XTZ

Tezos · Tezos · gru_s0

token id: #399
symbol: XTZ
variant: –
chain: Tezos
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

72.7%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1137

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0313

actual -0.0280

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.31645	0.299893	-5.23%	–	pending	–	–	1.18
2026-10-21	oos	0.31537	0.299485	-5.04%	–	pending	–	–	1.19
2026-10-20	oos	0.3131	0.295782	-5.53%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-19	oos	0.30059	0.282631	-5.97%	–	pending	–	–	1.16
2026-10-18	oos	0.30068	0.283403	-5.75%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.30109	0.283253	-5.92%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.315885	0.298245	-5.58%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.31269	0.296769	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.30922	0.292493	-5.41%	–	pending	–	–	1.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.32266	0.308129	-4.50%	–	pending	–	–	1.14
2026-10-12	oos	0.302825	0.287398	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.13
2026-10-11	oos	0.32306	0.309298	-4.26%	–	pending	–	–	1.10
2026-10-10	oos	0.30039	0.287178	-4.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-09	oos	0.298385	0.285959	-4.16%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-08	oos	0.28889	0.277087	-4.09%	–	pending	–	–	1.09
2026-10-07	oos	0.312355	0.301637	-3.43%	–	pending	–	–	1.05
2026-10-06	oos	0.333125	0.324475	-2.60%	–	pending	–	–	1.01
2026-10-05	oos	0.336605	0.329048	-2.25%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-04	oos	0.330075	0.32385	-1.89%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-03	oos	0.32219	0.313706	-2.63%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-10-02	oos	0.31591	0.308067	-2.48%	–	pending	–	–	1.03
2026-10-01	oos	0.32599	0.318155	-2.40%	–	pending	–	–	1.02
2026-09-30	oos	0.316455	0.307556	-2.81%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-29	oos	0.311915	0.303371	-2.74%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-28	oos	0.313135	0.304293	-2.82%	–	pending	–	–	1.06
2026-09-27	oos	0.32132	0.312741	-2.67%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-26	oos	0.32877	0.320633	-2.47%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-25	oos	0.332185	0.323818	-2.52%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-24	oos	0.33102	0.324075	-2.10%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-23	oos	0.32465	0.320047	-1.42%	–	pending	–	–	1.07
2026-09-22	oos	0.34756	0.344742	-0.81%	0.31645	-8.95%	0.0616	✓	1.04
2026-09-21	oos	0.33972	0.339884	+0.05%	0.31537	-7.17%	0.0435	✗	1.04
2026-09-20	oos	0.3497	0.341275	-2.41%	0.3131	-10.47%	0.1127	✓	1.22
2026-09-19	oos	0.36697	0.353708	-3.61%	0.30059	-18.09%	0.1717	✓	1.21
2026-09-18	oos	0.29552	0.292903	-0.89%	0.30068	+1.75%	0.0094	✗	1.21
2026-09-17	oos	0.25468	0.249978	-1.85%	0.30109	+18.22%	0.1182	✗	1.06
2026-09-16	oos	0.25363	0.248899	-1.87%	0.315885	+24.55%	0.1654	✗	1.07
2026-09-15	oos	0.249455	0.245019	-1.78%	0.31269	+25.35%	0.1529	✗	1.10
2026-09-14	oos	0.272845	0.270733	-0.77%	0.30922	+13.33%	0.0893	✗	1.03
2026-09-13	oos	0.283705	0.279068	-1.63%	0.32266	+13.73%	0.0627	✗	1.05
2026-09-12	oos	0.265765	0.263223	-0.96%	0.302825	+13.94%	0.0803	✗	1.06
2026-09-11	oos	0.25081	0.250216	-0.24%	0.32306	+28.81%	0.1705	✗	1.06
2026-09-10	oos	0.25322	0.251774	-0.57%	0.30039	+18.63%	0.0916	✗	1.06
2026-09-09	oos	0.26367	0.263489	-0.07%	0.298385	+13.17%	0.0687	✗	1.05
