TRX

TRON · Tron · beta_5y

token id: #23
symbol: TRX
variant: –
chain: Tron
address
cohort: asset (existed at window outset)
first bar: 2021-10-20
predictions: 5,310

Track record at +1d

assessed

399

of 400 predictions shown

direction hit

51.9%

alpha space; 50% is a coin flip

MAE (alpha)

0.0089

mean absolute log-return error

mean pred / actual

-0.0034

actual +0.0002

History

as of	split	anchor px	pred px	pred Δ	actual px	actual Δ	alpha err	hit	β90d
2026-10-22	live	0.330446	0.329037	-0.43%	–	pending	–	–	0.15
2026-10-21	oos	0.330674	0.329321	-0.41%	0.330446	-0.03%	0.0035	✓	0.15
2026-10-20	oos	0.33119	0.329812	-0.42%	0.330674	-0.16%	0.0030	✓	0.14
2026-10-19	oos	0.331815	0.330386	-0.43%	0.33119	-0.19%	0.0005	✓	0.15
2026-10-18	oos	0.33229	0.330965	-0.40%	0.331815	-0.14%	0.0029	✓	0.15
2026-10-17	oos	0.333361	0.33207	-0.39%	0.33229	-0.32%	0.0005	✓	0.15
2026-10-16	oos	0.335033	0.333713	-0.39%	0.333361	-0.50%	0.0008	✓	0.15
2026-10-15	oos	0.332252	0.330954	-0.39%	0.335033	+0.84%	0.0134	✗	0.15
2026-10-14	oos	0.332097	0.330765	-0.40%	0.332252	+0.05%	0.0034	✓	0.15
2026-10-13	oos	0.327001	0.325998	-0.31%	0.332097	+1.56%	0.0216	✗	0.17
2026-10-12	oos	0.328674	0.327581	-0.33%	0.327001	-0.51%	0.0046	✓	0.17
2026-10-11	oos	0.329961	0.329022	-0.28%	0.328674	-0.39%	0.0029	✗	0.17
2026-10-10	oos	0.330588	0.32971	-0.27%	0.329961	-0.19%	0.0009	✓	0.18
2026-10-09	oos	0.331647	0.330767	-0.27%	0.330588	-0.32%	0.0013	✓	0.18
2026-10-08	oos	0.332454	0.3314	-0.32%	0.331647	-0.24%	0.0011	✓	0.18
2026-10-07	oos	0.335278	0.334183	-0.33%	0.332454	-0.84%	0.0018	✓	0.18
2026-10-06	oos	0.335352	0.334379	-0.29%	0.335278	-0.02%	0.0076	✗	0.18
2026-10-05	oos	0.336077	0.335034	-0.31%	0.335352	-0.22%	0.0014	✓	0.19
2026-10-04	oos	0.335617	0.334632	-0.29%	0.336077	+0.14%	0.0059	✗	0.19
2026-10-03	oos	0.33543	0.334413	-0.30%	0.335617	+0.06%	0.0003	✓	0.19
2026-10-02	oos	0.334614	0.333589	-0.31%	0.33543	+0.24%	0.0050	✗	0.19
2026-10-01	oos	0.334643	0.333567	-0.32%	0.334614	-0.01%	0.0039	✗	0.19
2026-09-30	oos	0.337228	0.336078	-0.34%	0.334643	-0.77%	0.0073	✓	0.20
2026-09-29	oos	0.334363	0.333247	-0.33%	0.337228	+0.86%	0.0121	✗	0.20
2026-09-28	oos	0.335352	0.334136	-0.36%	0.334363	-0.29%	0.0002	✓	0.20
2026-09-27	oos	0.333425	0.332277	-0.34%	0.335352	+0.58%	0.0118	✗	0.21
2026-09-26	oos	0.334209	0.333092	-0.33%	0.333425	-0.23%	0.0009	✓	0.21
2026-09-25	oos	0.338144	0.336957	-0.35%	0.334209	-1.16%	0.0090	✓	0.21
2026-09-24	oos	0.340168	0.338951	-0.36%	0.338144	-0.60%	0.0017	✓	0.21
2026-09-23	oos	0.342168	0.340901	-0.37%	0.340168	-0.58%	0.0022	✓	0.21
2026-09-22	oos	0.34201	0.340762	-0.36%	0.342168	+0.05%	0.0087	✗	0.22
2026-09-21	oos	0.344652	0.343288	-0.40%	0.34201	-0.77%	0.0028	✓	0.21
2026-09-20	oos	0.342473	0.341021	-0.42%	0.344652	+0.64%	0.0045	✓	0.23
2026-09-19	oos	0.339717	0.338314	-0.41%	0.342473	+0.81%	0.0124	✗	0.24
2026-09-18	oos	0.338267	0.336958	-0.39%	0.339717	+0.43%	0.0071	✗	0.23
2026-09-17	oos	0.334636	0.333533	-0.33%	0.338267	+1.08%	0.0003	✓	0.24
2026-09-16	oos	0.335377	0.334343	-0.31%	0.334636	-0.22%	0.0002	✓	0.24
2026-09-15	oos	0.33273	0.331727	-0.30%	0.335377	+0.80%	0.0092	✗	0.24
2026-09-14	oos	0.338015	0.337064	-0.28%	0.33273	-1.56%	0.0056	✓	0.22
2026-09-13	oos	0.33818	0.337493	-0.20%	0.338015	-0.05%	0.0024	✓	0.22
2026-09-12	oos	0.3397	0.339085	-0.18%	0.33818	-0.45%	0.0014	✓	0.22
2026-09-11	oos	0.338558	0.338079	-0.14%	0.3397	+0.34%	0.0046	✗	0.22
2026-09-10	oos	0.33985	0.339486	-0.11%	0.338558	-0.38%	0.0047	✓	0.23
2026-09-09	oos	0.338853	0.339066	+0.06%	0.33985	+0.29%	0.0075	✓	0.23
2026-09-08	oos	0.338709	0.339226	+0.15%	0.338853	+0.04%	0.0007	✓	0.21
