022-09-20
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08480.083589-1.43%0.0826-2.59%0.0523✗0.9711k2022-09-20
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028270.002786-1.46%0.002359-16.55%0.1061✓0.901.2M2022-09-20
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020070.019777-1.46%0.01975-1.59%0.0378✗0.59173k2022-09-20
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.57e-7-1.47%7.90e-7-9.20%0.0355✓0.6915k2022-09-20
ZECZcashZcash58.9258.0494-1.48%53.44-9.30%0.0093✓1.101.1M2022-09-20
SOLSolanaSolana33.0132.5205-1.48%31.42-4.82%0.0453✗1.2054.5M2022-09-20
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31050.305859-1.49%0.297-4.35%0.0367✗0.9982k2022-09-20
XLMStellarStellar0.1046540.10308-1.50%0.117297+12.08%0.1870✗0.876.5M2022-09-20
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4930.485578-1.51%0.473-4.06%0.0525✗1.1877k2022-09-20
BTTCBTTC8.60e-78.47e-7-1.51%7.80e-7-9.30%0.0353✓0.711.7M2022-09-20
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.5950.585929-1.52%0.6+0.84%0.0899✗1.00178k2022-09-20
XYMSymbolnative0.039870.039261-1.53%0.0384-3.69%0.0139✓0.5423k2022-09-20
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04410.043425-1.53%0.0372-15.65%0.0776✓1.16546k2022-09-20
UNIUniswapEthereum6.0345.9407-1.55%5.294-12.26%0.0257✓1.356.9M2022-09-20
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96994.892-1.57%4.7663-4.10%0.0203✓0.09119k2022-09-20
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05940.058468-1.57%0.0581-2.19%0.0637✗1.0578k2022-09-20
AMPAmpEthereum0.005630.005542-1.57%0.00487-13.50%0.0854✓0.66911k2022-09-20
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.069130.068039-1.58%0.0637-7.85%0.0527✓0.20354k2022-09-20
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.321390.316289-1.59%0.29941-6.84%0.0137✓1.0333k2022-09-20
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40140.395004-1.59%0.3721-7.30%0.0163✗1.1467k2022-09-20
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.158.1495-1.61%52.34-11.44%0.0409✓0.9714.4M2022-09-20
STXStacksnative0.34970.344069-1.61%0.336-3.92%0.0465✗1.06313k2022-09-20
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.162840.160207-1.62%0.14425-11.42%0.0360✓1.04271k2022-09-20
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0201910.019863-1.62%0.019648-2.69%0.0310✗0.6312k2022-09-20
ZENHorizenBase14.8414.5987-1.63%13.69-7.75%0.0166✗1.2275k2022-09-20
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8718.5607-1.64%16.66-11.71%0.0185✓1.3518.0M2022-09-20
FLOWFlownative1.8641.8334-1.64%1.681-9.82%0.0057✓1.39967k2022-09-20
KCSKuCoinnative9.2549.1015-1.65%8.92-3.61%0.0348✗0.831.2M2022-09-20
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.1990.19571-1.65%0.1814-8.84%0.0086✓1.01132k2022-09-20
ETCEthereum Classicnative35.2934.705-1.66%29.12-17.48%0.0755✓1.5010.6M2022-09-20
GTGateEthereum4.14324.0742-1.67%4.1513+0.20%0.0670✗0.72696k2022-09-20
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.6518-1.68%1.498-10.83%0.0350✓0.94627k2022-09-20
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.167380.164556-1.69%0.15884-5.10%0.0112✓0.703542022-09-20
DODODODOEthereum0.12530.123182-1.69%0.1211-3.35%0.0568✗1.111.4M2022-09-20
COTICOTIEthereum0.09240.090837-1.69%0.0956+3.46%0.1184✗1.01336k2022-09-20
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0553.0028-1.71%2.911-4.71%0.0051✓0.39759k2022-09-20
NANOnanopayBase0.8462690.831698-1.72%0.776851-8.20%0.0123✓0.8446k2022-09-20
OPTIMOptimism1.1821.1616-1.73%0.919-22.25%0.1278✓1.602.8M2022-09-20
BORABORAKlay Token0.266920.262302-1.73%0.24603-7.83%0.0053✓0.8815k2022-09-20
AVTAventusEthereum1.411.3855-1.74%1.39-1.42%0.0039✓-0.11113k2022-09-20
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7192.6717-1.74%2.358-13.28%0.0268✓1.482.9M2022-09-20
ADACardanoCardano0.46370.455614-1.74%0.4423-4.62%0.0345✗0.9738.3M2022-09-20
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015310.001504-1.76%0.001404-8.30%0.0241✓0.676,5532022-09-20
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.153315-1.78%0.1359-12.94%0.0422✓1.189132022-09-20
KSMKusamaHydration46.3845.5512-1.79%40.05-13.65%0.0610✓1.02363k2022-09-20
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1521.1313-1.80%1.066-7.47%0.0026✓0.931.1M2022-09-20
XTZTezosTezos1.53481.5068-1.82%1.465-4.55%0.0399✗1.02246k2022-09-20
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12430.122031-1.83%0.1115-10.30%0.0202✓1.052.6M2022-09-20
DIADIAEthereum0.381160.374152-1.84%0.38944+2.17%0.1034✗0.9531k2022-09-20