2026-09-08	oos	0.249635	0.249844	+0.08%	0.28889	+15.72%	0.1024	✓	1.06
2026-09-07	oos	0.235175	0.238278	+1.32%	0.312355	+32.82%	0.2147	✓	1.09
2026-09-06	oos	0.24088	0.24557	+1.95%	0.333125	+38.30%	0.2367	✓	1.09
2026-09-05	oos	0.23882	0.243089	+1.79%	0.336605	+40.95%	0.2478	✓	1.09
2026-09-04	oos	0.23029	0.235681	+2.34%	0.330075	+43.33%	0.2505	✓	1.05
2026-09-03	oos	0.228645	0.236444	+3.41%	0.32219	+40.91%	0.2646	✓	1.07
2026-09-02	oos	0.217825	0.219857	+0.93%	0.31591	+45.03%	0.2573	✓	1.18
2026-09-01	oos	0.21437	0.217118	+1.28%	0.32599	+52.07%	0.2968	✓	1.19
2026-08-31	oos	0.21285	0.217823	+2.34%	0.316455	+48.68%	0.3035	✓	1.14
2026-08-30	oos	0.210915	0.216439	+2.62%	0.311915	+47.89%	0.2819	✓	1.13
2026-08-29	oos	0.219655	0.227392	+3.52%	0.313135	+42.56%	0.2479	✓	1.11
2026-08-28	oos	0.22069	0.227567	+3.12%	0.32132	+45.60%	0.2539	✓	1.12
2026-08-27	oos	0.23084	0.241166	+4.47%	0.32877	+42.42%	0.2535	✓	1.12
2026-08-26	oos	0.227945	0.236034	+3.55%	0.332185	+45.73%	0.2720	✓	1.12
2026-08-25	oos	0.223625	0.232369	+3.91%	0.33102	+48.02%	0.2731	✓	1.12
2026-08-24	oos	0.230135	0.239471	+4.06%	0.32465	+41.07%	0.2299	✓	1.13
2026-08-23	oos	0.23508	0.242651	+3.22%	0.34756	+47.85%	0.2423	✓	1.13
2026-08-22	oos	0.232425	0.239897	+3.21%	0.33972	+46.16%	0.2161	✓	1.13
2026-08-21	oos	0.2412	0.25114	+4.12%	0.3497	+44.98%	0.2912	✓	1.12
2026-08-20	oos	0.22158	0.224074	+1.13%	0.36697	+65.62%	0.3750	✓	1.11
2026-08-19	oos	0.21471	0.211751	-1.38%	0.29552	+37.64%	0.1555	✗	1.15
2026-08-18	oos	0.20011	0.192399	-3.85%	0.25468	+27.27%	0.0870	✗	1.17
2026-08-17	oos	0.199385	0.19119	-4.11%	0.25363	+27.21%	0.0878	✗	1.17
2026-08-16	oos	0.19479	0.185726	-4.65%	0.249455	+28.06%	0.0781	✗	1.17
2026-08-15	oos	0.197945	0.188869	-4.58%	0.272845	+37.84%	0.1152	✗	1.17
2026-08-14	oos	0.196555	0.187339	-4.69%	0.283705	+44.34%	0.1809	✗	1.18
2026-08-13	oos	0.19673	0.187628	-4.63%	0.265765	+35.09%	0.1148	✗	1.18
2026-08-12	oos	0.194285	0.185431	-4.56%	0.25081	+29.09%	0.0694	✗	1.18
2026-08-11	oos	0.194525	0.185956	-4.41%	0.25322	+30.17%	0.0910	✗	1.17
2026-08-10	oos	0.198545	0.189385	-4.61%	0.26367	+32.80%	0.0936	✗	1.17
2026-08-09	oos	0.202255	0.19295	-4.60%	0.249635	+23.43%	0.0338	✓	1.18
2026-08-08	oos	0.208035	0.198621	-4.53%	0.235175	+13.05%	0.0635	✓	1.18
2026-08-07	oos	0.20144	0.192423	-4.48%	0.24088	+19.58%	0.0285	✓	1.19
2026-08-06	oos	0.200745	0.191144	-4.78%	0.23882	+18.97%	0.0333	✓	1.18
2026-08-05	oos	0.19668	0.18718	-4.83%	0.23029	+17.09%	0.0426	✓	1.19
2026-08-04	oos	0.19806	0.188351	-4.90%	0.228645	+15.44%	0.0902	✓	1.19
2026-08-03	oos	0.2034	0.192885	-5.17%	0.217825	+7.09%	0.1176	✓	1.21
2026-08-02	oos	0.200185	0.189656	-5.26%	0.21437	+7.09%	0.1196	✓	1.22
2026-08-01	oos	0.198725	0.188094	-5.35%	0.21285	+7.11%	0.1487	✓	1.21
2026-07-31	oos	0.201095	0.190611	-5.21%	0.210915	+4.88%	0.1560	✓	1.21
2026-07-30	oos	0.20547	0.196799	-4.22%	0.219655	+6.90%	0.1232	✓	1.23
2026-07-29	oos	0.20406	0.195449	-4.22%	0.22069	+8.15%	0.1173	✓	1.21
2026-07-28	oos	0.206925	0.198775	-3.94%	0.23084	+11.56%	0.1262	✓	1.20
2026-07-27	oos	0.2074	0.199792	-3.67%	0.227945	+9.91%	0.1289	✓	1.21
2026-07-26	oos	0.22322	0.216483	-3.02%	0.223625	+0.18%	0.1814	✓	1.16
2026-07-25	oos	0.22378	0.216938	-3.06%	0.230135	+2.84%	0.1781	✓	1.15
2026-07-24	oos	0.22828	0.221871	-2.81%	0.23508	+2.98%	0.1646	✓	1.15
2026-07-23	oos	0.235215	0.229367	-2.49%	0.232425	-1.19%	0.1809	✓	1.15
2026-07-22	oos	0.22736	0.223197	-1.83%	0.2412	+6.09%	0.1212	✓	1.17
2026-07-21	oos	0.22863	0.225613	-1.32%	0.22158	-3.08%	0.1272	✓	1.17
