QTUM

Qtum · Qtum · gru_s0

token id: #534
symbol: QTUM
variant: –
chain: Qtum
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

65.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0686

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0241

actual -0.0218

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.88041	0.855001	-2.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-20	oos	0.877405	0.85657	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-19	oos	0.86037	0.838471	-2.55%	–	pending	–	–	1.08
2026-10-18	oos	0.858515	0.838185	-2.37%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-17	oos	0.87857	0.853835	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-16	oos	0.90303	0.878695	-2.69%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-10-15	oos	0.914685	0.894855	-2.17%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-14	oos	0.92235	0.896648	-2.79%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-13	oos	0.947825	0.926888	-2.21%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-12	oos	0.927235	0.904219	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-10-11	oos	0.998795	0.98337	-1.54%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-10	oos	1.0168	0.997439	-1.90%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-09	oos	0.95631	0.934726	-2.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-08	oos	0.929655	0.906276	-2.51%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-07	oos	0.936105	0.92022	-1.70%	–	pending	–	–	1.00
2026-10-06	oos	0.97452	0.965363	-0.94%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-05	oos	0.996535	0.98457	-1.20%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-10-04	oos	0.99453	0.985752	-0.88%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-10-03	oos	0.992245	0.978665	-1.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-02	oos	0.99396	0.980199	-1.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-10-01	oos	0.987135	0.97682	-1.04%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-30	oos	1.0022	0.986848	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-29	oos	0.97227	0.957422	-1.53%	–	pending	–	–	0.99
2026-09-28	oos	0.98568	0.96878	-1.71%	–	pending	–	–	0.98
2026-09-27	oos	1.028	1.0162	-1.15%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-26	oos	1.0319	1.0256	-0.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-25	oos	1.0511	1.0435	-0.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.95
2026-09-24	oos	1.0005	0.996917	-0.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-23	oos	0.956945	0.956445	-0.05%	–	pending	–	–	0.97
2026-09-22	oos	1.0114	1.0156	+0.42%	–	pending	–	–	0.96
2026-09-21	oos	0.99676	1.0098	+1.31%	0.88041	-11.67%	0.0933	✗	0.95
2026-09-20	oos	0.95048	0.945323	-0.54%	0.877405	-7.69%	0.0958	✓	0.98
2026-09-19	oos	0.95615	0.951024	-0.54%	0.86037	-10.02%	0.1074	✓	0.98
2026-09-18	oos	0.953185	0.951448	-0.18%	0.858515	-9.93%	0.1165	✓	0.99
2026-09-17	oos	0.872145	0.854358	-2.04%	0.87857	+0.74%	0.0319	✓	0.94
2026-09-16	oos	0.8752	0.860941	-1.63%	0.90303	+3.18%	0.0158	✓	0.94
2026-09-15	oos	0.861965	0.847061	-1.73%	0.914685	+6.12%	0.0024	✓	0.95
2026-09-14	oos	0.92496	0.923004	-0.21%	0.92235	-0.28%	0.0384	✓	0.89
2026-09-13	oos	0.96504	0.955851	-0.95%	0.947825	-1.78%	0.0808	✓	0.92
2026-09-12	oos	0.929715	0.923724	-0.64%	0.927235	-0.27%	0.0485	✓	0.93
2026-09-11	oos	0.877485	0.876616	-0.10%	0.998795	+13.82%	0.0560	✗	0.93
2026-09-10	oos	0.85591	0.8543	-0.19%	1.0168	+18.79%	0.0999	✗	0.93
