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2022-09-12 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.1970
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+9.03%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
68.1%
in alpha space · 85.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-14.49%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.49e-76.57e-7-12.28%5.04e-7-32.65%0.1278✓0.872.3M2022-10-12
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5631.3953-10.73%1.454-6.97%0.2331✗1.2343k2022-10-12
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064740.058008-10.40%0.05596-13.56%0.1595✗1.251.2M2022-10-12
METISMetisEthereum29.9327.134-9.34%24.34-18.68%0.1520✗1.66159k2022-10-12
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5565.9497-9.25%5.147-21.49%0.0068✓0.976.2M2022-10-12
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.3411.3744-7.83%13.627+10.43%0.2394✗0.3816.0M2022-10-12
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.66047.0758-7.63%4.8842-36.24%0.3314✓0.2511.9M2022-10-12
LUNATerraTerra 20.00030.00027798-7.34%0.00028659-4.47%0.0727✓0.272.3M2022-10-12
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.0427-6.73%1.67-23.74%0.0019✓1.27227k2022-10-12
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11440.10684-6.61%0.067-41.43%0.3729✓0.60188k2022-10-12
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.426.9431-6.43%5.66-23.72%0.0327✓1.10224k2022-10-12
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.4536.0244-6.31%23.79-38.13%0.1683✓1.5810.6M2022-10-12
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5244.2474-6.11%3.802-15.96%0.0367✓0.94273k2022-10-12
FLOWFlownative2.1021.9779-5.90%1.558-25.88%0.0166✓1.42967k2022-10-12
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.00496.6024-5.75%4.2544-39.27%0.4238✓0.109.1M2022-10-12
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.3296-5.70%1.1-21.99%0.0235✓1.0668k2022-10-12
CTKShentuOsmosis1.010.953317-5.61%0.873-13.56%0.0241✓0.412.7M2022-10-12
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.2317.2175-5.55%14.98-17.83%0.0557✓0.53396k2022-10-12
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.39761.3214-5.45%1.0849-22.37%0.0278✓1.08922k2022-10-12
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86380.816765-5.45%0.6656-22.95%0.0207✓1.17946k2022-10-12
MINAMina Protocolnative0.670.635018-5.22%0.556-17.01%0.0339✓1.07111k2022-10-12
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2213.4858-5.16%11.54-18.85%0.0299✓1.19925k2022-10-12
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013230.001255-5.13%0.0009175-30.67%0.1841✓0.832.2M2022-10-12
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.0740.070384-4.89%0.06929-6.36%0.0054✓0.13378k2022-10-12
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.21640.205966-4.82%0.128-40.85%0.3585✓0.7526k2022-10-12
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8634.6287-4.82%3.8083-21.69%0.0386✓1.49122k2022-10-12
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35140.334471-4.82%0.2656-24.42%0.0472✓1.1772k2022-10-12
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2453.0889-4.81%2.859-11.90%0.0191✓0.37676k2022-10-12
CHZChilizEthereum0.20140.191781-4.78%0.1899-5.71%0.1442✗0.983.2M2022-10-12
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.56284.3456-4.76%3.0801-32.50%0.2481✓0.618.1M2022-10-12
ORCAOrcaSolana0.89480.852638-4.71%0.8317-7.05%0.2204✗1.5789k2022-10-12
RADRadworksEthereum2.462.3452-4.67%1.91-22.36%0.1100✓0.61261k2022-10-12
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33460.319075-4.64%0.28-16.32%0.0324✓1.0482k2022-10-12
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,751.479,324.53-4.38%7,877.53-19.22%0.0533✗1.424.1M2022-10-12