2026-07-20	oos	0.22819	0.224676	-1.54%	0.21471	-5.91%	0.1169	✓	1.18
2026-07-19	oos	0.223335	0.219737	-1.61%	0.20011	-10.40%	0.0936	✓	1.17
2026-07-18	oos	0.225305	0.221904	-1.51%	0.199385	-11.50%	0.1012	✓	1.18
2026-07-17	oos	0.22228	0.219008	-1.47%	0.19479	-12.37%	0.0976	✓	1.17
2026-07-16	oos	0.220465	0.217039	-1.55%	0.197945	-10.21%	0.0781	✓	1.18
2026-07-15	oos	0.22755	0.224341	-1.41%	0.196555	-13.62%	0.1006	✓	1.16
2026-07-14	oos	0.23189	0.228462	-1.48%	0.19673	-15.16%	0.1211	✓	1.17
2026-07-13	oos	0.220625	0.215879	-2.15%	0.194285	-11.94%	0.1268	✓	1.17
2026-07-12	oos	0.22688	0.222848	-1.78%	0.194525	-14.26%	0.1321	✓	1.18
2026-07-11	oos	0.230855	0.226865	-1.73%	0.198545	-14.00%	0.1358	✓	1.15
2026-07-10	oos	0.23579	0.232055	-1.58%	0.202255	-14.22%	0.1502	✓	1.14
2026-07-09	oos	0.235405	0.231006	-1.87%	0.208035	-11.63%	0.1357	✓	1.14
2026-07-08	oos	0.241585	0.236552	-2.08%	0.20144	-16.62%	0.2093	✓	1.16
2026-07-07	oos	0.25418	0.24896	-2.05%	0.200745	-21.02%	0.2323	✓	1.15
2026-07-06	oos	0.250595	0.245925	-1.86%	0.19668	-21.51%	0.2343	✓	1.16
2026-07-05	oos	0.25371	0.249025	-1.85%	0.19806	-21.93%	0.2376	✓	1.17
2026-07-04	oos	0.239125	0.235023	-1.72%	0.2034	-14.94%	0.1515	✓	1.16
2026-07-03	oos	0.245335	0.239945	-2.20%	0.200185	-18.40%	0.1989	✓	1.14
2026-07-02	oos	0.2144	0.210755	-1.70%	0.198725	-7.31%	0.0811	✓	1.08
2026-07-01	oos	0.209745	0.206085	-1.74%	0.201095	-4.12%	0.0751	✓	1.08
2026-06-30	oos	0.202365	0.198573	-1.87%	0.20547	+1.53%	0.0740	✓	1.07
2026-06-29	oos	0.211725	0.207906	-1.80%	0.20406	-3.62%	0.0828	✓	1.07
2026-06-28	oos	0.21039	0.206626	-1.79%	0.206925	-1.65%	0.0740	✓	1.06
2026-06-27	oos	0.212635	0.208797	-1.80%	0.2074	-2.46%	0.0717	✓	1.07
2026-06-26	oos	0.215985	0.211908	-1.89%	0.22322	+3.35%	0.0392	✓	1.07
2026-06-25	oos	0.21275	0.208723	-1.89%	0.22378	+5.18%	0.0094	✓	1.07
2026-06-24	oos	0.21506	0.210914	-1.93%	0.22828	+6.15%	0.0251	✗	1.09
2026-06-23	oos	0.22099	0.21664	-1.97%	0.235215	+6.44%	0.0408	✗	1.10
2026-06-22	oos	0.22829	0.22334	-2.17%	0.22736	-0.41%	0.0178	✓	1.09
2026-06-21	oos	0.22898	0.223778	-2.27%	0.22863	-0.15%	0.0335	✓	1.09
2026-06-20	oos	0.23709	0.231418	-2.39%	0.22819	-3.75%	0.0305	✓	1.08
2026-06-19	oos	0.24452	0.238253	-2.56%	0.223335	-8.66%	0.0852	✓	1.09
2026-06-18	oos	0.23106	0.225307	-2.49%	0.225305	-2.49%	0.0325	✓	1.08
2026-06-17	oos	0.245115	0.238511	-2.69%	0.22228	-9.32%	0.0613	✓	1.07
2026-06-16	oos	0.244805	0.237994	-2.78%	0.220465	-9.94%	0.0458	✓	1.08
2026-06-15	oos	0.24131	0.234377	-2.87%	0.22755	-5.70%	0.0046	✓	1.05
2026-06-14	oos	0.23954	0.232497	-2.94%	0.23189	-3.19%	0.0089	✓	1.05
2026-06-13	oos	0.238245	0.231305	-2.91%	0.220625	-7.40%	0.0110	✓	1.06
2026-06-12	oos	0.234035	0.22757	-2.76%	0.22688	-3.06%	0.0064	✓	1.06
2026-06-11	oos	0.234405	0.227358	-3.01%	0.230855	-1.51%	0.0118	✓	1.06
2026-06-10	oos	0.22732	0.220855	-2.84%	0.23579	+3.73%	0.0200	✓	1.06
2026-06-09	oos	0.23779	0.230302	-3.15%	0.235405	-1.00%	0.0035	✓	1.06
2026-06-08	oos	0.24568	0.236953	-3.55%	0.241585	-1.67%	0.0333	✓	1.06
2026-06-07	oos	0.24549	0.236293	-3.75%	0.25418	+3.54%	0.0726	✗	1.05
2026-06-06	oos	0.24447	0.235616	-3.62%	0.250595	+2.51%	0.0080	✓	1.06
2026-06-05	oos	0.24326	0.233499	-4.01%	0.25371	+4.30%	0.0398	✓	1.05
2026-06-04	oos	0.27802	0.265319	-4.57%	0.239125	-13.99%	0.0931	✓	0.95
2026-06-03	oos	0.2964	0.282121	-4.82%	0.245335	-17.23%	0.1170	✓	0.95
2026-06-02	oos	0.2943	0.279305	-5.10%	0.2144	-27.15%	0.1845	✓	0.99
2026-06-01	oos	0.318	0.301691	-5.13%	0.209745	-34.04%	0.2010	✓	0.94
