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2022-09-09 · +1d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2395
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.67%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
66.3%
in alpha space · 40.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.34%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LUNATerraTerra 20.000430640.000423398-1.68%0.0004348+0.97%0.0199✗0.501.5M2022-09-10
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.069710.068692-1.46%0.06588-5.49%0.0566✓1.111.5M2022-09-10
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.3796.2927-1.35%6.359-0.31%0.0009✓0.856.2M2022-09-10
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0183840.018172-1.15%0.018945+3.05%0.0283✗1.004152022-09-10
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.1938.7413-1.15%39.23+0.10%0.0069✓1.4511.8M2022-09-10
BRISEBitgertEthereum7.32e-77.23e-7-1.13%6.85e-7-6.39%0.0641✓0.702.3M2022-09-10
OPTIMOptimism1.4111.3956-1.09%1.387-1.70%0.0279✓1.632.8M2022-09-10
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.38712.2538-1.08%12.214-1.40%0.0097✓0.4816.0M2022-09-10
GMTGMTEthereum0.78440.776083-1.06%0.7491-4.50%0.0543✓1.42210k2022-09-10
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos16.12615.9607-1.03%15.995-0.81%0.0132✓1.1515.6M2022-09-10
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5451.5293-1.01%1.615+4.53%0.0397✗1.1143k2022-09-10
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.51527.4392-1.01%7.4153-1.33%0.0072✓0.309.9M2022-09-10
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.13890.137496-1.01%0.1738+25.13%0.2232✗0.8324k2022-09-10
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5610.555382-1.00%0.568+1.25%0.0081✓1.0757k2022-09-10
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.94826.8816-0.96%6.9782+0.43%0.0110✗0.228.6M2022-09-10
LRCLoopringEthereum0.37210.368563-0.95%0.3665-1.50%0.0194✓1.0471k2022-09-10
FLOWFlownative2.1112.091-0.95%2.11-0.05%0.0085✓1.311.1M2022-09-10
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.481.4665-0.91%1.49+0.68%0.0037✓0.9181k2022-09-10
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,439.0510,344.08-0.91%10,440.99+0.02%0.0091✓1.384.5M2022-09-10
METISMetisEthereum32.4232.1283-0.90%32.55+0.40%0.0098✓1.71185k2022-09-10
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.243.2114-0.88%3.272+0.99%0.0113✗0.55720k2022-09-10
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.6744.6346-0.84%4.569-2.25%0.0262✓0.89298k2022-09-10
CTKShentuOsmosis1.041.0314-0.83%1.028-1.15%0.0083✓0.382.9M2022-09-10
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.35011.3389-0.83%1.325-1.86%0.0230✓0.941.2M2022-09-10
CHZChilizEthereum0.20530.203645-0.81%0.2016-1.80%0.0214✓0.853.2M2022-09-10
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.039070.038759-0.80%0.0382-2.23%0.0279✓1.0072k2022-09-10
RADRadworksEthereum2.582.5595-0.79%2.61+1.16%0.0104✗0.69262k2022-09-10
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.927.8593-0.77%7.78-1.77%0.0246✓1.08255k2022-09-10
UOSUltraEthereum0.41610.412926-0.76%0.46503+11.76%0.1062✗0.95392k2022-09-10
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1922.1764-0.71%2.224+1.46%0.0069✓1.1134k2022-09-10
GLMGolemEthereum0.27650.274541-0.71%0.2818+1.92%0.0154✗0.8184k2022-09-10
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.352.3336-0.70%2.34-0.43%0.0126✓1.15232k2022-09-10
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.47534.4444-0.69%4.573+2.18%0.0211✗0.567.3M2022-09-10
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8810.875006-0.68%0.8719-1.03%0.0169✓1.001.0M2022-09-10
