8=======>

2021-12-23 · +7d

gru_s0 · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 136 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.0543
136 of 136 tokens assessed
long-short decile
-1.26%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
49.3%
in alpha space · 86.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-7.32%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (136 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LEOLEO TokenEthereum3.60673.6033-0.09%3.8078+5.58%0.0485✗-0.09384k2021-12-30
LINKChainlinkEthereum22.1922.1635-0.12%19.94-10.14%0.0126✓1.2369.7M2021-12-30
GTGateEthereum6.2596.2485-0.17%6.8152+8.89%0.1428✗0.744.6M2021-12-30
MTLMetal DAOMetal L22.3342.3295-0.19%2.063-11.61%0.0382✓1.103.4M2021-12-30
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum50,984.8050,866.42-0.23%47,186.00-7.45%0.0008✓0.9810k2021-12-30
TRXTRONTron0.082610.082411-0.24%0.077853-5.76%0.0151✗0.95708k2021-12-30
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.1849340.184487-0.24%0.171183-7.44%0.0085✗1.105.5M2021-12-30
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash455.7453.7712-0.42%431.58-5.29%0.0262✗1.0014.2M2021-12-30
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana9.289.2383-0.45%8.87-4.42%0.0099✗0.671.1M2021-12-30
QNTQuantEthereum195.7194.7879-0.47%178.71-8.68%0.0167✓0.9112.0M2021-12-30
ETHEthereumEthereum4,113.084,093.41-0.48%3,710.02-9.80%0.0207✓1.02768.5M2021-12-30
DKAdKargoEthereum0.120790.120185-0.50%0.11126-7.89%0.0047✓1.0830k2021-12-30
NMRNumeraireEthereum34.1834.0084-0.50%32.06-6.20%0.0107✓0.64711k2021-12-30
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum3.573.5518-0.51%3.27-8.40%0.0096✓0.961.3M2021-12-30
DYDXdYdXCosmos8.8528.8045-0.54%8.302-6.21%0.0388✗1.28560k2021-12-30
METRONOMEMETRONOME5.11265.0845-0.55%4.57-10.61%0.0551✓0.6830k2021-12-30
PHAPHALAEthereum0.3720.369948-0.55%0.403+8.33%0.1418✗0.7446k2021-12-30
BELBella ProtocolEthereum1.6451.6359-0.55%1.533-6.81%0.0336✗1.305.2M2021-12-30
SOLSolanaSolana190.07189.0095-0.56%172.52-9.23%0.0217✓0.92265.5M2021-12-30
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana5.45.3695-0.57%5.079-5.94%0.0076✓0.63936k2021-12-30
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana9.179.1155-0.59%8.72-4.91%0.0118✗0.74836k2021-12-30
BTCBitcoinBitcoin50,842.2050,538.57-0.60%47,122.08-7.32%0.0060✗1.00750.8M2021-12-30
FILFilecoinFilecoin37.3537.1235-0.61%34.96-6.40%0.0165✗1.0123.1M2021-12-30
XYMSymbolnative0.25180.250254-0.61%0.188-25.34%0.2490✓0.49410k2021-12-30
LTCLitecoinLitecoin163.74162.7265-0.62%147.94-9.65%0.0086✗1.3759.6M2021-12-30
XMRMoneroMonero210.04208.6286-0.67%225.01+7.13%0.1449✗0.912.8M2021-12-30
SNXSynthetixEthereum6.076.0276-0.70%5.55-8.57%0.0010✓1.105.3M2021-12-30
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.2140.212501-0.70%0.2007-6.21%0.0072✗0.85776k2021-12-30
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.5637.2824-0.74%34.57-7.96%0.0006✓1.006.2M2021-12-30
RLCiExec RLCEthereum3.283.2551-0.76%3.09-5.79%0.0448✗1.273.2M2021-12-30
DOTPolkadotPolkadot29.1728.9452-0.77%27.53-5.62%0.0425✗1.2277.3M2021-12-30
