8=======>

2022-09-05 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 190 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2185
190 of 190 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.57%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.9%
in alpha space · 75.8% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.85%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (190 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,866.3019,619.57-1.24%20,252.70+1.95%0.0145✗0.9413k2022-10-05
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.16280.160138-1.64%0.1147-29.55%0.3342✓0.0393k2022-10-05
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.05144.9648-1.72%4.1821-17.21%0.1734✓0.10115k2022-10-05
TRXTRONTron0.0629370.061821-1.77%0.062453-0.77%0.0011✓0.62123k2022-10-05
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.37410.366012-2.16%0.3286-12.16%0.1310✓1.26202k2022-10-05
DIADIAEthereum0.380520.372089-2.22%0.41668+9.50%0.0952✗0.9833k2022-10-05
GTGateEthereum4.00713.9146-2.31%4.3938+9.65%0.1010✗0.79748k2022-10-05
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.3117.8851-2.32%15.44-15.67%0.1601✓0.711.7M2022-10-05
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.3658.8192-2.55%54.64-9.48%0.0919✓0.9912.8M2022-10-05
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,794.5819,257.18-2.71%20,161.62+1.85%0.0275✗1.00480.9M2022-10-05
AAVEAaveEthereum91.388.8199-2.72%78.71-13.79%0.1492✓1.545.2M2022-10-05
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4870.473626-2.75%0.356-26.90%0.3078✓1.223,8602022-10-05
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.65e-7-2.79%8.00e-7-10.11%0.0929✓0.7915k2022-10-05
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20970.203683-2.87%0.1957-6.68%0.0583✓1.0058k2022-10-05
LCXLCXEthereum0.05580.05418-2.90%0.0539-3.41%0.0258✓1.12220k2022-10-05
STEEMSteemnative0.2220.215546-2.91%0.2267+2.12%0.0333✗0.93468k2022-10-05
FTTFTXEthereum26.6225.8443-2.91%24.76-6.99%0.0607✓0.976.8M2022-10-05
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03670.035618-2.95%0.034-7.36%0.0635✓0.9266k2022-10-05
FORTFortaEthereum0.23370.226744-2.98%0.1829-21.74%0.2314✓0.9066k2022-10-05
STORJStorjEthereum0.555460.538773-3.00%0.45167-18.69%0.2006✓1.3239k2022-10-05
CHRChromiaEthereum0.18720.181423-3.09%0.1602-14.42%0.1497✓1.382,0092022-10-05
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012720.012323-3.12%0.00948-25.47%0.2742✓0.65220k2022-10-05
AMPAmpEthereum0.005990.005799-3.19%0.00515-14.02%0.1303✓0.63951k2022-10-05
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206530.019989-3.22%0.019252-6.78%0.0525✓0.8112k2022-10-05
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.1580.152903-3.23%0.17246+9.15%0.0831✗2.033162022-10-05
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05590.05406-3.29%0.0716+28.09%0.2649✗0.8885k2022-10-05
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.006350.006136-3.37%0.006285-1.02%0.0159✓0.4441k2022-10-05
GLMGolemEthereum0.23730.229271-3.38%0.2662+12.18%0.1318✗0.9681k2022-10-05
NANOnanopayBase0.8985570.868048-3.40%0.800836-10.88%0.0960✓0.8454k2022-10-05
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131250.012674-3.44%0.011859-9.65%0.0784✓0.65929k2022-10-05
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05710.055133-3.44%0.0498-12.78%0.1190✓0.9490k2022-10-05
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.7151.8494-3.46%49.531-7.78%0.0596✓0.76302k2022-10-05
MANADecentralandEthereum0.78950.760865-3.63%0.70324-10.93%0.0948✓0.87509k2022-10-05
COTICOTIEthereum0.09390.090492-3.63%0.1222+30.14%0.2826✗0.97372k2022-10-05
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.068020.06555-3.63%0.06191-8.98%0.0738✓0.916062022-10-05
