HIVE

Hive · native · beta_5y

token id: #559
symbol: HIVE
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,307

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

71.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0945

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0247

actual -0.0514

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.05105	0.046963	-8.01%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-21	oos	0.05055	0.046478	-8.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.05045	0.046429	-7.97%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04885	0.045028	-7.82%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.04855	0.044853	-7.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.04985	0.046182	-7.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.85
2026-10-16	oos	0.05155	0.04794	-7.00%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-15	oos	0.05165	0.048235	-6.61%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	0.05155	0.048265	-6.37%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.05265	0.049607	-5.78%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05215	0.049164	-5.73%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.05615	0.052876	-5.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.79
2026-10-10	oos	0.05585	0.052676	-5.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-09	oos	0.05535	0.052318	-5.48%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-08	oos	0.0534	0.050681	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.78
2026-10-07	oos	0.05495	0.052049	-5.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	0.05755	0.0543	-5.65%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-05	oos	0.05785	0.054231	-6.26%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-04	oos	0.05795	0.054437	-6.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-10-03	oos	0.05655	0.053047	-6.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0562	0.052785	-6.08%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.05675	0.053164	-6.32%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.05675	0.053079	-6.47%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-09-29	oos	0.05585	0.05219	-6.55%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-28	oos	0.05595	0.052341	-6.45%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-09-27	oos	0.0596	0.05548	-6.91%	–	pending	–	–	0.76
2026-09-26	oos	0.05995	0.055975	-6.63%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-09-25	oos	0.05785	0.054271	-6.19%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.0576	0.054383	-5.59%	–	pending	–	–	0.74
2026-09-23	oos	0.0541	0.051469	-4.86%	–	pending	–	–	0.75
2026-09-22	oos	0.05615	0.053639	-4.47%	0.05105	-9.08%	0.0330	✓	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	0.05555	0.053538	-3.62%	0.05055	-9.00%	0.0250	✓	0.70
2026-09-20	oos	0.05375	0.051324	-4.51%	0.05045	-6.14%	0.0330	✓	0.73
2026-09-19	oos	0.05505	0.052398	-4.82%	0.04885	-11.26%	0.0755	✓	0.73
2026-09-18	oos	0.05345	0.051412	-3.81%	0.04855	-9.17%	0.0674	✓	0.73
2026-09-17	oos	0.0513	0.049141	-4.21%	0.04985	-2.83%	0.0323	✓	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.0523	0.050251	-3.92%	0.05155	-1.43%	0.0236	✓	0.72
2026-09-15	oos	0.0544	0.051997	-4.42%	0.05165	-5.06%	0.0681	✓	0.74
2026-09-14	oos	0.0524	0.051001	-2.67%	0.05155	-1.62%	0.0231	✓	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.05105	0.049781	-2.49%	0.05265	+3.13%	0.0060	✓	0.79
2026-09-12	oos	0.04885	0.047964	-1.81%	0.05215	+6.76%	0.0385	✗	0.80
2026-09-11	oos	0.04565	0.045354	-0.65%	0.05615	+23.00%	0.1492	✗	0.80
2026-09-10	oos	0.04375	0.043664	-0.20%	0.05585	+27.66%	0.1833	✗	0.79
