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2022-09-11 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 192 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2442
192 of 192 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.5%
in alpha space · 92.7% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (192 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.064190.064464+0.43%0.06166-3.94%0.0221✓0.49123k2022-10-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06275.0727+0.20%4.1004-19.01%0.2043✗0.06117k2022-10-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1830.182245-0.41%0.148-19.13%0.0494✓1.171,7442022-10-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.1861.6859-0.79%52.01-16.36%0.0288✓1.0413.5M2022-10-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-79.03e-7-0.80%7.70e-7-15.38%0.0572✓0.7515k2022-10-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,663.6021,482.17-0.84%19,028.40-12.16%0.0033✓0.9213k2022-10-11
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6390.8168-0.89%71.42-22.06%0.0319✓1.535.6M2022-10-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.23120.229146-0.89%0.1522-34.17%0.3049✓0.7766k2022-10-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063090.006249-0.96%0.006021-4.56%0.0152✗0.3830k2022-10-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8811-0.99%2.27+19.47%0.2528✗0.4861k2022-10-11
GTGateEthereum4.33014.2794-1.17%4.365+0.81%0.1194✗0.73690k2022-10-11
STEEMSteemnative0.2350.232139-1.22%0.2305-1.91%0.1110✗0.87503k2022-10-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131930.013017-1.34%0.010365-21.44%0.1129✓0.85920k2022-10-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.555060.547619-1.34%0.42218-23.94%0.0780✓1.3439k2022-10-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.050108-1.36%0.0515+1.38%0.1556✗0.94234k2022-10-11
DIADIAEthereum0.405260.399349-1.46%0.38304-5.48%0.0961✗1.0132k2022-10-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012930.012741-1.46%0.0104-19.57%0.1134✓0.66233k2022-10-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06110.060169-1.52%0.0499-18.33%0.0707✓0.8682k2022-10-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5150.506953-1.56%0.336-34.76%0.2442✓1.234,2692022-10-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23030.226671-1.58%0.1864-19.06%0.0740✓0.8957k2022-10-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.8927.444-1.60%23.25-16.64%0.0274✓1.026.8M2022-10-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.020959-1.60%0.0178-16.43%0.0819✓0.60206k2022-10-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.3964-1.66%1.52+7.04%0.0655✗-0.14124k2022-10-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03930.038612-1.75%0.0324-17.56%0.0367✓1.0288k2022-10-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9277880.909912-1.93%0.762754-17.79%0.0581✓0.8749k2022-10-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.45453.366-2.00%47.915-12.01%0.0100✓0.87275k2022-10-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6490.635815-2.03%0.562-13.41%0.0164✓1.03178k2022-10-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331390.324635-2.04%0.33684+1.64%0.1323✗0.70326k2022-10-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42550.416756-2.06%0.313-26.44%0.1358✓1.11202k2022-10-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,831.7221,378.98-2.07%19,058.11-12.70%0.0210✓1.00473.4M2022-10-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.22155.9047-2.08%144.57-9.20%0.0579✗0.981.3M2022-10-11
FISStafiEthereum0.35010.342754-2.10%0.3202-8.54%0.0748✗1.057782022-10-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10270.100473-2.17%0.0794-22.69%0.1310✓0.772,6892022-10-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.097476-2.23%0.105+5.32%0.2112✗1.01336k2022-10-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174140.170195-2.27%0.15473-11.15%0.0112✓0.783512022-10-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073070.071398-2.29%0.05605-23.29%0.1098✓0.977022022-10-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0065370.006384-2.33%0.005604-14.27%0.0393✓0.672,0442022-10-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.7559.52-2.41%8.744-10.36%0.0324✗0.861.2M2022-10-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02550.024879-2.44%0.02204-13.57%0.0323✗1.132,9142022-10-11
ZECZcashZcash64.2762.6828-2.47%51.54-19.81%0.0355✓1.181.2M2022-10-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.134327-2.52%0.1203-12.70%0.0419✗1.122.9M2022-10-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.073491-2.61%0.06085-19.36%0.0510✓1.0124k2022-10-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.001517-2.65%0.001486-4.62%0.0839✗0.77353k2022-10-11
QNTQuantEthereum108.82105.8425-2.74%153.96+41.48%0.5042✗0.953.5M2022-10-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.1270.123494-2.76%0.1155-9.06%0.0662✓0.0183k2022-10-11