2026-09-07	oos	0.3345	0.335534	+0.31%	0.338709	+1.26%	0.0112	✓	0.22
2026-09-06	oos	0.335129	0.336759	+0.49%	0.3345	-0.19%	0.0032	✓	0.22
2026-09-05	oos	0.333838	0.335941	+0.63%	0.335129	+0.39%	0.0038	✓	0.22
2026-09-04	oos	0.331466	0.33397	+0.76%	0.333838	+0.72%	0.0008	✓	0.22
2026-09-03	oos	0.33072	0.333629	+0.88%	0.331466	+0.23%	0.0021	✓	0.22
2026-09-02	oos	0.325048	0.327204	+0.66%	0.33072	+1.75%	0.0019	✓	0.25
2026-09-01	oos	0.322146	0.324069	+0.60%	0.325048	+0.90%	0.0033	✓	0.25
2026-08-31	oos	0.332446	0.33423	+0.54%	0.322146	-3.10%	0.0334	✗	0.23
2026-08-30	oos	0.33612	0.337328	+0.36%	0.332446	-1.09%	0.0175	✗	0.26
2026-08-29	oos	0.340873	0.341843	+0.28%	0.33612	-1.39%	0.0149	✗	0.27
2026-08-28	oos	0.341291	0.341903	+0.18%	0.340873	-0.12%	0.0044	✗	0.27
2026-08-27	oos	0.337747	0.33843	+0.20%	0.341291	+1.05%	0.0171	✓	0.28
2026-08-26	oos	0.336069	0.336325	+0.08%	0.337747	+0.50%	0.0002	✓	0.28
2026-08-25	oos	0.336231	0.336161	-0.02%	0.336069	-0.05%	0.0021	✓	0.29
2026-08-24	oos	0.344983	0.344533	-0.13%	0.336231	-2.54%	0.0227	✓	0.30
2026-08-23	oos	0.343915	0.343263	-0.19%	0.344983	+0.31%	0.0004	✓	0.29
2026-08-22	oos	0.344215	0.343438	-0.23%	0.343915	-0.09%	0.0012	✓	0.29
2026-08-21	oos	0.34349	0.342729	-0.22%	0.344215	+0.21%	0.0092	✗	0.30
2026-08-20	oos	0.337372	0.336489	-0.26%	0.34349	+1.81%	0.0005	✓	0.30
2026-08-19	oos	0.334401	0.33333	-0.32%	0.337372	+0.89%	0.0041	✓	0.31
2026-08-18	oos	0.332481	0.331117	-0.41%	0.334401	+0.58%	0.0142	✓	0.35
2026-08-17	oos	0.33098	0.329663	-0.40%	0.332481	+0.45%	0.0074	✗	0.35
2026-08-16	oos	0.33078	0.329444	-0.40%	0.33098	+0.06%	0.0046	✓	0.36
2026-08-15	oos	0.330907	0.329684	-0.37%	0.33078	-0.04%	0.0044	✗	0.36
2026-08-14	oos	0.332395	0.331159	-0.37%	0.330907	-0.45%	0.0010	✓	0.36
2026-08-13	oos	0.334274	0.332886	-0.42%	0.332395	-0.56%	0.0010	✓	0.35
2026-08-12	oos	0.335962	0.334582	-0.41%	0.334274	-0.50%	0.0010	✓	0.35
2026-08-11	oos	0.334831	0.333124	-0.51%	0.335962	+0.34%	0.0092	✗	0.35
2026-08-10	oos	0.33049	0.329184	-0.40%	0.334831	+1.31%	0.0191	✗	0.35
2026-08-09	oos	0.329642	0.328424	-0.37%	0.33049	+0.26%	0.0115	✗	0.36
2026-08-08	oos	0.328726	0.327529	-0.36%	0.329642	+0.28%	0.0068	✗	0.36
2026-08-07	oos	0.327402	0.326183	-0.37%	0.328726	+0.40%	0.0077	✗	0.35
2026-08-06	oos	0.326822	0.325654	-0.36%	0.327402	+0.18%	0.0020	✓	0.35
2026-08-05	oos	0.327089	0.325895	-0.36%	0.326822	-0.08%	0.0047	✗	0.35
2026-08-04	oos	0.326906	0.325439	-0.45%	0.327089	+0.06%	0.0021	✓	0.35
2026-08-03	oos	0.328586	0.327162	-0.43%	0.326906	-0.51%	0.0040	✓	0.35
2026-08-02	oos	0.326491	0.325158	-0.41%	0.328586	+0.64%	0.0107	✗	0.35
2026-08-01	oos	0.327663	0.326346	-0.40%	0.326491	-0.36%	0.0037	✓	0.36
2026-07-31	oos	0.32567	0.324453	-0.37%	0.327663	+0.61%	0.0102	✗	0.36
2026-07-30	oos	0.328323	0.327101	-0.37%	0.32567	-0.81%	0.0063	✗	0.36
2026-07-29	oos	0.325346	0.324166	-0.36%	0.328323	+0.92%	0.0082	✗	0.35
2026-07-28	oos	0.324413	0.323142	-0.39%	0.325346	+0.29%	0.0065	✗	0.35
2026-07-27	oos	0.324688	0.323282	-0.43%	0.324413	-0.08%	0.0026	✓	0.35
2026-07-26	oos	0.332125	0.330975	-0.35%	0.324688	-2.24%	0.0104	✓	0.34
2026-07-25	oos	0.331311	0.330132	-0.36%	0.332125	+0.25%	0.0005	✓	0.34
2026-07-24	oos	0.330574	0.329011	-0.47%	0.331311	+0.22%	0.0059	✗	0.34
2026-07-23	oos	0.328678	0.327607	-0.33%	0.330574	+0.58%	0.0141	✗	0.34
2026-07-22	oos	0.328782	0.327829	-0.29%	0.328678	-0.03%	0.0081	✗	0.35
2026-07-21	oos	0.329551	0.328546	-0.30%	0.328782	-0.23%	0.0030	✓	0.35
2026-07-20	oos	0.326659	0.325519	-0.35%	0.329551	+0.89%	0.0058	✗	0.33
2026-07-19	oos	0.32669	0.325708	-0.30%	0.326659	-0.01%	0.0002	✓	0.33
2026-07-18	oos	0.325597	0.32468	-0.28%	0.32669	+0.34%	0.0067	✗	0.32
