QTUM

Qtum · Qtum · gru_s0

token id: #534
symbol: QTUM
variant: –
chain: Qtum
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

62.8%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0449

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0069

actual -0.0073

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.88041	0.872964	-0.85%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.877405	0.871713	-0.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-19	oos	0.86037	0.854161	-0.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-18	oos	0.858515	0.852993	-0.64%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-17	oos	0.87857	0.872197	-0.73%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-16	oos	0.90303	0.896529	-0.72%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.914685	0.908503	-0.68%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-14	oos	0.92235	0.915511	-0.74%	0.88041	-4.55%	0.0538	✓	1.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.947825	0.942361	-0.58%	0.877405	-7.43%	0.0693	✓	1.07
2026-10-12	oos	0.927235	0.921693	-0.60%	0.86037	-7.21%	0.0701	✓	1.07
2026-10-11	oos	0.998795	0.99397	-0.48%	0.858515	-14.04%	0.1262	✓	1.01
2026-10-10	oos	1.0168	1.0069	-0.97%	0.87857	-13.59%	0.1176	✓	1.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.95631	0.95071	-0.59%	0.90303	-5.57%	0.0386	✓	1.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.929655	0.923714	-0.64%	0.914685	-1.61%	0.0151	✓	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.936105	0.931794	-0.46%	0.92235	-1.47%	0.0106	✗	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.97452	0.971706	-0.29%	0.947825	-2.74%	0.0036	✗	0.98
2026-10-05	oos	0.996535	0.99284	-0.37%	0.927235	-6.95%	0.0226	✓	0.96
2026-10-04	oos	0.99453	0.99167	-0.29%	0.998795	+0.43%	0.0394	✗	0.97
2026-10-03	oos	0.992245	0.988427	-0.38%	1.0168	+2.47%	0.0496	✗	0.98
2026-10-02	oos	0.99396	0.989815	-0.42%	0.95631	-3.79%	0.0115	✓	0.98
2026-10-01	oos	0.987135	0.983774	-0.34%	0.929655	-5.82%	0.0196	✓	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	1.0022	0.995415	-0.68%	0.936105	-6.60%	0.0581	✓	0.99
2026-09-29	oos	0.97227	0.967966	-0.44%	0.97452	+0.23%	0.0155	✓	0.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.98568	0.980876	-0.49%	0.996535	+1.10%	0.0107	✓	0.98
2026-09-27	oos	1.028	1.0246	-0.33%	0.99453	-3.26%	0.0528	✓	0.96
2026-09-26	oos	1.0319	1.0292	-0.26%	0.992245	-3.85%	0.0403	✓	0.96
2026-09-25	oos	1.0511	1.0451	-0.57%	0.99396	-5.44%	0.0548	✓	0.95
2026-09-24	oos	1.0005	0.998971	-0.15%	0.987135	-1.34%	0.0172	✓	0.96
2026-09-23	oos	0.956945	0.957034	+0.01%	1.0022	+4.73%	0.0556	✓	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	1.0114	1.0118	+0.05%	0.97227	-3.87%	0.0111	✗	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.99676	0.999513	+0.28%	0.98568	-1.11%	0.0212	✓	0.95
2026-09-20	oos	0.95048	0.949152	-0.14%	1.028	+8.16%	0.0407	✗	0.98
2026-09-19	oos	0.95615	0.954568	-0.17%	1.0319	+7.93%	0.0404	✗	0.98
2026-09-18	oos	0.953185	0.951473	-0.18%	1.0511	+10.28%	0.0610	✗	0.99
2026-09-17	oos	0.872145	0.870867	-0.15%	1.0005	+14.72%	0.0450	✗	0.94
2026-09-16	oos	0.8752	0.875189	-0.00%	0.956945	+9.34%	0.0067	✓	0.94
2026-09-15	oos	0.861965	0.863218	+0.15%	1.0114	+17.33%	0.0330	✓	0.95
2026-09-14	oos	0.92496	0.92683	+0.20%	0.99676	+7.76%	0.0181	✗	0.89
2026-09-13	oos	0.96504	0.961959	-0.32%	0.95048	-1.51%	0.0627	✓	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.929715	0.929755	+0.00%	0.95615	+2.84%	0.0185	✗	0.93
2026-09-11	oos	0.877485	0.879829	+0.27%	0.953185	+8.63%	0.0371	✓	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.85591	0.858416	+0.29%	0.872145	+1.90%	0.0181	✓	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.88856	0.892517	+0.45%	0.8752	-1.50%	0.0058	✓	0.92
