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2022-09-11 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2424
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+19.01%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.4%
in alpha space · 90.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-12.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.30e-76.34e-7-13.09%4.94e-7-32.35%0.1332✓0.862.3M2022-10-11
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6481.4675-10.95%1.424-13.59%0.1386✗1.2443k2022-10-11
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065210.058481-10.32%0.05586-14.34%0.1242✗1.251.3M2022-10-11
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.4175.7643-10.17%5.133-20.01%0.0150✓0.966.2M2022-10-11
METISMetisEthereum31.9829.059-9.13%24.24-24.20%0.0501✓1.70168k2022-10-11
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.60946.9685-8.42%5.0794-33.25%0.2820✓0.2511.9M2022-10-11
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.59411.5359-8.40%14.164+12.47%0.2562✗0.3816.0M2022-10-11
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.26110.240233-7.99%0.1306-49.98%0.5003✓0.8024k2022-10-11
LUNATerraTerra 20.000431380.00039742-7.87%0.00028097-34.87%0.2963✓0.372.1M2022-10-11
ETCEthereum Classicnative38.5635.6191-7.63%23.73-38.46%0.1908✓1.5910.6M2022-10-11
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12540.116063-7.45%0.0677-46.01%0.4547✓0.62191k2022-10-11
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5014.1776-7.19%3.85-14.46%0.0469✓0.95286k2022-10-11
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.332.1642-7.12%1.67-28.33%0.0840✓1.29227k2022-10-11
FLOWFlownative2.1161.9759-6.62%1.581-25.28%0.0292✓1.43967k2022-10-11
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.14686.6739-6.62%4.4242-38.10%0.3970✓0.109.1M2022-10-11
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.461.3634-6.62%1.09-25.34%0.0784✓1.0779k2022-10-11
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.637.1425-6.39%5.83-23.59%0.0531✓1.10230k2022-10-11
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.9317.7494-6.24%14.03-25.88%0.1610✓0.55384k2022-10-11
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36190.339918-6.07%0.2662-26.44%0.0840✓1.1872k2022-10-11
IMXImmutableEthereum0.86630.813815-6.06%0.6867-20.73%0.0096✓1.18946k2022-10-11
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.31451.2355-6.01%1.105-15.94%0.0341✓1.071.0M2022-10-11
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.644762-6.01%0.555-19.10%0.0035✓1.08111k2022-10-11
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0240.962954-5.96%0.853-16.70%0.0661✓0.412.7M2022-10-11
RADRadworksEthereum2.632.4789-5.74%1.94-26.24%0.1607✓0.62262k2022-10-11
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013670.001292-5.54%0.000927-32.21%0.2174✓0.842.2M2022-10-11
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5613.7607-5.49%11.52-20.88%0.0159✓1.19925k2022-10-11
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.8474.5861-5.38%3.9604-18.29%0.0617✗1.53129k2022-10-11
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.074140.070151-5.38%0.07114-4.05%0.0324✓0.14378k2022-10-11
CHZChilizEthereum0.20830.19713-5.36%0.1946-6.58%0.1231✗1.003.2M2022-10-11
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67894.4341-5.23%3.1333-33.03%0.2650✓0.618.1M2022-10-11
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2783.1086-5.17%2.858-12.81%0.0331✓0.38720k2022-10-11
BANDBandEthereum1.3691.2991-5.11%1.115-18.55%0.0198✓1.27343k2022-10-11
XVGVergenative0.003810.003616-5.08%0.00325-14.70%0.0307✓1.01481k2022-10-11
ORCAOrcaSolana0.88850.843746-5.04%0.8294-6.65%0.1960✗1.5794k2022-10-11
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.991.8922-4.92%1.515-23.87%0.0113✓1.7260k2022-10-11
