HIVE

Hive · native · beta_5y

token id: #559
symbol: HIVE
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-21
predictions: 5,304

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

59.6%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0190

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0041

actual -0.0021

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.05105	0.050758	-0.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.84
2026-10-21	oos	0.05085	0.050552	-0.59%	0.05105	+0.39%	0.0079	✗	0.84
2026-10-20	oos	0.05045	0.050158	-0.58%	0.05085	+0.79%	0.0027	✓	0.85
2026-10-19	oos	0.04885	0.048614	-0.48%	0.05045	+3.28%	0.0258	✗	0.84
2026-10-18	oos	0.04855	0.048344	-0.42%	0.04885	+0.62%	0.0121	✗	0.84
2026-10-17	oos	0.04985	0.049641	-0.42%	0.04855	-2.61%	0.0287	✓	0.85
2026-10-16	oos	0.05155	0.051306	-0.47%	0.04985	-3.30%	0.0276	✓	0.84
2026-10-15	oos	0.05165	0.051415	-0.46%	0.05155	-0.19%	0.0090	✗	0.84
2026-10-14	oos	0.05155	0.051341	-0.40%	0.05165	+0.19%	0.0003	✓	0.84
2026-10-13	oos	0.05265	0.05243	-0.42%	0.05155	-2.09%	0.0013	✓	0.84
2026-10-12	oos	0.05215	0.051954	-0.38%	0.05265	+0.96%	0.0005	✓	0.84
2026-10-11	oos	0.05615	0.055865	-0.51%	0.05215	-7.12%	0.0504	✓	0.79
2026-10-10	oos	0.05585	0.055574	-0.49%	0.05615	+0.54%	0.0031	✓	0.78
2026-10-09	oos	0.05535	0.055092	-0.47%	0.05585	+0.90%	0.0102	✗	0.78
2026-10-08	oos	0.0534	0.053191	-0.39%	0.05535	+3.65%	0.0317	✗	0.78
2026-10-07	oos	0.05495	0.054707	-0.44%	0.0534	-2.82%	0.0094	✓	0.77
2026-10-06	oos	0.05755	0.057221	-0.57%	0.05495	-4.52%	0.0205	✓	0.74
2026-10-05	oos	0.05785	0.057493	-0.62%	0.05755	-0.52%	0.0028	✓	0.74
2026-10-04	oos	0.05795	0.05759	-0.62%	0.05785	-0.17%	0.0111	✗	0.75
2026-10-03	oos	0.05655	0.056212	-0.60%	0.05795	+2.48%	0.0151	✗	0.74
2026-10-02	oos	0.0562	0.055866	-0.59%	0.05655	+0.62%	0.0101	✗	0.74
2026-10-01	oos	0.05675	0.056402	-0.61%	0.0562	-0.97%	0.0006	✓	0.74
2026-09-30	oos	0.05675	0.056396	-0.62%	0.05675	+0.00%	0.0052	✓	0.75
2026-09-29	oos	0.05585	0.055528	-0.58%	0.05675	+1.61%	0.0225	✗	0.74
2026-09-28	oos	0.05595	0.05565	-0.54%	0.05585	-0.18%	0.0019	✓	0.76
2026-09-27	oos	0.0596	0.059223	-0.63%	0.05595	-6.12%	0.0478	✓	0.76
2026-09-26	oos	0.05995	0.059529	-0.70%	0.0596	-0.58%	0.0008	✓	0.75
2026-09-25	oos	0.05785	0.057464	-0.67%	0.05995	+3.63%	0.0395	✗	0.74
2026-09-24	oos	0.0576	0.057055	-0.95%	0.05785	+0.43%	0.0164	✗	0.74
2026-09-23	oos	0.0541	0.053792	-0.57%	0.0576	+6.47%	0.0683	✗	0.75
2026-09-22	oos	0.05615	0.05578	-0.66%	0.0541	-3.65%	0.0154	✓	0.71
2026-09-21	oos	0.05555	0.055179	-0.67%	0.05615	+1.08%	0.0207	✗	0.70
2026-09-20	oos	0.05375	0.053418	-0.62%	0.05555	+3.35%	0.0082	✓	0.73
2026-09-19	oos	0.05505	0.054687	-0.66%	0.05375	-2.36%	0.0166	✓	0.73
2026-09-18	oos	0.05345	0.053128	-0.60%	0.05505	+2.99%	0.0323	✗	0.73
2026-09-17	oos	0.0513	0.051103	-0.38%	0.05345	+4.19%	0.0028	✓	0.73
2026-09-16	oos	0.0523	0.052045	-0.49%	0.0513	-1.91%	0.0163	✓	0.72
2026-09-15	oos	0.0544	0.053848	-1.01%	0.0523	-3.86%	0.0346	✓	0.74
2026-09-14	oos	0.0524	0.052041	-0.69%	0.0544	+3.82%	0.0712	✗	0.80
2026-09-13	oos	0.05105	0.050512	-1.05%	0.0524	+2.64%	0.0227	✗	0.79
2026-09-12	oos	0.04885	0.048661	-0.39%	0.05105	+4.50%	0.0527	✗	0.80
2026-09-11	oos	0.04565	0.045647	-0.01%	0.04885	+7.01%	0.0673	✗	0.80
2026-09-10	oos	0.04375	0.04385	+0.23%	0.04565	+4.34%	0.0334	✓	0.79
2026-09-09	oos	0.0456	0.045733	+0.29%	0.04375	-4.06%	0.0269	✗	0.77
2026-09-08	oos	0.04565	0.045844	+0.42%	0.0456	-0.11%	0.0036	✓	0.82
