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2022-08-04 · +7d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 186 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3416
186 of 186 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+7.12%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
65.6%
in alpha space · 54.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+5.84%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (186 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum55.0487+0.97%4.7078-5.84%0.0798✗0.17219k2022-08-11
GTGateEthereum4.554.5899+0.88%4.9372+8.51%0.0306✓0.75920k2022-08-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.7380.744282+0.85%0.911+23.44%0.1333✓1.21968k2022-08-11
TRXTRONTron0.0689810.069515+0.77%0.070371+2.02%0.0272✗0.69345k2022-08-11
KCSKuCoinnative10.03510.1082+0.73%10.512+4.75%0.0235✗1.102.0M2022-08-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0673530.067793+0.65%0.070882+5.24%0.0219✗1.171.7M2022-08-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.54540.548879+0.64%0.5937+8.86%0.0140✓1.14333k2022-08-11
ZECZcashZcash64.3864.7586+0.59%79.26+23.11%0.1312✓1.251.6M2022-08-11
BTTCBTTC9.60e-79.65e-7+0.57%0.00000101+5.21%0.0024✓0.846.4M2022-08-11
SGBSongbirdnative0.02490.025038+0.55%0.0263+5.62%0.0177✓0.5540k2022-08-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15610.156948+0.54%0.1701+8.97%0.0107✓1.23107k2022-08-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash134.34135.0561+0.53%142.98+6.43%0.0110✗1.204.6M2022-08-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.008220.008262+0.51%0.00834+1.46%0.0418✗0.901.6M2022-08-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.19950.200506+0.50%0.2226+11.58%0.0253✓1.401,2762022-08-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.24850.249665+0.47%0.2705+8.85%0.0108✓1.22101k2022-08-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.15021.1555+0.46%1.2591+9.48%0.0263✓1.0543k2022-08-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000011850.000011903+0.45%0.00001233+4.05%0.0356✗1.25951k2022-08-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3647.3966+0.44%8.96+21.67%0.1208✓1.2516.9M2022-08-11
NANOnanopayBase1.01511.0196+0.44%1.0862+7.00%0.0098✓0.9460k2022-08-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,495.2022,589.48+0.42%24,153.10+7.37%0.0113✓0.9813k2022-08-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin59.6559.8925+0.41%61.89+3.76%0.0327✗1.1513.6M2022-08-11
PROPropyEthereum0.740.74297+0.40%0.85+14.86%0.1006✓0.6079k2022-08-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09750.097889+0.40%0.0988+1.33%0.0590✗1.207,1482022-08-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.030380.030501+0.40%0.03187+4.90%0.0300✗1.301,4012022-08-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.00670.006727+0.40%0.006698-0.03%0.0334✗0.5140k2022-08-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0542640.054479+0.40%0.057169+5.35%0.0153✓0.5825k2022-08-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.25159.8535+0.38%160.49+0.78%0.0589✗1.111.2M2022-08-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,623.9422,708.83+0.38%23,944.86+5.84%0.0037✗1.00427.9M2022-08-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.33610.337351+0.37%0.3613+7.50%0.0044✓1.138.2M2022-08-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0030690.00308+0.36%0.004951+61.32%0.4184✓0.991.0M2022-08-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04910.049263+0.33%0.05344+8.84%0.0311✓0.8915k2022-08-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.313380.31434+0.31%0.38689+23.46%0.1439✓1.12396k2022-08-11
DASHDashDash49.449.5495+0.30%55.61+12.57%0.0532✓1.10574k2022-08-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.04820.048336+0.28%0.0488+1.24%0.0643✗1.307,5232022-08-11
ZENHorizenBase17.3217.3685+0.28%21.63+24.88%0.1409✓1.38116k2022-08-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0224480.02251+0.28%0.024997+11.36%0.0501✓0.9611k2022-08-11
XECeCashnative0.000042940.00004305+0.26%0.00004644+8.15%0.0102✓1.161.9M2022-08-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004540.004552+0.26%0.00517+13.88%0.0532✓1.31112k2022-08-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009790.009815+0.25%0.01006+2.76%0.0253✗0.885.1M2022-08-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.362810.363723+0.25%0.36776+1.36%0.0630✗1.3013k2022-08-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.06160.061752+0.25%0.078+26.62%0.1525✓1.43350k2022-08-11