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.048362-4.80%0.0515+1.38%0.1910✗0.94234k2022-10-11
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.33280.316829-4.80%0.2783-16.38%0.0127✓1.0575k2022-10-11
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2022.098-4.72%1.57-28.70%0.1157✓1.2832k2022-10-11
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,194.939,728.65-4.57%7,823.46-23.26%0.0223✓1.444.2M2022-10-11
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.69914.991-4.51%12.174-22.45%0.0320✓1.3018.7M2022-10-11
COMPCompoundEthereum55.2552.763-4.50%55.84+1.07%0.2317✗1.298,9662022-10-11
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06620.063228-4.49%0.0548-17.22%0.0238✓1.23555k2022-10-11
ELAElastosEthereum1.6551.5808-4.48%1.496-9.61%0.0463✗0.7536k2022-10-11
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30572.2029-4.46%1.6843-26.95%0.1140✓1.1413k2022-10-11
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51570.493239-4.36%0.3748-27.32%0.1585✓0.85418k2022-10-11
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3137870.300413-4.26%0.252068-19.67%0.0415✓0.99471k2022-10-11
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.576.2911-4.24%4.92-25.11%0.1721✓0.542.1M2022-10-11
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05010.047984-4.22%0.0362-27.74%0.1235✓1.17536k2022-10-11
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15450.148015-4.20%0.1354-12.36%0.0491✗1.02336k2022-10-11
APEApeCoinEthereum5.6825.4465-4.14%4.693-17.41%0.0426✗1.416.4M2022-10-11
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.1831.134-4.14%0.8192-30.75%0.1133✓1.564.4M2022-10-11
GMTGMTEthereum0.73510.704982-4.10%0.6398-12.96%0.1115✗1.53226k2022-10-11
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11670.111943-4.08%0.0886-24.08%0.0658✓1.242.5M2022-10-11
UOSUltraEthereum0.456780.438816-3.93%0.30021-34.28%0.2429✓1.01379k2022-10-11
LPTLivepeerEthereum11.2310.7948-3.87%8.81-21.55%0.0181✓1.36298k2022-10-11
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.177890.171066-3.84%0.14363-19.26%0.0300✓1.07268k2022-10-11
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5130.493327-3.83%0.383-25.34%0.1087✓1.067,7812022-10-11
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5950.572272-3.82%0.454-23.70%0.0742✓1.1664k2022-10-11
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.1395.9064-3.79%4.3-29.96%0.2277✓0.663.1M2022-10-11
NANOnanopayBase0.9277880.892847-3.77%0.762754-17.79%0.0392✓0.8749k2022-10-11
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2511.2048-3.69%1.022-18.31%0.0376✓0.931.1M2022-10-11
WOOWOOEthereum0.1680.161863-3.65%0.1567-6.73%0.1476✗1.321,0012022-10-11
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.037810.036432-3.65%0.02814-25.58%0.1129✓1.0745k2022-10-11
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009440.009102-3.59%0.00556-41.10%0.3619✓0.963.2M2022-10-11
CVCCivicEthereum0.15180.146369-3.58%0.122-19.63%0.0457✓1.00110k2022-10-11
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8964.7237-3.52%3.171-35.23%0.2627✓1.001.4M2022-10-11
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008440.008143-3.52%0.00619-26.66%0.1140✓1.18406k2022-10-11
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.018280.017638-3.51%0.014339-21.56%0.0712✓1.008742022-10-11
XVSVenusEthereum5.14.9246-3.44%4.82-5.49%0.0960✗0.86859k2022-10-11
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.1270.1228-3.31%0.1155-9.06%0.0606✓0.0183k2022-10-11
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7027.4492-3.28%6.18-19.76%0.0281✓1.1710.0M2022-10-11
OPTIMOptimism1.4021.3562-3.26%0.738-47.36%0.3740✓1.732.7M2022-10-11
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.80e-7-3.26%7.60e-7-16.48%0.0457✓0.741.7M2022-10-11