2026-09-08	oos	0.88987	0.89278	+0.33%	0.861965	-3.14%	0.0005	✓	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.879515	0.884798	+0.60%	0.92496	+5.17%	0.0554	✓	0.94
2026-09-06	oos	0.882675	0.889095	+0.73%	0.96504	+9.33%	0.1245	✓	0.94
2026-09-05	oos	0.871245	0.879586	+0.96%	0.929715	+6.71%	0.0863	✓	0.94
2026-09-04	oos	0.86216	0.871288	+1.06%	0.877485	+1.78%	0.0367	✓	0.94
2026-09-03	oos	0.86012	0.872667	+1.46%	0.85591	-0.49%	0.0380	✓	0.96
2026-09-02	oos	0.81706	0.827566	+1.29%	0.88856	+8.75%	0.0582	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.82502	0.83464	+1.17%	0.88987	+7.86%	0.0501	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.822535	0.833474	+1.33%	0.879515	+6.93%	0.0471	✓	0.99
2026-08-30	oos	0.79638	0.806647	+1.29%	0.882675	+10.84%	0.0570	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.823295	0.83303	+1.18%	0.871245	+5.82%	0.0255	✓	0.96
2026-08-28	oos	0.816995	0.826163	+1.12%	0.86216	+5.53%	0.0203	✓	0.96
2026-08-27	oos	0.85261	0.863727	+1.30%	0.86012	+0.88%	0.0158	✗	0.95
2026-08-26	oos	0.894995	0.902002	+0.78%	0.81706	-8.71%	0.0776	✗	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.84638	0.85641	+1.19%	0.82502	-2.52%	0.0234	✗	0.96
2026-08-24	oos	0.87443	0.883753	+1.07%	0.822535	-5.93%	0.0667	✗	0.95
2026-08-23	oos	0.881595	0.889722	+0.92%	0.79638	-9.67%	0.1100	✗	0.97
2026-08-22	oos	0.841845	0.850363	+1.01%	0.823295	-2.20%	0.0469	✗	0.96
2026-08-21	oos	0.86618	0.873121	+0.80%	0.816995	-5.68%	0.0605	✗	0.95
2026-08-20	oos	0.79543	0.796755	+0.17%	0.85261	+7.19%	0.0195	✗	0.92
2026-08-19	oos	0.717075	0.717952	+0.12%	0.894995	+24.81%	0.1117	✓	0.83
2026-08-18	oos	0.683095	0.68126	-0.27%	0.84638	+23.90%	0.0525	✗	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.681495	0.679853	-0.24%	0.87443	+28.31%	0.0791	✗	0.85
2026-08-16	oos	0.676565	0.673471	-0.46%	0.881595	+30.30%	0.0854	✗	0.86
2026-08-15	oos	0.674895	0.672454	-0.36%	0.841845	+24.74%	0.0514	✗	0.86
2026-08-14	oos	0.684685	0.681643	-0.44%	0.86618	+26.51%	0.0504	✗	0.87
2026-08-13	oos	0.6659	0.662752	-0.47%	0.79543	+19.45%	0.0590	✗	0.88
2026-08-12	oos	0.65275	0.649583	-0.49%	0.717075	+9.85%	0.0189	✗	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.632945	0.630341	-0.41%	0.683095	+7.92%	0.0645	✗	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.646575	0.643935	-0.41%	0.681495	+5.40%	0.0488	✗	0.89
2026-08-09	oos	0.666885	0.664206	-0.40%	0.676565	+1.45%	0.0462	✗	0.88
2026-08-08	oos	0.666195	0.662843	-0.50%	0.674895	+1.31%	0.0441	✗	0.88
2026-08-07	oos	0.654705	0.650909	-0.58%	0.684685	+4.58%	0.0783	✗	0.93
2026-08-06	oos	0.647925	0.643651	-0.66%	0.6659	+2.77%	0.0462	✗	0.92
2026-08-05	oos	0.64355	0.639957	-0.56%	0.65275	+1.43%	0.0371	✗	0.93
2026-08-04	oos	0.650875	0.645995	-0.75%	0.632945	-2.75%	0.0129	✓	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.64975	0.643902	-0.90%	0.646575	-0.49%	0.0024	✓	0.94
2026-08-02	oos	0.652095	0.645702	-0.98%	0.666885	+2.27%	0.0124	✗	0.95
2026-08-01	oos	0.646105	0.639099	-1.08%	0.666195	+3.11%	0.0100	✓	0.94
2026-07-31	oos	0.641585	0.634926	-1.04%	0.654705	+2.04%	0.0003	✓	0.94
2026-07-30	oos	0.642835	0.637595	-0.82%	0.647925	+0.79%	0.0229	✗	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.64495	0.639812	-0.80%	0.64355	-0.22%	0.0048	✓	0.96
2026-07-28	oos	0.65683	0.651902	-0.75%	0.650875	-0.91%	0.0046	✓	0.96
2026-07-27	oos	0.64881	0.644826	-0.61%	0.64975	+0.14%	0.0110	✗	0.96
2026-07-26	oos	0.682155	0.678821	-0.49%	0.652095	-4.41%	0.0134	✓	0.94
2026-07-25	oos	0.681935	0.678586	-0.49%	0.646105	-5.25%	0.0263	✓	0.95
2026-07-24	oos	0.68205	0.677825	-0.62%	0.641585	-5.93%	0.0362	✓	0.95
2026-07-23	oos	0.717005	0.709496	-1.05%	0.642835	-10.34%	0.0939	✓	0.93
2026-07-22	oos	0.714225	0.711857	-0.33%	0.64495	-9.70%	0.0671	✓	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	0.71017	0.709289	-0.12%	0.65683	-7.51%	0.0384	✓	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	0.714125	0.711823	-0.32%	0.64881	-9.15%	0.0708	✓	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.7202	0.716381	-0.53%	0.682155	-5.28%	0.0584	✓	0.93