2026-09-07	oos	0.0456	0.045865	+0.58%	0.04565	+0.11%	0.0020	✓	0.82
2026-09-06	oos	0.04685	0.047152	+0.64%	0.0456	-2.67%	0.0205	✗	0.83
2026-09-05	oos	0.04675	0.047063	+0.67%	0.04685	+0.21%	0.0098	✗	0.83
2026-09-04	oos	0.04645	0.046748	+0.64%	0.04675	+0.65%	0.0015	✓	0.79
2026-09-03	oos	0.04615	0.046421	+0.59%	0.04645	+0.65%	0.0165	✓	0.80
2026-09-02	oos	0.0442	0.044386	+0.42%	0.04615	+4.41%	0.0044	✗	0.87
2026-09-01	oos	0.04375	0.0439	+0.34%	0.0442	+1.03%	0.0078	✓	0.88
2026-08-31	oos	0.04335	0.043494	+0.33%	0.04375	+0.92%	0.0190	✓	0.88
2026-08-30	oos	0.042	0.042093	+0.22%	0.04335	+3.21%	0.0206	✓	0.76
2026-08-29	oos	0.04285	0.042908	+0.14%	0.042	-1.98%	0.0153	✗	0.84
2026-08-28	oos	0.04325	0.043278	+0.07%	0.04285	-0.92%	0.0141	✗	0.82
2026-08-27	oos	0.04395	0.043974	+0.05%	0.04325	-1.59%	0.0091	✓	0.83
2026-08-26	oos	0.0436	0.043568	-0.07%	0.04395	+0.80%	0.0044	✓	0.83
2026-08-25	oos	0.0419	0.041862	-0.09%	0.0436	+4.06%	0.0354	✗	0.83
2026-08-24	oos	0.04285	0.042778	-0.17%	0.0419	-2.22%	0.0159	✓	0.83
2026-08-23	oos	0.04395	0.043822	-0.29%	0.04285	-2.50%	0.0360	✓	0.85
2026-08-22	oos	0.0438	0.04362	-0.41%	0.04395	+0.34%	0.0001	✓	0.85
2026-08-21	oos	0.04515	0.044949	-0.45%	0.0438	-2.99%	0.0120	✓	0.85
2026-08-20	oos	0.0421	0.041904	-0.47%	0.04515	+7.24%	0.0162	✗	0.83
2026-08-19	oos	0.04015	0.039996	-0.38%	0.0421	+4.86%	0.0088	✗	0.81
2026-08-18	oos	0.03805	0.037924	-0.33%	0.04015	+5.52%	0.0009	✓	0.81
2026-08-17	oos	0.03865	0.03852	-0.34%	0.03805	-1.55%	0.0149	✓	0.82
2026-08-16	oos	0.03885	0.038718	-0.34%	0.03865	-0.51%	0.0236	✓	0.85
2026-08-15	oos	0.03935	0.039209	-0.36%	0.03885	-1.27%	0.0067	✓	0.84
2026-08-14	oos	0.0392	0.039071	-0.33%	0.03935	+0.38%	0.0065	✗	0.85
2026-08-13	oos	0.0396	0.039465	-0.34%	0.0392	-1.01%	0.0007	✓	0.85
2026-08-12	oos	0.03955	0.039409	-0.36%	0.0396	+0.13%	0.0047	✗	0.87
2026-08-11	oos	0.04015	0.04001	-0.35%	0.03955	-1.49%	0.0099	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.04095	0.040803	-0.36%	0.04015	-1.95%	0.0107	✓	0.90
2026-08-09	oos	0.0416	0.041451	-0.36%	0.04095	-1.56%	0.0009	✓	0.90
2026-08-08	oos	0.04185	0.041693	-0.37%	0.0416	-0.60%	0.0014	✓	0.90
2026-08-07	oos	0.04145	0.041295	-0.37%	0.04185	+0.97%	0.0131	✗	0.89
2026-08-06	oos	0.0414	0.041193	-0.50%	0.04145	+0.12%	0.0023	✓	0.89
2026-08-05	oos	0.04165	0.041496	-0.37%	0.0414	-0.60%	0.0023	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.04135	0.041197	-0.37%	0.04165	+0.73%	0.0033	✓	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.04185	0.041683	-0.40%	0.04135	-1.19%	0.0160	✓	0.87
2026-08-02	oos	0.04245	0.042289	-0.38%	0.04185	-1.41%	0.0099	✓	0.98
2026-08-01	oos	0.04175	0.041602	-0.35%	0.04245	+1.68%	0.0089	✗	0.96
2026-07-31	oos	0.04245	0.042286	-0.39%	0.04175	-1.65%	0.0118	✓	0.96
2026-07-30	oos	0.0425	0.042353	-0.35%	0.04245	-0.12%	0.0318	✗	0.99
2026-07-29	oos	0.04215	0.041999	-0.36%	0.0425	+0.83%	0.0007	✓	0.98
2026-07-28	oos	0.04395	0.04378	-0.39%	0.04215	-4.10%	0.0387	✓	0.98
2026-07-27	oos	0.0439	0.043735	-0.37%	0.04395	+0.11%	0.0025	✓	0.98
2026-07-26	oos	0.0473	0.047107	-0.41%	0.0439	-7.19%	0.0465	✓	0.94
2026-07-25	oos	0.04705	0.046846	-0.43%	0.0473	+0.53%	0.0057	✓	0.95
2026-07-24	oos	0.04615	0.045969	-0.39%	0.04705	+1.95%	0.0201	✗	0.94
2026-07-23	oos	0.0469	0.046725	-0.37%	0.04615	-1.60%	0.0017	✓	0.94
2026-07-22	oos	0.04805	0.04787	-0.37%	0.0469	-2.39%	0.0057	✓	0.93
2026-07-21	oos	0.04875	0.048555	-0.40%	0.04805	-1.44%	0.0044	✓	0.93