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143820.139169-3.23%0.12111-15.79%0.0258✓1.21151k2022-10-11
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.435.2569-3.19%4.18-23.02%0.1394✓0.662.0M2022-10-11
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.92411.8628-3.19%1.6014-16.77%0.0009✓1.1223k2022-10-11
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.6920.0313-3.18%15.96-22.86%0.0409✓1.3718.0M2022-10-11
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.050361-3.15%0.0393-24.42%0.0892✓1.17190k2022-10-11
LSKLiskEthereum1.08631.0524-3.12%0.922593-15.07%0.0271✓0.7734k2022-10-11
SUSHISushiEthereum1.30291.263-3.06%1.2564-3.57%0.1510✗1.151.1M2022-10-11
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4054.2728-3.00%3.254-26.13%0.1990✓0.542.3M2022-10-11
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44450.431204-2.99%0.355-20.13%0.0354✓1.1781k2022-10-11
LINKChainlinkEthereum8.037.7898-2.99%7.132-11.18%0.0652✗1.1317.5M2022-10-11
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.351690.341197-2.98%0.2823-19.73%0.0430✓1.0834k2022-10-11
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1736.9644-2.91%5.226-27.14%0.1499✓1.014.3M2022-10-11
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016360.001589-2.88%0.001366-16.50%0.0585✓0.686,5532022-10-11
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97480.946781-2.87%0.7788-20.11%0.0227✓1.27899k2022-10-11
SCSiacoinnative0.004190.00407-2.86%0.00336-19.81%0.0633✓0.95103k2022-10-11
KCSKuCoinnative9.7559.4785-2.83%8.744-10.36%0.0367✗0.861.2M2022-10-11
CELLCellframeEthereum0.29290.284729-2.79%0.2043-30.25%0.1852✓1.0883k2022-10-11
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9740.947142-2.76%0.833-14.48%0.0347✗1.201.5M2022-10-11
UMAUMAEthereum2.7822.7079-2.66%2.134-23.29%0.1314✓0.79586k2022-10-11
DASHDashDash48.3547.0802-2.63%41.25-14.68%0.0143✓1.08321k2022-10-11
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21060.205141-2.59%0.1451-31.10%0.1896✓1.15108k2022-10-11
SOLSolanaSolana35.0134.1032-2.59%30.8-12.03%0.0622✗1.2154.5M2022-10-11
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.03960.038575-2.59%0.03308-16.46%0.0599✓0.692,1832022-10-11
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.715.2979-2.56%16.63+5.92%0.2213✗1.011.8M2022-10-11
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03720.036252-2.55%0.0355-4.57%0.0979✗0.877,8252022-10-11
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5171.4786-2.53%1.432-5.60%0.1206✗1.1271k2022-10-11
XECeCashnative0.000045620.000044467-2.53%0.000038-16.70%0.0371✓0.882.5M2022-10-11
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.2441-2.52%3.34-23.29%0.1890✓0.372.2M2022-10-11
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32640.3182-2.51%0.3177-2.67%0.1325✗0.995.9M2022-10-11
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.988.757-2.48%7.02-21.83%0.1395✓0.602.4M2022-10-11
STORJStorjEthereum0.555060.54148-2.45%0.42218-23.94%0.0667✓1.3439k2022-10-11
PROPropyEthereum0.720.702904-2.37%0.56-22.22%0.1958✓0.2346k2022-10-11
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0637030.062191-2.37%0.060216-5.47%0.1050✗1.011.3M2022-10-11
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029040.002836-2.35%0.002081-28.34%0.1873✓0.901.2M2022-10-11
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21410.209066-2.35%0.1798-16.02%0.0028✓1.09138k2022-10-11
HIVEHivenative0.57920.565593-2.35%0.5306-8.39%0.0206✓0.62826k2022-10-11
ETHEthereumEthereum1,766.951,725.82-2.33%1,279.94-27.56%0.1125✓1.37575.8M2022-10-11
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,656.911,618.91-2.29%1,240.98-25.10%0.1300✓1.003.4M2022-10-11
FTTFTXEthereum27.8927.2515-2.29%23.25-16.64%0.0203✓1.026.8M2022-10-11
