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2022-09-06 · +7d

gru_s1 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0067
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-0.05%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
77.0%
in alpha space · 30.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+7.36%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRBTellor TributesEthereum15.9316.3303+2.51%15.2-4.58%0.1235✗0.731.7M2022-09-13
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.15390.157596+2.40%0.1365-11.31%0.1484✗0.0793k2022-09-13
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4390.442188+0.73%0.449+2.28%0.0721✗1.234,1032022-09-13
CBKCobakEthereum0.802550.807732+0.65%0.82473+2.76%0.0511✗1.0113k2022-09-13
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.7741.7848+0.61%1.785+0.62%0.1203✗1.6972k2022-09-13
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.250.251135+0.45%0.263+5.20%0.0081✗0.76597k2022-09-13
AMPAmpEthereum0.005510.005533+0.43%0.00563+2.18%0.0287✗0.65977k2022-09-13
CVCCivicEthereum0.13220.132728+0.40%0.1392+5.30%0.0250✗1.02113k2022-09-13
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.87930.882113+0.32%0.8796+0.03%0.0901✗1.23916k2022-09-13
DKAdKargoEthereum0.041950.042061+0.27%0.04273+1.86%0.0373✗0.7514k2022-09-13
CELLCellframeEthereum0.2960.296737+0.25%0.298+0.68%0.0735✗1.0999k2022-09-13
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0197060.019745+0.20%0.020191+2.46%0.0356✗0.8113k2022-09-13
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.011830.011848+0.15%0.01252+5.83%0.0078✓0.67223k2022-09-13
STEEMSteemnative0.20720.207474+0.13%0.2161+4.30%0.0262✗0.94468k2022-09-13
ZECZcashZcash57.9358.003+0.13%58.92+1.71%0.0687✗1.191.3M2022-09-13
LCXLCXEthereum0.0520.052048+0.09%0.0496-4.62%0.1293✗1.14234k2022-09-13
GTGateEthereum3.96483.9679+0.08%4.1432+4.50%0.0122✗0.78769k2022-09-13
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.4571.4579+0.06%1.41-3.23%0.1181✗1.1951k2022-09-13
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.4750.475125+0.03%0.52+9.47%0.0135✓1.0863k2022-09-13
BTCBitcoinBitcoin18,790.9118,790.77-0.00%20,174.78+7.36%0.0000✗1.00485.5M2022-09-13
BORABORAKlay Token0.268570.268567-0.00%0.26692-0.61%0.0812✓1.0613k2022-09-13
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027670.002766-0.03%0.002827+2.17%0.0443✓0.931.2M2022-09-13
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.023330.023321-0.04%0.02317-0.69%0.0974✓1.283,1162022-09-13
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.19630.196211-0.05%0.2085+6.21%0.0102✓1.0058k2022-09-13
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6240.623623-0.06%0.61-2.24%0.0839✓0.87164k2022-09-13
APEApeCoinEthereum4.3014.298-0.07%5.136+19.41%0.0822✗1.356.8M2022-09-13
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.961.9583-0.09%1.81-7.65%0.1139✓0.5075k2022-09-13
BFCBifrostEthereum0.068010.06795-0.09%0.0679-0.16%0.0845✓1.1825k2022-09-13
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05920.059133-0.11%0.0594+0.34%0.0547✓0.8391k2022-09-13
XVSVenusEthereum4.524.5144-0.12%4.66+3.10%0.0285✓0.851.1M2022-09-13
UNIUniswapEthereum5.8295.8217-0.13%6.034+3.52%0.0588✓1.337.5M2022-09-13
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.314210.313756-0.14%0.32139+2.29%0.0474✓1.0137k2022-09-13
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.019170.019142-0.14%0.02043+6.57%0.0106✗0.779.7M2022-09-13
SOLSolanaSolana30.8730.8251-0.15%33.01+6.93%0.0124✓1.1461.7M2022-09-13
XTZTezosTezos1.4331.4309-0.15%1.5348+7.10%0.0109✓1.14247k2022-09-13
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum18,917.9018,889.43-0.15%20,237.10+6.97%0.0023✗0.9413k2022-09-13