2026-09-09	oos	0.0456	0.0458	+0.44%	0.05535	+21.38%	0.1485	✓	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.04565	0.046112	+1.01%	0.0534	+16.98%	0.1135	✓	0.82
2026-09-07	oos	0.0456	0.04687	+2.78%	0.05495	+20.50%	0.1170	✓	0.82
2026-09-06	oos	0.04685	0.048616	+3.77%	0.05755	+22.84%	0.1168	✓	0.83
2026-09-05	oos	0.04675	0.048958	+4.72%	0.05785	+23.74%	0.1075	✓	0.83
2026-09-04	oos	0.04645	0.049763	+7.13%	0.05795	+24.76%	0.0876	✓	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.04615	0.050201	+8.78%	0.05655	+22.54%	0.0854	✓	0.80
2026-09-02	oos	0.0442	0.046859	+6.02%	0.0562	+27.15%	0.1045	✓	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	0.04375	0.046202	+5.60%	0.05675	+29.71%	0.1252	✓	0.88
2026-08-31	oos	0.04335	0.04589	+5.86%	0.05675	+30.91%	0.1582	✓	0.88
2026-08-30	oos	0.042	0.04474	+6.52%	0.05585	+32.98%	0.1651	✓	0.76
2026-08-29	oos	0.04285	0.045644	+6.52%	0.05595	+30.57%	0.1496	✓	0.84
2026-08-28	oos	0.04325	0.046665	+7.89%	0.0596	+37.80%	0.1774	✓	0.82
2026-08-27	oos	0.04395	0.048401	+10.13%	0.05995	+36.41%	0.1720	✓	0.83
2026-08-26	oos	0.0436	0.048027	+10.15%	0.05785	+32.68%	0.1342	✓	0.83
2026-08-25	oos	0.0419	0.046182	+10.22%	0.0576	+37.47%	0.1609	✓	0.83
2026-08-24	oos	0.04285	0.047124	+9.98%	0.0541	+26.25%	0.0832	✓	0.83
2026-08-23	oos	0.04395	0.047601	+8.31%	0.05615	+27.76%	0.0773	✓	0.85
2026-08-22	oos	0.0438	0.047228	+7.83%	0.05555	+26.83%	0.0626	✓	0.85
2026-08-21	oos	0.04515	0.04871	+7.88%	0.05375	+19.05%	0.0684	✓	0.85
2026-08-20	oos	0.0421	0.043543	+3.43%	0.05505	+30.76%	0.1458	✓	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.04015	0.040045	-0.26%	0.05345	+33.13%	0.1629	✗	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	0.03805	0.037176	-2.30%	0.0513	+34.82%	0.1871	✗	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.03865	0.037813	-2.16%	0.0523	+35.32%	0.1874	✗	0.82
2026-08-16	oos	0.03885	0.037766	-2.79%	0.0544	+40.03%	0.2085	✗	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	0.03935	0.038296	-2.68%	0.0524	+33.16%	0.1319	✗	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.0392	0.038108	-2.79%	0.05105	+30.23%	0.1240	✗	0.85
2026-08-13	oos	0.0396	0.038645	-2.41%	0.04885	+23.36%	0.0668	✗	0.85
2026-08-12	oos	0.03955	0.038593	-2.42%	0.04565	+15.42%	0.0028	✓	0.87
2026-08-11	oos	0.04015	0.039103	-2.61%	0.04375	+8.97%	0.0518	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.04095	0.039778	-2.86%	0.0456	+11.36%	0.0469	✓	0.90
2026-08-09	oos	0.0416	0.040381	-2.93%	0.04565	+9.74%	0.0485	✓	0.90
2026-08-08	oos	0.04185	0.04057	-3.06%	0.0456	+8.96%	0.0605	✓	0.90
2026-08-07	oos	0.04145	0.040244	-2.91%	0.04685	+13.03%	0.0384	✓	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.0414	0.040093	-3.16%	0.04675	+12.92%	0.0388	✓	0.89
2026-08-05	oos	0.04165	0.040317	-3.20%	0.04645	+11.52%	0.0451	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.04135	0.039985	-3.30%	0.04615	+11.61%	0.0686	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.04185	0.040313	-3.67%	0.0442	+5.62%	0.0799	✓	0.87
2026-08-02	oos	0.04245	0.040816	-3.85%	0.04375	+3.06%	0.1241	✓	0.98
2026-08-01	oos	0.04175	0.040123	-3.90%	0.04335	+3.83%	0.1391	✓	0.96
2026-07-31	oos	0.04245	0.04073	-4.05%	0.042	-1.06%	0.1739	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0425	0.04105	-3.41%	0.04285	+0.82%	0.1456	✓	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	0.04215	0.040548	-3.80%	0.04325	+2.61%	0.1293	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	0.04395	0.042305	-3.74%	0.04395	+0.00%	0.1866	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	0.0439	0.042327	-3.58%	0.0436	-0.68%	0.1824	✓	0.98
2026-07-26	oos	0.0473	0.045659	-3.47%	0.0419	-11.42%	0.2584	✓	0.94
2026-07-25	oos	0.04705	0.045409	-3.49%	0.04285	-8.93%	0.2536	✓	0.95
