8=======>

2022-09-11 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2579
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+13.12%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.4%
in alpha space · 95.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.06%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.26110.242563-7.10%0.1267-51.47%0.5553✓0.8024k2022-09-18
LUNATerraTerra 20.000431380.000405325-6.04%0.00027312-36.69%0.3513✓0.372.1M2022-09-18
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.60947.1526-6.00%6.0254-20.82%0.1420✓0.2511.9M2022-09-18
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065210.062014-4.90%0.05724-12.22%0.0665✗1.251.3M2022-09-18
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.59412.007-4.66%12.26-2.65%0.0648✗0.3816.0M2022-09-18
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.30e-76.97e-7-4.50%5.65e-7-22.56%0.1084✓0.862.3M2022-09-18
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,194.939,758.98-4.28%8,342.07-18.17%0.0119✓1.444.2M2022-09-18
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5014.3096-4.25%3.847-14.53%0.0027✓0.95286k2022-09-18
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4176.1503-4.16%5.265-17.95%0.0424✓0.966.2M2022-09-18
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67894.4915-4.00%3.63-22.42%0.1421✓0.618.1M2022-09-18
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.4033-3.89%1.17-19.86%0.0564✓1.0779k2022-09-18
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.14686.8715-3.85%5.6084-21.53%0.1909✓0.109.1M2022-09-18
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36190.348022-3.83%0.3025-16.41%0.0018✓1.1872k2022-09-18
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6481.5873-3.69%1.197-27.37%0.1367✓1.2443k2022-09-18
CHZChilizEthereum0.20830.201276-3.37%0.2313+11.04%0.2563✗1.003.2M2022-09-18
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0240.989787-3.34%0.864-15.62%0.0883✓0.412.7M2022-09-18
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9318.3054-3.30%15.52-18.01%0.1011✓0.55384k2022-09-18
XVGVergenative0.003810.003684-3.30%0.00322-15.49%0.0162✓1.01481k2022-09-18
METISMetisEthereum31.9830.937-3.26%23.19-27.49%0.0886✓1.70168k2022-09-18
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12540.121347-3.23%0.1002-20.10%0.1187✓0.62191k2022-09-18
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013670.001324-3.14%0.001075-21.36%0.1097✓0.842.2M2022-09-18
UOSUltraEthereum0.456780.442503-3.13%0.38485-15.75%0.0217✓1.01379k2022-09-18
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86630.839339-3.11%0.7498-13.45%0.0254✓1.18946k2022-09-18
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0113140.010962-3.11%0.011219-0.84%0.1403✗1.006302022-09-18
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.664701-3.10%0.592-13.70%0.0105✓1.08111k2022-09-18
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.69915.2124-3.10%14.707-6.32%0.1181✗1.3018.7M2022-09-18
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11670.11309-3.09%0.1-14.31%0.0220✓1.242.5M2022-09-18
BANDBandEthereum1.3691.3269-3.08%1.165-14.90%0.0188✓1.27343k2022-09-18
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.5497-3.05%2.09-20.53%0.1260✓0.62262k2022-09-18
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,656.911,606.65-3.03%1,293.99-21.90%0.0992✓1.003.4M2022-09-18
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.2596-3.02%1.79-23.18%0.0819✓1.29227k2022-09-18
QTUMQtumQtum3.30663.2076-2.99%2.8489-13.84%0.0038✓1.0419k2022-09-18
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.637.4035-2.97%6.16-19.27%0.0545✓1.10230k2022-09-18
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037810.036695-2.95%0.03069-18.83%0.0533✓1.0745k2022-09-18
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51570.500502-2.95%0.4395-14.78%0.0298✓0.85418k2022-09-18