2026-09-09	oos	0.88856	0.897338	+0.99%	0.95631	+7.62%	0.0152	✓	0.92
2026-09-08	oos	0.88987	0.896093	+0.70%	0.929655	+4.47%	0.0010	✓	0.93
2026-09-07	oos	0.879515	0.894388	+1.69%	0.936105	+6.43%	0.0030	✓	0.94
2026-09-06	oos	0.882675	0.900771	+2.05%	0.97452	+10.41%	0.0195	✓	0.94
2026-09-05	oos	0.871245	0.894993	+2.73%	0.996535	+14.38%	0.0401	✓	0.94
2026-09-04	oos	0.86216	0.889244	+3.14%	0.99453	+15.35%	0.0344	✓	0.94
2026-09-03	oos	0.86012	0.902275	+4.90%	0.992245	+15.36%	0.0549	✓	0.96
2026-09-02	oos	0.81706	0.847446	+3.72%	0.99396	+21.65%	0.0680	✓	1.03
2026-09-01	oos	0.82502	0.854994	+3.63%	0.987135	+19.65%	0.0484	✓	1.04
2026-08-31	oos	0.822535	0.859975	+4.55%	1.0022	+21.84%	0.0923	✓	0.99
2026-08-30	oos	0.79638	0.832183	+4.50%	0.97227	+22.09%	0.0832	✓	0.98
2026-08-29	oos	0.823295	0.859471	+4.39%	0.98568	+19.72%	0.0751	✓	0.96
2026-08-28	oos	0.816995	0.851012	+4.16%	1.028	+25.83%	0.1109	✓	0.96
2026-08-27	oos	0.85261	0.90221	+5.82%	1.0319	+21.03%	0.0867	✓	0.95
2026-08-26	oos	0.894995	0.936495	+4.64%	1.0511	+17.45%	0.0552	✓	0.97
2026-08-25	oos	0.84638	0.895746	+5.83%	1.0005	+18.21%	0.0414	✓	0.96
2026-08-24	oos	0.87443	0.925248	+5.81%	0.956945	+9.44%	0.0294	✓	0.95
2026-08-23	oos	0.881595	0.936662	+6.25%	1.0114	+14.72%	0.0233	✓	0.97
2026-08-22	oos	0.841845	0.891158	+5.86%	0.99676	+18.40%	0.0000	✓	0.96
2026-08-21	oos	0.86618	0.921465	+6.38%	0.95048	+9.73%	0.0028	✓	0.95
2026-08-20	oos	0.79543	0.82256	+3.41%	0.95615	+20.21%	0.0524	✓	0.92
2026-08-19	oos	0.717075	0.72845	+1.59%	0.953185	+32.93%	0.1410	✓	0.83
2026-08-18	oos	0.683095	0.678272	-0.71%	0.872145	+27.68%	0.1107	✗	0.85
2026-08-17	oos	0.681495	0.673936	-1.11%	0.8752	+28.42%	0.1198	✗	0.85
2026-08-16	oos	0.676565	0.663815	-1.88%	0.861965	+27.40%	0.1016	✗	0.86
2026-08-15	oos	0.674895	0.664258	-1.58%	0.92496	+37.05%	0.1453	✗	0.86
2026-08-14	oos	0.684685	0.673028	-1.70%	0.96504	+40.95%	0.1882	✗	0.87
2026-08-13	oos	0.6659	0.656515	-1.41%	0.929715	+39.62%	0.1748	✗	0.88
2026-08-12	oos	0.65275	0.640604	-1.86%	0.877485	+34.43%	0.1373	✗	0.90
2026-08-11	oos	0.632945	0.62047	-1.97%	0.85591	+35.23%	0.1571	✗	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.646575	0.634956	-1.80%	0.88856	+37.43%	0.1545	✗	0.89
2026-08-09	oos	0.666885	0.656413	-1.57%	0.88987	+33.44%	0.1364	✗	0.88
2026-08-08	oos	0.666195	0.655266	-1.64%	0.879515	+32.02%	0.1200	✗	0.88
2026-08-07	oos	0.654705	0.642439	-1.87%	0.882675	+34.82%	0.1200	✗	0.93
2026-08-06	oos	0.647925	0.63245	-2.39%	0.871245	+34.47%	0.1201	✗	0.92
2026-08-05	oos	0.64355	0.630156	-2.08%	0.86216	+33.97%	0.1180	✗	0.93
2026-08-04	oos	0.650875	0.63424	-2.56%	0.86012	+32.15%	0.0835	✗	0.93
2026-08-03	oos	0.64975	0.630803	-2.92%	0.81706	+25.75%	0.0735	✗	0.94
2026-08-02	oos	0.652095	0.631807	-3.11%	0.82502	+26.52%	0.0797	✗	0.95
2026-08-01	oos	0.646105	0.624073	-3.41%	0.822535	+27.31%	0.0652	✗	0.94
2026-07-31	oos	0.641585	0.620795	-3.24%	0.79638	+24.13%	0.0500	✗	0.94
2026-07-30	oos	0.642835	0.62881	-2.18%	0.823295	+28.07%	0.0865	✗	0.97
2026-07-29	oos	0.64495	0.627994	-2.63%	0.816995	+26.68%	0.0728	✗	0.96
2026-07-28	oos	0.65683	0.640252	-2.52%	0.85261	+29.81%	0.0668	✗	0.96
2026-07-27	oos	0.64881	0.635401	-2.07%	0.894995	+37.94%	0.1358	✗	0.96
2026-07-26	oos	0.682155	0.671078	-1.62%	0.84638	+24.07%	0.0601	✗	0.94
2026-07-25	oos	0.681935	0.671709	-1.50%	0.87443	+28.23%	0.0693	✗	0.95
2026-07-24	oos	0.68205	0.673407	-1.27%	0.881595	+29.26%	0.0865	✗	0.95
2026-07-23	oos	0.717005	0.710209	-0.95%	0.841845	+17.41%	0.0125	✗	0.93