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.08980.089107-0.77%0.0828-7.80%0.0064✓1.0522k2021-12-30
NANOnanopayBase3.75053.7212-0.78%3.4868-7.03%0.0142✗1.04819k2021-12-30
XECeCashnative0.000114420.000113498-0.81%0.00010959-4.22%0.0392✗0.9811.7M2021-12-30
OGOG Fan TokenSolana4.3314.2958-0.81%4.697+8.45%0.1511✗0.81714k2021-12-30
AUCTIONBounceEthereum25.8525.6299-0.85%24.01-7.12%0.0116✓0.712.7M2021-12-30
TRBTellor TributesEthereum37.1136.7933-0.85%33.99-8.41%0.0307✗1.451.4M2021-12-30
XVSVenusEthereum16.1616.0219-0.85%15.37-4.89%0.0438✗1.125.3M2021-12-30
XEMNEMnative0.13930.138102-0.86%0.1255-9.91%0.0158✓1.05202k2021-12-30
UNIUniswapEthereum18.1818.0126-0.92%17.81-2.04%0.0859✗1.2814.2M2021-12-30
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.13940.138095-0.94%0.1317-5.52%0.0330✗1.06445k2021-12-30
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana8.158.0728-0.95%7.13-12.52%0.0760✓0.631.1M2021-12-30
CBKCobakEthereum3.1113.0812-0.96%2.91-6.46%0.0067✓0.84101k2021-12-30
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana16.8516.688-0.96%15.45-8.31%0.0254✓0.681.5M2021-12-30
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.096750.095818-0.96%0.08851-8.52%0.0330✗1.485.9M2021-12-30
CTKShentuOsmosis1.9831.9638-0.97%1.624-18.10%0.0913✓1.307.6M2021-12-30
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain1.3011.288-1.00%1.267-2.61%0.0553✗0.944.4M2021-12-30
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV129.81128.4819-1.02%122.49-5.64%0.0257✗0.973.1M2021-12-30
DASHDashDash146.65145.1394-1.03%133.04-9.28%0.0062✓1.232.2M2021-12-30
XTZTezosTezos4.77314.723-1.05%4.3407-9.06%0.0124✗1.275.4M2021-12-30
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum10.26910.1604-1.06%9.329-9.15%0.0347✓0.67455k2021-12-30
SUNSun TokenTron0.0241130.023855-1.07%0.022142-8.17%0.0183✗1.222.1M2021-12-30
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos28.3828.0749-1.08%30.19+6.38%0.1380✗0.8641.0M2021-12-30
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.23095.1727-1.11%4.7081-9.99%0.0092✓1.365.2M2021-12-30
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.43811.4219-1.13%1.3222-8.06%0.0077✓1.061.4M2021-12-30
FTTFTXEthereum43.0842.5916-1.13%38.89-9.73%0.0146✓1.0021.8M2021-12-30
1INCH1INCHEthereum2.832.7974-1.15%2.46-13.07%0.0547✓0.974.7M2021-12-30
SUSHISushiEthereum7.37.2153-1.16%10.25+40.41%0.4537✗1.3514.6M2021-12-30
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum27.0126.6942-1.17%24.78-8.26%0.0298✗1.3722.9M2021-12-30
KSMKusamaHydration291.44288.0094-1.18%280.04-3.91%0.0524✗1.061.5M2021-12-30
KCSKuCoinnative23.31623.0395-1.19%21.048-9.73%0.0357✗1.6621.7M2021-12-30
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand1.46971.4522-1.19%1.7299+17.70%0.2526✗1.0234.9M2021-12-30
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum107.4106.0949-1.22%95.03-11.52%0.0363✓0.979.0M2021-12-30
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.1574.1059-1.23%4.048-2.62%0.0400✗0.71487k2021-12-30
ADACardanoCardano1.47431.4559-1.25%1.3585-7.85%0.0096✓1.04130.4M2021-12-30
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana10.9710.8313-1.26%10.11-7.84%0.0102✓0.771.6M2021-12-30