SOLSolanaSolana38.8238.9153+0.25%42.8+10.25%0.0176✓1.3781.1M2022-08-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.12690.127185+0.22%0.134+5.59%0.0043✗1.004,7012022-08-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0061460.006159+0.22%0.006618+7.67%0.0237✓0.857,1222022-08-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1139210.114144+0.20%0.125283+9.97%0.0369✓0.996.9M2022-08-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.160.160307+0.19%0.17809+11.31%0.0182✓1.53212k2022-08-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.6164.6248+0.19%4.683+1.45%0.0194✗0.561.4M2022-08-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11680.117016+0.19%0.1263+8.13%0.0153✓1.08370k2022-08-11
STEEMSteemnative0.25220.252666+0.18%0.2695+6.86%0.0014✓1.16768k2022-08-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.7270.728308+0.18%0.74+1.79%0.0676✗1.47121k2022-08-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.52e-7+0.17%0.00000102+7.37%0.0126✓1.0025k2022-08-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.5021.5045+0.16%1.6643+10.81%0.0216✓1.40594k2022-08-11
XTZTezosTezos1.82491.8277+0.15%1.9022+4.24%0.0320✗1.27530k2022-08-11
STXStacksnative0.47370.474416+0.15%0.5032+6.23%0.0114✗1.24808k2022-08-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.33060.331091+0.15%0.3493+5.66%0.0126✗1.173.5M2022-08-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,608.161,610.48+0.14%1,881.04+16.97%0.0829✓1.28407.7M2022-08-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.7820.783074+0.14%0.924+18.16%0.0971✓1.20225k2022-08-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.076930.077031+0.13%0.08332+8.31%0.0369✓0.739772022-08-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.043860.043916+0.13%0.04793+9.28%0.0341✓0.942,0262022-08-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22630.226578+0.12%0.2297+1.50%0.0695✗1.4787k2022-08-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.3991.4006+0.12%1.456+4.07%0.0336✗1.282.6M2022-08-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.3330.33337+0.11%0.321-3.60%0.0967✗1.041.1M2022-08-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13920.13935+0.11%0.1646+18.25%0.1127✓0.953.6M2022-08-11
XVGVergenative0.003770.003774+0.11%0.00393+4.24%0.0330✗1.30551k2022-08-11
DIADIAEthereum0.457070.457529+0.10%0.47814+4.61%0.0008✓0.7668k2022-08-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot8.0928.0989+0.09%9.201+13.70%0.0584✓1.2211.0M2022-08-11
MOVRMoonriverBase14.635914.6477+0.08%17.0874+16.75%0.0889✓1.1558k2022-08-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3402110.340481+0.08%0.376118+10.55%0.0275✓1.271.0M2022-08-11
AAVEAaveEthereum96.3496.4156+0.08%107.55+11.64%0.0154✓1.6610.2M2022-08-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.71.7012+0.07%1.91+12.35%0.0410✓1.32122k2022-08-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021130.021144+0.06%0.02718+28.63%0.1935✓1.02159k2022-08-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0155950.015604+0.06%0.015949+2.27%0.0288✗0.892.1M2022-08-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.10960.109661+0.06%0.1215+10.86%0.0314✓1.25505k2022-08-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.07330.073337+0.05%0.0819+11.73%0.0476✓1.111.1M2022-08-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13470.134764+0.05%0.1474+9.43%0.0175✓1.2761k2022-08-11
FTTFTXEthereum29.1429.1536+0.05%30.52+4.74%0.0080✗0.9510.0M2022-08-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.419540.419725+0.04%0.40616-3.19%0.1111✗1.38583k2022-08-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3290.329088+0.03%0.4285+30.24%0.2001✓1.1377k2022-08-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.26060.260651+0.02%0.3041+16.69%0.0910✓1.1165k2022-08-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.5962.5963+0.01%2.875+10.75%0.0025✓1.75109k2022-08-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0010890.001089-0.00%0.001521+39.72%0.2641✗1.241.3M2022-08-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.05930.059295-0.01%0.0621+4.72%0.0329✓1.39172k2022-08-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum2.4152.4147-0.01%3.611+49.52%0.3518✗0.89110k2022-08-11
XEMNEMnative0.050210.0502-0.02%0.053086+5.73%0.0120✓1.2035k2022-08-11
ADACardanoCardano0.49970.49959-0.02%0.5306+6.18%0.0080✓1.2040.5M2022-08-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016570.001656-0.06%0.001703+2.78%0.0306✓1.039,0682022-08-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.05370.053666-0.06%0.0549+2.23%0.0499✓1.28284k2022-08-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.95923.9565-0.07%4.2149+6.46%0.0017✗1.0945k2022-08-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.08540.085339-0.07%0.0916+7.26%0.0056✗1.15126k2022-08-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.188870.18873-0.07%0.1952+3.35%0.0975✓2.311,1512022-08-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME1.05051.0496-0.08%1.2255+16.66%0.0955✗1.0513k2022-08-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.9822.9794-0.09%3.021+1.31%0.0496✓1.12591k2022-08-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum2.18992.188-0.09%2.3938+9.31%0.0218✗1.2032k2022-08-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.07310.073036-0.09%0.1304+78.39%0.5383✗0.73159k2022-08-11
