8=======>

2022-09-09 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 191 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.3128
191 of 191 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.63%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
74.3%
in alpha space · 88.4% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-8.99%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (191 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
TRXTRONTron0.0633830.063427+0.07%0.062443-1.48%0.0401✓0.59123k2022-10-09
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96894.9684-0.01%4.1088-17.31%0.1814✓0.09115k2022-10-09
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1560.3966-1.23%53.93-11.81%0.0226✓0.9613.1M2022-10-09
AAVEAaveEthereum91.1489.9437-1.31%75.5-17.16%0.0409✓1.426.0M2022-10-09
STEEMSteemnative0.22970.226538-1.38%0.229-0.30%0.0948✗0.89537k2022-10-09
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.851.8244-1.38%2.43+31.35%0.3271✗0.4363k2022-10-09
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,371.8021,072.62-1.40%19,442.20-9.03%0.0083✓0.9413k2022-10-09
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.489732-1.46%0.372-25.15%0.1626✓1.194,5592022-10-09
FORTFortaEthereum0.22920.225839-1.47%0.1679-26.75%0.2243✓0.7767k2022-10-09
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18510.182171-1.58%0.1601-13.51%0.0073✓1.291,5202022-10-09
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063110.006211-1.58%0.006271-0.63%0.0499✗0.4336k2022-10-09
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012360.012163-1.59%0.0124+0.32%0.0801✗0.65228k2022-10-09
GTGateEthereum4.31374.2433-1.63%4.3572+1.01%0.0988✗0.77724k2022-10-09
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067330.066172-1.72%0.06045-10.22%0.0075✓0.886022022-10-09
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22170.217853-1.74%0.1993-10.10%0.0005✓0.9557k2022-10-09
DIADIAEthereum0.397530.390613-1.74%0.3903-1.82%0.0861✗0.9231k2022-10-09
STORJStorjEthereum0.557870.548103-1.75%0.45944-17.64%0.0594✓1.2441k2022-10-09
FTTFTXEthereum27.2126.7228-1.79%24.14-11.28%0.0139✓0.936.8M2022-10-09
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.32e-7-1.90%7.80e-7-17.89%0.1063✓0.7615k2022-10-09
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0132480.012986-1.98%0.011043-16.64%0.1030✓0.63929k2022-10-09
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062150.00608-2.16%0.005787-6.89%0.0155✓0.692,0942022-10-09
LCXLCXEthereum0.05310.051944-2.18%0.0621+16.95%0.2735✗1.01234k2022-10-09
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03910.038235-2.21%0.034-13.04%0.0357✓0.8777k2022-10-09
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.058862-2.22%0.0491-18.44%0.0960✓0.9180k2022-10-09
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021260.020785-2.24%0.01851-12.94%0.0469✓0.73234k2022-10-09
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,364.5020,880.65-2.26%19,443.47-8.99%0.0229✓1.00480.9M2022-10-09
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.3976-2.27%1.58+10.49%0.1024✗-0.21128k2022-10-09
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41550.40604-2.28%0.3236-22.12%0.1259✓1.07215k2022-10-09
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13580.132691-2.29%0.1177-13.33%0.1188✓0.0187k2022-10-09
NANOnanopayBase0.9270320.905804-2.29%0.782722-15.57%0.0704✓0.8052k2022-10-09
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.333790.326027-2.33%0.36474+9.27%0.1841✗0.76332k2022-10-09
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.170410.166157-2.50%0.16431-3.58%0.1922✗2.164042022-10-09
AMPAmpEthereum0.005840.005694-2.50%0.00499-14.55%0.0735✓0.62951k2022-10-09
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.51254.0868-2.57%49.815-10.26%0.0114✓0.75287k2022-10-09
