GITCOIN

GITCOIN · · gru_s0

token id: #910
symbol: GITCOIN
variant: –
chain
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,274

Track record at +7d

assessed

391

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

54.2%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0948

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0081

actual +0.0066

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.257645	0.251638	-2.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.17
2026-10-21	oos	0.26309	0.257752	-2.03%	–	pending	–	–	0.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3197	0.310442	-2.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.27
2026-10-19	oos	0.34262	0.326378	-4.74%	–	pending	–	–	0.30
2026-10-18	oos	0.262905	0.253632	-3.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.33
2026-10-17	oos	0.236285	0.225894	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	0.31
2026-10-16	oos	0.194295	0.190879	-1.76%	–	pending	–	–	0.34
2026-10-15	oos	0.19959	0.196	-1.80%	0.257645	+29.09%	0.2654	✗	0.32
2026-10-14	oos	0.22069	0.215459	-2.37%	0.26309	+19.21%	0.1898	✗	0.34
2026-10-13	oos	0.22483	0.219247	-2.48%	0.3197	+42.20%	0.3779	✗	0.34
2026-10-12	oos	0.28174	0.264366	-6.17%	0.34262	+21.61%	0.2588	✗	0.44
2026-10-11	oos	0.181495	0.17877	-1.50%	0.262905	+44.86%	0.4013	✗	0.78
2026-10-10	oos	0.18555	0.182253	-1.78%	0.236285	+27.34%	0.2744	✗	0.79
2026-10-09	oos	0.191325	0.187871	-1.81%	0.194295	+1.55%	0.0438	✗	0.80
2026-10-08	oos	0.21178	0.205657	-2.89%	0.19959	-5.76%	0.0343	✓	0.82
2026-10-07	oos	0.190335	0.184198	-3.22%	0.22069	+15.95%	0.1992	✗	0.89
2026-10-06	oos	0.14877	0.147148	-1.09%	0.22483	+51.13%	0.4558	✗	1.10
2026-10-05	oos	0.187335	0.182312	-2.68%	0.28174	+50.39%	0.4864	✗	1.07
2026-10-04	oos	0.17482	0.168649	-3.53%	0.181495	+3.82%	0.1104	✗	1.11
2026-10-03	oos	0.11475	0.113949	-0.70%	0.18555	+61.70%	0.5077	✗	0.92
2026-10-02	oos	0.13424	0.131992	-1.67%	0.191325	+42.52%	0.3927	✗	0.92
2026-10-01	oos	0.143895	0.139221	-3.25%	0.21178	+47.18%	0.4532	✗	0.89
2026-09-30	oos	0.09422	0.093774	-0.47%	0.190335	+102.01%	0.7105	✗	0.78
2026-09-29	oos	0.08629	0.086237	-0.06%	0.14877	+72.41%	0.5277	✗	0.78
2026-09-28	oos	0.085545	0.085391	-0.18%	0.187335	+118.99%	0.7632	✗	0.83
2026-09-27	oos	0.0909	0.090994	+0.10%	0.17482	+92.32%	0.6335	✓	0.81
2026-09-26	oos	0.091	0.09102	+0.02%	0.11475	+26.10%	0.2286	✓	0.81
2026-09-25	oos	0.092755	0.091962	-0.85%	0.13424	+44.73%	0.3743	✗	0.81
2026-09-24	oos	0.086435	0.086754	+0.37%	0.143895	+66.48%	0.5015	✓	0.82
2026-09-23	oos	0.083	0.083483	+0.58%	0.09422	+13.52%	0.1291	✓	0.83
2026-09-22	oos	0.088195	0.088651	+0.52%	0.08629	-2.16%	0.0028	✓	0.80
2026-09-21	oos	0.087215	0.087488	+0.31%	0.085545	-1.91%	0.0074	✓	0.81
2026-09-20	oos	0.083935	0.084147	+0.25%	0.0909	+8.30%	0.0429	✓	0.86
2026-09-19	oos	0.08571	0.085776	+0.08%	0.091	+6.17%	0.0261	✓	0.86
2026-09-18	oos	0.081885	0.08175	-0.17%	0.092755	+13.27%	0.0923	✗	0.87
2026-09-17	oos	0.07708	0.076769	-0.40%	0.086435	+12.14%	0.0328	✗	0.86
2026-09-16	oos	0.0758	0.075469	-0.44%	0.083	+9.50%	0.0073	✗	0.85
2026-09-15	oos	0.07503	0.074687	-0.46%	0.088195	+17.55%	0.0511	✗	0.88
2026-09-14	oos	0.077365	0.077321	-0.06%	0.087215	+12.73%	0.0302	✗	0.88
2026-09-13	oos	0.07788	0.077703	-0.23%	0.083935	+7.77%	0.0285	✗	0.88
2026-09-12	oos	0.077905	0.078028	+0.16%	0.08571	+10.02%	0.0497	✓	0.88
2026-09-11	oos	0.07607	0.076338	+0.35%	0.081885	+7.64%	0.0289	✓	0.89
2026-09-10	oos	0.075515	0.075903	+0.51%	0.07708	+2.07%	0.0176	✓	0.90
2026-09-09	oos	0.078425	0.078744	+0.41%	0.0758	-3.35%	0.0136	✗	0.88