BORABORAKlay Token0.285930.275503-3.65%0.23538-17.68%0.1767✓1.0513k2022-10-05
FISStafiEthereum0.33790.32554-3.66%0.2974-11.99%0.1072✓0.916202022-10-05
SUNSun TokenTron0.006020.005795-3.74%0.006191+2.83%0.0532✗0.702,1662022-10-05
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003868-3.79%0.00348-13.43%0.1238✓0.99127k2022-10-05
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04460.042899-3.81%0.0414-7.17%0.0536✓0.98132k2022-10-05
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.971.8938-3.87%2.39+21.32%0.2234✗0.5168k2022-10-05
QNTQuantEthereum93.1489.5269-3.88%138.37+48.56%0.4197✗0.863.4M2022-10-05
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.118035-3.96%0.1318+7.24%0.0911✗1.0425k2022-10-05
APEApeCoinEthereum4.754.5615-3.97%5.2+9.47%0.1064✗1.346.8M2022-10-05
XVGVergenative0.003090.002966-4.00%0.00338+9.39%0.1118✗1.02481k2022-10-05
ZECZcashZcash63.4160.8583-4.02%56.64-10.68%0.0932✓1.161.3M2022-10-05
AVTAventusEthereum1.451.3916-4.03%1.57+8.28%0.1227✗-0.12128k2022-10-05
KCSKuCoinnative9.4149.0341-4.04%9.14-2.91%0.0061✓0.961.2M2022-10-05
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.353780.339336-4.08%0.40026+13.14%0.1504✗0.80332k2022-10-05
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021340.020449-4.18%0.02234+4.69%0.0745✗0.769.8M2022-10-05
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025110.024059-4.19%0.02368-5.69%0.0393✓1.283,2982022-10-05
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10250.098191-4.20%0.0893-12.88%0.1083✓0.732,7842022-10-05
XMRMoneroMonero157.52150.8423-4.24%146.46-7.02%0.0485✓1.041.4M2022-10-05
SOLSolanaSolana32.1830.8037-4.28%34.05+5.81%0.0793✗1.1461.7M2022-10-05
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.95770.916587-4.29%0.8612-10.08%0.0847✓1.22865k2022-10-05
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.340640.325892-4.33%0.30274-11.13%0.0918✓0.9937k2022-10-05
BFCBifrostEthereum0.072610.069457-4.34%0.06245-13.99%0.1279✓1.1725k2022-10-05
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28220.26985-4.38%0.2745-2.73%0.0004✓0.952.8M2022-10-05
DODODODOEthereum0.12790.122274-4.40%0.1324+3.52%0.0604✗1.041.5M2022-10-05
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022350.021364-4.41%0.01882-15.79%0.1418✓0.82459k2022-10-05
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.47220.451039-4.48%0.4412-6.57%0.0432✓1.15384k2022-10-05
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6620.632295-4.49%0.585-11.63%0.0957✓0.98187k2022-10-05
DKAdKargoEthereum0.04420.042205-4.51%0.04004-9.41%0.0662✓0.7414k2022-10-05
SGBSongbirdnative0.02550.024345-4.53%0.0195-23.53%0.2332✓0.6245k2022-10-05
XEMNEMnative0.0437180.041697-4.62%0.041527-5.01%0.0196✓0.8427k2022-10-05
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2710.258447-4.63%0.254-6.27%0.0311✓0.75597k2022-10-05
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2090.199253-4.66%0.1824-12.73%0.1130✓1.34142k2022-10-05
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014680.001398-4.73%0.001439-1.98%0.0159✓0.697,6332022-10-05
DASHDashDash47.5945.3066-4.80%42.19-11.35%0.0892✓0.97419k2022-10-05
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015640.001488-4.83%0.001566+0.13%0.0338✓0.93413k2022-10-05
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037420.035609-4.84%0.03512-6.15%0.0289✓0.822,5882022-10-05
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08180.077827-4.86%0.081-0.98%0.0226✓0.9510k2022-10-05
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.1040.098922-4.88%0.0978-5.96%0.0272✓0.86169k2022-10-05
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.14470.137618-4.89%0.128-11.54%0.0819✓0.513.4M2022-10-05
UMAUMAEthereum2.7222.5872-4.95%2.313-15.03%0.1283✓0.88682k2022-10-05