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6850.680406-0.67%0.686+0.15%0.0028✓0.83129k2022-09-10
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.7114.6124-0.66%14.72+0.07%0.0067✓1.05925k2022-09-10
ORCAOrcaSolana0.85640.850736-0.66%0.902+5.32%0.0402✗1.3794k2022-09-10
BANDBandEthereum1.381.3709-0.66%1.372-0.58%0.0148✓1.17385k2022-09-10
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12420.123391-0.65%0.1274+2.58%0.0229✗0.68195k2022-09-10
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.56714.5374-0.65%4.4513-2.54%0.0398✓1.55129k2022-09-10
ZENHorizenBase16.8816.7704-0.65%16.85-0.18%0.0098✓1.0987k2022-09-10
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.20421.1965-0.64%1.2446+3.35%0.0200✗1.454.5M2022-09-10
XMRMoneroMonero161.29160.2681-0.63%157.51-2.34%0.0308✓1.001.3M2022-09-10
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.009720.009661-0.61%0.00938-3.50%0.0394✓0.753.5M2022-09-10
CTSICartesiEthereum0.15480.153858-0.61%0.1533-0.97%0.0176✓1.04421k2022-09-10
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013880.001379-0.61%0.001381-0.50%0.0089✓0.752.5M2022-09-10
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3320.329983-0.61%0.3401+2.44%0.0162✗1.0587k2022-09-10
RUNETHORChainTHORChain2.011.9978-0.61%2.048+1.89%0.0033✓1.6165k2022-09-10
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.53240.529168-0.61%0.5249-1.41%0.0174✓0.69467k2022-09-10
FISStafiEthereum0.3820.3797-0.60%0.3931+2.91%0.0205✗1.066802022-09-10
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.7597.7129-0.59%7.777+0.23%0.0050✓1.0010.0M2022-09-10
LSKLiskEthereum1.08051.0741-0.59%1.0696-1.00%0.0148✓0.8038k2022-09-10
XVGVergenative0.003280.003261-0.58%0.00322-1.83%0.0255✓0.96483k2022-09-10
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.7447.6994-0.58%7.906+2.09%0.0133✗0.9918.0M2022-09-10
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.396.3533-0.57%6.46+1.10%0.0105✗0.462.2M2022-09-10
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.023510.023377-0.57%0.02305-1.96%0.0247✓0.809.2M2022-09-10
STXStacksnative0.38130.379165-0.56%0.3846+0.87%0.0006✓1.11348k2022-09-10
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.22170.22047-0.55%0.2208-0.41%0.0112✓0.9557k2022-09-10
C98Coin98Ethereum0.45130.448799-0.55%0.4434-1.75%0.0276✓1.1675k2022-09-10
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0016240.001615-0.55%0.001601-1.42%0.0175✓0.667,1022022-09-10
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.11260.11198-0.55%0.1173+4.17%0.0325✗1.042.7M2022-09-10
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11440.113772-0.55%0.1145+0.09%0.0045✓0.82169k2022-09-10
SUSHISushiEthereum1.32631.3191-0.54%1.3351+0.66%0.0027✓1.101.1M2022-09-10
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30910.307431-0.54%0.314+1.59%0.0077✗1.0195k2022-09-10
NMRNumeraireEthereum18.0917.9931-0.54%17.96-0.72%0.0105✓0.65396k2022-09-10
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09390.093406-0.53%0.0995+5.96%0.0511✗0.9113k2022-09-10
COMPCompoundEthereum51.6951.4197-0.52%53.06+2.65%0.0153✗1.219,1802022-09-10
LCXLCXEthereum0.05310.052825-0.52%0.0508-4.33%0.0525✓1.01234k2022-09-10
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.0640.063669-0.52%0.067+4.69%0.0350✗1.20608k2022-09-10
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05180.051532-0.52%0.051-1.54%0.0233✓0.97546k2022-09-10
GITCOINGITCOIN2.32732.3153-0.52%2.3273+0.00%0.0094✓1.0913k2022-09-10
CVCCivicEthereum0.14990.149131-0.51%0.1491-0.53%0.0133✓0.98128k2022-09-10
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.021790.021679-0.51%0.021575-0.99%0.0152✓0.7813k2022-09-10
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.9361.9263-0.50%1.9389+0.15%0.0074✓1.0523k2022-09-10
