8=======>

2022-09-10 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3044
190 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+15.07%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.3%
in alpha space · 90.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-11.63%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum6.85e-75.90e-7-13.81%5.04e-7-26.47%0.0562✓0.832.3M2022-10-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.6151.4277-11.60%1.305-19.20%0.0447✓1.0943k2022-10-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3595.6771-10.72%5.154-18.95%0.0072✓0.846.2M2022-10-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.065880.05891-10.58%0.05695-13.55%0.1014✓1.091.4M2022-10-10
METISMetisEthereum32.5529.5791-9.13%25.01-23.16%0.0433✓1.71178k2022-10-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.41536.7417-9.08%5.1074-31.12%0.2499✓0.229.9M2022-10-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.21411.1201-8.96%13.805+13.03%0.2704✗0.4416.0M2022-10-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.2336.0616-8.08%24.25-38.19%0.2183✓1.4411.7M2022-10-10
LUNATerraTerra 20.00043480.000399864-8.03%0.00028839-33.67%0.2648✓0.501.8M2022-10-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.5694.218-7.68%3.921-14.18%0.0380✓0.90289k2022-10-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12740.117743-7.58%0.0751-41.05%0.3642✓0.69195k2022-10-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.1663-7.42%1.72-26.50%0.0894✓1.14229k2022-10-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.97826.4709-7.27%4.5127-35.33%0.3416✓0.158.6M2022-10-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.491.3848-7.06%1.11-25.50%0.1108✓0.8981k2022-10-10
FLOWFlownative2.111.9635-6.94%1.573-25.45%0.0630✓1.281.1M2022-10-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36650.342261-6.61%0.2763-24.61%0.0875✓1.0271k2022-10-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.787.2755-6.49%6.21-20.18%0.0311✓1.03237k2022-10-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.9616.8067-6.42%14.59-18.76%0.0658✓0.61384k2022-10-10
IMXImmutableEthereum0.87190.816935-6.30%0.6906-20.79%0.0456✓0.99988k2022-10-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.3251.2422-6.25%1.1707-11.65%0.0531✓0.911.1M2022-10-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6860.643887-6.14%0.573-16.47%0.0198✓0.78116k2022-10-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0280.964982-6.13%0.85-17.32%0.0725✓0.442.8M2022-10-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.612.4552-5.93%1.98-24.14%0.1341✓0.66262k2022-10-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.20160.189673-5.92%0.1892-6.15%0.1004✗0.833.2M2022-10-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.5734.3053-5.85%3.325-27.29%0.1953✓0.517.3M2022-10-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013810.001302-5.72%0.0009418-31.79%0.2415✓0.672.3M2022-10-10
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.45134.1999-5.65%3.7704-15.30%0.0800✗1.52129k2022-10-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.071970.067915-5.63%0.06817-5.28%0.0201✓0.13389k2022-10-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7213.8951-5.60%11.97-18.68%0.0224✓1.02925k2022-10-10
BANDBandEthereum1.3721.297-5.47%1.118-18.51%0.0134✓1.09385k2022-10-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.0481.9367-5.43%1.526-25.49%0.0375✓1.6260k2022-10-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.2723.095-5.41%2.91-11.06%0.0003✓0.50653k2022-10-10
ORCAOrcaSolana0.9020.853705-5.35%0.8294-8.05%0.1396✗1.3694k2022-10-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.34010.322333-5.22%0.2837-16.58%0.0022✓1.0582k2022-10-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05080.048254-5.01%0.0551+8.46%0.2551✗0.99234k2022-10-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.466.1387-4.97%5.09-21.21%0.1339✓0.432.2M2022-10-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.2242.1152-4.89%1.602-27.97%0.1421✓1.1033k2022-10-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,440.999,941.07-4.79%7,851.69-24.80%0.0637✓1.394.2M2022-10-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0670.063805-4.77%0.0565-15.67%0.0275✓1.21608k2022-10-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.52490.500371-4.67%0.3899-25.72%0.1674✓0.66444k2022-10-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15330.146181-4.64%0.1384-9.72%0.0691✗1.00361k2022-10-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.74910.714344-4.64%0.6445-13.96%0.0654✗1.36210k2022-10-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos15.99515.2596-4.60%12.445-22.19%0.0628✓1.1418.7M2022-10-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.2211-4.56%1.7409-25.20%0.1084✓1.0913k2022-10-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.5160.49251-4.55%0.4-22.48%0.0856✓0.997,7812022-10-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.24461.1884-4.52%0.8515-31.58%0.1509✓1.484.4M2022-10-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.17380.166036-4.47%0.137-21.17%0.0897✓0.8324k2022-10-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3126760.29871-4.47%0.258723-17.26%0.0211✓0.99514k2022-10-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11730.112174-4.37%0.0913-22.17%0.0785✓1.032.5M2022-10-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.6611.5888-4.35%1.54-7.28%0.0613✗0.7544k2022-10-10