GLMGolemEthereum0.33080.321146-2.92%0.2724-17.65%0.0752✓0.7684k2022-09-18
AMPAmpEthereum0.006610.006418-2.91%0.00503-23.90%0.1686✓0.64911k2022-09-18
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5950.578007-2.86%0.473-20.50%0.0648✓1.1664k2022-09-18
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15450.150092-2.85%0.1381-10.61%0.0359✗1.02336k2022-09-18
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.988.7244-2.85%7.93-11.69%0.0251✓0.602.4M2022-09-18
ORCAOrcaSolana0.88850.863212-2.85%0.8499-4.34%0.1683✗1.5794k2022-09-18
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009440.009174-2.81%0.00752-20.34%0.0859✓0.963.2M2022-09-18
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9740.947163-2.76%0.879-9.75%0.0660✗1.201.5M2022-09-18
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0239730.023315-2.74%0.026132+9.01%0.1226✗0.07455k2022-09-18
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32640.317443-2.74%0.293-10.23%0.0355✗0.995.9M2022-09-18
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.00771.9532-2.71%1.4393-28.31%0.2056✓0.851.4M2022-09-18
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.31451.2789-2.71%1.2237-6.91%0.0815✗1.071.0M2022-09-18
APEApeCoinEthereum5.6825.5295-2.68%5.086-10.49%0.0816✗1.416.4M2022-09-18
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8474.717-2.68%4.9458+2.04%0.2270✗1.53129k2022-09-18
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2553.7709-2.68%47.61-13.83%0.0293✗1.298,9662022-09-18
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.037.8151-2.68%7.523-6.31%0.0943✗1.1317.5M2022-09-18
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.050617-2.66%0.042-19.23%0.0496✓1.17190k2022-09-18
XECeCashnative0.000045620.000044414-2.64%0.00003918-14.12%0.0218✓0.882.5M2022-09-18
GMTGMTEthereum0.73510.715888-2.61%0.6036-17.89%0.0092✓1.53226k2022-09-18
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5130.499722-2.59%0.426-16.96%0.0350✓1.067,7812022-09-18
FISStafiEthereum0.35010.341152-2.56%0.3429-2.06%0.1283✗1.057782022-09-18
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8964.7739-2.49%3.918-19.98%0.0804✓1.001.4M2022-09-18
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.018280.017826-2.48%0.015-17.94%0.0554✓1.008742022-09-18
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.991.9411-2.46%1.646-17.29%0.0365✗1.7260k2022-09-18
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5637.6141-2.45%29.61-23.21%0.0535✓1.5910.6M2022-09-18
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3137870.306139-2.44%0.266614-15.03%0.0227✓0.99471k2022-09-18
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1736.9986-2.43%5.851-18.43%0.0607✓1.014.3M2022-09-18
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073070.071312-2.41%0.06413-12.23%0.0079✓0.977022022-09-18
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2022.1492-2.40%1.808-17.89%0.0227✓1.2832k2022-09-18
HIVEHivenative0.57920.565388-2.38%0.512-11.60%0.0263✓0.62826k2022-09-18
SUSHISushiEthereum1.30291.2719-2.38%1.0284-21.07%0.0777✓1.151.1M2022-09-18
DODODODOEthereum0.13330.130148-2.36%0.1208-9.38%0.0645✗1.191.4M2022-09-18
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.008241-2.36%0.00744-11.85%0.0360✗1.18406k2022-09-18
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.715.3319-2.34%12.84-18.22%0.0585✓1.011.8M2022-09-18
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5614.2209-2.33%12.03-17.38%0.0277✓1.19925k2022-09-18
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4054.3045-2.28%3.699-16.03%0.0883✓0.542.3M2022-09-18
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9632.8956-2.28%2.44-17.65%0.0123✓1.572.9M2022-09-18
BORABORAKlay Token0.291460.284874-2.26%0.25124-13.80%0.0206✓0.9015k2022-09-18
SCSiacoinnative0.004190.004095-2.26%0.00356-15.04%0.0293✓0.95103k2022-09-18