2026-05-31	oos	0.32795	0.313061	-4.54%	0.202365	-38.29%	0.2223	✓	0.94
2026-05-30	oos	0.3321	0.316049	-4.83%	0.211725	-36.25%	0.2169	✓	0.90
2026-05-29	oos	0.30465	0.289662	-4.92%	0.21039	-30.94%	0.1310	✓	0.90
2026-05-28	oos	0.3098	0.295256	-4.69%	0.212635	-31.36%	0.1456	✓	0.89
2026-05-27	oos	0.3186	0.304451	-4.44%	0.215985	-32.21%	0.1533	✓	0.89
2026-05-26	oos	0.33175	0.31915	-3.80%	0.21275	-35.87%	0.1959	✓	0.88
2026-05-25	oos	0.33385	0.323189	-3.19%	0.21506	-35.58%	0.1884	✓	0.93
2026-05-24	oos	0.3352	0.324228	-3.27%	0.22099	-34.07%	0.1927	✓	0.93
2026-05-23	oos	0.3452	0.333962	-3.26%	0.22829	-33.87%	0.2160	✓	0.91
2026-05-22	oos	0.33455	0.321814	-3.81%	0.22898	-31.56%	0.1808	✓	0.90
2026-05-21	oos	0.34965	0.340278	-2.68%	0.23709	-32.19%	0.1931	✓	0.89
2026-05-20	oos	0.341	0.33251	-2.49%	0.24452	-28.29%	0.1285	✓	0.90
2026-05-19	oos	0.33395	0.325648	-2.49%	0.23106	-30.81%	0.1649	✓	0.89
2026-05-18	oos	0.34195	0.333588	-2.45%	0.245115	-28.32%	0.1495	✓	0.90
2026-05-17	oos	0.34015	0.331944	-2.41%	0.244805	-28.03%	0.1571	✓	0.89
2026-05-16	oos	0.3574	0.349466	-2.22%	0.24131	-32.48%	0.2254	✓	0.88
2026-05-15	oos	0.36495	0.357632	-2.01%	0.23954	-34.36%	0.2348	✓	0.90
2026-05-14	oos	0.3779	0.37308	-1.28%	0.238245	-36.96%	0.2416	✓	0.90
2026-05-13	oos	0.3749	0.36737	-2.01%	0.234035	-37.57%	0.2537	✓	0.89
2026-05-12	oos	0.38495	0.380315	-1.20%	0.234405	-39.11%	0.2771	✓	0.88
2026-05-11	oos	0.39735	0.395127	-0.56%	0.22732	-42.79%	0.3055	✓	0.87
2026-05-10	oos	0.40055	0.399377	-0.29%	0.23779	-40.63%	0.2693	✓	0.87
2026-05-09	oos	0.3868	0.38333	-0.90%	0.24568	-36.48%	0.2333	✓	0.86
2026-05-08	oos	0.3945	0.389807	-1.19%	0.24549	-37.77%	0.2609	✓	0.85
2026-05-07	oos	0.37545	0.371858	-0.96%	0.24447	-34.89%	0.1864	✓	0.85
2026-05-06	oos	0.38305	0.381985	-0.28%	0.24326	-36.49%	0.2104	✓	0.83
2026-05-05	oos	0.375	0.373063	-0.52%	0.27802	-25.86%	0.0761	✓	0.92
2026-05-04	oos	0.3619	0.359332	-0.71%	0.2964	-18.10%	0.0066	✓	0.90
2026-05-03	oos	0.3628	0.357605	-1.43%	0.2943	-18.88%	0.0482	✓	0.89
2026-05-02	oos	0.3663	0.360601	-1.56%	0.318	-13.19%	0.0375	✓	0.90
2026-05-01	oos	0.3661	0.360302	-1.58%	0.32795	-10.42%	0.0392	✓	0.89
2026-04-30	oos	0.3653	0.356697	-2.36%	0.3321	-9.09%	0.0406	✓	0.91
2026-04-29	oos	0.37105	0.362144	-2.40%	0.30465	-17.90%	0.1436	✓	0.92
2026-04-28	oos	0.3849	0.378167	-1.75%	0.3098	-19.51%	0.1652	✓	0.91
2026-04-27	oos	0.3784	0.374249	-1.10%	0.3186	-15.80%	0.1241	✓	0.92
2026-04-26	oos	0.3707	0.36942	-0.35%	0.33175	-10.51%	0.0735	✓	0.92
2026-04-25	oos	0.36945	0.366741	-0.73%	0.33385	-9.64%	0.0892	✓	0.92
2026-04-24	oos	0.37235	0.369414	-0.79%	0.3352	-9.98%	0.0914	✓	0.93
2026-04-23	oos	0.37445	0.374303	-0.04%	0.3452	-7.81%	0.0614	✓	0.93
2026-04-22	oos	0.37235	0.370755	-0.43%	0.33455	-10.15%	0.0694	✓	0.93
2026-04-21	oos	0.36665	0.362138	-1.23%	0.34965	-4.64%	0.0495	✓	0.93
2026-04-20	oos	0.3664	0.361054	-1.46%	0.341	-6.93%	0.0768	✓	0.94
2026-04-19	oos	0.3541	0.346361	-2.19%	0.33395	-5.69%	0.0740	✓	0.96
2026-04-18	oos	0.3651	0.360821	-1.17%	0.34195	-6.34%	0.0688	✓	0.95
2026-04-17	oos	0.37985	0.376977	-0.76%	0.34015	-10.45%	0.1066	✓	0.95
2026-04-16	oos	0.37665	0.370658	-1.59%	0.3574	-5.11%	0.0731	✓	0.96
2026-04-15	oos	0.3609	0.356381	-1.25%	0.36495	+1.12%	0.0286	✓	0.95
2026-04-14	oos	0.3462	0.34103	-1.49%	0.3779	+9.16%	0.0185	✗	0.95
2026-04-13	oos	0.355	0.349795	-1.47%	0.3749	+5.61%	0.0102	✓	0.94
2026-04-12	oos	0.3419	0.332528	-2.74%	0.38495	+12.59%	0.0232	✓	0.96
2026-04-11	oos	0.3538	0.346341	-2.11%	0.39735	+12.31%	0.0307	✗	0.95