2026-07-22	oos	0.714225	0.707143	-0.99%	0.86618	+21.28%	0.0436	✗	0.94
2026-07-21	oos	0.71017	0.7087	-0.21%	0.79543	+12.01%	0.0279	✗	0.94
2026-07-20	oos	0.714125	0.711282	-0.40%	0.717075	+0.41%	0.0484	✓	0.93
2026-07-19	oos	0.7202	0.715364	-0.67%	0.683095	-5.15%	0.0462	✓	0.93
2026-07-18	oos	0.701725	0.696314	-0.77%	0.681495	-2.88%	0.0169	✓	0.94
2026-07-17	oos	0.67816	0.674567	-0.53%	0.676565	-0.24%	0.0186	✗	0.94
2026-07-16	oos	0.670865	0.666109	-0.71%	0.674895	+0.60%	0.0244	✗	0.95
2026-07-15	oos	0.68752	0.685469	-0.30%	0.684685	-0.41%	0.0251	✗	0.96
2026-07-14	oos	0.686005	0.683554	-0.36%	0.6659	-2.93%	0.0027	✓	0.97
2026-07-13	oos	0.670695	0.661392	-1.39%	0.65275	-2.68%	0.0313	✓	0.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.683295	0.672082	-1.64%	0.632945	-7.37%	0.0567	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.688075	0.675004	-1.90%	0.646575	-6.03%	0.0452	✓	0.99
2026-07-10	oos	0.69289	0.680428	-1.80%	0.666885	-3.75%	0.0312	✓	1.00
2026-07-09	oos	0.693145	0.678284	-2.14%	0.666195	-3.89%	0.0452	✓	1.00
2026-07-08	oos	0.70322	0.685897	-2.46%	0.654705	-6.90%	0.0886	✓	1.01
2026-07-07	oos	0.686755	0.67062	-2.35%	0.647925	-5.65%	0.0497	✓	1.03
2026-07-06	oos	0.709955	0.691056	-2.66%	0.64355	-9.35%	0.0809	✓	1.04
2026-07-05	oos	0.713515	0.69242	-2.96%	0.650875	-8.78%	0.0693	✓	1.02
2026-07-04	oos	0.71721	0.694042	-3.23%	0.64975	-9.41%	0.0721	✓	1.03
2026-07-03	oos	0.71646	0.692959	-3.28%	0.652095	-8.98%	0.0766	✓	1.02
2026-07-02	oos	0.69666	0.673144	-3.38%	0.646105	-7.26%	0.0618	✓	1.01
2026-07-01	oos	0.685435	0.663139	-3.25%	0.641585	-6.40%	0.0806	✓	1.02
2026-06-30	oos	0.677905	0.655093	-3.37%	0.642835	-5.17%	0.1245	✓	1.05
2026-06-29	oos	0.69129	0.667559	-3.43%	0.64495	-6.70%	0.0982	✓	1.06
2026-06-28	oos	0.690225	0.666046	-3.50%	0.65683	-4.84%	0.0929	✓	1.11
2026-06-27	oos	0.675145	0.653889	-3.15%	0.64881	-3.90%	0.0766	✓	1.13
2026-06-26	oos	0.67875	0.657582	-3.12%	0.682155	+0.50%	0.0603	✓	1.14
2026-06-25	oos	0.6547	0.636425	-2.79%	0.681935	+4.16%	0.0148	✓	1.13
2026-06-24	oos	0.680135	0.660664	-2.86%	0.68205	+0.28%	0.0237	✓	1.12
2026-06-23	oos	0.690495	0.670067	-2.96%	0.717005	+3.84%	0.0241	✓	1.16
2026-06-22	oos	0.7081	0.68772	-2.88%	0.714225	+0.86%	0.0002	✓	1.15
2026-06-21	oos	0.709205	0.687158	-3.11%	0.71017	+0.14%	0.0249	✓	1.14
2026-06-20	oos	0.73695	0.712694	-3.29%	0.714125	-3.10%	0.0157	✓	1.16
2026-06-19	oos	0.72568	0.702323	-3.22%	0.7202	-0.76%	0.0033	✓	1.16
2026-06-18	oos	0.726765	0.703288	-3.23%	0.701725	-3.45%	0.0374	✓	1.17
2026-06-17	oos	0.762855	0.73507	-3.64%	0.67816	-11.10%	0.0706	✓	1.16
2026-06-16	oos	0.74631	0.720413	-3.47%	0.670865	-10.11%	0.0377	✓	1.18
2026-06-15	oos	0.75257	0.727145	-3.38%	0.68752	-8.64%	0.0277	✓	1.19
2026-06-14	oos	0.744585	0.719755	-3.33%	0.686005	-7.87%	0.0350	✓	1.19
2026-06-13	oos	0.73593	0.709455	-3.60%	0.670695	-8.86%	0.0158	✓	1.18
2026-06-12	oos	0.71637	0.689642	-3.73%	0.683295	-4.62%	0.0130	✓	1.20
2026-06-11	oos	0.71831	0.689948	-3.95%	0.688075	-4.21%	0.0066	✓	1.19
2026-06-10	oos	0.683675	0.658985	-3.61%	0.69289	+1.35%	0.0007	✓	1.19
2026-06-09	oos	0.70054	0.673959	-3.79%	0.693145	-1.06%	0.0002	✓	1.18
2026-06-08	oos	0.71057	0.680512	-4.23%	0.70322	-1.03%	0.0485	✗	1.19
2026-06-07	oos	0.71076	0.678327	-4.56%	0.686755	-3.38%	0.0120	✓	1.19
2026-06-06	oos	0.6851	0.655642	-4.30%	0.709955	+3.63%	0.0203	✓	1.18
2026-06-05	oos	0.69036	0.658864	-4.56%	0.713515	+3.35%	0.0317	✓	1.17
2026-06-04	oos	0.76215	0.723165	-5.12%	0.71721	-5.90%	0.0044	✓	1.12
2026-06-03	oos	0.81049	0.767048	-5.36%	0.71646	-11.60%	0.0414	✓	1.12