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2310.9767-2.26%8.65-22.97%0.0786✓1.36298k2022-09-18
MOVRMoonriverBase12.886612.5961-2.25%11.3049-12.27%0.0117✓1.0222k2022-09-18
OPTIMOptimism1.4021.3704-2.25%0.929-33.74%0.1865✓1.732.7M2022-09-18
KSMKusamaHydration51.950.7319-2.25%39.58-23.74%0.1292✓1.02395k2022-09-18
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2783.205-2.23%2.925-10.77%0.0475✓0.38720k2022-09-18
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.576.424-2.22%5.56-15.37%0.0808✓0.542.1M2022-09-18
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7027.5313-2.22%6.443-16.35%0.0192✓1.1710.0M2022-09-18
DASHDashDash48.3547.2791-2.21%40.12-17.02%0.0378✓1.08321k2022-09-18
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.35127.4675-2.21%111.83-14.21%0.0080✓1.194.4M2022-09-18
UMAUMAEthereum2.7822.7206-2.21%2.396-13.87%0.0350✓0.79586k2022-09-18
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33280.325468-2.20%0.299-10.16%0.0379✗1.0575k2022-09-18
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.049682-2.20%0.0491-3.35%0.0987✗0.94234k2022-09-18
PROPropyEthereum0.720.704392-2.17%0.69-4.17%0.0065✓0.2346k2022-09-18
STXStacksnative0.39030.381904-2.15%0.3266-16.32%0.0301✓1.08324k2022-09-18
FLOWFlownative2.1162.0706-2.15%1.653-21.88%0.0581✓1.43967k2022-09-18
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92411.8829-2.14%1.6754-12.93%0.0144✓1.1223k2022-09-18
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.134892-2.11%0.1145-16.91%0.0327✓1.122.9M2022-09-18
ETHEthereumEthereum1,766.951,729.68-2.11%1,334.72-24.46%0.0985✓1.37575.8M2022-09-18
XTZTezosTezos1.68551.6501-2.10%1.4386-14.65%0.0125✓1.06241k2022-09-18
XVSVenusEthereum5.14.9932-2.09%4.63-9.22%0.0258✗0.86859k2022-09-18
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1396.0119-2.07%5.554-9.53%0.0019✓0.663.1M2022-09-18
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2511.2251-2.07%1.065-14.87%0.0306✓0.931.1M2022-09-18
ELAElastosEthereum1.6551.6211-2.05%1.531-7.49%0.0303✗0.7536k2022-09-18
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6920.2681-2.04%16.72-19.19%0.0318✓1.3718.0M2022-09-18
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03930.038502-2.03%0.0332-15.52%0.0285✓1.0288k2022-09-18
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05010.049086-2.02%0.037-26.15%0.1461✓1.17536k2022-09-18
API3Api3Ethereum1.8381.8012-2.00%1.433-22.03%0.1086✓1.02627k2022-09-18
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11560.113298-1.99%0.0991-14.27%0.0312✓0.88169k2022-09-18
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06620.064889-1.98%0.0565-14.65%0.0054✓1.23555k2022-09-18
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143820.140986-1.97%0.12379-13.93%0.0120✓1.21151k2022-09-18
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.736.5985-1.95%6.01-10.70%0.0346✓0.502.1M2022-09-18
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074140.072694-1.95%0.06377-13.99%0.1151✓0.14378k2022-09-18
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42550.417261-1.94%0.3151-25.95%0.1511✓1.11202k2022-09-18
ADACardanoCardano0.51010.500239-1.93%0.4478-12.21%0.0074✓1.0138.3M2022-09-18
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174140.170782-1.93%0.16044-7.87%0.0293✗0.783512022-09-18
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29230.286674-1.92%0.2517-13.89%0.0111✓1.022.6M2022-09-18
DIADIAEthereum0.405260.397481-1.92%0.37245-8.10%0.0538✗1.0132k2022-09-18
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023320.022878-1.90%0.01917-17.80%0.0523✓1.069.7M2022-09-18
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016360.001605-1.89%0.001429-12.65%0.0363✓0.686,5532022-09-18
NANOnanopayBase0.9277880.910227-1.89%0.785842-15.30%0.0449✓0.8749k2022-09-18
XEMNEMnative0.0467850.0459-1.89%0.039656-15.24%0.0415✓0.8928k2022-09-18
