8=======>

2022-09-04 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2587
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+8.41%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
80.9%
in alpha space · 78.6% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3570.359653+0.74%0.331-7.28%0.1044✗1.26194k2022-10-04
TRXTRONTron0.0635470.063421-0.20%0.062261-2.02%0.0289✓0.62123k2022-10-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04440.044116-0.64%0.042-5.41%0.0657✓0.98132k2022-10-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155180.154186-0.64%0.17452+12.46%0.0896✗2.033442022-10-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6710.66526-0.86%0.586-12.67%0.1433✓0.98196k2022-10-04
CBKCobakEthereum0.869040.861392-0.88%0.78707-9.43%0.1072✓1.0113k2022-10-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05620.055664-0.95%0.0677+20.46%0.1809✗0.8891k2022-10-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,865.8019,667.32-1.00%20,310.50+2.24%0.0164✗0.9413k2022-10-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.9218.7209-1.05%15.51-18.02%0.2001✓0.711.7M2022-10-04
DODODODOEthereum0.130.128599-1.08%0.1359+4.54%0.0377✗1.041.5M2022-10-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025020.024729-1.16%0.02476-1.04%0.0203✓1.283,2982022-10-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073760.072855-1.23%0.06231-15.52%0.1761✓1.1725k2022-10-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.289140.285351-1.31%0.23843-17.54%0.1974✓1.0512k2022-10-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.9360.0551-1.44%55.32-9.21%0.0989✓0.9912.7M2022-10-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.23990.236366-1.47%0.2664+11.05%0.1035✗0.9681k2022-10-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131720.012969-1.54%0.011761-10.71%0.1087✓0.65929k2022-10-04
XMRMoneroMonero155.77153.3489-1.55%147.1-5.57%0.0591✓1.041.4M2022-10-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.228837-1.58%0.1886-18.88%0.2086✓0.9067k2022-10-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.360770.355025-1.59%0.42019+16.47%0.1550✗0.80332k2022-10-04
AAVEAaveEthereum88.8587.4289-1.60%78.82-11.29%0.1298✓1.555.2M2022-10-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4657-1.63%1.56+4.70%0.0647✗-0.13128k2022-10-04
QTUMQtumQtum3.23673.1815-1.71%2.8964-10.51%0.1110✓1.0119k2022-10-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.27352.3521-1.73%49.146-7.75%0.0760✓0.76302k2022-10-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08280.081311-1.80%0.0821-0.85%0.0063✓0.9410k2022-10-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044810.043999-1.81%0.0407-9.17%0.0904✓0.7415k2022-10-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.36116.214-1.81%121.15+2.36%0.0222✗1.154.2M2022-10-04
ADACardanoCardano0.50350.494256-1.84%0.4357-13.47%0.1417✓0.9339.1M2022-10-04
STEEMSteemnative0.22510.220832-1.90%0.2235-0.71%0.0038✓0.94468k2022-10-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97860.959935-1.91%0.918-6.19%0.0531✓0.503.1M2022-10-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.50.489699-2.06%0.364-27.20%0.3171✓1.223,8602022-10-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.806570.789508-2.12%0.70257-12.89%0.1314✓0.87519k2022-10-04
GTGateEthereum4.21214.1226-2.12%4.3937+4.31%0.0505✗0.78724k2022-10-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.035723-2.13%0.0343-6.03%0.0562✓0.9266k2022-10-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7213.4273-2.13%16.1+17.35%0.1640✗1.041.7M2022-10-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46950.459027-2.23%0.4439-5.45%0.0529✓1.15384k2022-10-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6870.671544-2.25%0.604-12.08%0.1265✓1.214.0M2022-10-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,004.7319,553.77-2.25%20,345.19+1.70%0.0228✗1.00480.9M2022-10-04
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.5209-2.26%1.4575-6.34%0.0616✓1.12253k2022-10-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021570.021082-2.26%0.02265+5.01%0.0589✗0.769.8M2022-10-04
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4886.3402-2.28%6.649+2.48%0.0255✗1.316.9M2022-10-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17820.174132-2.28%0.1593-10.61%0.1123✓1.382,0092022-10-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2690.262794-2.31%0.256-4.83%0.0389✓0.75627k2022-10-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29080.28402-2.33%0.2818-3.09%0.0239✓0.952.8M2022-10-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9812.9113-2.34%2.34-21.50%0.2443✓1.533.6M2022-10-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.09580.093396-2.51%0.1219+27.24%0.2501✗0.97375k2022-10-04