STXStacksnative0.34010.339539-0.16%0.3497+2.82%0.0541✓1.18365k2022-09-13
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04530.045218-0.18%0.0441-2.65%0.0979✓1.02739k2022-09-13
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.25930.258711-0.23%0.2679+3.32%0.0341✓0.972.8M2022-09-13
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.4820.480884-0.23%0.493+2.28%0.0577✓1.1677k2022-09-13
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09610.095866-0.24%0.0968+0.73%0.0430✓0.742,9872022-09-13
METISMetisEthereum28.8428.7664-0.26%27.9-3.26%0.1618✓1.85200k2022-09-13
ZENHorizenBase14.5414.5003-0.27%14.84+2.06%0.0573✓1.1393k2022-09-13
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.30160.300774-0.27%0.3105+2.95%0.0483✓1.1397k2022-09-13
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316670.315779-0.28%0.30966-2.21%0.0777✓0.82332k2022-09-13
IMXImmutableEthereum0.77440.772165-0.29%0.8066+4.16%0.0311✓1.051.1M2022-09-13
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0121450.012106-0.32%0.012152+0.06%0.0442✓0.67932k2022-09-13
API3Api3Ethereum1.5971.5919-0.32%1.68+5.20%0.0125✓0.93574k2022-09-13
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.07850.078244-0.33%0.0848+8.03%0.0135✗0.9410k2022-09-13
GMTGMTEthereum0.63220.630053-0.34%0.6606+4.49%0.0531✓1.41226k2022-09-13
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0588970.058693-0.35%0.059635+1.25%0.0606✓1.081.4M2022-09-13
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.2118.1453-0.36%18.87+3.62%0.0521✓1.2819.6M2022-09-13
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.09770.097317-0.39%0.1082+10.75%0.0289✗1.082.8M2022-09-13
XYMSymbolnative0.0401850.040027-0.39%0.03987-0.78%0.0400✓0.5125k2022-09-13
FLOWFlownative1.7721.7646-0.42%1.864+5.19%0.0427✓1.371.3M2022-09-13
DODODODOEthereum0.11910.118597-0.42%0.1253+5.21%0.0204✓1.061.5M2022-09-13
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6140.61134-0.43%0.622+1.30%0.0656✓1.174.0M2022-09-13
STORJStorjEthereum0.50360.501403-0.44%0.50798+0.87%0.0819✓1.3441k2022-09-13
TRXTRONTron0.0607660.060495-0.45%0.060682-0.14%0.0408✓0.62129k2022-09-13
MANADecentralandEthereum0.736890.733517-0.46%0.73147-0.74%0.0654✓0.88520k2022-09-13
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.44340.44136-0.46%0.4625+4.31%0.0354✓1.16384k2022-09-13
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.1160.11546-0.47%0.1963+69.22%0.4563✗1.0525k2022-09-13
LTCLitecoinLitecoin54.1253.8671-0.47%59.1+9.20%0.0206✗1.0113.1M2022-09-13
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13070.130071-0.48%0.1444+10.48%0.0281✗1.08489k2022-09-13
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20090.199925-0.49%0.199-0.95%0.0992✓1.33142k2022-09-13
GITCOINGITCOIN2.1362.1255-0.49%2.0329-4.83%0.1272✓1.1613k2022-09-13
AAVEAaveEthereum83.5883.1646-0.50%82.97-0.73%0.1126✓1.555.6M2022-09-13
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008520.008477-0.50%0.00851-0.12%0.0491✓0.743.8M2022-09-13
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03580.035619-0.51%0.0403+12.57%0.0693✗0.767,8592022-09-13
XEMNEMnative0.0411810.040972-0.51%0.042163+2.38%0.0315✓0.8529k2022-09-13
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.01861.0134-0.51%1.2429+22.02%0.1391✗0.911.1M2022-09-13
XVGVergenative0.002950.002935-0.51%0.00337+14.24%0.0655✗1.02483k2022-09-13
COTICOTIEthereum0.08920.088738-0.52%0.0924+3.59%0.0298✓0.99372k2022-09-13
XLMStellarStellar0.0998720.099352-0.52%0.104654+4.79%0.0075✓0.846.7M2022-09-13
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash112.17111.5602-0.54%117.6+4.84%0.0304✓1.174.4M2022-09-13
FIDABonfidaSolana0.3990.396812-0.55%0.434+8.77%0.0148✗1.057,9852022-09-13