2026-07-18	oos	0.701725	0.698075	-0.52%	0.681935	-2.82%	0.0161	✓	0.94
2026-07-17	oos	0.67816	0.676627	-0.23%	0.68205	+0.57%	0.0052	✗	0.94
2026-07-16	oos	0.670865	0.670054	-0.12%	0.717005	+6.88%	0.0488	✗	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.68752	0.686118	-0.20%	0.714225	+3.88%	0.0200	✗	0.96
2026-07-14	oos	0.686005	0.683198	-0.41%	0.71017	+3.52%	0.0163	✗	0.97
2026-07-13	oos	0.670695	0.665542	-0.77%	0.714125	+6.48%	0.0246	✗	0.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.683295	0.680757	-0.37%	0.7202	+5.40%	0.0417	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.688075	0.684975	-0.45%	0.701725	+1.98%	0.0084	✗	0.99
2026-07-10	oos	0.69289	0.689569	-0.48%	0.67816	-2.13%	0.0130	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.693145	0.689136	-0.58%	0.670865	-3.21%	0.0363	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.70322	0.697982	-0.74%	0.68752	-2.23%	0.0544	✓	1.01
2026-07-07	oos	0.686755	0.682151	-0.67%	0.686005	-0.11%	0.0211	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.709955	0.703697	-0.88%	0.670695	-5.53%	0.0196	✓	1.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.713515	0.703723	-1.37%	0.683295	-4.24%	0.0320	✓	1.02
2026-07-04	oos	0.71721	0.709866	-1.02%	0.688075	-4.06%	0.0423	✓	1.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.71646	0.708433	-1.12%	0.69289	-3.29%	0.0480	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.69666	0.689452	-1.03%	0.693145	-0.50%	0.0220	✓	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.685435	0.678866	-0.96%	0.70322	+2.59%	0.0027	✓	1.02
2026-06-30	oos	0.677905	0.671687	-0.92%	0.686755	+1.31%	0.0605	✓	1.05
2026-06-29	oos	0.69129	0.683799	-1.08%	0.709955	+2.70%	0.0279	✓	1.06
2026-06-28	oos	0.690225	0.681636	-1.24%	0.713515	+3.37%	0.0286	✓	1.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.675145	0.666319	-1.31%	0.71721	+6.23%	0.0156	✗	1.13
2026-06-26	oos	0.67875	0.672859	-0.87%	0.71646	+5.56%	0.0160	✗	1.14
2026-06-25	oos	0.6547	0.648305	-0.98%	0.69666	+6.41%	0.0387	✗	1.13
2026-06-24	oos	0.680135	0.675122	-0.74%	0.685435	+0.78%	0.0341	✗	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.690495	0.68514	-0.78%	0.677905	-1.82%	0.0681	✗	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.7081	0.702529	-0.79%	0.69129	-2.37%	0.0538	✗	1.15
2026-06-21	oos	0.709205	0.703026	-0.87%	0.690225	-2.68%	0.0518	✗	1.14
2026-06-20	oos	0.73695	0.729576	-1.00%	0.675145	-8.39%	0.0024	✓	1.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.72568	0.718728	-0.96%	0.67875	-6.47%	0.0079	✓	1.16
2026-06-18	oos	0.726765	0.71979	-0.96%	0.6547	-9.92%	0.0341	✓	1.17
2026-06-17	oos	0.762855	0.753884	-1.18%	0.680135	-10.84%	0.0390	✓	1.16
2026-06-16	oos	0.74631	0.738135	-1.10%	0.690495	-7.48%	0.0122	✓	1.18
2026-06-15	oos	0.75257	0.744694	-1.05%	0.7081	-5.91%	0.0078	✓	1.19
2026-06-14	oos	0.744585	0.736226	-1.12%	0.709205	-4.75%	0.0081	✓	1.19
2026-06-13	oos	0.73593	0.727971	-1.08%	0.73695	+0.14%	0.0161	✗	1.18
2026-06-12	oos	0.71637	0.708737	-1.07%	0.72568	+1.30%	0.0248	✗	1.20
2026-06-11	oos	0.71831	0.710238	-1.12%	0.726765	+1.18%	0.0359	✗	1.19
2026-06-10	oos	0.683675	0.677927	-0.84%	0.762855	+11.58%	0.0613	✗	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.70054	0.694159	-0.91%	0.74631	+6.53%	0.0007	✓	1.18
2026-06-08	oos	0.71057	0.703047	-1.06%	0.75257	+5.91%	0.0087	✓	1.19
2026-06-07	oos	0.71076	0.702766	-1.12%	0.744585	+4.76%	0.0136	✗	1.19
2026-06-06	oos	0.6851	0.680251	-0.71%	0.73593	+7.42%	0.0115	✗	1.18
2026-06-05	oos	0.69036	0.685917	-0.64%	0.71637	+3.77%	0.0037	✓	1.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.76215	0.75377	-1.10%	0.71831	-5.75%	0.0439	✓	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.81049	0.800738	-1.20%	0.683675	-15.65%	0.1120	✓	1.12