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1424.0657-1.84%3.561-14.03%0.1081✓0.372.0M2022-09-20
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03610.035432-1.85%0.0334-7.48%0.0078✓1.0190k2022-09-20
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.26790.262934-1.85%0.2618-2.28%0.0613✗0.992.7M2022-09-20
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.40080.393353-1.86%0.3108-22.46%0.1694✓0.99202k2022-09-20
XVSVenusEthereum4.664.573-1.87%4.5-3.43%0.0394✗0.83839k2022-09-20
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134760.13224-1.87%0.12096-10.24%0.0133✓1.14151k2022-09-20
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10760.105574-1.88%0.0976-9.29%0.0224✓0.84188k2022-09-20
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7851.7508-1.91%1.612-9.69%0.0249✗1.6265k2022-09-20
MOVRMoonriverBase11.933911.7054-1.92%10.937-8.35%0.0028✓0.9821k2022-09-20
ELAElastosEthereum1.5531.5231-1.93%1.469-5.41%0.0100✓0.6929k2022-09-20
DASHDashDash43.7742.9254-1.93%40.65-7.13%0.0140✓1.03312k2022-09-20
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1812.9256-1.93%12.43-5.69%0.0356✗1.12925k2022-09-20
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.725.6088-1.94%4.91-14.16%0.0984✓0.522.0M2022-09-20
ETHEthereumEthereum1,574.711,543.98-1.95%1,322.80-16.00%0.0675✓1.31616.7M2022-09-20
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.739.54-1.95%8.99-7.61%0.0290✗1.33288k2022-09-20
SCSiacoinnative0.003810.003736-1.95%0.00348-8.66%0.0087✓0.9495k2022-09-20
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.076.9306-1.97%6.287-11.07%0.0239✓1.1110.0M2022-09-20
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5314.2429-1.98%13.44-7.50%0.0037✓0.931.8M2022-09-20
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.6115.2333-2.01%112.79-4.09%0.0549✗1.154.4M2022-09-20
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.3397-2.01%5.9-8.81%0.0396✓0.482.1M2022-09-20
XVGVergenative0.003370.003302-2.03%0.00324-3.86%0.0434✗0.94483k2022-09-20
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.46.269-2.05%5.923-7.45%0.0075✓0.974.3M2022-09-20
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007960.007795-2.07%0.00712-10.55%0.0174✓1.10463k2022-09-20
LCXLCXEthereum0.04960.048575-2.07%0.0492-0.81%0.0702✗0.86234k2022-09-20
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04030.039466-2.07%0.0361-10.42%0.0369✓0.799,5132022-09-20
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.78661.7495-2.08%1.6911-5.35%0.0388✗1.1025k2022-09-20
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0823.9972-2.08%3.631-11.05%0.0622✓0.512.3M2022-09-20
APEApeCoinEthereum5.1365.0291-2.08%5.729+11.55%0.2173✗1.316.4M2022-09-20
SUSHISushiEthereum1.17031.1458-2.09%1.0353-11.54%0.0287✓1.091.1M2022-09-20
METISMetisEthereum27.927.3133-2.10%23.56-15.56%0.0456✓1.54159k2022-09-20
GMTGMTEthereum0.66060.646668-2.11%0.6151-6.89%0.0491✗1.49210k2022-09-20
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0221.9789-2.13%1.779-12.02%0.0270✓1.1930k2022-09-20
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.125.9881-2.15%5.52-9.80%0.0470✓0.522.1M2022-09-20
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2893870.282992-2.21%0.268268-7.30%0.0113✓0.97487k2022-09-20
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1345.9978-2.22%5.025-18.08%0.1397✓0.563.1M2022-09-20
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.976.8123-2.26%6.32-9.33%0.0050✓1.05224k2022-09-20
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0256.8656-2.27%6.884-2.01%0.0762✗1.1118.0M2022-09-20
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.520.508166-2.28%0.457-12.12%0.0324✓1.1166k2022-09-20
HIVEHivenative0.55040.537799-2.29%0.5094-7.45%0.0141✓0.60871k2022-09-20
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.4184.3156-2.32%3.821-13.51%0.0552✓1.001.4M2022-09-20
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.816.4102-2.32%15.28-9.05%0.0338✓0.57396k2022-09-20
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062160.00607-2.35%0.006298+1.32%0.0590✗0.3330k2022-09-20
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.5561-2.36%2.331-10.96%0.0388✓0.80523k2022-09-20
PROPropyEthereum0.710.693143-2.37%0.63-11.27%0.0792✓0.2442k2022-09-20
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033670.032868-2.38%0.03003-10.81%0.0206✓1.0532k2022-09-20
QTUMQtumQtum3.02332.9508-2.40%2.8783-4.80%0.0424✗1.0120k2022-09-20
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9130.891073-2.40%0.879-3.72%0.0613✗1.131.5M2022-09-20
