XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · gru_s0

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +7d

assessed

393

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

65.4%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0521

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0083

actual -0.0086

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-21	oos	0.31526	0.309372	-1.87%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.307177	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.295629	-1.65%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.296172	-1.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.296773	-1.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.311431	-1.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.308948	-1.20%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.3056	-1.17%	0.31526	+1.95%	0.0153	✗	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.318608	-1.26%	0.3131	-2.96%	0.0152	✓	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.299686	-1.04%	0.30059	-0.74%	0.0017	✓	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.319328	-1.16%	0.30068	-6.93%	0.0379	✓	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.297787	-0.87%	0.30109	+0.23%	0.0314	✗	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.296245	-0.72%	0.315885	+5.86%	0.0781	✗	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.287446	-0.50%	0.31269	+8.24%	0.0784	✗	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.310314	-0.65%	0.30922	-1.00%	0.0183	✗	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.33114	-0.60%	0.32266	-3.14%	0.0033	✓	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.334656	-0.58%	0.302825	-10.04%	0.0507	✓	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.328635	-0.44%	0.32306	-2.13%	0.0171	✗	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.320202	-0.62%	0.30039	-6.77%	0.0415	✓	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.314175	-0.55%	0.298385	-5.55%	0.0274	✓	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.323964	-0.62%	0.28889	-11.38%	0.0759	✓	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.314217	-0.71%	0.312355	-1.30%	0.0024	✓	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.309841	-0.66%	0.333125	+6.80%	0.0487	✗	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.310834	-0.73%	0.336605	+7.50%	0.0508	✗	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.318934	-0.74%	0.330075	+2.72%	0.0087	✗	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.326137	-0.80%	0.32219	-2.00%	0.0163	✓	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.329263	-0.88%	0.31591	-4.90%	0.0466	✓	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.328706	-0.70%	0.32599	-1.52%	0.0142	✓	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.323118	-0.47%	0.316455	-2.52%	0.0103	✓	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.345513	-0.59%	0.311915	-10.26%	0.0711	✓	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.338221	-0.44%	0.313135	-7.83%	0.0386	✓	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.345299	-1.26%	0.32132	-8.12%	0.1207	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.355276	-3.19%	0.32877	-10.41%	0.1242	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.292609	-0.99%	0.332185	+12.41%	0.0796	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.253548	-0.44%	0.33102	+29.97%	0.1603	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.252715	-0.36%	0.32465	+28.00%	0.1403	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.248914	-0.22%	0.34756	+39.33%	0.1898	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.272255	-0.22%	0.33972	+24.51%	0.1164	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.281125	-0.91%	0.3497	+23.26%	0.1605	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.265292	-0.18%	0.36697	+38.08%	0.2712	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.25109	+0.11%	0.29552	+17.83%	0.1139	✓	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.253096	-0.05%	0.25468	+0.58%	0.0088	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.262144	-0.58%	0.25363	-3.81%	0.0039	✓	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.249985	+0.14%	0.249455	-0.07%	0.0371	✓	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.236463	+0.55%	0.272845	+16.02%	0.1558	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.242346	+0.61%	0.283705	+17.78%	0.2066	✓	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.240282	+0.61%	0.265765	+11.28%	0.1363	✓	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.231982	+0.73%	0.25081	+8.91%	0.1110	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.230832	+0.96%	0.25322	+10.75%	0.1566	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.218987	+0.53%	0.26367	+21.05%	0.1709	✓	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.215738	+0.64%	0.249635	+16.45%	0.1299	✓	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.214762	+0.90%	0.235175	+10.49%	0.0832	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.212903	+0.94%	0.24088	+14.21%	0.0853	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.221871	+1.01%	0.23882	+8.73%	0.0511	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.22272	+0.92%	0.23029	+4.35%	0.0074	