8=======>

2022-01-04 · +7d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 138 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2852
138 of 138 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.10%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
76.1%
in alpha space · 86.2% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-6.68%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (138 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.923.7368-4.67%3.57-8.93%0.0450✓1.3110.7M2022-01-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.715.0839-3.92%11.23-28.47%0.2964✓-0.023.9M2022-01-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.204040.196562-3.66%0.17303-15.20%0.0195✓1.566,4462022-01-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.44841.3963-3.59%0.9389-35.18%0.3401✓0.824.4M2022-01-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.83810.809057-3.47%0.6826-18.55%0.0513✓1.7233.4M2022-01-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum42.8341.4078-3.32%36.84-13.99%0.0032✓1.642.8M2022-01-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.2911.8891-3.26%9.67-21.32%0.1646✓0.611.2M2022-01-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.62060.600357-3.26%0.6261+0.89%0.1383✗1.39650k2022-01-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021110.020423-3.25%0.01458-30.93%0.2679✓1.0028.5M2022-01-11
HIVEHivenative1.59251.5422-3.16%1.3102-17.73%0.0674✓1.385.2M2022-01-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.35740.346484-3.05%0.3228-9.68%0.0017✓1.00293k2022-01-11
GITCOINGITCOIN15.67215.1968-3.03%11.203-28.52%0.3100✓-0.0786k2022-01-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.71330.691915-3.00%0.5799-18.70%0.0854✓1.322.8M2022-01-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6620.643476-2.80%0.516-22.05%0.1340✓1.262.2M2022-01-11
MANADecentralandEthereum3.17443.0915-2.61%2.9312-7.66%0.0122✓0.955.7M2022-01-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.3633.2767-2.57%3.766+11.98%0.2493✗1.591.8M2022-01-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum6.085.9254-2.54%4.61-24.18%0.1569✓1.3629.4M2022-01-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum38.6737.7371-2.41%26.75-30.82%0.2198✓1.805.4M2022-01-11
SCSiacoinnative0.015470.015121-2.25%0.0135-12.73%0.0473✓0.96783k2022-01-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum3.893.8034-2.23%2.93-24.68%0.1917✓1.003.3M2022-01-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos42.0541.1283-2.19%38.71-7.94%0.0015✓0.9043.4M2022-01-11
LRCLoopringEthereum2.06512.0205-2.16%1.4915-27.78%0.1738✓1.881.4M2022-01-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.11920.116707-2.09%0.077-35.40%0.3467✓1.0033.0M2022-01-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.19430.190338-2.04%0.1471-24.29%0.1758✓1.182.1M2022-01-11
RADRadworksEthereum11.2711.0432-2.01%8.01-28.93%0.2632✓0.841.2M2022-01-11
ZENHorizenBase64.4263.1513-1.97%56.11-12.90%0.0143✓1.50807k2022-01-11
LSKLiskEthereum2.33982.2957-1.88%2.1025-10.14%0.0103✓1.12100k2022-01-11
STORJStorjEthereum1.79181.7588-1.84%1.5924-11.12%0.0436✓0.81668k2022-01-11
CELLCellframeEthereum1.03511.0162-1.83%0.8921-13.82%0.0610✓1.00145k2022-01-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum11.5111.3002-1.82%9.73-15.46%0.1611✓-0.172.2M2022-01-11
MINAMina Protocolnative3.713.6467-1.71%3.45-7.01%0.0189✗1.08626k2022-01-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.151.1308-1.67%0.96-16.52%0.0946✓1.001.8M2022-01-11
IMXImmutableEthereum4.744.6622-1.64%3.61-23.84%0.1866✓1.002.5M2022-01-11
KCSKuCoinnative22.04621.6953-1.59%19.378-12.10%0.0000✓1.6313.6M2022-01-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.06950.068415-1.56%0.0574-17.41%0.0786✓1.401.6M2022-01-11
LUNATerraTerra 284.5683.2679-1.53%73.57-13.00%0.0547✓1.006.3M2022-01-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.049290.048541-1.52%0.04184-15.11%0.0861✓0.908.2M2022-01-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.6932.6522-1.51%2.311-14.18%0.0667✓1.031.9M2022-01-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum9.369.2184-1.51%8.221-12.17%0.0723✓0.61299k2022-01-11
METRONOMEMETRONOME4.724.651-1.46%3.8424-18.59%0.1434✓0.6917k2022-01-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche103.3101.8049-1.45%89.66-13.20%0.0496✓1.12115.7M2022-01-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110.10842-1.44%0.09134-16.96%0.1271✓0.6455k2022-01-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.67141.6477-1.42%1.4467-13.44%0.0527✓1.1230.0M2022-01-11
MOVRMoonriverBase185.4543182.9022-1.38%165.565-10.72%0.0191✓1.16574k2022-01-11