2026-07-20	oos	0.0482	0.048003	-0.41%	0.04875	+1.14%	0.0026	✓	0.91
2026-07-19	oos	0.04795	0.047758	-0.40%	0.0482	+0.52%	0.0018	✓	0.91
2026-07-18	oos	0.04795	0.047767	-0.38%	0.04795	+0.00%	0.0054	✗	0.91
2026-07-17	oos	0.04845	0.048255	-0.40%	0.04795	-1.03%	0.0198	✓	0.96
2026-07-16	oos	0.0484	0.048209	-0.39%	0.04845	+0.10%	0.0032	✓	0.94
2026-07-15	oos	0.04945	0.049253	-0.40%	0.0484	-2.12%	0.0034	✓	0.95
2026-07-14	oos	0.0493	0.049111	-0.38%	0.04945	+0.30%	0.0109	✗	0.96
2026-07-13	oos	0.0482	0.048008	-0.40%	0.0493	+2.28%	0.0159	✓	0.99
2026-07-12	oos	0.04885	0.048654	-0.40%	0.0482	-1.33%	0.0141	✗	1.00
2026-07-11	oos	0.04945	0.049248	-0.41%	0.04885	-1.21%	0.0076	✓	0.97
2026-07-10	oos	0.0493	0.049105	-0.39%	0.04945	+0.30%	0.0123	✗	0.96
2026-07-09	oos	0.0488	0.048609	-0.39%	0.0493	+1.02%	0.0002	✓	0.96
2026-07-08	oos	0.0487	0.04851	-0.39%	0.0488	+0.21%	0.0084	✓	0.96
2026-07-07	oos	0.04885	0.048676	-0.36%	0.0487	-0.31%	0.0172	✗	0.97
2026-07-06	oos	0.0504	0.050209	-0.38%	0.04885	-3.08%	0.0172	✓	0.97
2026-07-05	oos	0.0507	0.050503	-0.39%	0.0504	-0.59%	0.0083	✓	0.95
2026-07-04	oos	0.05185	0.051615	-0.45%	0.0507	-2.22%	0.0254	✓	0.96
2026-07-03	oos	0.0516	0.051365	-0.45%	0.05185	+0.48%	0.0009	✓	0.94
2026-07-02	oos	0.0504	0.050181	-0.44%	0.0516	+2.38%	0.0123	✗	0.93
2026-07-01	oos	0.0504	0.050165	-0.47%	0.0504	+0.00%	0.0192	✓	0.95
2026-06-30	oos	0.0481	0.047914	-0.39%	0.0504	+4.78%	0.0279	✗	0.93
2026-06-29	oos	0.0506	0.050379	-0.44%	0.0481	-4.94%	0.0211	✓	0.91
2026-06-28	oos	0.0514	0.051098	-0.59%	0.0506	-1.56%	0.0203	✓	0.91
2026-06-27	oos	0.0501	0.049852	-0.49%	0.0514	+2.59%	0.0377	✗	0.92
2026-06-26	oos	0.0503	0.050056	-0.48%	0.0501	-0.40%	0.0019	✓	0.92
2026-06-25	oos	0.0491	0.048867	-0.47%	0.0503	+2.44%	0.0243	✗	0.92
2026-06-24	oos	0.0479	0.047709	-0.40%	0.0491	+2.51%	0.0489	✗	0.95
2026-06-23	oos	0.04835	0.048137	-0.44%	0.0479	-0.93%	0.0209	✗	0.96
2026-06-22	oos	0.0496	0.049402	-0.40%	0.04835	-2.52%	0.0018	✓	0.96
2026-06-21	oos	0.049	0.048782	-0.44%	0.0496	+1.22%	0.0059	✗	0.95
2026-06-20	oos	0.04945	0.049263	-0.38%	0.049	-0.91%	0.0093	✗	0.94
2026-06-19	oos	0.04845	0.048284	-0.34%	0.04945	+2.06%	0.0129	✗	0.94
2026-06-18	oos	0.05005	0.049855	-0.39%	0.04845	-3.20%	0.0377	✓	0.97
2026-06-17	oos	0.0517	0.051469	-0.45%	0.05005	-3.19%	0.0041	✓	0.97
2026-06-16	oos	0.05125	0.05098	-0.53%	0.0517	+0.88%	0.0318	✗	0.99
2026-06-15	oos	0.0514	0.051178	-0.43%	0.05125	-0.29%	0.0113	✗	0.99
2026-06-14	oos	0.05065	0.050433	-0.43%	0.0514	+1.48%	0.0105	✗	0.98
2026-06-13	oos	0.0504	0.05018	-0.44%	0.05065	+0.50%	0.0101	✓	0.99
2026-06-12	oos	0.05075	0.050476	-0.54%	0.0504	-0.69%	0.0153	✓	0.99
2026-06-11	oos	0.0521	0.051629	-0.90%	0.05075	-2.59%	0.0168	✓	0.99
2026-06-10	oos	0.0484	0.048025	-0.77%	0.0521	+7.64%	0.0493	✗	0.95
2026-06-09	oos	0.04705	0.046894	-0.33%	0.0484	+2.87%	0.0353	✗	0.95
2026-06-08	oos	0.0492	0.049011	-0.38%	0.04705	-4.37%	0.0200	✓	0.94
2026-06-07	oos	0.0502	0.050005	-0.39%	0.0492	-1.99%	0.0127	✓	0.93
2026-06-06	oos	0.0508	0.050615	-0.36%	0.0502	-1.18%	0.0464	✓	0.97
2026-06-05	oos	0.0511	0.050915	-0.36%	0.0508	-0.59%	0.0006	✓	0.96
2026-06-04	oos	0.0561	0.055799	-0.54%	0.0511	-8.91%	0.0481	✓	0.90
2026-06-03	oos	0.0585	0.058146	-0.61%	0.0561	-4.10%	0.0326	✓	0.88
2026-06-02	oos	0.0604	0.059811	-0.97%	0.0585	-3.15%	0.0132	✗	0.88
2026-06-01	oos	0.0605	0.059976	-0.87%	0.0604	-0.17%	0.0693	✗	0.92
2026-05-31	oos	0.0684	0.06684	-2.28%	0.0605	-11.55%	0.0735	✓	0.84