2026-09-08	oos	0.082695	0.082899	+0.25%	0.07503	-9.27%	0.0652	✗	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.080165	0.080435	+0.34%	0.077365	-3.49%	0.0278	✗	0.95
2026-09-06	oos	0.08248	0.082908	+0.52%	0.07788	-5.58%	0.0200	✗	0.95
2026-09-05	oos	0.08222	0.082616	+0.48%	0.077905	-5.25%	0.0278	✗	0.95
2026-09-04	oos	0.079325	0.079831	+0.64%	0.07607	-4.10%	0.0196	✗	0.91
2026-09-03	oos	0.08127	0.082004	+0.90%	0.075515	-7.08%	0.0275	✗	0.92
2026-09-02	oos	0.078745	0.079216	+0.60%	0.078425	-0.41%	0.0219	✗	0.95
2026-09-01	oos	0.07956	0.08	+0.55%	0.082695	+3.94%	0.0202	✓	0.96
2026-08-31	oos	0.08127	0.081468	+0.24%	0.080165	-1.36%	0.0223	✗	0.92
2026-08-30	oos	0.08009	0.080193	+0.13%	0.08248	+2.98%	0.0049	✗	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.083185	0.083698	+0.62%	0.08222	-1.16%	0.0362	✗	0.91
2026-08-28	oos	0.0849	0.0855	+0.71%	0.079325	-6.57%	0.0961	✗	0.91
2026-08-27	oos	0.08845	0.088976	+0.59%	0.08127	-8.12%	0.1016	✗	0.90
2026-08-26	oos	0.085315	0.085853	+0.63%	0.078745	-7.70%	0.0668	✗	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.08244	0.082838	+0.48%	0.07956	-3.49%	0.0274	✗	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.08557	0.086148	+0.68%	0.08127	-5.03%	0.0537	✗	0.86
2026-08-23	oos	0.08864	0.088964	+0.37%	0.08009	-9.65%	0.1043	✗	0.90
2026-08-22	oos	0.08692	0.087147	+0.26%	0.083185	-4.30%	0.0601	✗	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.09159	0.091605	+0.02%	0.0849	-7.30%	0.0706	✗	0.87
2026-08-20	oos	0.085985	0.086084	+0.11%	0.08845	+2.87%	0.0538	✗	0.85
2026-08-19	oos	0.084035	0.083732	-0.36%	0.085315	+1.52%	0.0936	✓	0.86
2026-08-18	oos	0.08141	0.080677	-0.90%	0.08244	+1.27%	0.1572	✓	0.92
2026-08-17	oos	0.08341	0.082526	-1.06%	0.08557	+2.59%	0.1526	✓	0.93
2026-08-16	oos	0.085125	0.083966	-1.36%	0.08864	+4.13%	0.1529	✓	0.97
2026-08-15	oos	0.08596	0.084821	-1.32%	0.08692	+1.12%	0.1718	✓	0.98
2026-08-14	oos	0.084925	0.082944	-2.33%	0.09159	+7.85%	0.1154	✓	0.98
2026-08-13	oos	0.08063	0.079741	-1.10%	0.085985	+6.64%	0.0649	✓	1.00
2026-08-12	oos	0.081675	0.080667	-1.23%	0.084035	+2.89%	0.0531	✓	1.06
2026-08-11	oos	0.083095	0.081995	-1.32%	0.08141	-2.03%	0.0253	✓	1.01
2026-08-10	oos	0.086115	0.084984	-1.31%	0.08341	-3.14%	0.0280	✓	1.06
2026-08-09	oos	0.088645	0.087123	-1.72%	0.085125	-3.97%	0.0135	✓	1.16
2026-08-08	oos	0.088445	0.08713	-1.49%	0.08596	-2.81%	0.0189	✗	1.10
2026-08-07	oos	0.084405	0.083273	-1.34%	0.084925	+0.62%	0.0521	✗	1.08
2026-08-06	oos	0.08178	0.080539	-1.52%	0.08063	-1.41%	0.0153	✓	1.07
2026-08-05	oos	0.079185	0.078341	-1.07%	0.081675	+3.14%	0.0617	✗	1.08
2026-08-04	oos	0.07476	0.074009	-1.00%	0.083095	+11.15%	0.1242	✗	1.04
2026-08-03	oos	0.077655	0.076591	-1.37%	0.086115	+10.89%	0.1098	✗	1.07
2026-08-02	oos	0.07726	0.076465	-1.03%	0.088645	+14.74%	0.1262	✗	1.03
2026-08-01	oos	0.07626	0.075534	-0.95%	0.088445	+15.98%	0.1235	✗	1.02
2026-07-31	oos	0.07421	0.073535	-0.91%	0.084405	+13.74%	0.1049	✗	1.02
2026-07-30	oos	0.073465	0.072937	-0.72%	0.08178	+11.32%	0.1219	✗	1.06
2026-07-29	oos	0.073065	0.072603	-0.63%	0.079185	+8.38%	0.0751	✗	1.06
2026-07-28	oos	0.07689	0.07619	-0.91%	0.07476	-2.77%	0.0223	✓	1.07
2026-07-27	oos	0.07114	0.070667	-0.67%	0.077655	+9.16%	0.0981	✗	1.06
2026-07-26	oos	0.068975	0.068726	-0.36%	0.07726	+12.01%	0.1487	✗	1.11
2026-07-25	oos	0.0688	0.0685	-0.44%	0.07626	+10.84%	0.1332	✗	1.07
2026-07-24	oos	0.065655	0.065347	-0.47%	0.07421	+13.03%	0.1478	✗	1.04
2026-07-23	oos	0.06713	0.06694	-0.28%	0.073465	+9.44%	0.0981	✗	1.00
2026-07-22	oos	0.06796	0.067851	-0.16%	0.073065	+7.51%	0.1072	✗	0.98
2026-07-21	oos	0.06845	0.068296	-0.22%	0.07689	+12.33%	0.1592	✗	0.99