CBKCobakEthereum1.11291.1118-0.10%1.1706+5.18%0.0112✓1.1111k2022-08-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.41620.415713-0.12%0.458+10.04%0.0223✗1.31127k2022-08-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum3.56e-73.56e-7-0.12%3.27e-7-8.29%0.1413✓0.99164k2022-08-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12020.120042-0.13%0.1425+18.55%0.0937✗1.372.9M2022-08-11
KSMKusamaHydration61.1261.0363-0.14%60.91-0.34%0.0687✓1.17379k2022-08-11
IMXImmutableEthereum1.12731.1258-0.14%1.1274+0.01%0.0763✓1.371.4M2022-08-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.471.4679-0.14%1.54+4.76%0.0320✓1.411.2M2022-08-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0711.0522-0.16%11.8+6.59%0.0026✓1.20263k2022-08-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum1.2971.2948-0.17%1.324+2.08%0.0482✓1.241.1M2022-08-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.404330.403613-0.18%0.4605+13.89%0.0643✗1.19107k2022-08-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood3.093.0845-0.18%2.93-5.18%0.0794✓0.49109k2022-08-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum17.7517.7145-0.20%18.45+3.94%0.0335✓1.311.3M2022-08-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos10.35910.3363-0.22%11.749+13.42%0.0512✗1.3513.7M2022-08-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.992450.990227-0.22%1.0527+6.07%0.0125✓1.30532k2022-08-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.03391.0315-0.24%1.4845+43.58%0.2989✗1.151.0M2022-08-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.14470.144348-0.24%0.1497+3.46%0.0251✓1.08907k2022-08-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.2180.217442-0.26%0.228+4.59%0.0384✓1.51782k2022-08-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV60.26960.1117-0.26%61.928+2.75%0.0175✓0.83321k2022-08-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.032310.03222-0.28%0.05195+60.79%0.4078✗1.2314k2022-08-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0205250.020467-0.28%0.019255-6.19%0.0849✓0.42167k2022-08-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0090.008973-0.30%0.00871-3.22%0.1024✓1.28387k2022-08-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.987.9562-0.30%8.186+2.58%0.0408✓1.227.0M2022-08-11
DODODODOEthereum0.17290.172383-0.30%0.1775+2.66%0.0401✓1.223.5M2022-08-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.034970.034864-0.30%0.03161-9.61%0.1798✓1.4413.9M2022-08-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.086150.08589-0.30%0.08708+1.08%0.0636✓1.3629k2022-08-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.04210.041972-0.30%0.0439+4.28%0.0246✓1.2376k2022-08-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.26110.260284-0.31%0.2613+0.08%0.0032✗0.0129k2022-08-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0630.062803-0.31%0.0749+18.89%0.1034✗1.28802k2022-08-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.017580.017525-0.31%0.01787+1.65%0.0271✓0.82193k2022-08-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.7282.7194-0.32%2.849+4.44%0.0346✓1.4349k2022-08-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.758.7222-0.32%8.57-2.06%0.0453✓0.491.8M2022-08-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.085410.085133-0.32%0.08746+2.40%0.0116✗0.271.1M2022-08-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche23.3723.294-0.33%28.54+22.12%0.1134✗1.5826.1M2022-08-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain2.91752.908-0.33%2.9337+0.56%0.0468✓0.981.2M2022-08-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana5.545.5214-0.33%5.8+4.69%0.0157✗0.59873k2022-08-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin8.0928.0644-0.34%8.347+3.15%0.0248✓1.042.5M2022-08-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos2.2522.2442-0.35%2.326+3.29%0.0430✓1.39172k2022-08-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana5.825.7996-0.35%5.91+1.55%0.0195✓0.68746k2022-08-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana3.833.8162-0.36%4.044+5.59%0.0186✗0.691.5M2022-08-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0021890.002181-0.37%0.002212+1.05%0.0426✓1.001.4M2022-08-11
API3Api3Ethereum2.2232.2148-0.37%2.184-1.75%0.0861✓1.27626k2022-08-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.21750.216693-0.37%0.2554+17.43%0.0902✗1.311,5612022-08-11
COMPCompoundEthereum5655.7895-0.38%63.11+12.70%0.0444✗1.3935k2022-08-11