2026-07-24	oos	0.04615	0.044637	-3.28%	0.04395	-4.77%	0.1968	✓	0.94
2026-07-23	oos	0.0469	0.045434	-3.13%	0.0438	-6.61%	0.1961	✓	0.94
2026-07-22	oos	0.04805	0.046668	-2.88%	0.04515	-6.04%	0.1918	✓	0.93
2026-07-21	oos	0.04875	0.047367	-2.84%	0.0421	-13.64%	0.2049	✓	0.93
2026-07-20	oos	0.0482	0.046676	-3.16%	0.04015	-16.70%	0.2059	✓	0.91
2026-07-19	oos	0.04795	0.046408	-3.22%	0.03805	-20.65%	0.1986	✓	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.04795	0.046524	-2.97%	0.03865	-19.40%	0.1809	✓	0.91
2026-07-17	oos	0.04845	0.046878	-3.24%	0.03885	-19.81%	0.1719	✓	0.96
2026-07-16	oos	0.0484	0.046887	-3.13%	0.03935	-18.70%	0.1641	✓	0.94
2026-07-15	oos	0.04945	0.047993	-2.95%	0.0392	-20.73%	0.1764	✓	0.95
2026-07-14	oos	0.0493	0.047981	-2.68%	0.0396	-19.68%	0.1686	✓	0.96
2026-07-13	oos	0.0482	0.046589	-3.34%	0.03955	-17.95%	0.1819	✓	0.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.04885	0.047411	-2.95%	0.04015	-17.81%	0.1630	✓	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.04945	0.047849	-3.24%	0.04095	-17.19%	0.1578	✓	0.97
2026-07-10	oos	0.0493	0.047709	-3.23%	0.0416	-15.62%	0.1477	✓	0.96
2026-07-09	oos	0.0488	0.047118	-3.45%	0.04185	-14.24%	0.1445	✓	0.96
2026-07-08	oos	0.0487	0.046934	-3.63%	0.04145	-14.89%	0.1642	✓	0.96
2026-07-07	oos	0.04885	0.047235	-3.31%	0.0414	-15.25%	0.1462	✓	0.97
2026-07-06	oos	0.0504	0.048656	-3.46%	0.04165	-17.36%	0.1645	✓	0.97
2026-07-05	oos	0.0507	0.048835	-3.68%	0.04135	-18.44%	0.1734	✓	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.05185	0.049721	-4.11%	0.04185	-19.29%	0.1781	✓	0.96
2026-07-03	oos	0.0516	0.049311	-4.44%	0.04245	-17.73%	0.1644	✓	0.94
2026-07-02	oos	0.0504	0.048219	-4.33%	0.04175	-17.16%	0.1633	✓	0.93
2026-07-01	oos	0.0504	0.048111	-4.54%	0.04245	-15.77%	0.1696	✓	0.95
2026-06-30	oos	0.0481	0.046086	-4.19%	0.0425	-11.64%	0.1749	✓	0.93
2026-06-29	oos	0.0506	0.048449	-4.25%	0.04215	-16.70%	0.1943	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.0514	0.049029	-4.61%	0.04395	-14.49%	0.1741	✓	0.91
2026-06-27	oos	0.0501	0.04797	-4.25%	0.0439	-12.38%	0.1445	✓	0.92
2026-06-26	oos	0.0503	0.048092	-4.39%	0.0473	-5.96%	0.0951	✓	0.92
2026-06-25	oos	0.0491	0.046992	-4.29%	0.04705	-4.18%	0.0667	✓	0.92
2026-06-24	oos	0.0479	0.046091	-3.78%	0.04615	-3.65%	0.0459	✓	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.04835	0.046621	-3.58%	0.0469	-3.00%	0.0303	✓	0.96
2026-06-22	oos	0.0496	0.047762	-3.71%	0.04805	-3.12%	0.0254	✓	0.96
2026-06-21	oos	0.049	0.047143	-3.79%	0.04875	-0.51%	0.0146	✓	0.95
2026-06-20	oos	0.04945	0.04755	-3.84%	0.0482	-2.53%	0.0009	✓	0.94
2026-06-19	oos	0.04845	0.046634	-3.75%	0.04795	-1.03%	0.0101	✓	0.94
2026-06-18	oos	0.05005	0.047986	-4.12%	0.04795	-4.20%	0.0299	✓	0.97
2026-06-17	oos	0.0517	0.049398	-4.45%	0.04845	-6.29%	0.0110	✓	0.97
2026-06-16	oos	0.05125	0.04896	-4.47%	0.0484	-5.56%	0.0166	✓	0.99
2026-06-15	oos	0.0514	0.04903	-4.61%	0.04945	-3.79%	0.0322	✓	0.99
2026-06-14	oos	0.05065	0.048298	-4.64%	0.0493	-2.67%	0.0313	✓	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0504	0.047982	-4.80%	0.0482	-4.37%	0.0383	✓	0.99
2026-06-12	oos	0.05075	0.048201	-5.02%	0.04885	-3.74%	0.0102	✓	0.99
2026-06-11	oos	0.0521	0.049197	-5.57%	0.04945	-5.09%	0.0019	✓	0.99
2026-06-10	oos	0.0484	0.045914	-5.14%	0.0493	+1.86%	0.0306	✓	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	0.04705	0.044807	-4.77%	0.0488	+3.72%	0.0627	✗	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	0.0492	0.046732	-5.02%	0.0487	-1.02%	0.0537	✗	0.94
2026-06-07	oos	0.0502	0.047581	-5.22%	0.04885	-2.69%	0.0260	✓	0.93
2026-06-06	oos	0.0508	0.048074	-5.37%	0.0504	-0.79%	0.0015	✓	0.97