2026-07-20	oos	0.06732	0.06709	-0.34%	0.07114	+5.67%	0.0806	✗	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.06641	0.066228	-0.27%	0.068975	+3.86%	0.0314	✗	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.06636	0.066126	-0.35%	0.0688	+3.68%	0.0469	✗	0.93
2026-07-17	oos	0.066405	0.066111	-0.44%	0.065655	-1.13%	0.0093	✓	0.82
2026-07-16	oos	0.067165	0.067003	-0.24%	0.06713	-0.05%	0.0134	✓	0.77
2026-07-15	oos	0.06929	0.069107	-0.26%	0.06796	-1.92%	0.0327	✓	0.76
2026-07-14	oos	0.070405	0.070012	-0.56%	0.06845	-2.78%	0.0406	✓	0.78
2026-07-13	oos	0.0674	0.067173	-0.34%	0.06732	-0.12%	0.0334	✓	0.77
2026-07-12	oos	0.06919	0.068886	-0.44%	0.06641	-4.02%	0.0478	✓	0.77
2026-07-11	oos	0.068475	0.06814	-0.49%	0.06636	-3.09%	0.0403	✓	0.87
2026-07-10	oos	0.069415	0.068991	-0.61%	0.066405	-4.34%	0.0350	✓	0.88
2026-07-09	oos	0.06843	0.067989	-0.64%	0.067165	-1.85%	0.0204	✓	0.88
2026-07-08	oos	0.069165	0.068733	-0.62%	0.06929	+0.18%	0.0263	✓	0.88
2026-07-07	oos	0.070535	0.069938	-0.85%	0.070405	-0.18%	0.0159	✓	0.87
2026-07-06	oos	0.074435	0.073838	-0.80%	0.0674	-9.45%	0.0676	✓	0.86
2026-07-05	oos	0.07528	0.07457	-0.94%	0.06919	-8.09%	0.0769	✓	0.83
2026-07-04	oos	0.07538	0.074742	-0.85%	0.068475	-9.16%	0.0965	✓	0.83
2026-07-03	oos	0.08036	0.07943	-1.16%	0.069415	-13.62%	0.1554	✓	0.81
2026-07-02	oos	0.07374	0.073244	-0.67%	0.06843	-7.20%	0.0891	✓	0.78
2026-07-01	oos	0.073425	0.072593	-1.13%	0.069165	-5.80%	0.0778	✓	0.79
2026-06-30	oos	0.066145	0.065637	-0.77%	0.070535	+6.64%	0.0136	✗	0.74
2026-06-29	oos	0.068145	0.067532	-0.90%	0.074435	+9.23%	0.0519	✗	0.73
2026-06-28	oos	0.06846	0.068076	-0.56%	0.07528	+9.96%	0.0512	✗	0.74
2026-06-27	oos	0.068265	0.067601	-0.97%	0.07538	+10.42%	0.0709	✗	0.74
2026-06-26	oos	0.06861	0.067893	-1.04%	0.08036	+17.13%	0.1379	✗	0.75
2026-06-25	oos	0.068195	0.067487	-1.04%	0.07374	+8.13%	0.0667	✗	0.75
2026-06-24	oos	0.06986	0.069008	-1.22%	0.073425	+5.10%	0.0738	✗	0.70
2026-06-23	oos	0.07161	0.070435	-1.64%	0.066145	-7.63%	0.0125	✓	0.74
2026-06-22	oos	0.07623	0.075536	-0.91%	0.068145	-10.61%	0.0600	✓	0.70
2026-06-21	oos	0.075245	0.07456	-0.91%	0.06846	-9.02%	0.0426	✓	0.70
2026-06-20	oos	0.07835	0.07755	-1.02%	0.068265	-12.87%	0.0805	✓	0.68
2026-06-19	oos	0.075955	0.074798	-1.52%	0.06861	-9.67%	0.0491	✓	0.66
2026-06-18	oos	0.076205	0.075404	-1.05%	0.068195	-10.51%	0.0651	✓	0.68
2026-06-17	oos	0.080185	0.079083	-1.37%	0.06986	-12.88%	0.0885	✓	0.64
2026-06-16	oos	0.082235	0.081019	-1.48%	0.07161	-12.92%	0.0938	✓	0.64
2026-06-15	oos	0.08092	0.079497	-1.76%	0.07623	-5.80%	0.0188	✓	0.65
2026-06-14	oos	0.081315	0.079717	-1.96%	0.075245	-7.46%	0.0328	✓	0.65
2026-06-13	oos	0.07894	0.077402	-1.95%	0.07835	-0.75%	0.0142	✓	0.62
2026-06-12	oos	0.07697	0.075231	-2.26%	0.075955	-1.32%	0.0102	✓	0.61
2026-06-11	oos	0.0787	0.078006	-0.88%	0.076205	-3.17%	0.0168	✓	0.61
2026-06-10	oos	0.072485	0.072064	-0.58%	0.080185	+10.62%	0.0822	✗	0.52
2026-06-09	oos	0.07651	0.075977	-0.70%	0.082235	+7.48%	0.0457	✗	0.54
2026-06-07	oos	0.07432	0.073873	-0.60%	0.081315	+9.41%	0.0752	✗	0.56
2026-06-06	oos	0.0741	0.073898	-0.27%	0.07894	+6.53%	0.0315	✗	0.60
2026-06-05	oos	0.07737	0.077038	-0.43%	0.07697	-0.52%	0.0249	✓	0.60
2026-06-04	oos	0.08171	0.080954	-0.92%	0.0787	-3.68%	0.0261	✓	0.57
2026-06-03	oos	0.08873	0.087871	-0.97%	0.072485	-18.31%	0.1682	✓	0.59
2026-06-02	oos	0.08961	0.088634	-1.09%	0.07651	-14.62%	0.0997	✓	0.61
2026-06-01	oos	0.09889	0.097543	-1.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.44
2026-05-31	oos	0.094545	0.093422	-1.19%	0.07432	-21.39%	0.1559	✓	0.48
2026-05-30	oos	0.09347	0.092427	-1.12%	0.0741	-20.72%	0.1296	✓	0.47