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177890.174537-1.89%0.14138-20.52%0.0858✓1.07268k2022-09-18
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063090.00619-1.88%0.0063-0.14%0.0627✗0.3830k2022-09-18
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5430.532913-1.86%0.468-13.81%0.0135✓1.2274k2022-09-18
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.2734-1.85%3.731-14.31%0.0921✓0.372.2M2022-09-18
WOOWOOEthereum0.1680.164912-1.84%0.1415-15.77%0.0021✓1.321,0012022-09-18
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.27979-1.83%0.254-10.88%0.0051✓0.78563k2022-09-18
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.048791-1.83%0.0427-14.08%0.0337✓0.85138k2022-09-18
ZENHorizenBase16.4716.1698-1.82%13.34-19.00%0.0456✓1.2584k2022-09-18
ZECZcashZcash64.2763.1004-1.82%53.33-17.02%0.0300✓1.181.2M2022-09-18
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.097886-1.82%0.0912-8.53%0.0473✗1.01336k2022-09-18
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4916.373-1.82%5.466-15.79%0.0104✓1.406.9M2022-09-18
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06450.063331-1.81%0.0619-4.03%0.0981✗1.0379k2022-09-18
KCSKuCoinnative9.7559.5792-1.80%8.956-8.19%0.0340✗0.861.2M2022-09-18
SUNSun TokenTron0.0065370.006419-1.80%0.005544-15.18%0.0679✓0.672,0442022-09-18
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218870.021494-1.80%0.020014-8.56%0.0014✓0.6212k2022-09-18
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6490.63737-1.79%0.572-11.86%0.0124✓1.03178k2022-09-18
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.351690.345393-1.79%0.30461-13.39%0.0007✓1.0834k2022-09-18
MANADecentralandEthereum0.803760.789385-1.79%0.70221-12.63%0.0163✓1.14584k2022-09-18
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.664021-1.77%0.552-18.34%0.0506✓1.153.5M2022-09-18
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30572.2649-1.77%1.7772-22.92%0.1093✓1.1413k2022-09-18
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21410.210314-1.77%0.1831-14.48%0.0110✓1.09138k2022-09-18
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.395-1.76%1.42+0.00%0.0011✓-0.14124k2022-09-18
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1831.1625-1.74%0.935-20.96%0.0350✓1.564.4M2022-09-18
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23030.226316-1.73%0.1954-15.15%0.0420✓0.8957k2022-09-18
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.074157-1.73%0.06225-17.51%0.0562✓1.0124k2022-09-18
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.94e-7-1.71%7.90e-7-13.19%0.0368✓0.741.7M2022-09-18
LSKLiskEthereum1.08631.0677-1.71%0.954978-12.09%0.0214✓0.7734k2022-09-18
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.1861.1293-1.69%52.65-15.33%0.0270✓1.0413.5M2022-09-18
GTGateEthereum4.33014.2571-1.69%4.1187-4.88%0.0529✗0.73690k2022-09-18
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09410.09254-1.66%0.0811-13.82%0.0160✓0.9914k2022-09-18
XYMSymbolnative0.0423220.041624-1.65%0.039181-7.42%0.0014✓0.5323k2022-09-18
XLMStellarStellar0.1143870.112509-1.64%0.1072-6.28%0.0554✗0.896.4M2022-09-18
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06110.060103-1.63%0.0557-8.84%0.0243✗0.8682k2022-09-18
SOLSolanaSolana35.0134.4459-1.61%31.1-11.17%0.0393✗1.2154.5M2022-09-18
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97480.959215-1.60%0.8289-14.97%0.0029✓1.27899k2022-09-18
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012930.012724-1.59%0.01153-10.83%0.0213✓0.66233k2022-09-18
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44450.437446-1.59%0.3859-13.18%0.0118✓1.1781k2022-09-18
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21060.207307-1.56%0.1768-16.05%0.0240✓1.15108k2022-09-18
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.3463-1.54%5.19-4.42%0.0478✗0.662.0M2022-09-18
