STEEM

Steem · native · beta_5y

token id: #558
symbol: STEEM
variant: –
chain: native
address
cohort: datapoint (mid-window listing)
first bar: 2022-04-22
predictions: 4,905

Track record at +30d

assessed

370

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

61.1%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.1163

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

+0.0032

actual -0.0143

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	oos	0.05532	0.052278	-5.50%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-21	oos	0.055205	0.052375	-5.13%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-20	oos	0.054815	0.051732	-5.62%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-19	oos	0.052715	0.049699	-5.72%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-18	oos	0.05174	0.049034	-5.23%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-17	oos	0.0532	0.050427	-5.21%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-16	oos	0.054185	0.051568	-4.83%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-15	oos	0.05433	0.051977	-4.33%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-14	oos	0.05566	0.053004	-4.77%	–	pending	–	–	0.68
2026-10-13	oos	0.05768	0.054981	-4.68%	–	pending	–	–	0.67
2026-10-12	oos	0.05655	0.053681	-5.07%	–	pending	–	–	0.66
2026-10-11	oos	0.06134	0.05822	-5.09%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-10	oos	0.061395	0.058177	-5.24%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-09	oos	0.061355	0.058051	-5.38%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-08	oos	0.060125	0.056593	-5.87%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-07	oos	0.05929	0.055989	-5.57%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-10-06	oos	0.06176	0.058677	-4.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-05	oos	0.063135	0.059793	-5.29%	–	pending	–	–	0.60
2026-10-04	oos	0.06396	0.060723	-5.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-03	oos	0.063865	0.060556	-5.18%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-02	oos	0.06368	0.060267	-5.36%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-10-01	oos	0.06397	0.060594	-5.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-30	oos	0.06506	0.061628	-5.28%	–	pending	–	–	0.63
2026-09-29	oos	0.06396	0.060769	-4.99%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-28	oos	0.06367	0.060613	-4.80%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-27	oos	0.06753	0.06422	-4.90%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-26	oos	0.069305	0.065799	-5.06%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-25	oos	0.06483	0.061936	-4.46%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-24	oos	0.06295	0.060332	-4.16%	–	pending	–	–	0.61
2026-09-23	oos	0.05789	0.056144	-3.02%	–	pending	–	–	0.62
2026-09-22	oos	0.05947	0.057595	-3.15%	0.05532	-6.98%	0.0258	✓	0.62
2026-09-21	oos	0.058035	0.056527	-2.60%	0.055205	-4.88%	0.0045	✓	0.64
2026-09-20	oos	0.05707	0.055606	-2.56%	0.054815	-3.95%	0.0295	✓	0.70
2026-09-19	oos	0.05797	0.056611	-2.34%	0.052715	-9.07%	0.0764	✓	0.69
2026-09-18	oos	0.056635	0.055535	-1.94%	0.05174	-8.64%	0.0804	✓	0.69
2026-09-17	oos	0.05423	0.052897	-2.46%	0.0532	-1.90%	0.0381	✓	0.69
2026-09-16	oos	0.05836	0.056244	-3.63%	0.054185	-7.15%	0.0839	✓	0.69
2026-09-15	oos	0.057465	0.055329	-3.72%	0.05433	-5.46%	0.0773	✓	0.71
2026-09-14	oos	0.05571	0.05439	-2.37%	0.05566	-0.09%	0.0095	✓	0.77
2026-09-13	oos	0.06011	0.057134	-4.95%	0.05768	-4.04%	0.0546	✓	0.81
