8=======>

2021-12-24 · +7d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
-0.0308
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.84%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
29.4%
in alpha space · 84.3% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-9.12%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon1.89671.7753-6.40%1.62-14.59%0.0226✓0.728.1M2021-12-31
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.773.5435-6.01%4.55+20.69%0.3457✗1.0011.9M2021-12-31
GTCGitcoinEthereum15.714.8986-5.10%12.7-19.11%0.1571✓0.034.8M2021-12-31
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6730.640345-4.85%0.612-9.06%0.0713✗1.223.0M2021-12-31
MANADecentralandEthereum3.53.3402-4.57%3.2677-6.64%0.0628✗0.899.0M2021-12-31
GITCOINGITCOIN15.61114.95-4.23%12.734-18.43%0.1636✓-0.03133k2021-12-31
BFCBifrostEthereum0.214830.205825-4.19%0.19688-8.36%0.1081✗1.5924k2021-12-31
MASKMask NetworkEthereum12.1111.624-4.01%12.22+0.91%0.1006✗0.532.7M2021-12-31
UOSUltraEthereum1.7511.6831-3.88%1.5666-10.53%0.0238✓1.006.7M2021-12-31
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum45.7244.0106-3.74%38.92-14.87%0.0538✗1.858.8M2021-12-31
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07810.075273-3.62%0.0763-2.30%0.1390✗1.312.5M2021-12-31
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.1542.5737-3.57%39.69-10.10%0.0932✗1.714.7M2021-12-31
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.76220.735154-3.55%0.9356+22.75%0.4067✗1.7314.6M2021-12-31
SPELLSpellEthereum0.021910.02114-3.51%0.02346+7.07%0.1998✗1.0039.8M2021-12-31
HIVEHivenative1.5931.5378-3.47%1.4896-6.49%0.0923✗1.3010.4M2021-12-31
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche114.93111.274-3.18%109.4-4.81%0.0849✗1.06142.8M2021-12-31
STORJStorjEthereum1.94691.8906-2.89%1.7428-10.48%0.0132✓0.711.3M2021-12-31
MOVRMoonriverBase188.1748182.7727-2.87%181.8528-3.36%0.0881✗0.97720k2021-12-31
CTSICartesiEthereum0.75960.738453-2.78%0.6864-9.64%0.0490✗1.285.1M2021-12-31
LRCLoopringEthereum2.21292.1533-2.69%2.0908-5.52%0.1544✗1.922.1M2021-12-31
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0382470.037218-2.69%0.033825-11.56%0.0025✓1.0312.1M2021-12-31
ZENHorizenBase70.5368.7119-2.58%60.57-14.12%0.0087✓1.411.4M2021-12-31
CVCCivicEthereum0.36110.351811-2.57%0.3279-9.19%0.0165✓0.91388k2021-12-31
UMAUMAEthereum9.569.3296-2.41%9.11-4.71%0.0797✗1.084.1M2021-12-31
XVGVergenative0.017980.017547-2.41%0.01703-5.28%0.0832✗1.182.8M2021-12-31
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.7932.7265-2.38%2.574-7.84%0.0347✗0.962.2M2021-12-31
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.7933.7047-2.33%3.496-7.83%0.0377✗1.003.5M2021-12-31
SCSiacoinnative0.016510.016126-2.32%0.01518-8.06%0.0281✗0.931.4M2021-12-31
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.195.0705-2.30%5.32+2.50%0.1713✗1.2928.7M2021-12-31
COTICOTIEthereum0.40620.397085-2.24%0.3547-12.68%0.0252✗1.444.4M2021-12-31
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.082840.081058-2.15%0.08513+2.76%0.1628✗1.1921.7M2021-12-31
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.515.3918-2.15%4.34-21.23%0.1213✓1.006.5M2021-12-31
RADRadworksEthereum10.8510.639-1.94%10.85+0.00%0.1108✗0.951.6M2021-12-31
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.68076.5525-1.92%5.8862-11.89%0.0001✓1.12876k2021-12-31
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0622170.061031-1.91%0.063529+2.11%0.1755✗1.419.5M2021-12-31
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.71.6679-1.89%1.62-4.71%0.1306✗1.671.5M2021-12-31
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.31381.2892-1.87%1.2039-8.36%0.0959✗1.721.6M2021-12-31
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.110160.108131-1.84%0.1009-8.41%0.0136✓0.58143k2021-12-31
AMPAmpEthereum0.049440.048567-1.77%0.04828-2.35%0.0792✗0.8912.1M2021-12-31
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8506110.836458-1.66%0.802611-5.64%0.0571✗1.033.7M2021-12-31
ARPAARPAEthereum0.10860.106849-1.61%0.0971-10.59%0.0360✗1.383.0M2021-12-31
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.11831.1007-1.57%1.2282+9.83%0.2517✗1.492.5M2021-12-31
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.231.2112-1.53%1.13-8.13%0.0263✗1.002.4M2021-12-31
LSKLiskEthereum2.57592.5369-1.51%2.397-6.95%0.0476✗1.09152k2021-12-31