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.1442-2.54%0.871-25.81%0.3014✓1.693.0M2022-10-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.981.9293-2.56%2.43+22.73%0.2222✗0.5175k2022-10-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012840.000012503-2.63%0.00001162-9.50%0.0894✓0.96861k2022-10-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067080.065301-2.65%0.06279-6.40%0.0546✓0.917702022-10-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05770.056144-2.70%0.0501-13.17%0.1298✓0.9497k2022-10-04
QNTQuantEthereum95.2992.7185-2.70%141.6+48.60%0.4090✗0.863.5M2022-10-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0421850.041045-2.70%0.038072-9.75%0.0838✓0.5125k2022-10-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012860.01251-2.72%0.0099-23.02%0.2450✓0.65220k2022-10-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20410.198429-2.78%0.1815-11.07%0.1118✓1.34140k2022-10-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207140.020136-2.79%0.019507-5.83%0.0455✓0.8112k2022-10-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.18030.175271-2.79%0.1149-36.27%0.4225✓0.0193k2022-10-04
SOLSolanaSolana32.1731.271-2.79%34.1+6.00%0.0673✗1.1461.7M2022-10-04
XEMNEMnative0.0441320.042881-2.83%0.04142-6.15%0.0489✓0.8429k2022-10-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1063240.103285-2.86%0.119187+12.10%0.1292✗0.836.8M2022-10-04
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.6792-2.88%1.739+0.58%0.0193✓0.93540k2022-10-04
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015630.001517-2.94%0.001573+0.64%0.0205✓0.93413k2022-10-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13860.134456-2.99%0.1251-9.74%0.0808✓0.513.4M2022-10-04
DIADIAEthereum0.386770.375188-2.99%0.39405+1.88%0.0325✗0.9834k2022-10-04
MOVRMoonriverBase13.146112.7518-3.00%11.8219-10.07%0.0924✓0.9932k2022-10-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5340.517744-3.04%0.459-14.04%0.1397✓1.1476k2022-10-04
ZECZcashZcash63.861.8326-3.08%56.77-11.02%0.1051✓1.161.3M2022-10-04
STXStacksnative0.36780.356367-3.11%0.3298-10.33%0.0970✓1.16335k2022-10-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10290.099682-3.13%0.0904-12.15%0.1100✓0.732,7842022-10-04
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7984.6459-3.17%5.26+9.63%0.1015✗1.346.8M2022-10-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.118973-3.20%0.1287+4.72%0.0609✗1.0525k2022-10-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1556.9249-3.22%7.726+7.98%0.0917✗1.0517.4M2022-10-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.0118.398-3.22%17.45-8.21%0.0745✓1.2820.1M2022-10-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97260.941178-3.23%0.8516-12.44%0.1205✓1.22841k2022-10-04
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.19797-3.24%0.1573-23.12%0.2522✓1.32111k2022-10-04
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0108660.01051-3.28%0.010764-0.94%0.0070✓1.005602022-10-04
KSMKusamaHydration50.6148.9488-3.28%43.97-13.12%0.1239✓0.99459k2022-10-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68651.6308-3.30%1.157-31.40%0.3598✓0.981.1M2022-10-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2110.204016-3.31%0.197-6.64%0.0518✓1.0058k2022-10-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31270.302346-3.31%0.3577+14.39%0.1530✗0.905.8M2022-10-04
FTTFTXEthereum26.425.5174-3.34%25.11-4.89%0.0325✓0.976.8M2022-10-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31570.305123-3.35%0.2603-17.55%0.1773✓1.0999k2022-10-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.15821.1192-3.37%1.1563-0.16%0.0121✓1.21949k2022-10-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.006080.00587-3.45%0.00509-16.28%0.1533✓0.63977k2022-10-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037740.036433-3.46%0.03552-5.88%0.0392✓0.822,6312022-10-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059790.005772-3.47%0.006303+5.41%0.0762✗0.702,1662022-10-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256740.024777-3.49%0.026967+5.04%0.0827✗0.12315k2022-10-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6866.4524-3.49%6.178-7.60%0.0576✓0.844.4M2022-10-04
ZENHorizenBase16.4515.8683-3.54%14.31-13.01%0.1221✓1.11107k2022-10-04
HIVEHivenative0.54390.524656-3.54%0.4984-8.37%0.0654✓0.83953k2022-10-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.09964-3.54%0.0992-3.97%0.0190✓0.86150k2022-10-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.268.9239-3.63%8.28-10.58%0.0832✓0.502.0M2022-10-04
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.57e-7-3.72%8.00e-7-10.11%0.0822✓0.8015k2022-10-04
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,442.741,388.78-3.74%1,315.41-8.83%0.0712✓1.003.3M2022-10-04
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.7255-3.76%5.35+8.96%0.1097✗0.851.3M2022-10-04