XLMStellarStellar0.2877760.284122-1.27%0.268-6.87%0.0174✗1.0037.2M2021-12-30
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.018580.018341-1.29%0.01653-11.03%0.0112✓1.223.5M2021-12-30
YFIyearn.financeEthereum31,557.5631,146.46-1.30%30,177.90-4.37%0.0090✓0.536.9M2021-12-30
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.059280.058503-1.31%0.0549-7.39%0.0168✗1.0617k2021-12-30
API3Api3Ethereum5.185.111-1.33%4.42-14.67%0.0693✓1.001.7M2021-12-30
AAVEAaveEthereum247.2243.886-1.34%262.93+6.36%0.1527✗1.0211.4M2021-12-30
IOTAIOTAIOTA1.29521.2777-1.35%1.4266+10.15%0.1869✗1.0123.6M2021-12-30
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.47680.470268-1.37%0.4189-12.14%0.0071✓1.431.3M2021-12-30
QTUMQtumQtum10.04769.9087-1.38%8.8384-12.03%0.0101✓1.37349k2021-12-30
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000038680.000038131-1.42%0.00003376-12.72%0.0458✓1.002.1M2021-12-30
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain3.51413.4641-1.42%3.1771-9.59%0.0088✓1.254.0M2021-12-30
DEXEDeXeEthereum12.5212.3343-1.48%12.04-3.83%0.0442✓-0.265.3M2021-12-30
BANDBandEthereum5.735.6438-1.50%5.13-10.47%0.0081✓1.153.0M2021-12-30
DODODODOEthereum0.9550.9406-1.51%0.863-9.63%0.0221✗1.4210.8M2021-12-30
IMXImmutableEthereum4.774.6981-1.51%5.14+7.76%0.1659✗1.002.5M2021-12-30
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.73360.722316-1.54%0.6466-11.86%0.0218✓1.1714.9M2021-12-30
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.3890.383-1.54%0.37-4.88%0.0623✗1.276.4M2021-12-30
LSKLiskEthereum2.51262.4736-1.55%2.4417-2.82%0.0698✗1.09172k2021-12-30
COMPCompoundEthereum230.55226.9289-1.57%199.64-13.41%0.0474✓1.06239k2021-12-30
TRACOriginTrailEthereum1.10941.0917-1.59%1.203+8.44%0.2098✗1.482.7M2021-12-30
ZECZcashZcash167.41164.6975-1.62%153.9-8.07%0.0262✗1.2413.6M2021-12-30
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum1.271.2494-1.62%1.13-11.02%0.0245✓1.002.4M2021-12-30
MINAMina Protocolnative3.713.6471-1.70%3.59-3.23%0.0594✗0.99807k2021-12-30
CHZChilizEthereum0.31310.307766-1.70%0.2896-7.51%0.0350✗1.266.6M2021-12-30
CELLCellframeEthereum1.371.3466-1.71%0.9199-32.85%0.3051✓1.00193k2021-12-30
LCXLCXEthereum0.22120.217397-1.72%0.1856-16.09%0.0708✓1.154.3M2021-12-30
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.81730.803171-1.73%0.7283-10.89%0.0046✓1.237.7M2021-12-30
SKLSKALEEthereum0.22970.225668-1.76%0.208-9.45%0.0089✓1.196.8M2021-12-30
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.021160.020785-1.77%0.01945-8.08%0.0271✓0.5261k2021-12-30
AMPAmpEthereum0.050480.049577-1.79%0.04892-3.09%0.0544✗0.8914.3M2021-12-30
ARPAARPAEthereum0.11160.109562-1.83%0.0981-12.10%0.0058✓1.383.1M2021-12-30
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.8861270.869915-1.83%0.795409-10.24%0.0112✓1.034.3M2021-12-30
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.113740.111553-1.92%0.10085-11.33%0.0565✓0.58143k2021-12-30
RADRadworksEthereum10.5210.3173-1.93%10.83+2.95%0.1207✗0.951.7M2021-12-30
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.063190.06197-1.93%0.061787-2.22%0.1047✗1.429.8M2021-12-30