2026-06-02	oos	0.80413	0.792944	-1.39%	0.70054	-12.88%	0.0340	✓	1.16
2026-06-01	oos	0.85952	0.845441	-1.64%	0.71057	-17.33%	0.0367	✓	1.11
2026-05-31	oos	0.871225	0.858679	-1.44%	0.71076	-18.42%	0.0179	✓	1.14
2026-05-30	oos	0.86329	0.851211	-1.40%	0.6851	-20.64%	0.0004	✓	1.13
2026-05-29	oos	0.86026	0.847877	-1.44%	0.69036	-19.75%	0.0023	✓	1.13
2026-05-28	oos	0.86704	0.855132	-1.37%	0.76215	-12.10%	0.0439	✗	1.12
2026-05-27	oos	0.87128	0.861806	-1.09%	0.81049	-6.98%	0.1051	✗	1.12
2026-05-26	oos	0.883135	0.875933	-0.82%	0.80413	-8.95%	0.0600	✗	1.13
2026-05-25	oos	0.906795	0.901022	-0.64%	0.85952	-5.21%	0.0461	✗	1.17
2026-05-24	oos	0.89659	0.891255	-0.60%	0.871225	-2.83%	0.0300	✗	1.17
2026-05-23	oos	0.930025	0.922768	-0.78%	0.86329	-7.18%	0.0226	✓	1.15
2026-05-22	oos	0.90177	0.893384	-0.93%	0.86026	-4.60%	0.0057	✓	1.15
2026-05-21	oos	0.924435	0.917691	-0.73%	0.86704	-6.21%	0.0050	✓	1.16
2026-05-20	oos	0.89491	0.885199	-1.09%	0.87128	-2.64%	0.0325	✗	1.16
2026-05-19	oos	0.882935	0.877318	-0.64%	0.883135	+0.02%	0.0209	✗	1.16
2026-05-18	oos	0.89824	0.894031	-0.47%	0.906795	+0.95%	0.0096	✗	1.15
2026-05-17	oos	0.88611	0.883216	-0.33%	0.89659	+1.18%	0.0215	✗	1.16
2026-05-16	oos	0.909195	0.906493	-0.30%	0.930025	+2.29%	0.0473	✗	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.930055	0.927375	-0.29%	0.90177	-3.04%	0.0263	✗	1.16
2026-05-14	oos	0.984055	0.981078	-0.30%	0.924435	-6.06%	0.0083	✓	1.15
2026-05-13	oos	0.98506	0.979917	-0.52%	0.89491	-9.15%	0.0639	✓	1.16
2026-05-12	oos	1.0312	1.0248	-0.62%	0.882935	-14.37%	0.0954	✓	1.13
2026-05-11	oos	1.0322	1.0254	-0.66%	0.89824	-12.98%	0.0655	✓	1.11
2026-05-10	oos	1.0451	1.0315	-1.30%	0.88611	-15.21%	0.0852	✓	1.11
2026-05-09	oos	0.96792	0.965911	-0.21%	0.909195	-6.07%	0.0255	✓	1.09
2026-05-08	oos	0.96765	0.965795	-0.19%	0.930055	-3.89%	0.0224	✓	1.08
2026-05-07	oos	0.922025	0.92142	-0.07%	0.984055	+6.73%	0.0515	✗	1.07
2026-05-06	oos	0.921375	0.92316	+0.19%	0.98506	+6.91%	0.0920	✓	1.01
2026-05-05	oos	0.89518	0.8973	+0.24%	1.0312	+15.19%	0.1446	✓	1.05
2026-05-04	oos	0.87405	0.875705	+0.19%	1.0322	+18.10%	0.1402	✓	1.05
2026-05-03	oos	0.87045	0.870664	+0.02%	1.0451	+20.07%	0.1355	✓	1.04
2026-05-02	oos	0.8802	0.880012	-0.02%	0.96792	+9.97%	0.0693	✗	1.04
2026-05-01	oos	0.87351	0.872735	-0.09%	0.96765	+10.78%	0.0777	✗	1.04
2026-04-30	oos	0.86168	0.858821	-0.33%	0.922025	+7.00%	0.0217	✗	1.04
2026-04-29	oos	0.8742	0.870693	-0.40%	0.921375	+5.40%	0.0190	✓	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.88667	0.883257	-0.38%	0.89518	+0.96%	0.0480	✓	1.05
2026-04-27	oos	0.89128	0.889305	-0.22%	0.87405	-1.93%	0.0506	✓	1.05
2026-04-26	oos	0.90848	0.907937	-0.06%	0.87045	-4.19%	0.0406	✓	1.05
2026-04-25	oos	0.8956	0.895672	+0.01%	0.8802	-1.72%	0.0314	✗	1.06
2026-04-24	oos	0.90403	0.904339	+0.03%	0.87351	-3.38%	0.0452	✗	1.06
2026-04-23	oos	0.906965	0.909501	+0.28%	0.86168	-4.99%	0.0269	✗	1.06
2026-04-22	oos	0.90316	0.906129	+0.33%	0.8742	-3.21%	0.0020	✓	1.06
2026-04-21	oos	0.910885	0.910405	-0.05%	0.88667	-2.66%	0.0260	✓	1.07
2026-04-20	oos	0.915695	0.913703	-0.22%	0.89128	-2.67%	0.0458	✓	1.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.88507	0.881551	-0.40%	0.90848	+2.64%	0.0378	✓	1.07
2026-04-18	oos	0.918605	0.916303	-0.25%	0.8956	-2.50%	0.0495	✓	1.07
2026-04-17	oos	0.95899	0.956676	-0.24%	0.90403	-5.73%	0.0616	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.921225	0.917369	-0.42%	0.906965	-1.55%	0.0546	✓	1.06
2026-04-15	oos	0.90905	0.905147	-0.43%	0.90316	-0.65%	0.0490	✓	1.06
2026-04-14	oos	0.90133	0.896056	-0.59%	0.910885	+1.06%	0.0145	✓	1.07
2026-04-13	oos	0.92342	0.916961	-0.70%	0.915695	-0.84%	0.0218	✓	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.882435	0.871494	-1.24%	0.88507	+0.30%	0.0308	✓	1.09