2026-06-05	oos	0.0511	0.048405	-5.27%	0.0507	-0.78%	0.0071	✓	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.0561	0.052632	-6.18%	0.05185	-7.58%	0.0048	✓	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.0585	0.05465	-6.58%	0.0516	-11.79%	0.0362	✓	0.88
2026-06-02	oos	0.0604	0.056257	-6.86%	0.0504	-16.56%	0.0386	✓	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	0.0605	0.056709	-6.27%	0.0504	-16.69%	0.0419	✓	0.92
2026-05-31	oos	0.0684	0.062919	-8.01%	0.0481	-29.68%	0.0765	✓	0.84
2026-05-30	oos	0.0583	0.0551	-5.49%	0.0506	-13.21%	0.0856	✗	0.84
2026-05-29	oos	0.05795	0.054794	-5.45%	0.0514	-11.30%	0.1128	✗	0.84
2026-05-28	oos	0.05815	0.055009	-5.40%	0.0501	-13.84%	0.0777	✗	0.84
2026-05-27	oos	0.06	0.056757	-5.40%	0.0503	-16.17%	0.0599	✗	0.84
2026-05-26	oos	0.061	0.058006	-4.91%	0.0491	-19.51%	0.0334	✓	0.84
2026-05-25	oos	0.0631	0.060062	-4.81%	0.0479	-24.09%	0.0322	✓	0.82
2026-05-24	oos	0.06005	0.057386	-4.44%	0.04835	-19.48%	0.0030	✓	0.82
2026-05-23	oos	0.0612	0.058128	-5.02%	0.0496	-18.95%	0.0109	✓	0.82
2026-05-22	oos	0.0591	0.056015	-5.22%	0.049	-17.09%	0.0095	✓	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.06035	0.057622	-4.52%	0.04945	-18.06%	0.0006	✓	0.81
2026-05-20	oos	0.05955	0.056987	-4.30%	0.04845	-18.64%	0.0005	✓	0.81
2026-05-19	oos	0.0582	0.055773	-4.17%	0.05005	-14.00%	0.0529	✗	0.81
2026-05-18	oos	0.0594	0.057043	-3.97%	0.0517	-12.96%	0.0469	✗	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	0.0581	0.056178	-3.31%	0.05125	-11.79%	0.0433	✗	0.82
2026-05-16	oos	0.0603	0.058302	-3.31%	0.0514	-14.76%	0.0072	✓	0.81
2026-05-15	oos	0.0612	0.059511	-2.76%	0.05065	-17.24%	0.0082	✓	0.83
2026-05-14	oos	0.0642	0.063027	-1.83%	0.0504	-21.50%	0.0354	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.06215	0.060599	-2.50%	0.05075	-18.34%	0.0015	✓	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.0669	0.065464	-2.15%	0.0521	-22.12%	0.0453	✓	0.78
2026-05-11	oos	0.0672	0.066547	-0.97%	0.0484	-27.98%	0.1020	✓	0.76
2026-05-10	oos	0.0667	0.066262	-0.66%	0.04705	-29.46%	0.1213	✓	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.0662	0.065136	-1.61%	0.0492	-25.68%	0.0911	✓	0.77
2026-05-08	oos	0.0676	0.06616	-2.13%	0.0502	-25.74%	0.0992	✓	0.75
2026-05-07	oos	0.0663	0.064954	-2.03%	0.0508	-23.38%	0.0485	✓	0.72
2026-05-06	oos	0.0677	0.06667	-1.52%	0.0511	-24.52%	0.0480	✓	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.0733	0.07032	-4.07%	0.0561	-23.47%	0.0208	✓	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.0595	0.058831	-1.12%	0.0585	-1.68%	0.1773	✗	0.83
2026-05-03	oos	0.0596	0.058455	-1.92%	0.0604	+1.34%	0.1672	✗	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.0603	0.059196	-1.83%	0.0605	+0.33%	0.1023	✗	0.82
2026-05-01	oos	0.0595	0.058708	-1.33%	0.0684	+14.96%	0.2029	✗	0.82
2026-04-30	oos	0.05905	0.05768	-2.32%	0.0583	-1.27%	0.0387	✗	0.83
2026-04-29	oos	0.0595	0.058046	-2.44%	0.05795	-2.61%	0.0249	✗	0.83
2026-04-28	oos	0.0606	0.059337	-2.08%	0.05815	-4.04%	0.0114	✓	0.84
2026-04-27	oos	0.0605	0.05986	-1.06%	0.06	-0.83%	0.0363	✗	0.85
2026-04-26	oos	0.0624	0.062086	-0.50%	0.061	-2.24%	0.0135	✗	0.84
2026-04-25	oos	0.06275	0.062033	-1.14%	0.0631	+0.56%	0.0215	✗	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.0615	0.060935	-0.92%	0.06005	-2.36%	0.0093	✓	0.85
2026-04-23	oos	0.06145	0.061517	+0.11%	0.0612	-0.41%	0.0128	✓	0.85
2026-04-22	oos	0.06095	0.061077	+0.21%	0.0591	-3.04%	0.0023	✗	0.85
2026-04-21	oos	0.0616	0.060942	-1.07%	0.06035	-2.03%	0.0231	✓	0.86
2026-04-20	oos	0.06175	0.060928	-1.33%	0.05955	-3.56%	0.0410	✓	0.86
2026-04-19	oos	0.0602	0.059205	-1.65%	0.0582	-3.32%	0.0512	✓	0.87
2026-04-18	oos	0.0646	0.063446	-1.79%	0.0594	-8.05%	0.0795	✓	0.86
2026-04-17	oos	0.0641	0.063249	-1.33%	0.0581	-9.36%	0.0884	✓	0.87