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.3070.291699-4.98%0.2918-4.95%0.0211✓1.17105k2022-10-05
MOVRMoonriverBase12.905412.2618-4.99%11.2855-12.55%0.1012✓0.9930k2022-10-05
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0052.8546-5.00%2.33-22.46%0.2312✓1.533.5M2022-10-05
LSKLiskEthereum1.04440.991867-5.03%0.968189-7.30%0.0399✓0.8639k2022-10-05
XVSVenusEthereum4.934.6816-5.04%5.22+5.88%0.0931✗0.861.2M2022-10-05
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.15271.094-5.09%0.9059-21.41%0.2167✓1.534.4M2022-10-05
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9722.8203-5.11%2.993+0.71%0.0497✓0.53653k2022-10-05
XYMSymbolnative0.0414830.039363-5.11%0.037278-10.14%0.0637✓0.5125k2022-10-05
WOOWOOEthereum0.15620.148202-5.12%0.1454-6.91%0.0382✓1.041,4472022-10-05
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.034784-5.22%0.0374+1.91%0.0583✗0.776,8072022-10-05
API3Api3Ethereum1.691.6-5.32%1.718+1.66%0.0541✓0.93540k2022-10-05
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012610.000011935-5.36%0.00001144-9.28%0.0600✓0.96861k2022-10-05
PROPropyEthereum0.720.681128-5.40%0.59-18.06%0.1497✓0.3363k2022-10-05
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.7346.3701-5.40%6.03-10.45%0.0703✓0.844.4M2022-10-05
CBKCobakEthereum0.855820.809379-5.43%0.78874-7.84%0.0443✓1.0113k2022-10-05
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4651.3854-5.43%1.498+2.25%0.0566✗1.1779k2022-10-05
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.86631.7643-5.47%1.7093-8.41%0.0517✓1.0925k2022-10-05
ADACardanoCardano0.49870.471175-5.52%0.431-13.58%0.1061✓0.9339.1M2022-10-05
ETHEthereumEthereum1,618.011,528.03-5.56%1,352.48-16.41%0.1476✓1.39628.3M2022-10-05
ZENHorizenBase16.115.203-5.57%13.98-13.17%0.1043✓1.1193k2022-10-05
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30460.287497-5.61%0.3539+16.19%0.1913✗0.905.8M2022-10-05
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6760.637886-5.64%0.6-11.24%0.0837✓1.223.9M2022-10-05
XLMStellarStellar0.105070.099071-5.71%0.1189+13.16%0.1672✗0.836.7M2022-10-05
QTUMQtumQtum3.34843.157-5.72%2.8764-14.10%0.1117✓1.0118k2022-10-05
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5220.492149-5.72%0.467-10.54%0.0720✓1.0763k2022-10-05
STXStacksnative0.36810.346986-5.74%0.3269-11.19%0.0809✓1.16348k2022-10-05
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007850.007397-5.77%0.00669-14.78%0.1213✓1.13406k2022-10-05
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13980.131688-5.80%0.1448+3.58%0.0754✗1.06409k2022-10-05
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.192714-5.81%0.1562-23.66%0.2341✓1.31111k2022-10-05
ELAElastosEthereum1.7521.6499-5.83%1.458-16.78%0.1403✓0.9195k2022-10-05
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.4418.2974-5.88%17.38-10.60%0.0749✓1.2819.6M2022-10-05
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.38e-7-5.89%7.90e-7-11.24%0.0733✓0.811.7M2022-10-05
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138440.13027-5.90%0.13013-6.00%0.0233✓1.21175k2022-10-05
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0626950.05898-5.93%0.064822+3.39%0.0748✗1.071.3M2022-10-05
XTZTezosTezos1.5461.4534-5.99%1.4299-7.51%0.0370✓1.12252k2022-10-05
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008910.008375-6.01%0.0065-27.05%0.2671✓0.744.1M2022-10-05
HIVEHivenative0.53880.506079-6.07%0.5043-6.40%0.0188✓0.83924k2022-10-05
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.724.4332-6.08%4.4-6.78%0.0174✓0.541.3M2022-10-05
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2986880.280487-6.09%0.268868-9.98%0.0622✓1.08514k2022-10-05
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04960.046576-6.10%0.0391-21.17%0.1934✓1.00739k2022-10-05