2026-04-11	oos	0.918595	0.909508	-0.99%	0.918605	+0.00%	0.0288	✓	1.09
2026-04-10	oos	0.916705	0.909634	-0.77%	0.95899	+4.61%	0.0064	✓	1.08
2026-04-09	oos	0.922265	0.914196	-0.87%	0.921225	-0.11%	0.0422	✓	1.09
2026-04-08	oos	0.90918	0.90136	-0.86%	0.90905	-0.01%	0.0474	✓	1.09
2026-04-07	oos	0.95507	0.946505	-0.90%	0.90133	-5.63%	0.0826	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.92641	0.914995	-1.23%	0.92342	-0.32%	0.0762	✓	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.969285	0.956122	-1.36%	0.882435	-8.96%	0.1076	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.96028	0.945492	-1.54%	0.918595	-4.34%	0.1203	✓	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.96962	0.951821	-1.84%	0.916705	-5.46%	0.1333	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.88023	0.868888	-1.29%	0.922265	+4.78%	0.0184	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.93812	0.922148	-1.70%	0.90918	-3.08%	0.0611	✓	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.89006	0.872143	-2.01%	0.95507	+7.30%	0.0332	✗	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.80961	0.801408	-1.01%	0.92641	+14.43%	0.1116	✗	1.07
2026-03-29	oos	0.77248	0.765911	-0.85%	0.969285	+25.48%	0.1877	✗	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.818	0.810901	-0.87%	0.96028	+17.39%	0.1537	✗	1.05
2026-03-27	oos	0.81898	0.812446	-0.80%	0.96962	+18.39%	0.1673	✗	1.05
2026-03-26	oos	0.84978	0.844609	-0.61%	0.88023	+3.58%	0.0707	✗	1.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.90831	0.904137	-0.46%	0.93812	+3.28%	0.0850	✗	1.05
2026-03-24	oos	0.92962	0.924908	-0.51%	0.89006	-4.26%	0.0032	✓	1.06
2026-03-23	oos	0.88349	0.880532	-0.33%	0.80961	-8.36%	0.0203	✓	1.06
2026-03-22	oos	0.82721	0.824589	-0.32%	0.77248	-6.62%	0.0358	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.84707	0.845073	-0.24%	0.818	-3.43%	0.0074	✗	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.885555	0.884527	-0.12%	0.81898	-7.52%	0.0143	✓	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.87821	0.87769	-0.06%	0.84978	-3.24%	0.0152	✓	1.03
2026-03-18	oos	0.89425	0.894413	+0.02%	0.90831	+1.57%	0.0146	✓	1.05
2026-03-17	oos	0.94753	0.948108	+0.06%	0.92962	-1.89%	0.0294	✓	1.04
2026-03-16	oos	0.95221	0.953365	+0.12%	0.88349	-7.22%	0.0181	✗	1.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.9366	0.93656	-0.00%	0.82721	-11.68%	0.0496	✓	1.05
2026-03-14	oos	0.88128	0.881216	-0.01%	0.84707	-3.88%	0.0050	✓	1.04
2026-03-13	oos	0.90989	0.908588	-0.14%	0.885555	-2.67%	0.0190	✓	1.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.87576	0.874869	-0.10%	0.87821	+0.28%	0.0130	✗	1.05
2026-03-11	oos	0.8941	0.892031	-0.23%	0.89425	+0.02%	0.0130	✓	1.06
2026-03-10	oos	0.87908	0.876714	-0.27%	0.94753	+7.79%	0.0195	✗	1.05
2026-03-09	oos	0.86781	0.865225	-0.30%	0.95221	+9.73%	0.0006	✓	1.06
2026-03-08	oos	0.84932	0.846489	-0.33%	0.9366	+10.28%	0.0046	✓	1.07
2026-03-07	oos	0.86311	0.860242	-0.33%	0.88128	+2.11%	0.0374	✓	1.07
2026-03-06	oos	0.89296	0.889813	-0.35%	0.90989	+1.90%	0.0211	✓	1.07
2026-03-05	oos	0.93319	0.929208	-0.43%	0.87576	-6.15%	0.0539	✓	1.07
2026-03-04	oos	0.94185	0.937271	-0.49%	0.8941	-5.07%	0.0100	✓	1.07
2026-03-03	oos	0.91313	0.908914	-0.46%	0.87908	-3.73%	0.0594	✓	1.11
2026-03-02	oos	0.93206	0.927126	-0.53%	0.86781	-6.89%	0.0597	✓	1.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.89376	0.889816	-0.44%	0.84932	-4.97%	0.0500	✓	1.12
2026-02-28	oos	0.91254	0.907781	-0.52%	0.86311	-5.42%	0.0554	✓	1.14
2026-02-27	oos	0.90907	0.90417	-0.54%	0.89296	-1.77%	0.0509	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.926435	0.920278	-0.66%	0.93319	+0.73%	0.0425	✓	1.15
2026-02-25	oos	0.95313	0.942521	-1.11%	0.94185	-1.18%	0.0772	✓	1.15
2026-02-24	oos	0.86893	0.86427	-0.54%	0.91313	+5.09%	0.0174	✓	1.12