2026-09-12	oos	0.04948	0.04893	-1.11%	0.05655	+14.29%	0.0960	✗	0.86
2026-09-11	oos	0.044845	0.045032	+0.42%	0.06134	+36.78%	0.2397	✓	0.86
2026-09-10	oos	0.04404	0.044423	+0.87%	0.061395	+39.41%	0.2548	✓	0.86
2026-09-09	oos	0.04676	0.047516	+1.62%	0.061355	+31.21%	0.2116	✓	0.83
2026-09-08	oos	0.04577	0.046712	+2.06%	0.060125	+31.36%	0.2185	✓	0.84
2026-09-07	oos	0.04536	0.046887	+3.37%	0.05929	+30.71%	0.1910	✓	0.85
2026-09-06	oos	0.04602	0.047861	+4.00%	0.06176	+34.20%	0.2010	✓	0.86
2026-09-05	oos	0.04626	0.048242	+4.28%	0.063135	+36.48%	0.2077	✓	0.86
2026-09-04	oos	0.044815	0.047344	+5.64%	0.06396	+42.72%	0.2312	✓	0.85
2026-09-03	oos	0.044555	0.047767	+7.21%	0.063865	+43.34%	0.2544	✓	0.86
2026-09-02	oos	0.04263	0.044502	+4.39%	0.06368	+49.38%	0.2778	✓	0.91
2026-09-01	oos	0.042745	0.044714	+4.61%	0.06397	+49.65%	0.2747	✓	0.91
2026-08-31	oos	0.04312	0.045614	+5.78%	0.06506	+50.88%	0.3030	✓	0.85
2026-08-30	oos	0.0429	0.045268	+5.52%	0.06396	+49.09%	0.2812	✓	0.87
2026-08-29	oos	0.04576	0.048212	+5.36%	0.06367	+39.14%	0.2229	✓	0.85
2026-08-28	oos	0.04582	0.048625	+6.12%	0.06753	+47.38%	0.2590	✓	0.85
2026-08-27	oos	0.04507	0.0494	+9.61%	0.069305	+53.77%	0.2941	✓	0.88
2026-08-26	oos	0.045655	0.049487	+8.39%	0.06483	+42.00%	0.2145	✓	0.89
2026-08-25	oos	0.04334	0.047284	+9.10%	0.06295	+45.25%	0.2221	✓	0.89
2026-08-24	oos	0.04452	0.048759	+9.52%	0.05789	+30.03%	0.1136	✓	0.88
2026-08-23	oos	0.04415	0.047745	+8.14%	0.05947	+34.70%	0.1277	✓	0.89
2026-08-22	oos	0.04412	0.047734	+8.19%	0.058035	+31.54%	0.0914	✓	0.89
2026-08-21	oos	0.04245	0.046501	+9.54%	0.05707	+34.44%	0.1724	✓	0.91
2026-08-20	oos	0.03886	0.041133	+5.85%	0.05797	+49.18%	0.2494	✓	0.88
2026-08-19	oos	0.03661	0.037942	+3.64%	0.056635	+54.70%	0.2669	✓	0.87
2026-08-18	oos	0.034745	0.035231	+1.40%	0.05423	+56.08%	0.2861	✓	0.88
2026-08-17	oos	0.034945	0.035472	+1.51%	0.05836	+67.01%	0.3528	✓	0.87
2026-08-16	oos	0.03495	0.035155	+0.59%	0.057465	+64.42%	0.3267	✓	0.89
2026-08-15	oos	0.03522	0.035455	+0.67%	0.05571	+58.18%	0.2597	✓	0.89
2026-08-14	oos	0.035005	0.035205	+0.57%	0.06011	+71.72%	0.3575	✓	0.89
2026-08-13	oos	0.03621	0.036279	+0.19%	0.04948	+36.65%	0.1352	✓	0.89
2026-08-12	oos	0.035705	0.035782	+0.22%	0.044845	+25.60%	0.0517	✓	0.88
2026-08-11	oos	0.03619	0.036326	+0.37%	0.04404	+21.69%	0.0283	✓	0.88
2026-08-10	oos	0.036795	0.036964	+0.46%	0.04676	+27.08%	0.0564	✓	0.88
2026-08-09	oos	0.03712	0.037321	+0.54%	0.04577	+23.30%	0.0356	✓	0.88
2026-08-08	oos	0.036595	0.036739	+0.39%	0.04536	+23.95%	0.0363	✓	0.88
2026-08-07	oos	0.036145	0.036437	+0.81%	0.04602	+27.32%	0.0446	✓	0.88
2026-08-06	oos	0.03644	0.036647	+0.57%	0.04626	+26.95%	0.0410	✓	0.89
2026-08-05	oos	0.036075	0.036231	+0.43%	0.044815	+24.23%	0.0256	✓	0.89
2026-08-04	oos	0.03611	0.036277	+0.46%	0.044555	+23.39%	0.0066	✗	0.89
2026-08-03	oos	0.03682	0.0368	-0.05%	0.04263	+15.78%	0.0283	✓	0.89
2026-08-02	oos	0.03635	0.036322	-0.08%	0.042745	+17.59%	0.0210	✓	0.93
2026-08-01	oos	0.03682	0.036565	-0.69%	0.04312	+17.11%	0.0446	✓	0.93
2026-07-31	oos	0.03668	0.036362	-0.87%	0.0429	+16.96%	0.0324	✓	0.93
2026-07-30	oos	0.03654	0.036352	-0.51%	0.04576	+25.23%	0.0476	✗	0.96
2026-07-29	oos	0.03593	0.035528	-1.12%	0.04582	+27.53%	0.0668	✗	0.95
2026-07-28	oos	0.037405	0.037102	-0.81%	0.04507	+20.49%	0.0223	✓	0.95
2026-07-27	oos	0.0374	0.037142	-0.69%	0.045655	+22.07%	0.0023	✓	0.95
2026-07-26	oos	0.04009	0.039857	-0.58%	0.04334	+8.11%	0.0823	✓	0.90
2026-07-25	oos	0.03937	0.039229	-0.36%	0.04452	+13.08%	0.0591	✓	0.90
2026-07-24	oos	0.039155	0.039216	+0.16%	0.04415	+12.76%	0.0543	✗	0.90