RADRadworksEthereum2.322.2639-2.42%1.93-16.81%0.1191✓0.61247k2022-09-20
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0172110.016793-2.43%0.014956-13.10%0.0494✓1.001,0292022-09-20
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84630.825578-2.45%0.8513+0.59%0.1289✗1.4894k2022-09-20
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.60294.4901-2.45%4.9996+8.62%0.1953✗1.32118k2022-09-20
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29660.289265-2.47%0.3295+11.09%0.1937✗0.956.0M2022-09-20
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.031.9793-2.50%1.82-10.34%0.0032✓1.21227k2022-09-20
GALAGALAEthereum0.04790.046694-2.52%0.0414-13.57%0.0470✓1.10177k2022-09-20
XECeCashnative0.000043950.000042835-2.54%0.00003816-13.17%0.0603✓0.833.0M2022-09-20
FISStafiEthereum0.350.341085-2.55%0.3049-12.89%0.0485✓0.961,1592022-09-20
MINAMina Protocolnative0.610.594455-2.55%0.573-6.07%0.0326✗1.04114k2022-09-20
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.411.3733-2.60%1.234-12.48%0.0276✓1.1943k2022-09-20
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109980.010711-2.61%0.010289-6.45%0.0263✓1.006682022-09-20
GLMGolemEthereum0.34440.335396-2.61%0.2776-19.40%0.1298✓0.8989k2022-09-20
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9210.896667-2.64%0.882-4.23%0.0141✓0.462.7M2022-09-20
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.48650.473584-2.65%0.4262-12.39%0.0514✓0.81422k2022-09-20
IMXImmutableEthereum0.80660.785156-2.66%0.76-5.78%0.0414✗1.11946k2022-09-20
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.24291.2096-2.68%1.202-3.29%0.0662✗1.09922k2022-09-20
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008510.00828-2.71%0.00707-16.92%0.0980✓0.903.3M2022-09-20
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012360.001202-2.74%0.001057-14.48%0.0750✓0.812.2M2022-09-20
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.5104-2.74%7.69-12.11%0.0642✓0.562.4M2022-09-20
BANDBandEthereum1.2441.2092-2.80%1.141-8.28%0.0230✓1.22323k2022-09-20
UOSUltraEthereum0.420010.408155-2.82%0.39427-6.13%0.0275✓0.93392k2022-09-20
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14440.14032-2.83%0.1355-6.16%0.0298✗0.97336k2022-09-20
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.89713.4984-2.87%13.903+0.04%0.1126✗1.2520.3M2022-09-20
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10820.105096-2.87%0.0967-10.63%0.0022✓1.282.5M2022-09-20
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0246920.023978-2.89%0.0273+10.56%0.1326✗0.04471k2022-09-20
LRCLoopringEthereum0.33080.321209-2.90%0.3-9.31%0.0050✓1.1072k2022-09-20
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.95861.9018-2.90%1.3011-33.57%0.3314✓0.721.5M2022-09-20
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11040.107169-2.93%0.0859-22.19%0.1838✓0.56182k2022-09-20
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,471.371,427.84-2.96%1,283.51-12.77%0.0401✓1.003.4M2022-09-20
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.586.3725-3.15%5.3237-19.09%0.1690✓0.169.1M2022-09-20
CHZChilizEthereum0.19340.187193-3.21%0.2401+24.15%0.3103✗0.923.2M2022-09-20
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.31.257-3.31%1.16-10.77%0.0126✓1.0258k2022-09-20
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8715.6743-3.35%5.315-9.47%0.0010✓0.976.2M2022-09-20
COMPCompoundEthereum55.8353.9451-3.38%55.12-1.27%0.0969✗1.138,6412022-09-20
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.13213.991-3.42%3.4018-17.67%0.1161✓0.667.3M2022-09-20
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,017.078,708.41-3.42%8,456.46-6.22%0.0603✗1.354.1M2022-09-20
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.059510.057379-3.58%0.05683-4.50%0.0702✗1.201.2M2022-09-20
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.09211.6563-3.60%12.095+0.02%0.0614✗0.3715.8M2022-09-20
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.2124.0528-3.78%3.942-6.41%0.0334✓0.92245k2022-09-20
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.96e-76.69e-7-3.81%5.21e-7-25.17%0.1938✓0.862.2M2022-09-20
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.19630.187208-4.63%0.1266-35.51%0.3403✓0.7730k2022-09-20
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23496.866-5.10%5.691-21.34%0.1686✓0.2912.2M2022-09-20
LUNATerraTerra 20.000358060.000339533-5.17%0.00030158-15.77%0.1122✓0.102.4M2022-09-20
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.