COMPCompoundEthereum53.0650.7683-4.32%57.34+8.07%0.2700✗1.209,0502022-10-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.0510.048824-4.27%0.0369-27.65%0.1635✓0.94546k2022-10-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.179590.171947-4.26%0.14541-19.03%0.0527✓0.93268k2022-10-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13070.125238-4.18%0.1201-8.11%0.0410✓0.0183k2022-10-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.465030.445675-4.16%0.30405-34.62%0.2674✓0.93392k2022-10-10
NANOnanopayBase0.9383090.899604-4.12%0.772633-17.66%0.0555✓0.7849k2022-10-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5680.54477-4.09%0.472-16.90%0.0110✓1.0763k2022-10-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.0215.7796-4.01%4.65-22.77%0.1655✓0.423.3M2022-10-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.03820.036717-3.88%0.02885-24.48%0.1196✓0.9859k2022-10-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.9510.527-3.86%9.1-16.89%0.0050✓1.22298k2022-10-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2221.1749-3.85%1.035-15.30%0.0100✓0.941.1M2022-10-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.14910.143416-3.81%0.125-16.16%0.0197✓0.95117k2022-10-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009380.009025-3.78%0.00578-38.38%0.3562✓0.723.3M2022-10-10
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0189450.01823-3.77%0.014562-23.14%0.1010✓1.006792022-10-10
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0524.8636-3.73%5.134+1.62%0.2081✗1.246.2M2022-10-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.16250.156487-3.70%0.1577-2.95%0.1210✗0.921,0012022-10-10
NEARNEAR ProtocolNEAR4.8134.6359-3.68%3.218-33.14%0.2414✓1.001.2M2022-10-10
XVSVenusEthereum5.114.9239-3.64%4.88-4.50%0.0916✗0.81943k2022-10-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2964.1417-3.59%3.324-22.63%0.1661✓0.442.1M2022-10-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.415.2182-3.54%4.35-19.59%0.1308✓0.412.0M2022-10-10
BTTCBTTC9.30e-78.97e-7-3.54%7.70e-7-17.20%0.0580✓0.771.7M2022-10-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.93891.8715-3.48%1.644-15.21%0.0001✓1.0523k2022-10-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7777.5115-3.41%6.253-19.60%0.0617✓0.9810.0M2022-10-10
OPTIMOptimism1.3871.3398-3.40%0.752-45.78%0.3816✓1.582.8M2022-10-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.143720.138859-3.38%0.12369-13.94%0.0224✓1.12157k2022-10-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.06961.0337-3.36%0.956518-10.58%0.0213✓0.8034k2022-10-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007860.007597-3.35%0.00625-20.48%0.0675✓1.03389k2022-10-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.4519.7742-3.30%16.22-20.68%0.0533✓1.1718.5M2022-10-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.05220.050485-3.28%0.0399-23.56%0.1290✓0.86204k2022-10-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.33511.2913-3.28%1.2607-5.57%0.1128✗1.111.1M2022-10-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004130.003997-3.23%0.00343-16.95%0.0417✓0.90103k2022-10-10
XVGVergenative0.003220.003116-3.22%0.00326+1.24%0.1614✗0.94481k2022-10-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.556410.538838-3.16%0.4444-20.13%0.0415✓1.2239k2022-10-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354070.342972-3.13%0.2881-18.63%0.0572✓0.9534k2022-10-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3544.2189-3.10%3.411-21.66%0.1725✓0.322.2M2022-10-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.9067.6624-3.08%7.34-7.16%0.0761✗0.9618.0M2022-10-10
KCSKuCoinnative9.7769.4758-3.07%8.752-10.47%0.0340✗0.921.2M2022-10-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03790.036737-3.07%0.0363-4.22%0.0798✗0.747,8252022-10-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.5141.4677-3.06%1.473-2.71%0.1397✗1.1071k2022-10-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.1296.9123-3.04%5.318-25.40%0.1580✓0.844.3M2022-10-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016010.001553-3.02%0.001375-14.12%0.0405✓0.666,5532022-10-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.3140.304562-3.01%0.1964-37.45%0.3126✓1.0292k2022-10-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.8072.7229-3.00%2.188-22.05%0.1194✓0.80630k2022-10-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44340.430248-2.97%0.3444-22.33%0.0822✓1.1381k2022-10-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.290350.281805-2.94%0.2216-23.68%0.1210✓0.9614k2022-10-10