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.233338	+1.08%	0.228645	-0.95%	0.0340	✗	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.230055	+0.93%	0.217825	-4.44%	0.0300	✗	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.225778	+0.96%	0.21437	-4.14%	0.0356	✗	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.232255	+0.92%	0.21285	-7.51%	0.0813	✗	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.236722	+0.70%	0.210915	-10.28%	0.1145	✗	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.233961	+0.66%	0.219655	-5.49%	0.0803	✗	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.242665	+0.61%	0.22069	-8.50%	0.0879	✗	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.221536	-0.02%	0.23084	+4.18%	0.0640	✓	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.213553	-0.54%	0.227945	+6.16%	0.0859	✓	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.197669	-1.22%	0.223625	+11.75%	0.1028	✓	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.196835	-1.28%	0.230135	+15.42%	0.0813	✓	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.19215	-1.36%	0.23508	+20.68%	0.0481	✓	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.19526	-1.36%	0.232425	+17.42%	0.0614	✓	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.193828	-1.39%	0.2412	+22.71%	0.0386	✓	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.19404	-1.37%	0.22158	+12.63%	0.0337	✓	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.191765	-1.30%	0.21471	+10.51%	0.0081	✓	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.192007	-1.29%	0.20011	+2.87%	0.0204	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.195643	-1.46%	0.199385	+0.42%	0.0086	✓	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.199505	-1.36%	0.19479	-3.69%	0.0131	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.205101	-1.41%	0.197945	-4.85%	0.0008	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.198722	-1.35%	0.196555	-2.43%	0.0246	✗	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.197824	-1.46%	0.19673	-2.00%	0.0100	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.193865	-1.43%	0.194285	-1.22%	0.0243	✗	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.195105	-1.49%	0.194525	-1.78%	0.0067	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.200077	-1.63%	0.198545	-2.39%	0.0162	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.197014	-1.58%	0.202255	+1.03%	0.0005	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.195539	-1.60%	0.208035	+4.68%	0.0212	✗	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.198064	-1.51%	0.20144	+0.17%	0.0223	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.203062	-1.17%	0.200745	-2.30%	0.0028	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.201719	-1.15%	0.19668	-3.62%	0.0386	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.204792	-1.03%	0.19806	-4.28%	0.0373	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.20548	-0.93%	0.2034	-1.93%	0.0058	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.221506	-0.77%	0.200185	-10.32%	0.0679	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.222098	-0.75%	0.198725	-11.20%	0.0834	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.226625	-0.73%	0.201095	-11.91%	0.0967	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.233626	-0.68%	0.20547	-12.65%	0.1226	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.226498	-0.38%	0.20406	-10.25%	0.0649	✓	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.228065	-0.25%	0.206925	-9.49%	0.0493	✓	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.227458	-0.32%	0.2074	-9.11%	0.0646	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.222661	-0.30%	0.22322	-0.05%	0.0094	✓	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.224706	-0.27%	0.22378	-0.68%	0.0050	✗	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.221682	-0.27%	0.22828	+2.70%	0.0259	✗	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.219867	-0.27%	0.235215	+6.69%	0.0440	✗	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.226957	-0.26%	0.22736	-0.08%	0.0225	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.231113	-0.33%	0.22863	-1.41%	0.0379	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.219625	-0.45%	0.22819	+3.43%	0.0161	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.226064	-0.36%	0.223335	-1.56%	0.0294	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.230018	-0.36%	0.225305	-2.40%	0.0390	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.234874	-0.39%	0.22228	-5.73%	0.0509	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.234421	-0.42%	0.220465	-6.35%	0.0721	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.24029	-0.54%	0.22755	-5.81%	0.1000	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.252549	-0.64%	0.23189	-8.77%	0.1152	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.24923	-0.54%	0.220625	-11.96%	0.0900	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.251593	-0.83%	0.22688	-10.58%	0.1063	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.237703	-0.59%	0.230855	-3.46%	0.0418	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.242576	-1.12%	0.23579	-3.89%	0.0574	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.213735	-0.31%	0.235405	+9.80%	0.0672	✗	