2026-07-23	oos	0.039225	0.039448	+0.57%	0.04412	+12.48%	0.0407	✗	0.90
2026-07-22	oos	0.03986	0.040191	+0.83%	0.04245	+6.50%	0.0977	✗	0.90
2026-07-21	oos	0.04037	0.040747	+0.93%	0.03886	-3.74%	0.1309	✗	0.90
2026-07-20	oos	0.03972	0.039988	+0.67%	0.03661	-7.83%	0.1414	✗	0.88
2026-07-19	oos	0.03926	0.039458	+0.50%	0.034745	-11.50%	0.1272	✗	0.87
2026-07-18	oos	0.039965	0.040122	+0.39%	0.034945	-12.56%	0.1338	✗	0.88
2026-07-17	oos	0.040115	0.040137	+0.05%	0.03495	-12.88%	0.1235	✗	0.89
2026-07-16	oos	0.03988	0.039867	-0.03%	0.03522	-11.69%	0.1134	✓	0.89
2026-07-15	oos	0.04051	0.040575	+0.16%	0.035005	-13.59%	0.1236	✗	0.88
2026-07-14	oos	0.04028	0.040421	+0.35%	0.03621	-10.10%	0.0884	✗	0.89
2026-07-13	oos	0.03952	0.039513	-0.02%	0.035705	-9.65%	0.1180	✓	0.91
2026-07-12	oos	0.040685	0.040722	+0.09%	0.03619	-11.05%	0.1150	✗	0.91
2026-07-11	oos	0.041745	0.04161	-0.32%	0.036795	-11.86%	0.1249	✓	0.88
2026-07-10	oos	0.04083	0.04072	-0.27%	0.03712	-9.09%	0.1022	✓	0.86
2026-07-09	oos	0.04022	0.040126	-0.23%	0.036595	-9.01%	0.1153	✓	0.86
2026-07-08	oos	0.03999	0.039894	-0.24%	0.036145	-9.61%	0.1341	✓	0.85
2026-07-07	oos	0.040365	0.040332	-0.08%	0.03644	-9.72%	0.1141	✓	0.85
2026-07-06	oos	0.04201	0.041931	-0.19%	0.036075	-14.13%	0.1584	✓	0.85
2026-07-05	oos	0.0425	0.042335	-0.39%	0.03611	-15.04%	0.1653	✓	0.85
2026-07-04	oos	0.042585	0.042419	-0.39%	0.03682	-13.54%	0.1467	✓	0.85
2026-07-03	oos	0.04211	0.041925	-0.44%	0.03635	-13.68%	0.1557	✓	0.83
2026-07-02	oos	0.04088	0.040706	-0.43%	0.03682	-9.93%	0.1173	✓	0.82
2026-07-01	oos	0.04059	0.040368	-0.55%	0.03668	-9.63%	0.1347	✓	0.83
2026-06-30	oos	0.03974	0.039512	-0.57%	0.03654	-8.05%	0.1625	✓	0.84
2026-06-29	oos	0.04106	0.040729	-0.81%	0.03593	-12.49%	0.1755	✓	0.83
2026-06-28	oos	0.04065	0.040316	-0.82%	0.037405	-7.98%	0.1324	✓	0.81
2026-06-27	oos	0.0402	0.039939	-0.65%	0.0374	-6.97%	0.1154	✓	0.82
2026-06-26	oos	0.03971	0.039513	-0.50%	0.04009	+0.96%	0.0549	✓	0.81
2026-06-25	oos	0.03852	0.038454	-0.17%	0.03937	+2.21%	0.0364	✓	0.81
2026-06-24	oos	0.0397	0.039719	+0.05%	0.039155	-1.37%	0.0545	✗	0.81
2026-06-23	oos	0.04059	0.040666	+0.19%	0.039225	-3.36%	0.0672	✗	0.83
2026-06-22	oos	0.04213	0.042213	+0.20%	0.03986	-5.39%	0.0839	✗	0.81
2026-06-21	oos	0.042895	0.042895	-0.00%	0.04037	-5.89%	0.1017	✓	0.81
2026-06-20	oos	0.04333	0.043416	+0.20%	0.03972	-8.33%	0.1010	✗	0.79
2026-06-19	oos	0.042835	0.043054	+0.51%	0.03926	-8.35%	0.1071	✗	0.79
2026-06-18	oos	0.04292	0.043198	+0.65%	0.039965	-6.88%	0.1016	✗	0.79
2026-06-17	oos	0.04516	0.045431	+0.60%	0.040115	-11.17%	0.1177	✗	0.78
2026-06-16	oos	0.04539	0.045648	+0.57%	0.03988	-12.14%	0.1119	✗	0.81
2026-06-15	oos	0.04584	0.046027	+0.41%	0.04051	-11.63%	0.1076	✗	0.84
2026-06-14	oos	0.04489	0.045042	+0.34%	0.04028	-10.27%	0.1029	✗	0.81
2026-06-13	oos	0.04466	0.044829	+0.38%	0.03952	-11.51%	0.0986	✗	0.80
2026-06-12	oos	0.04422	0.044486	+0.60%	0.040685	-7.99%	0.0918	✗	0.80
2026-06-11	oos	0.04449	0.044738	+0.56%	0.041745	-6.17%	0.0719	✗	0.81
2026-06-10	oos	0.04313	0.043386	+0.59%	0.04083	-5.33%	0.0948	✗	0.80
2026-06-09	oos	0.04445	0.044513	+0.14%	0.04022	-9.52%	0.1205	✗	0.80
2026-06-08	oos	0.04614	0.046032	-0.23%	0.03999	-13.33%	0.1303	✓	0.79
2026-06-07	oos	0.04556	0.045485	-0.16%	0.040365	-11.40%	0.1197	✓	0.77
2026-06-06	oos	0.04468	0.044671	-0.02%	0.04201	-5.98%	0.0988	✓	0.74
2026-06-05	oos	0.04436	0.04436	+0.00%	0.0425	-4.19%	0.0712	✗	0.69
2026-06-04	oos	0.04793	0.047454	-0.99%	0.042585	-11.15%	0.1011	✓	0.63
2026-06-03	oos	0.04904	0.048373	-1.36%	0.04211	-14.13%	0.1230	✓	0.65