2026-07-17	oos	0.322468	0.321577	-0.28%	0.325597	+0.97%	0.0080	✗	0.32
2026-07-16	oos	0.322999	0.32216	-0.26%	0.322468	-0.16%	0.0004	✓	0.31
2026-07-15	oos	0.324321	0.323522	-0.25%	0.322999	-0.41%	0.0029	✗	0.31
2026-07-14	oos	0.325675	0.324807	-0.27%	0.324321	-0.42%	0.0002	✓	0.31
2026-07-13	oos	0.323934	0.322807	-0.35%	0.325675	+0.54%	0.0049	✓	0.32
2026-07-12	oos	0.331243	0.330243	-0.30%	0.323934	-2.21%	0.0121	✓	0.31
2026-07-11	oos	0.329608	0.328688	-0.28%	0.331243	+0.50%	0.0079	✗	0.28
2026-07-10	oos	0.330283	0.329385	-0.27%	0.329608	-0.20%	0.0021	✓	0.26
2026-07-09	oos	0.331937	0.330957	-0.30%	0.330283	-0.50%	0.0060	✓	0.27
2026-07-08	oos	0.328199	0.327206	-0.30%	0.331937	+1.14%	0.0105	✗	0.26
2026-07-07	oos	0.33143	0.330418	-0.31%	0.328199	-0.97%	0.0023	✓	0.26
2026-07-06	oos	0.329427	0.328506	-0.28%	0.33143	+0.61%	0.0116	✗	0.26
2026-07-05	oos	0.329027	0.328033	-0.30%	0.329427	+0.12%	0.0027	✓	0.24
2026-07-04	oos	0.324947	0.324018	-0.29%	0.329027	+1.26%	0.0135	✗	0.24
2026-07-03	oos	0.323195	0.322196	-0.31%	0.324947	+0.54%	0.0064	✗	0.23
2026-07-02	oos	0.317229	0.316291	-0.30%	0.323195	+1.88%	0.0178	✗	0.23
2026-07-01	oos	0.315691	0.314673	-0.32%	0.317229	+0.49%	0.0024	✓	0.23
2026-06-30	oos	0.31495	0.313852	-0.35%	0.315691	+0.24%	0.0003	✓	0.23
2026-06-29	oos	0.320879	0.319807	-0.33%	0.31495	-1.85%	0.0093	✓	0.22
2026-06-28	oos	0.3217	0.320572	-0.35%	0.320879	-0.26%	0.0014	✓	0.20
2026-06-27	oos	0.320827	0.319715	-0.35%	0.3217	+0.27%	0.0077	✗	0.20
2026-06-26	oos	0.320055	0.318914	-0.36%	0.320827	+0.24%	0.0062	✗	0.20
2026-06-25	oos	0.323441	0.322136	-0.40%	0.320055	-1.05%	0.0075	✓	0.20
2026-06-24	oos	0.327041	0.325776	-0.39%	0.323441	-1.10%	0.0032	✓	0.19
2026-06-23	oos	0.328831	0.327692	-0.35%	0.327041	-0.54%	0.0032	✓	0.19
2026-06-22	oos	0.333735	0.332485	-0.37%	0.328831	-1.47%	0.0070	✓	0.19
2026-06-21	oos	0.327378	0.32626	-0.34%	0.333735	+1.94%	0.0205	✗	0.19
2026-06-20	oos	0.326381	0.325289	-0.33%	0.327378	+0.31%	0.0091	✗	0.17
2026-06-19	oos	0.323618	0.322539	-0.33%	0.326381	+0.85%	0.0098	✗	0.17
2026-06-18	oos	0.320497	0.319298	-0.37%	0.323618	+0.97%	0.0119	✗	0.16
2026-06-17	oos	0.321564	0.320564	-0.31%	0.320497	-0.33%	0.0039	✗	0.17
2026-06-16	oos	0.316718	0.315835	-0.28%	0.321564	+1.53%	0.0211	✗	0.18
2026-06-15	oos	0.318097	0.317169	-0.29%	0.316718	-0.43%	0.0003	✓	0.18
2026-06-14	oos	0.321611	0.320592	-0.32%	0.318097	-1.09%	0.0093	✓	0.17
2026-06-13	oos	0.317191	0.31629	-0.28%	0.321611	+1.39%	0.0137	✗	0.15
2026-06-12	oos	0.315238	0.314315	-0.29%	0.317191	+0.62%	0.0070	✗	0.15
2026-06-11	oos	0.31668	0.315557	-0.35%	0.315238	-0.46%	0.0009	✓	0.15
2026-06-10	oos	0.320766	0.319557	-0.38%	0.31668	-1.27%	0.0149	✓	0.17
2026-06-09	oos	0.322665	0.321545	-0.35%	0.320766	-0.59%	0.0018	✓	0.17
2026-06-08	oos	0.326604	0.32546	-0.35%	0.322665	-1.21%	0.0049	✓	0.17
2026-06-07	oos	0.326696	0.325371	-0.41%	0.326604	-0.03%	0.0044	✗	0.16
2026-06-06	oos	0.324237	0.323089	-0.35%	0.326696	+0.76%	0.0054	✗	0.14
2026-06-05	oos	0.319993	0.318754	-0.39%	0.324237	+1.33%	0.0175	✗	0.14
2026-06-04	oos	0.332188	0.330482	-0.51%	0.319993	-3.67%	0.0279	✓	0.10
2026-06-03	oos	0.33273	0.33131	-0.43%	0.332188	-0.16%	0.0030	✓	0.10
2026-06-02	oos	0.3322	0.330467	-0.52%	0.33273	+0.16%	0.0110	✗	0.11
2026-06-01	oos	0.343145	0.341327	-0.53%	0.3322	-3.19%	0.0218	✓	0.08
2026-05-31	oos	0.350985	0.349511	-0.42%	0.343145	-2.23%	0.0165	✓	0.06
2026-05-30	oos	0.347681	0.346352	-0.38%	0.350985	+0.95%	0.0135	✗	0.07
2026-05-29	oos	0.343942	0.342545	-0.41%	0.347681	+1.09%	0.0145	✗	0.07
2026-05-28	oos	0.352531	0.350787	-0.49%	0.343942	-2.44%	0.0196	✓	0.06