2026-05-29	oos	0.092475	0.091383	-1.18%	0.07737	-16.33%	0.0756	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.09348	0.092381	-1.18%	0.08171	-12.59%	0.0548	✓	0.48
2026-05-27	oos	0.09646	0.095365	-1.13%	0.08873	-8.01%	0.0011	✓	0.48
2026-05-26	oos	0.093435	0.09242	-1.09%	0.08961	-4.09%	0.0336	✗	0.50
2026-05-25	oos	0.09847	0.097497	-0.99%	0.09889	+0.43%	0.0558	✗	0.52
2026-05-24	oos	0.10152	0.100474	-1.03%	0.094545	-6.87%	0.0372	✓	0.52
2026-05-23	oos	0.109445	0.108037	-1.29%	0.09347	-14.60%	0.1240	✓	0.54
2026-05-22	oos	0.10947	0.107728	-1.59%	0.092475	-15.52%	0.1373	✓	0.55
2026-05-21	oos	0.108555	0.107373	-1.09%	0.09348	-13.89%	0.1082	✓	0.57
2026-05-20	oos	0.104355	0.103291	-1.02%	0.09646	-7.57%	0.0449	✓	0.57
2026-05-19	oos	0.10251	0.101394	-1.09%	0.093435	-8.85%	0.0749	✓	0.56
2026-05-18	oos	0.095495	0.09475	-0.78%	0.09847	+3.12%	0.0362	✗	0.58
2026-05-17	oos	0.09797	0.097141	-0.85%	0.10152	+3.62%	0.0474	✗	0.59
2026-05-16	oos	0.10234	0.10126	-1.06%	0.109445	+6.94%	0.0887	✗	0.58
2026-05-15	oos	0.10441	0.10303	-1.32%	0.10947	+4.85%	0.0879	✗	0.58
2026-05-14	oos	0.11545	0.113289	-1.87%	0.108555	-5.97%	0.0191	✓	0.53
2026-05-13	oos	0.11943	0.11739	-1.71%	0.104355	-12.62%	0.1041	✓	0.59
2026-05-12	oos	0.1365	0.132621	-2.84%	0.10251	-24.90%	0.2326	✓	0.53
2026-05-11	oos	0.177745	0.164875	-7.24%	0.095495	-46.27%	0.5209	✓	0.42
2026-05-10	oos	0.10148	0.100755	-0.71%	0.09797	-3.46%	0.0034	✓	0.52
2026-05-09	oos	0.10086	0.100032	-0.82%	0.10234	+1.47%	0.0396	✗	0.52
2026-05-07	oos	0.092805	0.092396	-0.44%	0.11545	+24.40%	0.2159	✗	0.51
2026-05-06	oos	0.09127	0.091109	-0.18%	0.11943	+30.85%	0.2878	✗	0.64
2026-05-05	oos	0.088365	0.088338	-0.03%	0.1365	+54.47%	0.4390	✗	0.73
2026-05-04	oos	0.09352	0.09324	-0.30%	0.177745	+90.06%	0.6279	✗	0.74
2026-05-03	oos	0.09292	0.092517	-0.43%	0.10148	+9.21%	0.0586	✗	0.75
2026-05-02	oos	0.09292	0.092509	-0.44%	0.10086	+8.54%	0.0676	✗	0.76
2026-04-30	oos	0.093425	0.092817	-0.65%	0.092805	-0.66%	0.0380	✓	0.80
2026-04-29	oos	0.093435	0.092834	-0.64%	0.09127	-2.32%	0.0749	✓	0.80
2026-04-28	oos	0.095645	0.09512	-0.55%	0.088365	-7.61%	0.1217	✓	0.82
2026-04-27	oos	0.09717	0.096803	-0.38%	0.09352	-3.76%	0.0605	✓	0.82
2026-04-26	oos	0.09153	0.091608	+0.08%	0.09292	+1.52%	0.0154	✓	0.83
2026-04-25	oos	0.094655	0.094593	-0.07%	0.09292	-1.83%	0.0291	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.116335	0.115181	-0.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.88
2026-04-23	oos	0.109425	0.108715	-0.65%	0.093425	-14.62%	0.1290	✓	0.88
2026-04-22	oos	0.102415	0.102025	-0.38%	0.093435	-8.77%	0.0598	✓	0.88
2026-04-21	oos	0.10705	0.106071	-0.91%	0.095645	-10.65%	0.1031	✓	0.90
2026-04-20	oos	0.11432	0.112862	-1.28%	0.09717	-15.00%	0.1675	✓	0.91
2026-04-19	oos	0.109585	0.107841	-1.59%	0.09153	-16.48%	0.2229	✓	0.93
2026-04-18	oos	0.097545	0.096889	-0.67%	0.094655	-2.96%	0.0473	✓	0.96
2026-04-17	oos	0.0899	0.089778	-0.14%	0.116335	+29.40%	0.2545	✗	0.98
2026-04-16	oos	0.08841	0.088037	-0.42%	0.109425	+23.77%	0.1774	✗	0.99
2026-04-15	oos	0.08242	0.082211	-0.25%	0.102415	+24.26%	0.1765	✗	0.98
2026-04-14	oos	0.07959	0.079371	-0.28%	0.10705	+34.50%	0.2709	✗	0.98
2026-04-13	oos	0.08342	0.083111	-0.37%	0.11432	+37.04%	0.3005	✗	0.97
2026-04-12	oos	0.07559	0.074972	-0.82%	0.109585	+44.97%	0.3387	✗	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.078515	0.078178	-0.43%	0.097545	+24.24%	0.1871	✗	0.96
2026-04-10	oos	0.07798	0.077668	-0.40%	0.0899	+15.29%	0.0939	✗	0.96
2026-04-09	oos	0.07821	0.077763	-0.57%	0.08841	+13.04%	0.0843	✗	0.96
2026-04-08	oos	0.07942	0.078874	-0.69%	0.08242	+3.78%	0.0056	✓	0.96