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06274.9874-1.49%4.6704-7.75%0.0583✓0.06117k2022-09-18
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5120.504394-1.49%0.4415-13.77%0.0049✓1.18384k2022-09-18
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03720.036648-1.48%0.0363-2.42%0.0929✗0.877,8252022-09-18
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029040.002862-1.46%0.002574-11.36%0.0006✓0.901.2M2022-09-18
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012990.000012801-1.46%0.00001061-18.32%0.0684✓1.021.0M2022-09-18
STEEMSteemnative0.2350.231581-1.45%0.2197-6.51%0.0492✗0.87503k2022-09-18
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.02099-1.45%0.01968-7.61%0.0058✓0.60206k2022-09-18
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.97e-7-1.45%8.00e-7-12.09%0.0264✓0.7515k2022-09-18
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.644.5731-1.44%4.22-9.05%0.0079✓0.621.4M2022-09-18
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.04598-1.42%0.04034-13.51%0.0553✓0.6414k2022-09-18
QNTQuantEthereum108.82107.2948-1.40%104.08-4.36%0.0813✗0.953.5M2022-09-18
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.149675-1.40%0.129-15.02%0.0310✓1.00110k2022-09-18
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.45453.7043-1.38%48.437-11.05%0.0017✓0.87275k2022-09-18
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5171.4964-1.36%1.336-11.93%0.0182✗1.1271k2022-09-18
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,831.7221,540.78-1.33%19,417.64-11.06%0.0134✗1.00473.4M2022-09-18
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10270.101345-1.32%0.0931-9.35%0.0052✓0.772,6892022-09-18
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6390.4312-1.31%73.06-20.27%0.0336✓1.535.6M2022-09-18
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03960.039085-1.30%0.03461-12.60%0.0407✓0.692,1832022-09-18
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131930.013028-1.25%0.011882-9.94%0.0070✓0.85920k2022-09-18
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02550.025198-1.19%0.02202-13.65%0.0024✓1.132,9142022-09-18
XMRMoneroMonero159.22157.3835-1.15%140.49-11.76%0.0015✓0.981.3M2022-09-18
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.00154-1.13%0.001548-0.64%0.0949✗0.77353k2022-09-18
CBKCobakEthereum0.85180.842373-1.11%0.78032-8.39%0.0161✗0.7913k2022-09-18
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02751.0162-1.10%0.9352-8.98%0.0161✓0.572.6M2022-09-18
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0637030.063009-1.09%0.0573-10.05%0.0234✗1.011.3M2022-09-18
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29290.28972-1.09%0.2612-10.82%0.0229✗1.0883k2022-09-18
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8795-1.08%2.25+18.42%0.2359✗0.4861k2022-09-18
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5150.509438-1.08%0.384-25.44%0.1386✓1.234,2692022-09-18
FORTFortaEthereum0.23120.22882-1.03%0.1846-20.16%0.1248✓0.7766k2022-09-18
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1830.181194-0.99%0.1496-18.25%0.0547✓1.171,7442022-09-18
FTTFTXEthereum27.8927.6174-0.98%23.45-15.92%0.0442✓1.026.8M2022-09-18
STORJStorjEthereum0.555060.549908-0.93%0.4662-16.01%0.0080✓1.3439k2022-09-18
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331390.328506-0.87%0.43553+31.43%0.3643✗0.70326k2022-09-18
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,663.6021,515.44-0.68%19,440.70-10.26%0.0061✓0.9213k2022-09-18
TRXTRONTron0.064190.064201+0.02%0.060789-5.30%0.0028✓0.49123k2022-09-18
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.1270.12804+0.82%0.1131-10.94%0.1235✗0.0183k2022-09-18
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.7215+0.85%14.09-15.02%0.0792✗0.791.5M2022-09-18
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.