8=======>

2022-09-04 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2255
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+0.51%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
81.4%
in alpha space · 79.1% on raw price
BTC over horizon
+1.70%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▴pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.44226.2686-15.77%6.0315-18.96%0.0445✓0.357.6M2022-10-04
BRISEBitgertEthereum9.24e-77.87e-7-14.90%6.18e-7-33.18%0.2564✓0.861.7M2022-10-04
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.53911.5744-14.51%15.414+13.85%0.2775✗0.5315.8M2022-10-04
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.01786.0408-13.92%5.3051-24.41%0.1337✓0.236.5M2022-10-04
LUNATerraTerra 20.000253770.0002189-13.74%0.0003074+21.13%0.3264✗0.78640k2022-10-04
CHZChilizEthereum0.21340.188803-11.53%0.2186+2.44%0.1324✗0.843.1M2022-10-04
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.13624.5459-11.49%5.2106+1.45%0.1196✓1.00141k2022-10-04
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0533.6072-11.00%3.923-3.21%0.0675✓0.97259k2022-10-04
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.67074.1663-10.80%3.6263-22.36%0.1489✓0.604.7M2022-10-04
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.816.0755-10.79%6.52-4.26%0.0626✓0.482.1M2022-10-04
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.2655.6134-10.40%5.606-10.52%0.0157✓0.857.6M2022-10-04
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.12130.109186-9.99%0.07-42.29%0.4564✓0.70208k2022-10-04
GITCOINGITCOIN2.31662.0941-9.60%1.8691-19.32%0.1328✓1.1313k2022-10-04
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064730.058526-9.59%0.06112-5.58%0.0251✓1.081.9M2022-10-04
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4629.3651-9.53%27.88-14.11%0.0777✓1.539.5M2022-10-04
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.736.0907-9.50%5.82-13.52%0.0533✓0.462.2M2022-10-04
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.035850.032451-9.48%0.03097-13.61%0.0638✓1.0151k2022-10-04
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0256740.023299-9.25%0.026967+5.04%0.1443✗0.12315k2022-10-04
LRCLoopringEthereum0.36740.333746-9.16%0.2987-18.70%0.1287✓1.0575k2022-10-04
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.351.227-9.11%1.2-11.11%0.0377✓0.9295k2022-10-04
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.6636.0621-9.02%5.161-22.54%0.1684✓0.444.4M2022-10-04
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.85.2778-9.00%4.99-13.97%0.0637✓0.452.3M2022-10-04
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,442.741,316.30-8.76%1,315.41-8.83%0.0176✓1.003.3M2022-10-04
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5731.4357-8.73%1.292-17.86%0.1255✓1.1856k2022-10-04
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,437.498,618.15-8.68%8,347.58-11.55%0.0556✓1.405.6M2022-10-04
FLOWFlownative1.951.783-8.57%1.714-12.10%0.0625✓1.361.3M2022-10-04
CTKShentuOsmosis0.9820.898639-8.49%0.887-9.67%0.0192✓0.372.9M2022-10-04
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0450.957091-8.41%0.904-13.49%0.0784✓1.271.5M2022-10-04
PONDMarlinEthereum0.0108660.009958-8.36%0.010764-0.94%0.0610✓1.005602022-10-04
OPTIMOptimism1.1741.077-8.26%0.871-25.81%0.2408✓1.693.0M2022-10-04
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos13.04611.9882-8.11%13.026-0.15%0.0640✓1.1312.3M2022-10-04
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.414.0538-8.08%3.767-14.58%0.0813✓0.472.3M2022-10-04
CELLCellframeEthereum0.31570.290204-8.08%0.2603-17.55%0.1272✓1.0999k2022-10-04
METISMetisEthereum30.1127.719-7.94%25.34-15.84%0.1215✓1.88241k2022-10-04