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.20906	-0.33%	0.241585	+15.18%	0.1042	✗	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.201765	-0.30%	0.25418	+25.60%	0.1463	✗	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.211116	-0.29%	0.250595	+18.36%	0.1055	✗	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.209818	-0.27%	0.25371	+20.59%	0.1189	✗	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.212059	-0.27%	0.239125	+12.46%	0.0654	✗	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.215291	-0.32%	0.245335	+13.59%	0.0867	✗	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.21206	-0.32%	0.2144	+0.78%	0.0204	✓	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.214368	-0.32%	0.209745	-2.47%	0.0034	✓	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.220126	-0.39%	0.202365	-8.43%	0.0092	✓	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.227233	-0.46%	0.211725	-7.26%	0.0044	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.227842	-0.50%	0.21039	-8.12%	0.0130	✓	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.23569	-0.59%	0.212635	-10.31%	0.0286	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.242858	-0.68%	0.215985	-11.67%	0.0558	✓	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.229722	-0.58%	0.21275	-7.92%	0.0207	✓	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.243345	-0.72%	0.21506	-12.26%	0.0644	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.242857	-0.80%	0.22099	-9.73%	0.0445	✓	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.239306	-0.83%	0.22829	-5.40%	0.0096	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.237568	-0.82%	0.22898	-4.41%	0.0033	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.23636	-0.79%	0.23709	-0.48%	0.0065	✓	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.232301	-0.74%	0.24452	+4.48%	0.0523	✗	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.232462	-0.83%	0.23106	-1.43%	0.0054	✓	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.226075	-0.55%	0.245115	+7.83%	0.0301	✗	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.236262	-0.64%	0.244805	+2.95%	0.0302	✓	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.243601	-0.85%	0.24131	-1.78%	0.0622	✓	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.243281	-0.90%	0.23954	-2.42%	0.0546	✓	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.243284	-0.48%	0.238245	-2.55%	0.0816	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.242031	-0.51%	0.234035	-3.79%	0.0760	✓	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.274878	-1.13%	0.234405	-15.69%	0.1556	✓	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.293013	-1.14%	0.22732	-23.31%	0.2148	✓	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.290596	-1.26%	0.23779	-19.20%	0.1238	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.313257	-1.49%	0.24568	-22.74%	0.1278	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.323205	-1.45%	0.24549	-25.14%	0.1344	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.325808	-1.89%	0.24447	-26.39%	0.1138	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.30058	-1.34%	0.24326	-20.15%	0.0461	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.305892	-1.26%	0.27802	-10.26%	0.0312	✗	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.315018	-1.12%	0.2964	-6.97%	0.0712	✗	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.328487	-0.98%	0.2943	-11.29%	0.0031	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.331008	-0.85%	0.318	-4.75%	0.0339	✗	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.332591	-0.78%	0.32795	-2.16%	0.0278	✗	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.342239	-0.86%	0.3321	-3.79%	0.0047	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.331746	-0.84%	0.30465	-8.94%	0.0600	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.34751	-0.61%	0.3098	-11.40%	0.0672	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.339479	-0.45%	0.3186	-6.57%	0.0261	✓	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.332821	-0.34%	0.33175	-0.66%	0.0078	✗	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.340643	-0.38%	0.33385	-2.37%	0.0237	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.338998	-0.34%	0.3352	-1.46%	0.0063	✓	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.355988	-0.40%	0.3452	-3.41%	0.0142	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.363616	-0.37%	0.33455	-8.33%	0.0413	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.377388	-0.14%	0.34965	-7.48%	0.0363	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.373646	-0.33%	0.341	-9.04%	0.0708	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.384495	-0.12%	0.33395	-13.25%	0.0995	✓	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.397306	-0.01%	0.34195	-13.94%	0.0977	✓	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.400509	-0.01%	0.34015	-15.08%	0.1112	✓	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.386485	-0.08%	0.3574	-7.60%	0.0506	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.393545	-0.24%	0.36495	-7.49%	0.0633	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.375128	-0.09%	0.3779	+0.65%	0.0040	✓	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.383186	+0.04%	0.3749	-2.13%	0.0005	✓	