2026-02-23	oos	0.880105	0.874309	-0.66%	0.93206	+5.90%	0.0055	✓	1.10
2026-02-22	oos	0.91432	0.90582	-0.93%	0.89376	-2.25%	0.0173	✗	1.11
2026-02-21	oos	0.940855	0.932223	-0.92%	0.91254	-3.01%	0.0051	✓	1.11
2026-02-20	oos	0.961455	0.95177	-1.01%	0.90907	-5.45%	0.0110	✓	1.10
2026-02-19	oos	0.937415	0.930079	-0.78%	0.926435	-1.17%	0.0124	✓	1.10
2026-02-18	oos	0.94552	0.938721	-0.72%	0.95313	+0.80%	0.0106	✓	1.10
2026-02-17	oos	0.964055	0.956481	-0.79%	0.86893	-9.87%	0.0394	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.98535	0.976624	-0.89%	0.880105	-10.68%	0.0344	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.98353	0.974821	-0.89%	0.91432	-7.04%	0.0451	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	1.0256	1.0145	-1.08%	0.940855	-8.27%	0.0464	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.994905	0.985453	-0.95%	0.961455	-3.36%	0.0115	✓	1.09
2026-02-12	oos	0.951765	0.94566	-0.64%	0.937415	-1.51%	0.0212	✓	1.09
2026-02-11	oos	0.915535	0.90738	-0.89%	0.94552	+3.28%	0.0509	✗	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.89853	0.894372	-0.46%	0.964055	+7.29%	0.0964	✗	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.92647	0.920471	-0.65%	0.98535	+6.36%	0.0876	✗	1.09
2026-02-08	oos	0.924285	0.920042	-0.46%	0.98353	+6.41%	0.0901	✗	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.942885	0.941451	-0.15%	1.0256	+8.78%	0.0771	✗	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.953125	0.952029	-0.11%	0.994905	+4.38%	0.0710	✗	1.09
2026-02-05	oos	0.871405	0.891574	+2.31%	0.951765	+9.22%	0.0039	✓	1.16
2026-02-04	oos	1.0391	1.0369	-0.22%	0.915535	-11.89%	0.0200	✓	1.22
2026-02-03	oos	1.0712	1.0684	-0.26%	0.89853	-16.12%	0.0566	✓	1.23
2026-02-02	oos	1.1027	1.0987	-0.36%	0.92647	-15.98%	0.0256	✓	1.26
2026-02-01	oos	1.0644	1.0676	+0.30%	0.924285	-13.16%	0.0357	✗	1.21
2026-01-31	oos	1.0623	1.0661	+0.35%	0.942885	-11.24%	0.0384	✓	1.27
2026-01-30	oos	1.1439	1.1393	-0.40%	0.953125	-16.68%	0.0477	✗	1.28
2026-01-29	oos	1.1667	1.1608	-0.51%	0.871405	-25.31%	0.0963	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	1.2541	1.248	-0.49%	1.0391	-17.14%	0.0746	✗	1.29
2026-01-27	oos	1.2817	1.2751	-0.52%	1.0712	-16.42%	0.0402	✗	1.31
2026-01-26	oos	1.2571	1.2497	-0.58%	1.1027	-12.28%	0.0226	✗	1.29
2026-01-25	oos	1.2211	1.2135	-0.62%	1.0644	-12.83%	0.0209	✗	1.28
2026-01-24	oos	1.2757	1.2672	-0.67%	1.0623	-16.73%	0.0168	✓	1.28
2026-01-23	oos	1.2804	1.2738	-0.51%	1.1439	-10.65%	0.0286	✓	1.28
2026-01-22	oos	1.2921	1.2848	-0.57%	1.1667	-9.70%	0.0237	✓	1.28
2026-01-21	oos	1.3255	1.318	-0.56%	1.2541	-5.39%	0.0469	✓	1.28
2026-01-20	oos	1.3028	1.2962	-0.50%	1.2817	-1.62%	0.0230	✓	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	1.368	1.3636	-0.32%	1.2571	-8.11%	0.0193	✓	1.30
2026-01-18	oos	1.4	1.3951	-0.35%	1.2211	-12.78%	0.0311	✓	1.30
2026-01-17	oos	1.4762	1.4692	-0.47%	1.2757	-13.58%	0.0571	✓	1.28
2026-01-16	oos	1.4544	1.4478	-0.45%	1.2804	-11.96%	0.0392	✓	1.28
2026-01-15	oos	1.4334	1.4273	-0.43%	1.2921	-9.86%	0.0142	✓	1.29
2026-01-14	oos	1.5706	1.5588	-0.75%	1.3255	-15.60%	0.0592	✓	1.26
2026-01-13	oos	1.4677	1.4576	-0.69%	1.3028	-11.24%	0.0170	✓	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	1.3898	1.3764	-0.96%	1.368	-1.57%	0.0247	✓	1.24
2026-01-11	oos	1.4367	1.4227	-0.98%	1.4	-2.56%	0.0535	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	1.4856	1.4697	-1.07%	1.4762	-0.63%	0.0602	✓	1.26
2026-01-09	oos	1.4893	1.4733	-1.07%	1.4544	-2.35%	0.0842	✓	1.33
2026-01-08	oos	1.4799	1.4666	-0.90%	1.4334	-3.14%	0.0872	✓	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	1.4637	1.4534	-0.70%	1.5706	+7.30%	0.0189	✓	1.60
2026-01-06	oos	1.5151	1.5022	-0.85%	1.4677	-3.13%	0.0512	✓	1.59
2026-01-05	oos	1.4615	1.4509	-0.72%	1.3898	-4.91%	0.0041	✓	1.63
2026-01-04	oos	1.3934	1.3853	-0.58%	1.4367	+3.11%	0.0476	✗	1.63