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.68651.5554-7.77%1.157-31.40%0.3124✓0.981.1M2022-10-04
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.961.808-7.76%1.647-15.97%0.1218✓1.6974k2022-10-04
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.5613.4444-7.66%12.98-10.85%0.0537✓1.101.0M2022-10-04
GALAGALAEthereum0.05160.047656-7.64%0.0415-19.57%0.1539✓0.92204k2022-10-04
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10450.096551-7.61%0.101-3.35%0.0268✓1.082.8M2022-10-04
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.1211.963-7.45%1.779-16.12%0.1179✓1.1538k2022-10-04
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013390.00124-7.39%0.001021-23.72%0.2076✓0.802.4M2022-10-04
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6730.623637-7.33%0.597-11.29%0.0582✓0.86199k2022-10-04
GMTGMTEthereum0.70710.655436-7.31%0.6289-11.06%0.0649✓1.40210k2022-10-04
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.078140.07244-7.29%0.07267-7.00%0.0023✓0.05397k2022-10-04
RADRadworksEthereum2.312.1415-7.29%2.03-12.12%0.0663✓0.76262k2022-10-04
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.747.1764-7.28%6.71-13.31%0.0856✓1.09317k2022-10-04
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.5974.2648-7.23%3.762-18.16%0.1295✓0.242.4M2022-10-04
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.549.7867-7.15%9.29-11.86%0.0731✓1.24277k2022-10-04
C98Coin98Ethereum0.43490.404045-7.09%0.3718-14.51%0.1025✓1.1591k2022-10-04
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4886.0314-7.04%6.649+2.48%0.0754✗1.316.9M2022-10-04
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84850.789144-7.00%0.82-3.36%0.0131✓1.49116k2022-10-04
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.12331.0452-6.95%1.2652+12.63%0.1759✗0.891.1M2022-10-04
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7212.7708-6.92%16.1+17.35%0.2142✗1.041.7M2022-10-04
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.268.6291-6.81%8.28-10.58%0.0497✓0.502.0M2022-10-04
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1740.162158-6.81%0.15194-12.68%0.0816✓0.98268k2022-10-04
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.3756.8764-6.76%6.496-11.92%0.0746✓1.0510.0M2022-10-04
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50430.47023-6.76%0.412-18.30%0.1452✓0.77496k2022-10-04
KSMKusamaHydration50.6147.2041-6.73%43.97-13.12%0.0876✓0.99459k2022-10-04
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5340.49824-6.70%0.459-14.04%0.1013✓1.1476k2022-10-04
IMXImmutableEthereum0.84530.788971-6.66%0.7941-6.06%0.0110✓1.041.4M2022-10-04
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.97860.913445-6.66%0.918-6.19%0.0034✓0.503.1M2022-10-04
COMPCompoundEthereum48.4745.2477-6.65%59.84+23.46%0.2580✗1.279,0502022-10-04
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.884.5564-6.63%4.49-7.99%0.0238✓0.541.3M2022-10-04
BANDBandEthereum1.3361.2481-6.58%1.25-6.44%0.0185✓1.19449k2022-10-04
XECeCashnative0.000044320.000041416-6.55%0.00004218-4.83%0.0041✓0.841.8M2022-10-04
ZENHorizenBase16.4515.3893-6.45%14.31-13.01%0.0915✓1.11107k2022-10-04
SKLSKALEEthereum0.05060.047347-6.43%0.0396-21.74%0.1956✓1.00739k2022-10-04
UOSUltraEthereum0.353820.331083-6.43%0.34118-3.57%0.0140✓0.95392k2022-10-04
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029430.002756-6.36%0.002242-23.82%0.2219✓0.921.1M2022-10-04
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06250.058576-6.28%0.0592-5.28%0.0111✓1.28713k2022-10-04
CTSICartesiEthereum0.14620.137024-6.28%0.1463+0.07%0.0476✓1.06409k2022-10-04
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0632180.059255-6.27%0.065854+4.17%0.0875✗1.071.3M2022-10-04