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6590.641792-2.61%0.607-7.89%0.0311✗0.92178k2022-10-09
COTICOTIEthereum0.09850.09592-2.62%0.1144+16.14%0.2614✗0.90359k2022-10-09
XMRMoneroMonero161.29156.9402-2.70%145.74-9.64%0.0205✓1.001.3M2022-10-09
KCSKuCoinnative9.6119.3415-2.80%9.025-6.10%0.0518✗0.921.2M2022-10-09
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10340.100494-2.81%0.0846-18.18%0.1061✓0.702,7842022-10-09
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4440.431256-2.87%0.413-6.98%0.0506✗1.007,7812022-10-09
QNTQuantEthereum103.35100.3488-2.90%156.03+50.97%0.5155✗0.793.4M2022-10-09
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04750.0461-2.95%0.0405-14.74%0.0448✓0.90138k2022-10-09
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13740.133341-2.95%0.1262-8.15%0.0083✓0.503.0M2022-10-09
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074070.071825-3.03%0.06092-17.75%0.0597✓1.1125k2022-10-09
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015510.001502-3.18%0.001516-2.26%0.0816✗0.77374k2022-10-09
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.0260.025152-3.26%0.02333-10.27%0.0419✗1.242,9582022-10-09
FISStafiEthereum0.3820.369513-3.27%0.3281-14.11%0.0190✓1.066802022-10-09
SCSiacoinnative0.004160.004024-3.28%0.00353-15.14%0.0439✓0.92111k2022-10-09
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021790.021061-3.35%0.019486-10.57%0.0046✓0.7813k2022-10-09
ZECZcashZcash66.0163.7554-3.42%54.8-16.98%0.0438✓1.141.2M2022-10-09
XEMNEMnative0.0462220.044596-3.52%0.041301-10.65%0.0013✓0.8029k2022-10-09
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49930.481575-3.55%0.4318-13.52%0.0057✓1.10384k2022-10-09
DASHDashDash49.0147.268-3.55%42.99-12.28%0.0051✓0.95338k2022-10-09
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046190.044544-3.56%0.04054-12.23%0.0276✓0.7114k2022-10-09
XVGVergenative0.003280.003163-3.56%0.00335+2.13%0.1478✗0.96483k2022-10-09
MOVRMoonriverBase12.971412.4963-3.66%11.0215-15.03%0.0391✓0.9222k2022-10-09
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06360.061263-3.67%0.0611-3.93%0.0731✗0.8082k2022-10-09
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29220.281455-3.68%0.2723-6.81%0.0536✗0.922.7M2022-10-09
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.266794-3.68%0.248-10.47%0.0046✓0.73563k2022-10-09
DODODODOEthereum0.13530.130294-3.70%0.1292-4.51%0.0880✗1.021.4M2022-10-09
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97950.942983-3.73%0.836-14.65%0.0111✓1.16899k2022-10-09
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038960.037497-3.76%0.03485-10.55%0.0004✓0.772,4552022-10-09
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.20421.1589-3.77%0.8827-26.70%0.1352✓1.454.5M2022-10-09
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21450.206416-3.77%0.1989-7.27%0.0797✗1.24139k2022-10-09
LSKLiskEthereum1.08051.0396-3.78%1.0032-7.15%0.0397✗0.8038k2022-10-09
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012920.000012428-3.81%0.00001104-14.55%0.0327✓0.91898k2022-10-09
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.614.4343-3.81%4.34-5.86%0.0287✓0.531.3M2022-10-09
ADACardanoCardano0.50220.482675-3.89%0.423-15.77%0.0475✓0.9037.9M2022-10-09
WOOWOOEthereum0.16410.157657-3.93%0.1463-10.85%0.0132✓0.931,1642022-10-09
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.2816.5979-3.95%15.46-10.53%0.0042✓0.801.6M2022-10-09
SOLSolanaSolana34.6933.3156-3.96%32.93-5.07%0.0880✗1.0660.5M2022-10-09
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0474.8444-4.02%5.265+4.32%0.2063✗1.316.4M2022-10-09
ETHEthereumEthereum1,719.211,649.28-4.07%1,323.41-23.02%0.0981✓1.30617.0M2022-10-09
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9992.8759-4.10%2.253-24.87%0.1110✓1.413.0M2022-10-09
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007840.007517-4.12%0.00655-16.45%0.0375✓1.06406k2022-10-09