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.375064	+0.02%	0.38495	+2.65%	0.0308	✓	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.361875	-0.01%	0.39735	+9.80%	0.0726	✗	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.36195	-0.23%	0.40055	+10.41%	0.0609	✗	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.365307	-0.27%	0.3868	+5.60%	0.0349	✗	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.365083	-0.28%	0.3945	+7.76%	0.0554	✗	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.363476	-0.50%	0.37545	+2.78%	0.0108	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.369053	-0.54%	0.38305	+3.23%	0.0290	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.382997	-0.49%	0.375	-2.57%	0.0745	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.3775	-0.24%	0.3619	-4.36%	0.0712	✓	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.370919	+0.06%	0.3628	-2.13%	0.0208	✗	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.369201	-0.07%	0.3663	-0.85%	0.0201	✓	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.371854	-0.13%	0.3661	-1.68%	0.0248	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.3741	-0.09%	0.3653	-2.44%	0.0001	✓	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.37242	+0.02%	0.37105	-0.35%	0.0259	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.366001	-0.18%	0.3849	+4.98%	0.0507	✗	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.365403	-0.27%	0.3784	+3.28%	0.0166	✗	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.352512	-0.45%	0.3707	+4.69%	0.0108	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.364412	-0.19%	0.36945	+1.19%	0.0101	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.379471	-0.10%	0.37235	-1.97%	0.0234	✓	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.375259	-0.37%	0.37445	-0.58%	0.0410	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.359756	-0.32%	0.37235	+3.17%	0.0076	✓	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.345309	-0.26%	0.36665	+5.91%	0.0327	✗	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.353833	-0.33%	0.3664	+3.21%	0.0172	✗	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.339751	-0.63%	0.3541	+3.57%	0.0008	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.352112	-0.48%	0.3651	+3.19%	0.0022	✓	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.356809	-0.53%	0.37985	+5.90%	0.0105	✗	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.351037	-0.65%	0.37665	+6.59%	0.0268	✗	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.349291	-0.74%	0.3609	+2.56%	0.0163	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.358247	-0.82%	0.3462	-4.15%	0.0638	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.337671	-1.16%	0.355	+3.91%	0.0241	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.340581	-1.22%	0.3419	-0.84%	0.0200	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.344143	-1.34%	0.3538	+1.43%	0.0520	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.344726	-1.44%	0.3587	+2.56%	0.0437	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.33793	-1.33%	0.35335	+3.17%	0.0237	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.347424	-1.24%	0.3519	+0.03%	0.0287	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.348234	-1.18%	0.3612	+2.50%	0.0147	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.343266	-1.02%	0.34165	-1.49%	0.0352	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.336985	-0.83%	0.3448	+1.47%	0.0215	✓	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.343685	-0.70%	0.3488	+0.78%	0.0005	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.347186	-0.72%	0.34975	+0.01%	0.0016	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.368538	-0.40%	0.3425	-7.43%	0.0462	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.388119	-0.20%	0.3518	-9.54%	0.0536	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.398815	-0.32%	0.3524	-11.92%	0.0910	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.392545	-0.26%	0.3468	-11.88%	0.0648	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.377065	-0.41%	0.3398	-10.25%	0.0763	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.38727	-0.32%	0.3461	-10.91%	0.0748	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.40253	-0.20%	0.3497	-13.30%	0.0816	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.388777	-0.16%	0.37	-4.98%	0.0334	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.393016	-0.10%	0.3889	-1.14%	0.0113	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.396547	-0.06%	0.4001	+0.83%	0.0554	✗	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.400118	-0.15%	0.39355	-1.78%	0.0381	✗	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.38581	-0.28%	0.3786	-2.15%	0.0510	✗	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.37682	-0.34%	0.3885	+2.75%	0.0632	✗	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.37188	-0.38%	0.40335	+8.05%	0.0875	✗	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.366741	-0.37%	0.3894	+5.79%	0.0686	✗	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.363594	-0.39%	0.3934	+7.78%	0.0642	✗	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.3617	-0.41%	0.3968	+9.25%	0.0376	✗	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.361647	-0.46%	0.4007	+10.29%	0.0122	✗	