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.5314.879-4.19%11.739-24.41%0.0365✓1.2819.6M2022-10-12
LCXLCXEthereum0.05160.049513-4.04%0.052+0.78%0.1992✗0.96234k2022-10-12
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9351.8594-3.91%1.505-22.22%0.0567✗1.7160k2022-10-12
BANDBandEthereum1.3521.2993-3.90%1.105-18.27%0.0379✓1.28323k2022-10-12
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1712.0869-3.88%1.571-27.64%0.0845✓1.2732k2022-10-12
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06540.062867-3.87%0.0544-16.82%0.0458✗1.22563k2022-10-12
ELAElastosEthereum1.6221.5593-3.87%1.463-9.80%0.0512✗0.7329k2022-10-12
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51290.493105-3.86%0.3722-27.43%0.1472✓0.86396k2022-10-12
GITCOINGITCOIN2.14882.0661-3.85%1.672-22.19%0.0351✓1.1313k2022-10-12
COMPCompoundEthereum54.7352.6357-3.83%55.48+1.37%0.2518✗1.278,6412022-10-12
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.320430.308209-3.81%0.252468-21.21%0.0452✓0.99471k2022-10-12
GLMGolemEthereum0.40930.393988-3.74%0.2554-37.60%0.3062✓0.8189k2022-10-12
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04920.047387-3.69%0.0357-27.44%0.0991✓1.18546k2022-10-12
APEApeCoinEthereum5.4925.2904-3.67%4.714-14.17%0.1035✗1.406.4M2022-10-12
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.12860.123893-3.66%0.0876-31.88%0.1505✓1.252.5M2022-10-12
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1431.1016-3.62%0.8202-28.24%0.0531✓1.544.4M2022-10-12
OGOG Fan TokenSolana5.9485.7378-3.53%4.066-31.64%0.2439✓0.643.1M2022-10-12
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.0210.6467-3.39%8.85-19.69%0.0257✓1.34288k2022-10-12
UOSUltraEthereum0.440280.425762-3.30%0.30131-31.56%0.1920✓0.98379k2022-10-12
GMTGMTEthereum0.74190.717508-3.29%0.628-15.35%0.1079✗1.54210k2022-10-12
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.386.1751-3.21%4.67-26.80%0.1972✓0.522.1M2022-10-12
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0184890.0179-3.19%0.014341-22.43%0.0651✓1.009912022-10-12
OPTIMOptimism1.2671.2267-3.18%0.747-41.04%0.2308✓1.692.7M2022-10-12
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03730.036139-3.11%0.02798-24.99%0.0899✓1.0635k2022-10-12
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2791.2392-3.11%1.022-20.09%0.0466✓0.931.1M2022-10-12
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15470.150005-3.03%0.1346-12.99%0.0500✗1.01336k2022-10-12
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR5.0934.9396-3.01%3.153-38.09%0.2924✓1.001.4M2022-10-12
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008330.008081-2.99%0.00592-28.93%0.1271✓1.18428k2022-10-12
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177310.172087-2.95%0.14279-19.47%0.0174✓1.08271k2022-10-12
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5690.55248-2.90%0.457-19.68%0.0105✓1.1466k2022-10-12
XVGVergenative0.003570.003468-2.87%0.00312-12.61%0.0494✗0.99483k2022-10-12
XVSVenusEthereum4.984.8376-2.86%4.7-5.62%0.1066✗0.87839k2022-10-12
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009050.008794-2.82%0.0055-39.23%0.3217✓0.943.3M2022-10-12
BTTCBTTC9.00e-78.75e-7-2.77%7.70e-7-14.44%0.0123✓0.741.7M2022-10-12
NANOnanopayBase0.9142160.888878-2.77%0.760819-16.78%0.0210✓0.8649k2022-10-12
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.1844-2.73%4.06-23.83%0.1436✓0.642.0M2022-10-12
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche21.3720.7907-2.71%15.95-25.36%0.0495✓1.3818.0M2022-10-12
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.6647.4642-2.61%6.173-19.45%0.0070✓1.1710.0M2022-10-12
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.9266.7519-2.51%5.07-26.80%0.1301✓1.004.3M2022-10-12
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9621.9129-2.50%1.5946-18.73%0.0062✓1.1223k2022-10-12