2026-04-10	oos	0.3587	0.350777	-2.21%	0.40055	+11.67%	0.0196	✓	0.95
2026-04-09	oos	0.35335	0.343978	-2.65%	0.3868	+9.47%	0.0065	✓	0.95
2026-04-08	oos	0.3519	0.34178	-2.88%	0.3945	+12.11%	0.0286	✓	0.95
2026-04-07	oos	0.3612	0.351075	-2.80%	0.37545	+3.95%	0.0344	✓	0.95
2026-04-06	oos	0.34165	0.327544	-4.13%	0.38305	+12.12%	0.0028	✓	0.95
2026-04-05	oos	0.3448	0.330059	-4.28%	0.375	+8.76%	0.0237	✓	0.95
2026-04-04	oos	0.3488	0.332892	-4.56%	0.3619	+3.76%	0.0815	✓	0.96
2026-04-03	oos	0.34975	0.332959	-4.80%	0.3628	+3.73%	0.0686	✓	0.97
2026-04-02	oos	0.3425	0.326347	-4.72%	0.3663	+6.95%	0.0413	✓	0.97
2026-04-01	oos	0.3518	0.336496	-4.35%	0.3661	+4.06%	0.0502	✓	0.97
2026-03-31	oos	0.3524	0.338034	-4.08%	0.3653	+3.66%	0.0314	✓	0.97
2026-03-30	oos	0.3468	0.332915	-4.00%	0.37105	+6.99%	0.0153	✓	0.98
2026-03-29	oos	0.3398	0.327422	-3.64%	0.3849	+13.27%	0.0183	✓	0.98
2026-03-28	oos	0.3461	0.334981	-3.21%	0.3784	+9.33%	0.0296	✓	0.98
2026-03-27	oos	0.3497	0.339398	-2.95%	0.3707	+6.01%	0.0795	✓	0.98
2026-03-26	oos	0.37	0.36152	-2.29%	0.36945	-0.15%	0.0971	✓	0.98
2026-03-25	oos	0.3889	0.383091	-1.49%	0.37235	-4.26%	0.1093	✓	0.98
2026-03-24	oos	0.4001	0.393276	-1.71%	0.37445	-6.41%	0.1514	✓	0.98
2026-03-23	oos	0.39355	0.387251	-1.60%	0.37235	-5.39%	0.1359	✓	0.98
2026-03-22	oos	0.3786	0.370101	-2.24%	0.36665	-3.16%	0.1255	✓	0.98
2026-03-21	oos	0.3885	0.381345	-1.84%	0.3664	-5.69%	0.1343	✓	0.98
2026-03-20	oos	0.40335	0.398589	-1.18%	0.3541	-12.21%	0.1633	✓	0.97
2026-03-19	oos	0.3894	0.384385	-1.29%	0.3651	-6.24%	0.1292	✓	0.97
2026-03-18	oos	0.3934	0.388929	-1.14%	0.37985	-3.44%	0.1005	✓	0.97
2026-03-17	oos	0.3968	0.393654	-0.79%	0.37665	-5.08%	0.0604	✓	0.99
2026-03-16	oos	0.4007	0.396631	-1.02%	0.3609	-9.93%	0.0937	✓	0.99
2026-03-15	oos	0.3869	0.381412	-1.42%	0.3462	-10.52%	0.1149	✓	0.99
2026-03-14	oos	0.3781	0.371414	-1.77%	0.355	-6.11%	0.0888	✓	0.99
2026-03-13	oos	0.3733	0.366753	-1.75%	0.3419	-8.41%	0.0675	✓	0.99
2026-03-12	oos	0.3681	0.361101	-1.90%	0.3538	-3.88%	0.0558	✓	0.99
2026-03-11	oos	0.365	0.357762	-1.98%	0.3587	-1.73%	0.0361	✓	0.99
2026-03-10	oos	0.3632	0.355965	-1.99%	0.35335	-2.71%	0.0332	✓	1.00
2026-03-09	oos	0.3633	0.355176	-2.24%	0.3519	-3.14%	0.0474	✓	1.00
2026-03-08	oos	0.3591	0.350328	-2.44%	0.3612	+0.58%	0.0567	✓	1.01
2026-03-07	oos	0.3617	0.353392	-2.30%	0.34165	-5.54%	0.0576	✓	1.02
2026-03-06	oos	0.3709	0.362236	-2.34%	0.3448	-7.04%	0.0625	✓	1.01
2026-03-05	oos	0.3844	0.374749	-2.51%	0.3488	-9.26%	0.0191	✓	1.01
2026-03-04	oos	0.3906	0.37961	-2.81%	0.34975	-10.46%	0.0015	✓	1.02
2026-03-03	oos	0.3762	0.36655	-2.57%	0.3425	-8.96%	0.0457	✓	1.04
2026-03-02	oos	0.3758	0.366098	-2.58%	0.3518	-6.39%	0.0289	✓	1.04
2026-03-01	oos	0.3711	0.361569	-2.57%	0.3524	-5.04%	0.0640	✓	1.05
2026-02-28	oos	0.3845	0.374392	-2.63%	0.3468	-9.80%	0.0730	✓	1.03
2026-02-27	oos	0.3833	0.373142	-2.65%	0.3398	-11.35%	0.0951	✓	1.04
2026-02-26	oos	0.392	0.380694	-2.88%	0.3461	-11.71%	0.0772	✓	1.04
2026-02-25	oos	0.396	0.383981	-3.04%	0.3497	-11.69%	0.0682	✓	1.04
2026-02-24	oos	0.3661	0.356577	-2.60%	0.37	+1.07%	0.0352	✓	1.02
2026-02-23	oos	0.36895	0.359195	-2.64%	0.3889	+5.41%	0.0191	✓	1.00
2026-02-22	oos	0.37905	0.36749	-3.05%	0.4001	+5.55%	0.0423	✗	1.01
2026-02-21	oos	0.38865	0.375963	-3.26%	0.39355	+1.26%	0.0031	✓	1.01
2026-02-20	oos	0.3924	0.379379	-3.32%	0.3786	-3.52%	0.0000	✓	1.01
2026-02-19	oos	0.38275	0.371118	-3.04%	0.3885	+1.50%	0.0171	✓	1.01
2026-02-18	oos	0.3848	0.373275	-2.99%	0.40335	+4.82%	0.0174	✓	1.01