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.328513-6.14%0.33985-2.90%0.0164✓0.95392k2022-10-05
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.3826.9283-6.15%7.876+6.69%0.1089✗1.0518.0M2022-10-05
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3216.2512-6.17%17.73+2.37%0.0745✗0.69454k2022-10-05
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash125.75117.9872-6.17%122.13-2.88%0.0134✓1.154.2M2022-10-05
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.342.1951-6.19%1.83-21.79%0.2032✓1.16217k2022-10-05
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.171.0973-6.21%1.061-9.32%0.0515✓0.971.2M2022-10-05
XECeCashnative0.000043720.00004098-6.27%0.00004253-2.72%0.0217✓0.841.9M2022-10-05
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.058569-6.29%0.0585-6.40%0.0247✓1.28713k2022-10-05
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029350.002749-6.34%0.00222-24.36%0.2306✓0.921.2M2022-10-05
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43080.403113-6.43%0.3659-15.06%0.1179✓1.1585k2022-10-05
CVCCivicEthereum0.14480.135483-6.43%0.1283-11.40%0.0731✓1.0199k2022-10-05
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5330.49866-6.44%0.454-14.82%0.1148✓1.1476k2022-10-05
BANDBandEthereum1.3071.2226-6.46%1.226-6.20%0.0190✓1.19429k2022-10-05
ORCAOrcaSolana0.82570.772024-6.50%0.8299+0.51%0.0448✓1.50105k2022-10-05
SUSHISushiEthereum1.23981.1581-6.59%1.2889+3.96%0.0848✗1.21973k2022-10-05
COMPCompoundEthereum48.3645.1504-6.64%58.89+21.77%0.2423✗1.278,9662022-10-05
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97840.912895-6.70%0.99+1.19%0.0719✗0.503.0M2022-10-05
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.218.5921-6.71%8.14-11.62%0.0631✓0.502.1M2022-10-05
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84730.790372-6.72%0.7885-6.94%0.0214✓1.031.3M2022-10-05
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3686.8663-6.81%6.437-12.64%0.0838✓1.0510.0M2022-10-05
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5014.1919-6.87%3.721-17.33%0.1236✓0.242.3M2022-10-05
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.2813.2911-6.93%12.75-10.71%0.0618✓1.101.1M2022-10-05
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.537.007-6.95%6.53-13.28%0.0906✓1.09290k2022-10-05
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1730.160959-6.96%0.15053-12.99%0.0850✓0.98268k2022-10-05
GMTGMTEthereum0.69250.64424-6.97%0.6248-9.78%0.0563✓1.40210k2022-10-05
KSMKusamaHydration51.3347.7269-7.02%43.36-15.53%0.1140✓0.98442k2022-10-05
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6630.616402-7.03%0.593-10.56%0.0545✓0.86183k2022-10-05
UNIUniswapEthereum6.5766.1119-7.06%6.815+3.63%0.0849✗1.317.2M2022-10-05
GALAGALAEthereum0.05080.047212-7.06%0.0411-19.09%0.1556✓0.92190k2022-10-05
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.1463-7.09%2.14-7.36%0.0169✓0.76262k2022-10-05
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.9161.7793-7.13%1.663-13.20%0.0987✓1.6972k2022-10-05
CELRCeler NetworkEthereum0.0176110.016335-7.25%0.015542-11.75%0.0681✓1.00492022-10-05
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13751.0548-7.27%1.2541+10.25%0.1566✗0.891.1M2022-10-05
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1171.963-7.28%1.761-16.82%0.1298✓1.1538k2022-10-05
SPELLSpellEthereum0.001330.001233-7.30%0.001017-23.54%0.2074✓0.802.4M2022-10-05
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.075830.070256-7.35%0.06975-8.02%0.0082✓0.06389k2022-10-05
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.51930.481127-7.35%0.4024-22.51%0.1928✓0.77496k2022-10-05
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1040.096151-7.55%0.1-3.85%0.0193✓1.082.8M2022-10-05
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.63311.679-7.55%13.009+2.98%0.0871✗1.1312.5M2022-10-05