2026-06-02	oos	0.04824	0.047491	-1.55%	0.04088	-15.26%	0.0931	✓	0.70
2026-06-01	oos	0.05192	0.05075	-2.25%	0.04059	-21.82%	0.1128	✓	0.64
2026-05-31	oos	0.05316	0.051849	-2.47%	0.03974	-25.24%	0.1183	✓	0.65
2026-05-30	oos	0.05059	0.049636	-1.89%	0.04106	-18.84%	0.0761	✓	0.56
2026-05-29	oos	0.05057	0.049665	-1.79%	0.04065	-19.62%	0.0982	✓	0.49
2026-05-28	oos	0.051145	0.050123	-2.00%	0.0402	-21.40%	0.1292	✓	0.45
2026-05-27	oos	0.05224	0.051134	-2.12%	0.03971	-23.99%	0.1228	✓	0.61
2026-05-26	oos	0.05245	0.051585	-1.65%	0.03852	-26.56%	0.1619	✓	0.54
2026-05-25	oos	0.05441	0.053931	-0.88%	0.0397	-27.04%	0.1423	✓	0.69
2026-05-24	oos	0.05319	0.052793	-0.75%	0.04059	-23.69%	0.1261	✓	0.66
2026-05-23	oos	0.05515	0.054486	-1.20%	0.04213	-23.61%	0.1310	✓	0.70
2026-05-22	oos	0.05186	0.05121	-1.25%	0.042895	-17.29%	0.0572	✓	0.68
2026-05-21	oos	0.054185	0.053755	-0.79%	0.04333	-20.03%	0.0905	✓	0.66
2026-05-20	oos	0.05406	0.053648	-0.76%	0.042835	-20.76%	0.0945	✓	0.66
2026-05-19	oos	0.05444	0.053799	-1.18%	0.04292	-21.16%	0.0978	✓	0.64
2026-05-18	oos	0.05526	0.054557	-1.27%	0.04516	-18.28%	0.0815	✓	0.61
2026-05-17	oos	0.05578	0.055164	-1.10%	0.04539	-18.63%	0.0947	✓	0.61
2026-05-16	oos	0.057255	0.056509	-1.30%	0.04584	-19.94%	0.1103	✓	0.60
2026-05-15	oos	0.05763	0.057104	-0.91%	0.04489	-22.11%	0.1271	✓	0.61
2026-05-14	oos	0.059	0.058961	-0.07%	0.04466	-24.31%	0.1370	✓	0.61
2026-05-13	oos	0.058195	0.057691	-0.87%	0.04422	-24.01%	0.1286	✓	0.62
2026-05-12	oos	0.05911	0.058921	-0.32%	0.04449	-24.73%	0.1373	✓	0.61
2026-05-11	oos	0.06026	0.060585	+0.54%	0.04313	-28.43%	0.1718	✗	0.59
2026-05-10	oos	0.06032	0.060776	+0.76%	0.04445	-26.31%	0.1390	✗	0.61
2026-05-09	oos	0.05928	0.059382	+0.17%	0.04614	-22.17%	0.1044	✗	0.60
2026-05-08	oos	0.06016	0.060155	-0.01%	0.04556	-24.27%	0.1381	✓	0.59
2026-05-07	oos	0.05847	0.058516	+0.08%	0.04468	-23.58%	0.1112	✗	0.58
2026-05-06	oos	0.05928	0.059756	+0.80%	0.04436	-25.17%	0.1171	✗	0.63
2026-05-05	oos	0.06141	0.06122	-0.31%	0.04793	-21.95%	0.0740	✓	0.72
2026-05-04	oos	0.05632	0.056237	-0.15%	0.04904	-12.93%	0.0183	✗	0.70
2026-05-03	oos	0.05611	0.055581	-0.94%	0.04824	-14.03%	0.0280	✓	0.69
2026-05-02	oos	0.05647	0.056044	-0.76%	0.05192	-8.06%	0.0090	✓	0.69
2026-05-01	oos	0.05674	0.056245	-0.87%	0.05316	-6.31%	0.0146	✓	0.68
2026-04-30	oos	0.05608	0.055002	-1.92%	0.05059	-9.79%	0.0599	✓	0.70
2026-04-29	oos	0.05712	0.055724	-2.44%	0.05057	-11.47%	0.0746	✓	0.70
2026-04-28	oos	0.05747	0.056263	-2.10%	0.051145	-11.01%	0.0681	✓	0.73
2026-04-27	oos	0.05707	0.056352	-1.26%	0.05224	-8.46%	0.0465	✓	0.73
2026-04-26	oos	0.058385	0.058021	-0.62%	0.05245	-10.17%	0.0741	✓	0.73
2026-04-25	oos	0.05857	0.057935	-1.08%	0.05441	-7.10%	0.0590	✓	0.73
2026-04-24	oos	0.0585	0.057897	-1.03%	0.05319	-9.08%	0.0802	✓	0.74
2026-04-23	oos	0.05819	0.058053	-0.24%	0.05515	-5.22%	0.0358	✓	0.74
2026-04-22	oos	0.0583	0.05817	-0.22%	0.05186	-11.05%	0.0883	✓	0.74
2026-04-21	oos	0.05854	0.057702	-1.43%	0.054185	-7.44%	0.0745	✓	0.74
2026-04-20	oos	0.05884	0.058138	-1.19%	0.05406	-8.12%	0.0884	✓	0.75
2026-04-19	oos	0.057255	0.056154	-1.92%	0.05444	-4.92%	0.0604	✓	0.75
2026-04-18	oos	0.05909	0.058671	-0.71%	0.05526	-6.48%	0.0718	✓	0.75
2026-04-17	oos	0.060225	0.060402	+0.29%	0.05578	-7.38%	0.0826	✗	0.75
2026-04-16	oos	0.05955	0.05907	-0.81%	0.057255	-3.85%	0.0603	✓	0.76
2026-04-15	oos	0.057685	0.057206	-0.83%	0.05763	-0.10%	0.0340	✓	0.75
2026-04-14	oos	0.05739	0.056816	-1.00%	0.059	+2.81%	0.0299	✓	0.76
2026-04-13	oos	0.05874	0.058122	-1.05%	0.058195	-0.93%	0.0463	✓	0.75