XEMNEMnative0.0462220.04599-0.50%0.045736-1.05%0.0162✓0.8029k2022-09-10
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash132.9132.2367-0.50%132.64-0.20%0.0118✓1.114.4M2022-09-10
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum7.17.0647-0.50%7.129+0.41%0.0022✓0.854.4M2022-09-10
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.13580.135127-0.50%0.1307-3.76%0.0335✓0.0187k2022-09-10
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.2234.2021-0.49%4.296+1.73%0.0158✗0.472.1M2022-09-10
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.32460.322999-0.49%0.3223-0.71%0.0138✓0.875.8M2022-09-10
API3Api3Ethereum1.8451.8359-0.49%1.789-3.04%0.0376✓0.88627k2022-09-10
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.2341.228-0.49%1.222-0.97%0.0171✓0.911.1M2022-09-10
XLMStellarStellar0.1144040.113847-0.49%0.114707+0.26%0.0036✓0.836.5M2022-09-10
XECeCashnative0.000044540.000044323-0.49%0.00004456+0.04%0.0055✓0.812.5M2022-09-10
DASHDashDash49.0148.7734-0.48%48.77-0.49%0.0128✓0.95338k2022-09-10
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.1560.8556-0.48%63.32+3.55%0.0269✗0.9613.1M2022-09-10
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.3139440.312435-0.48%0.312676-0.40%0.0128✓1.02514k2022-09-10
BORABORAKlay Token0.290010.288619-0.48%0.29035+0.12%0.0072✓0.9914k2022-09-10
BTTBitTorrentEthereum9.50e-79.45e-7-0.48%9.10e-7-4.21%0.0484✓0.7615k2022-09-10
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.126.0911-0.47%6.021-1.62%0.0178✓0.473.6M2022-09-10
GALAGALAEthereum0.0520.051755-0.47%0.0522+0.38%0.0031✓0.88204k2022-09-10
QTUMQtumQtum3.31093.2953-0.47%3.3754+1.95%0.0110✗0.9719k2022-09-10
BTCBitcoinBitcoin21,364.5021,264.63-0.47%21,651.52+1.34%0.0047✗1.00480.9M2022-09-10
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.84211.8336-0.46%2.0477+11.16%0.0984✗0.901.2M2022-09-10
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum21,371.8021,274.01-0.46%21,732.50+1.69%0.0087✗0.9413k2022-09-10
ELAElastosEthereum1.6851.6773-0.46%1.661-1.42%0.0198✓0.7551k2022-09-10
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum15.4815.4095-0.46%15.57+0.58%0.0015✓0.891.7M2022-09-10
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3224.3025-0.45%4.354+0.74%0.0079✗0.302.2M2022-09-10
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0111780.011128-0.45%0.010974-1.83%0.0273✓1.005862022-09-10
ZECZcashZcash66.0165.7138-0.45%65.33-1.03%0.0211✓1.141.2M2022-09-10
QNTQuantEthereum103.35102.8885-0.45%105.47+2.05%0.0143✗0.793.4M2022-09-10
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.395.3661-0.44%5.41+0.37%0.0022✓0.442.0M2022-09-10
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.024240.024133-0.44%0.024191-0.20%0.0016✓0.06465k2022-09-10
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.476.4415-0.44%6.62+2.32%0.0212✗0.462.1M2022-09-10
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03910.038929-0.44%0.0394+0.77%0.0005✓0.8777k2022-09-10
ETHEthereumEthereum1,719.211,711.68-0.44%1,774.69+3.23%0.0189✗1.30617.0M2022-09-10
FTTFTXEthereum27.2127.0911-0.44%27.69+1.76%0.0094✗0.936.8M2022-09-10
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0028990.002886-0.44%0.002911+0.41%0.0033✓0.881.2M2022-09-10
ADACardanoCardano0.50220.500009-0.44%0.5124+2.03%0.0125✗0.9037.9M2022-09-10
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.354170.352626-0.44%0.35407-0.03%0.0087✓0.9635k2022-09-10
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.49930.49713-0.43%0.5059+1.32%0.0028✓1.10384k2022-09-10
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.170410.16967-0.43%0.17129+0.52%0.0193✓2.164042022-09-10