SGBSongbirdnative0.02710.025979-4.14%0.0196-27.68%0.2248✓0.6047k2022-10-09
UMAUMAEthereum2.752.6357-4.16%2.276-17.24%0.0685✓0.83630k2022-10-09
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354170.339401-4.17%0.30141-14.90%0.0283✓0.9635k2022-10-09
BTTCBTTC9.10e-78.72e-7-4.22%7.80e-7-14.29%0.0402✓0.751.8M2022-10-09
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.6138-4.23%1.55-8.01%0.0305✓0.7551k2022-10-09
PROPropyEthereum0.730.698697-4.29%0.6-17.81%0.1239✓0.3052k2022-10-09
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13890.132915-4.31%0.1466+5.54%0.1762✗0.8324k2022-10-09
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11440.109442-4.33%0.0973-14.95%0.0407✓0.82169k2022-10-09
XVSVenusEthereum5.024.8012-4.36%5.02+0.00%0.1206✗0.81943k2022-10-09
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016240.001552-4.42%0.001377-15.21%0.0574✓0.667,1022022-10-09
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4851.4176-4.54%1.564+5.32%0.2021✗1.1071k2022-10-09
MANADecentralandEthereum0.808040.770713-4.62%0.69192-14.37%0.0303✓0.82537k2022-10-09
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.4691-4.63%8.02-9.68%0.0102✓0.472.2M2022-10-09
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.16.7697-4.65%5.854-17.55%0.0656✓0.854.4M2022-10-09
GLMGolemEthereum0.27650.263486-4.71%0.2675-3.25%0.0910✗0.8184k2022-10-09
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21250.202443-4.73%0.1578-25.74%0.1398✓1.16111k2022-10-09
QTUMQtumQtum3.31093.1529-4.77%2.8703-13.31%0.0022✓0.9719k2022-10-09
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639210.060813-4.86%0.062134-2.79%0.1172✗1.021.3M2022-10-09
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141290.134417-4.86%0.12637-10.56%0.0439✓1.12163k2022-10-09
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03760.03577-4.87%0.037-1.60%0.1021✗0.727,8252022-10-09
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3139440.298598-4.89%0.272878-13.08%0.0057✓1.02514k2022-10-09
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3224.1101-4.90%3.71-14.16%0.0745✓0.302.2M2022-10-09
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.243.0782-4.99%3.019-6.82%0.0328✓0.55720k2022-10-09
XYMSymbolnative0.0425690.040422-5.04%0.037252-12.49%0.0350✓0.5025k2022-10-09
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9361.8376-5.08%1.7097-11.69%0.0263✓1.0523k2022-10-09
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.9126.1299-5.09%117.18-11.83%0.0314✓1.114.4M2022-10-09
XLMStellarStellar0.1144040.108545-5.12%0.1288+12.58%0.2496✗0.836.5M2022-10-09
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0640.060695-5.16%0.057-10.94%0.0499✓1.20608k2022-10-09
HIVEHivenative0.57680.547011-5.16%0.516-10.54%0.0145✓0.77867k2022-10-09
XECeCashnative0.000044540.000042234-5.18%0.00004076-8.49%0.0408✓0.812.5M2022-10-09
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6910.654929-5.22%0.59-14.62%0.0023✓1.133.8M2022-10-09
STXStacksnative0.38130.361393-5.22%0.3386-11.20%0.0394✓1.11348k2022-10-09
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028990.002747-5.23%0.00221-23.77%0.1343✓0.881.2M2022-10-09
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023510.022277-5.24%0.02177-7.40%0.0522✓0.809.2M2022-10-09
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.419.3265-5.26%16.91-17.11%0.0200✓1.2118.8M2022-10-09
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09390.088956-5.27%0.0817-12.99%0.0005✓0.9113k2022-10-09
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2234.0003-5.27%3.707-12.22%0.0315✓0.472.1M2022-10-09
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.307471-5.28%0.3389+4.41%0.1796✗0.875.8M2022-10-09
XTZTezosTezos1.64531.5572-5.36%1.4242-13.44%0.0096✓1.05247k2022-10-09
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2341.1675-5.39%1.084-12.16%0.0119✓0.911.1M2022-10-09