2026-05-27	oos	0.367571	0.365921	-0.45%	0.352531	-4.09%	0.0367	✓	0.06
2026-05-26	oos	0.375186	0.37318	-0.53%	0.367571	-2.03%	0.0143	✓	0.04
2026-05-25	oos	0.371457	0.369269	-0.59%	0.375186	+1.00%	0.0168	✗	0.05
2026-05-24	oos	0.365216	0.363453	-0.48%	0.371457	+1.71%	0.0216	✗	0.05
2026-05-23	oos	0.362559	0.360892	-0.46%	0.365216	+0.73%	0.0116	✗	0.08
2026-05-22	oos	0.361787	0.360098	-0.47%	0.362559	+0.21%	0.0055	✗	0.08
2026-05-21	oos	0.36504	0.363292	-0.48%	0.361787	-0.89%	0.0021	✓	0.07
2026-05-20	oos	0.358858	0.357127	-0.48%	0.36504	+1.72%	0.0218	✗	0.07
2026-05-19	oos	0.355896	0.354084	-0.51%	0.358858	+0.83%	0.0127	✗	0.08
2026-05-18	oos	0.355383	0.353635	-0.49%	0.355896	+0.14%	0.0066	✗	0.08
2026-05-17	oos	0.355186	0.353522	-0.47%	0.355383	+0.06%	0.0058	✗	0.09
2026-05-16	oos	0.355016	0.353418	-0.45%	0.355186	+0.05%	0.0058	✗	0.09
2026-05-15	oos	0.351988	0.350553	-0.41%	0.355016	+0.86%	0.0138	✗	0.09
2026-05-14	oos	0.353739	0.352296	-0.41%	0.351988	-0.49%	0.0013	✓	0.09
2026-05-13	oos	0.349463	0.348104	-0.39%	0.353739	+1.22%	0.0142	✗	0.09
2026-05-12	oos	0.349142	0.347672	-0.42%	0.349463	+0.09%	0.0064	✗	0.08
2026-05-11	oos	0.351123	0.348971	-0.61%	0.349142	-0.56%	0.0017	✓	0.08
2026-05-10	oos	0.350665	0.349323	-0.38%	0.351123	+0.13%	0.0056	✗	0.08
2026-05-09	oos	0.350228	0.348918	-0.37%	0.350665	+0.12%	0.0034	✓	0.08
2026-05-08	oos	0.350468	0.349169	-0.37%	0.350228	-0.07%	0.0026	✓	0.08
2026-05-07	oos	0.349003	0.34767	-0.38%	0.350468	+0.42%	0.0078	✗	0.08
2026-05-06	oos	0.346266	0.345091	-0.34%	0.349003	+0.79%	0.0129	✗	0.09
2026-05-05	oos	0.34474	0.343707	-0.30%	0.346266	+0.44%	0.0063	✗	0.17
2026-05-04	oos	0.341036	0.339838	-0.35%	0.34474	+1.09%	0.0121	✗	0.17
2026-05-03	oos	0.338568	0.337204	-0.40%	0.341036	+0.73%	0.0087	✗	0.16
2026-05-02	oos	0.330066	0.329276	-0.24%	0.338568	+2.58%	0.0281	✗	0.16
2026-05-01	oos	0.326899	0.326336	-0.17%	0.330066	+0.97%	0.0105	✗	0.16
2026-04-30	oos	0.32652	0.325928	-0.18%	0.326899	+0.12%	0.0013	✓	0.17
2026-04-29	oos	0.323033	0.322474	-0.17%	0.32652	+1.08%	0.0112	✗	0.17
2026-04-28	oos	0.323197	0.322353	-0.26%	0.323033	-0.05%	0.0034	✗	0.17
2026-04-27	oos	0.325382	0.324378	-0.31%	0.323197	-0.67%	0.0014	✓	0.17
2026-04-26	oos	0.323432	0.323061	-0.11%	0.325382	+0.60%	0.0100	✗	0.17
2026-04-25	oos	0.323999	0.323393	-0.19%	0.323432	-0.18%	0.0021	✓	0.17
2026-04-24	oos	0.323383	0.322738	-0.20%	0.323999	+0.19%	0.0035	✗	0.17
2026-04-23	oos	0.328929	0.328207	-0.22%	0.323383	-1.69%	0.0131	✓	0.17
2026-04-22	oos	0.329709	0.328991	-0.22%	0.328929	-0.24%	0.0003	✓	0.17
2026-04-21	oos	0.332838	0.331799	-0.31%	0.329709	-0.94%	0.0104	✓	0.17
2026-04-20	oos	0.329101	0.328038	-0.32%	0.332838	+1.14%	0.0134	✗	0.17
2026-04-19	oos	0.329075	0.327755	-0.40%	0.329101	+0.01%	0.0012	✓	0.19
2026-04-18	oos	0.329641	0.328461	-0.36%	0.329075	-0.17%	0.0069	✗	0.20
2026-04-17	oos	0.327881	0.326817	-0.32%	0.329641	+0.54%	0.0121	✗	0.20
2026-04-16	oos	0.327047	0.325892	-0.35%	0.327881	+0.26%	0.0011	✓	0.20
2026-04-15	oos	0.327196	0.325968	-0.38%	0.327047	-0.05%	0.0024	✓	0.20
2026-04-14	oos	0.323865	0.322483	-0.43%	0.327196	+1.03%	0.0128	✗	0.19
2026-04-13	oos	0.320439	0.319289	-0.36%	0.323865	+1.07%	0.0149	✗	0.19
2026-04-12	oos	0.321245	0.320001	-0.39%	0.320439	-0.25%	0.0091	✓	0.21
2026-04-11	oos	0.318839	0.317618	-0.38%	0.321245	+0.75%	0.0182	✗	0.21
2026-04-10	oos	0.319373	0.318202	-0.37%	0.318839	-0.17%	0.0017	✓	0.21
2026-04-09	oos	0.320455	0.319135	-0.41%	0.319373	-0.34%	0.0028	✓	0.21
2026-04-08	oos	0.317958	0.31673	-0.39%	0.320455	+0.79%	0.0096	✗	0.21
2026-04-07	oos	0.315415	0.314227	-0.38%	0.317958	+0.81%	0.0142	✗	0.21
2026-04-06	oos	0.316487	0.315176	-0.41%	0.315415	-0.34%	0.0086	✓	0.21