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.66841.5396-7.72%1.1488-31.14%0.3108✓0.981.1M2022-10-05
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.313.9768-7.73%3.692-14.34%0.0830✓0.472.3M2022-10-05
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31450.290154-7.74%0.2542-19.17%0.1524✓1.0999k2022-10-05
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.89.9585-7.79%9.27-14.17%0.0945✓1.24277k2022-10-05
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0105160.009692-7.83%0.010708+1.83%0.0813✓1.004902022-10-05
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.5313.3907-7.84%17.51+20.51%0.2492✗1.031.6M2022-10-05
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3615.8569-7.92%5.137-19.24%0.1393✓0.444.4M2022-10-05
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3550.325849-8.21%0.2948-16.96%0.1195✓1.0573k2022-10-05
METISMetisEthereum30.5328.0069-8.26%30.07-1.51%0.0366✓1.88219k2022-10-05
FLOWFlownative1.9191.7601-8.28%1.701-11.36%0.0592✓1.361.3M2022-10-05
OPTIMOptimism1.1991.0992-8.32%0.863-28.02%0.2729✓1.682.9M2022-10-05
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0440.956893-8.34%0.897-14.08%0.0879✓1.271.5M2022-10-05
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.441-8.39%1.252-20.41%0.1623✓1.1851k2022-10-05
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,493.618,675.72-8.62%8,314.11-12.42%0.0684✓1.405.2M2022-10-05
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.75.2069-8.65%4.96-12.98%0.0569✓0.452.3M2022-10-05
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,477.281,344.61-8.98%1,314.58-11.01%0.0410✓1.003.2M2022-10-05
GITCOINGITCOIN2.30842.1008-8.99%1.8057-21.78%0.1722✓1.1313k2022-10-05
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035620.032403-9.03%0.0309-13.25%0.0661✓1.0151k2022-10-05
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.646.0326-9.15%5.73-13.70%0.0600✓0.462.2M2022-10-05
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.371.2439-9.20%1.18-13.87%0.0696✓0.9283k2022-10-05
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064020.058104-9.24%0.06065-5.26%0.0230✓1.081.8M2022-10-05
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0255490.023182-9.27%0.02824+10.53%0.1952✗0.12386k2022-10-05
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0560.952278-9.82%0.884-16.29%0.0811✓0.362.9M2022-10-05
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.1415.5347-9.87%5.586-9.04%0.0064✓0.857.2M2022-10-05
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana4.79974.2956-10.50%5.186+8.05%0.1484✗2.17141k2022-10-05
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.726.0136-10.51%6.44-4.17%0.0598✓0.482.1M2022-10-05
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0753.637-10.75%4.12+1.10%0.1068✓0.97259k2022-10-05
CHZChilizEthereum0.20730.184365-11.06%0.2174+4.87%0.1494✗0.843.1M2022-10-05
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.13030.115596-11.28%0.0668-48.73%0.5612✓0.70203k2022-10-05
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.95184.3857-11.43%3.6003-27.29%0.2083✓0.595.6M2022-10-05
ETCEthereum Classicnative39.6734.4469-13.17%27.62-30.38%0.2488✓1.529.5M2022-10-05
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.00811.1329-14.41%16.153+24.18%0.3624✗0.5315.8M2022-10-05
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.55e-77.31e-7-14.55%6.00e-7-29.83%0.2129✓0.861.8M2022-10-05
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.20896.1518-14.66%5.2925-26.58%0.1546✓0.236.9M2022-10-05
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.37816.2018-15.94%6.03-18.27%0.0346✓0.357.7M2022-10-05
LUNATerraTerra 20.000404930.000332263-17.95%0.00030115-25.63%0.1121✓0.75679k2022-10-05
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.