DASHDashDash48.3546.983-2.83%41.25-14.68%0.0164✓1.08321k2022-10-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13330.129522-2.83%0.118-11.48%0.0680✗1.191.4M2022-10-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218870.021265-2.84%0.018475-15.59%0.0563✓0.6212k2022-10-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004190.004071-2.85%0.00336-19.81%0.0633✓0.95103k2022-10-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.045257-2.96%0.03846-17.54%0.0752✓0.6414k2022-10-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.644.5022-2.97%3.71-20.04%0.1095✓0.621.4M2022-10-11
XEMNEMnative0.0467850.04538-3.00%0.039437-15.71%0.0189✓0.8928k2022-10-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.006610.006404-3.11%0.00472-28.59%0.2182✓0.64911k2022-10-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97480.943981-3.16%0.7788-20.11%0.0197✓1.27899k2022-10-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012990.000012579-3.16%0.00001023-21.25%0.0684✓1.021.0M2022-10-11
MOVRMoonriverBase12.886612.4735-3.21%10.4764-18.70%0.0355✓1.0222k2022-10-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29230.282869-3.23%0.2614-10.57%0.0590✗1.022.6M2022-10-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03960.038322-3.23%0.03308-16.46%0.0533✓0.692,1832022-10-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1831.1444-3.26%0.8192-30.75%0.1224✓1.564.4M2022-10-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.048063-3.29%0.0383-22.94%0.1115✓0.85138k2022-10-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21410.20683-3.40%0.1798-16.02%0.0079✓1.09138k2022-10-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.351690.339446-3.48%0.2823-19.73%0.0378✓1.0834k2022-10-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5120.494159-3.48%0.4268-16.64%0.0136✓1.18384k2022-10-11
SGBSongbirdnative0.02680.025865-3.49%0.0193-27.99%0.2209✓0.5350k2022-10-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06450.062247-3.49%0.0631-2.17%0.1538✗1.0379k2022-10-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.08631.0482-3.51%0.922593-15.07%0.0231✓0.7734k2022-10-11
SOLSolanaSolana35.0133.7812-3.51%30.8-12.03%0.0716✗1.2154.5M2022-10-11
ADACardanoCardano0.51010.492181-3.51%0.3906-23.43%0.0942✓1.0138.3M2022-10-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.274706-3.61%0.233-18.25%0.0585✓0.78563k2022-10-11
PROPropyEthereum0.720.693841-3.63%0.56-22.22%0.1828✓0.2346k2022-10-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.7822.6801-3.66%2.134-23.29%0.1211✓0.79586k2022-10-11
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.77e-7-3.67%7.60e-7-16.48%0.0415✓0.741.7M2022-10-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016360.001575-3.70%0.001366-16.50%0.0500✓0.686,5532022-10-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9632.8522-3.74%2.062-30.41%0.1116✓1.572.9M2022-10-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.6551.5927-3.76%1.496-9.61%0.0388✗0.7536k2022-10-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,766.951,700.22-3.78%1,279.94-27.56%0.0976✓1.37575.8M2022-10-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11560.111053-3.93%0.0922-20.24%0.0670✓0.88169k2022-10-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.35125.1928-3.96%111.17-14.71%0.0423✗1.194.4M2022-10-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21060.202142-4.02%0.1451-31.10%0.1748✓1.15108k2022-10-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.988.6167-4.05%7.02-21.83%0.1234✓0.602.4M2022-10-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03720.035668-4.12%0.0355-4.57%0.1141✗0.877,8252022-10-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.14.8885-4.15%4.82-5.49%0.1034✗0.86859k2022-10-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1736.8749-4.16%5.226-27.14%0.1370✓1.014.3M2022-10-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.1726-4.17%3.34-23.29%0.1720✓0.372.2M2022-10-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5171.4537-4.17%1.432-5.60%0.1376✗1.1271k2022-10-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.30663.1672-4.22%2.6817-18.90%0.0244✓1.0419k2022-10-11
ZENHorizenBase16.4715.7715-4.24%12.5-24.10%0.0623✓1.2584k2022-10-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.803760.769413-4.27%0.64753-19.44%0.0178✓1.14584k2022-10-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0637030.060941-4.34%0.060216-5.47%0.1253✗1.011.3M2022-10-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3137870.300103-4.36%0.252068-19.67%0.0404✓0.99471k2022-10-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5130.490552-4.38%0.383-25.34%0.1031✓1.067,7812022-10-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92411.8385-4.45%1.6014-16.77%0.0141✓1.1223k2022-10-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09410.089891-4.47%0.0796-15.41%0.0129✓0.9914k2022-10-11