CVCCivicEthereum0.14370.134708-6.26%0.1287-10.44%0.0627✓1.0199k2022-10-04
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1661.094-6.18%1.071-8.15%0.0376✓0.971.3M2022-10-04
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.31270.29351-6.14%0.3577+14.39%0.1827✗0.905.8M2022-10-04
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.3916.3282-6.11%14.63-15.87%0.1214✓0.69503k2022-10-04
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.90991.7937-6.08%1.7399-8.90%0.0488✓1.0927k2022-10-04
HIVEHivenative0.54390.51089-6.07%0.4984-8.37%0.0388✓0.83953k2022-10-04
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.138520.130132-6.06%0.13062-5.70%0.0167✓1.21183k2022-10-04
XTZTezosTezos1.55611.462-6.05%1.4575-6.34%0.0220✓1.12253k2022-10-04
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008920.008381-6.05%0.00656-26.46%0.2575✓0.744.7M2022-10-04
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2990080.28105-6.01%0.271296-9.27%0.0536✓1.08514k2022-10-04
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5280.496294-6.00%0.47-10.98%0.0724✓1.0768k2022-10-04
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.312.1726-5.95%1.87-19.05%0.1696✓1.16217k2022-10-04
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6870.646192-5.94%0.604-12.08%0.0880✓1.214.0M2022-10-04
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007930.007461-5.91%0.00681-14.12%0.1105✓1.13428k2022-10-04
XLMStellarStellar0.1063240.100087-5.87%0.119187+12.10%0.1607✗0.836.8M2022-10-04
SUSHISushiEthereum1.15821.0903-5.86%1.1563-0.16%0.0383✓1.21949k2022-10-04
ADACardanoCardano0.50350.474052-5.85%0.4357-13.47%0.1000✓0.9339.1M2022-10-04
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20460.192681-5.83%0.1573-23.12%0.2251✓1.32111k2022-10-04
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4981.411-5.81%1.478-1.34%0.0266✓1.1784k2022-10-04
ELAElastosEthereum1.7621.6609-5.74%1.529-13.22%0.0981✓0.91108k2022-10-04
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012840.000012104-5.73%0.00001162-9.50%0.0570✓0.96861k2022-10-04
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.30e-7-5.67%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0631✓0.811.7M2022-10-04
LINKChainlinkEthereum7.1556.7498-5.66%7.726+7.98%0.1173✗1.0517.4M2022-10-04
API3Api3Ethereum1.7291.6316-5.63%1.739+0.58%0.0481✓0.93540k2022-10-04
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche19.0117.9447-5.60%17.45-8.21%0.0495✓1.2820.1M2022-10-04
DEXEDeXeEthereum3.0382.8695-5.54%3.093+1.81%0.0661✗0.53650k2022-10-04
STXStacksnative0.36780.347469-5.53%0.3298-10.33%0.0718✓1.16335k2022-10-04
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.6866.3185-5.50%6.178-7.60%0.0367✓0.844.4M2022-10-04
PROPropyEthereum0.730.690909-5.35%0.62-15.07%0.1139✓0.3369k2022-10-04
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31250.295774-5.35%0.29-7.20%0.0394✓1.17111k2022-10-04
MOVRMoonriverBase13.146112.4478-5.31%11.8219-10.07%0.0683✓0.9932k2022-10-04
ETHEthereumEthereum1,579.041,495.48-5.29%1,362.06-13.74%0.1170✓1.39628.3M2022-10-04
QTUMQtumQtum3.23673.0667-5.25%2.8964-10.51%0.0742✓1.0119k2022-10-04
UMAUMAEthereum2.7712.6282-5.15%2.307-16.74%0.1453✓0.88682k2022-10-04
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03640.034531-5.13%0.0378+3.85%0.0774✗0.788,1752022-10-04
LSKLiskEthereum1.05881.0048-5.10%0.972677-8.14%0.0469✓0.8641k2022-10-04
XYMSymbolnative0.0421850.040059-5.04%0.038072-9.75%0.0594✓0.5125k2022-10-04
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08280.078657-5.00%0.0821-0.85%0.0269✓0.9410k2022-10-04
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.001520.001444-4.99%0.001465-3.62%0.0028✓0.698,3412022-10-04