2026-04-05	oos	0.318802	0.317405	-0.44%	0.316487	-0.73%	0.0024	✓	0.21
2026-04-04	oos	0.317518	0.3161	-0.45%	0.318802	+0.40%	0.0032	✓	0.21
2026-04-03	oos	0.315196	0.313828	-0.43%	0.317518	+0.74%	0.0107	✗	0.21
2026-04-02	oos	0.315276	0.313927	-0.43%	0.315196	-0.03%	0.0038	✓	0.21
2026-04-01	oos	0.31553	0.314236	-0.41%	0.315276	-0.08%	0.0071	✗	0.21
2026-03-31	oos	0.313148	0.311854	-0.41%	0.31553	+0.76%	0.0121	✗	0.21
2026-03-30	oos	0.319664	0.318125	-0.48%	0.313148	-2.04%	0.0207	✓	0.22
2026-03-29	oos	0.32155	0.319887	-0.52%	0.319664	-0.59%	0.0033	✓	0.22
2026-03-28	oos	0.316456	0.314874	-0.50%	0.32155	+1.61%	0.0222	✗	0.22
2026-03-27	oos	0.311108	0.309563	-0.50%	0.316456	+1.72%	0.0221	✗	0.22
2026-03-26	oos	0.311383	0.310059	-0.43%	0.311108	-0.09%	0.0115	✗	0.23
2026-03-25	oos	0.314411	0.313124	-0.41%	0.311383	-0.96%	0.0026	✓	0.23
2026-03-24	oos	0.30588	0.30478	-0.36%	0.314411	+2.79%	0.0287	✗	0.22
2026-03-23	oos	0.308089	0.307021	-0.35%	0.30588	-0.72%	0.0027	✓	0.22
2026-03-22	oos	0.310198	0.308772	-0.46%	0.308089	-0.68%	0.0124	✓	0.23
2026-03-21	oos	0.312069	0.310718	-0.43%	0.310198	-0.60%	0.0019	✓	0.23
2026-03-20	oos	0.309621	0.308435	-0.38%	0.312069	+0.79%	0.0171	✗	0.24
2026-03-19	oos	0.303613	0.302378	-0.41%	0.309621	+1.98%	0.0217	✗	0.23
2026-03-18	oos	0.30451	0.303396	-0.37%	0.303613	-0.29%	0.0051	✗	0.23
2026-03-17	oos	0.306848	0.305578	-0.41%	0.30451	-0.76%	0.0051	✗	0.23
2026-03-16	oos	0.295785	0.294921	-0.29%	0.306848	+3.74%	0.0427	✗	0.24
2026-03-15	oos	0.298774	0.297764	-0.34%	0.295785	-1.00%	0.0134	✓	0.24
2026-03-14	oos	0.297873	0.296808	-0.36%	0.298774	+0.30%	0.0012	✓	0.24
2026-03-13	oos	0.293445	0.29241	-0.35%	0.297873	+1.51%	0.0176	✗	0.23
2026-03-12	oos	0.289091	0.288196	-0.31%	0.293445	+1.51%	0.0167	✗	0.23
2026-03-11	oos	0.29103	0.290065	-0.33%	0.289091	-0.67%	0.0045	✓	0.24
2026-03-10	oos	0.285816	0.284766	-0.37%	0.29103	+1.82%	0.0209	✗	0.24
2026-03-09	oos	0.285638	0.284653	-0.35%	0.285816	+0.06%	0.0012	✓	0.24
2026-03-08	oos	0.289157	0.287842	-0.45%	0.285638	-1.22%	0.0168	✓	0.25
2026-03-07	oos	0.286621	0.285623	-0.35%	0.289157	+0.88%	0.0172	✗	0.25
2026-03-06	oos	0.28455	0.283662	-0.31%	0.286621	+0.73%	0.0135	✗	0.25
2026-03-05	oos	0.285213	0.284421	-0.28%	0.28455	-0.23%	0.0106	✗	0.25
2026-03-04	oos	0.286996	0.286183	-0.28%	0.285213	-0.62%	0.0029	✗	0.25
2026-03-03	oos	0.280472	0.279591	-0.31%	0.286996	+2.33%	0.0111	✗	0.24
2026-03-02	oos	0.283225	0.282308	-0.32%	0.280472	-0.97%	0.0048	✓	0.24
2026-03-01	oos	0.280685	0.279742	-0.34%	0.283225	+0.90%	0.0013	✓	0.24
2026-02-28	oos	0.281852	0.280909	-0.33%	0.280685	-0.41%	0.0036	✗	0.25
2026-02-27	oos	0.282805	0.281816	-0.35%	0.281852	-0.34%	0.0040	✓	0.25
2026-02-26	oos	0.28562	0.284675	-0.33%	0.282805	-0.99%	0.0006	✓	0.25
2026-02-25	oos	0.285221	0.284315	-0.32%	0.28562	+0.14%	0.0064	✗	0.25
2026-02-24	oos	0.283598	0.282506	-0.39%	0.285221	+0.57%	0.0057	✓	0.26
2026-02-23	oos	0.281643	0.280614	-0.37%	0.283598	+0.69%	0.0128	✗	0.26
2026-02-22	oos	0.290484	0.288988	-0.51%	0.281643	-3.04%	0.0147	✓	0.24
2026-02-21	oos	0.288988	0.28797	-0.35%	0.290484	+0.52%	0.0099	✗	0.24
2026-02-20	oos	0.285275	0.284246	-0.36%	0.288988	+1.30%	0.0166	✗	0.24
2026-02-19	oos	0.284766	0.283688	-0.38%	0.285275	+0.18%	0.0020	✓	0.24
2026-02-18	oos	0.27861	0.277604	-0.36%	0.284766	+2.21%	0.0235	✗	0.24
2026-02-17	oos	0.282089	0.281061	-0.36%	0.27861	-1.23%	0.0049	✓	0.25
2026-02-16	oos	0.284367	0.283328	-0.37%	0.282089	-0.80%	0.0007	✓	0.25
2026-02-15	oos	0.280362	0.279387	-0.35%	0.284367	+1.43%	0.0174	✗	0.24
2026-02-14	oos	0.282454	0.281467	-0.35%	0.280362	-0.74%	0.0004	✓	0.24