2026-06-02	oos	0.80413	0.760176	-5.47%	0.69666	-13.36%	0.0065	✓	1.16
2026-06-01	oos	0.85952	0.815224	-5.15%	0.685435	-20.25%	0.0199	✓	1.11
2026-05-31	oos	0.871225	0.831187	-4.60%	0.677905	-22.19%	0.0566	✗	1.14
2026-05-30	oos	0.86329	0.824294	-4.52%	0.69129	-19.92%	0.0543	✗	1.13
2026-05-29	oos	0.86026	0.819803	-4.70%	0.690225	-19.77%	0.0649	✗	1.13
2026-05-28	oos	0.86704	0.828793	-4.41%	0.675145	-22.13%	0.0243	✓	1.12
2026-05-27	oos	0.87128	0.838029	-3.82%	0.67875	-22.10%	0.0286	✓	1.12
2026-05-26	oos	0.883135	0.857624	-2.89%	0.6547	-25.87%	0.0000	✓	1.13
2026-05-25	oos	0.906795	0.885822	-2.31%	0.680135	-25.00%	0.0117	✓	1.17
2026-05-24	oos	0.89659	0.878384	-2.03%	0.690495	-22.99%	0.0003	✓	1.17
2026-05-23	oos	0.930025	0.905521	-2.63%	0.7081	-23.86%	0.0374	✓	1.15
2026-05-22	oos	0.90177	0.875626	-2.90%	0.709205	-21.35%	0.0079	✓	1.15
2026-05-21	oos	0.924435	0.908246	-1.75%	0.73695	-20.28%	0.0090	✓	1.16
2026-05-20	oos	0.89491	0.879851	-1.68%	0.72568	-18.91%	0.0386	✗	1.16
2026-05-19	oos	0.882935	0.862074	-2.36%	0.726765	-17.69%	0.0601	✗	1.16
2026-05-18	oos	0.89824	0.880052	-2.02%	0.762855	-15.07%	0.0618	✗	1.15
2026-05-17	oos	0.88611	0.871161	-1.69%	0.74631	-15.78%	0.0365	✗	1.16
2026-05-16	oos	0.909195	0.896395	-1.41%	0.75257	-17.23%	0.0146	✗	1.15
2026-05-15	oos	0.930055	0.918738	-1.22%	0.744585	-19.94%	0.0044	✓	1.16
2026-05-14	oos	0.984055	0.973292	-1.09%	0.73593	-25.21%	0.0154	✓	1.15
2026-05-13	oos	0.98506	0.96878	-1.65%	0.71637	-27.28%	0.0443	✓	1.16
2026-05-12	oos	1.0312	1.017	-1.37%	0.71831	-30.34%	0.0801	✓	1.13
2026-05-11	oos	1.0322	1.027	-0.51%	0.683675	-33.77%	0.0908	✓	1.11
2026-05-10	oos	1.0451	1.0429	-0.21%	0.70054	-32.97%	0.0787	✓	1.11
2026-05-09	oos	0.96792	0.96023	-0.79%	0.71057	-26.59%	0.0333	✓	1.09
2026-05-08	oos	0.96765	0.962919	-0.49%	0.71076	-26.55%	0.0486	✓	1.08
2026-05-07	oos	0.922025	0.92245	+0.05%	0.6851	-25.70%	0.0039	✗	1.07
2026-05-06	oos	0.921375	0.926691	+0.58%	0.69036	-25.07%	0.0020	✓	1.01
2026-05-05	oos	0.89518	0.899186	+0.45%	0.76215	-14.86%	0.0845	✓	1.05
2026-05-04	oos	0.87405	0.87512	+0.12%	0.81049	-7.27%	0.1540	✓	1.05
2026-05-03	oos	0.87045	0.86677	-0.42%	0.80413	-7.62%	0.0960	✗	1.04
2026-05-02	oos	0.8802	0.875821	-0.50%	0.85952	-2.35%	0.0839	✗	1.04
2026-05-01	oos	0.87351	0.866993	-0.75%	0.871225	-0.26%	0.0685	✗	1.04
2026-04-30	oos	0.86168	0.84735	-1.66%	0.86329	+0.19%	0.0538	✗	1.04
2026-04-29	oos	0.8742	0.858551	-1.79%	0.86026	-1.59%	0.0354	✗	1.04
2026-04-28	oos	0.88667	0.871751	-1.68%	0.86704	-2.21%	0.0340	✗	1.05
2026-04-27	oos	0.89128	0.881838	-1.06%	0.87128	-2.24%	0.0303	✗	1.05
2026-04-26	oos	0.90848	0.905285	-0.35%	0.883135	-2.79%	0.0141	✗	1.05
2026-04-25	oos	0.8956	0.893122	-0.28%	0.906795	+1.25%	0.0207	✗	1.06
2026-04-24	oos	0.90403	0.903371	-0.07%	0.89659	-0.82%	0.0009	✓	1.06
2026-04-23	oos	0.906965	0.9165	+1.05%	0.930025	+2.54%	0.0370	✓	1.06
2026-04-22	oos	0.90316	0.911585	+0.93%	0.90177	-0.15%	0.0274	✓	1.06
2026-04-21	oos	0.910885	0.906605	-0.47%	0.924435	+1.49%	0.0028	✓	1.07
2026-04-20	oos	0.915695	0.908599	-0.77%	0.89491	-2.27%	0.0377	✓	1.07
2026-04-19	oos	0.88507	0.870427	-1.65%	0.882935	-0.24%	0.0275	✓	1.07
2026-04-18	oos	0.918605	0.909572	-0.98%	0.89824	-2.22%	0.0294	✓	1.07
2026-04-17	oos	0.95899	0.953683	-0.55%	0.88611	-7.60%	0.0778	✓	1.07
2026-04-16	oos	0.921225	0.908315	-1.40%	0.909195	-1.31%	0.0398	✓	1.06
2026-04-15	oos	0.90905	0.896386	-1.39%	0.930055	+2.31%	0.0214	✓	1.06
2026-04-14	oos	0.90133	0.885922	-1.71%	0.984055	+9.18%	0.0098	✓	1.07