BANDBandEthereum5.665.5828-1.36%5.14-9.19%0.0006✓1.192.1M2022-01-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.28291.2658-1.33%1.0548-17.79%0.0605✓1.761.2M2022-01-11
XVGVergenative0.017210.016981-1.33%0.01386-19.47%0.1207✓1.192.2M2022-01-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.18721.1714-1.33%1.025-13.66%0.0366✓1.401.7M2022-01-11
UMAUMAEthereum9.038.9113-1.31%8.65-4.21%0.0475✗1.123.9M2022-01-11
API3Api3Ethereum4.14.047-1.29%3.54-13.66%0.0647✓1.00967k2022-01-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0334060.032975-1.29%0.029265-12.40%0.0485✓1.027.3M2022-01-11
UOSUltraEthereum1.46021.4415-1.28%1.2365-15.32%0.0872✓0.963.6M2022-01-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8884310.877186-1.27%0.718632-19.11%0.1216✓1.122.8M2022-01-11
CBKCobakEthereum3.153.1113-1.23%2.765-12.22%0.0590✓0.8541k2022-01-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.06230.061544-1.21%0.064925+4.21%0.1497✗1.397.4M2022-01-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.36730.362887-1.20%0.3101-15.57%0.0691✓1.273.0M2022-01-11
ZECZcashZcash147.34145.5948-1.18%141.38-4.05%0.0641✗1.3510.1M2022-01-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.30250.298981-1.16%0.2641-12.69%0.0340✓1.304.6M2022-01-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.083880.082916-1.15%0.07076-15.64%0.0743✓1.2220.9M2022-01-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum33.8233.4366-1.13%34.45+1.86%0.1257✗1.3924.2M2022-01-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum36,282.4735,874.32-1.12%32,768.96-9.68%0.0483✓0.6117.3M2022-01-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.39340.38903-1.11%0.3363-14.51%0.0430✓1.493.4M2022-01-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.27881.2648-1.09%1.141-10.78%0.0376✓0.9521.2M2022-01-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019730.019526-1.03%0.01644-16.68%0.1272✓0.6535k2022-01-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.77953.7414-1.01%3.7323-1.25%0.0101✓-0.11364k2022-01-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.06176.0012-1.00%5.328-12.10%0.0360✓1.20553k2022-01-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5074.4623-0.99%4.1768-7.33%0.0231✗1.294.7M2022-01-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000032450.00003213-0.99%0.00002762-14.88%0.0651✓1.251.7M2022-01-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.09910.098131-0.98%0.0824-16.85%0.0805✓1.361.5M2022-01-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.019470.019287-0.94%0.01475-24.24%0.1803✓1.272.2M2022-01-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.66.5407-0.90%5.08-23.03%0.1733✓1.153.3M2022-01-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.641.6259-0.86%1.36-17.07%0.0595✓1.72964k2022-01-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13240.131285-0.84%0.1102-16.77%0.1008✓1.07304k2022-01-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.19950.197866-0.82%0.1605-19.55%0.1234✓1.244.8M2022-01-11
XTZTezosTezos5.0394.9985-0.80%4.1752-17.14%0.0883✓1.334.9M2022-01-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.055130.0547-0.78%0.04765-13.57%0.0618✓1.1015k2022-01-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum35.8335.5537-0.77%29.43-17.86%0.0833✓1.531.1M2022-01-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.6781.6651-0.77%1.398-16.69%0.0808✓1.365.7M2022-01-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.69450.689241-0.76%0.6511-6.25%0.0308✗1.275.2M2022-01-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.09033.0674-0.74%3.1857+3.09%0.1205✗1.202.9M2022-01-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.34271.3334-0.69%1.3709+2.10%0.1040✗1.10922k2022-01-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.423.3967-0.68%2.8-18.13%0.1036✓1.303.0M2022-01-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana8.58.4443-0.66%8.1-4.71%0.0111✗0.76773k2022-01-11
FTTFTXEthereum41.3541.0928-0.62%39.78-3.80%0.0400✗1.0519.4M2022-01-11
XLMStellarStellar0.2793080.277608-0.61%0.263177-5.78%0.0172✗1.0224.9M2022-01-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6461.6364-0.58%1.273-22.66%0.1621✓1.293.4M2022-01-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum23.4323.2939-0.58%26.6+13.53%0.2242✗1.3269.2M2022-01-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum24.0223.8815-0.58%20.39-15.11%0.0868✓1.031.2M2022-01-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08560.085118-0.56%0.076-11.21%0.0392✓1.0718k2022-01-11
KSMKusamaHydration296.29294.6427-0.56%260.77-11.99%0.0453✓1.111.3M2022-01-11