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.357333	-0.49%	0.3869	+7.74%	0.0206	✓	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.360048	-0.46%	0.3781	+4.53%	0.0094	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.369051	-0.50%	0.3733	+0.65%	0.0298	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.381995	-0.63%	0.3681	-4.24%	0.0320	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.387597	-0.77%	0.365	-6.55%	0.0248	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.373907	-0.61%	0.3632	-3.46%	0.0535	✓	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.373377	-0.64%	0.3633	-3.33%	0.0213	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.368234	-0.77%	0.3591	-3.23%	0.0283	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.382192	-0.60%	0.3617	-5.93%	0.0596	✓	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.381029	-0.59%	0.3709	-3.24%	0.0617	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.38926	-0.70%	0.3844	-1.94%	0.0634	✓	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.39292	-0.78%	0.3906	-1.36%	0.0750	✓	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.364217	-0.51%	0.3762	+2.76%	0.0334	✓	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.366996	-0.53%	0.3758	+1.86%	0.0395	✓	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.37633	-0.72%	0.3711	-2.10%	0.0140	✗	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.385466	-0.82%	0.3845	-1.07%	0.0123	✗	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.388902	-0.89%	0.3833	-2.32%	0.0175	✗	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.380145	-0.68%	0.392	+2.42%	0.0230	✗	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.382369	-0.63%	0.396	+2.91%	0.0114	✗	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.391981	-0.76%	0.3661	-7.32%	0.0165	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.395677	-0.89%	0.36895	-7.59%	0.0061	✓	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.394558	-0.86%	0.37905	-4.76%	0.0227	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.418061	-1.21%	0.38865	-8.16%	0.0462	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.402542	-0.95%	0.3924	-3.44%	0.0134	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.397917	-0.56%	0.38275	-4.35%	0.0506	✓	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.392129	-0.51%	0.3848	-2.37%	0.0098	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.399498	-0.73%	0.395	-1.85%	0.0084	✗	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.406971	-0.91%	0.39925	-2.79%	0.0011	✓	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.408784	-0.85%	0.398	-3.47%	0.0050	✓	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.418829	-0.69%	0.4232	+0.34%	0.0024	✓	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.425383	-1.04%	0.4064	-5.46%	0.0210	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.400318	+1.73%	0.40015	+1.69%	0.0564	✗	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.462234	-1.16%	0.39415	-15.72%	0.0669	✓	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.466204	-1.46%	0.40245	-14.93%	0.0490	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.471664	-1.49%	0.4107	-14.22%	0.0165	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.456675	-1.11%	0.4123	-10.72%	0.0098	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.460697	-1.18%	0.42175	-9.53%	0.0479	✗	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.498495	-1.41%	0.42985	-14.98%	0.0370	✗	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.501614	-1.37%	0.3935	-22.63%	0.0690	✗	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.52945	-1.22%	0.46765	-12.75%	0.0873	✗	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.56293	-1.36%	0.4731	-17.10%	0.0016	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.557211	-1.45%	0.4788	-15.32%	0.0299	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.554035	-1.45%	0.4618	-17.86%	0.0553	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.576311	-1.45%	0.4662	-20.28%	0.0796	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.580164	-1.53%	0.5056	-14.19%	0.0726	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.571866	-1.37%	0.5086	-12.28%	0.0575	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.585728	-1.44%	0.536	-9.81%	0.0863	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.544597	-1.39%	0.5707	+3.33%	0.0375	✗	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.601305	-1.49%	0.5654	-7.37%	0.0158	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.57704	-1.21%	0.5622	-3.75%	0.0506	✗	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.595338	-1.09%	0.5848	-2.84%	0.0451	✗	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.612115	-1.10%	0.5892	-4.80%	0.0245	✗	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.576253	-1.00%	0.5798	-0.40%	0.0698	✗	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.573054	-0.86%	0.5943	+2.82%	0.1159	✗	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.585053	-1.21%	0.5523	-6.74%	0.0190	✗	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.54762	-1.29%	0.6104	+10.02%	0.0940	✗	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.56203	-1.22%	0.5841	+2.65%	0.0088	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.575117	-1.13%	