XECeCashnative0.000044320.00004265-3.77%0.00004218-4.83%0.0253✓0.841.8M2022-10-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.001462-3.79%0.001465-3.62%0.0098✓0.698,3412022-10-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029430.002831-3.81%0.002242-23.82%0.2488✓0.921.1M2022-10-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43490.418335-3.81%0.3718-14.51%0.1373✓1.1591k2022-10-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.884.693-3.83%4.49-7.99%0.0533✓0.541.3M2022-10-04
PROPropyEthereum0.730.701989-3.84%0.62-15.07%0.1298✓0.3369k2022-10-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4981.4401-3.86%1.478-1.34%0.0061✓1.1784k2022-10-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.349150.335641-3.87%0.30859-11.62%0.1007✓0.9940k2022-10-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,579.041,517.45-3.90%1,362.06-13.74%0.1316✓1.39628.3M2022-10-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007930.007619-3.92%0.00681-14.12%0.1314✓1.13428k2022-10-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.05160.049533-4.01%0.0415-19.57%0.1925✓0.92204k2022-10-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.506648-4.04%0.47-10.98%0.0931✓1.0768k2022-10-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4240.406788-4.06%0.424+0.00%0.0240✓1.048,1172022-10-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03640.034904-4.11%0.0378+3.85%0.0666✗0.788,1752022-10-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138520.132822-4.11%0.13062-5.70%0.0371✓1.21183k2022-10-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.816.5292-4.12%6.52-4.26%0.0095✓0.482.1M2022-10-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.353820.339206-4.13%0.34118-3.57%0.0103✓0.95392k2022-10-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.2565.0353-4.20%4.147-21.10%0.1958✓0.10115k2022-10-04
DASHDashDash47.5945.5865-4.21%42.31-11.09%0.0910✓0.98419k2022-10-04
KCSKuCoinnative9.3948.9978-4.22%9.208-1.98%0.0068✓0.971.2M2022-10-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3757.0631-4.23%6.496-11.92%0.1013✓1.0510.0M2022-10-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.553890.530348-4.25%0.45671-17.54%0.1718✓1.3239k2022-10-04
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.42e-7-4.29%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0777✓0.811.7M2022-10-04
ELAElastosEthereum1.7621.686-4.31%1.529-13.22%0.1131✓0.91108k2022-10-04
XVGVergenative0.003110.002975-4.33%0.00342+9.97%0.1220✗1.02486k2022-10-04
UMAUMAEthereum2.7712.651-4.33%2.307-16.74%0.1539✓0.88682k2022-10-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.059792-4.33%0.0592-5.28%0.0316✓1.28713k2022-10-04
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0450.999449-4.36%0.904-13.49%0.1217✓1.271.5M2022-10-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.90991.8261-4.39%1.7399-8.90%0.0667✓1.0927k2022-10-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0632180.060419-4.43%0.065854+4.17%0.0681✗1.071.3M2022-10-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022260.02126-4.49%0.01907-14.33%0.1225✓0.82459k2022-10-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09251.0426-4.57%0.9124-16.49%0.1592✓1.534.4M2022-10-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5974.3857-4.60%3.762-18.16%0.1575✓0.242.4M2022-10-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064550.006153-4.68%0.006321-2.08%0.0194✓0.4444k2022-10-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1661.1109-4.72%1.071-8.15%0.0530✓0.971.3M2022-10-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008920.008497-4.74%0.00656-26.46%0.2713✓0.744.7M2022-10-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10450.099546-4.74%0.101-3.35%0.0038✓1.082.8M2022-10-04
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4746.1515-4.78%59.84+23.46%0.2382✗1.279,0502022-10-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.5410.0311-4.83%9.29-11.86%0.0978✓1.24277k2022-10-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05060.04815-4.84%0.0396-21.74%0.2124✓1.00739k2022-10-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,437.498,979.01-4.86%8,347.58-11.55%0.0966✓1.405.6M2022-10-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.85.5137-4.94%4.99-13.97%0.1074✓0.452.3M2022-10-04
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003821-4.94%0.00351-12.69%0.1017✓0.99127k2022-10-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0382.8865-4.99%3.093+1.81%0.0602✗0.53650k2022-10-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.04612.3921-5.01%13.026-0.15%0.0309✓1.1312.3M2022-10-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50430.478994-5.02%0.412-18.30%0.1636✓0.77496k2022-10-04
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31250.296722-5.05%0.29-7.20%0.0426✓1.17111k2022-10-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.05881.005-5.09%0.972677-8.14%0.0471✓0.8641k2022-10-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.15230.144465-5.14%0.1457-4.33%0.0091✓1.051,4472022-10-04