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44360.432512-2.50%0.3394-23.49%0.0581✓1.1875k2022-10-12
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.142110.13856-2.50%0.12114-14.76%0.0551✗1.21151k2022-10-12
WOOWOOEthereum0.16420.160118-2.49%0.1486-9.50%0.1307✗1.319132022-10-12
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.148106-2.43%0.1213-20.09%0.0434✓1.00119k2022-10-12
SUSHISushiEthereum1.26951.2393-2.38%1.1675-8.03%0.1191✗1.141.1M2022-10-12
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354360.345928-2.38%0.28328-20.06%0.0309✓1.0833k2022-10-12
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7587.5737-2.38%7.147-7.88%0.1195✗1.1318.0M2022-10-12
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4810.469719-2.35%0.377-21.62%0.0566✓1.047,9852022-10-12
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016510.001612-2.34%0.001361-17.57%0.0632✓0.685,8832022-10-12
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95910.93679-2.33%0.7783-18.85%0.0128✓1.27899k2022-10-12
GALAGALAEthereum0.05130.050108-2.32%0.0392-23.59%0.0633✓1.16178k2022-10-12
SCSiacoinnative0.00420.004103-2.32%0.00336-20.00%0.0523✓0.94103k2022-10-12
LSKLiskEthereum1.0911.0662-2.27%0.929799-14.78%0.0163✓0.7736k2022-10-12
SOLSolanaSolana37.4636.6291-2.22%31.16-16.82%0.0298✗1.2254.5M2022-10-12
KCSKuCoinnative9.7159.4995-2.22%9.053-6.81%0.0869✗0.861.2M2022-10-12
STORJStorjEthereum0.5630.550967-2.14%0.42113-25.20%0.0594✓1.3439k2022-10-12
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.958.763-2.09%6.78-24.25%0.1643✓0.592.4M2022-10-12
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.02280.022333-2.05%0.02101-7.85%0.1058✗1.0710.3M2022-10-12
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9432.883-2.04%2.065-29.83%0.0909✓1.552.9M2022-10-12
XECeCashnative0.000045970.000045033-2.04%0.00003798-17.38%0.0325✓0.883.0M2022-10-12
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20530.20114-2.03%0.1515-26.21%0.1078✓1.12108k2022-10-12
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32370.317164-2.02%0.3135-3.15%0.1422✗0.986.0M2022-10-12
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2384.1538-1.99%3.141-25.88%0.1978✓0.522.3M2022-10-12
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.2854.2003-1.98%3.305-22.87%0.1823✓0.372.2M2022-10-12
NEXONEXOEthereum0.970.950932-1.97%0.833-14.12%0.0536✗1.191.5M2022-10-12
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016260.001594-1.95%0.001688+3.81%0.1803✗0.79374k2022-10-12
UMAUMAEthereum2.7562.7022-1.95%2.24-18.72%0.0575✓0.83523k2022-10-12
HIVEHivenative0.58020.568913-1.95%0.5112-11.89%0.0104✓0.62836k2022-10-12
DASHDashDash47.1746.289-1.87%41.74-11.51%0.0641✗1.07312k2022-10-12
ZECZcashZcash62.9261.7791-1.81%51.73-17.78%0.0050✓1.171.1M2022-10-12
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.1214.8475-1.80%17.14+13.36%0.3003✗1.001.8M2022-10-12
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29760.292311-1.78%0.2122-28.70%0.1512✓1.0874k2022-10-12
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,615.211,586.59-1.77%1,254.87-22.31%0.0780✓1.003.3M2022-10-12
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0240350.02361-1.77%0.024833+3.32%0.0645✗0.09465k2022-10-12
ETHEthereumEthereum1,716.711,687.12-1.72%1,294.33-24.60%0.0526✓1.36569.9M2022-10-12
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.554.4724-1.70%3.72-18.24%0.0890✓0.611.4M2022-10-12
FTTFTXEthereum28.4627.9757-1.70%23.36-17.92%0.0213✓1.026.8M2022-10-12
MANADecentralandEthereum0.794220.780734-1.70%0.64761-18.46%0.0102✓1.13624k2022-10-12
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.040.039331-1.67%0.03373-15.68%0.0444✓0.702,2982022-10-12
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0031060.003054-1.67%0.002075-33.19%0.2436✓0.911.2M2022-10-12