BANDBandEthereum1.7551.7482-0.39%1.767+0.68%0.0705✓1.43341k2022-08-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.14163.1292-0.40%3.2004+1.87%0.0208✓0.761.1M2022-08-11
HIVEHivenative0.58130.578889-0.41%0.6302+8.41%0.0177✗1.181.8M2022-08-11
XVSVenusEthereum6.436.4028-0.42%6.61+2.80%0.0470✓1.391.2M2022-08-11
GITCOINGITCOIN3.18543.1719-0.42%3.1366-1.53%0.0999✓1.5612k2022-08-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06670.066413-0.43%0.0718+7.65%0.0247✗0.94183k2022-08-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.08090.080551-0.43%0.09833+21.55%0.1151✗1.49871k2022-08-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.59650.593924-0.43%0.6487+8.75%0.0234✗1.14690k2022-08-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7990.795273-0.47%0.864+8.14%0.0250✗1.02377k2022-08-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5580.555271-0.49%0.551-1.25%0.0727✓1.1414k2022-08-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.16420.163394-0.49%0.1949+18.70%0.1059✗1.24518k2022-08-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum3.123.104-0.51%3.13+0.32%0.0778✓1.52211k2022-08-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.6860.682406-0.52%0.691+0.73%0.0668✓1.4088k2022-08-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana3.8443.8233-0.54%4.034+4.94%0.0205✗0.581.9M2022-08-11
UNIUniswapEthereum8.8198.7706-0.55%8.964+1.64%0.0572✓1.399.9M2022-08-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.2141.2073-0.55%0.993-18.20%0.2323✓0.651.9M2022-08-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.595.559-0.55%5.28-5.55%0.0862✓0.611.4M2022-08-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.8615.7713-0.56%15.6-1.64%0.0907✓1.412.5M2022-08-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.9823.9597-0.56%4.091+2.74%0.0160✓0.86922k2022-08-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.7773.7555-0.57%4.038+6.91%0.0263✓1.745.0M2022-08-11
QNTQuantEthereum103.74103.13-0.59%124.47+19.98%0.1319✗0.994.2M2022-08-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.43880.43621-0.59%0.4591+4.63%0.0328✓1.48278k2022-08-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.8141.8028-0.62%2.089+15.16%0.1115✗0.63206k2022-08-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.4635-0.67%2.58+4.03%0.0148✓1.08507k2022-08-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.9671.9538-0.67%2.005+1.93%0.0542✓1.41266k2022-08-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.8460.839894-0.72%0.889+5.08%0.0419✓1.744.6M2022-08-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum9.29.1248-0.82%10.3+11.96%0.0425✗1.39334k2022-08-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.581.5667-0.84%1.52-3.80%0.0471✓0.30242k2022-08-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.9090.901259-0.85%0.967+6.38%0.0297✓1.76496k2022-08-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.834.7885-0.86%4.8-0.62%0.0374✓0.701.3M2022-08-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.57760.572579-0.87%0.5389-6.70%0.1387✓1.38234k2022-08-11
APEApeCoinEthereum7.4377.3708-0.89%6.929-6.83%0.1601✓1.7313.1M2022-08-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum27.9927.7393-0.90%36.12+29.05%0.1870✗1.36946k2022-08-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.37213.3414-0.91%3.3972+0.74%0.0340✓0.891.4M2022-08-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.1565.1079-0.93%6.256+21.33%0.1729✗0.532.4M2022-08-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.834.4723-0.94%42.06+20.86%0.1192✗1.4011.4M2022-08-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.7860.778087-1.01%0.769-2.16%0.0944✓1.463,1392022-08-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.32861.3145-1.06%1.3595+2.33%0.0511✓1.495.6M2022-08-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.18531.1719-1.13%1.127-4.92%0.0884✓0.874.1M2022-08-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000099250.000098114-1.14%0.00009727-1.99%0.1244✓2.04516k2022-08-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.3020.29852-1.15%0.3078+1.92%0.0326✓1.11300k2022-08-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,646.8210,514.68-1.24%11,294.44+6.08%0.0093✓1.424.5M2022-08-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.665910.657314-1.29%0.7242+8.75%0.0112✓1.5188k2022-08-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum21.6221.3005-1.48%21.14-2.22%0.0555✓0.842.4M2022-08-11
ORCAOrcaSolana1.01921.0033-1.56%1.0027-1.62%0.0978✓1.71241k2022-08-11
OPTIMOptimism1.9181.8839-1.78%1.558-18.77%0.3019✓1.972.8M2022-08-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.56770.553904-2.43%0.5522-2.73%0.0663✓1.1146k2022-08-11
FLOWFlownative2.62.5195-3.10%2.971+14.27%0.0933✗1.26448k2022-08-11
METISMetisEthereum46.0144.4517-3.39%44.8-2.63%0.0956✓1.82266k2022-08-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.