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum1.751.7136-2.08%1.69-3.43%0.1131✗1.671.6M2021-12-30
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum5.925.7944-2.12%4.33-26.86%0.2153✓1.006.6M2021-12-30
BATBasic AttentionEthereum1.34251.3134-2.17%1.1947-11.01%0.0360✗1.721.8M2021-12-30
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain3.8383.7491-2.32%3.579-6.75%0.0295✗1.003.6M2021-12-30
SCSiacoinnative0.017050.016633-2.45%0.01531-10.21%0.0123✓0.931.5M2021-12-30
CRVCurve DAOEthereum5.195.0625-2.46%5.11-1.54%0.1073✗1.2928.7M2021-12-30
UMAUMAEthereum9.839.5884-2.46%9.32-5.19%0.0539✗1.084.1M2021-12-30
XVGVergenative0.018430.017969-2.50%0.01711-7.16%0.0410✗1.182.8M2021-12-30
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum6.90386.7273-2.56%6.0654-12.14%0.0182✓1.12876k2021-12-30
GITCOINGITCOIN11.76411.4602-2.58%12.775+8.59%0.1048✗-0.05129k2021-12-30
CVCCivicEthereum0.36280.35318-2.65%0.3349-7.69%0.0159✓0.91401k2021-12-30
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum2.9722.893-2.66%2.643-11.07%0.0168✓0.972.3M2021-12-30
ZENHorizenBase72.4570.4547-2.75%61.58-15.00%0.0274✓1.411.5M2021-12-30
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.089950.087392-2.84%0.07911-12.05%0.0088✓1.1922.6M2021-12-30
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.0390080.037895-2.85%0.033799-13.35%0.0364✓1.0313.0M2021-12-30
MOVRMoonriverBase189.2792183.8507-2.87%185.6988-1.89%0.0840✗0.97728k2021-12-30
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.66650.646419-3.01%0.9403+41.08%0.5058✗1.7212.6M2021-12-30
CTSICartesiEthereum0.78340.7587-3.15%0.6956-11.21%0.0103✓1.286.5M2021-12-30
COTICOTIEthereum0.38610.373744-3.20%0.3713-3.83%0.1028✗1.444.4M2021-12-30
STORJStorjEthereum2.08462.0179-3.20%1.755-15.81%0.0851✓0.721.3M2021-12-30
LRCLoopringEthereum2.3162.2417-3.21%1.9975-13.75%0.0310✓1.932.2M2021-12-30
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche121.37117.3635-3.30%101.73-16.18%0.0617✓1.07148.6M2021-12-30
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.07010.067705-3.42%0.0787+12.27%0.2490✗1.302.5M2021-12-30
HIVEHivenative1.65031.5909-3.60%1.5179-8.02%0.0519✗1.3011.4M2021-12-30
GTCGitcoinEthereum11.8911.4536-3.67%12.93+8.75%0.1220✗0.014.6M2021-12-30
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum49.5447.7122-3.69%39.06-21.15%0.0591✓1.869.4M2021-12-30
MASKMask NetworkEthereum11.7511.314-3.71%11.98+1.96%0.0973✗0.532.7M2021-12-30
LPTLivepeerEthereum44.4342.7006-3.89%40.32-9.25%0.0724✗1.715.2M2021-12-30
SPELLSpellEthereum0.023680.022704-4.12%0.02166-8.53%0.0289✓1.0035.6M2021-12-30
BFCBifrostEthereum0.217130.207947-4.23%0.2-7.89%0.0822✗1.5929k2021-12-30
UOSUltraEthereum1.69081.619-4.25%1.4845-12.20%0.0109✓1.007.2M2021-12-30
MANADecentralandEthereum3.67983.5064-4.71%3.2879-10.65%0.0033✓0.899.0M2021-12-30
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.6890.654737-4.97%0.634-7.98%0.0605✗1.223.2M2021-12-30
BICOBiconomyEthereum3.943.696-6.19%4.72+19.80%0.3206✗1.0012.1M2021-12-30
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon2.23562.0549-8.08%1.6911-24.36%0.1393✓0.738.3M2021-12-30
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.