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.057730.057411-0.55%0.05951+3.08%0.0422✓1.101.6M2022-09-13
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum1.9471.9362-0.55%2.022+3.85%0.0401✓1.1736k2022-09-13
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.3951.3873-0.55%1.455+4.30%0.0364✓1.1878k2022-09-13
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.03591.0301-0.56%1.0525+1.60%0.0883✓1.554.5M2022-09-13
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10140.100825-0.57%0.1076+6.11%0.0042✓0.86169k2022-09-13
BANDBandEthereum1.1821.1751-0.58%1.244+5.25%0.0287✓1.21429k2022-09-13
QNTQuantEthereum90.0389.505-0.58%97.87+8.71%0.0284✗0.863.4M2022-09-13
XMRMoneroMonero144.79143.9331-0.59%145.44+0.45%0.0646✓1.061.4M2022-09-13
GLMGolemEthereum0.22320.221855-0.60%0.3444+54.30%0.3715✗0.9681k2022-09-13
FTTFTXEthereum25.6425.4854-0.60%25.89+0.98%0.0539✓0.986.8M2022-09-13
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2724620.270811-0.61%0.289387+6.21%0.0117✓1.10514k2022-09-13
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV49.54949.2384-0.63%51.566+4.07%0.0089✓0.78324k2022-09-13
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.159550.158509-0.65%0.16284+2.06%0.0440✓1.00268k2022-09-13
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1031.0958-0.66%1.152+4.44%0.0190✓0.971.2M2022-09-13
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6080.603878-0.68%0.595-2.14%0.0850✓0.99187k2022-09-13
NANOnanopayBase0.848260.842304-0.70%0.846269-0.23%0.0553✓0.8454k2022-09-13
DIADIAEthereum0.366150.363568-0.71%0.38116+4.10%0.0225✓0.9833k2022-09-13
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04330.042988-0.72%0.0452+4.39%0.0190✓0.97132k2022-09-13
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03480.034549-0.72%0.0361+3.74%0.0220✓0.9366k2022-09-13
LSKLiskEthereum0.9772590.970105-0.73%1.0027+2.61%0.0286✓0.8739k2022-09-13
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.231.2209-0.74%1.3+5.69%0.0049✓0.9581k2022-09-13
GALAGALAEthereum0.04730.046949-0.74%0.0479+1.27%0.0458✓0.93204k2022-09-13
SCSiacoinnative0.003790.003762-0.75%0.00381+0.53%0.0577✓0.99127k2022-09-13
SUSHISushiEthereum1.14641.1378-0.75%1.1703+2.08%0.0582✓1.22996k2022-09-13
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011990.000011898-0.77%0.00001209+0.83%0.0525✓0.96873k2022-09-13
DOTPolkadotPolkadot6.8746.8188-0.80%7.07+2.85%0.0387✓1.0510.2M2022-09-13
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9380.93032-0.82%1.0223+8.99%0.0583✗0.513.0M2022-09-13
DASHDashDash42.6842.3243-0.83%43.77+2.55%0.0376✓1.00404k2022-09-13
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.67821.6641-0.84%1.9586+16.71%0.0946✗0.961.1M2022-09-13
AUCTIONBounceEthereum6.86.7429-0.84%6.97+2.50%0.0468✓1.12283k2022-09-13
QTUMQtumQtum2.98512.9587-0.89%3.0233+1.28%0.0521✓1.0419k2022-09-13
PROPropyEthereum0.710.703647-0.89%0.71+0.00%0.0142✓0.3357k2022-09-13
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.6596.5976-0.92%7.025+5.50%0.0137✓1.0818.6M2022-09-13
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.153320.151904-0.92%0.16738+9.17%0.0450✓2.003162022-09-13
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.12.0806-0.93%2.03-3.33%0.1104✓1.21227k2022-09-13
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.28550.282836-0.93%0.2966+3.89%0.0177✓0.925.8M2022-09-13
RARESuperRareEthereum0.18940.187576-0.96%0.1898+0.21%0.0816✓1.31111k2022-09-13
KCSKuCoinnative9.0338.9455-0.97%9.254+2.45%0.0346✓0.961.2M2022-09-13
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.035610.035265-0.97%0.03648+2.44%0.0247✓0.822,5652022-09-13
UMAUMAEthereum2.5442.5189-0.99%2.618+2.91%0.0251✓0.90682k2022-09-13