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11560.112974-2.27%0.0922-20.24%0.0841✓0.88169k2022-10-11
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.00771.9622-2.27%1.0218-49.11%0.5369✓0.851.4M2022-10-11
BORABORAKlay Token0.291460.284919-2.24%0.21515-26.18%0.1590✓0.9015k2022-10-11
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0239730.02344-2.22%0.025016+4.35%0.0750✗0.07455k2022-10-11
ZECZcashZcash64.2762.8474-2.21%51.54-19.81%0.0381✓1.181.2M2022-10-11
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9632.8975-2.21%2.062-30.41%0.1274✓1.572.9M2022-10-11
STXStacksnative0.39030.381684-2.21%0.3122-20.01%0.0545✓1.08324k2022-10-11
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.644.5376-2.21%3.71-20.04%0.1174✓0.621.4M2022-10-11
COTICOTIEthereum0.09970.097501-2.21%0.105+5.32%0.2110✗1.01336k2022-10-11
XYMSymbolnative0.0423220.041402-2.17%0.036015-14.90%0.0677✓0.5323k2022-10-11
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023320.022815-2.17%0.0222-4.80%0.1170✗1.069.7M2022-10-11
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5430.531244-2.16%0.426-21.55%0.0545✓1.2274k2022-10-11
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063090.006174-2.14%0.006021-4.56%0.0271✗0.3830k2022-10-11
GLMGolemEthereum0.33080.323792-2.12%0.255-22.91%0.1352✓0.7684k2022-10-11
MANADecentralandEthereum0.803760.787125-2.07%0.64753-19.44%0.0406✓1.14584k2022-10-11
XLMStellarStellar0.1143870.112073-2.02%0.116096+1.49%0.1556✗0.896.4M2022-10-11
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.02130.020871-2.01%0.0178-16.43%0.0777✓0.60206k2022-10-11
QNTQuantEthereum108.82106.6323-2.01%153.96+41.48%0.4968✗0.953.5M2022-10-11
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015580.001527-1.97%0.001486-4.62%0.0770✗0.77353k2022-10-11
KSMKusamaHydration51.950.8846-1.96%40.86-21.27%0.0814✓1.02395k2022-10-11
DIADIAEthereum0.405260.39735-1.95%0.38304-5.48%0.1011✗1.0132k2022-10-11
AMPAmpEthereum0.006610.006482-1.93%0.00472-28.59%0.2302✓0.64911k2022-10-11
ZENHorizenBase16.4716.1609-1.88%12.5-24.10%0.0866✓1.2584k2022-10-11
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4916.3699-1.87%5.992-7.69%0.1289✗1.406.9M2022-10-11
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.663524-1.85%0.553-18.20%0.0266✓1.153.5M2022-10-11
SUNSun TokenTron0.0065370.006417-1.83%0.005604-14.27%0.0443✓0.672,0442022-10-11
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.06274.9719-1.79%4.1004-19.01%0.1842✓0.06117k2022-10-11
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13780.135396-1.74%0.1203-12.70%0.0339✗1.122.9M2022-10-11
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,831.7221,457.37-1.71%19,058.11-12.70%0.0173✓1.00473.4M2022-10-11
MOVRMoonriverBase12.886612.6673-1.70%10.4764-18.70%0.0510✓1.0222k2022-10-11
FISStafiEthereum0.35010.344619-1.57%0.3202-8.54%0.0694✗1.057782022-10-11
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.96e-7-1.51%7.70e-7-15.38%0.0499✓0.7515k2022-10-11
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.23030.22686-1.49%0.1864-19.06%0.0749✓0.8957k2022-10-11
XEMNEMnative0.0467850.046108-1.45%0.039437-15.71%0.0348✓0.8928k2022-10-11
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5150.507668-1.42%0.336-34.76%0.2456✓1.234,2692022-10-11
XTZTezosTezos1.68551.6618-1.41%1.3396-20.52%0.0710✓1.06241k2022-10-11
API3Api3Ethereum1.8381.8128-1.37%1.592-13.38%0.0094✓1.02627k2022-10-11
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash130.35128.5918-1.35%111.17-14.71%0.0155✗1.194.4M2022-10-11
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06110.060284-1.34%0.0499-18.33%0.0726✓0.8682k2022-10-11
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.073070.072115-1.31%0.05605-23.29%0.1198✓0.977022022-10-11
CBKCobakEthereum0.85180.840772-1.29%0.75273-11.63%0.0032✓0.7913k2022-10-11