2026-01-03	oos	1.3749	1.3674	-0.54%	1.4856	+8.05%	0.0869	✗	1.64
2026-01-02	oos	1.3822	1.3728	-0.69%	1.4893	+7.75%	0.0714	✗	1.63
2026-01-01	oos	1.3373	1.3291	-0.61%	1.4799	+10.67%	0.0661	✗	1.63
2025-12-31	oos	1.3375	1.3216	-1.19%	1.4637	+9.44%	0.0332	✗	1.63
2025-12-30	oos	1.2769	1.2714	-0.43%	1.5151	+18.66%	0.0799	✗	1.63
2025-12-29	oos	1.2937	1.2857	-0.62%	1.4615	+12.97%	0.0055	✓	1.64
2025-12-28	oos	1.2693	1.2624	-0.54%	1.3934	+9.78%	0.0323	✗	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	1.3008	1.2896	-0.87%	1.3749	+5.69%	0.0131	✗	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	1.1997	1.1928	-0.57%	1.3822	+15.22%	0.0992	✗	1.61
2025-12-25	oos	1.2119	1.2054	-0.54%	1.3373	+10.34%	0.0752	✗	1.61
2025-12-24	oos	1.2547	1.2469	-0.62%	1.3375	+6.60%	0.0722	✗	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	1.2602	1.2505	-0.77%	1.2769	+1.32%	0.0029	✓	1.63
2025-12-22	oos	1.2528	1.2447	-0.65%	1.2937	+3.26%	0.0657	✗	1.64
2025-12-21	oos	1.2495	1.241	-0.68%	1.2693	+1.58%	0.0368	✗	1.64
2025-12-20	oos	1.2931	1.283	-0.78%	1.3008	+0.60%	0.0236	✗	1.67
2025-12-19	oos	1.3088	1.2981	-0.82%	1.1997	-8.34%	0.0637	✓	1.67
2025-12-18	oos	1.2297	1.2195	-0.83%	1.2119	-1.44%	0.0391	✓	1.66
2025-12-17	oos	1.279	1.2628	-1.26%	1.2547	-1.90%	0.0331	✓	1.66
2025-12-16	oos	1.3645	1.3513	-0.96%	1.2602	-7.64%	0.0619	✓	1.64
2025-12-15	oos	1.3748	1.3617	-0.95%	1.2528	-8.87%	0.1239	✓	1.66
2025-12-14	oos	1.4232	1.4072	-1.13%	1.2495	-12.20%	0.1276	✓	1.65
2025-12-13	oos	1.5249	1.4955	-1.93%	1.2931	-15.20%	0.1101	✓	1.64
2025-12-12	oos	1.401	1.3887	-0.88%	1.3088	-6.58%	0.0193	✓	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	1.4442	1.4311	-0.91%	1.2297	-14.86%	0.0211	✓	1.64
2025-12-10	oos	1.4817	1.4679	-0.93%	1.279	-13.69%	0.0301	✓	1.65
2025-12-09	oos	1.508	1.4933	-0.98%	1.3645	-9.52%	0.0023	✓	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	1.4482	1.4335	-1.01%	1.3748	-5.07%	0.0354	✗	1.61
2025-12-07	oos	1.411	1.3973	-0.97%	1.4232	+0.86%	0.0587	✗	1.61
2025-12-06	oos	1.4341	1.4193	-1.03%	1.5249	+6.33%	0.0539	✗	1.62
2025-12-05	oos	1.4338	1.42	-0.96%	1.401	-2.29%	0.0303	✓	1.62
2025-12-04	oos	1.4938	1.4798	-0.94%	1.4442	-3.32%	0.0323	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	1.568	1.5531	-0.95%	1.4817	-5.50%	0.0222	✓	1.62
2025-12-02	oos	1.5234	1.5091	-0.94%	1.508	-1.01%	0.0250	✓	1.62
2025-12-01	oos	1.4132	1.4004	-0.91%	1.4482	+2.47%	0.0475	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	1.5396	1.5252	-0.94%	1.411	-8.35%	0.0784	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	1.5966	1.5818	-0.93%	1.4341	-10.17%	0.0701	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	1.6139	1.6015	-0.76%	1.4338	-11.15%	0.0827	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	1.606	1.5941	-0.74%	1.4938	-6.98%	0.0787	✓	1.63
2025-11-26	oos	1.6006	1.5882	-0.78%	1.568	-2.04%	0.0651	✓	1.61
2025-11-25	oos	1.6068	1.5929	-0.86%	1.5234	-5.19%	0.1178	✓	1.64
2025-11-24	oos	1.5759	1.5629	-0.82%	1.4132	-10.32%	0.0632	✓	1.65
2025-11-23	oos	1.5337	1.5219	-0.77%	1.5396	+0.39%	0.0533	✓	1.61
2025-11-22	oos	1.5386	1.5281	-0.68%	1.5966	+3.77%	0.0688	✓	1.61
2025-11-21	oos	1.5401	1.5319	-0.53%	1.6139	+4.79%	0.0494	✓	1.53
2025-11-20	oos	1.6038	1.5937	-0.63%	1.606	+0.14%	0.0730	✓	1.50
2025-11-19	oos	1.691	1.6778	-0.78%	1.6006	-5.34%	0.0306	✓	1.51
2025-11-18	oos	1.7404	1.7253	-0.87%	1.6068	-7.68%	0.0195	✗	1.46
2025-11-17	oos	1.7034	1.6895	-0.82%	1.5759	-7.48%	0.0066	✓	1.48
2025-11-16	oos	1.7135	1.6985	-0.88%	1.5337	-10.50%	0.0204	✗	1.50
2025-11-15	oos	1.7541	1.7352	-1.08%	1.5386	-12.29%	0.0615	✗	1.51
2025-11-14	oos	1.723	1.7078	-0.89%	1.5401	-10.62%	0.0549	✗	1.51
2025-11-13	oos	1.7726	1.7544	-1.02%	1.6038	-9.52%	0.1329	✗	1.58
2025-11-12	oos	1.8397	1.8185	-1.15%	1.691	-8.09%	0.0940	✗	1.58
2025-11-11	oos	1.8526	1.8281	-1.32%	1.7404	-6.05%	0.1161	✗	1.60