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0099540.009855-0.99%0.010998+10.49%0.0387✗1.004852022-09-13
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057240.005667-1.00%0.005899+3.06%0.0096✓0.702,1572022-09-13
SGBSongbirdnative0.02510.024848-1.00%0.0257+2.39%0.0098✓0.6147k2022-09-13
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.69961.6825-1.01%1.7866+5.12%0.0191✓1.1125k2022-09-13
C98Coin98Ethereum0.38850.384481-1.03%0.4014+3.32%0.0405✓1.1885k2022-09-13
LRCLoopringEthereum0.32630.322911-1.04%0.3308+1.38%0.0517✓1.0773k2022-09-13
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.130970.129606-1.04%0.13476+2.89%0.0469✓1.21183k2022-09-13
LPTLivepeerEthereum9.489.381-1.04%9.73+2.64%0.0545✓1.28297k2022-09-13
KSMKusamaHydration45.5645.0821-1.05%46.38+1.80%0.0436✓1.01490k2022-09-13
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.150792-1.05%0.1561+2.43%0.0384✓1.031,4472022-09-13
FISStafiEthereum0.30.296775-1.08%0.35+16.67%0.0963✗0.976202022-09-13
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.61e-7-1.08%8.70e-7+0.00%0.0442✓0.7815k2022-09-13
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021710.021474-1.09%0.02007-7.55%0.1253✓0.81394k2022-09-13
ADACardanoCardano0.46260.457485-1.11%0.4637+0.24%0.0541✓0.9540.4M2022-09-13
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016030.001585-1.12%0.001519-5.24%0.1010✓0.82413k2022-09-13
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.7912.7596-1.13%2.719-2.58%0.1239✓1.533.6M2022-09-13
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074020.073186-1.13%0.06913-6.61%0.0621✓0.07370k2022-09-13
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0061990.006127-1.15%0.006216+0.27%0.0173✓0.4541k2022-09-13
XECeCashnative0.000040540.000040069-1.16%0.00004395+8.41%0.0320✗0.852.1M2022-09-13
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.5995.5337-1.17%5.871+4.86%0.0029✓0.877.2M2022-09-13
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05580.055148-1.17%0.0572+2.51%0.0296✓0.9382k2022-09-13
NMRNumeraireEthereum16.7816.581-1.19%16.8+0.12%0.0359✓0.69422k2022-09-13
BTTCBTTC8.70e-78.60e-7-1.20%8.60e-7-1.15%0.0566✓0.801.8M2022-09-13
MOVRMoonriverBase12.174612.0246-1.23%11.9339-1.98%0.0788✓1.0028k2022-09-13
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18240.180005-1.31%0.165-9.54%0.1837✓1.362,0092022-09-13
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.226.1372-1.33%6.4+2.89%0.0183✓0.854.5M2022-09-13
YFIyearn.financeEthereum8,612.348,495.57-1.36%9,017.07+4.70%0.0412✓1.424.8M2022-09-13
AVTAventusEthereum1.471.45-1.36%1.41-4.08%0.0164✓-0.16128k2022-09-13
UOSUltraEthereum0.332080.327411-1.41%0.42001+26.48%0.1810✗0.96400k2022-09-13
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014690.001448-1.41%0.001531+4.22%0.0081✓0.677,6332022-09-13
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.8892.848-1.42%3.055+5.75%0.0316✗0.54653k2022-09-13
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.1112.9237-1.42%13.18+0.53%0.0596✓1.111.0M2022-09-13
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.266.1701-1.44%6.47+3.35%0.0119✓0.502.1M2022-09-13
ELAElastosEthereum1.7271.7021-1.44%1.553-10.08%0.1543✓0.8883k2022-09-13
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14265.0681-1.45%4.9699-3.36%0.0263✓0.10115k2022-09-13
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1744.1134-1.45%4.142-0.77%0.0176✓0.352.3M2022-09-13
HIVEHivenative0.52130.513656-1.47%0.5504+5.58%0.0106✓0.82902k2022-09-13
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12710.125125-1.55%0.1243-2.20%0.0451✓0.543.5M2022-09-13
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.374.3005-1.59%4.5+2.97%0.0043✓0.581.3M2022-09-13