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639580.062891-1.67%0.05987-6.39%0.1089✗1.011.2M2022-10-12
COTICOTIEthereum0.10270.101005-1.65%0.1026-0.10%0.1745✗1.01336k2022-10-12
STXStacksnative0.38790.381596-1.63%0.3107-19.90%0.0381✓1.07314k2022-10-12
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5341.5091-1.62%1.389-9.45%0.0933✗1.1371k2022-10-12
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11410.112353-1.53%0.0931-18.40%0.0503✓0.88188k2022-10-12
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20630.203145-1.53%0.1782-13.62%0.0393✗1.09135k2022-10-12
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.91231.8843-1.46%1.0233-46.49%0.4781✓0.851.4M2022-10-12
FISStafiEthereum0.36270.357439-1.45%0.3109-14.28%0.0258✗1.061,1592022-10-12
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6596.5625-1.45%6.054-9.09%0.1393✗1.406.9M2022-10-12
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6720.662592-1.40%0.549-18.30%0.0099✓1.143.3M2022-10-12
MOVRMoonriverBase12.66512.488-1.40%10.3905-17.96%0.0242✓1.0221k2022-10-12
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03990.039351-1.38%0.0353-11.53%0.0304✗0.899,1922022-10-12
KSMKusamaHydration52.2151.4917-1.38%40.13-23.14%0.0883✓1.03363k2022-10-12
XLMStellarStellar0.1138590.112307-1.36%0.116277+2.12%0.1738✗0.896.5M2022-10-12
QNTQuantEthereum106.65105.2005-1.36%153.65+44.07%0.5251✗0.933.5M2022-10-12
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5420.534678-1.35%0.428-21.03%0.0316✓1.2277k2022-10-12
PROPropyEthereum0.730.720294-1.33%0.54-26.03%0.2505✓0.2444k2022-10-12
BTCBitcoinBitcoin22,402.7122,104.94-1.33%19,155.92-14.49%0.0134✗1.00480.9M2022-10-12
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13470.13298-1.28%0.1193-11.43%0.0611✗1.082.7M2022-10-12
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021020.020762-1.23%0.01798-14.46%0.0491✓0.61191k2022-10-12
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.378-1.22%14.49-12.61%0.0002✓0.781.5M2022-10-12
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062340.00616-1.18%0.00603-3.27%0.0366✗0.3730k2022-10-12
ZENHorizenBase16.4816.3007-1.09%12.49-24.21%0.0702✓1.2579k2022-10-12
XYMSymbolnative0.0426730.042222-1.06%0.035794-16.12%0.0816✓0.5323k2022-10-12
AMPAmpEthereum0.006210.006147-1.01%0.0049-21.10%0.1275✓0.63911k2022-10-12
QTUMQtumQtum3.29333.2646-0.87%2.7159-17.53%0.0214✓1.0419k2022-10-12
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.04525.0018-0.86%4.1434-17.87%0.1782✓0.06119k2022-10-12
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23460.232596-0.85%0.1864-20.55%0.0809✓0.9057k2022-10-12
DIADIAEthereum0.399770.396396-0.84%0.3906-2.29%0.1439✗1.0131k2022-10-12
GTGateEthereum4.38394.3483-0.81%4.405+0.48%0.1288✗0.74688k2022-10-12
BORABORAKlay Token0.29430.291938-0.80%0.21464-27.07%0.1661✓0.9015k2022-10-12
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash128.87127.8952-0.76%111.75-13.28%0.0492✗1.184.4M2022-10-12
AAVEAaveEthereum90.9990.32-0.74%71.52-21.40%0.0060✓1.536.0M2022-10-12
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.03e-7-0.72%7.80e-7-14.29%0.0305✓0.7415k2022-10-12
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.060.059602-0.66%0.0499-16.83%0.0450✓0.8590k2022-10-12
CBKCobakEthereum0.854280.848871-0.63%0.75156-12.02%0.0017✓0.7913k2022-10-12
SUNSun TokenTron0.0063560.006316-0.62%0.005602-11.86%0.0200✓0.641,9622022-10-12
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18390.182823-0.59%0.147-20.07%0.0380✓1.151,7442022-10-12
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0120040.011942-0.52%0.009569-20.28%0.0650✓1.006492022-10-12
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.00450.999441-0.50%0.9569-4.74%0.0458✗0.572.6M2022-10-12