2026-04-07	oos	0.08039	0.079853	-0.67%	0.07959	-1.00%	0.0333	✓	0.96
2026-04-06	oos	0.07956	0.078602	-1.20%	0.08342	+4.85%	0.0172	✓	0.98
2026-04-05	oos	0.07457	0.073772	-1.07%	0.07559	+1.37%	0.0002	✓	0.98
2026-04-04	oos	0.0766	0.075659	-1.23%	0.078515	+2.50%	0.0455	✓	1.00
2026-04-03	oos	0.07325	0.072446	-1.10%	0.07798	+6.46%	0.0124	✓	1.00
2026-04-02	oos	0.0744	0.073611	-1.06%	0.07821	+5.12%	0.0101	✓	1.00
2026-04-01	oos	0.07843	0.077643	-1.00%	0.07942	+1.26%	0.0200	✓	1.00
2026-03-31	oos	0.07749	0.076841	-0.84%	0.08039	+3.74%	0.0080	✓	1.01
2026-03-30	oos	0.07634	0.075786	-0.73%	0.07956	+4.22%	0.0170	✗	1.01
2026-03-29	oos	0.07582	0.075376	-0.59%	0.07457	-1.65%	0.0565	✓	1.01
2026-03-28	oos	0.07925	0.078838	-0.52%	0.0766	-3.34%	0.0435	✓	1.01
2026-03-27	oos	0.07896	0.078632	-0.42%	0.07325	-7.23%	0.0801	✓	1.01
2026-03-26	oos	0.07768	0.077587	-0.12%	0.0744	-4.22%	0.0133	✓	1.04
2026-03-25	oos	0.0836	0.083649	+0.06%	0.07843	-6.18%	0.0175	✗	1.03
2026-03-24	oos	0.08545	0.085451	+0.00%	0.07749	-9.32%	0.0635	✗	1.03
2026-03-23	oos	0.08246	0.082552	+0.11%	0.07634	-7.42%	0.0162	✗	1.03
2026-03-22	oos	0.08039	0.080351	-0.05%	0.07582	-5.68%	0.0287	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.07959	0.07966	+0.09%	0.07925	-0.43%	0.0349	✓	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.083455	0.083624	+0.20%	0.07896	-5.39%	0.0055	✓	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.089	0.089068	+0.08%	0.07768	-12.72%	0.1194	✗	1.05
2026-03-18	oos	0.09065	0.090771	+0.13%	0.0836	-7.78%	0.0831	✗	1.06
2026-03-17	oos	0.09312	0.093307	+0.20%	0.08545	-8.24%	0.0377	✗	1.07
2026-03-16	oos	0.09414	0.09432	+0.19%	0.08246	-12.41%	0.0754	✗	1.07
2026-03-15	oos	0.09439	0.09447	+0.08%	0.08039	-14.83%	0.0851	✗	1.08
2026-03-14	oos	0.09464	0.094648	+0.01%	0.07959	-15.90%	0.1375	✗	1.08
2026-03-13	oos	0.0955	0.095455	-0.05%	0.083455	-12.61%	0.1275	✓	1.09
2026-03-12	oos	0.108195	0.107448	-0.69%	0.089	-17.74%	0.1787	✓	1.10
2026-03-11	oos	0.09188	0.09173	-0.16%	0.09065	-1.34%	0.0278	✓	1.09
2026-03-10	oos	0.08344	0.083416	-0.03%	0.09312	+11.60%	0.0506	✗	1.08
2026-03-09	oos	0.08216	0.082098	-0.08%	0.09414	+14.58%	0.0395	✗	1.08
2026-03-08	oos	0.078635	0.078562	-0.09%	0.09439	+20.04%	0.0762	✗	1.09
2026-03-07	oos	0.07856	0.078521	-0.05%	0.09464	+20.47%	0.1240	✗	1.09
2026-03-06	oos	0.08108	0.081028	-0.06%	0.0955	+17.78%	0.1201	✗	1.08
2026-03-05	oos	0.08471	0.084624	-0.10%	0.108195	+27.72%	0.2512	✗	1.09
2026-03-04	oos	0.08731	0.087183	-0.14%	0.09188	+5.23%	0.0903	✗	1.09
2026-03-03	oos	0.08708	0.086923	-0.18%	0.08344	-4.18%	0.0678	✓	1.15
2026-03-02	oos	0.08459	0.084472	-0.14%	0.08216	-2.87%	0.0211	✓	1.14
2026-03-01	oos	0.08345	0.083349	-0.12%	0.078635	-5.77%	0.0617	✓	1.13
2026-02-28	oos	0.08748	0.087319	-0.18%	0.07856	-10.20%	0.1107	✓	1.15
2026-02-27	oos	0.08944	0.089241	-0.22%	0.08108	-9.35%	0.1348	✓	1.16
2026-02-26	oos	0.09121	0.090957	-0.28%	0.08471	-7.13%	0.1282	✓	1.16
2026-02-25	oos	0.0915	0.091215	-0.31%	0.08731	-4.58%	0.1213	✓	1.16
2026-02-24	oos	0.08644	0.086289	-0.17%	0.08708	+0.74%	0.0665	✓	1.17
2026-02-23	oos	0.08701	0.086855	-0.18%	0.08459	-2.78%	0.0995	✓	1.16
2026-02-22	oos	0.09035	0.090084	-0.29%	0.08345	-7.64%	0.0441	✓	1.17
2026-02-21	oos	0.093555	0.093203	-0.38%	0.08748	-6.49%	0.0464	✓	1.16
2026-02-20	oos	0.09345	0.093089	-0.39%	0.08944	-4.29%	0.0031	✓	1.16
2026-02-19	oos	0.09335	0.093014	-0.36%	0.09121	-2.29%	0.0286	✓	1.17
2026-02-18	oos	0.09564	0.095267	-0.39%	0.0915	-4.33%	0.0678	✓	1.17