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10330.098166-4.97%0.0992-3.97%0.0041✓0.86150k2022-10-04
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9812.8333-4.95%2.34-21.50%0.2172✓1.533.6M2022-10-04
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0015630.001486-4.95%0.001573+0.64%0.0414✓0.93413k2022-10-04
XVSVenusEthereum4.914.6676-4.94%5.35+8.96%0.1220✗0.851.3M2022-10-04
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash118.36112.5434-4.91%121.15+2.36%0.0543✗1.154.2M2022-10-04
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.97260.925039-4.89%0.8516-12.44%0.1032✓1.22841k2022-10-04
DASHDashDash47.5945.2957-4.82%42.31-11.09%0.0846✓0.98419k2022-10-04
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.349150.332345-4.81%0.30859-11.62%0.0908✓0.9940k2022-10-04
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.29080.277067-4.72%0.2818-3.09%0.0009✓0.952.8M2022-10-04
XEMNEMnative0.0441320.042055-4.71%0.04142-6.15%0.0294✓0.8429k2022-10-04
BFCBifrostEthereum0.073760.070298-4.69%0.06231-15.52%0.1404✓1.1725k2022-10-04
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037740.035984-4.65%0.03552-5.88%0.0268✓0.822,6312022-10-04
DODODODOEthereum0.130.12396-4.65%0.1359+4.54%0.0744✗1.041.5M2022-10-04
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10290.098126-4.64%0.0904-12.15%0.0943✓0.732,7842022-10-04
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4240.404364-4.63%0.424+0.00%0.0299✓1.048,1172022-10-04
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6710.640538-4.54%0.586-12.67%0.1055✓0.98196k2022-10-04
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.021570.020593-4.53%0.02265+5.01%0.0824✗0.769.8M2022-10-04
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.46950.448304-4.51%0.4439-5.45%0.0293✓1.15384k2022-10-04
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09251.0434-4.50%0.9124-16.49%0.1600✓1.534.4M2022-10-04
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2690.256933-4.49%0.256-4.83%0.0163✓0.75627k2022-10-04
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.025020.023937-4.33%0.02476-1.04%0.0123✓1.283,2982022-10-04
MANADecentralandEthereum0.806570.771832-4.31%0.70257-12.89%0.1088✓0.87519k2022-10-04
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022260.021302-4.31%0.01907-14.33%0.1245✓0.82459k2022-10-04
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.4259-4.30%1.56+4.70%0.0921✗-0.13128k2022-10-04
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.20410.19538-4.27%0.1815-11.07%0.0963✓1.34140k2022-10-04
SOLSolanaSolana32.1730.7987-4.26%34.1+6.00%0.0826✗1.1461.7M2022-10-04
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13860.132743-4.23%0.1251-9.74%0.0680✓0.513.4M2022-10-04
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044810.042931-4.19%0.0407-9.17%0.0658✓0.7415k2022-10-04
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.360770.345674-4.18%0.42019+16.47%0.1817✗0.80332k2022-10-04
QNTQuantEthereum95.2991.3087-4.18%141.6+48.60%0.4243✗0.863.5M2022-10-04
XVGVergenative0.003110.00298-4.17%0.00342+9.97%0.1203✗1.02486k2022-10-04
ZECZcashZcash63.861.1451-4.16%56.77-11.02%0.0939✓1.161.3M2022-10-04
WOOWOOEthereum0.15230.14599-4.14%0.1457-4.33%0.0196✓1.051,4472022-10-04
KCSKuCoinnative9.3949.0088-4.10%9.208-1.98%0.0056✓0.971.2M2022-10-04
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7984.6029-4.07%5.26+9.63%0.1108✗1.346.8M2022-10-04
XMRMoneroMonero155.77149.5132-4.02%147.1-5.57%0.0338✓1.041.4M2022-10-04
CBKCobakEthereum0.869040.834218-4.01%0.78707-9.43%0.0752✓1.0113k2022-10-04
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12290.118104-3.90%0.1287+4.72%0.0683✗1.0525k2022-10-04