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0218870.021606-1.28%0.018475-15.59%0.0722✓0.6212k2022-10-11
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.736.6444-1.27%5.78-14.12%0.0712✓0.502.1M2022-10-11
AAVEAaveEthereum91.6390.4673-1.27%71.42-22.06%0.0280✓1.535.6M2022-10-11
GTGateEthereum4.33014.2763-1.24%4.365+0.81%0.1201✗0.73690k2022-10-11
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.02751.0149-1.23%0.9454-7.99%0.0067✓0.572.6M2022-10-11
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0113140.011176-1.22%0.009663-14.59%0.0096✓1.006302022-10-11
QTUMQtumQtum3.30663.2674-1.19%2.6817-18.90%0.0556✓1.0419k2022-10-11
TRBTellor TributesEthereum16.5816.3927-1.13%14.48-12.67%0.0173✓0.791.5M2022-10-11
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10270.10159-1.08%0.0794-22.69%0.1420✓0.772,6892022-10-11
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2850.282226-0.97%0.233-18.25%0.0855✓0.78563k2022-10-11
CHRChromiaEthereum0.1830.181242-0.96%0.148-19.13%0.0438✓1.171,7442022-10-11
ADACardanoCardano0.51010.505219-0.96%0.3906-23.43%0.1203✓1.0138.3M2022-10-11
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29230.289519-0.95%0.2614-10.57%0.0358✗1.022.6M2022-10-11
XMRMoneroMonero159.22157.8847-0.84%144.57-9.20%0.0453✗0.981.3M2022-10-11
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.5120.507835-0.81%0.4268-16.64%0.0137✓1.18384k2022-10-11
DODODODOEthereum0.13330.132246-0.79%0.118-11.48%0.0472✗1.191.4M2022-10-11
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012990.000012891-0.76%0.00001023-21.25%0.0929✓1.021.0M2022-10-11
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131930.013097-0.73%0.010365-21.44%0.1191✓0.85920k2022-10-11
FORTFortaEthereum0.23120.229556-0.71%0.1522-34.17%0.3067✓0.7766k2022-10-11
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8875-0.66%2.27+19.47%0.2494✗0.4861k2022-10-11
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV54.45454.1093-0.63%47.915-12.01%0.0038✓0.87275k2022-10-11
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03930.039073-0.58%0.0324-17.56%0.0486✓1.0288k2022-10-11
AVTAventusEthereum1.421.4123-0.54%1.52+7.04%0.0542✗-0.14124k2022-10-11
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42550.423459-0.48%0.313-26.44%0.1518✓1.11202k2022-10-11
STEEMSteemnative0.2350.234257-0.32%0.2305-1.91%0.1019✗0.87503k2022-10-11
LTCLitecoinLitecoin62.1861.993-0.30%52.01-16.36%0.0338✓1.0413.5M2022-10-11
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04970.049553-0.30%0.0383-22.94%0.1420✓0.85138k2022-10-11
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09410.093825-0.29%0.0796-15.41%0.0299✓0.9914k2022-10-11
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,663.6021,625.08-0.18%19,028.40-12.16%0.0033✓0.9213k2022-10-11
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075460.075332-0.17%0.06085-19.36%0.0758✓1.0124k2022-10-11
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012930.012979+0.38%0.0104-19.57%0.1320✗0.66233k2022-10-11
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06450.064751+0.39%0.0631-2.17%0.1144✓1.0379k2022-10-11
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.331390.332784+0.42%0.33684+1.64%0.1075✓0.70326k2022-10-11
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046640.046881+0.52%0.03846-17.54%0.1104✗0.6414k2022-10-11
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02550.02565+0.59%0.02204-13.57%0.0018✓1.132,9142022-10-11
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.174140.175224+0.62%0.15473-11.15%0.0179✗0.783512022-10-11
TRXTRONTron0.064190.064749+0.87%0.06166-3.94%0.0177✓0.49123k2022-10-11
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6490.656315+1.13%0.562-13.41%0.0153✗1.03178k2022-10-11
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.