2026-05-30	oos	0.0583	0.058017	-0.48%	0.0684	+17.32%	0.1669	✗	0.84
2026-05-29	oos	0.05795	0.057681	-0.46%	0.0583	+0.60%	0.0061	✗	0.84
2026-05-28	oos	0.05815	0.057891	-0.45%	0.05795	-0.34%	0.0027	✓	0.84
2026-05-27	oos	0.06	0.059717	-0.47%	0.05815	-3.08%	0.0174	✓	0.84
2026-05-26	oos	0.061	0.060672	-0.54%	0.06	-1.64%	0.0057	✗	0.84
2026-05-25	oos	0.0631	0.062492	-0.96%	0.061	-3.33%	0.0089	✓	0.82
2026-05-24	oos	0.06005	0.059662	-0.65%	0.0631	+5.08%	0.0531	✗	0.82
2026-05-23	oos	0.0612	0.060474	-1.19%	0.06005	-1.88%	0.0105	✓	0.82
2026-05-22	oos	0.0591	0.0588	-0.51%	0.0612	+3.55%	0.0271	✗	0.81
2026-05-21	oos	0.06035	0.060031	-0.53%	0.0591	-2.07%	0.0068	✗	0.81
2026-05-20	oos	0.05955	0.05926	-0.49%	0.06035	+1.34%	0.0175	✗	0.81
2026-05-19	oos	0.0582	0.057947	-0.43%	0.05955	+2.32%	0.0199	✗	0.81
2026-05-18	oos	0.0594	0.059115	-0.48%	0.0582	-2.02%	0.0137	✓	0.82
2026-05-17	oos	0.0581	0.057872	-0.39%	0.0594	+2.24%	0.0310	✗	0.82
2026-05-16	oos	0.0603	0.060063	-0.39%	0.0581	-3.65%	0.0259	✓	0.81
2026-05-15	oos	0.0612	0.060965	-0.38%	0.0603	-1.47%	0.0009	✓	0.83
2026-05-14	oos	0.0642	0.063886	-0.49%	0.0612	-4.67%	0.0223	✓	0.82
2026-05-13	oos	0.06215	0.06193	-0.35%	0.0642	+3.30%	0.0179	✗	0.81
2026-05-12	oos	0.0669	0.066537	-0.54%	0.06215	-7.10%	0.0566	✓	0.78
2026-05-11	oos	0.0672	0.066724	-0.71%	0.0669	-0.45%	0.0143	✗	0.76
2026-05-10	oos	0.0667	0.066341	-0.54%	0.0672	+0.75%	0.0173	✗	0.77
2026-05-09	oos	0.0662	0.065824	-0.57%	0.0667	+0.76%	0.0014	✓	0.77
2026-05-08	oos	0.0676	0.067059	-0.80%	0.0662	-2.07%	0.0172	✓	0.75
2026-05-07	oos	0.0663	0.065767	-0.80%	0.0676	+1.96%	0.0258	✗	0.72
2026-05-06	oos	0.0677	0.066984	-1.06%	0.0663	-2.07%	0.0032	✓	0.76
2026-05-05	oos	0.0733	0.071881	-1.94%	0.0677	-7.64%	0.0656	✓	0.86
2026-05-04	oos	0.0595	0.05929	-0.35%	0.0733	+23.19%	0.2012	✗	0.83
2026-05-03	oos	0.0596	0.059387	-0.36%	0.0595	-0.17%	0.0115	✓	0.82
2026-05-02	oos	0.0603	0.060084	-0.36%	0.0596	-1.16%	0.0068	✓	0.82
2026-05-01	oos	0.0595	0.059301	-0.33%	0.0603	+1.34%	0.0120	✗	0.82
2026-04-30	oos	0.05905	0.058852	-0.34%	0.0595	+0.76%	0.0098	✓	0.83
2026-04-29	oos	0.0595	0.059298	-0.34%	0.05905	-0.76%	0.0102	✓	0.83
2026-04-28	oos	0.0606	0.060393	-0.34%	0.0595	-1.82%	0.0086	✓	0.84
2026-04-27	oos	0.0605	0.06032	-0.30%	0.0606	+0.17%	0.0161	✗	0.85
2026-04-26	oos	0.0624	0.062194	-0.33%	0.0605	-3.04%	0.0134	✓	0.84
2026-04-25	oos	0.06275	0.062495	-0.41%	0.0624	-0.56%	0.0126	✓	0.85
2026-04-24	oos	0.0615	0.061287	-0.35%	0.06275	+2.03%	0.0215	✗	0.85
2026-04-23	oos	0.06145	0.061244	-0.34%	0.0615	+0.08%	0.0131	✗	0.85
2026-04-22	oos	0.06095	0.060765	-0.30%	0.06145	+0.82%	0.0104	✗	0.85
2026-04-21	oos	0.0616	0.061385	-0.35%	0.06095	-1.06%	0.0278	✓	0.86
2026-04-20	oos	0.06175	0.061542	-0.34%	0.0616	-0.24%	0.0045	✓	0.86
2026-04-19	oos	0.0602	0.059972	-0.38%	0.06175	+2.57%	0.0055	✗	0.87
2026-04-18	oos	0.0646	0.064265	-0.52%	0.0602	-6.81%	0.0433	✓	0.86
2026-04-17	oos	0.0641	0.063821	-0.43%	0.0646	+0.78%	0.0276	✗	0.87
2026-04-16	oos	0.06175	0.06149	-0.42%	0.0641	+3.81%	0.0197	✗	0.86
2026-04-15	oos	0.0596	0.059381	-0.37%	0.06175	+3.61%	0.0354	✗	0.86
2026-04-14	oos	0.05845	0.058251	-0.34%	0.0596	+1.97%	0.0153	✗	0.86
2026-04-13	oos	0.0602	0.059968	-0.39%	0.05845	-2.91%	0.0226	✓	0.86
2026-04-12	oos	0.0585	0.058276	-0.38%	0.0602	+2.91%	0.0118	✓	0.87
2026-04-11	oos	0.0597	0.059476	-0.38%	0.0585	-2.01%	0.0118	✗	0.87
2026-04-10	oos	0.0603	0.060071	-0.38%	0.0597	-1.00%	0.0072	✓	0.87