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7447.3166-5.52%7.634-1.42%0.1358✗0.9918.0M2022-10-09
ZENHorizenBase16.8815.948-5.52%13.53-19.85%0.0618✓1.0987k2022-10-09
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85640.809112-5.52%0.8318-2.87%0.1570✗1.3794k2022-10-09
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.072050.068055-5.54%0.06824-5.29%0.0152✓0.13397k2022-10-09
BORABORAKlay Token0.290010.273921-5.55%0.23395-19.33%0.0646✓0.9914k2022-10-09
API3Api3Ethereum1.8451.7419-5.59%1.732-6.12%0.0770✗0.88627k2022-10-09
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009720.009176-5.60%0.0063-35.19%0.3058✓0.753.5M2022-10-09
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.6910.0894-5.62%9.36-12.44%0.0402✓1.22281k2022-10-09
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.0917.0726-5.62%15.1-16.53%0.0618✓0.65396k2022-10-09
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9620.907397-5.68%0.882-8.32%0.0880✗1.231.5M2022-10-09
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.048859-5.68%0.0386-25.48%0.1444✓0.97546k2022-10-09
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.178820.168573-5.73%0.15261-14.66%0.0108✓0.94268k2022-10-09
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.125.7675-5.76%5.026-17.88%0.0936✓0.473.6M2022-10-09
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32631.2484-5.88%1.3862+4.52%0.2087✗1.101.1M2022-10-09
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3320.312152-5.98%0.2876-13.37%0.0168✓1.0587k2022-10-09
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.208-6.04%1.8-23.40%0.0959✓1.15232k2022-10-09
CBKCobakEthereum0.846540.795289-6.05%0.81537-3.68%0.1104✗0.9114k2022-10-09
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53240.500165-6.05%0.4026-24.38%0.1515✓0.69467k2022-10-09
COMPCompoundEthereum51.6948.5315-6.11%59.1+14.34%0.3108✗1.219,1802022-10-09
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.395.0599-6.13%4.8-10.95%0.0110✓0.442.0M2022-10-09
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04690.981727-6.23%0.9431-9.91%0.0096✓0.532.8M2022-10-09
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013880.001301-6.25%0.0009941-28.37%0.1986✓0.752.5M2022-10-09
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0183840.017233-6.26%0.015117-17.77%0.0368✓1.004152022-10-09
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.024240.022722-6.26%0.026132+7.81%0.1458✗0.06465k2022-10-09
CVCCivicEthereum0.14990.140444-6.31%0.1309-12.68%0.0218✓0.98128k2022-10-09
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45130.422721-6.33%0.3586-20.54%0.0550✓1.1675k2022-10-09
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7597.2671-6.34%6.478-16.51%0.0212✓1.0010.0M2022-10-09
UNIUniswapEthereum6.516.0968-6.35%6.633+1.89%0.2013✗1.246.9M2022-10-09
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5480.513027-6.38%0.452-17.52%0.0235✓1.0977k2022-10-09
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.927.4027-6.53%6.59-16.79%0.0144✓1.08255k2022-10-09
KSMKusamaHydration52.6549.1538-6.64%43.67-17.06%0.0283✓0.96395k2022-10-09
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.395.9618-6.70%5.63-11.89%0.0138✓0.462.2M2022-10-09
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1922.0447-6.72%1.728-21.17%0.0641✓1.1134k2022-10-09
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15480.144386-6.73%0.1452-6.20%0.1040✗1.04421k2022-10-09
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7113.7177-6.75%12.43-15.50%0.0006✓1.05925k2022-10-09
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.4814.4305-6.78%18.05+16.60%0.3077✗0.891.7M2022-10-09
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8810.821102-6.80%0.7352-16.55%0.0161✓1.001.0M2022-10-09
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.048417-6.89%0.0423-18.65%0.0525✓0.88204k2022-10-09