ZECZcashZcash165.18162.6928-1.51%146.46-11.33%0.0131✓1.2413.6M2021-12-31
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.79660.784644-1.50%0.7078-11.15%0.0142✓1.237.7M2021-12-31
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.38260.376911-1.49%0.3655-4.47%0.0911✗1.276.2M2021-12-31
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.019720.019428-1.48%0.01908-3.25%0.0310✗0.5160k2021-12-31
SKLSKALEEthereum0.21710.213921-1.46%0.2023-6.82%0.0577✗1.196.5M2021-12-31
IMXImmutableEthereum4.634.5624-1.46%4.91+6.05%0.1691✗1.002.5M2021-12-31
COMPCompoundEthereum230.2226.8432-1.46%199.58-13.30%0.0264✓1.06239k2021-12-31
CHZChilizEthereum0.30160.297243-1.44%0.2833-6.07%0.0724✗1.266.2M2021-12-31
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.3412.1642-1.42%11.78-4.54%0.0574✓-0.264.9M2021-12-31
YFIyearn.financeEthereum32,577.6332,125.38-1.39%33,038.28+1.41%0.0793✗0.547.0M2021-12-31
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.6970.68735-1.38%0.6421-7.88%0.0436✗1.1714.0M2021-12-31
MINAMina Protocolnative3.543.4918-1.36%3.54+0.00%0.1081✗0.99807k2021-12-31
BANDBandEthereum5.635.5545-1.34%5.01-11.01%0.0067✓1.153.0M2021-12-31
SUSHISushiEthereum7.947.8354-1.32%9.42+18.64%0.3139✗1.3614.9M2021-12-31
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.5761.5553-1.32%1.6589+5.26%0.1627✗1.0334.9M2021-12-31
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.28491.2681-1.31%1.3658+6.30%0.1706✗1.0122.8M2021-12-31
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.057980.057223-1.31%0.05331-8.05%0.0302✗1.0617k2021-12-31
CELLCellframeEthereum1.1891.1736-1.29%0.9088-23.57%0.1600✓1.00190k2021-12-31
DODODODOEthereum0.9090.897354-1.28%0.843-7.26%0.0736✗1.429.3M2021-12-31
LCXLCXEthereum0.20280.200216-1.27%0.1752-13.61%0.0241✓1.144.3M2021-12-31
QTUMQtumQtum9.79219.6692-1.25%8.736-10.79%0.0296✗1.37349k2021-12-31
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018760.018529-1.23%0.01579-15.83%0.0431✓1.223.2M2021-12-31
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.46290.457223-1.23%0.4139-10.59%0.0371✗1.431.2M2021-12-31
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.40933.3682-1.21%3.1464-7.71%0.0518✗1.253.4M2021-12-31
API3Api3Ethereum4.834.772-1.20%4.22-12.63%0.0272✓1.001.5M2021-12-31
AAVEAaveEthereum270.33267.1167-1.19%253.92-6.07%0.0474✗1.0211.4M2021-12-31
XLMStellarStellar0.2786280.275373-1.17%0.266478-4.36%0.0625✗1.0036.2M2021-12-31
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000036140.000035727-1.14%0.00003342-7.53%0.0289✗1.002.2M2021-12-31
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana11.0810.9549-1.13%10.11-8.75%0.0062✓0.771.5M2021-12-31
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.0239.9102-1.12%8.873-11.47%0.0468✓0.67455k2021-12-31
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum104.62103.4527-1.12%93.21-10.91%0.0115✓0.978.8M2021-12-31
KSMKusamaHydration288.88285.6807-1.11%276.22-4.38%0.0676✗1.061.5M2021-12-31
KCSKuCoinnative22.8122.5578-1.11%21.376-6.29%0.1048✗1.6621.0M2021-12-31
FTTFTXEthereum42.6842.2319-1.05%38.25-10.38%0.0029✓1.0021.8M2021-12-31
DASHDashDash149.49147.9394-1.04%133.78-10.51%0.0169✗1.232.2M2021-12-31
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.38561.3717-1.00%1.2796-7.65%0.0315✗1.061.4M2021-12-31
ADACardanoCardano1.39351.3802-0.96%1.3082-6.12%0.0454✗1.03124.4M2021-12-31
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.2871.2748-0.95%1.259-2.18%0.0779✗0.944.1M2021-12-31
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.58128.3479-0.95%121.02-6.61%0.0337✗0.973.2M2021-12-31
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13790.136601-0.94%0.1283-6.96%0.0386✗1.06445k2021-12-31
CBKCobakEthereum3.1393.1097-0.93%2.882-8.19%0.0044✓0.84100k2021-12-31
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.0144.9686-0.91%4.6064-8.13%0.0543✗1.365.2M2021-12-31
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.752.7252-0.90%2.39-13.09%0.0384✓0.974.7M2021-12-31
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.6327.3828-0.89%24.42-11.62%0.0168✗1.3724.1M2021-12-31
SUNSun TokenTron0.023260.023054-0.89%0.021822-6.18%0.0618✗1.222.2M2021-12-31
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.092570.091762-0.87%0.08767-5.29%0.0957✗1.484.8M2021-12-31
XTZTezosTezos4.49014.4512-0.87%4.3404-3.33%0.0964✗1.275.4M2021-12-31