2026-02-17	oos	0.10139	0.100812	-0.57%	0.08644	-14.75%	0.0971	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.104625	0.103868	-0.72%	0.08701	-16.84%	0.1075	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.10273	0.102002	-0.71%	0.09035	-12.05%	0.1024	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	0.1054	0.104506	-0.85%	0.093555	-11.24%	0.0816	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.10411	0.103232	-0.84%	0.09345	-10.24%	0.0863	✓	1.10
2026-02-12	oos	0.09806	0.097469	-0.60%	0.09335	-4.80%	0.0556	✓	1.08
2026-02-11	oos	0.09563	0.095107	-0.55%	0.09564	+0.01%	0.0153	✗	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.09579	0.095153	-0.66%	0.10139	+5.85%	0.0847	✗	1.08
2026-02-09	oos	0.09841	0.097613	-0.81%	0.104625	+6.32%	0.0887	✗	1.08
2026-02-08	oos	0.0974	0.096652	-0.77%	0.10273	+5.47%	0.0843	✗	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.10021	0.099455	-0.75%	0.1054	+5.18%	0.0495	✗	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.101	0.100099	-0.89%	0.10411	+3.08%	0.0663	✗	1.10
2026-02-05	oos	0.0899	0.09081	+1.01%	0.09806	+9.08%	0.0177	✓	1.12
2026-02-04	oos	0.10425	0.103329	-0.88%	0.09563	-8.27%	0.0282	✗	1.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.1073	0.106146	-1.08%	0.09579	-10.73%	0.0155	✗	1.24
2026-02-02	oos	0.1112	0.109786	-1.27%	0.09841	-11.50%	0.0369	✗	1.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.1046	0.103731	-0.83%	0.0974	-6.88%	0.0413	✗	1.16
2026-01-31	oos	0.1058	0.104889	-0.86%	0.10021	-5.28%	0.1094	✗	1.22
2026-01-30	oos	0.1176	0.116139	-1.24%	0.101	-14.12%	0.0678	✗	1.18
2026-01-29	oos	0.1196	0.118116	-1.24%	0.0899	-24.83%	0.0776	✗	1.18
2026-01-28	oos	0.1301	0.128592	-1.16%	0.10425	-19.87%	0.0205	✗	1.15
2026-01-27	oos	0.1314	0.12988	-1.16%	0.1073	-18.34%	0.0004	✓	1.16
2026-01-26	oos	0.1307	0.129134	-1.20%	0.1112	-14.92%	0.0148	✓	1.17
2026-01-25	oos	0.12455	0.123127	-1.14%	0.1046	-16.02%	0.0255	✓	1.16
2026-01-24	oos	0.1358	0.134232	-1.15%	0.1058	-22.09%	0.0976	✓	1.13
2026-01-23	oos	0.1314	0.13012	-0.97%	0.1176	-10.50%	0.0311	✓	1.13
2026-01-22	oos	0.1265	0.125437	-0.84%	0.1196	-5.45%	0.0166	✗	1.13
2026-01-21	oos	0.1297	0.128557	-0.88%	0.1301	+0.31%	0.0145	✗	1.13
2026-01-20	oos	0.1263	0.125152	-0.91%	0.1314	+4.04%	0.0385	✗	1.13
2026-01-19	oos	0.1382	0.137377	-0.60%	0.1307	-5.43%	0.0022	✓	1.09
2026-01-18	oos	0.1387	0.138065	-0.46%	0.12455	-10.20%	0.0165	✓	1.10
2026-01-17	oos	0.1472	0.146558	-0.44%	0.1358	-7.74%	0.0061	✓	1.07
2026-01-16	oos	0.1408	0.140408	-0.28%	0.1314	-6.68%	0.0042	✗	1.08
2026-01-15	oos	0.1368	0.136554	-0.18%	0.1265	-7.53%	0.0049	✓	1.08
2026-01-14	oos	0.1429	0.142745	-0.11%	0.1297	-9.24%	0.0087	✓	1.07
2026-01-13	oos	0.1487	0.148042	-0.44%	0.1263	-15.06%	0.0737	✓	1.11
2026-01-12	oos	0.1361	0.135242	-0.63%	0.1382	+1.54%	0.0059	✓	1.06
2026-01-11	oos	0.1414	0.140434	-0.68%	0.1387	-1.91%	0.0447	✓	1.08
2026-01-10	oos	0.1427	0.141732	-0.68%	0.1472	+3.15%	0.0178	✓	1.09
2026-01-09	oos	0.1446	0.143676	-0.64%	0.1408	-2.63%	0.0813	✓	1.14
2026-01-08	oos	0.1451	0.14425	-0.59%	0.1368	-5.72%	0.1069	✓	1.10
2026-01-07	oos	0.1457	0.144903	-0.55%	0.1429	-1.92%	0.1051	✓	1.51
2026-01-06	oos	0.1516	0.150804	-0.53%	0.1487	-1.91%	0.0406	✓	1.51
2026-01-05	oos	0.1541	0.153196	-0.59%	0.1361	-11.68%	0.0742	✓	1.52
2026-01-04	oos	0.1497	0.148791	-0.61%	0.1414	-5.54%	0.0405	✓	1.53
2026-01-03	oos	0.1473	0.146397	-0.61%	0.1427	-3.12%	0.0218	✓	1.53
2026-01-02	oos	0.1445	0.143625	-0.61%	0.1446	+0.07%	0.0026	✓	1.52
2026-01-01	oos	0.1407	0.139854	-0.60%	0.1451	+3.13%	0.0018	✓	1.52
2025-12-31	oos	0.1303	0.129671	-0.48%	0.1457	+11.82%	0.0537	✗	1.49
2025-12-30	oos	0.1337	0.133052	-0.48%	0.1516	+13.39%	0.0434	✗	1.49
2025-12-29	oos	0.1317	0.131021	-0.52%	0.1541	+17.01%	0.0488	✗	1.52