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03760.037437-0.43%0.0379+0.80%0.0026✓0.727,8252022-09-10
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063110.006284-0.43%0.006228-1.32%0.0146✓0.4336k2022-09-10
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche20.420.3127-0.43%20.45+0.25%0.0094✓1.2118.8M2022-09-10
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9620.957911-0.43%0.978+1.66%0.0043✗1.231.5M2022-09-10
KSMKusamaHydration52.6552.4265-0.42%52.32-0.63%0.0148✓0.96395k2022-09-10
XTZTezosTezos1.64531.6383-0.42%1.6664+1.28%0.0030✓1.05247k2022-09-10
RARESuperRareEthereum0.21250.211609-0.42%0.21-1.18%0.0231✓1.16111k2022-09-10
SCSiacoinnative0.004160.004143-0.42%0.00413-0.72%0.0153✓0.92111k2022-09-10
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4440.442143-0.42%0.516+16.22%0.1412✗1.007,7812022-09-10
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13740.136832-0.41%0.1391+1.24%0.0098✗0.503.0M2022-09-10
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.072050.071752-0.41%0.07197-0.11%0.0013✓0.13397k2022-09-10
XVSVenusEthereum5.024.9993-0.41%5.11+1.79%0.0111✗0.81943k2022-09-10
DIADIAEthereum0.397530.395891-0.41%0.40366+1.54%0.0071✗0.9231k2022-09-10
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.178820.178085-0.41%0.17959+0.43%0.0041✓0.94268k2022-09-10
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,597.301,590.74-0.41%1,670.43+4.58%0.0355✗1.003.4M2022-09-10
NANOnanopayBase0.9270320.923233-0.41%0.938309+1.22%0.0055✗0.8052k2022-09-10
WOOWOOEthereum0.16410.16343-0.41%0.1625-0.98%0.0182✓0.931,1642022-09-10
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.6910.6464-0.41%10.95+2.43%0.0118✗1.22281k2022-09-10
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.06020.059955-0.41%0.0598-0.66%0.0147✓0.9180k2022-09-10
STORJStorjEthereum0.557870.555623-0.40%0.55641-0.26%0.0152✓1.2441k2022-09-10
HIVEHivenative0.57680.574496-0.40%0.5779+0.19%0.0044✓0.77867k2022-09-10
AMPAmpEthereum0.005840.005817-0.40%0.00593+1.54%0.0110✗0.62951k2022-09-10
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007840.007809-0.40%0.00786+0.26%0.0077✓1.06406k2022-09-10
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0639210.063666-0.40%0.064731+1.27%0.0030✓1.021.3M2022-09-10
SUNSun TokenTron0.0062150.00619-0.40%0.0063+1.38%0.0084✗0.692,0942022-09-10
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.614.5918-0.39%4.63+0.43%0.0012✓0.531.3M2022-09-10
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97950.975645-0.39%0.9875+0.82%0.0034✓1.16899k2022-09-10
AVTAventusEthereum1.431.4244-0.39%1.43+0.00%0.0068✗-0.21128k2022-09-10
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4851.4792-0.39%1.514+1.95%0.0085✗1.1071k2022-09-10
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.141290.140739-0.39%0.14372+1.72%0.0060✗1.12163k2022-09-10
BTTCBTTC9.10e-79.06e-7-0.39%9.30e-7+2.20%0.0156✗0.751.8M2022-09-10
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015510.001545-0.39%0.001548-0.19%0.0083✓0.77374k2022-09-10
APEApeCoinEthereum5.0475.0275-0.39%5.052+0.10%0.0126✓1.316.4M2022-09-10
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012920.000012871-0.38%0.00001328+2.79%0.0192✗0.91898k2022-09-10
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2770.275948-0.38%0.284+2.53%0.0191✗0.73563k2022-09-10
UNIUniswapEthereum6.516.4855-0.38%6.674+2.52%0.0121✗1.246.9M2022-09-10
KCSKuCoinnative9.6119.5748-0.38%9.776+1.72%0.0086✗0.921.2M2022-09-10
UMAUMAEthereum2.752.7397-0.37%2.807+2.07%0.0132✗0.83630k2022-09-10
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.888.847-0.37%9.02+1.58%0.0131✗0.472.2M2022-09-10
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.21450.213706-0.37%0.2116-1.35%0.0264✓1.24139k2022-09-10