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04440.042671-3.89%0.042-5.41%0.0324✓0.98132k2022-10-04
COTICOTIEthereum0.09580.092108-3.85%0.1219+27.24%0.2640✗0.97375k2022-10-04
SCSiacoinnative0.004020.003867-3.82%0.00351-12.69%0.1134✓0.99127k2022-10-04
SUNSun TokenTron0.0059790.005755-3.76%0.006303+5.41%0.0792✗0.702,1662022-10-04
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05620.054209-3.54%0.0677+20.46%0.2074✗0.8891k2022-10-04
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.067080.064738-3.49%0.06279-6.40%0.0459✓0.917702022-10-04
GLMGolemEthereum0.23990.231551-3.48%0.2664+11.05%0.1241✗0.9681k2022-10-04
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05770.055697-3.47%0.0501-13.17%0.1218✓0.9497k2022-10-04
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.981.9127-3.40%2.43+22.73%0.2308✗0.5175k2022-10-04
NANOnanopayBase0.9006250.870066-3.39%0.806453-10.46%0.0901✓0.8454k2022-10-04
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0131720.012726-3.38%0.011761-10.71%0.0898✓0.65929k2022-10-04
AMPAmpEthereum0.006080.005877-3.35%0.00509-16.28%0.1544✓0.63977k2022-10-04
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064550.006239-3.34%0.006321-2.08%0.0055✓0.4444k2022-10-04
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.27351.4964-3.33%49.146-7.75%0.0595✓0.76302k2022-10-04
BORABORAKlay Token0.289140.279895-3.20%0.23843-17.54%0.1781✓1.0512k2022-10-04
STORJStorjEthereum0.553890.536266-3.18%0.45671-17.54%0.1829✓1.3239k2022-10-04
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.012860.012459-3.11%0.0099-23.02%0.2409✓0.65220k2022-10-04
STEEMSteemnative0.22510.218263-3.04%0.2235-0.71%0.0079✓0.94468k2022-10-04
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207140.020101-2.96%0.019507-5.83%0.0437✓0.8112k2022-10-04
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03650.035421-2.96%0.0343-6.03%0.0477✓0.9266k2022-10-04
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.155180.150595-2.95%0.17452+12.46%0.1132✗2.033442022-10-04
LCXLCXEthereum0.0570.055348-2.90%0.0522-8.42%0.0775✓1.12220k2022-10-04
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.50.485528-2.89%0.364-27.20%0.3086✓1.223,8602022-10-04
FTTFTXEthereum26.425.6483-2.85%25.11-4.89%0.0376✓0.976.8M2022-10-04
FORTFortaEthereum0.23250.225926-2.83%0.1886-18.88%0.1958✓0.9067k2022-10-04
GTGateEthereum4.21214.0936-2.81%4.3937+4.31%0.0575✗0.78724k2022-10-04
BTCBitcoinBitcoin20,004.7319,444.27-2.80%20,345.19+1.70%0.0284✗1.00480.9M2022-10-04
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.2110.205153-2.77%0.197-6.64%0.0574✓1.0058k2022-10-04
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.9359.2497-2.76%55.32-9.21%0.0854✓0.9912.7M2022-10-04
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.66e-7-2.66%8.00e-7-10.11%0.0931✓0.8015k2022-10-04
AAVEAaveEthereum88.8586.6279-2.50%78.82-11.29%0.1206✓1.555.2M2022-10-04
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17820.174113-2.29%0.1593-10.61%0.1122✓1.382,0092022-10-04
DIADIAEthereum0.386770.378046-2.26%0.39405+1.88%0.0249✗0.9834k2022-10-04
TRBTellor TributesEthereum18.9218.5161-2.13%15.51-18.02%0.1891✓0.711.7M2022-10-04
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.2565.1553-1.92%4.147-21.10%0.2193✓0.10115k2022-10-04
TRXTRONTron0.0635470.062358-1.87%0.062261-2.02%0.0120✓0.62123k2022-10-04
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.18030.177141-1.75%0.1149-36.27%0.4331✓0.0193k2022-10-04
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.3570.351611-1.51%0.331-7.28%0.0817✓1.26194k2022-10-04
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,865.8019,611.09-1.28%20,310.50+2.24%0.0192✗0.9413k2022-10-04
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.