2026-02-17	oos	0.395	0.381834	-3.33%	0.3894	-1.42%	0.0162	✓	1.00
2026-02-16	oos	0.39925	0.384618	-3.66%	0.3934	-1.47%	0.0117	✓	1.01
2026-02-15	oos	0.398	0.383236	-3.71%	0.3968	-0.30%	0.0380	✓	1.01
2026-02-14	oos	0.4232	0.404415	-4.44%	0.4007	-5.32%	0.0802	✓	1.01
2026-02-13	oos	0.4064	0.389882	-4.06%	0.3869	-4.80%	0.0647	✓	1.00
2026-02-12	oos	0.40015	0.38619	-3.49%	0.3781	-5.51%	0.0959	✓	1.02
2026-02-11	oos	0.39415	0.379824	-3.63%	0.3733	-5.29%	0.0743	✓	1.00
2026-02-10	oos	0.40245	0.384699	-4.41%	0.3681	-8.54%	0.0691	✓	1.01
2026-02-09	oos	0.4107	0.390048	-5.03%	0.365	-11.13%	0.0679	✓	1.01
2026-02-08	oos	0.4123	0.390179	-5.37%	0.3632	-11.91%	0.0670	✓	1.01
2026-02-07	oos	0.42175	0.398116	-5.60%	0.3633	-13.86%	0.0795	✓	1.02
2026-02-06	oos	0.42985	0.40272	-6.31%	0.3591	-16.46%	0.0479	✓	1.00
2026-02-05	oos	0.3935	0.374802	-4.75%	0.3617	-8.08%	0.1082	✓	1.06
2026-02-04	oos	0.46765	0.434703	-7.05%	0.3709	-20.69%	0.0836	✓	1.08
2026-02-03	oos	0.4731	0.439961	-7.00%	0.3844	-18.75%	0.0678	✓	1.03
2026-02-02	oos	0.4788	0.447327	-6.57%	0.3906	-18.42%	0.0519	✓	1.06
2026-02-01	oos	0.4618	0.430971	-6.68%	0.3762	-18.54%	0.0147	✓	1.03
2026-01-31	oos	0.4662	0.437109	-6.24%	0.3758	-19.39%	0.0085	✓	1.07
2026-01-30	oos	0.5056	0.478732	-5.31%	0.3711	-26.60%	0.0039	✓	1.05
2026-01-29	oos	0.5086	0.481622	-5.30%	0.3845	-24.40%	0.0189	✓	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.536	0.512065	-4.47%	0.3833	-28.49%	0.0305	✓	1.06
2026-01-27	oos	0.5707	0.544557	-4.58%	0.392	-31.31%	0.0308	✓	1.07
2026-01-26	oos	0.5654	0.538356	-4.78%	0.396	-29.96%	0.0309	✓	1.06
2026-01-25	oos	0.5622	0.533599	-5.09%	0.3661	-34.88%	0.0546	✓	1.07
2026-01-24	oos	0.5848	0.556416	-4.85%	0.36895	-36.91%	0.0696	✓	1.06
2026-01-23	oos	0.5892	0.561162	-4.76%	0.37905	-35.67%	0.0978	✓	1.05
2026-01-22	oos	0.5798	0.551942	-4.80%	0.38865	-32.97%	0.0621	✓	1.05
2026-01-21	oos	0.5943	0.565858	-4.79%	0.3924	-33.97%	0.0780	✓	1.05
2026-01-20	oos	0.5523	0.52433	-5.06%	0.38275	-30.70%	0.0307	✓	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.6104	0.584262	-4.28%	0.3848	-36.96%	0.0991	✓	0.96
2026-01-18	oos	0.5841	0.561431	-3.88%	0.395	-32.37%	0.0319	✓	0.98
2026-01-17	oos	0.6019	0.580903	-3.49%	0.39925	-33.67%	0.0646	✓	0.96
2026-01-16	oos	0.6189	0.597303	-3.49%	0.398	-35.69%	0.0910	✓	0.96
2026-01-15	oos	0.5821	0.563076	-3.27%	0.4232	-27.30%	0.0168	✓	0.96
2026-01-14	oos	0.578	0.561612	-2.84%	0.4064	-29.69%	0.0108	✓	0.98
2026-01-13	oos	0.5922	0.571215	-3.54%	0.40015	-32.43%	0.0069	✓	0.99
2026-01-12	oos	0.5548	0.530725	-4.34%	0.39415	-28.96%	0.0027	✓	0.98
2026-01-11	oos	0.569	0.545326	-4.16%	0.40245	-29.27%	0.0275	✓	0.99
2026-01-10	oos	0.5817	0.559219	-3.86%	0.4107	-29.40%	0.0535	✓	1.00
2026-01-09	oos	0.5799	0.559407	-3.53%	0.4123	-28.90%	0.0387	✓	1.05
2026-01-08	oos	0.587	0.566661	-3.46%	0.42175	-28.15%	0.0136	✓	1.03
2026-01-07	oos	0.5673	0.549405	-3.15%	0.42985	-24.23%	0.0683	✗	1.22
2026-01-06	oos	0.5988	0.580216	-3.10%	0.3935	-34.29%	0.0933	✗	1.20
2026-01-05	oos	0.5596	0.543272	-2.92%	0.46765	-16.43%	0.1507	✗	1.20
2026-01-04	oos	0.5438	0.525785	-3.31%	0.4731	-13.00%	0.1244	✗	1.21
2026-01-03	oos	0.5321	0.513001	-3.59%	0.4788	-10.02%	0.1011	✗	1.20
2026-01-02	oos	0.5284	0.508034	-3.85%	0.4618	-12.60%	0.0945	✗	1.21
2026-01-01	oos	0.5063	0.486035	-4.00%	0.4662	-7.92%	0.1027	✗	1.20
2025-12-31	oos	0.4948	0.474818	-4.04%	0.5056	+2.18%	0.1098	✗	1.19
2025-12-30	oos	0.5175	0.495495	-4.25%	0.5086	-1.72%	0.0792	✗	1.18
2025-12-29	oos	0.4912	0.471934	-3.92%	0.536	+9.12%	0.1000	✗	1.17