2026-04-09	oos	0.0599	0.059667	-0.39%	0.0603	+0.67%	0.0039	✓	0.87
2026-04-08	oos	0.059	0.058787	-0.36%	0.0599	+1.53%	0.0101	✗	0.87
2026-04-07	oos	0.06045	0.060196	-0.42%	0.059	-2.40%	0.0100	✓	0.87
2026-04-06	oos	0.0586	0.058366	-0.40%	0.06045	+3.16%	0.0018	✓	0.85
2026-04-05	oos	0.0586	0.058374	-0.39%	0.0586	+0.00%	0.0057	✗	0.85
2026-04-04	oos	0.05905	0.058799	-0.43%	0.0586	-0.76%	0.0250	✓	0.86
2026-04-03	oos	0.0597	0.059357	-0.57%	0.05905	-1.09%	0.0095	✓	0.86
2026-04-02	oos	0.0572	0.056969	-0.40%	0.0597	+4.37%	0.0460	✗	0.86
2026-04-01	oos	0.058	0.057746	-0.44%	0.0572	-1.38%	0.0061	✗	0.86
2026-03-31	oos	0.057	0.05678	-0.39%	0.058	+1.75%	0.0226	✗	0.86
2026-03-30	oos	0.0568	0.056562	-0.42%	0.057	+0.35%	0.0114	✓	0.87
2026-03-29	oos	0.05625	0.056038	-0.38%	0.0568	+0.98%	0.0034	✓	0.86
2026-03-28	oos	0.0578	0.057583	-0.38%	0.05625	-2.68%	0.0187	✓	0.85
2026-03-27	oos	0.0581	0.057866	-0.40%	0.0578	-0.52%	0.0007	✓	0.85
2026-03-26	oos	0.06065	0.0603	-0.58%	0.0581	-4.20%	0.0066	✓	0.86
2026-03-25	oos	0.0626	0.062388	-0.34%	0.06065	-3.12%	0.0027	✓	0.86
2026-03-24	oos	0.0627	0.062479	-0.35%	0.0626	-0.16%	0.0074	✓	0.86
2026-03-23	oos	0.06175	0.061557	-0.31%	0.0627	+1.54%	0.0225	✗	0.86
2026-03-22	oos	0.05985	0.059662	-0.31%	0.06175	+3.17%	0.0031	✓	0.86
2026-03-21	oos	0.0609	0.06073	-0.28%	0.05985	-1.72%	0.0012	✓	0.86
2026-03-20	oos	0.0643	0.064112	-0.29%	0.0609	-5.29%	0.0320	✓	0.85
2026-03-19	oos	0.06275	0.062595	-0.25%	0.0643	+2.47%	0.0199	✗	0.85
2026-03-18	oos	0.06425	0.064094	-0.24%	0.06275	-2.33%	0.0051	✓	0.86
2026-03-17	oos	0.0671	0.06688	-0.33%	0.06425	-4.25%	0.0084	✓	0.86
2026-03-16	oos	0.0654	0.065234	-0.25%	0.0671	+2.60%	0.0393	✗	0.87
2026-03-15	oos	0.0635	0.063349	-0.24%	0.0654	+2.99%	0.0079	✗	0.86
2026-03-14	oos	0.06255	0.062387	-0.26%	0.0635	+1.52%	0.0015	✓	0.87
2026-03-13	oos	0.0627	0.062554	-0.23%	0.06255	-0.24%	0.0036	✓	0.87
2026-03-12	oos	0.0633	0.063142	-0.25%	0.0627	-0.95%	0.0121	✓	0.87
2026-03-11	oos	0.0636	0.063426	-0.27%	0.0633	-0.47%	0.0060	✓	0.87
2026-03-10	oos	0.0621	0.061951	-0.24%	0.0636	+2.42%	0.0232	✗	0.87
2026-03-09	oos	0.0622	0.06203	-0.27%	0.0621	-0.16%	0.0182	✓	0.87
2026-03-08	oos	0.061	0.060804	-0.32%	0.0622	+1.97%	0.0097	✓	0.88
2026-03-07	oos	0.0613	0.061142	-0.26%	0.061	-0.49%	0.0148	✗	0.89
2026-03-06	oos	0.0623	0.062146	-0.25%	0.0613	-1.61%	0.0027	✓	0.88
2026-03-05	oos	0.0639	0.063751	-0.23%	0.0623	-2.50%	0.0124	✗	0.89
2026-03-04	oos	0.0649	0.064748	-0.23%	0.0639	-1.54%	0.0090	✗	0.89
2026-03-03	oos	0.0641	0.063942	-0.25%	0.0649	+1.25%	0.0420	✓	0.92
2026-03-02	oos	0.06555	0.065354	-0.30%	0.0641	-2.21%	0.0127	✓	0.92
2026-03-01	oos	0.0641	0.063908	-0.30%	0.06555	+2.26%	0.0172	✓	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	0.0658	0.065617	-0.28%	0.0641	-2.58%	0.0064	✓	0.94
2026-02-27	oos	0.06555	0.065354	-0.30%	0.0658	+0.38%	0.0089	✓	0.94
2026-02-26	oos	0.0683	0.068042	-0.38%	0.06555	-4.03%	0.0143	✓	0.94
2026-02-25	oos	0.0663	0.066065	-0.35%	0.0683	+3.02%	0.0402	✗	0.94
2026-02-24	oos	0.06355	0.063274	-0.43%	0.0663	+4.33%	0.0101	✓	0.95
2026-02-23	oos	0.0636	0.063423	-0.28%	0.06355	-0.08%	0.0101	✗	0.94
2026-02-22	oos	0.066	0.065834	-0.25%	0.0636	-3.64%	0.0082	✗	0.94
2026-02-21	oos	0.06845	0.068254	-0.29%	0.066	-3.58%	0.0288	✓	0.95
2026-02-20	oos	0.0684	0.068205	-0.29%	0.06845	+0.07%	0.0040	✗	0.94
2026-02-19	oos	0.0684	0.06819	-0.31%	0.0684	+0.00%	0.0111	✓	0.95
2026-02-18	oos	0.06855	0.068284	-0.39%	0.0684	-0.22%	0.0062	✓	0.95
