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2022-09-07 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 189 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2548
188 of 189 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+11.79%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
80.3%
in alpha space · 74.5% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.24%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (189 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.10e-77.03e-7-13.18%5.43e-7-32.95%0.2692✓0.882.1M2022-10-07
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.4581.2976-11.00%1.264-13.31%0.0408✓1.1851k2022-10-07
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.62656.8248-10.51%6.2255-18.37%0.0964✓0.379.8M2022-10-07
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain12.63911.3533-10.17%16.094+27.34%0.3419✗0.5716.0M2022-10-07
LUNATerraTerra 20.000438610.000398617-9.12%0.0002907-33.72%0.3247✓0.73825k2022-10-07
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain6.92856.3003-9.07%5.3289-23.09%0.1708✓0.278.4M2022-10-07
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.9063.5584-8.90%3.908+0.05%0.0816✓0.98289k2022-10-07
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.411.292-8.37%1.16-17.73%0.1198✓0.9881k2022-10-07
ETCEthereum Classicnative37.2734.2027-8.23%27.5-26.21%0.2374✓1.5610.6M2022-10-07
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12380.11383-8.05%0.0678-45.23%0.5277✓0.78203k2022-10-07
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8525.3864-7.96%5.474-6.46%0.0053✓0.886.6M2022-10-07
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.382.1914-7.93%1.81-23.95%0.2064✓1.23229k2022-10-07
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.2341.1369-7.87%1.2387+0.38%0.0740✓0.961.3M2022-10-07
CHZChilizEthereum0.19350.178636-7.68%0.2214+14.42%0.2039✗0.873.1M2022-10-07
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3410.315677-7.43%0.2884-15.43%0.1036✓1.0773k2022-10-07
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.63054.2869-7.42%3.6136-21.96%0.1787✓0.647.3M2022-10-07
METISMetisEthereum29.1226.9841-7.33%26.73-8.21%0.0320✓1.83190k2022-10-07
BANDBandEthereum1.2761.1829-7.30%1.215-4.78%0.0118✓1.21429k2022-10-07
RADRadworksEthereum2.482.2991-7.30%2.01-18.95%0.1439✓0.77262k2022-10-07
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.616.3701-6.99%15.42-12.39%0.0684✓0.70422k2022-10-07
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.060230.056125-6.82%0.05902-2.01%0.0367✓1.101.6M2022-10-07
CVCCivicEthereum0.13530.126864-6.24%0.1286-4.95%0.0010✓1.02128k2022-10-07
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.385.9829-6.22%5.65-11.44%0.0635✓0.512.2M2022-10-07
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013140.001233-6.20%0.0009995-23.94%0.2196✓0.812.5M2022-10-07
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6560.615785-6.13%0.585-10.82%0.0621✓0.88151k2022-10-07
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.070810.066479-6.12%0.06936-2.05%0.0418✓0.05389k2022-10-07
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.84.5082-6.08%5.0295+4.78%0.0823✗2.20129k2022-10-07
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14170.133087-6.08%0.144+1.62%0.0654✗1.09489k2022-10-07
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0470.983574-6.06%0.856-18.24%0.1443✓0.432.9M2022-10-07
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82690.778085-5.90%0.7401-10.50%0.0631✓1.061.1M2022-10-07
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.487.0589-5.63%6.49-13.24%0.0981✓1.14276k2022-10-07
FLOWFlownative1.8611.7577-5.55%1.684-9.51%0.0598✓1.371.2M2022-10-07
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.168250.158993-5.50%0.15317-8.96%0.0497✓1.01268k2022-10-07