2026-04-12	oos	0.05736	0.055939	-2.48%	0.05911	+3.05%	0.0462	✓	0.79
2026-04-11	oos	0.057815	0.05704	-1.34%	0.06026	+4.23%	0.0334	✓	0.79
2026-04-10	oos	0.05853	0.057644	-1.51%	0.06032	+3.06%	0.0481	✓	0.79
2026-04-09	oos	0.05886	0.057655	-2.05%	0.05928	+0.71%	0.0643	✓	0.79
2026-04-08	oos	0.058485	0.057256	-2.10%	0.06016	+2.86%	0.0459	✓	0.79
2026-04-07	oos	0.06026	0.059045	-2.02%	0.05847	-2.97%	0.0940	✓	0.79
2026-04-06	oos	0.05834	0.056702	-2.81%	0.05928	+1.61%	0.0875	✓	0.79
2026-04-05	oos	0.05847	0.056929	-2.64%	0.06141	+5.03%	0.0494	✓	0.79
2026-04-04	oos	0.05871	0.056928	-3.03%	0.05632	-4.07%	0.1476	✓	0.80
2026-04-03	oos	0.05933	0.057578	-2.95%	0.05611	-5.43%	0.1540	✓	0.80
2026-04-02	oos	0.0572	0.055738	-2.56%	0.05647	-1.28%	0.1173	✓	0.80
2026-04-01	oos	0.05917	0.057753	-2.40%	0.05674	-4.11%	0.1286	✓	0.80
2026-03-31	oos	0.05845	0.057274	-2.01%	0.05608	-4.05%	0.1108	✓	0.80
2026-03-30	oos	0.05936	0.058168	-2.01%	0.05712	-3.77%	0.1215	✓	0.82
2026-03-29	oos	0.05845	0.057326	-1.92%	0.05747	-1.68%	0.1145	✓	0.80
2026-03-28	oos	0.05739	0.056593	-1.39%	0.05707	-0.56%	0.1149	✓	0.80
2026-03-27	oos	0.05606	0.055481	-1.03%	0.058385	+4.15%	0.0853	✓	0.80
2026-03-26	oos	0.05837	0.058484	+0.20%	0.05857	+0.34%	0.0959	✗	0.80
2026-03-25	oos	0.06112	0.061784	+1.09%	0.0585	-4.29%	0.1204	✗	0.79
2026-03-24	oos	0.062585	0.063342	+1.21%	0.05819	-7.02%	0.1681	✗	0.80
2026-03-23	oos	0.05997	0.061166	+1.99%	0.0583	-2.78%	0.1268	✗	0.80
2026-03-22	oos	0.05921	0.060135	+1.56%	0.05854	-1.13%	0.1228	✗	0.81
2026-03-21	oos	0.06062	0.061889	+2.09%	0.05884	-2.94%	0.1285	✗	0.81
2026-03-20	oos	0.06216	0.063815	+2.66%	0.057255	-7.89%	0.1457	✗	0.81
2026-03-19	oos	0.06104	0.062669	+2.67%	0.05909	-3.19%	0.1232	✗	0.81
2026-03-18	oos	0.065885	0.067256	+2.08%	0.060225	-8.59%	0.1739	✗	0.80
2026-03-17	oos	0.07013	0.071472	+1.91%	0.05955	-15.09%	0.1955	✗	0.79
2026-03-16	oos	0.06463	0.066381	+2.71%	0.057685	-10.75%	0.1399	✗	0.81
2026-03-15	oos	0.06408	0.065659	+2.46%	0.05739	-10.44%	0.1496	✗	0.82
2026-03-14	oos	0.06369	0.06515	+2.29%	0.05874	-7.77%	0.1399	✗	0.82
2026-03-13	oos	0.05895	0.060558	+2.73%	0.05736	-2.70%	0.0521	✗	0.82
2026-03-12	oos	0.0603	0.061747	+2.40%	0.057815	-4.12%	0.0951	✗	0.83
2026-03-11	oos	0.05837	0.059741	+2.35%	0.05853	+0.27%	0.0525	✗	0.82
2026-03-10	oos	0.0595	0.060828	+2.23%	0.05886	-1.08%	0.0542	✗	0.82
2026-03-09	oos	0.0609	0.061948	+1.72%	0.058485	-3.97%	0.0893	✗	0.83
2026-03-08	oos	0.06144	0.062168	+1.19%	0.06026	-1.92%	0.1051	✗	0.86
2026-03-07	oos	0.0565	0.057633	+2.00%	0.05834	+3.26%	0.0084	✓	0.88
2026-03-06	oos	0.05531	0.056418	+2.00%	0.05847	+5.71%	0.0243	✓	0.87
2026-03-05	oos	0.05819	0.059262	+1.84%	0.05871	+0.89%	0.0357	✓	0.87
2026-03-04	oos	0.0597	0.060635	+1.57%	0.05933	-0.62%	0.0489	✓	0.86
2026-03-03	oos	0.0579	0.058963	+1.84%	0.0572	-1.21%	0.0115	✓	0.88
2026-03-02	oos	0.0607	0.061531	+1.37%	0.05917	-2.52%	0.0299	✗	0.88
2026-03-01	oos	0.0638	0.064132	+0.52%	0.05845	-8.39%	0.1268	✗	0.93
2026-02-28	oos	0.0564	0.057447	+1.86%	0.05936	+5.25%	0.0361	✓	0.96
2026-02-27	oos	0.0614	0.061855	+0.74%	0.05845	-4.80%	0.0581	✗	0.99
2026-02-26	oos	0.0793	0.077154	-2.71%	0.05739	-27.63%	0.2798	✓	0.92
2026-02-25	oos	0.059	0.059436	+0.74%	0.05606	-4.98%	0.0355	✗	0.94
2026-02-24	oos	0.0511	0.051965	+1.69%	0.05837	+14.23%	0.0548	✓	0.87
2026-02-23	oos	0.046	0.047294	+2.81%	0.06112	+32.87%	0.1722	✓	0.86
2026-02-22	oos	0.0487	0.049886	+2.44%	0.062585	+28.51%	0.1911	✓	0.84
2026-02-21	oos	0.0491	0.050212	+2.27%	0.05997	+22.14%	0.1419	✓	0.85
2026-02-20	oos	0.0503	0.051344	+2.08%	0.05921	+17.71%	0.1443	✓	0.85