2026-02-17	oos	0.072	0.071771	-0.32%	0.06855	-4.79%	0.0314	✓	0.93
2026-02-16	oos	0.0724	0.072173	-0.31%	0.072	-0.55%	0.0165	✗	0.93
2026-02-15	oos	0.0719	0.071685	-0.30%	0.0724	+0.70%	0.0090	✗	0.93
2026-02-14	oos	0.0763	0.076005	-0.39%	0.0719	-5.77%	0.0423	✓	0.92
2026-02-13	oos	0.0739	0.073614	-0.39%	0.0763	+3.25%	0.0229	✗	0.92
2026-02-12	oos	0.07205	0.071784	-0.37%	0.0739	+2.57%	0.0067	✓	0.93
2026-02-11	oos	0.0711	0.070843	-0.36%	0.07205	+1.34%	0.0280	✗	0.91
2026-02-10	oos	0.07045	0.070254	-0.28%	0.0711	+0.92%	0.0361	✗	0.92
2026-02-09	oos	0.073	0.072765	-0.32%	0.07045	-3.49%	0.0152	✓	0.92
2026-02-08	oos	0.0716	0.071387	-0.30%	0.073	+1.96%	0.0247	✗	0.92
2026-02-07	oos	0.0768	0.076318	-0.63%	0.0716	-6.77%	0.0778	✓	0.94
2026-02-06	oos	0.0736	0.073328	-0.37%	0.0768	+4.35%	0.0637	✗	0.95
2026-02-05	oos	0.0666	0.06654	-0.09%	0.0736	+10.51%	0.0117	✓	0.97
2026-02-04	oos	0.0789	0.078621	-0.35%	0.0666	-15.59%	0.0246	✓	0.94
2026-02-03	oos	0.0809	0.080564	-0.42%	0.0789	-2.47%	0.0124	✗	0.93
2026-02-02	oos	0.0816	0.081256	-0.42%	0.0809	-0.86%	0.0332	✗	0.97
2026-02-01	oos	0.0801	0.079705	-0.49%	0.0816	+1.87%	0.0013	✓	0.97
2026-01-31	oos	0.0812	0.08083	-0.46%	0.0801	-1.35%	0.0145	✗	1.05
2026-01-30	oos	0.08735	0.086968	-0.44%	0.0812	-7.04%	0.0013	✓	1.04
2026-01-29	oos	0.0871	0.086703	-0.46%	0.08735	+0.29%	0.0124	✗	1.05
2026-01-28	oos	0.09345	0.093031	-0.45%	0.0871	-6.80%	0.0108	✓	1.03
2026-01-27	oos	0.0946	0.094071	-0.56%	0.09345	-1.22%	0.0072	✓	1.05
2026-01-26	oos	0.0928	0.092381	-0.45%	0.0946	+1.94%	0.0136	✗	1.03
2026-01-25	oos	0.0914	0.090988	-0.45%	0.0928	+1.53%	0.0003	✓	1.04
2026-01-24	oos	0.0953	0.094868	-0.45%	0.0914	-4.09%	0.0077	✓	1.03
2026-01-23	oos	0.0947	0.094269	-0.45%	0.0953	+0.63%	0.0154	✗	1.04
2026-01-22	oos	0.09465	0.094246	-0.43%	0.0947	+0.05%	0.0047	✗	1.03
2026-01-21	oos	0.0968	0.096346	-0.47%	0.09465	-2.22%	0.0189	✓	1.03
2026-01-20	oos	0.094	0.093632	-0.39%	0.0968	+2.98%	0.0211	✗	1.03
2026-01-19	oos	0.1001	0.099696	-0.40%	0.094	-6.09%	0.0112	✓	1.01
2026-01-18	oos	0.1021	0.101694	-0.40%	0.1001	-1.96%	0.0041	✓	1.02
2026-01-17	oos	0.1067	0.106221	-0.45%	0.1021	-4.31%	0.0240	✓	1.00
2026-01-16	oos	0.1066	0.106133	-0.44%	0.1067	+0.09%	0.0095	✗	1.00
2026-01-15	oos	0.10445	0.104044	-0.39%	0.1066	+2.06%	0.0251	✗	1.00
2026-01-14	oos	0.1084	0.107928	-0.44%	0.10445	-3.64%	0.0187	✓	0.99
2026-01-13	oos	0.1093	0.108776	-0.48%	0.1084	-0.82%	0.0200	✓	1.01
2026-01-12	oos	0.1039	0.103455	-0.43%	0.1093	+5.20%	0.0093	✗	1.01
2026-01-11	oos	0.106	0.105545	-0.43%	0.1039	-1.98%	0.0193	✓	1.03
2026-01-10	oos	0.1103	0.109717	-0.53%	0.106	-3.90%	0.0402	✓	1.04
2026-01-09	oos	0.1082	0.107669	-0.49%	0.1103	+1.94%	0.0258	✗	1.08
2026-01-08	oos	0.1098	0.109132	-0.61%	0.1082	-1.46%	0.0025	✓	1.07
2026-01-07	oos	0.1084	0.107585	-0.75%	0.1098	+1.29%	0.0243	✗	1.40
2026-01-06	oos	0.1026	0.102104	-0.48%	0.1084	+5.65%	0.0983	✗	1.46
2026-01-05	oos	0.102	0.10144	-0.55%	0.1026	+0.59%	0.0137	✗	1.46
2026-01-04	oos	0.0992	0.098739	-0.46%	0.102	+2.82%	0.0051	✓	1.46
2026-01-03	oos	0.0988	0.098348	-0.46%	0.0992	+0.40%	0.0059	✓	1.47
2026-01-02	oos	0.0985	0.098039	-0.47%	0.0988	+0.30%	0.0027	✓	1.47
2026-01-01	oos	0.0967	0.09625	-0.47%	0.0985	+1.86%	0.0031	✓	1.46
2025-12-31	oos	0.0965	0.096046	-0.47%	0.0967	+0.21%	0.0139	✓	1.47
2025-12-30	oos	0.1011	0.100326	-0.77%	0.0965	-4.55%	0.0240	✓	1.46
2025-12-29	oos	0.1048	0.103663	-1.09%	0.1011	-3.53%	0.0466	✓	1.47