2026-04-16	oos	0.06175	0.060485	-2.05%	0.0603	-2.35%	0.0362	✓	0.86
2026-04-15	oos	0.0596	0.058418	-1.98%	0.0612	+2.68%	0.0007	✓	0.86
2026-04-14	oos	0.05845	0.057182	-2.17%	0.0642	+9.84%	0.0393	✗	0.86
2026-04-13	oos	0.0602	0.058723	-2.45%	0.06215	+3.24%	0.0028	✓	0.86
2026-04-12	oos	0.0585	0.056541	-3.35%	0.0669	+14.36%	0.0560	✗	0.87
2026-04-11	oos	0.0597	0.057983	-2.88%	0.0672	+12.56%	0.0498	✗	0.87
2026-04-10	oos	0.0603	0.058676	-2.69%	0.0667	+10.61%	0.0248	✓	0.87
2026-04-09	oos	0.0599	0.058232	-2.78%	0.0662	+10.52%	0.0268	✓	0.87
2026-04-08	oos	0.059	0.057346	-2.80%	0.0676	+14.58%	0.0596	✗	0.87
2026-04-07	oos	0.06045	0.058688	-2.91%	0.0663	+9.68%	0.0292	✓	0.87
2026-04-06	oos	0.0586	0.056479	-3.62%	0.0677	+15.53%	0.0387	✗	0.85
2026-04-05	oos	0.0586	0.056434	-3.70%	0.0733	+25.09%	0.1264	✗	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.05905	0.056659	-4.05%	0.0595	+0.76%	0.0984	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0597	0.057157	-4.26%	0.0596	-0.17%	0.0958	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.0572	0.054913	-4.00%	0.0603	+5.42%	0.0459	✓	0.86
2026-04-01	oos	0.058	0.055776	-3.84%	0.0595	+2.59%	0.0548	✓	0.86
2026-03-31	oos	0.057	0.054896	-3.69%	0.05905	+3.60%	0.0234	✓	0.86
2026-03-30	oos	0.0568	0.054637	-3.81%	0.0595	+4.75%	0.0246	✓	0.87
2026-03-29	oos	0.05625	0.054036	-3.94%	0.0606	+7.73%	0.0104	✓	0.86
2026-03-28	oos	0.0578	0.055716	-3.61%	0.0605	+4.67%	0.0489	✓	0.85
2026-03-27	oos	0.0581	0.056163	-3.33%	0.0624	+7.40%	0.0402	✓	0.85
2026-03-26	oos	0.06065	0.05931	-2.21%	0.06275	+3.46%	0.0475	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.0626	0.061884	-1.14%	0.0615	-1.76%	0.0771	✓	0.86
2026-03-24	oos	0.0627	0.062269	-0.69%	0.06145	-1.99%	0.1026	✓	0.86
2026-03-23	oos	0.06175	0.061757	+0.01%	0.06095	-1.30%	0.0975	✗	0.86
2026-03-22	oos	0.05985	0.059124	-1.21%	0.0616	+2.92%	0.0604	✓	0.86
2026-03-21	oos	0.0609	0.060683	-0.36%	0.06175	+1.40%	0.0653	✓	0.86
2026-03-20	oos	0.0643	0.064491	+0.30%	0.0602	-6.38%	0.1081	✗	0.85
2026-03-19	oos	0.06275	0.063115	+0.58%	0.0646	+2.95%	0.0446	✗	0.85
2026-03-18	oos	0.06425	0.065214	+1.50%	0.0641	-0.23%	0.0850	✗	0.86
2026-03-17	oos	0.0671	0.068755	+2.47%	0.06175	-7.97%	0.1216	✗	0.86
2026-03-16	oos	0.0654	0.067226	+2.79%	0.0596	-8.87%	0.1198	✗	0.87
2026-03-15	oos	0.0635	0.064864	+2.15%	0.05845	-7.95%	0.1199	✗	0.86
2026-03-14	oos	0.06255	0.06361	+1.69%	0.0602	-3.76%	0.0933	✗	0.87
2026-03-13	oos	0.0627	0.063457	+1.21%	0.0585	-6.70%	0.0790	✗	0.87
2026-03-12	oos	0.0633	0.063855	+0.88%	0.0597	-5.69%	0.0983	✗	0.87
2026-03-11	oos	0.0636	0.064081	+0.76%	0.0603	-5.19%	0.0947	✗	0.87
2026-03-10	oos	0.0621	0.062534	+0.70%	0.0599	-3.54%	0.0655	✗	0.87
2026-03-09	oos	0.0622	0.062297	+0.16%	0.059	-5.14%	0.0876	✗	0.87
2026-03-08	oos	0.061	0.060575	-0.70%	0.06045	-0.90%	0.0782	✓	0.88
2026-03-07	oos	0.0613	0.06098	-0.52%	0.0586	-4.40%	0.0606	✓	0.89
2026-03-06	oos	0.0623	0.062141	-0.26%	0.0586	-5.94%	0.0702	✓	0.88
2026-03-05	oos	0.0639	0.064138	+0.37%	0.05905	-7.59%	0.0366	✗	0.89
2026-03-04	oos	0.0649	0.065507	+0.94%	0.0597	-8.01%	0.0201	✗	0.89
2026-03-03	oos	0.0641	0.064123	+0.04%	0.0572	-10.76%	0.0946	✗	0.92
2026-03-02	oos	0.06555	0.065563	+0.02%	0.058	-11.52%	0.1129	✗	0.92
2026-03-01	oos	0.0641	0.063594	-0.79%	0.057	-11.08%	0.1437	✓	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	0.0658	0.065232	-0.86%	0.0568	-13.68%	0.1352	✓	0.94
2026-02-27	oos	0.06555	0.064734	-1.24%	0.05625	-14.19%	0.1419	✓	0.94
2026-02-26	oos	0.0683	0.067259	-1.52%	0.0578	-15.37%	0.1351	✓	0.94
2026-02-25	oos	0.0663	0.065384	-1.38%	0.0581	-12.37%	0.0951	✓	0.94
2026-02-24	oos	0.06355	0.062281	-2.00%	0.06065	-4.56%	0.0941	✓	0.95
2026-02-23	oos	0.0636	0.062515	-1.71%	0.0626	-1.57%	0.0911	✓	0.94