2026-04-13	oos	0.92342	0.906086	-1.88%	0.98506	+6.68%	0.0154	✓	1.08
2026-04-12	oos	0.882435	0.850109	-3.66%	1.0312	+16.85%	0.0525	✗	1.09
2026-04-11	oos	0.918595	0.893872	-2.69%	1.0322	+12.37%	0.0224	✓	1.09
2026-04-10	oos	0.916705	0.896692	-2.18%	1.0451	+14.01%	0.0245	✗	1.08
2026-04-09	oos	0.922265	0.901008	-2.30%	0.96792	+4.95%	0.0550	✓	1.09
2026-04-08	oos	0.90918	0.884389	-2.73%	0.96765	+6.43%	0.0411	✓	1.09
2026-04-07	oos	0.95507	0.930054	-2.62%	0.922025	-3.46%	0.1243	✓	1.08
2026-04-06	oos	0.92641	0.892441	-3.67%	0.921375	-0.54%	0.1516	✓	1.09
2026-04-05	oos	0.969285	0.930354	-4.02%	0.89518	-7.65%	0.2127	✓	1.09
2026-04-04	oos	0.96028	0.918926	-4.31%	0.87405	-8.98%	0.2396	✓	1.11
2026-04-03	oos	0.96962	0.92523	-4.58%	0.87045	-10.23%	0.2382	✓	1.11
2026-04-02	oos	0.88023	0.843624	-4.16%	0.8802	-0.00%	0.1365	✓	1.10
2026-04-01	oos	0.93812	0.89789	-4.29%	0.87351	-6.89%	0.1798	✓	1.10
2026-03-31	oos	0.89006	0.853325	-4.13%	0.86168	-3.19%	0.1129	✓	1.10
2026-03-30	oos	0.80961	0.778161	-3.88%	0.8742	+7.98%	0.0191	✓	1.07
2026-03-29	oos	0.77248	0.743153	-3.80%	0.88667	+14.78%	0.0222	✓	1.06
2026-03-28	oos	0.818	0.788317	-3.63%	0.89128	+8.96%	0.0396	✓	1.05
2026-03-27	oos	0.81898	0.790775	-3.44%	0.90848	+10.93%	0.0406	✓	1.05
2026-03-26	oos	0.84978	0.827679	-2.60%	0.8956	+5.39%	0.0501	✓	1.06
2026-03-25	oos	0.90831	0.89435	-1.54%	0.90403	-0.47%	0.0763	✓	1.05
2026-03-24	oos	0.92962	0.912926	-1.80%	0.906965	-2.44%	0.1167	✓	1.06
2026-03-23	oos	0.88349	0.87022	-1.50%	0.90316	+2.23%	0.0670	✓	1.06
2026-03-22	oos	0.82721	0.812111	-1.83%	0.910885	+10.12%	0.0084	✓	1.04
2026-03-21	oos	0.84707	0.833288	-1.63%	0.915695	+8.10%	0.0059	✓	1.04
2026-03-20	oos	0.885555	0.87581	-1.10%	0.88507	-0.05%	0.0372	✓	1.04
2026-03-19	oos	0.87821	0.869414	-1.00%	0.918605	+4.60%	0.0276	✓	1.03
2026-03-18	oos	0.89425	0.888309	-0.66%	0.95899	+7.24%	0.0062	✓	1.05
2026-03-17	oos	0.94753	0.94518	-0.25%	0.921225	-2.78%	0.0429	✓	1.04
2026-03-16	oos	0.95221	0.952898	+0.07%	0.90905	-4.53%	0.0464	✗	1.05
2026-03-15	oos	0.9366	0.932728	-0.41%	0.90133	-3.77%	0.0535	✓	1.05
2026-03-14	oos	0.88128	0.876049	-0.59%	0.92342	+4.78%	0.0067	✗	1.04
2026-03-13	oos	0.90989	0.900878	-0.99%	0.882435	-3.02%	0.0179	✓	1.06
2026-03-12	oos	0.87576	0.868339	-0.85%	0.918595	+4.89%	0.0187	✗	1.05
2026-03-11	oos	0.8941	0.882848	-1.26%	0.916705	+2.53%	0.0036	✓	1.06
2026-03-10	oos	0.87908	0.866096	-1.48%	0.922265	+4.91%	0.0355	✗	1.05
2026-03-09	oos	0.86781	0.853681	-1.63%	0.90918	+4.77%	0.0228	✗	1.06
2026-03-08	oos	0.84932	0.833579	-1.85%	0.95507	+12.45%	0.0439	✗	1.07
2026-03-07	oos	0.86311	0.847361	-1.82%	0.92641	+7.33%	0.0641	✗	1.07
2026-03-06	oos	0.89296	0.877065	-1.78%	0.969285	+8.55%	0.0860	✗	1.07
2026-03-05	oos	0.93319	0.916632	-1.77%	0.96028	+2.90%	0.1020	✗	1.07
2026-03-04	oos	0.94185	0.924387	-1.85%	0.96962	+2.95%	0.1358	✗	1.07
2026-03-03	oos	0.91313	0.894782	-2.01%	0.88023	-3.60%	0.0072	✓	1.11
2026-03-02	oos	0.93206	0.91216	-2.14%	0.93812	+0.65%	0.0397	✗	1.11
2026-03-01	oos	0.89376	0.874804	-2.12%	0.89006	-0.41%	0.0238	✓	1.12
2026-02-28	oos	0.91254	0.893799	-2.05%	0.80961	-11.28%	0.0950	✓	1.14
2026-02-27	oos	0.90907	0.888967	-2.21%	0.77248	-15.03%	0.1421	✓	1.15
2026-02-26	oos	0.926435	0.904103	-2.41%	0.818	-11.70%	0.0800	✓	1.15
2026-02-25	oos	0.95313	0.92756	-2.68%	0.81898	-14.07%	0.0965	✓	1.15
2026-02-24	oos	0.86893	0.847463	-2.47%	0.84978	-2.20%	0.0768	✓	1.12
2026-02-23	oos	0.880105	0.856843	-2.64%	0.90831	+3.20%	0.0500	✓	1.10
2026-02-22	oos	0.91432	0.8858	-3.12%	0.92962	+1.67%	0.0016	✓	1.11