2025-12-28	oos	0.1333	0.132595	-0.53%	0.1497	+12.30%	0.0601	✗	1.52
2025-12-27	oos	0.1347	0.133876	-0.61%	0.1473	+9.35%	0.0492	✗	1.48
2025-12-26	oos	0.1287	0.127946	-0.59%	0.1445	+12.28%	0.0777	✗	1.46
2025-12-25	oos	0.1252	0.124496	-0.56%	0.1407	+12.38%	0.0964	✗	1.46
2025-12-24	oos	0.1287	0.127895	-0.63%	0.1303	+1.24%	0.0205	✗	1.47
2025-12-23	oos	0.1291	0.128227	-0.68%	0.1337	+3.56%	0.0254	✗	1.49
2025-12-22	oos	0.1286	0.127739	-0.67%	0.1317	+2.41%	0.0551	✗	1.49
2025-12-21	oos	0.126	0.125162	-0.67%	0.1333	+5.79%	0.0759	✗	1.49
2025-12-20	oos	0.1281	0.127183	-0.72%	0.1347	+5.15%	0.0663	✗	1.51
2025-12-19	oos	0.1271	0.126157	-0.74%	0.1287	+1.26%	0.0337	✗	1.51
2025-12-18	oos	0.1193	0.118411	-0.75%	0.1252	+4.95%	0.0261	✗	1.50
2025-12-17	oos	0.122	0.121068	-0.76%	0.1287	+5.49%	0.0368	✗	1.51
2025-12-16	oos	0.126	0.125037	-0.76%	0.1291	+2.46%	0.0393	✗	1.51
2025-12-15	oos	0.12745	0.126411	-0.82%	0.1286	+0.90%	0.0202	✓	1.53
2025-12-14	oos	0.12835	0.127359	-0.77%	0.126	-1.83%	0.0189	✓	1.54
2025-12-13	oos	0.1368	0.135755	-0.76%	0.1281	-6.36%	0.0251	✓	1.52
2025-12-12	oos	0.1387	0.137596	-0.80%	0.1271	-8.36%	0.0419	✓	1.53
2025-12-11	oos	0.1407	0.139609	-0.78%	0.1193	-15.21%	0.0343	✓	1.54
2025-12-10	oos	0.1427	0.141532	-0.82%	0.122	-14.51%	0.0469	✓	1.55
2025-12-09	oos	0.1517	0.150261	-0.95%	0.126	-16.94%	0.0939	✓	1.53
2025-12-08	oos	0.14445	0.143188	-0.87%	0.12745	-11.77%	0.0441	✓	1.51
2025-12-07	oos	0.1409	0.139703	-0.85%	0.12835	-8.91%	0.0471	✓	1.51
2025-12-06	oos	0.1435	0.142195	-0.91%	0.1368	-4.67%	0.0554	✓	1.52
2025-12-05	oos	0.1362	0.135031	-0.86%	0.1387	+1.84%	0.0110	✗	1.52
2025-12-04	oos	0.1435	0.142245	-0.87%	0.1407	-1.95%	0.0183	✓	1.52
2025-12-03	oos	0.1448	0.143587	-0.84%	0.1427	-1.45%	0.0172	✗	1.53
2025-12-02	oos	0.143	0.141781	-0.85%	0.1517	+6.08%	0.0444	✗	1.54
2025-12-01	oos	0.14	0.138859	-0.82%	0.14445	+3.18%	0.0415	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	0.1531	0.151758	-0.88%	0.1409	-7.97%	0.0748	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	0.1539	0.152541	-0.88%	0.1435	-6.76%	0.0331	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	0.1578	0.156337	-0.93%	0.1362	-13.69%	0.1100	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	0.1612	0.159604	-0.99%	0.1435	-10.98%	0.1201	✓	1.62
2025-11-26	oos	0.1578	0.156178	-1.03%	0.1448	-8.24%	0.1287	✓	1.63
2025-11-25	oos	0.1562	0.154632	-1.00%	0.143	-8.45%	0.1541	✓	1.70
2025-11-24	oos	0.1593	0.157577	-1.08%	0.14	-12.12%	0.0796	✓	1.70
2025-11-23	oos	0.1603	0.158484	-1.13%	0.1531	-4.49%	0.1038	✓	1.72
2025-11-22	oos	0.156	0.15436	-1.05%	0.1539	-1.35%	0.1260	✓	1.76
2025-11-21	oos	0.154	0.152432	-1.02%	0.1578	+2.47%	0.0818	✓	1.75
2025-11-20	oos	0.1607	0.158798	-1.18%	0.1612	+0.31%	0.0792	✓	1.75
2025-11-19	oos	0.155	0.153161	-1.19%	0.1578	+1.81%	0.0510	✗	1.94
2025-11-18	oos	0.16	0.157958	-1.28%	0.1562	-2.37%	0.1079	✗	1.92
2025-11-17	oos	0.159	0.157033	-1.24%	0.1593	+0.19%	0.0962	✗	1.93
2025-11-16	oos	0.1628	0.160617	-1.34%	0.1603	-1.54%	0.1515	✗	1.88
2025-11-15	oos	0.1658	0.163435	-1.43%	0.156	-5.91%	0.1832	✗	1.90
2025-11-14	oos	0.1648	0.162555	-1.36%	0.154	-6.55%	0.1467	✗	1.91
2025-11-13	oos	0.1699	0.167275	-1.55%	0.1607	-5.41%	0.2440	✗	2.02
2025-11-12	oos	0.1754	0.172575	-1.61%	0.155	-11.63%	0.1072	✗	2.03
2025-11-11	oos	0.1778	0.174894	-1.63%	0.16	-10.01%	0.1249	✗	2.07
2025-11-10	oos	0.1908	0.18762	-1.67%	0.159	-16.67%	0.1552	✗	2.28
2025-11-09	oos	0.18975	0.186426	-1.75%	0.1628	-14.20%	0.1087	✗	2.31
2025-11-08	oos	0.1872	0.183861	-1.78%	0.1658	-11.43%	0.0560	✗	2.34
2025-11-07	oos	0.1896	0.186066	-1.86%	0.1648	-13.08%	0.0824	✗	2.29