2025-11-10	oos	1.9526	1.9293	-1.19%	1.7034	-12.76%	0.0978	✗	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	1.9274	1.9035	-1.24%	1.7135	-11.10%	0.0644	✗	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	1.9391	1.9127	-1.36%	1.7541	-9.54%	0.0251	✗	1.64
2025-11-07	oos	1.9803	1.95	-1.53%	1.723	-12.99%	0.0177	✗	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	1.7402	1.7154	-1.43%	1.7726	+1.86%	0.0583	✗	1.53
2025-11-05	oos	1.7668	1.744	-1.29%	1.8397	+4.13%	0.0870	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	1.6816	1.6595	-1.31%	1.8526	+10.17%	0.0871	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	1.7127	1.6906	-1.29%	1.9526	+14.01%	0.1529	✗	1.61
2025-11-02	oos	1.9062	1.8787	-1.44%	1.9274	+1.11%	0.1105	✗	1.56
2025-11-01	oos	1.9209	1.8916	-1.52%	1.9391	+0.95%	0.1398	✗	1.57
2025-10-31	oos	1.8542	1.8251	-1.57%	1.9803	+6.80%	0.1740	✗	1.57
2025-10-30	oos	1.8227	1.793	-1.63%	1.7402	-4.52%	0.0752	✗	1.57
2025-10-29	oos	1.9662	1.9323	-1.72%	1.7668	-10.14%	0.0007	✓	1.54
2025-10-28	oos	1.9677	1.9333	-1.75%	1.6816	-14.54%	0.0292	✗	1.58
2025-10-27	oos	2.0146	1.9785	-1.79%	1.7127	-14.99%	0.0367	✓	1.58
2025-10-26	oos	2.0561	2.0172	-1.89%	1.9062	-7.29%	0.0005	✓	1.58
2025-10-25	oos	2.0024	1.9598	-2.13%	1.9209	-4.07%	0.0033	✓	1.60
2025-10-24	oos	2.0022	1.9568	-2.27%	1.8542	-7.39%	0.0323	✓	1.60
2025-10-23	oos	1.9817	1.9344	-2.39%	1.8227	-8.02%	0.0329	✓	1.60
2025-10-22	oos	1.9103	1.8629	-2.49%	1.9662	+2.92%	0.0180	✓	1.60
2025-10-21	oos	1.9539	1.9021	-2.65%	1.9677	+0.71%	0.0318	✓	1.60
2025-10-20	oos	2.0054	1.9489	-2.82%	2.0146	+0.46%	0.0177	✓	1.62
2025-10-19	oos	1.9754	1.9157	-3.02%	2.0561	+4.09%	0.0133	✓	1.60
2025-10-18	oos	1.951	1.8919	-3.03%	2.0024	+2.63%	0.0085	✓	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	1.9039	1.8468	-3.00%	2.0022	+5.16%	0.0137	✓	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	1.9469	1.8906	-2.89%	1.9817	+1.79%	0.0190	✓	1.59
2025-10-15	oos	1.9967	1.95	-2.34%	1.9103	-4.33%	0.0265	✗	1.60
2025-10-14	oos	2.0833	2.0458	-1.80%	1.9539	-6.21%	0.0216	✗	1.59
2025-10-13	oos	2.1431	2.1082	-1.63%	2.0054	-6.42%	0.0164	✓	1.59
2025-10-12	oos	2.0736	2.0375	-1.74%	1.9754	-4.74%	0.0581	✗	1.56
2025-10-11	oos	1.8642	1.8349	-1.57%	1.951	+4.66%	0.1099	✗	1.48
2025-10-10	oos	1.8564	1.8287	-1.49%	1.9039	+2.56%	0.1300	✗	1.51
2025-10-09	oos	2.4184	2.3809	-1.55%	1.9469	-19.50%	0.0869	✓	0.97
2025-10-08	oos	2.361	2.3132	-2.02%	1.9967	-15.43%	0.0409	✓	0.99
2025-10-07	oos	2.1119	2.0886	-1.10%	2.0833	-1.36%	0.0636	✗	0.93
2025-10-06	oos	2.2461	2.2267	-0.87%	2.1431	-4.59%	0.0339	✗	0.92
2025-10-05	oos	2.2013	2.1807	-0.94%	2.0736	-5.80%	0.0146	✗	0.92
2025-10-04	oos	2.219	2.1971	-0.99%	1.8642	-15.99%	0.0715	✓	0.93
2025-10-03	oos	2.2901	2.2699	-0.88%	1.8564	-18.94%	0.1276	✓	0.93
2025-10-02	oos	2.2757	2.2502	-1.12%	2.4184	+6.27%	0.0637	✗	0.93
2025-10-01	oos	2.2512	2.2171	-1.51%	2.361	+4.88%	0.0258	✗	0.96
2025-09-30	oos	2.1253	2.0962	-1.37%	2.1119	-0.63%	0.0499	✓	0.92
2025-09-29	oos	2.1696	2.141	-1.32%	2.2461	+3.53%	0.0374	✓	0.98
2025-09-28	oos	2.1798	2.1497	-1.38%	2.2013	+0.99%	0.0749	✓	1.03
2025-09-27	oos	2.1455	2.1158	-1.39%	2.219	+3.43%	0.0679	✓	1.05
2025-09-26	oos	2.1906	2.1623	-1.29%	2.2901	+4.55%	0.0580	✓	1.06
2025-09-25	oos	2.0536	2.0314	-1.08%	2.2757	+10.82%	0.0080	✓	1.05
2025-09-24	oos	2.2369	2.2065	-1.36%	2.2512	+0.64%	0.0236	✓	0.95
2025-09-23	oos	2.1573	2.1272	-1.40%	2.1253	-1.48%	0.0180	✓	0.94
2025-09-22	oos	2.1717	2.143	-1.32%	2.1696	-0.10%	0.0009	✓	0.93
2025-09-21	oos	2.3435	2.3123	-1.33%	2.1798	-6.98%	0.0357	✓	0.86
2025-09-20	oos	2.3902	2.3584	-1.33%	2.1455	-10.24%	0.0420	✓	0.98
2025-09-19	oos	2.4013	2.3709	-1.26%	2.1906	-8.77%	0.0268	✓	0.98
2025-09-18	oos	2.4847	2.4538	-1.24%	2.0536	-17.35%	0.1076	✓	0.99
2025-09-17	oos	2.4803	2.4438	-1.47%	2.2369	-9.81%	0.0612	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.