2026-02-19	oos	0.0511	0.051931	+1.63%	0.06062	+18.63%	0.1304	✓	0.85
2026-02-18	oos	0.0559	0.055954	+0.10%	0.06216	+11.20%	0.0534	✓	0.87
2026-02-17	oos	0.052	0.052665	+1.28%	0.06104	+17.38%	0.1163	✓	0.88
2026-02-16	oos	0.0528	0.053405	+1.15%	0.065885	+24.78%	0.1802	✓	0.88
2026-02-15	oos	0.05245	0.053029	+1.10%	0.07013	+33.71%	0.2164	✓	0.88
2026-02-14	oos	0.05455	0.054893	+0.63%	0.06463	+18.48%	0.1019	✓	0.87
2026-02-13	oos	0.0534	0.053852	+0.85%	0.06408	+20.00%	0.1245	✓	0.87
2026-02-12	oos	0.0517	0.052317	+1.19%	0.06369	+23.19%	0.1330	✓	0.87
2026-02-11	oos	0.0507	0.051413	+1.41%	0.05895	+16.27%	0.0889	✓	0.84
2026-02-10	oos	0.0503	0.051079	+1.55%	0.0603	+19.88%	0.1445	✓	0.87
2026-02-09	oos	0.0526	0.053186	+1.11%	0.05837	+10.97%	0.0917	✓	0.86
2026-02-08	oos	0.0515	0.0522	+1.36%	0.0595	+15.53%	0.1348	✓	0.85
2026-02-07	oos	0.05305	0.053595	+1.03%	0.0609	+14.80%	0.1379	✓	0.86
2026-02-06	oos	0.0523	0.05277	+0.90%	0.06144	+17.48%	0.2095	✓	0.86
2026-02-05	oos	0.0477	0.048528	+1.74%	0.0565	+18.45%	0.0922	✓	0.87
2026-02-04	oos	0.0549	0.054755	-0.26%	0.05531	+0.75%	0.0723	✗	0.90
2026-02-03	oos	0.0559	0.055417	-0.86%	0.05819	+4.10%	0.1068	✗	0.89
2026-02-02	oos	0.0559	0.055106	-1.42%	0.0597	+6.80%	0.1543	✗	0.94
2026-02-01	oos	0.05635	0.055374	-1.73%	0.0579	+2.75%	0.1570	✗	0.95
2026-01-31	oos	0.0561	0.054972	-2.01%	0.0607	+8.20%	0.2354	✗	1.02
2026-01-30	oos	0.06015	0.05855	-2.66%	0.0638	+6.07%	0.3369	✗	1.02
2026-01-29	oos	0.0598	0.058218	-2.65%	0.0564	-5.69%	0.2065	✗	1.02
2026-01-28	oos	0.06475	0.063433	-2.03%	0.0614	-5.17%	0.2684	✗	0.99
2026-01-27	oos	0.066	0.064526	-2.23%	0.0793	+20.15%	0.4875	✗	1.01
2026-01-26	oos	0.0657	0.064068	-2.48%	0.059	-10.20%	0.1776	✗	1.00
2026-01-25	oos	0.0637	0.062109	-2.50%	0.0511	-19.78%	0.1041	✗	0.99
2026-01-24	oos	0.0656	0.064273	-2.02%	0.046	-29.88%	0.0152	✓	0.99
2026-01-23	oos	0.06565	0.064482	-1.78%	0.0487	-25.82%	0.0008	✓	1.00
2026-01-22	oos	0.0646	0.063629	-1.50%	0.0491	-23.99%	0.0148	✓	1.00
2026-01-21	oos	0.06535	0.064352	-1.53%	0.0503	-23.03%	0.0264	✗	1.00
2026-01-20	oos	0.0637	0.062657	-1.64%	0.0511	-19.78%	0.0656	✗	0.97
2026-01-19	oos	0.0672	0.066558	-0.96%	0.0559	-16.82%	0.1467	✗	0.97
2026-01-18	oos	0.0685	0.067862	-0.93%	0.052	-24.09%	0.0509	✗	0.97
2026-01-17	oos	0.0712	0.070806	-0.55%	0.0528	-25.84%	0.0135	✗	0.95
2026-01-16	oos	0.0718	0.071506	-0.41%	0.05245	-26.95%	0.0027	✓	0.95
2026-01-15	oos	0.071	0.070965	-0.05%	0.05455	-23.17%	0.0367	✗	0.95
2026-01-14	oos	0.07465	0.074978	+0.44%	0.0534	-28.47%	0.0164	✗	0.94
2026-01-13	oos	0.07535	0.07551	+0.21%	0.0517	-31.39%	0.0276	✗	0.96
2026-01-12	oos	0.06985	0.069556	-0.42%	0.0507	-27.42%	0.0324	✓	0.92
2026-01-11	oos	0.0719	0.071782	-0.16%	0.0503	-30.04%	0.0958	✓	0.93
2026-01-10	oos	0.07405	0.073834	-0.29%	0.0526	-28.97%	0.0982	✓	0.95
2026-01-09	oos	0.07605	0.075631	-0.55%	0.0515	-32.28%	0.1324	✓	1.00
2026-01-08	oos	0.07755	0.077246	-0.39%	0.05305	-31.59%	0.1086	✓	0.98
2026-01-07	oos	0.0741	0.074022	-0.11%	0.0523	-29.42%	0.0049	✓	1.33
2026-01-06	oos	0.0745	0.074518	+0.02%	0.0477	-35.97%	0.0928	✓	1.35
2026-01-05	oos	0.0732	0.073135	-0.09%	0.0549	-25.00%	0.0522	✗	1.35
2026-01-04	oos	0.0707	0.070444	-0.36%	0.0559	-20.93%	0.0260	✗	1.35
2026-01-03	oos	0.0695	0.06936	-0.20%	0.0559	-19.57%	0.0246	✓	1.35
2026-01-02	oos	0.0678	0.067826	+0.04%	0.05635	-16.89%	0.0259	✓	1.35
2026-01-01	oos	0.0667	0.066802	+0.15%	0.0561	-15.89%	0.0124	✗	1.34
2025-12-31	oos	0.0654	0.065636	+0.36%	0.06015	-8.03%	0.0344	✗	1.34
2025-12-30	oos	0.0689	0.06915	+0.36%	0.0598	-13.21%	0.0857	✗	1.33