2025-12-28	oos	0.4998	0.480008	-3.96%	0.5707	+14.19%	0.1567	✗	1.17
2025-12-27	oos	0.4848	0.466711	-3.73%	0.5654	+16.63%	0.1860	✗	1.15
2025-12-26	oos	0.4754	0.456503	-3.97%	0.5622	+18.26%	0.2179	✗	1.14
2025-12-25	oos	0.444	0.428379	-3.52%	0.5848	+31.71%	0.2867	✗	1.13
2025-12-24	oos	0.4436	0.428264	-3.46%	0.5892	+32.82%	0.2950	✗	1.14
2025-12-23	oos	0.4441	0.428745	-3.46%	0.5798	+30.56%	0.2754	✗	1.15
2025-12-22	oos	0.4429	0.427604	-3.45%	0.5943	+34.18%	0.3188	✗	1.15
2025-12-21	oos	0.4388	0.423158	-3.56%	0.5523	+25.87%	0.2706	✗	1.15
2025-12-20	oos	0.4516	0.434754	-3.73%	0.6104	+35.16%	0.2845	✗	1.17
2025-12-19	oos	0.4434	0.427209	-3.65%	0.5841	+31.73%	0.2415	✗	1.17
2025-12-18	oos	0.4307	0.414016	-3.87%	0.6019	+39.75%	0.2487	✗	1.17
2025-12-17	oos	0.4411	0.42361	-3.96%	0.6189	+40.31%	0.2586	✗	1.18
2025-12-16	oos	0.4609	0.442141	-4.07%	0.5821	+26.30%	0.1763	✗	1.17
2025-12-15	oos	0.4619	0.442079	-4.29%	0.578	+25.14%	0.1324	✗	1.18
2025-12-14	oos	0.4779	0.457456	-4.28%	0.5922	+23.92%	0.1656	✗	1.18
2025-12-13	oos	0.5016	0.480583	-4.19%	0.5548	+10.61%	0.1316	✗	1.17
2025-12-12	oos	0.4922	0.471864	-4.13%	0.569	+15.60%	0.1795	✗	1.17
2025-12-11	oos	0.5062	0.486301	-3.93%	0.5817	+14.92%	0.2069	✗	1.17
2025-12-10	oos	0.4937	0.474318	-3.93%	0.5799	+17.46%	0.2205	✗	1.17
2025-12-09	oos	0.4985	0.478852	-3.94%	0.587	+17.75%	0.2249	✗	1.17
2025-12-08	oos	0.4927	0.472391	-4.12%	0.5673	+15.14%	0.1750	✗	1.18
2025-12-07	oos	0.4734	0.454412	-4.01%	0.5988	+26.49%	0.2335	✗	1.18
2025-12-06	oos	0.4802	0.460794	-4.04%	0.5596	+16.53%	0.1344	✗	1.19
2025-12-05	oos	0.4778	0.458717	-3.99%	0.5438	+13.81%	0.1419	✗	1.19
2025-12-04	oos	0.4957	0.477063	-3.76%	0.5321	+7.34%	0.1287	✗	1.19
2025-12-03	oos	0.5028	0.484579	-3.62%	0.5284	+5.09%	0.1320	✗	1.19
2025-12-02	oos	0.4857	0.467931	-3.66%	0.5063	+4.24%	0.1128	✗	1.19
2025-12-01	oos	0.4699	0.451318	-3.95%	0.4948	+5.30%	0.0746	✗	1.24
2025-11-30	oos	0.48375	0.464961	-3.88%	0.5175	+6.98%	0.1352	✗	1.28
2025-11-29	oos	0.4927	0.473365	-3.92%	0.4912	-0.30%	0.0900	✗	1.27
2025-11-28	oos	0.50475	0.484481	-4.02%	0.4998	-0.98%	0.0741	✗	1.27
2025-11-27	oos	0.5105	0.489525	-4.11%	0.4848	-5.03%	0.0401	✓	1.27
2025-11-26	oos	0.5099	0.488184	-4.26%	0.4754	-6.77%	0.0194	✓	1.29
2025-11-25	oos	0.5083	0.485189	-4.55%	0.444	-12.65%	0.0864	✓	1.32
2025-11-24	oos	0.50425	0.48084	-4.64%	0.4436	-12.03%	0.0707	✓	1.33
2025-11-23	oos	0.4887	0.465541	-4.74%	0.4441	-9.13%	0.0566	✓	1.32
2025-11-22	oos	0.4863	0.462701	-4.85%	0.4429	-8.92%	0.1043	✓	1.35
2025-11-21	oos	0.49805	0.472972	-5.04%	0.4388	-11.90%	0.1308	✓	1.36
2025-11-20	oos	0.50785	0.482424	-5.01%	0.4516	-11.08%	0.0938	✓	1.36
2025-11-19	oos	0.5345	0.508083	-4.94%	0.4434	-17.04%	0.0826	✓	1.43
2025-11-18	oos	0.54555	0.518411	-4.97%	0.4307	-21.05%	0.0659	✓	1.43
2025-11-17	oos	0.5295	0.502411	-5.12%	0.4411	-16.69%	0.0353	✓	1.44
2025-11-16	oos	0.55135	0.523135	-5.12%	0.4609	-16.41%	0.0269	✓	1.43
2025-11-15	oos	0.5728	0.542723	-5.25%	0.4619	-19.36%	0.0172	✓	1.43
2025-11-14	oos	0.55595	0.526214	-5.35%	0.4779	-14.04%	0.0029	✓	1.43
2025-11-13	oos	0.56735	0.537959	-5.18%	0.5016	-11.59%	0.0795	✗	1.52
2025-11-12	oos	0.5836	0.555067	-4.89%	0.4922	-15.66%	0.0593	✗	1.51
2025-11-11	oos	0.59315	0.564363	-4.85%	0.5062	-14.66%	0.0535	✗	1.51
2025-11-10	oos	0.6269	0.59716	-4.74%	0.4937	-21.25%	0.0204	✓	1.49
2025-11-09	oos	0.6275	0.59676	-4.90%	0.4985	-20.56%	0.0047	✓	1.52
2025-11-08	oos	0.6508	0.615091	-5.49%	0.4927	-24.29%	0.0320	✓	1.57