2026-02-13	oos	0.282159	0.281078	-0.38%	0.282454	+0.10%	0.0014	✓	0.24
2026-02-12	oos	0.279819	0.278704	-0.40%	0.282159	+0.84%	0.0028	✓	0.25
2026-02-11	oos	0.278169	0.276929	-0.45%	0.279819	+0.59%	0.0133	✗	0.24
2026-02-10	oos	0.277897	0.276849	-0.38%	0.278169	+0.10%	0.0111	✗	0.24
2026-02-09	oos	0.278944	0.27781	-0.41%	0.277897	-0.38%	0.0049	✗	0.24
2026-02-08	oos	0.277615	0.276642	-0.35%	0.278944	+0.48%	0.0089	✗	0.24
2026-02-07	oos	0.27799	0.276963	-0.37%	0.277615	-0.13%	0.0013	✓	0.25
2026-02-06	oos	0.2739	0.272655	-0.45%	0.27799	+1.49%	0.0239	✗	0.25
2026-02-05	oos	0.268957	0.267999	-0.36%	0.2739	+1.84%	0.0093	✓	0.27
2026-02-04	oos	0.282744	0.281557	-0.42%	0.268957	-4.88%	0.0090	✓	0.24
2026-02-03	oos	0.285687	0.284397	-0.45%	0.282744	-1.03%	0.0031	✓	0.25
2026-02-02	oos	0.283137	0.281959	-0.42%	0.285687	+0.90%	0.0236	✗	0.27
2026-02-01	oos	0.284476	0.283093	-0.49%	0.283137	-0.47%	0.0054	✓	0.25
2026-01-31	oos	0.286334	0.284756	-0.55%	0.284476	-0.65%	0.0054	✓	0.28
2026-01-30	oos	0.293825	0.292378	-0.49%	0.286334	-2.55%	0.0027	✓	0.27
2026-01-29	oos	0.294557	0.293037	-0.52%	0.293825	-0.25%	0.0040	✓	0.27
2026-01-28	oos	0.29498	0.293432	-0.52%	0.294557	-0.14%	0.0195	✗	0.29
2026-01-27	oos	0.294262	0.292987	-0.43%	0.29498	+0.24%	0.0066	✗	0.29
2026-01-26	oos	0.29622	0.294847	-0.46%	0.294262	-0.66%	0.0048	✓	0.29
2026-01-25	oos	0.295318	0.293969	-0.46%	0.29622	+0.31%	0.0019	✓	0.30
2026-01-24	oos	0.294967	0.293808	-0.39%	0.295318	+0.12%	0.0138	✗	0.30
2026-01-23	oos	0.297478	0.296229	-0.42%	0.294967	-0.84%	0.0029	✓	0.30
2026-01-22	oos	0.304863	0.30357	-0.42%	0.297478	-2.42%	0.0203	✓	0.30
2026-01-21	oos	0.299019	0.297757	-0.42%	0.304863	+1.95%	0.0233	✗	0.29
2026-01-20	oos	0.296446	0.295311	-0.38%	0.299019	+0.87%	0.0094	✗	0.26
2026-01-19	oos	0.31167	0.310134	-0.49%	0.296446	-4.88%	0.0350	✓	0.22
2026-01-18	oos	0.317729	0.316324	-0.44%	0.31167	-1.91%	0.0124	✓	0.21
2026-01-17	oos	0.318409	0.317102	-0.41%	0.317729	-0.21%	0.0053	✗	0.21
2026-01-16	oos	0.308971	0.30781	-0.38%	0.318409	+3.05%	0.0348	✗	0.22
2026-01-15	oos	0.31254	0.311035	-0.48%	0.308971	-1.14%	0.0065	✓	0.22
2026-01-14	oos	0.30475	0.303615	-0.37%	0.31254	+2.56%	0.0324	✗	0.24
2026-01-13	oos	0.306904	0.305597	-0.43%	0.30475	-0.70%	0.0069	✓	0.25
2026-01-12	oos	0.299488	0.298123	-0.46%	0.306904	+2.48%	0.0189	✗	0.23
2026-01-11	oos	0.299182	0.297873	-0.44%	0.299488	+0.10%	0.0046	✗	0.23
2026-01-10	oos	0.301929	0.300668	-0.42%	0.299182	-0.91%	0.0062	✓	0.24
2026-01-09	oos	0.298112	0.296952	-0.39%	0.301929	+1.28%	0.0170	✗	0.25
2026-01-08	oos	0.294641	0.29354	-0.37%	0.298112	+1.18%	0.0169	✗	0.26
2026-01-07	oos	0.29789	0.296789	-0.37%	0.294641	-1.09%	0.0064	✓	0.31
2026-01-06	oos	0.294014	0.293102	-0.31%	0.29789	+1.32%	0.0248	✗	0.32
2026-01-05	oos	0.292094	0.29096	-0.39%	0.294014	+0.66%	0.0110	✗	0.33
2026-01-04	oos	0.293936	0.292976	-0.33%	0.292094	-0.63%	0.0119	✓	0.35
2026-01-03	oos	0.295483	0.294426	-0.36%	0.293936	-0.52%	0.0051	✓	0.35
2026-01-02	oos	0.288826	0.287791	-0.36%	0.295483	+2.30%	0.0239	✗	0.35
2026-01-01	oos	0.286529	0.285575	-0.33%	0.288826	+0.80%	0.0066	✗	0.34
2025-12-31	oos	0.284106	0.283104	-0.35%	0.286529	+0.85%	0.0072	✗	0.34
2025-12-30	oos	0.286045	0.28509	-0.33%	0.284106	-0.68%	0.0000	✓	0.34
2025-12-29	oos	0.284662	0.28358	-0.38%	0.286045	+0.49%	0.0035	✓	0.35
2025-12-28	oos	0.284792	0.283817	-0.34%	0.284662	-0.05%	0.0060	✗	0.35
2025-12-27	oos	0.284672	0.283689	-0.35%	0.284792	+0.04%	0.0036	✗	0.35
2025-12-26	oos	0.27948	0.278588	-0.32%	0.284672	+1.86%	0.0196	✗	0.34
2025-12-25	oos	0.278629	0.277776	-0.31%	0.27948	+0.31%	0.0056	✗	0.34
2025-12-24	oos	0.280091	0.279246	-0.30%	0.278629	-0.52%	0.0005	✓	0.34