DASHDashDash48.7747.3375-2.94%41.83-14.23%0.0062✓0.95328k2022-10-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9780.949467-2.92%0.844-13.70%0.0317✗1.211.5M2022-10-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.98750.958997-2.89%0.8062-18.36%0.0334✓1.13899k2022-10-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.028.7601-2.88%7.19-20.29%0.1427✓0.442.2M2022-10-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029110.002829-2.82%0.002108-27.59%0.1894✓0.851.2M2022-10-10
HIVEHivenative0.57790.561753-2.79%0.5363-7.20%0.0449✗0.74826k2022-10-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum2.04771.9908-2.78%1.0487-48.79%0.5335✓0.871.2M2022-10-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.039780.038678-2.77%0.03408-14.33%0.0328✓0.762,2982022-10-10
SOLSolanaSolana35.0734.1069-2.75%31.95-8.90%0.0630✗1.0458.3M2022-10-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.634.503-2.74%3.91-15.55%0.0793✓0.501.3M2022-10-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0647310.063004-2.67%0.059392-8.25%0.0648✗1.001.3M2022-10-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.5715.1562-2.66%16.13+3.60%0.1701✗0.871.7M2022-10-10
STXStacksnative0.38460.374487-2.63%0.3199-16.82%0.0228✓1.09335k2022-10-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.005930.005774-2.63%0.00482-18.72%0.1031✓0.63911k2022-10-10
XECeCashnative0.000044560.000043389-2.63%0.00003879-12.95%0.0149✓0.792.5M2022-10-10
ZECZcashZcash65.3363.6312-2.60%52.65-19.41%0.0442✓1.171.2M2022-10-10
PROPropyEthereum0.730.711057-2.59%0.59-19.18%0.1398✓0.3850k2022-10-10
KSMKusamaHydration52.3250.9634-2.59%41.93-19.86%0.0807✓0.93363k2022-10-10
FISStafiEthereum0.39310.382979-2.57%0.3174-19.26%0.0564✓1.067402022-10-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32230.314033-2.56%0.3195-0.87%0.1237✗0.865.9M2022-10-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0241910.023573-2.55%0.025041+3.51%0.0658✗0.04454k2022-10-10
RARESuperRareEthereum0.210.204653-2.55%0.1511-28.05%0.1608✓1.15108k2022-10-10
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,670.431,628.31-2.52%1,251.04-25.11%0.1399✓1.003.4M2022-10-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11450.111633-2.50%0.0951-16.94%0.0647✓0.77169k2022-10-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5520.538245-2.49%0.435-21.20%0.0789✓1.0877k2022-10-10
FTTFTXEthereum27.6927.0018-2.49%23.56-14.92%0.0165✓0.976.8M2022-10-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,774.691,730.93-2.47%1,290.06-27.31%0.1327✓1.30591.2M2022-10-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21160.206463-2.43%0.1844-12.85%0.0309✗1.16139k2022-10-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023050.022503-2.37%0.02172-5.77%0.0669✗0.839.2M2022-10-10
MOVRMoonriverBase13.467613.1539-2.33%10.738-20.27%0.0936✓0.8822k2022-10-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0062280.006084-2.32%0.006179-0.79%0.0700✗0.4433k2022-10-10
DIADIAEthereum0.403660.39436-2.30%0.38835-3.79%0.1004✗0.9431k2022-10-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0242.955-2.28%2.119-29.93%0.1559✓1.433.0M2022-10-10
ZENHorizenBase16.8516.4676-2.27%13.12-22.14%0.0938✓1.0885k2022-10-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.09890.096657-2.27%0.1072+8.39%0.2137✗0.89336k2022-10-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021060.020591-2.23%0.01855-11.92%0.0136✓0.73223k2022-10-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015480.001514-2.21%0.00151-2.45%0.0922✗0.77343k2022-10-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0425350.041612-2.17%0.036464-14.27%0.0687✓0.5123k2022-10-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.626.4766-2.17%5.83-11.93%0.0524✓0.432.1M2022-10-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.81370.796274-2.14%0.66749-17.97%0.0736✓0.83584k2022-10-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1147070.112258-2.13%0.123692+7.83%0.1999✗0.836.5M2022-10-10
QNTQuantEthereum105.47103.2378-2.12%151.15+43.31%0.4747✗0.763.4M2022-10-10
UNIUniswapEthereum6.6746.5357-2.07%6.391-4.24%0.1311✗1.246.9M2022-10-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13910.13623-2.06%0.1217-12.51%0.0531✓0.482.9M2022-10-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.680.666504-1.98%0.559-17.79%0.0361✓1.133.7M2022-10-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.00630.006177-1.97%0.006061-3.80%0.0660✗0.692,0442022-10-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.94554.8505-1.92%4.0725-17.65%0.1631✓0.09115k2022-10-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0215750.021162-1.91%0.018973-12.06%0.0162✓0.7512k2022-10-10