2026-02-22	oos	0.066	0.06517	-1.26%	0.0627	-5.00%	0.0785	✓	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.06845	0.067409	-1.52%	0.06175	-9.79%	0.1276	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0684	0.067287	-1.63%	0.05985	-12.50%	0.1152	✓	0.94
2026-02-19	oos	0.0684	0.06702	-2.02%	0.0609	-10.96%	0.1227	✓	0.95
2026-02-18	oos	0.06855	0.067122	-2.08%	0.0643	-6.20%	0.0997	✓	0.95
2026-02-17	oos	0.072	0.070217	-2.48%	0.06275	-12.85%	0.1455	✓	0.93
2026-02-16	oos	0.0724	0.070671	-2.39%	0.06425	-11.26%	0.1269	✓	0.93
2026-02-15	oos	0.0719	0.070174	-2.40%	0.0671	-6.68%	0.1119	✓	0.93
2026-02-14	oos	0.0763	0.073863	-3.19%	0.0654	-14.29%	0.1868	✓	0.92
2026-02-13	oos	0.0739	0.071658	-3.03%	0.0635	-14.07%	0.1732	✓	0.92
2026-02-12	oos	0.07205	0.0698	-3.12%	0.06255	-13.19%	0.1775	✓	0.93
2026-02-11	oos	0.0711	0.06896	-3.01%	0.0627	-11.81%	0.1466	✓	0.91
2026-02-10	oos	0.07045	0.068411	-2.89%	0.0633	-10.15%	0.1005	✓	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.073	0.07056	-3.34%	0.0636	-12.88%	0.1052	✓	0.92
2026-02-08	oos	0.0716	0.069227	-3.31%	0.0621	-13.27%	0.1044	✓	0.92
2026-02-07	oos	0.0768	0.073445	-4.37%	0.0622	-19.01%	0.1550	✓	0.94
2026-02-06	oos	0.0736	0.070635	-4.03%	0.061	-17.12%	0.0831	✓	0.95
2026-02-05	oos	0.0666	0.06517	-2.15%	0.0613	-7.96%	0.1278	✓	0.97
2026-02-04	oos	0.0789	0.074965	-4.99%	0.0623	-21.04%	0.1200	✓	0.94
2026-02-03	oos	0.0809	0.076491	-5.45%	0.0639	-21.01%	0.1193	✓	0.93
2026-02-02	oos	0.0816	0.077058	-5.57%	0.0649	-20.47%	0.0953	✓	0.97
2026-02-01	oos	0.0801	0.075617	-5.60%	0.0641	-19.98%	0.0504	✓	0.97
2026-01-31	oos	0.0812	0.07662	-5.64%	0.06555	-19.27%	0.0167	✓	1.05
2026-01-30	oos	0.08735	0.082427	-5.64%	0.0641	-26.62%	0.0047	✓	1.04
2026-01-29	oos	0.0871	0.082322	-5.49%	0.0658	-24.45%	0.0198	✓	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.09345	0.088886	-4.88%	0.06555	-29.86%	0.0070	✓	1.03
2026-01-27	oos	0.0946	0.09004	-4.82%	0.0683	-27.80%	0.0148	✓	1.05
2026-01-26	oos	0.0928	0.088225	-4.93%	0.0663	-28.56%	0.0163	✓	1.03
2026-01-25	oos	0.0914	0.086821	-5.01%	0.06355	-30.47%	0.0000	✓	1.04
2026-01-24	oos	0.0953	0.090921	-4.59%	0.0636	-33.26%	0.0267	✓	1.03
2026-01-23	oos	0.0947	0.090825	-4.09%	0.066	-30.31%	0.0293	✓	1.04
2026-01-22	oos	0.09465	0.090775	-4.09%	0.06845	-27.68%	0.0015	✓	1.03
2026-01-21	oos	0.0968	0.092701	-4.23%	0.0684	-29.34%	0.0214	✓	1.03
2026-01-20	oos	0.094	0.089969	-4.29%	0.0684	-27.23%	0.0102	✓	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.1001	0.0968	-3.30%	0.06855	-31.52%	0.0087	✓	1.01
2026-01-18	oos	0.1021	0.09873	-3.30%	0.072	-29.48%	0.0178	✓	1.02
2026-01-17	oos	0.1067	0.103275	-3.21%	0.0724	-32.15%	0.0332	✓	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.1066	0.103207	-3.18%	0.0719	-32.55%	0.0322	✓	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.10445	0.101615	-2.71%	0.0763	-26.95%	0.0295	✗	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.1084	0.105776	-2.42%	0.0739	-31.83%	0.0181	✓	0.99
2026-01-13	oos	0.1093	0.106027	-2.99%	0.07205	-34.08%	0.0163	✓	1.01
2026-01-12	oos	0.1039	0.100115	-3.64%	0.0711	-31.57%	0.0300	✓	1.01
2026-01-11	oos	0.106	0.101871	-3.89%	0.07045	-33.54%	0.0834	✓	1.03
2026-01-10	oos	0.1103	0.105409	-4.43%	0.073	-33.82%	0.1028	✓	1.04
2026-01-09	oos	0.1082	0.103444	-4.40%	0.0716	-33.83%	0.0942	✓	1.08
2026-01-08	oos	0.1098	0.104987	-4.38%	0.0768	-30.05%	0.0194	✓	1.07
2026-01-07	oos	0.1084	0.103914	-4.14%	0.0736	-32.10%	0.0170	✓	1.40
2026-01-06	oos	0.1026	0.099494	-3.03%	0.0666	-35.09%	0.1823	✗	1.46
2026-01-05	oos	0.102	0.099047	-2.90%	0.0789	-22.65%	0.1394	✗	1.46
2026-01-04	oos	0.0992	0.096066	-3.16%	0.0809	-18.45%	0.1064	✗	1.46
2026-01-03	oos	0.0988	0.095887	-2.95%	0.0816	-17.41%	0.0467	✗	1.47