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos26.8726.6382-0.86%32.43+20.69%0.2787✗0.8640.2M2021-12-31
XECeCashnative0.00011730.000116302-0.85%0.00010819-7.77%0.0214✗0.9811.7M2021-12-31
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9991.9821-0.84%1.634-18.26%0.0688✓1.307.9M2021-12-31
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.7416.602-0.82%15.07-9.98%0.0318✓0.681.4M2021-12-31
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana7.767.7015-0.75%7.06-9.02%0.0266✓0.631.0M2021-12-31
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.3425.1492-0.75%24.41-3.67%0.0377✗0.712.7M2021-12-31
XEMNEMnative0.13590.13489-0.74%0.1227-9.71%0.0058✓1.05202k2021-12-31
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.21620.214639-0.72%0.1984-8.23%0.0023✓0.85776k2021-12-31
XVSVenusEthereum15.8315.7158-0.72%15.14-4.36%0.0701✗1.125.0M2021-12-31
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.4237.1719-0.66%34.06-8.98%0.0084✗1.006.1M2021-12-31
TRBTellor TributesEthereum34.9234.6943-0.65%33.06-5.33%0.0899✗1.441.3M2021-12-31
UNIUniswapEthereum17.517.3926-0.61%16.98-2.97%0.0982✗1.2814.6M2021-12-31
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.083.0611-0.61%2.93-4.87%0.0778✗1.273.2M2021-12-31
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08880.088256-0.61%0.0823-7.32%0.0306✗1.0521k2021-12-31
DOTPolkadotPolkadot28.1727.9987-0.61%26.67-5.32%0.0679✗1.2277.3M2021-12-31
NANOnanopayBase3.64213.6205-0.59%3.4015-6.61%0.0372✗1.04819k2021-12-31
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.2195.1884-0.59%4.7425-9.13%0.0248✓0.6829k2021-12-31
XYMSymbolnative0.24450.243126-0.56%0.1945-20.45%0.1766✓0.49410k2021-12-31
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.079.02-0.55%8.41-7.28%0.0007✓0.74836k2021-12-31
LTCLitecoinLitecoin161.35160.4615-0.55%146.15-9.42%0.0373✗1.3758.6M2021-12-31
XMRMoneroMonero204.44203.3475-0.53%228.93+11.98%0.2057✗0.912.7M2021-12-31
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,851.3850,580.60-0.53%46,211.24-9.12%0.0053✗1.00750.8M2021-12-31
FILFilecoinFilecoin36.4736.2877-0.50%34.24-6.11%0.0382✗1.0123.1M2021-12-31
SOLSolanaSolana190.65189.7328-0.48%169.88-10.89%0.0229✓0.92257.1M2021-12-31
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3680.366269-0.47%0.426+15.76%0.2219✗0.7445k2021-12-31
DKAdKargoEthereum0.12190.121332-0.47%0.11271-7.54%0.0294✗1.0830k2021-12-31
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.533.514-0.45%3.21-9.07%0.0014✓0.961.3M2021-12-31
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.0133.8564-0.45%31.4-7.67%0.0145✓0.64649k2021-12-31
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.0043.9861-0.45%4.018+0.35%0.0760✗0.71473k2021-12-31
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.5931.5859-0.45%1.542-3.20%0.0959✗1.305.2M2021-12-31
QNTQuantEthereum199.57198.702-0.43%179.22-10.20%0.0156✓0.9212.0M2021-12-31
ETHEthereumEthereum4,049.654,032.41-0.43%3,675.80-9.23%0.0051✗1.02768.5M2021-12-31
SNXSynthetixEthereum5.725.6957-0.43%5.48-4.20%0.0663✗1.105.0M2021-12-31
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.1574.1395-0.42%4.508+8.44%0.1629✗0.81714k2021-12-31
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.6818.6471-0.39%8.1-6.69%0.0575✗1.28511k2021-12-31
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.2755.2556-0.37%5.023-4.78%0.0151✗0.63846k2021-12-31
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash452.27450.6481-0.36%430.15-4.89%0.0495✗1.0013.7M2021-12-31
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.059.0176-0.36%8.8-2.76%0.0392✗0.661.0M2021-12-31
TRXTRONTron0.0808920.080729-0.20%0.075477-6.69%0.0232✗0.95659k2021-12-31
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,714.6050,614.92-0.20%46,060.20-9.18%0.0007✓0.989,2792021-12-31
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1863160.186008-0.17%0.170222-8.64%0.0163✗1.106.1M2021-12-31
GTGateEthereum6.31286.3029-0.16%6.5555+3.84%0.1098✗0.744.6M2021-12-31
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.2662.264-0.09%2.058-9.18%0.0094✗1.103.4M2021-12-31
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.58143.5786-0.08%3.7613+5.02%0.0413✗-0.09384k2021-12-31
LINKChainlinkEthereum21.4721.4883+0.09%19.51-9.13%0.0205✓1.2269.7M2021-12-31
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.