GMTGMTEthereum0.65030.615043-5.42%0.6513+0.15%0.0399✓1.41226k2022-10-07
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8351.7371-5.33%1.598-12.92%0.1044✓1.6969k2022-10-07
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82650.782744-5.29%0.831+0.54%0.0417✓1.47103k2022-10-07
WOOWOOEthereum0.15610.148019-5.18%0.1392-10.83%0.0741✓1.021,3092022-10-07
NANOnanopayBase0.8797310.834192-5.18%0.8144-7.43%0.0345✓0.8552k2022-10-07
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.0933.8827-5.14%3.707-9.43%0.0526✓0.512.1M2022-10-07
LCXLCXEthereum0.05250.049868-5.01%0.0555+5.71%0.0930✗1.13239k2022-10-07
GITCOINGITCOIN2.28082.1687-4.91%1.8217-20.13%0.1888✓1.1713k2022-10-07
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034520.032839-4.87%0.0304-11.94%0.0898✓1.0259k2022-10-07
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0174030.016564-4.82%0.015201-12.65%0.0982✓1.001072022-10-07
PROPropyEthereum0.740.704541-4.79%0.58-21.62%0.1987✓0.3457k2022-10-07
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0361.9397-4.73%1.714-15.82%0.1382✓1.1835k2022-10-07
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.122.9746-4.66%2.97-4.81%0.0084✓0.56720k2022-10-07
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1491.0957-4.64%1.054-8.27%0.0508✓0.971.1M2022-10-07
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0063030.006012-4.61%0.006299-0.06%0.0411✓0.4541k2022-10-07
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008870.008464-4.58%0.00636-28.30%0.2950✓0.753.6M2022-10-07
COMPCompoundEthereum48.6646.4491-4.54%58.77+20.78%0.2194✗1.299,1802022-10-07
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50390.48133-4.48%0.3952-21.57%0.2064✓0.75490k2022-10-07
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.2175.9387-4.48%5.129-17.50%0.1530✓0.524.1M2022-10-07
LSKLiskEthereum1.00530.960429-4.46%0.968516-3.65%0.0023✓0.8737k2022-10-07
ELAElastosEthereum1.7171.641-4.43%1.629-5.13%0.0180✓0.8772k2022-10-07
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.16691.1154-4.42%0.8969-23.14%0.2373✓1.564.6M2022-10-07
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.93312.3656-4.39%13.059+0.97%0.0404✓1.1512.5M2022-10-07
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum13.512.9108-4.36%12.44-7.85%0.0509✓1.11971k2022-10-07
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.3664.1758-4.36%3.762-13.83%0.1087✓0.352.3M2022-10-07
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.335.098-4.35%4.95-7.13%0.0356✓0.502.0M2022-10-07
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2834580.271131-4.35%0.265607-6.30%0.0342✓1.10514k2022-10-07
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1040.099579-4.25%0.0977-6.06%0.0325✓1.092.8M2022-10-07
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.189.7501-4.22%9.28-8.84%0.0653✓1.29281k2022-10-07
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31250.299367-4.20%0.2853-8.70%0.0621✓1.1397k2022-10-07
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,334.028,943.82-4.18%8,078.59-13.45%0.1194✓1.434.8M2022-10-07
SCSiacoinnative0.003880.003718-4.18%0.00346-10.82%0.0841✓0.99123k2022-10-07
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.14454.9299-4.17%4.1083-20.14%0.1835✓0.09115k2022-10-07
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0202660.019423-4.16%0.019201-5.26%0.0216✓0.8213k2022-10-07
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.09730.093273-4.14%0.0798-17.99%0.1682✓0.9910k2022-10-07
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04760.045644-4.11%0.0385-19.12%0.1829✓1.03717k2022-10-07
UOSUltraEthereum0.37320.357874-4.11%0.32601-12.64%0.1053✓0.98392k2022-10-07
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015470.001484-4.08%0.001389-10.21%0.0745✓0.687,6332022-10-07