2025-11-06	oos	0.1712	0.168384	-1.65%	0.1699	-0.76%	0.0466	✗	2.26
2025-11-05	oos	0.1747	0.17162	-1.76%	0.1754	+0.40%	0.0712	✗	2.28
2025-11-04	oos	0.1662	0.163527	-1.61%	0.1778	+6.98%	0.0494	✗	2.28
2025-11-03	oos	0.1627	0.15986	-1.75%	0.1908	+17.27%	0.1904	✗	2.48
2025-11-02	oos	0.1818	0.178742	-1.68%	0.18975	+4.37%	0.1934	✗	2.46
2025-11-01	oos	0.1838	0.18071	-1.68%	0.1872	+1.85%	0.2156	✗	2.46
2025-10-31	oos	0.1805	0.177523	-1.65%	0.1896	+5.04%	0.2112	✗	2.47
2025-10-30	oos	0.1788	0.175894	-1.63%	0.1712	-4.25%	0.1386	✗	2.47
2025-10-29	oos	0.1883	0.185338	-1.57%	0.1747	-7.22%	0.0816	✗	2.44
2025-10-28	oos	0.1962	0.19343	-1.41%	0.1662	-15.29%	0.1121	✗	2.47
2025-10-27	oos	0.2055	0.202862	-1.28%	0.1627	-20.83%	0.0524	✓	2.46
2025-10-26	oos	0.214	0.211273	-1.27%	0.1818	-15.05%	0.0625	✓	2.46
2025-10-25	oos	0.2071	0.204303	-1.35%	0.1838	-11.25%	0.0693	✓	2.51
2025-10-24	oos	0.20795	0.205154	-1.34%	0.1805	-13.20%	0.0942	✓	2.51
2025-10-23	oos	0.2065	0.203816	-1.30%	0.1788	-13.41%	0.0893	✓	2.52
2025-10-22	oos	0.2004	0.197941	-1.23%	0.1883	-6.04%	0.1068	✓	2.53
2025-10-21	oos	0.2095	0.20693	-1.23%	0.1962	-6.35%	0.1570	✓	2.53
2025-10-20	oos	0.2176	0.214932	-1.23%	0.2055	-5.56%	0.1249	✓	2.55
2025-10-19	oos	0.22035	0.217217	-1.42%	0.214	-2.88%	0.1479	✓	2.53
2025-10-18	oos	0.2146	0.211763	-1.32%	0.2071	-3.49%	0.1254	✓	2.53
2025-10-17	oos	0.2137	0.211003	-1.26%	0.20795	-2.69%	0.1208	✓	2.52
2025-10-16	oos	0.2164	0.213761	-1.22%	0.2065	-4.57%	0.0792	✓	2.54
2025-10-15	oos	0.2265	0.223534	-1.31%	0.2004	-11.52%	0.0342	✓	2.55
2025-10-14	oos	0.2356	0.232729	-1.22%	0.2095	-11.08%	0.0036	✓	2.56
2025-10-13	oos	0.24855	0.245893	-1.07%	0.2176	-12.45%	0.0162	✓	2.54
2025-10-12	oos	0.2306	0.228043	-1.11%	0.22035	-4.44%	0.1069	✗	2.47
2025-10-11	oos	0.212	0.209931	-0.98%	0.2146	+1.23%	0.1030	✗	2.48
2025-10-10	oos	0.20085	0.199331	-0.76%	0.2137	+6.40%	0.2212	✗	2.55
2025-10-09	oos	0.2782	0.277407	-0.29%	0.2164	-22.21%	0.0043	✓	2.07
2025-10-08	oos	0.28345	0.282886	-0.20%	0.2265	-20.09%	0.0009	✓	2.07
2025-10-07	oos	0.2716	0.270983	-0.23%	0.2356	-13.25%	0.0072	✗	2.07
2025-10-06	oos	0.2847	0.284449	-0.09%	0.24855	-12.70%	0.0297	✗	2.09
2025-10-05	oos	0.2785	0.278013	-0.17%	0.2306	-17.20%	0.0386	✓	2.09
2025-10-04	oos	0.2827	0.281687	-0.36%	0.212	-25.01%	0.0747	✓	2.09
2025-10-03	oos	0.2881	0.286691	-0.49%	0.20085	-30.28%	0.1902	✓	2.09
2025-10-02	oos	0.28665	0.28464	-0.70%	0.2782	-2.95%	0.0418	✓	2.10
2025-10-01	oos	0.2778	0.275329	-0.89%	0.28345	+2.03%	0.0536	✓	2.13
2025-09-30	oos	0.2555	0.252462	-1.19%	0.2716	+6.30%	0.0592	✓	2.13
2025-09-29	oos	0.2643	0.260988	-1.25%	0.2847	+7.72%	0.1015	✓	2.17
2025-09-28	oos	0.2784	0.274507	-1.40%	0.2785	+0.04%	0.2040	✓	2.27
2025-09-27	oos	0.275	0.270708	-1.56%	0.2827	+2.80%	0.2111	✓	2.31
2025-09-26	oos	0.2823	0.277779	-1.60%	0.2881	+2.05%	0.2156	✓	2.32
2025-09-25	oos	0.2714	0.266823	-1.69%	0.28665	+5.62%	0.1615	✓	2.31
2025-09-24	oos	0.299	0.294923	-1.36%	0.2778	-7.09%	0.1647	✓	2.29
2025-09-23	oos	0.3021	0.297864	-1.40%	0.2555	-15.43%	0.1954	✓	2.32
2025-09-22	oos	0.3062	0.302135	-1.33%	0.2643	-13.68%	0.1667	✓	2.29
2025-09-21	oos	0.33405	0.330334	-1.11%	0.2784	-16.66%	0.1102	✓	2.24
2025-09-20	oos	0.3417	0.338092	-1.06%	0.275	-19.52%	0.0848	✓	2.26
2025-09-19	oos	0.3364	0.332936	-1.03%	0.2823	-16.08%	0.0435	✓	2.28
2025-09-18	oos	0.36885	0.364996	-1.04%	0.2714	-26.42%	0.1353	✓	2.25
2025-09-17	oos	0.3637	0.359701	-1.10%	0.299	-17.79%	0.1235	✓	2.25
2025-09-16	oos	0.35105	0.347324	-1.06%	0.3021	-13.94%	0.0444	✓	2.26
2025-09-15	oos	0.34875	0.344818	-1.13%	0.3062	-12.20%	0.0661	✓	2.27

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.