0.6019	+3.47%	0.0058	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.573347	-1.13%	0.6189	+6.73%	0.0200	✗	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.579739	-1.24%	0.5821	-0.83%	0.0463	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.562252	-0.89%	0.578	+1.89%	0.0457	✓	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.592254	-1.09%	0.5922	-1.10%	0.0212	✓	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.554559	-0.90%	0.5548	-0.86%	0.0351	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.53809	-1.05%	0.569	+4.63%	0.0641	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.526023	-1.14%	0.5817	+9.32%	0.1036	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.521677	-1.27%	0.5799	+9.75%	0.0983	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.499952	-1.25%	0.587	+15.94%	0.1301	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.487721	-1.43%	0.5673	+14.65%	0.1008	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.507927	-1.85%	0.5988	+15.71%	0.0955	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.485302	-1.20%	0.5596	+13.93%	0.0549	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.493669	-1.23%	0.5438	+8.80%	0.0495	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.479105	-1.17%	0.5321	+9.76%	0.0688	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.467147	-1.74%	0.5284	+11.15%	0.0890	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.43955	-1.00%	0.5063	+14.03%	0.1212	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.439698	-0.88%	0.4948	+11.54%	0.1195	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.440154	-0.89%	0.5175	+16.53%	0.1492	✗	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.439011	-0.88%	0.4912	+10.91%	0.1313	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.434889	-0.89%	0.4998	+13.90%	0.1490	✗	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.447226	-0.97%	0.4848	+7.35%	0.0875	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.439165	-0.96%	0.4754	+7.22%	0.0899	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.426584	-0.96%	0.444	+3.09%	0.0168	✗	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.436612	-1.02%	0.4436	+0.57%	0.0031	✓	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.455912	-1.08%	0.4441	-3.65%	0.0206	✓	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.456714	-1.12%	0.4429	-4.11%	0.0595	✓	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.472369	-1.16%	0.4388	-8.18%	0.0800	✓	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.495665	-1.18%	0.4516	-9.97%	0.0679	✓	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.486453	-1.17%	0.4434	-9.91%	0.0640	✓	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.499672	-1.29%	0.4307	-14.92%	0.0554	✓	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.48815	-1.12%	0.4411	-10.65%	0.0248	✓	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.492955	-1.11%	0.4609	-7.54%	0.0043	✓	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.48666	-1.23%	0.4619	-6.25%	0.0043	✓	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.468271	-1.08%	0.4779	+0.95%	0.0498	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.47492	-1.10%	0.5016	+4.46%	0.0416	✗	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.472649	-1.08%	0.4922	+3.01%	0.0282	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.490498	-1.05%	0.5062	+2.12%	0.0257	✗	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.497782	-1.00%	0.4937	-1.81%	0.0100	✓	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.480882	-0.99%	0.4985	+2.64%	0.0181	✗	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.464978	-1.05%	0.4927	+4.85%	0.0033	✓	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.478682	-1.05%	0.4734	-2.14%	0.0116	✓	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.487407	-1.07%	0.4802	-2.54%	0.0071	✓	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.499086	-1.12%	0.4778	-5.34%	0.0216	✓	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.504538	-1.17%	0.4957	-2.90%	0.0284	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.503675	-1.22%	0.5028	-1.39%	0.0435	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.501866	-1.27%	0.4857	-4.45%	0.0917	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.497781	-1.28%	0.4699	-6.81%	0.0275	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.482636	-1.24%	0.48375	-1.01%	0.0508	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.481015	-1.09%	0.4927	+1.32%	0.0709	✓	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.491723	-1.27%	0.50475	+1.35%	0.0639	✓	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.502152	-1.12%	0.5105	+0.52%	0.0564	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.527441	-1.32%	0.5099	-4.60%	0.0182	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.538027	-1.38%	0.5083	-6.83%	0.0318	✗	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.52189	-1.44%	0.50425	-4.77%	0.0266	✗	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.543763	-1.38%	0.4887	-11.36%	0.0102	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.564311	-1.48%	0.4863	-15.10%	0.0244	✗	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.548237	-1.39%	0.49805	-10.41%	0.0544	✗	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.558972	