2025-12-23	oos	0.283332	0.282306	-0.36%	0.280091	-1.14%	0.0086	✓	0.35
2025-12-22	oos	0.284362	0.28332	-0.37%	0.283332	-0.36%	0.0045	✗	0.35
2025-12-21	oos	0.288295	0.28708	-0.42%	0.284362	-1.36%	0.0092	✓	0.35
2025-12-20	oos	0.281751	0.280802	-0.34%	0.288295	+2.32%	0.0251	✗	0.35
2025-12-19	oos	0.279735	0.278794	-0.34%	0.281751	+0.72%	0.0096	✗	0.35
2025-12-18	oos	0.27906	0.277954	-0.40%	0.279735	+0.24%	0.0043	✓	0.35
2025-12-17	oos	0.279462	0.278292	-0.42%	0.27906	-0.14%	0.0059	✗	0.35
2025-12-16	oos	0.280111	0.279109	-0.36%	0.279462	-0.23%	0.0081	✗	0.36
2025-12-15	oos	0.278264	0.277132	-0.41%	0.280111	+0.66%	0.0048	✗	0.36
2025-12-14	oos	0.277233	0.276202	-0.37%	0.278264	+0.37%	0.0147	✗	0.36
2025-12-13	oos	0.271099	0.270351	-0.28%	0.277233	+2.26%	0.0339	✗	0.37
2025-12-12	oos	0.273737	0.272998	-0.27%	0.271099	-0.96%	0.0069	✓	0.38
2025-12-11	oos	0.280524	0.279743	-0.28%	0.273737	-2.42%	0.0126	✓	0.37
2025-12-10	oos	0.280078	0.279302	-0.28%	0.280524	+0.16%	0.0023	✓	0.37
2025-12-09	oos	0.282207	0.281359	-0.30%	0.280078	-0.75%	0.0019	✓	0.38
2025-12-08	oos	0.28129	0.280251	-0.37%	0.282207	+0.33%	0.0015	✓	0.38
2025-12-07	oos	0.286865	0.285885	-0.34%	0.28129	-1.94%	0.0173	✓	0.38
2025-12-06	oos	0.28706	0.286057	-0.35%	0.286865	-0.07%	0.0020	✓	0.38
2025-12-05	oos	0.2856	0.284619	-0.34%	0.28706	+0.51%	0.0089	✗	0.40
2025-12-04	oos	0.286256	0.285211	-0.37%	0.2856	-0.23%	0.0136	✗	0.41
2025-12-03	oos	0.280513	0.279667	-0.30%	0.286256	+2.05%	0.0293	✗	0.41
2025-12-02	oos	0.281119	0.28025	-0.31%	0.280513	-0.22%	0.0088	✓	0.42
2025-12-01	oos	0.276879	0.275814	-0.38%	0.281119	+1.53%	0.0055	✓	0.43
2025-11-30	oos	0.281467	0.280573	-0.32%	0.276879	-1.63%	0.0070	✗	0.44
2025-11-29	oos	0.280838	0.279926	-0.32%	0.281467	+0.22%	0.0077	✗	0.43
2025-11-28	oos	0.281041	0.280118	-0.33%	0.280838	-0.07%	0.0029	✓	0.43
2025-11-27	oos	0.28023	0.27931	-0.33%	0.281041	+0.29%	0.0081	✗	0.43
2025-11-26	oos	0.276462	0.275579	-0.32%	0.28023	+1.36%	0.0127	✗	0.43
2025-11-25	oos	0.274472	0.273549	-0.34%	0.276462	+0.73%	0.0048	✓	0.44
2025-11-24	oos	0.274774	0.273802	-0.35%	0.274472	-0.11%	0.0071	✗	0.44
2025-11-23	oos	0.274848	0.273873	-0.35%	0.274774	-0.03%	0.0042	✓	0.45
2025-11-22	oos	0.274051	0.27311	-0.34%	0.274848	+0.29%	0.0057	✓	0.49
2025-11-21	oos	0.276358	0.275053	-0.47%	0.274051	-0.83%	0.0015	✓	0.48
2025-11-20	oos	0.280079	0.278939	-0.41%	0.276358	-1.33%	0.0010	✓	0.48
2025-11-19	oos	0.286625	0.285326	-0.45%	0.280079	-2.28%	0.0097	✗	0.51
2025-11-18	oos	0.290133	0.288801	-0.46%	0.286625	-1.21%	0.0004	✓	0.51
2025-11-17	oos	0.291427	0.290141	-0.44%	0.290133	-0.44%	0.0046	✓	0.52
2025-11-16	oos	0.292042	0.290653	-0.48%	0.291427	-0.21%	0.0142	✗	0.52
2025-11-15	oos	0.294634	0.293369	-0.43%	0.292042	-0.88%	0.0029	✓	0.52
2025-11-14	oos	0.29229	0.290696	-0.55%	0.294634	+0.80%	0.0078	✗	0.52
2025-11-13	oos	0.293002	0.29184	-0.40%	0.29229	-0.24%	0.0307	✗	0.55
2025-11-12	oos	0.294589	0.293408	-0.40%	0.293002	-0.54%	0.0099	✗	0.56
2025-11-11	oos	0.296631	0.295283	-0.45%	0.294589	-0.69%	0.0050	✗	0.55
2025-11-10	oos	0.296365	0.295121	-0.42%	0.296631	+0.09%	0.0214	✗	0.57
2025-11-09	oos	0.290575	0.289474	-0.38%	0.296365	+1.99%	0.0166	✗	0.57
2025-11-08	oos	0.291511	0.290303	-0.41%	0.290575	-0.32%	0.0126	✓	0.58
2025-11-07	oos	0.292117	0.29071	-0.48%	0.291511	-0.21%	0.0084	✗	0.58
2025-11-06	oos	0.283691	0.282585	-0.39%	0.292117	+2.97%	0.0221	✗	0.57
2025-11-05	oos	0.288884	0.287626	-0.44%	0.283691	-1.80%	0.0004	✓	0.57
2025-11-04	oos	0.285515	0.283814	-0.60%	0.288884	+1.18%	0.0046	✓	0.56
2025-11-03	oos	0.281171	0.279999	-0.42%	0.285515	+1.54%	0.0503	✗	0.63