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.41550.413995-0.36%0.4204+1.18%0.0010✓1.07215k2022-09-10
SOLSolanaSolana34.6934.5653-0.36%35.07+1.10%0.0004✓1.0660.5M2022-09-10
CBKCobakEthereum0.846540.8435-0.36%0.85018+0.43%0.0042✓0.9114k2022-09-10
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6910.688528-0.36%0.68-1.59%0.0276✓1.133.8M2022-09-10
MANADecentralandEthereum0.808040.805226-0.35%0.8137+0.70%0.0005✓0.82537k2022-09-10
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV55.51255.3232-0.34%55.236-0.50%0.0116✓0.75287k2022-09-10
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29220.291207-0.34%0.2949+0.92%0.0003✓0.922.7M2022-09-10
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038960.038829-0.34%0.03978+2.10%0.0139✗0.772,4552022-09-10
PROPropyEthereum0.730.727574-0.33%0.73+0.00%0.0007✓0.3052k2022-09-10
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9992.9891-0.33%3.024+0.83%0.0072✓1.413.0M2022-09-10
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10340.103059-0.33%0.1036+0.19%0.0041✓0.702,7842022-09-10
COTICOTIEthereum0.09850.098178-0.33%0.0989+0.41%0.0047✓0.90359k2022-09-10
STEEMSteemnative0.22970.228954-0.32%0.2293-0.17%0.0104✓0.89537k2022-09-10
GTGateEthereum4.31374.2999-0.32%4.324+0.24%0.0047✓0.77724k2022-09-10
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.0260.025917-0.32%0.02547-2.04%0.0340✓1.242,9582022-09-10
AAVEAaveEthereum91.1490.8551-0.31%92.74+1.76%0.0015✓1.426.0M2022-09-10
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067330.067122-0.31%0.06911+2.64%0.0174✗0.886022022-09-10
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4970.495468-0.31%0.516+3.82%0.0247✗1.194,5592022-09-10
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18510.184535-0.31%0.1861+0.54%0.0088✓1.291,5202022-09-10
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.021260.021195-0.30%0.02106-0.94%0.0162✓0.73234k2022-09-10
LEOLEO TokenEthereum4.96894.9542-0.30%4.9455-0.47%0.0030✓0.09115k2022-09-10
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04750.04736-0.29%0.0479+0.84%0.0007✓0.90138k2022-09-10
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5480.546403-0.29%0.552+0.73%0.0044✓1.0977k2022-09-10
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0132480.01321-0.29%0.013066-1.37%0.0193✓0.63929k2022-09-10
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain1.04691.0439-0.29%1.0341-1.22%0.0165✓0.532.8M2022-09-10
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06360.063419-0.28%0.0658+3.46%0.0261✗0.8082k2022-09-10
XYMSymbolnative0.0425690.042448-0.28%0.042535-0.08%0.0046✓0.5025k2022-09-10
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6590.657155-0.28%0.657-0.30%0.0125✓0.92178k2022-09-10
FORTFortaEthereum0.22920.228561-0.28%0.2299+0.31%0.0044✓0.7767k2022-09-10
DODODODOEthereum0.13530.134924-0.28%0.1336-1.26%0.0235✓1.021.4M2022-09-10
DKAdKargoEthereum0.046190.046062-0.28%0.04614-0.11%0.0077✓0.7114k2022-09-10
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.851.8453-0.25%1.89+2.16%0.0182✗0.4363k2022-09-10
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.333790.33297-0.25%0.3323-0.45%0.0122✓0.76332k2022-09-10
MOVRMoonriverBase12.971412.9428-0.22%13.4676+3.83%0.0275✗0.9222k2022-09-10
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.2817.2433-0.21%17.47+1.10%0.0024✗0.801.6M2022-09-10
TRXTRONTron0.0633830.063271-0.18%0.064586+1.90%0.0127✗0.59123k2022-09-10
BFCBifrostEthereum0.074070.07394-0.18%0.07598+2.58%0.0124✗1.1125k2022-09-10
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012360.012338-0.18%0.01306+5.66%0.0482✗0.65228k2022-09-10
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.