2026-02-21	oos	0.940855	0.91158	-3.11%	0.88349	-6.10%	0.0779	✓	1.11
2026-02-20	oos	0.961455	0.931723	-3.09%	0.82721	-13.96%	0.1167	✓	1.10
2026-02-19	oos	0.937415	0.909488	-2.98%	0.84707	-9.64%	0.1024	✓	1.10
2026-02-18	oos	0.94552	0.919819	-2.72%	0.885555	-6.34%	0.1036	✓	1.10
2026-02-17	oos	0.964055	0.936001	-2.91%	0.87821	-8.90%	0.1028	✓	1.10
2026-02-16	oos	0.98535	0.953472	-3.24%	0.89425	-9.25%	0.1015	✓	1.10
2026-02-15	oos	0.98353	0.952927	-3.11%	0.94753	-3.66%	0.0849	✓	1.10
2026-02-14	oos	1.0256	0.98923	-3.55%	0.95221	-7.16%	0.1151	✓	1.09
2026-02-13	oos	0.994905	0.960635	-3.44%	0.9366	-5.86%	0.0871	✓	1.09
2026-02-12	oos	0.951765	0.922558	-3.07%	0.88128	-7.41%	0.1253	✓	1.09
2026-02-11	oos	0.915535	0.888539	-2.95%	0.90989	-0.62%	0.0372	✓	1.07
2026-02-10	oos	0.89853	0.868978	-3.29%	0.87576	-2.53%	0.0192	✓	1.09
2026-02-09	oos	0.92647	0.890608	-3.87%	0.8941	-3.49%	0.0023	✓	1.09
2026-02-08	oos	0.924285	0.888981	-3.82%	0.87908	-4.89%	0.0062	✓	1.09
2026-02-07	oos	0.942885	0.908724	-3.62%	0.86781	-7.96%	0.0331	✓	1.10
2026-02-06	oos	0.953125	0.916982	-3.79%	0.84932	-10.89%	0.0036	✓	1.09
2026-02-05	oos	0.871405	0.850572	-2.39%	0.86311	-0.95%	0.0651	✓	1.16
2026-02-04	oos	1.0391	0.991	-4.63%	0.89296	-14.07%	0.0193	✓	1.22
2026-02-03	oos	1.0712	1.0218	-4.62%	0.93319	-12.88%	0.0108	✓	1.23
2026-02-02	oos	1.1027	1.0519	-4.60%	0.94185	-14.59%	0.0110	✓	1.26
2026-02-01	oos	1.0644	1.0164	-4.51%	0.91313	-14.21%	0.0352	✓	1.21
2026-01-31	oos	1.0623	1.0163	-4.33%	0.93206	-12.26%	0.0822	✗	1.27
2026-01-30	oos	1.1439	1.1082	-3.12%	0.89376	-21.87%	0.1008	✗	1.28
2026-01-29	oos	1.1667	1.1275	-3.36%	0.91254	-21.79%	0.0885	✗	1.29
2026-01-28	oos	1.2541	1.2261	-2.23%	0.90907	-27.51%	0.0911	✗	1.29
2026-01-27	oos	1.2817	1.2562	-1.99%	0.926435	-27.72%	0.0595	✗	1.31
2026-01-26	oos	1.2571	1.225	-2.55%	0.95313	-24.18%	0.0844	✗	1.29
2026-01-25	oos	1.2211	1.1841	-3.03%	0.86893	-28.84%	0.0769	✗	1.28
2026-01-24	oos	1.2757	1.24	-2.80%	0.880105	-31.01%	0.0682	✗	1.28
2026-01-23	oos	1.2804	1.2501	-2.37%	0.91432	-28.59%	0.0451	✗	1.28
2026-01-22	oos	1.2921	1.2605	-2.44%	0.940855	-27.18%	0.0586	✗	1.28
2026-01-21	oos	1.3255	1.2924	-2.50%	0.961455	-27.47%	0.0541	✗	1.28
2026-01-20	oos	1.3028	1.2703	-2.49%	0.937415	-28.05%	0.0512	✗	1.28
2026-01-19	oos	1.368	1.3481	-1.45%	0.94552	-30.88%	0.0774	✗	1.30
2026-01-18	oos	1.4	1.3794	-1.47%	0.964055	-31.14%	0.0677	✗	1.30
2026-01-17	oos	1.4762	1.4526	-1.60%	0.98535	-33.25%	0.0267	✗	1.28
2026-01-16	oos	1.4544	1.4324	-1.51%	0.98353	-32.37%	0.0455	✗	1.28
2026-01-15	oos	1.4334	1.4164	-1.19%	1.0256	-28.45%	0.0825	✗	1.29
2026-01-14	oos	1.5706	1.5555	-0.96%	0.994905	-36.65%	0.0139	✓	1.26
2026-01-13	oos	1.4677	1.4394	-1.93%	0.951765	-35.15%	0.0376	✗	1.24
2026-01-12	oos	1.3898	1.3477	-3.02%	0.915535	-34.12%	0.0038	✓	1.24
2026-01-11	oos	1.4367	1.3933	-3.02%	0.89853	-37.46%	0.0906	✓	1.25
2026-01-10	oos	1.4856	1.4392	-3.12%	0.92647	-37.64%	0.1193	✓	1.26
2026-01-09	oos	1.4893	1.4459	-2.91%	0.924285	-37.94%	0.1112	✓	1.33
2026-01-08	oos	1.4799	1.4411	-2.62%	0.942885	-36.29%	0.0643	✓	1.32
2026-01-07	oos	1.4637	1.4346	-1.99%	0.953125	-34.88%	0.0032	✓	1.60
2026-01-06	oos	1.5151	1.4946	-1.35%	0.871405	-42.49%	0.0977	✗	1.59
2026-01-05	oos	1.4615	1.4422	-1.32%	1.0391	-28.90%	0.0817	✗	1.63
2026-01-04	oos	1.3934	1.3704	-1.65%	1.0712	-23.12%	0.0643	✗	1.63
2026-01-03	oos	1.3749	1.3551	-1.44%	1.1027	-19.80%	0.0251	✗	1.64
2026-01-02	oos	1.3822	1.3623	-1.44%	1.0644	-22.99%	0.0098	✓	1.63
2026-01-01	oos	1.3373	1.3166	-1.54%	1.0623	-20.56%	0.0182	✓	1.63