2025-11-02	oos	0.298079	0.29698	-0.37%	0.281171	-5.67%	0.0332	✓	0.59
2025-11-01	oos	0.297298	0.296234	-0.36%	0.298079	+0.26%	0.0036	✗	0.59
2025-10-31	oos	0.296177	0.295147	-0.35%	0.297298	+0.38%	0.0046	✗	0.59
2025-10-30	oos	0.292489	0.291549	-0.32%	0.296177	+1.26%	0.0090	✗	0.59
2025-10-29	oos	0.296	0.295088	-0.31%	0.292489	-1.19%	0.0004	✓	0.58
2025-10-28	oos	0.295542	0.294736	-0.27%	0.296	+0.16%	0.0197	✗	0.60
2025-10-27	oos	0.298196	0.29742	-0.26%	0.295542	-0.89%	0.0001	✓	0.60
2025-10-26	oos	0.300314	0.299535	-0.26%	0.298196	-0.71%	0.0021	✓	0.59
2025-10-25	oos	0.2972	0.296298	-0.30%	0.300314	+1.05%	0.0017	✓	0.59
2025-10-24	oos	0.303657	0.302761	-0.29%	0.2972	-2.13%	0.0219	✓	0.60
2025-10-23	oos	0.313922	0.312885	-0.33%	0.303657	-3.27%	0.0350	✓	0.61
2025-10-22	oos	0.322692	0.321321	-0.42%	0.313922	-2.72%	0.0382	✓	0.64
2025-10-21	oos	0.321808	0.320286	-0.47%	0.322692	+0.27%	0.0121	✗	0.64
2025-10-20	oos	0.322529	0.321119	-0.44%	0.321808	-0.22%	0.0153	✗	0.65
2025-10-19	oos	0.320288	0.31889	-0.44%	0.322529	+0.70%	0.0002	✓	0.65
2025-10-18	oos	0.313074	0.311882	-0.38%	0.320288	+2.30%	0.0179	✗	0.64
2025-10-17	oos	0.309091	0.307901	-0.39%	0.313074	+1.29%	0.0122	✗	0.64
2025-10-16	oos	0.316132	0.314943	-0.38%	0.309091	-2.23%	0.0085	✓	0.63
2025-10-15	oos	0.319408	0.318236	-0.37%	0.316132	-1.03%	0.0082	✗	0.62
2025-10-14	oos	0.316831	0.315731	-0.35%	0.319408	+0.81%	0.0245	✗	0.64
2025-10-13	oos	0.322877	0.32181	-0.33%	0.316831	-1.87%	0.0032	✓	0.64
2025-10-12	oos	0.323061	0.321866	-0.37%	0.322877	-0.06%	0.0020	✓	0.64
2025-10-11	oos	0.314601	0.313494	-0.35%	0.323061	+2.69%	0.0058	✗	0.64
2025-10-10	oos	0.321239	0.319828	-0.44%	0.314601	-2.07%	0.0041	✓	0.63
2025-10-09	oos	0.336897	0.335901	-0.30%	0.321239	-4.65%	0.0013	✓	0.62
2025-10-08	oos	0.342116	0.341056	-0.31%	0.336897	-1.53%	0.0040	✓	0.62
2025-10-07	oos	0.337962	0.336986	-0.29%	0.342116	+1.23%	0.0056	✗	0.60
2025-10-06	oos	0.346205	0.345066	-0.33%	0.337962	-2.38%	0.0051	✓	0.58
2025-10-05	oos	0.341514	0.340437	-0.32%	0.346205	+1.37%	0.0112	✗	0.58
2025-10-04	oos	0.340574	0.339591	-0.29%	0.341514	+0.28%	0.0007	✓	0.58
2025-10-03	oos	0.342132	0.341085	-0.31%	0.340574	-0.46%	0.0022	✓	0.58
2025-10-02	oos	0.342871	0.3418	-0.31%	0.342132	-0.22%	0.0072	✓	0.59
2025-10-01	oos	0.34193	0.34072	-0.35%	0.342871	+0.28%	0.0035	✓	0.60
2025-09-30	oos	0.333724	0.33247	-0.38%	0.34193	+2.46%	0.0044	✗	0.60
2025-09-29	oos	0.337011	0.335785	-0.36%	0.333724	-0.98%	0.0046	✓	0.60
2025-09-28	oos	0.335778	0.334563	-0.36%	0.337011	+0.37%	0.0043	✓	0.61
2025-09-27	oos	0.336785	0.335499	-0.38%	0.335778	-0.30%	0.0132	✓	0.62
2025-09-26	oos	0.338557	0.337056	-0.44%	0.336785	-0.52%	0.0007	✓	0.62
2025-09-25	oos	0.332085	0.330455	-0.49%	0.338557	+1.95%	0.0205	✗	0.61
2025-09-24	oos	0.338299	0.337008	-0.38%	0.332085	-1.84%	0.0093	✗	0.62
2025-09-23	oos	0.335859	0.334528	-0.40%	0.338299	+0.73%	0.0039	✓	0.62
2025-09-22	oos	0.340247	0.338484	-0.52%	0.335859	-1.29%	0.0039	✓	0.61
2025-09-21	oos	0.342575	0.341272	-0.38%	0.340247	-0.68%	0.0108	✗	0.62
2025-09-20	oos	0.346775	0.345434	-0.39%	0.342575	-1.21%	0.0058	✓	0.63
2025-09-19	oos	0.343863	0.342566	-0.38%	0.346775	+0.85%	0.0119	✗	0.64
2025-09-18	oos	0.350477	0.348999	-0.42%	0.343863	-1.89%	0.0071	✓	0.63

predicted and realised values are beta-adjusted unless labelled otherwise: alpha = r_token − β_90d · r_BTC, so every figure means “performance versus this token’s own BTC beta”, not market direction. Prices are reconstructed under the flat-BTC assumption P̂ = P_last exp(clip(α̂, ±3)). In-sample (train) rows are excluded by default because the model trained on them. Read-only view of predictions.db.