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.11510.110424-4.06%0.0976-15.20%0.1343✓0.88169k2022-10-07
BORABORAKlay Token0.274960.263801-4.06%0.23313-15.21%0.1366✓1.0514k2022-10-07
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.81051.7371-4.06%1.6827-7.06%0.0457✓1.1223k2022-10-07
XVGVergenative0.003060.002936-4.06%0.00335+9.48%0.1193✗1.03483k2022-10-07
UMAUMAEthereum2.6182.513-4.01%2.295-12.34%0.1018✓0.90671k2022-10-07
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0610670.058626-4.00%0.062428+2.23%0.0495✗1.081.4M2022-10-07
ASTRAstarEthereum0.0350.033601-4.00%0.0374+6.86%0.0978✗0.757,8592022-10-07
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06050.05814-3.90%0.0569-5.95%0.0372✓1.27617k2022-10-07
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.4990.479932-3.82%0.481-3.61%0.0112✓1.0957k2022-10-07
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.325540.313261-3.77%0.30023-7.77%0.0549✓1.0137k2022-10-07
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.416.1724-3.71%6.47+0.94%0.0409✗0.502.1M2022-10-07
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.48e-7-3.68%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0802✓0.801.8M2022-10-07
DASHDashDash44.9143.2687-3.65%42.31-5.79%0.0348✓1.01368k2022-10-07
STORJStorjEthereum0.517990.499119-3.64%0.45222-12.70%0.1151✓1.3341k2022-10-07
KCSKuCoinnative9.2048.8783-3.54%9.085-1.29%0.0111✓0.961.2M2022-10-07
SUSHISushiEthereum1.25171.2077-3.52%1.3611+8.74%0.1044✗1.231.1M2022-10-07
GALAGALAEthereum0.04870.047003-3.49%0.0405-16.84%0.1604✓0.93190k2022-10-07
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.2016.9532-3.44%6.33-12.10%0.1069✓1.0610.2M2022-10-07
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007640.007377-3.44%0.00638-16.49%0.1591✓1.13389k2022-10-07
XVSVenusEthereum4.814.6451-3.43%5.3+10.19%0.1213✗0.861.1M2022-10-07
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.494.3362-3.43%4.39-2.23%0.0052✓0.581.3M2022-10-07
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,486.001,435.15-3.42%1,292.85-13.00%0.1168✓1.003.4M2022-10-07
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.020830.020118-3.42%0.01843-11.52%0.0975✓0.80295k2022-10-07
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana8.838.5292-3.41%8.03-9.06%0.0667✓0.522.2M2022-10-07
NEXONEXOEthereum0.9010.870348-3.40%0.873-3.11%0.0128✓1.291.6M2022-10-07
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.134480.129988-3.34%0.12805-4.78%0.0299✓1.21175k2022-10-07
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105030.010158-3.28%0.010555+0.50%0.0260✓1.004902022-10-07
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.14580.141039-3.27%0.1214-16.74%0.1505✓0.0591k2022-10-07
ETHEthereumEthereum1,629.921,577.36-3.22%1,331.14-18.33%0.1868✓1.39660.9M2022-10-07
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.62e-7-3.18%7.90e-7-11.24%0.0965✓0.7815k2022-10-07
FIDABonfidaSolana0.410.397139-3.14%0.419+2.20%0.0406✗1.057,9852022-10-07
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.74421.6895-3.13%1.1304-35.19%0.4138✓0.961.2M2022-10-07
XYMSymbolnative0.0416570.040361-3.11%0.037732-9.42%0.0737✓0.5125k2022-10-07
HIVEHivenative0.52940.512936-3.11%0.5919+11.81%0.1331✗0.82867k2022-10-07
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0249370.024164-3.10%0.026578+6.58%0.0938✗0.12454k2022-10-07
XECeCashnative0.000041840.000040546-3.09%0.00004515+7.91%0.0970✗0.852.5M2022-10-07
DIADIAEthereum0.373240.362049-3.00%0.39442+5.67%0.0736✗0.9832k2022-10-07
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058850.005709-2.99%0.00587-0.25%0.0192✓0.702,1192022-10-07
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.036770.035691-2.93%0.03572-2.86%0.0094✓0.832,4552022-10-07