2025-12-31	oos	1.3375	1.3158	-1.62%	1.1439	-14.47%	0.0757	✓	1.63
2025-12-30	oos	1.2769	1.258	-1.48%	1.1667	-8.63%	0.0019	✓	1.63
2025-12-29	oos	1.2937	1.2724	-1.65%	1.2541	-3.06%	0.0527	✓	1.64
2025-12-28	oos	1.2693	1.2472	-1.74%	1.2817	+0.98%	0.0042	✓	1.65
2025-12-27	oos	1.3008	1.2786	-1.71%	1.2571	-3.36%	0.0252	✓	1.63
2025-12-26	oos	1.1997	1.1787	-1.75%	1.2211	+1.79%	0.0489	✗	1.61
2025-12-25	oos	1.2119	1.1867	-2.08%	1.2757	+5.26%	0.0375	✗	1.61
2025-12-24	oos	1.2547	1.2276	-2.15%	1.2804	+2.05%	0.0080	✓	1.62
2025-12-23	oos	1.2602	1.233	-2.16%	1.2921	+2.53%	0.0093	✓	1.63
2025-12-22	oos	1.2528	1.2241	-2.29%	1.3255	+5.80%	0.0646	✗	1.64
2025-12-21	oos	1.2495	1.2191	-2.43%	1.3028	+4.27%	0.0725	✗	1.64
2025-12-20	oos	1.2931	1.2582	-2.70%	1.368	+5.79%	0.0057	✓	1.67
2025-12-19	oos	1.3088	1.2734	-2.70%	1.4	+6.97%	0.0069	✓	1.67
2025-12-18	oos	1.2297	1.1925	-3.03%	1.4762	+20.05%	0.0362	✗	1.66
2025-12-17	oos	1.279	1.2393	-3.10%	1.4544	+13.71%	0.0096	✓	1.66
2025-12-16	oos	1.3645	1.3218	-3.13%	1.4334	+5.06%	0.0576	✓	1.64
2025-12-15	oos	1.3748	1.3259	-3.56%	1.5706	+14.24%	0.0215	✓	1.66
2025-12-14	oos	1.4232	1.3744	-3.43%	1.4677	+3.13%	0.0642	✓	1.65
2025-12-13	oos	1.5249	1.4708	-3.55%	1.3898	-8.86%	0.0735	✓	1.64
2025-12-12	oos	1.401	1.3559	-3.22%	1.4367	+2.55%	0.0471	✗	1.63
2025-12-11	oos	1.4442	1.4015	-2.96%	1.4856	+2.86%	0.0972	✗	1.64
2025-12-10	oos	1.4817	1.4321	-3.35%	1.4893	+0.51%	0.0666	✗	1.65
2025-12-09	oos	1.508	1.4572	-3.37%	1.4799	-1.87%	0.0452	✗	1.64
2025-12-08	oos	1.4482	1.396	-3.60%	1.4637	+1.07%	0.0363	✓	1.61
2025-12-07	oos	1.411	1.3612	-3.53%	1.5151	+7.38%	0.0489	✗	1.61
2025-12-06	oos	1.4341	1.3804	-3.75%	1.4615	+1.91%	0.0245	✓	1.62
2025-12-05	oos	1.4338	1.3825	-3.58%	1.3934	-2.82%	0.0307	✓	1.62
2025-12-04	oos	1.4938	1.443	-3.40%	1.3749	-7.96%	0.0217	✓	1.63
2025-12-03	oos	1.568	1.5171	-3.25%	1.3822	-11.85%	0.0312	✓	1.62
2025-12-02	oos	1.5234	1.4739	-3.25%	1.3373	-12.22%	0.0511	✓	1.62
2025-12-01	oos	1.4132	1.3629	-3.56%	1.3375	-5.36%	0.0417	✓	1.64
2025-11-30	oos	1.5396	1.4872	-3.40%	1.2769	-17.07%	0.1167	✓	1.62
2025-11-29	oos	1.5966	1.5443	-3.27%	1.2937	-18.97%	0.1100	✓	1.61
2025-11-28	oos	1.6139	1.567	-2.90%	1.2693	-21.35%	0.1561	✓	1.61
2025-11-27	oos	1.606	1.5599	-2.87%	1.3008	-19.00%	0.1178	✓	1.63
2025-11-26	oos	1.6006	1.5536	-2.94%	1.1997	-25.05%	0.2010	✓	1.61
2025-11-25	oos	1.6068	1.5527	-3.37%	1.2119	-24.57%	0.2449	✓	1.64
2025-11-24	oos	1.5759	1.525	-3.23%	1.2547	-20.39%	0.1828	✓	1.65
2025-11-23	oos	1.5337	1.4805	-3.47%	1.2602	-17.83%	0.1726	✓	1.61
2025-11-22	oos	1.5386	1.4837	-3.57%	1.2528	-18.57%	0.2410	✓	1.61
2025-11-21	oos	1.5401	1.4888	-3.33%	1.2495	-18.87%	0.2381	✓	1.53
2025-11-20	oos	1.6038	1.5488	-3.43%	1.2931	-19.37%	0.2111	✓	1.50
2025-11-19	oos	1.691	1.6359	-3.26%	1.3088	-22.60%	0.1666	✓	1.51
2025-11-18	oos	1.7404	1.6814	-3.39%	1.2297	-29.35%	0.1906	✓	1.46
2025-11-17	oos	1.7034	1.6436	-3.51%	1.279	-24.92%	0.1530	✓	1.48
2025-11-16	oos	1.7135	1.6523	-3.57%	1.3645	-20.37%	0.0869	✓	1.50
2025-11-15	oos	1.7541	1.6889	-3.72%	1.3748	-21.63%	0.0546	✓	1.51
2025-11-14	oos	1.723	1.6583	-3.76%	1.4232	-17.40%	0.0485	✓	1.51
2025-11-13	oos	1.7726	1.7062	-3.74%	1.5249	-13.97%	0.0438	✗	1.58
2025-11-12	oos	1.8397	1.772	-3.68%	1.401	-23.85%	0.0476	✓	1.58
2025-11-11	oos	1.8526	1.7834	-3.73%	1.4442	-22.04%	0.0393	✓	1.60
2025-11-10	oos	1.9526	1.8777	-3.84%	1.4817	-24.11%	0.0134	✓	1.58
2025-11-09	oos	1.9274	1.8511	-3.96%	1.508	-21.76%	0.0098	✓	1.60
2025-11-08	oos	1.9391	1.854	-4.39%	1.4482	-25.32%	0.0493	✓	1.64