BANDBandEthereum1.381.2848-6.90%1.217-11.81%0.0558✓1.17385k2022-10-09
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5610.522242-6.91%0.492-12.30%0.0416✓1.0757k2022-10-09
RADRadworksEthereum2.582.3961-7.13%2.03-21.32%0.1012✓0.69262k2022-10-09
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0111780.010381-7.13%0.01046-6.42%0.1018✗1.005862022-10-09
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.84211.7085-7.25%1.131-38.60%0.3279✓0.901.2M2022-10-09
GMTGMTEthereum0.78440.727473-7.26%0.6442-17.87%0.0118✓1.42210k2022-10-09
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11260.10434-7.34%0.0963-14.48%0.0182✓1.042.7M2022-10-09
UOSUltraEthereum0.41610.385018-7.47%0.31729-23.75%0.1039✓0.95392k2022-10-09
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.011.8556-7.68%1.613-19.75%0.0119✓1.6165k2022-10-09
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.475.9723-7.69%6.4-1.08%0.1122✗0.462.1M2022-10-09
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30910.284828-7.85%0.224-27.53%0.1452✓1.0195k2022-10-09
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.35011.2428-7.95%1.2235-9.38%0.0729✓0.941.2M2022-10-09
CTKShentuOsmosis1.040.95613-8.06%0.854-17.88%0.0774✓0.382.9M2022-10-09
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,597.301,468.04-8.09%1,282.56-19.70%0.0409✓1.003.4M2022-10-09
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6850.629558-8.09%0.585-14.60%0.0043✓0.83129k2022-10-09
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12420.11363-8.51%0.069-44.44%0.4348✓0.68195k2022-10-09
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56714.1732-8.63%4.5126-1.19%0.2240✗1.55129k2022-10-09
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.47534.0875-8.66%3.5064-21.65%0.1007✓0.567.3M2022-10-09
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039070.035683-8.67%0.03037-22.27%0.0671✓1.0072k2022-10-09
METISMetisEthereum32.4229.5264-8.93%25.89-20.14%0.0298✓1.71185k2022-10-09
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37210.338183-9.12%0.2904-21.96%0.0548✓1.0471k2022-10-09
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,439.059,485.34-9.14%8,080.63-22.59%0.0300✓1.384.5M2022-10-09
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.341-9.39%1.16-21.62%0.0588✓0.9181k2022-10-09
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5451.3997-9.41%1.285-16.83%0.0193✓1.1143k2022-10-09
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos16.12614.5853-9.55%13.193-18.19%0.0077✓1.1515.6M2022-10-09
OPTIMOptimism1.4111.2741-9.70%0.844-40.18%0.2586✓1.632.8M2022-10-09
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.0987-9.82%1.7824-23.41%0.0604✓1.0913k2022-10-09
CHZChilizEthereum0.20530.184971-9.90%0.2155+4.97%0.2328✗0.853.2M2022-10-09
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.1935.3073-9.91%26.97-31.18%0.1325✓1.4511.8M2022-10-09
FLOWFlownative2.1111.8933-10.31%1.704-19.28%0.0183✓1.311.1M2022-10-09
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3795.684-10.90%5.43-14.88%0.0345✓0.856.2M2022-10-09
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6744.1207-11.84%3.692-21.01%0.0258✓0.89298k2022-10-09
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069710.06111-12.34%0.05915-15.15%0.0719✓1.111.5M2022-10-09
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.32e-76.39e-7-12.61%5.37e-7-26.58%0.1077✓0.702.3M2022-10-09
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.94826.045-13.00%5.1729-25.55%0.1353✓0.228.6M2022-10-09
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38710.7364-13.33%14.608+17.93%0.3535✗0.4816.0M2022-10-09
LUNATerraTerra 20.000430640.00036871-14.38%0.00030654-28.82%0.1377✓0.501.5M2022-10-09
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.51526.4042-14.78%5.7888-22.97%0.0732✓0.309.9M2022-10-09
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.