APEApeCoinEthereum4.424.2924-2.89%5.184+17.29%0.1721✗1.356.7M2022-10-07
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20230.196534-2.85%0.188-7.07%0.0607✓1.32140k2022-10-07
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4361.3956-2.82%1.595+11.07%0.1190✗1.1873k2022-10-07
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30550.297054-2.76%0.2408-21.18%0.2234✓1.0998k2022-10-07
KSMKusamaHydration48.4147.0844-2.74%42.33-12.56%0.1191✓1.02442k2022-10-07
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0027750.002699-2.73%0.002202-20.65%0.2150✓0.921.2M2022-10-07
API3Api3Ethereum1.7991.7501-2.72%1.723-4.22%0.0274✓0.96604k2022-10-07
SOLSolanaSolana32.731.8109-2.72%32.98+0.86%0.0220✓1.1461.7M2022-10-07
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.0118.496-2.70%16.9-11.10%0.1061✓1.2919.5M2022-10-07
C98Coin98Ethereum0.40260.391715-2.70%0.3594-10.73%0.1006✓1.1880k2022-10-07
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4766.3015-2.69%5.947-8.17%0.0684✓0.854.5M2022-10-07
FTTFTXEthereum25.9925.2919-2.69%24.48-5.81%0.0447✓0.986.8M2022-10-07
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.29910.291182-2.65%0.3416+14.21%0.1483✗0.925.8M2022-10-07
XEMNEMnative0.0425240.04141-2.62%0.040657-4.39%0.0288✓0.8529k2022-10-07
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.0836.8987-2.60%7.603+7.34%0.0838✗1.0818.0M2022-10-07
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20230.197067-2.59%0.1966-2.82%0.0147✓1.0057k2022-10-07
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.520.506742-2.55%0.448-13.85%0.1377✓1.1777k2022-10-07
STXStacksnative0.35110.342343-2.49%0.3264-7.04%0.0622✓1.18365k2022-10-07
ZENHorizenBase14.9314.5577-2.49%13.64-8.64%0.0791✓1.1388k2022-10-07
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19720.192348-2.46%0.1552-21.30%0.2310✓1.33111k2022-10-07
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03870.037759-2.43%0.0341-11.89%0.1136✓0.9566k2022-10-07
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.8114.4522-2.42%17.31+16.88%0.1678✗1.021.7M2022-10-07
ZECZcashZcash59.3757.938-2.41%54.71-7.85%0.0720✓1.191.3M2022-10-07
COTICOTIEthereum0.09510.092822-2.40%0.1155+21.45%0.2063✗1.00368k2022-10-07
CBKCobakEthereum0.824790.805202-2.37%0.7783-5.64%0.0465✓1.0114k2022-10-07
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.90230.880944-2.37%0.8353-7.43%0.0683✓1.23916k2022-10-07
AMPAmpEthereum0.005570.005442-2.30%0.00498-10.59%0.0967✓0.65995k2022-10-07
XLMStellarStellar0.102970.10061-2.29%0.1223+18.77%0.1849✗0.846.6M2022-10-07
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.11920.116499-2.27%0.1497+25.59%0.2378✗1.0524k2022-10-07
OPTIMOptimism1.1721.1467-2.16%0.846-27.82%0.3240✓1.612.9M2022-10-07
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9882.9239-2.15%2.253-24.60%0.2796✓1.543.5M2022-10-07
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021450.020997-2.11%0.02185+1.86%0.0301✗0.799.7M2022-10-07
DKAdKargoEthereum0.042880.042004-2.04%0.03991-6.93%0.0604✓0.7514k2022-10-07
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2620.256741-2.01%0.247-5.73%0.0482✓0.77581k2022-10-07
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.12980.127204-2.00%0.1329+2.39%0.0371✗0.543.4M2022-10-07
QNTQuantEthereum95.7293.8602-1.94%138.72+44.92%0.3800✗0.873.4M2022-10-07
MOVRMoonriverBase12.296612.0597-1.93%11.0101-10.46%0.1034✓1.0025k2022-10-07
PHAPHALAEthereum0.09880.096908-1.92%0.0876-11.34%0.1101✓0.742,9872022-10-07
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012250.000012017-1.90%0.0000111-9.39%0.0913✓0.96898k2022-10-07
XTZTezosTezos1.49011.4623-1.87%1.4096-5.40%0.0508✓1.14241k2022-10-07
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.0560.054963-1.85%0.0493-11.96%0.1201✓0.9381k2022-10-07