2025-12-29	oos	0.0722	0.072102	-0.14%	0.06475	-10.32%	0.1392	✓	1.36
2025-12-28	oos	0.07	0.070125	+0.18%	0.066	-5.71%	0.0798	✗	1.37
2025-12-27	oos	0.0685	0.068678	+0.26%	0.0657	-4.09%	0.0511	✗	1.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.06445	0.064805	+0.55%	0.0637	-1.16%	0.0060	✗	1.33
2025-12-25	oos	0.0647	0.065137	+0.67%	0.0656	+1.39%	0.0217	✗	1.33
2025-12-24	oos	0.0644	0.064879	+0.74%	0.06565	+1.94%	0.0163	✗	1.33
2025-12-23	oos	0.06405	0.064683	+0.99%	0.0646	+0.86%	0.0322	✗	1.34
2025-12-22	oos	0.06415	0.065142	+1.55%	0.06535	+1.87%	0.0090	✓	1.34
2025-12-21	oos	0.0632	0.064262	+1.68%	0.0637	+0.79%	0.0038	✓	1.34
2025-12-20	oos	0.0645	0.065494	+1.54%	0.0672	+4.19%	0.0379	✗	1.36
2025-12-19	oos	0.0646	0.065605	+1.56%	0.0685	+6.04%	0.0397	✗	1.36
2025-12-18	oos	0.0611	0.06168	+0.95%	0.0712	+16.53%	0.0005	✓	1.35
2025-12-17	oos	0.06245	0.06289	+0.70%	0.0718	+14.97%	0.0056	✓	1.35
2025-12-16	oos	0.06615	0.066584	+0.66%	0.071	+7.33%	0.0488	✗	1.34
2025-12-15	oos	0.066	0.066279	+0.42%	0.07465	+13.11%	0.0360	✗	1.35
2025-12-14	oos	0.06825	0.068592	+0.50%	0.07535	+10.40%	0.0116	✗	1.34
2025-12-13	oos	0.07075	0.07119	+0.62%	0.06985	-1.27%	0.0328	✗	1.34
2025-12-12	oos	0.0698	0.070371	+0.82%	0.0719	+3.01%	0.0127	✓	1.34
2025-12-11	oos	0.07115	0.071885	+1.03%	0.07405	+4.08%	0.0617	✓	1.35
2025-12-10	oos	0.07295	0.073507	+0.76%	0.07605	+4.25%	0.0566	✓	1.36
2025-12-09	oos	0.0745	0.075004	+0.68%	0.07755	+4.09%	0.0579	✓	1.35
2025-12-08	oos	0.0725	0.072963	+0.64%	0.0741	+2.21%	0.0062	✓	1.34
2025-12-07	oos	0.0723	0.072822	+0.72%	0.0745	+3.04%	0.0256	✗	1.34
2025-12-06	oos	0.07495	0.075234	+0.38%	0.0732	-2.33%	0.0958	✗	1.36
2025-12-05	oos	0.0741	0.074505	+0.55%	0.0707	-4.59%	0.0848	✗	1.36
2025-12-04	oos	0.07555	0.076008	+0.61%	0.0695	-8.01%	0.0670	✗	1.38
2025-12-03	oos	0.0772	0.077916	+0.93%	0.0678	-12.18%	0.0865	✗	1.38
2025-12-02	oos	0.0759	0.076721	+1.08%	0.0667	-12.12%	0.1004	✗	1.39
2025-12-01	oos	0.0728	0.073557	+1.04%	0.0654	-10.16%	0.1377	✗	1.44
2025-11-30	oos	0.0765	0.077496	+1.30%	0.0689	-9.93%	0.0854	✗	1.46
2025-11-29	oos	0.0779	0.078927	+1.32%	0.0722	-7.32%	0.0286	✗	1.45
2025-11-28	oos	0.0773	0.078285	+1.27%	0.07	-9.44%	0.0629	✗	1.45
2025-11-27	oos	0.0784	0.079296	+1.14%	0.0685	-12.63%	0.0896	✗	1.45
2025-11-26	oos	0.07625	0.077248	+1.31%	0.06445	-15.48%	0.1301	✗	1.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.0766	0.077424	+1.08%	0.0647	-15.54%	0.1769	✗	1.48
2025-11-24	oos	0.0744	0.075423	+1.38%	0.0644	-13.44%	0.1468	✗	1.49
2025-11-23	oos	0.0723	0.073394	+1.51%	0.06405	-11.41%	0.1468	✗	1.49
2025-11-22	oos	0.0716	0.072605	+1.40%	0.06415	-10.41%	0.1912	✗	1.51
2025-11-21	oos	0.07155	0.072587	+1.45%	0.0632	-11.67%	0.2003	✗	1.50
2025-11-20	oos	0.0737	0.074592	+1.21%	0.0645	-12.48%	0.1761	✗	1.50
2025-11-19	oos	0.0766	0.07748	+1.15%	0.0646	-15.67%	0.1226	✗	1.58
2025-11-18	oos	0.0769	0.077862	+1.25%	0.0611	-20.55%	0.1101	✗	1.58
2025-11-17	oos	0.0759	0.076858	+1.26%	0.06245	-17.72%	0.1022	✗	1.59
2025-11-16	oos	0.077	0.078003	+1.30%	0.06615	-14.09%	0.0532	✗	1.60
2025-11-15	oos	0.07925	0.080204	+1.20%	0.066	-16.72%	0.0340	✗	1.60
2025-11-14	oos	0.07825	0.079456	+1.54%	0.06825	-12.78%	0.0409	✗	1.60
2025-11-13	oos	0.07785	0.079311	+1.88%	0.07075	-9.12%	0.0577	✓	1.74
2025-11-12	oos	0.0851	0.086389	+1.51%	0.0698	-17.98%	0.0109	✓	1.71
2025-11-11	oos	0.0839	0.085195	+1.54%	0.07115	-15.20%	0.0046	✓	1.72
2025-11-10	oos	0.0852	0.086259	+1.24%	0.07295	-14.38%	0.0762	✓	1.73
2025-11-09	oos	0.08535	0.086175	+0.97%	0.0745	-12.71%	0.0668	✓	1.74
2025-11-08	oos	0.08555	0.086232	+0.80%	0.0725	-15.25%	0.0409	✓	1.78