2026-01-02	oos	0.0985	0.095695	-2.85%	0.0801	-18.68%	0.0525	✗	1.47
2026-01-01	oos	0.0967	0.094038	-2.75%	0.0812	-16.03%	0.0300	✗	1.46
2025-12-31	oos	0.0965	0.093889	-2.71%	0.08735	-9.48%	0.0143	✓	1.47
2025-12-30	oos	0.1011	0.09846	-2.61%	0.0871	-13.85%	0.0571	✓	1.46
2025-12-29	oos	0.1048	0.101306	-3.33%	0.09345	-10.83%	0.1150	✓	1.47
2025-12-28	oos	0.0991	0.096406	-2.72%	0.0946	-4.54%	0.0397	✓	1.48
2025-12-27	oos	0.095	0.092689	-2.43%	0.0928	-2.32%	0.0061	✓	1.46
2025-12-26	oos	0.09	0.088052	-2.16%	0.0914	+1.56%	0.0495	✗	1.44
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.088828	-2.28%	0.0953	+4.84%	0.0391	✗	1.44
2025-12-24	oos	0.0922	0.090239	-2.13%	0.0947	+2.71%	0.0178	✓	1.45
2025-12-23	oos	0.09415	0.092071	-2.21%	0.09465	+0.53%	0.0057	✓	1.45
2025-12-22	oos	0.0955	0.093376	-2.22%	0.0968	+1.36%	0.0229	✗	1.45
2025-12-21	oos	0.0884	0.086895	-1.70%	0.094	+6.33%	0.0840	✗	1.44
2025-12-20	oos	0.08965	0.087808	-2.05%	0.1001	+11.66%	0.0627	✗	1.46
2025-12-19	oos	0.0899	0.088141	-1.96%	0.1021	+13.57%	0.0581	✗	1.46
2025-12-18	oos	0.0854	0.08348	-2.25%	0.1067	+24.94%	0.0903	✗	1.45
2025-12-17	oos	0.08915	0.087024	-2.38%	0.1066	+19.57%	0.0545	✗	1.45
2025-12-16	oos	0.0938	0.091532	-2.42%	0.10445	+11.35%	0.0102	✓	1.44
2025-12-15	oos	0.0947	0.09194	-2.91%	0.1084	+14.47%	0.0029	✓	1.46
2025-12-14	oos	0.09845	0.095531	-2.96%	0.1093	+11.02%	0.0206	✓	1.45
2025-12-13	oos	0.1024	0.099521	-2.81%	0.1039	+1.46%	0.0282	✓	1.45
2025-12-12	oos	0.10175	0.099091	-2.61%	0.106	+4.18%	0.0579	✗	1.45
2025-12-11	oos	0.1031	0.100588	-2.44%	0.1103	+6.98%	0.1268	✗	1.46
2025-12-10	oos	0.1031	0.100299	-2.72%	0.1082	+4.95%	0.1002	✗	1.46
2025-12-09	oos	0.1059	0.102862	-2.87%	0.1098	+3.68%	0.0917	✗	1.46
2025-12-08	oos	0.1024	0.099447	-2.88%	0.1084	+5.86%	0.0763	✗	1.44
2025-12-07	oos	0.1009	0.098135	-2.74%	0.1026	+1.68%	0.0075	✓	1.44
2025-12-06	oos	0.1047	0.101384	-3.17%	0.102	-2.58%	0.0674	✓	1.46
2025-12-05	oos	0.1028	0.09982	-2.90%	0.0992	-3.50%	0.0409	✓	1.46
2025-12-04	oos	0.1056	0.10265	-2.79%	0.0988	-6.44%	0.0141	✓	1.47
2025-12-03	oos	0.1081	0.104927	-2.93%	0.0985	-8.88%	0.0070	✓	1.48
2025-12-02	oos	0.1063	0.103146	-2.97%	0.0967	-9.03%	0.0222	✓	1.48
2025-12-01	oos	0.1008	0.097689	-3.09%	0.0965	-4.27%	0.0336	✓	1.53
2025-11-30	oos	0.1069	0.103562	-3.12%	0.1011	-5.43%	0.0100	✓	1.54
2025-11-29	oos	0.1088	0.105338	-3.18%	0.1048	-3.68%	0.0591	✗	1.54
2025-11-28	oos	0.1091	0.105578	-3.23%	0.0991	-9.17%	0.0113	✓	1.54
2025-11-27	oos	0.1102	0.106471	-3.38%	0.095	-13.79%	0.0538	✓	1.54
2025-11-26	oos	0.107	0.103487	-3.28%	0.09	-15.89%	0.0857	✓	1.51
2025-11-25	oos	0.10675	0.102837	-3.67%	0.0909	-14.85%	0.1206	✓	1.56
2025-11-24	oos	0.1064	0.10247	-3.69%	0.0922	-13.35%	0.0939	✓	1.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.1023	0.098586	-3.63%	0.09415	-7.97%	0.0572	✓	1.57
2025-11-22	oos	0.102	0.098097	-3.83%	0.0955	-6.37%	0.0982	✓	1.60
2025-11-21	oos	0.1023	0.098324	-3.89%	0.0884	-13.59%	0.1719	✓	1.59
2025-11-20	oos	0.1078	0.103003	-4.45%	0.08965	-16.84%	0.1712	✓	1.58
2025-11-19	oos	0.1102	0.10563	-4.15%	0.0899	-18.42%	0.0978	✓	1.69
2025-11-18	oos	0.111	0.106493	-4.06%	0.0854	-23.06%	0.0788	✓	1.70
2025-11-17	oos	0.1078	0.103482	-4.01%	0.08915	-17.30%	0.0368	✓	1.70
2025-11-16	oos	0.1099	0.105507	-4.00%	0.0938	-14.65%	0.0008	✓	1.70
2025-11-15	oos	0.1138	0.109143	-4.09%	0.0947	-16.78%	0.0286	✓	1.70
2025-11-14	oos	0.1124	0.107873	-4.03%	0.09845	-12.41%	0.0265	✓	1.70
2025-11-13	oos	0.1136	0.109785	-3.36%	0.1024	-9.86%	0.1103	✗	1.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1187	0.114901	-3.20%	0.10175	-14.28%	0.0940	✗	1.82
2025-11-11	oos	0.1196	0.115871	-3.12%	0.1031	-13.80%	0.0776	✗	1.81
2025-11-10	oos	0.1261	0.122427	-2.91%	0.1031	-18.24%	0.0808	✗	1.79