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17870.175499-1.79%0.1598-10.58%0.1103✓1.341,7442022-10-07
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015550.001527-1.78%0.001534-1.35%0.0054✓0.79406k2022-10-07
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.91.8666-1.76%2.57+35.26%0.3138✗0.4975k2022-10-07
MANADecentralandEthereum0.762480.749114-1.75%0.69446-8.92%0.0867✓0.88520k2022-10-07
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,293.5218,962.99-1.71%19,533.05+1.24%0.0173✓1.00485.5M2022-10-07
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4920.483726-1.68%0.349-29.07%0.3419✓1.254,1032022-10-07
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.064130.063058-1.67%–pending––0.936022022-10-07
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.4660.458428-1.62%0.4316-7.38%0.0746✓1.16384k2022-10-07
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.27620.271734-1.62%0.2696-2.39%0.0200✓0.982.7M2022-10-07
UNIUniswapEthereum6.1166.0178-1.61%6.79+11.02%0.1043✗1.337.2M2022-10-07
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.9680.953696-1.48%0.9423-2.65%0.0183✓0.512.9M2022-10-07
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012050.011875-1.45%0.00942-21.83%0.2398✓0.67228k2022-10-07
GTGateEthereum4.00993.9521-1.44%4.3849+9.35%0.0943✗0.78748k2022-10-07
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6470.638132-1.37%0.587-9.27%0.0980✓1.173.9M2022-10-07
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV51.85651.1478-1.37%48.672-6.14%0.0593✓0.78302k2022-10-07
FORTFortaEthereum0.2310.227852-1.36%0.1687-26.97%0.3108✓0.8366k2022-10-07
AVTAventusEthereum1.461.4402-1.36%1.53+4.79%0.0625✗-0.16124k2022-10-07
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.71117.1656-1.30%116.69-1.70%0.0186✓1.184.4M2022-10-07
XMRMoneroMonero149.27147.3711-1.27%146.77-1.67%0.0171✓1.061.4M2022-10-07
GLMGolemEthereum0.2310.228249-1.19%0.2684+16.19%0.1502✗0.9681k2022-10-07
ADACardanoCardano0.47880.473305-1.15%0.424-11.45%0.1218✓0.9539.1M2022-10-07
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.42110.416355-1.13%0.3292-21.82%0.2492✓1.17215k2022-10-07
AAVEAaveEthereum87.5586.5771-1.11%75.79-13.43%0.1522✓1.556.0M2022-10-07
QTUMQtumQtum3.0963.0676-0.92%2.8133-9.13%0.0994✓1.0419k2022-10-07
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04660.046176-0.91%0.0409-12.23%0.1335✓0.98132k2022-10-07
STEEMSteemnative0.21280.21088-0.90%0.2316+8.83%0.0821✗0.94489k2022-10-07
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072080.071447-0.88%0.06209-13.86%0.1550✓1.1825k2022-10-07
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0125550.012463-0.74%0.011038-12.08%0.1298✓0.68929k2022-10-07
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.06210.061653-0.72%0.0627+0.97%0.0065✓0.8485k2022-10-07
DODODODOEthereum0.12860.127696-0.70%0.1301+1.17%0.0054✓1.071.4M2022-10-07
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024050.023889-0.67%0.02333-2.99%0.0395✓1.282,9582022-10-07
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,273.8019,178.90-0.49%19,469.40+1.01%0.0035✓0.9412k2022-10-07
LTCLitecoinLitecoin57.357.0944-0.36%52.86-7.75%0.0897✓1.0213.1M2022-10-07
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.152690.152638-0.03%0.16648+9.03%0.0623✗1.983162022-10-07
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.322710.32294+0.07%0.39093+21.14%0.1809✓0.82327k2022-10-07
TRXTRONTron0.0618420.061919+0.12%0.06256+1.16%0.0027✓0.62129k2022-10-07
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6320.633248+0.20%0.614-2.85%0.0431✗0.99178k2022-10-07
TRBTellor TributesEthereum17.2317.2708+0.24%15.05-12.65%0.1468✗0.741.7M2022-10-07
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.