2025-11-07	oos	0.0872	0.087699	+0.57%	0.0723	-17.09%	0.0384	✓	1.74
2025-11-06	oos	0.07805	0.078929	+1.13%	0.07495	-3.97%	0.1617	✓	1.69
2025-11-05	oos	0.077	0.078062	+1.38%	0.0741	-3.77%	0.2078	✓	1.73
2025-11-04	oos	0.07335	0.074578	+1.67%	0.07555	+3.00%	0.1798	✓	1.72
2025-11-03	oos	0.0765	0.077751	+1.63%	0.0772	+0.92%	0.2276	✓	1.79
2025-11-02	oos	0.0856	0.086715	+1.30%	0.0759	-11.33%	0.2001	✓	1.74
2025-11-01	oos	0.08575	0.086923	+1.37%	0.0728	-15.10%	0.2489	✓	1.75
2025-10-31	oos	0.08415	0.085217	+1.27%	0.0765	-9.09%	0.2277	✓	1.74
2025-10-30	oos	0.0826	0.083586	+1.19%	0.0779	-5.69%	0.2362	✓	1.74
2025-10-29	oos	0.08805	0.088661	+0.69%	0.0773	-12.21%	0.1910	✓	1.72
2025-10-28	oos	0.088	0.08892	+1.05%	0.0784	-10.91%	0.2487	✓	1.77
2025-10-27	oos	0.0911	0.091592	+0.54%	0.07625	-16.30%	0.2252	✓	1.76
2025-10-26	oos	0.09295	0.093067	+0.13%	0.0766	-17.59%	0.2830	✓	1.76
2025-10-25	oos	0.0902	0.089871	-0.36%	0.0744	-17.52%	0.2298	✗	1.78
2025-10-24	oos	0.0905	0.089841	-0.73%	0.0723	-20.11%	0.2223	✗	1.79
2025-10-23	oos	0.08985	0.088748	-1.23%	0.0716	-20.31%	0.2541	✗	1.79
2025-10-22	oos	0.09025	0.088865	-1.53%	0.07155	-20.72%	0.2093	✗	1.81
2025-10-21	oos	0.0916	0.090075	-1.67%	0.0737	-19.54%	0.2080	✗	1.82
2025-10-20	oos	0.09385	0.092129	-1.83%	0.0766	-18.38%	0.1648	✗	1.84
2025-10-19	oos	0.09405	0.092414	-1.74%	0.0769	-18.23%	0.1057	✗	1.85
2025-10-18	oos	0.09235	0.090877	-1.59%	0.0759	-17.81%	0.1009	✗	1.85
2025-10-17	oos	0.09185	0.090684	-1.27%	0.077	-16.17%	0.0626	✗	1.85
2025-10-16	oos	0.0938	0.093031	-0.82%	0.07925	-15.51%	0.0700	✗	1.85
2025-10-15	oos	0.0974	0.097247	-0.16%	0.07825	-19.66%	0.0768	✗	1.85
2025-10-14	oos	0.1006	0.101123	+0.52%	0.07785	-22.61%	0.0269	✗	1.85
2025-10-13	oos	0.1041	0.105124	+0.98%	0.0851	-18.25%	0.0226	✓	1.86
2025-10-12	oos	0.0988	0.09995	+1.16%	0.0839	-15.08%	0.0269	✓	1.82
2025-10-11	oos	0.0914	0.091793	+0.43%	0.0852	-6.78%	0.0052	✓	1.80
2025-10-10	oos	0.0898	0.090304	+0.56%	0.08535	-4.96%	0.0842	✓	1.84
2025-10-09	oos	0.11885	0.121109	+1.90%	0.08555	-28.02%	0.1128	✗	1.35
2025-10-08	oos	0.12145	0.124199	+2.26%	0.0872	-28.20%	0.1134	✗	1.35
2025-10-07	oos	0.11815	0.120472	+1.96%	0.07805	-33.94%	0.1989	✗	1.30
2025-10-06	oos	0.1242	0.127406	+2.58%	0.077	-38.00%	0.2689	✗	1.28
2025-10-05	oos	0.12215	0.125124	+2.43%	0.07335	-39.95%	0.2819	✗	1.28
2025-10-04	oos	0.12205	0.124801	+2.25%	0.0765	-37.32%	0.3122	✗	1.27
2025-10-03	oos	0.12595	0.128492	+2.02%	0.0856	-32.04%	0.2772	✗	1.27
2025-10-02	oos	0.1248	0.126716	+1.54%	0.08575	-31.29%	0.2734	✗	1.28
2025-10-01	oos	0.12445	0.125669	+0.98%	0.08415	-32.38%	0.2974	✗	1.30
2025-09-30	oos	0.1172	0.117615	+0.35%	0.0826	-29.52%	0.2873	✗	1.28
2025-09-29	oos	0.11775	0.117919	+0.14%	0.08805	-25.22%	0.2407	✗	1.33
2025-09-28	oos	0.1185	0.117796	-0.59%	0.088	-25.74%	0.3003	✓	1.38
2025-09-27	oos	0.1174	0.115943	-1.24%	0.0911	-22.40%	0.2963	✓	1.40
2025-09-26	oos	0.11805	0.1164	-1.40%	0.09295	-21.26%	0.2860	✓	1.41
2025-09-25	oos	0.1149	0.113082	-1.58%	0.0902	-21.50%	0.2596	✓	1.41
2025-09-24	oos	0.12285	0.120946	-1.55%	0.0905	-26.33%	0.2616	✓	1.38
2025-09-23	oos	0.12205	0.120163	-1.55%	0.08985	-26.38%	0.2669	✓	1.39
2025-09-22	oos	0.12175	0.119987	-1.45%	0.09025	-25.87%	0.2205	✓	1.38
2025-09-21	oos	0.1298	0.12765	-1.66%	0.0916	-29.43%	0.2488	✓	1.34
2025-09-20	oos	0.1324	0.129867	-1.91%	0.09385	-29.12%	0.2616	✓	1.38
2025-09-19	oos	0.13165	0.129013	-2.00%	0.09405	-28.56%	0.2296	✓	1.38
2025-09-18	oos	0.1366	0.133804	-2.05%	0.09235	-32.39%	0.2485	✓	1.38

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.