HIVEHivenative0.57920.553237-4.48%0.5306-8.39%0.0427✓0.62826k2022-10-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023320.022272-4.49%0.0222-4.80%0.1411✗1.069.7M2022-10-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1143870.109202-4.53%0.116096+1.49%0.1815✗0.896.4M2022-10-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.644931-4.60%0.553-18.20%0.0018✓1.153.5M2022-10-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143820.137177-4.62%0.12111-15.79%0.0402✓1.21151k2022-10-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5815.8069-4.66%14.48-12.67%0.0190✓0.791.5M2022-10-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4054.1973-4.72%3.254-26.13%0.1811✓0.542.3M2022-10-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0423220.040317-4.74%0.036015-14.90%0.0411✓0.5323k2022-10-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009440.008992-4.75%0.00556-41.10%0.3497✓0.963.2M2022-10-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.008039-4.75%0.00619-26.66%0.1011✓1.18406k2022-10-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6919.6946-4.81%15.96-22.86%0.0240✓1.3718.0M2022-10-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2783.1184-4.87%2.858-12.81%0.0363✓0.38720k2022-10-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074140.070523-4.88%0.07114-4.05%0.0271✓0.14378k2022-10-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32640.310441-4.89%0.3177-2.67%0.1572✗0.995.9M2022-10-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177890.169165-4.90%0.14363-19.26%0.0189✓1.07268k2022-10-11
XECeCashnative0.000045620.000043375-4.92%0.000038-16.70%0.0122✓0.882.5M2022-10-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9740.926048-4.92%0.833-14.48%0.0573✗1.201.5M2022-10-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.1680.159669-4.96%0.1567-6.73%0.1613✗1.321,0012022-10-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05010.047612-4.97%0.0362-27.74%0.1157✓1.17536k2022-10-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029040.002758-5.01%0.002081-28.34%0.1597✓0.901.2M2022-10-11
STXStacksnative0.39030.370705-5.02%0.3122-20.01%0.0253✓1.08324k2022-10-11
XTZTezosTezos1.68551.6005-5.04%1.3396-20.52%0.0334✓1.06241k2022-10-11
XVGVergenative0.003810.003617-5.07%0.00325-14.70%0.0305✓1.01481k2022-10-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1395.8274-5.08%4.3-29.96%0.2142✓0.663.1M2022-10-11
APEApeCoinEthereum5.6825.3915-5.11%4.693-17.41%0.0527✗1.416.4M2022-10-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2511.1866-5.15%1.022-18.31%0.0224✓0.931.1M2022-10-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.576.2291-5.19%4.92-25.11%0.1622✓0.542.1M2022-10-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.291460.276331-5.19%0.21515-26.18%0.1284✓0.9015k2022-10-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.8381.7416-5.24%1.592-13.38%0.0494✓1.02627k2022-10-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06620.062721-5.25%0.0548-17.22%0.0318✓1.23555k2022-10-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02750.97342-5.26%0.9454-7.99%0.0485✓0.572.6M2022-10-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.30291.2339-5.30%1.2564-3.57%0.1743✗1.151.1M2022-10-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.637.2208-5.36%5.83-23.59%0.0640✓1.10230k2022-10-11
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.018280.017299-5.37%0.014339-21.56%0.0518✓1.008742022-10-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013670.001294-5.37%0.000927-32.21%0.2191✓0.842.2M2022-10-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.037.5977-5.38%7.132-11.18%0.0902✗1.1317.5M2022-10-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51570.487887-5.39%0.3748-27.32%0.1475✓0.85418k2022-10-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2310.6242-5.39%8.81-21.55%0.0021✓1.36298k2022-10-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.88850.840547-5.40%0.8294-6.65%0.1998✗1.5794k2022-10-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0239730.022652-5.51%0.025016+4.35%0.1092✗0.07455k2022-10-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.1295-5.53%4.18-23.02%0.1149✓0.662.0M2022-10-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33280.314366-5.54%0.2783-16.38%0.0205✓1.0575k2022-10-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.2008-5.54%1.67-28.33%0.1008✓1.29227k2022-10-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44450.419711-5.58%0.355-20.13%0.0084✓1.1781k2022-10-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.143254-5.63%0.122-19.63%0.0242✓1.00110k2022-10-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9317.8634-5.63%14.03-25.88%0.1674✓0.55384k2022-10-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7027.2665-5.65%6.18-19.76%0.0032✓1.1710.0M2022-10-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4916.1229-5.67%5.992-7.69%0.1685✗1.406.9M2022-10-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.73510.692642-5.78%0.6398-12.96%0.1292✗1.53226k2022-10-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.85180.802229-5.82%0.75273-11.63%0.0437✓0.7913k2022-10-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5430.511299-5.84%0.426-21.55%0.0162✓1.2274k2022-10-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5613.6802-6.04%11.52-20.88%0.0100✓1.19925k2022-10-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15450.145142-6.06%0.1354-12.36%0.0687✗1.02336k2022-10-11