2025-11-07	oos	1.9803	1.8922	-4.45%	1.411	-28.75%	0.0814	✓	1.59
2025-11-06	oos	1.7402	1.6642	-4.37%	1.4341	-17.59%	0.0449	✗	1.53
2025-11-05	oos	1.7668	1.6901	-4.34%	1.4338	-18.84%	0.0681	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	1.6816	1.6083	-4.36%	1.4938	-11.16%	0.0740	✗	1.52
2025-11-03	oos	1.7127	1.6376	-4.38%	1.568	-8.45%	0.1683	✗	1.61
2025-11-02	oos	1.9062	1.8224	-4.40%	1.5234	-20.08%	0.1196	✗	1.56
2025-11-01	oos	1.9209	1.832	-4.63%	1.4132	-26.43%	0.1230	✗	1.57
2025-10-31	oos	1.8542	1.7656	-4.77%	1.5396	-16.96%	0.1648	✗	1.57
2025-10-30	oos	1.8227	1.7337	-4.88%	1.5966	-12.41%	0.1936	✗	1.57
2025-10-29	oos	1.9662	1.8677	-5.01%	1.6139	-17.92%	0.1484	✗	1.54
2025-10-28	oos	1.9677	1.8717	-4.88%	1.606	-18.38%	0.1820	✗	1.58
2025-10-27	oos	2.0146	1.9142	-4.98%	1.6006	-20.55%	0.1869	✗	1.58
2025-10-26	oos	2.0561	1.9508	-5.12%	1.6068	-21.85%	0.2334	✗	1.58
2025-10-25	oos	2.0024	1.8864	-5.79%	1.5759	-21.30%	0.1974	✗	1.60
2025-10-24	oos	2.0022	1.8795	-6.13%	1.5337	-23.40%	0.1907	✗	1.60
2025-10-23	oos	1.9817	1.8541	-6.44%	1.5386	-22.36%	0.2345	✗	1.60
2025-10-22	oos	1.9103	1.781	-6.77%	1.5401	-19.38%	0.2304	✗	1.60
2025-10-21	oos	1.9539	1.8162	-7.05%	1.6038	-17.92%	0.2354	✗	1.60
2025-10-20	oos	2.0054	1.8594	-7.28%	1.691	-15.68%	0.2130	✗	1.62
2025-10-19	oos	1.9754	1.8207	-7.83%	1.7404	-11.90%	0.2052	✗	1.60
2025-10-18	oos	1.951	1.7912	-8.19%	1.7034	-12.69%	0.1930	✗	1.60
2025-10-17	oos	1.9039	1.7438	-8.41%	1.7135	-10.00%	0.1776	✗	1.59
2025-10-16	oos	1.9469	1.7869	-8.22%	1.7541	-9.90%	0.1798	✗	1.59
2025-10-15	oos	1.9967	1.861	-6.80%	1.723	-13.71%	0.1771	✗	1.60
2025-10-14	oos	2.0833	1.9689	-5.49%	1.7726	-14.92%	0.0964	✗	1.59
2025-10-13	oos	2.1431	2.0425	-4.69%	1.8397	-14.16%	0.0959	✗	1.59
2025-10-12	oos	2.0736	1.9755	-4.74%	1.8526	-10.66%	0.1083	✗	1.56
2025-10-11	oos	1.8642	1.7508	-6.08%	1.9526	+4.74%	0.1747	✗	1.48
2025-10-10	oos	1.8564	1.7539	-5.52%	1.9274	+3.82%	0.2093	✗	1.51
2025-10-09	oos	2.4184	2.3273	-3.77%	1.9391	-19.82%	0.0135	✓	0.97
2025-10-08	oos	2.361	2.2848	-3.23%	1.9803	-16.13%	0.0327	✓	0.99
2025-10-07	oos	2.1119	2.0398	-3.42%	1.7402	-17.60%	0.0098	✓	0.93
2025-10-06	oos	2.2461	2.1856	-2.69%	1.7668	-21.34%	0.0453	✓	0.92
2025-10-05	oos	2.2013	2.1362	-2.96%	1.6816	-23.61%	0.0590	✓	0.92
2025-10-04	oos	2.219	2.1509	-3.07%	1.7127	-22.82%	0.0992	✓	0.93
2025-10-03	oos	2.2901	2.2305	-2.61%	1.9062	-16.77%	0.0632	✓	0.93
2025-10-02	oos	2.2757	2.2071	-3.01%	1.9209	-15.59%	0.0536	✓	0.93
2025-10-01	oos	2.2512	2.1733	-3.46%	1.8542	-17.64%	0.0823	✓	0.96
2025-09-30	oos	2.1253	2.0272	-4.62%	1.8227	-14.24%	0.0586	✓	0.92
2025-09-29	oos	2.1696	2.0754	-4.34%	1.9662	-9.38%	0.0161	✓	0.98
2025-09-28	oos	2.1798	2.0779	-4.68%	1.9677	-9.73%	0.0609	✓	1.03
2025-09-27	oos	2.1455	2.0386	-4.98%	2.0146	-6.10%	0.0531	✓	1.05
2025-09-26	oos	2.1906	2.0858	-4.78%	2.0561	-6.14%	0.0602	✓	1.06
2025-09-25	oos	2.0536	1.9573	-4.69%	2.0024	-2.49%	0.0022	✓	1.05
2025-09-24	oos	2.2369	2.1367	-4.48%	2.0022	-10.49%	0.0455	✓	0.95
2025-09-23	oos	2.1573	2.0562	-4.69%	1.9817	-8.14%	0.0208	✓	0.94
2025-09-22	oos	2.1717	2.0756	-4.42%	1.9103	-12.04%	0.0397	✓	0.93
2025-09-21	oos	2.3435	2.2434	-4.27%	1.9539	-16.62%	0.0850	✓	0.86
2025-09-20	oos	2.3902	2.2901	-4.19%	2.0054	-16.10%	0.0880	✓	0.98
2025-09-19	oos	2.4013	2.304	-4.05%	1.9754	-17.74%	0.0924	✓	0.98
2025-09-18	oos	2.4847	2.3912	-3.76%	1.951	-21.48%	0.1163	✓	0.99
2025-09-17	oos	2.4803	2.3841	-3.88%	1.9039	-23.24%	0.1350	✓	1.00

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.