ORCAOrcaSolana0.81350.80036-1.62%0.8463+4.03%0.0491✓1.48105k2022-09-13
COMPCompoundEthereum45.3544.6034-1.65%55.83+23.11%0.1337✗1.289,0502022-09-13
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06050.059486-1.68%0.059-2.48%0.0989✓1.28690k2022-09-13
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.063550.062432-1.76%0.06468+1.78%0.0306✓0.937702022-09-13
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.033330.032722-1.83%0.03367+1.02%0.0440✓1.0259k2022-09-13
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.095.9786-1.83%6.12+0.49%0.0121✓0.502.2M2022-09-13
RADRadworksEthereum2.262.2186-1.83%2.32+2.65%0.0089✓0.75262k2022-09-13
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.68.4421-1.84%8.75+1.74%0.0011✓0.522.1M2022-09-13
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos11.77511.5525-1.89%13.897+18.02%0.1044✗1.1312.5M2022-09-13
ETHEthereumEthereum1,559.281,529.82-1.89%1,574.71+0.99%0.0695✓1.39660.9M2022-09-13
FORTFortaEthereum0.24180.237061-1.96%0.2103-13.03%0.1798✓0.8466k2022-09-13
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.1913.9085-1.98%14.53+2.40%0.0287✓1.021.7M2022-09-13
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9070.888994-1.99%0.913+0.66%0.0657✓1.301.6M2022-09-13
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,420.831,392.60-1.99%1,471.37+3.56%0.0160✓1.003.3M2022-09-13
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9195.8001-2.01%6.134+3.63%0.0198✓0.514.3M2022-09-13
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007470.007317-2.05%0.00796+6.56%0.0040✓1.13406k2022-09-13
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50820.497768-2.05%0.4865-4.27%0.0765✓0.75496k2022-09-13
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.9623.8785-2.11%4.082+3.03%0.0151✓0.512.1M2022-09-13
CHZChilizEthereum0.1850.181016-2.15%0.1934+4.54%0.0044✓0.873.1M2022-09-13
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0251150.024537-2.30%0.024692-1.68%0.0024✓0.12454k2022-09-13
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.38134.2782-2.35%4.6029+5.06%0.0829✓2.20129k2022-09-13
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0012650.001235-2.42%0.001236-2.30%0.0559✓0.802.4M2022-09-13
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11240.109672-2.43%0.1104-1.78%0.0472✓0.76203k2022-09-13
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.8853.7785-2.74%4.212+8.42%0.0382✗0.99259k2022-09-13
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.4174.2941-2.78%4.1321-6.45%0.0832✓0.636.3M2022-09-13
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.4433.4699-2.82%35.29+2.47%0.0574✓1.5510.6M2022-09-13
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4310.418787-2.83%0.4008-7.01%0.1278✓1.18209k2022-09-13
CTKShentuOsmosis0.940.913174-2.85%0.921-2.02%0.0207✓0.412.9M2022-09-13
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.25.0502-2.88%5.72+10.00%0.0892✗0.502.0M2022-09-13
OPTIMOptimism1.0951.0608-3.12%1.182+7.95%0.0064✓1.613.0M2022-09-13
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain11.91511.5195-3.32%12.092+1.49%0.0083✓0.5715.8M2022-09-13
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.015860.015265-3.75%0.017211+8.52%0.0489✗1.00622022-09-13
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.61936.3532-4.02%6.58-0.59%0.0165✓0.267.5M2022-09-13
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.89e-77.54e-7-4.52%6.96e-7-11.84%0.1423✓0.881.9M2022-09-13
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.23446.873-5.00%7.2349+0.01%0.0258✓0.368.2M2022-09-13
LUNATerraTerra 20.000378850.000341472-9.87%0.00035806-5.49%0.0030✓0.71698k2022-09-13
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.