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2551.8953-6.07%55.84+1.07%0.2483✗1.298,9662022-10-11
KSMKusamaHydration51.948.7458-6.08%40.86-21.27%0.0385✓1.02395k2022-10-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.714.7186-6.25%16.63+5.92%0.2599✗1.011.8M2022-10-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2022.064-6.27%1.57-28.70%0.0994✓1.2832k2022-10-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3691.2826-6.31%1.115-18.55%0.0326✓1.27343k2022-10-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86630.81162-6.31%0.6867-20.73%0.0069✓1.18946k2022-10-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.4623-6.38%1.94-26.24%0.1540✓0.62262k2022-10-11
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8964.5785-6.49%3.171-35.23%0.2314✓1.001.4M2022-10-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.048585-6.57%0.0393-24.42%0.0533✓1.17190k2022-10-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.31451.2274-6.63%1.105-15.94%0.0406✓1.071.0M2022-10-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.736.2826-6.65%5.78-14.12%0.0152✓0.502.1M2022-10-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0113140.010559-6.67%0.009663-14.59%0.0472✓1.006302022-10-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5950.554679-6.78%0.454-23.70%0.0429✓1.1664k2022-10-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11670.108608-6.93%0.0886-24.08%0.0355✓1.242.5M2022-10-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037810.035171-6.98%0.02814-25.58%0.0777✓1.0745k2022-10-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.991.8452-7.28%1.515-23.87%0.0364✓1.7260k2022-10-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0240.948504-7.37%0.853-16.70%0.0509✓0.412.7M2022-10-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.00771.8574-7.48%1.0218-49.11%0.4820✓0.851.4M2022-10-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29290.270897-7.51%0.2043-30.25%0.1354✓1.0883k2022-10-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,194.939,417.78-7.62%7,823.46-23.26%0.0102✓1.444.2M2022-10-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.456780.421527-7.72%0.30021-34.28%0.2027✓1.01379k2022-10-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,656.911,528.84-7.73%1,240.98-25.10%0.0727✓1.003.4M2022-10-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67894.3122-7.84%3.1333-33.03%0.2371✓0.618.1M2022-10-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.632179-7.85%0.555-19.10%0.0162✓1.08111k2022-10-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36190.332892-8.02%0.2662-26.44%0.0631✓1.1872k2022-10-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.33080.304114-8.07%0.255-22.91%0.0725✓0.7684k2022-10-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.69914.4321-8.07%12.174-22.45%0.0060✓1.3018.7M2022-10-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12540.114992-8.30%0.0677-46.01%0.4454✓0.62191k2022-10-11
OPTIMOptimism1.4021.2856-8.31%0.738-47.36%0.3204✓1.732.7M2022-10-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5635.3345-8.36%23.73-38.46%0.1828✓1.5910.6M2022-10-11
METISMetisEthereum31.9829.2752-8.46%24.24-24.20%0.0427✓1.70168k2022-10-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.3347-8.58%1.09-25.34%0.0572✓1.0779k2022-10-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8474.4261-8.68%3.9604-18.29%0.0972✗1.53129k2022-10-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.20830.189761-8.90%0.1946-6.58%0.1612✗1.003.2M2022-10-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6481.4986-9.07%1.424-13.59%0.1176✗1.2443k2022-10-11
FLOWFlownative2.1161.9153-9.49%1.581-25.28%0.0020✓1.43967k2022-10-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30572.0829-9.66%1.6843-26.95%0.0579✓1.1413k2022-10-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5014.0568-9.87%3.85-14.46%0.0762✓0.95286k2022-10-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4175.7493-10.41%5.133-20.01%0.0176✓0.966.2M2022-10-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065210.05809-10.92%0.05586-14.34%0.1309✗1.251.3M2022-10-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.14686.3028-11.81%4.4242-38.10%0.3397✓0.109.1M2022-10-11
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.30e-76.39e-7-12.41%4.94e-7-32.35%0.1411✓0.862.3M2022-10-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.59411.0155-12.53%14.164+12.47%0.3024✗0.3816.0M2022-10-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.26110.225943-13.47%0.1306-49.98%0.4390✓0.8024k2022-10-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.60946.5636-13.74%5.0794-33.25%0.2221✓0.2511.9M2022-10-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000431380.000371014-13.99%0.00028097-34.87%0.2275✓0.372.1M2022-10-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.