API3Api3Ethereum1.8031.7941-0.50%1.584-12.15%0.0347✗1.02627k2022-10-12
XTZTezosTezos1.65651.6483-0.49%1.3516-18.41%0.0326✓1.06241k2022-10-12
ADACardanoCardano0.50140.499016-0.48%0.3813-23.95%0.1116✓1.0138.3M2022-10-12
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131540.013105-0.37%0.010459-20.49%0.0946✓0.84882k2022-10-12
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4830.481431-0.32%0.328-32.09%0.1942✓1.214,2692022-10-12
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012880.000012839-0.32%0.00001016-21.12%0.0755✓1.011.0M2022-10-12
XEMNEMnative0.0467110.046564-0.31%0.039427-15.59%0.0266✓0.8928k2022-10-12
XMRMoneroMonero163.77163.2607-0.31%144.74-11.62%0.0309✗0.971.4M2022-10-12
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4261-0.27%1.52+6.29%0.0423✗-0.14124k2022-10-12
DODODODOEthereum0.13190.131553-0.26%0.1178-10.69%0.0740✗1.181.4M2022-10-12
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29170.290964-0.25%0.2577-11.66%0.0375✗1.022.7M2022-10-12
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.716.6951-0.22%5.67-15.50%0.0890✓0.492.1M2022-10-12
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2750.274609-0.14%0.234-14.91%0.0393✓0.77563k2022-10-12
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.60954.5345-0.14%48.073-11.97%0.0124✗0.88264k2022-10-12
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069150.069071-0.11%0.05545-19.81%0.0737✓0.938202022-10-12
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.841.8382-0.10%2.23+21.20%0.2667✗0.4758k2022-10-12
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03970.039669-0.08%0.0326-17.88%0.0369✓1.0289k2022-10-12
FORTFortaEthereum0.22570.225577-0.05%0.1479-34.47%0.3033✓0.7667k2022-10-12
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10130.101247-0.05%0.0774-23.59%0.1494✓0.762,7302022-10-12
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49480.494933+0.03%0.4253-14.05%0.0295✓1.16384k2022-10-12
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum22,320.8022,340.81+0.09%19,167.20-14.13%0.0094✗0.9213k2022-10-12
STEEMSteemnative0.23550.23578+0.12%0.2291-2.72%0.1078✓0.87527k2022-10-12
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19160.191921+0.17%0.1135-40.76%0.5035✗0.1483k2022-10-12
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.4161.5273+0.19%52.23-14.95%0.0005✓1.0414.0M2022-10-12
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0220180.022096+0.36%0.018543-15.78%0.0783✗0.6212k2022-10-12
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.4080.409661+0.41%0.3171-22.28%0.0858✗1.09202k2022-10-12
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04930.049584+0.58%0.0378-23.33%0.1382✗0.85145k2022-10-12
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09150.092145+0.71%0.0807-11.80%0.0214✓0.9814k2022-10-12
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071990.072656+0.92%0.06138-14.74%0.0120✗1.0025k2022-10-12
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.316230.319236+0.95%0.33712+6.61%0.1629✓0.69326k2022-10-12
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012940.013071+1.01%0.01098-15.15%0.0718✗0.65233k2022-10-12
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06670.067411+1.07%0.0689+3.30%0.1860✓1.0579k2022-10-12
TRXTRONTron0.0638830.064722+1.31%0.061673-3.46%0.0247✓0.47123k2022-10-12
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6480.658619+1.64%0.57-12.04%0.0156✓1.02178k2022-10-12
DKAdKargoEthereum0.047470.048319+1.79%0.03857-18.75%0.1237✗0.6514k2022-10-12
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024880.02534+1.85%0.02169-12.82%0.0138✓1.082,9582022-10-12
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.172560.175782+1.87%0.1565-9.31%0.0031✓0.765152022-10-12
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.