2025-11-09	oos	0.1244	0.120544	-3.10%	0.1059	-14.87%	0.0900	✗	1.80
2025-11-08	oos	0.1233	0.118827	-3.63%	0.1024	-16.95%	0.0715	✗	1.83
2025-11-07	oos	0.124	0.119524	-3.61%	0.1009	-18.63%	0.0693	✗	1.79
2025-11-06	oos	0.1119	0.10788	-3.59%	0.1047	-6.43%	0.1909	✗	1.75
2025-11-05	oos	0.1111	0.108078	-2.72%	0.1028	-7.47%	0.2183	✗	1.78
2025-11-04	oos	0.1068	0.103854	-2.76%	0.1056	-1.12%	0.1895	✗	1.78
2025-11-03	oos	0.1126	0.110852	-1.55%	0.1081	-4.00%	0.2166	✗	1.84
2025-11-02	oos	0.1278	0.125705	-1.64%	0.1063	-16.82%	0.1729	✗	1.78
2025-11-01	oos	0.1281	0.126127	-1.54%	0.1008	-21.31%	0.2109	✗	1.79
2025-10-31	oos	0.1237	0.122105	-1.29%	0.1069	-13.58%	0.2102	✗	1.78
2025-10-30	oos	0.1225	0.120844	-1.35%	0.1088	-11.18%	0.2096	✗	1.79
2025-10-29	oos	0.1309	0.128671	-1.70%	0.1091	-16.65%	0.1705	✗	1.76
2025-10-28	oos	0.1323	0.130285	-1.52%	0.1102	-16.70%	0.2145	✗	1.80
2025-10-27	oos	0.1349	0.1323	-1.93%	0.107	-20.68%	0.2054	✗	1.80
2025-10-26	oos	0.1407	0.136754	-2.80%	0.10675	-24.13%	0.2400	✗	1.80
2025-10-25	oos	0.1365	0.132383	-3.02%	0.1064	-22.05%	0.2091	✗	1.82
2025-10-24	oos	0.1379	0.133682	-3.06%	0.1023	-25.82%	0.1815	✗	1.82
2025-10-23	oos	0.1371	0.132873	-3.08%	0.102	-25.60%	0.2150	✗	1.83
2025-10-22	oos	0.1338	0.129766	-3.02%	0.1023	-23.54%	0.1932	✗	1.84
2025-10-21	oos	0.1366	0.132362	-3.10%	0.1078	-21.08%	0.2080	✗	1.84
2025-10-20	oos	0.1413	0.13663	-3.30%	0.1102	-22.01%	0.1359	✗	1.85
2025-10-19	oos	0.1419	0.136961	-3.48%	0.111	-21.78%	0.0810	✗	1.86
2025-10-18	oos	0.1382	0.133669	-3.28%	0.1078	-22.00%	0.0668	✗	1.86
2025-10-17	oos	0.1367	0.132318	-3.21%	0.1099	-19.60%	0.0408	✗	1.85
2025-10-16	oos	0.1379	0.133535	-3.17%	0.1138	-17.48%	0.0716	✗	1.86
2025-10-15	oos	0.1435	0.139474	-2.81%	0.1124	-21.67%	0.0799	✗	1.86
2025-10-14	oos	0.1494	0.14626	-2.10%	0.1136	-23.96%	0.0173	✓	1.86
2025-10-13	oos	0.1552	0.1528	-1.55%	0.1187	-23.52%	0.0183	✓	1.86
2025-10-12	oos	0.1486	0.146283	-1.56%	0.1196	-19.52%	0.0016	✓	1.83
2025-10-11	oos	0.1377	0.134284	-2.48%	0.1261	-8.42%	0.0174	✓	1.82
2025-10-10	oos	0.1381	0.135517	-1.87%	0.1244	-9.92%	0.0537	✗	1.83
2025-10-09	oos	0.182	0.179299	-1.48%	0.1233	-32.25%	0.1406	✓	1.34
2025-10-08	oos	0.1872	0.184411	-1.49%	0.124	-33.76%	0.1593	✓	1.34
2025-10-07	oos	0.18265	0.179261	-1.86%	0.1119	-38.74%	0.2370	✓	1.29
2025-10-06	oos	0.1907	0.188687	-1.06%	0.1111	-41.74%	0.2968	✓	1.27
2025-10-05	oos	0.1849	0.182807	-1.13%	0.1068	-42.24%	0.2876	✓	1.27
2025-10-04	oos	0.1866	0.184105	-1.34%	0.1126	-39.66%	0.3153	✓	1.27
2025-10-03	oos	0.1926	0.190087	-1.30%	0.1278	-33.64%	0.2683	✓	1.27
2025-10-02	oos	0.1918	0.189005	-1.46%	0.1281	-33.21%	0.2719	✓	1.28
2025-10-01	oos	0.1894	0.186592	-1.48%	0.1237	-34.69%	0.3083	✓	1.29
2025-09-30	oos	0.1807	0.176711	-2.21%	0.1225	-32.21%	0.2994	✓	1.29
2025-09-29	oos	0.1803	0.176313	-2.21%	0.1309	-27.40%	0.2450	✓	1.37
2025-09-28	oos	0.182	0.176538	-3.00%	0.1323	-27.31%	0.2974	✓	1.42
2025-09-27	oos	0.1793	0.172733	-3.66%	0.1349	-24.76%	0.3034	✓	1.43
2025-09-26	oos	0.1806	0.173706	-3.82%	0.1407	-22.09%	0.2727	✓	1.43
2025-09-25	oos	0.1762	0.169073	-4.04%	0.1365	-22.53%	0.2480	✓	1.43
2025-09-24	oos	0.1869	0.179273	-4.08%	0.1379	-26.22%	0.2331	✓	1.42
2025-09-23	oos	0.1858	0.177823	-4.29%	0.1371	-26.21%	0.2356	✓	1.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.1843	0.176239	-4.37%	0.1338	-27.40%	0.2090	✓	1.42
2025-09-21	oos	0.1974	0.188486	-4.52%	0.1366	-30.80%	0.2363	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.1992	0.190122	-4.56%	0.1413	-29.07%	0.2316	✓	1.42
2025-09-19	oos	0.19885	0.189745	-4.58%	0.1419	-28.64%	0.2013	✓	1.43
2025-09-18	oos	0.206	0.19669	-4.52%	0.1382	-32.91%	0.2265	✓	1.43

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.