XEMNEMnative0.0457360.044872-1.89%0.040114-12.29%0.0144✓0.7928k2022-10-10
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0109740.010773-1.83%0.010135-7.65%0.0626✗1.006082022-10-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18610.182737-1.81%0.1562-16.07%0.0088✓1.341,5202022-10-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,651.5221,269.76-1.76%19,132.83-11.63%0.0178✓1.00473.4M2022-10-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.10e-78.94e-7-1.73%7.70e-7-15.38%0.0568✓0.7515k2022-10-10
XTZTezosTezos1.66641.6387-1.66%1.3702-17.77%0.0507✓1.04241k2022-10-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.64130.4573-1.65%111.62-15.85%0.0183✓1.114.4M2022-10-10
CBKCobakEthereum0.850180.836361-1.63%0.78289-7.91%0.0441✗0.8913k2022-10-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.37543.3208-1.62%2.7499-18.53%0.0697✓0.9619k2022-10-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22080.217335-1.57%0.1907-13.63%0.0165✓0.9257k2022-10-10
AAVEAaveEthereum92.7491.3307-1.52%73.6-20.64%0.0400✓1.425.6M2022-10-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2840.279729-1.50%0.242-14.79%0.0562✓0.72563k2022-10-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.7891.7626-1.47%1.635-8.61%0.0299✗0.85627k2022-10-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10360.102109-1.44%0.0821-20.75%0.1308✓0.712,6892022-10-10
GTGateEthereum4.3244.2627-1.42%4.3574+0.77%0.1148✗0.75702k2022-10-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05980.058953-1.42%0.048-19.73%0.0972✓0.8881k2022-10-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.03411.0206-1.30%0.9327-9.81%0.0273✓0.512.7M2022-10-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09950.098225-1.28%0.0801-19.50%0.0981✓0.8613k2022-10-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29490.291445-1.17%0.2601-11.80%0.0005✓0.922.7M2022-10-10
ADACardanoCardano0.51240.506701-1.11%0.4012-21.70%0.1265✓0.8637.9M2022-10-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000013280.000013133-1.10%0.00001021-23.12%0.1408✓0.90951k2022-10-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5160.510326-1.10%0.347-32.75%0.2437✓1.154,5592022-10-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.4717.2975-0.99%15.09-13.62%0.0525✓0.681.6M2022-10-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.22990.227713-0.95%0.161-29.97%0.2519✓0.7767k2022-10-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.891.8721-0.95%2.42+28.04%0.3192✗0.5161k2022-10-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.069110.068481-0.91%0.06086-11.94%0.0031✓0.936022022-10-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.50590.501311-0.91%0.4416-12.71%0.0085✓1.09384k2022-10-10
DODODODOEthereum0.13360.132427-0.88%0.1203-9.96%0.0352✗1.061.4M2022-10-10
XMRMoneroMonero157.51156.1421-0.87%142.31-9.65%0.0321✗1.011.3M2022-10-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03940.039059-0.87%0.0329-16.50%0.0670✓0.8584k2022-10-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.23654.7641-0.85%48-13.10%0.0419✓0.73284k2022-10-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.28180.279712-0.74%0.2643-6.21%0.0407✗0.7984k2022-10-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130660.01297-0.74%0.010998-15.83%0.0894✓0.61929k2022-10-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4206-0.65%1.59+11.19%0.1064✗-0.05124k2022-10-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin63.3262.9417-0.60%52.63-16.88%0.0613✓0.9513.5M2022-10-10
STEEMSteemnative0.22930.227938-0.59%0.2229-2.79%0.0822✗0.85503k2022-10-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.075980.075606-0.49%0.06087-19.89%0.0793✓1.1125k2022-10-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42040.418441-0.47%0.3127-25.62%0.1638✓1.03209k2022-10-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,732.5021,651.26-0.37%19,152.00-11.87%0.0062✓0.9413k2022-10-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04790.047804-0.20%0.0397-17.12%0.0763✓0.88132k2022-10-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046140.046114-0.06%0.03912-15.21%0.0768✓0.7114k2022-10-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06580.065813+0.02%0.0602-8.51%0.0103✓0.8081k2022-10-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013060.013067+0.05%0.01132-13.32%0.0547✗0.72228k2022-10-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.171290.171696+0.24%–pending––1.712952022-10-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.33230.333593+0.39%0.34896+5.01%0.1337✓0.72327k2022-10-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025470.02557+0.39%0.02272-10.80%0.0556✓1.412,9582022-10-10
TRXTRONTron0.0645860.065043+0.71%0.06275-2.84%0.0402✓0.62129k2022-10-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6570.662527+0.84%0.576-12.33%0.0267✗0.92178k2022-10-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.