2025-12-28	oos	0.0991	0.097989	-1.12%	0.1048	+5.75%	0.0802	✗	1.48
2025-12-27	oos	0.095	0.094537	-0.49%	0.0991	+4.32%	0.0460	✗	1.46
2025-12-26	oos	0.09	0.089683	-0.35%	0.095	+5.56%	0.0492	✗	1.44
2025-12-25	oos	0.0909	0.09057	-0.36%	0.09	-0.99%	0.0084	✓	1.44
2025-12-24	oos	0.0922	0.091832	-0.40%	0.0909	-1.41%	0.0030	✓	1.45
2025-12-23	oos	0.09415	0.093614	-0.57%	0.0922	-2.07%	0.0182	✓	1.45
2025-12-22	oos	0.0955	0.094645	-0.90%	0.09415	-1.41%	0.0133	✗	1.45
2025-12-21	oos	0.0884	0.088093	-0.35%	0.0955	+8.03%	0.0821	✗	1.44
2025-12-20	oos	0.08965	0.089352	-0.33%	0.0884	-1.39%	0.0159	✓	1.46
2025-12-19	oos	0.0899	0.089588	-0.35%	0.08965	-0.28%	0.0031	✓	1.46
2025-12-18	oos	0.0854	0.085143	-0.30%	0.0899	+5.27%	0.0104	✗	1.45
2025-12-17	oos	0.08915	0.088875	-0.31%	0.0854	-4.21%	0.0272	✓	1.45
2025-12-16	oos	0.0938	0.09349	-0.33%	0.08915	-4.96%	0.0203	✓	1.44
2025-12-15	oos	0.0947	0.094373	-0.35%	0.0938	-0.95%	0.0301	✓	1.46
2025-12-14	oos	0.09845	0.098108	-0.35%	0.0947	-3.81%	0.0062	✓	1.45
2025-12-13	oos	0.1024	0.102028	-0.36%	0.09845	-3.86%	0.0019	✓	1.45
2025-12-12	oos	0.10175	0.101367	-0.38%	0.1024	+0.64%	0.0105	✗	1.45
2025-12-11	oos	0.1031	0.102651	-0.44%	0.10175	-1.31%	0.0274	✗	1.46
2025-12-10	oos	0.1031	0.102746	-0.34%	0.1031	+0.00%	0.0046	✓	1.46
2025-12-09	oos	0.1059	0.105501	-0.38%	0.1031	-2.64%	0.0127	✓	1.46
2025-12-08	oos	0.1024	0.102029	-0.36%	0.1059	+3.42%	0.0052	✗	1.44
2025-12-07	oos	0.1009	0.100569	-0.33%	0.1024	+1.49%	0.0140	✗	1.44
2025-12-06	oos	0.1047	0.104199	-0.48%	0.1009	-3.63%	0.0506	✓	1.46
2025-12-05	oos	0.1028	0.102448	-0.34%	0.1047	+1.85%	0.0230	✗	1.46
2025-12-04	oos	0.1056	0.105223	-0.36%	0.1028	-2.65%	0.0214	✗	1.47
2025-12-03	oos	0.1081	0.107701	-0.37%	0.1056	-2.31%	0.0019	✓	1.48
2025-12-02	oos	0.1063	0.105908	-0.37%	0.1081	+1.69%	0.0140	✓	1.48
2025-12-01	oos	0.1008	0.100466	-0.33%	0.1063	+5.46%	0.0299	✓	1.53
2025-11-30	oos	0.1069	0.106529	-0.35%	0.1008	-5.71%	0.0162	✗	1.54
2025-11-29	oos	0.1088	0.108382	-0.38%	0.1069	-1.75%	0.0060	✓	1.54
2025-11-28	oos	0.1091	0.108654	-0.41%	0.1088	-0.27%	0.0026	✓	1.54
2025-11-27	oos	0.1102	0.109733	-0.42%	0.1091	-1.00%	0.0012	✓	1.54
2025-11-26	oos	0.107	0.106603	-0.37%	0.1102	+2.99%	0.0191	✗	1.51
2025-11-25	oos	0.10675	0.106323	-0.40%	0.107	+0.23%	0.0489	✓	1.56
2025-11-24	oos	0.1064	0.105964	-0.41%	0.10675	+0.33%	0.0242	✗	1.57
2025-11-23	oos	0.1023	0.101909	-0.38%	0.1064	+4.01%	0.0170	✗	1.57
2025-11-22	oos	0.102	0.101612	-0.38%	0.1023	+0.29%	0.0328	✓	1.60
2025-11-21	oos	0.1023	0.101842	-0.45%	0.102	-0.29%	0.0088	✗	1.59
2025-11-20	oos	0.1078	0.107314	-0.45%	0.1023	-5.10%	0.0208	✓	1.58
2025-11-19	oos	0.1102	0.109718	-0.44%	0.1078	-2.18%	0.0759	✗	1.69
2025-11-18	oos	0.111	0.110497	-0.45%	0.1102	-0.72%	0.0241	✗	1.70
2025-11-17	oos	0.1078	0.107376	-0.39%	0.111	+2.97%	0.0182	✗	1.70
2025-11-16	oos	0.1099	0.109478	-0.38%	0.1078	-1.91%	0.0226	✗	1.70
2025-11-15	oos	0.1138	0.113331	-0.41%	0.1099	-3.43%	0.0064	✓	1.70
2025-11-14	oos	0.1124	0.111932	-0.42%	0.1138	+1.25%	0.0021	✓	1.70
2025-11-13	oos	0.1136	0.113182	-0.37%	0.1124	-1.06%	0.0891	✗	1.82
2025-11-12	oos	0.1187	0.118043	-0.55%	0.1136	-4.30%	0.0018	✓	1.82
2025-11-11	oos	0.1196	0.118912	-0.58%	0.1187	-0.75%	0.0225	✗	1.81
2025-11-10	oos	0.1261	0.125555	-0.43%	0.1196	-5.15%	0.0023	✓	1.79
2025-11-09	oos	0.1244	0.123866	-0.43%	0.1261	+1.37%	0.0041	✓	1.80
2025-11-08	oos	0.1233	0.122697	-0.49%	0.1244	+0.89%	0.0287	✓	1.83