2025-11-07	oos	0.6967	0.652403	-6.36%	0.4734	-32.05%	0.1189	✓	1.51
2025-11-06	oos	0.5987	0.561997	-6.13%	0.4802	-19.79%	0.0246	✓	1.44
2025-11-05	oos	0.5352	0.512009	-4.33%	0.4778	-10.72%	0.1627	✗	1.54
2025-11-04	oos	0.51865	0.495458	-4.47%	0.4957	-4.42%	0.1502	✗	1.54
2025-11-03	oos	0.5326	0.514213	-3.45%	0.5028	-5.60%	0.1906	✗	1.62
2025-11-02	oos	0.58005	0.562069	-3.10%	0.4857	-16.27%	0.1593	✗	1.60
2025-11-01	oos	0.5783	0.559685	-3.22%	0.4699	-18.74%	0.2154	✗	1.60
2025-10-31	oos	0.58025	0.561324	-3.26%	0.48375	-16.63%	0.1611	✗	1.61
2025-10-30	oos	0.5652	0.546153	-3.37%	0.4927	-12.83%	0.1798	✗	1.61
2025-10-29	oos	0.5898	0.569858	-3.38%	0.50475	-14.42%	0.1831	✗	1.59
2025-10-28	oos	0.5915	0.573538	-3.04%	0.5105	-13.69%	0.2333	✗	1.65
2025-10-27	oos	0.6003	0.580176	-3.35%	0.5099	-15.06%	0.2536	✗	1.65
2025-10-26	oos	0.61445	0.592595	-3.56%	0.5083	-17.28%	0.2939	✗	1.65
2025-10-25	oos	0.6058	0.582067	-3.92%	0.50425	-16.76%	0.2511	✗	1.68
2025-10-24	oos	0.6034	0.579292	-4.00%	0.4887	-19.01%	0.2417	✗	1.67
2025-10-23	oos	0.59425	0.569059	-4.24%	0.4863	-18.17%	0.2817	✗	1.67
2025-10-22	oos	0.58275	0.555749	-4.63%	0.49805	-14.53%	0.2842	✗	1.68
2025-10-21	oos	0.5862	0.559142	-4.62%	0.50785	-13.37%	0.2813	✗	1.68
2025-10-20	oos	0.5983	0.568759	-4.94%	0.5345	-10.66%	0.2630	✗	1.71
2025-10-19	oos	0.59685	0.566808	-5.03%	0.54555	-8.60%	0.2254	✗	1.68
2025-10-18	oos	0.5866	0.557297	-5.00%	0.5295	-9.73%	0.2037	✗	1.68
2025-10-17	oos	0.57775	0.549002	-4.98%	0.55135	-4.57%	0.2088	✗	1.67
2025-10-16	oos	0.59635	0.566883	-4.94%	0.5728	-3.95%	0.2180	✗	1.67
2025-10-15	oos	0.6084	0.579265	-4.79%	0.55595	-8.62%	0.2240	✗	1.67
2025-10-14	oos	0.6289	0.599351	-4.70%	0.56735	-9.79%	0.1565	✗	1.67
2025-10-13	oos	0.658	0.628395	-4.50%	0.5836	-11.31%	0.1348	✗	1.66
2025-10-12	oos	0.63115	0.600607	-4.84%	0.59315	-6.02%	0.1675	✗	1.63
2025-10-11	oos	0.5802	0.548247	-5.51%	0.6269	+8.05%	0.2043	✗	1.59
2025-10-10	oos	0.5637	0.529161	-6.13%	0.6275	+11.32%	0.2954	✗	1.64
2025-10-09	oos	0.67785	0.644474	-4.92%	0.6508	-3.99%	0.2560	✗	1.42
2025-10-08	oos	0.68595	0.654512	-4.58%	0.6967	+1.57%	0.3136	✗	1.42
2025-10-07	oos	0.67945	0.644385	-5.16%	0.5987	-11.88%	0.1831	✗	1.42
2025-10-06	oos	0.7172	0.690171	-3.77%	0.5352	-25.38%	0.0037	✓	1.41
2025-10-05	oos	0.71465	0.688363	-3.68%	0.51865	-27.43%	0.0043	✓	1.42
2025-10-04	oos	0.6936	0.6688	-3.58%	0.5326	-23.21%	0.0313	✓	1.41
2025-10-03	oos	0.7193	0.694671	-3.42%	0.58005	-19.36%	0.0377	✓	1.41
2025-10-02	oos	0.7124	0.685025	-3.84%	0.5783	-18.82%	0.0397	✓	1.41
2025-10-01	oos	0.7031	0.671727	-4.46%	0.58025	-17.47%	0.0316	✓	1.44
2025-09-30	oos	0.66865	0.632481	-5.41%	0.5652	-15.47%	0.0373	✓	1.45
2025-09-29	oos	0.6697	0.633829	-5.36%	0.5898	-11.93%	0.0149	✓	1.48
2025-09-28	oos	0.67375	0.635553	-5.67%	0.5915	-12.21%	0.0814	✓	1.53
2025-09-27	oos	0.6705	0.629996	-6.04%	0.6003	-10.47%	0.1098	✓	1.56
2025-09-26	oos	0.6803	0.638424	-6.16%	0.61445	-9.68%	0.1061	✓	1.57
2025-09-25	oos	0.6574	0.614829	-6.48%	0.6058	-7.85%	0.0520	✓	1.56
2025-09-24	oos	0.69815	0.655809	-6.06%	0.6034	-13.57%	0.0513	✓	1.56
2025-09-23	oos	0.69955	0.654878	-6.39%	0.59425	-15.05%	0.0702	✓	1.57
2025-09-22	oos	0.69905	0.653424	-6.53%	0.58275	-16.64%	0.0418	✓	1.55
2025-09-21	oos	0.7504	0.70314	-6.30%	0.5862	-21.88%	0.0888	✓	1.50
2025-09-20	oos	0.76085	0.711885	-6.44%	0.5983	-21.36%	0.1043	✓	1.52
2025-09-19	oos	0.75585	0.706382	-6.54%	0.59685	-21.04%	0.0733	✓	1.52
2025-09-18	oos	0.79185	0.741212	-6.39%	0.5866	-25.92%	0.1009	✓	1.51

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.