NANOnanopayBase0.9006250.854286-5.15%0.806453-10.46%0.0717✓0.8454k2022-10-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.31662.1958-5.22%1.8691-19.32%0.1802✓1.1313k2022-10-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.414.176-5.31%3.767-14.58%0.1110✓0.472.3M2022-10-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2990080.283088-5.32%0.271296-9.27%0.0608✓1.08514k2022-10-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.1846-5.43%2.03-12.12%0.0862✓0.76262k2022-10-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14620.138101-5.54%0.1463+0.07%0.0398✓1.06409k2022-10-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035850.033843-5.60%0.03097-13.61%0.1058✓1.0151k2022-10-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1212.0009-5.66%1.779-16.12%0.1370✓1.1538k2022-10-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.6636.2817-5.72%5.161-22.54%0.2040✓0.444.4M2022-10-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.0570.053724-5.75%0.0522-8.42%0.0477✓1.12220k2022-10-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5613.7106-5.83%12.98-10.85%0.0733✓1.101.0M2022-10-04
GMTGMTEthereum0.70710.665705-5.85%0.6289-11.06%0.0804✓1.40210k2022-10-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.2827-5.91%6.71-13.31%0.1003✓1.09317k2022-10-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.8433-5.96%1.647-15.97%0.1411✓1.6974k2022-10-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.14370.135007-6.05%0.1287-10.44%0.0650✓1.0199k2022-10-04
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9820.922147-6.10%0.887-9.67%0.0451✓0.372.9M2022-10-04
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84850.796377-6.14%0.82-3.36%0.0040✓1.49116k2022-10-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6730.63138-6.18%0.597-11.29%0.0705✓0.86199k2022-10-04
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84530.79243-6.25%0.7941-6.06%0.0154✓1.041.4M2022-10-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.163074-6.28%0.15194-12.68%0.0873✓0.98268k2022-10-04
FLOWFlownative1.951.8273-6.29%1.714-12.10%0.0870✓1.361.3M2022-10-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.736.2984-6.41%5.82-13.52%0.0868✓0.462.2M2022-10-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013390.00125-6.67%0.001021-23.72%0.2154✓0.802.4M2022-10-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4630.2014-6.96%27.88-14.11%0.1058✓1.539.5M2022-10-04
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.13624.7752-7.03%5.2106+1.45%0.0704✓1.00141k2022-10-04
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.078140.072577-7.12%0.07267-7.00%0.0004✓0.05397k2022-10-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064730.060088-7.17%0.06112-5.58%0.0013✓1.081.9M2022-10-04
BANDBandEthereum1.3361.239-7.26%1.25-6.44%0.0112✓1.19449k2022-10-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67074.325-7.40%3.6263-22.36%0.1863✓0.604.7M2022-10-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36740.340088-7.43%0.2987-18.70%0.1475✓1.0575k2022-10-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.312.1365-7.51%1.87-19.05%0.1528✓1.16217k2022-10-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.000253770.000234276-7.68%0.0003074+21.13%0.2586✗0.78640k2022-10-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.351.2456-7.73%1.2-11.11%0.0528✓0.9295k2022-10-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.12331.0344-7.92%1.2652+12.63%0.1863✗0.891.1M2022-10-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3915.9939-8.03%14.63-15.87%0.1007✓0.69503k2022-10-04
METISMetisEthereum30.1127.6058-8.32%25.34-15.84%0.1174✓1.88241k2022-10-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12130.110791-8.66%0.07-42.29%0.4710✓0.70208k2022-10-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.21340.194684-8.77%0.2186+2.44%0.1017✗0.843.1M2022-10-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0533.6898-8.96%3.923-3.21%0.0449✓0.97259k2022-10-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.01786.3791-9.10%5.3051-24.41%0.1882✓0.236.5M2022-10-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2655.6823-9.30%5.606-10.52%0.0279✓0.857.6M2022-10-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.53912.2266-9.69%15.414+13.85%0.2227✗0.5315.8M2022-10-04
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.44226.6699-10.38%6.0315-18.96%0.1065✓0.357.6M2022-10-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.393-11.44%1.292-17.86%0.0952✓1.1856k2022-10-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.24e-78.10e-7-12.41%6.18e-7-33.18%0.2853✓0.861.7M2022-10-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.