2025-11-07	oos	0.124	0.123193	-0.65%	0.1233	-0.56%	0.0183	✗	1.79
2025-11-06	oos	0.1119	0.111432	-0.42%	0.124	+10.81%	0.0728	✗	1.75
2025-11-05	oos	0.1111	0.11072	-0.34%	0.1119	+0.72%	0.0554	✗	1.78
2025-11-04	oos	0.1068	0.106465	-0.31%	0.1111	+4.03%	0.0009	✓	1.78
2025-11-03	oos	0.1126	0.112311	-0.26%	0.1068	-5.15%	0.0399	✗	1.84
2025-11-02	oos	0.1278	0.127377	-0.33%	0.1126	-11.89%	0.0580	✓	1.78
2025-11-01	oos	0.1281	0.127677	-0.33%	0.1278	-0.23%	0.0069	✓	1.79
2025-10-31	oos	0.1237	0.123365	-0.27%	0.1281	+3.56%	0.0296	✗	1.78
2025-10-30	oos	0.1225	0.12219	-0.25%	0.1237	+0.98%	0.0082	✓	1.79
2025-10-29	oos	0.1309	0.130495	-0.31%	0.1225	-6.42%	0.0355	✓	1.76
2025-10-28	oos	0.1323	0.131905	-0.30%	0.1309	-1.06%	0.0388	✗	1.80
2025-10-27	oos	0.1349	0.134449	-0.33%	0.1323	-1.93%	0.0026	✓	1.80
2025-10-26	oos	0.1407	0.140157	-0.39%	0.1349	-4.12%	0.0310	✓	1.80
2025-10-25	oos	0.1365	0.136024	-0.35%	0.1407	+3.08%	0.0125	✓	1.82
2025-10-24	oos	0.1379	0.137404	-0.36%	0.1365	-1.02%	0.0168	✓	1.82
2025-10-23	oos	0.1371	0.136602	-0.36%	0.1379	+0.58%	0.0058	✓	1.83
2025-10-22	oos	0.1338	0.133334	-0.35%	0.1371	+2.47%	0.0148	✓	1.84
2025-10-21	oos	0.1366	0.136123	-0.35%	0.1338	-2.05%	0.0040	✓	1.84
2025-10-20	oos	0.1413	0.140756	-0.39%	0.1366	-3.33%	0.0073	✗	1.85
2025-10-19	oos	0.1419	0.141344	-0.39%	0.1413	-0.42%	0.0324	✓	1.86
2025-10-18	oos	0.1382	0.137729	-0.34%	0.1419	+2.68%	0.0046	✗	1.86
2025-10-17	oos	0.1367	0.136124	-0.42%	0.1382	+1.10%	0.0022	✓	1.85
2025-10-16	oos	0.1379	0.137467	-0.31%	0.1367	-0.87%	0.0245	✗	1.86
2025-10-15	oos	0.1435	0.143073	-0.30%	0.1379	-3.90%	0.0074	✗	1.86
2025-10-14	oos	0.1494	0.148843	-0.37%	0.1435	-3.95%	0.0010	✓	1.86
2025-10-13	oos	0.1552	0.154511	-0.44%	0.1494	-3.74%	0.0023	✓	1.86
2025-10-12	oos	0.1486	0.148068	-0.36%	0.1552	+4.44%	0.0438	✗	1.83
2025-10-11	oos	0.1377	0.137403	-0.22%	0.1486	+7.92%	0.0092	✗	1.82
2025-10-10	oos	0.1381	0.137869	-0.17%	0.1377	-0.29%	0.0350	✗	1.83
2025-10-09	oos	0.182	0.181383	-0.34%	0.1381	-24.12%	0.1726	✓	1.34
2025-10-08	oos	0.1872	0.186501	-0.37%	0.182	-2.78%	0.0066	✓	1.34
2025-10-07	oos	0.18265	0.182051	-0.33%	0.1872	+2.49%	0.0073	✗	1.29
2025-10-06	oos	0.1907	0.189928	-0.41%	0.18265	-4.22%	0.0047	✓	1.27
2025-10-05	oos	0.1849	0.184232	-0.36%	0.1907	+3.14%	0.0222	✗	1.27
2025-10-04	oos	0.1866	0.18597	-0.34%	0.1849	-0.91%	0.0167	✓	1.27
2025-10-03	oos	0.1926	0.191844	-0.39%	0.1866	-3.12%	0.0292	✓	1.27
2025-10-02	oos	0.1918	0.191022	-0.41%	0.1926	+0.42%	0.0096	✓	1.28
2025-10-01	oos	0.1894	0.188543	-0.45%	0.1918	+1.27%	0.0040	✓	1.29
2025-09-30	oos	0.1807	0.180026	-0.37%	0.1894	+4.81%	0.0003	✓	1.29
2025-09-29	oos	0.1803	0.179603	-0.39%	0.1807	+0.22%	0.0097	✗	1.37
2025-09-28	oos	0.182	0.181273	-0.40%	0.1803	-0.93%	0.0325	✓	1.42
2025-09-27	oos	0.1793	0.178615	-0.38%	0.182	+1.51%	0.0136	✓	1.43
2025-09-26	oos	0.1806	0.179827	-0.43%	0.1793	-0.72%	0.0027	✓	1.43
2025-09-25	oos	0.1762	0.175532	-0.38%	0.1806	+2.50%	0.0198	✗	1.43
2025-09-24	oos	0.1869	0.186138	-0.41%	0.1762	-5.72%	0.0003	✓	1.42
2025-09-23	oos	0.1858	0.185017	-0.42%	0.1869	+0.59%	0.0068	✓	1.43
2025-09-22	oos	0.1843	0.183491	-0.44%	0.1858	+0.81%	0.0216	✗	1.42
2025-09-21	oos	0.1974	0.196534	-0.44%	0.1843	-6.64%	0.0334	✓	1.38
2025-09-20	oos	0.1992	0.198353	-0.43%	0.1974	-0.90%	0.0010	✓	1.42
2025-09-19	oos	0.19885	0.198035	-0.41%	0.1992	+0.18%	0.0051	✗	1.43
2025-09-18	oos	0.206	0.205023	-0.47%	0.19885	-3.47%	0.0130	✓	1.43

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.