GTGateEthereum6.49016.4541-0.55%6.4129-1.19%0.0516✗0.843.9M2022-01-11
SUSHISushiEthereum8.078.0259-0.55%6.99-13.38%0.0474✓1.3118.2M2022-01-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.67840.674721-0.54%0.5691-16.11%0.0812✓1.2911.4M2022-01-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.393.3724-0.52%3.2-5.60%0.0165✗1.00995k2022-01-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.2398.1972-0.51%7.094-13.90%0.0573✓1.26336k2022-01-11
XVSVenusEthereum15.9215.8445-0.47%13.71-13.88%0.0653✓1.153.5M2022-01-11
ETHEthereumEthereum3,785.003,767.90-0.45%3,240.83-14.38%0.0790✓1.04619.8M2022-01-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.6734.652-0.45%4.382-6.23%0.0072✓0.761.1M2022-01-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative34.1133.9582-0.45%29.69-12.96%0.0624✓1.043.7M2022-01-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.19570.194855-0.43%0.1778-9.15%0.0289✓0.91506k2022-01-11
NANOnanopayBase3.71433.6984-0.43%3.0312-18.39%0.1257✓1.06798k2022-01-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum92.8892.4972-0.41%72.75-21.67%0.1736✓0.966.3M2022-01-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.089270.088904-0.41%0.07976-10.65%0.0080✓1.452.9M2022-01-11
SOLSolanaSolana167.72167.0331-0.41%140.27-16.37%0.1009✓1.07211.5M2022-01-11
DASHDashDash134.69134.177-0.38%141.85+5.32%0.1434✗1.271.9M2022-01-11
DODODODOEthereum0.8730.869744-0.37%0.747-14.43%0.0502✓1.478.1M2022-01-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana15.0414.9841-0.37%14.78-1.73%0.0337✗0.691.1M2022-01-11
XMRMoneroMonero222.22221.4017-0.37%193.01-13.14%0.0675✓1.013.2M2022-01-11
UNIUniswapEthereum18.2118.1446-0.36%15.98-12.25%0.0383✓1.2814.1M2022-01-11
XYMSymbolnative0.21010.209387-0.34%0.2062-1.86%0.0256✗0.59441k2022-01-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2282.2207-0.33%1.86-16.52%0.0997✓1.122.5M2022-01-11
XECeCashnative0.000112920.000112573-0.31%0.00009356-17.14%0.1170✓0.987.2M2022-01-11
COMPCompoundEthereum223.02222.3832-0.29%188.96-15.27%0.0838✓1.14211k2022-01-11
AAVEAaveEthereum251.96251.2562-0.28%213.29-15.35%0.0852✓1.1414.7M2022-01-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.167.142-0.25%6.78-5.31%0.0080✓0.64801k2022-01-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.5610.5393-0.20%10.19-3.50%0.0178✗0.741.2M2022-01-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum31.2731.21-0.19%28.42-9.11%0.0468✓0.68385k2022-01-11
XEMNEMnative0.12520.124968-0.19%0.1145-8.55%0.0114✓1.10115k2022-01-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.1075.0982-0.17%4.814-5.74%0.0157✓0.60549k2022-01-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV120.8120.6305-0.14%110.22-8.76%0.0243✓0.953.2M2022-01-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin146.44146.2406-0.14%131.67-10.09%0.0118✓1.3536.7M2022-01-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2231.2217-0.11%1.045-14.55%0.0911✓0.942.4M2022-01-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana8.768.7509-0.10%8-8.68%0.0479✓0.60828k2022-01-11
QNTQuantEthereum179.48179.3167-0.09%169.57-5.52%0.0102✗0.968.3M2022-01-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0223170.022297-0.09%0.018697-16.22%0.0931✓1.202.4M2022-01-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin45,814.6145,780.34-0.07%42,753.44-6.68%0.0007✓1.00727.0M2022-01-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.6928.6726-0.06%25.55-10.94%0.0259✓1.2971.0M2022-01-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1684740.168582+0.06%0.153722-8.76%0.0162✗1.104.6M2022-01-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash427.38427.6543+0.06%369.84-13.46%0.0752✗1.019.0M2022-01-11
ADACardanoCardano1.30921.3104+0.09%1.1879-9.27%0.0224✗1.0997.2M2022-01-11
QTUMQtumQtum8.99399.0031+0.10%7.521-16.38%0.0819✗1.42268k2022-01-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.1336.1728+0.12%28.89-20.04%0.1533✗1.0322.7M2022-01-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.4090.40968+0.17%0.361-11.74%0.0759✗0.7339k2022-01-11
TRXTRONTron0.0759890.076141+0.20%0.064934-14.55%0.0942✗0.94556k2022-01-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.119720.120049+0.27%0.10496-12.33%0.0582✗1.1026k2022-01-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum46,006.0046,139.50+0.29%42,770.20-7.03%0.0083✗0.9810k2022-01-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1124.1241+0.29%3.818-7.15%0.0313✗0.66483k2022-01-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.482.4992+0.77%2.15-13.31%0.0772✗1.064.0M2022-01-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.