-1.48%	0.50785	-10.49%	0.1173	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.575187	-1.44%	0.5345	-8.41%	0.0865	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.584688	-1.43%	0.54555	-8.02%	0.0869	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.616864	-1.60%	0.5295	-15.54%	0.0569	✗	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.618191	-1.48%	0.55135	-12.14%	0.0459	✗	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.638958	-1.82%	0.5728	-11.99%	0.0021	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.676462	-2.90%	0.55595	-20.20%	0.0616	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.581815	-2.82%	0.56735	-5.24%	0.0012	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.528598	-1.23%	0.5836	+9.04%	0.1324	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.513444	-1.00%	0.59315	+14.36%	0.1210	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.528377	-0.79%	0.6269	+17.71%	0.1798	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.575611	-0.77%	0.6275	+8.18%	0.1731	✗	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.573722	-0.79%	0.6508	+12.54%	0.2434	✗	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.575462	-0.83%	0.6967	+20.07%	0.2860	✗	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.560459	-0.84%	0.5987	+5.93%	0.1737	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.584753	-0.86%	0.5352	-9.26%	0.0033	✓	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.586975	-0.76%	0.51865	-12.32%	0.0523	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.594604	-0.95%	0.5326	-11.28%	0.0025	✓	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.60826	-1.01%	0.58005	-5.60%	0.0113	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.599022	-1.12%	0.5783	-4.54%	0.0108	✓	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.596516	-1.14%	0.58025	-3.84%	0.0051	✓	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.58687	-1.24%	0.5652	-4.89%	0.0100	✓	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.574582	-1.40%	0.5898	+1.21%	0.0116	✓	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.578505	-1.31%	0.5915	+0.90%	0.0467	✓	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.589297	-1.50%	0.6003	+0.33%	0.0352	✓	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.587993	-1.48%	0.61445	+2.95%	0.0445	✓	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.578445	-1.39%	0.6058	+3.27%	0.0222	✓	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.570123	-1.32%	0.6034	+4.44%	0.0136	✓	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.588189	-1.37%	0.59425	-0.35%	0.0191	✓	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.59991	-1.40%	0.58275	-4.22%	0.0201	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.620281	-1.37%	0.5862	-6.79%	0.0144	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.648982	-1.37%	0.5983	-9.07%	0.0122	✓	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.621565	-1.52%	0.59685	-5.43%	0.0523	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.570471	-1.68%	0.5866	+1.10%	0.0798	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.552076	-2.06%	0.57775	+2.49%	0.1429	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.667339	-1.55%	0.59635	-12.02%	0.0542	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.675983	-1.45%	0.6084	-11.31%	0.0464	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.668084	-1.67%	0.6289	-7.44%	0.0403	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.708331	-1.24%	0.658	-8.25%	0.0374	✗	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.705495	-1.28%	0.63115	-11.68%	0.0109	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.68611	-1.08%	0.5802	-16.35%	0.0260	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.711469	-1.09%	0.5637	-21.63%	0.1211	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.703467	-1.25%	0.67785	-4.85%	0.0499	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.692246	-1.54%	0.68595	-2.44%	0.0648	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.656934	-1.75%	0.67945	+1.62%	0.0566	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.657642	-1.80%	0.7172	+7.09%	0.0414	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.661153	-1.87%	0.71465	+6.07%	0.0688	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.65746	-1.94%	0.6936	+3.45%	0.1187	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.666559	-2.02%	0.7193	+5.73%	0.0945	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.642451	-2.27%	0.7124	+8.37%	0.0543	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.68437	-1.97%	0.7031	+0.71%	0.0444	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.684912	-2.09%	0.66865	-4.42%	0.0526	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.682976	-2.30%	0.6697	-4.20%	0.0419	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.734464	-2.12%	0.67375	-10.21%	0.0455	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.744328	-2.17%	0.6705	-11.87%	0.0227	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.738542	-2.29%	0.6803	-10.00%	0.0012	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.774339	-2.21%	0.6574	-16.98%	0.0561	✓	1.51
2025-09-17	oos	0.78885	0.770437	-2.33%	0.69815	-11.50%	0.0571	✓	1.52

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.