8=======>

2022-09-03 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2635
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+6.72%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
78.2%
in alpha space · 80.9% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-1.02%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum19,875.8019,663.06-1.07%19,703.50-0.87%0.0117✗0.9413k2022-10-03
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.18340.180993-1.31%0.1163-36.59%0.4422✓0.0198k2022-10-03
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.0218.7701-1.31%15.37-19.19%0.1925✓0.721.7M2022-10-03
DIADIAEthereum0.37540.36903-1.70%0.38327+2.10%0.0477✗0.9735k2022-10-03
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17380.170836-1.71%0.1575-9.38%0.0672✓1.382,2552022-10-03
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.17755.0883-1.72%4.1658-19.54%0.1990✓0.10115k2022-10-03
TRXTRONTron0.063110.061866-1.97%0.061361-2.77%0.0020✓0.60123k2022-10-03
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.931.8855-2.30%2.52+30.57%0.2952✗0.5082k2022-10-03
AAVEAaveEthereum87.1885.0109-2.49%75.57-13.32%0.1021✓1.525.6M2022-10-03
LCXLCXEthereum0.05560.054204-2.51%0.0517-7.01%0.0358✓1.12220k2022-10-03
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.36590.356161-2.66%0.3219-12.03%0.0884✓1.24187k2022-10-03
ARPAARPAEthereum0.03540.034451-2.68%0.0337-4.80%0.0127✓0.9177k2022-10-03
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,835.4719,293.90-2.73%19,633.46-1.02%0.0277✗1.00485.5M2022-10-03
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.70e-78.46e-7-2.73%8.10e-7-6.90%0.0356✓0.7915k2022-10-03
LTCLitecoinLitecoin60.1958.4874-2.83%54.18-9.99%0.0665✓0.9812.7M2022-10-03
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.21020.204136-2.88%0.194-7.71%0.0405✓1.0258k2022-10-03
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0206330.020028-2.93%0.019287-6.52%0.0295✓0.8113k2022-10-03
FTTFTXEthereum26.225.4314-2.93%24.75-5.53%0.0172✓0.976.9M2022-10-03
FORTFortaEthereum0.23080.224019-2.94%0.2395+3.77%0.0760✗0.9067k2022-10-03
STEEMSteemnative0.22280.216179-2.97%0.2198-1.35%0.0257✓0.89475k2022-10-03
GTGateEthereum4.24944.1186-3.08%4.3164+1.58%0.0548✗0.78748k2022-10-03
STORJStorjEthereum0.541220.524463-3.10%0.45246-16.40%0.1342✓1.3137k2022-10-03
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV52.51650.8579-3.16%48.762-7.15%0.0344✓0.75302k2022-10-03
AMPAmpEthereum0.006020.005827-3.20%0.00503-16.45%0.1407✓0.64998k2022-10-03
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.157840.152587-3.33%0.16855+6.79%0.1203✗2.034042022-10-03
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.0130810.01264-3.37%0.011704-10.53%0.0705✓0.64932k2022-10-03
BORABORAKlay Token0.291270.281383-3.39%0.23444-19.51%0.1718✓1.0412k2022-10-03
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064070.006185-3.46%0.00635-0.89%0.0305✓0.4148k2022-10-03
NANOnanopayBase0.8856480.854734-3.49%0.786116-11.24%0.0752✓0.8357k2022-10-03
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.066480.064154-3.50%0.06181-7.02%0.0282✓0.887702022-10-03
GLMGolemEthereum0.23860.23014-3.55%0.2625+10.02%0.1412✗0.9581k2022-10-03
SCSiacoinnative0.003970.003826-3.62%0.00348-12.34%0.0848✓0.98136k2022-10-03
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013360.012875-3.63%0.00957-28.37%0.2900✓0.65220k2022-10-03
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.5190.499846-3.69%0.356-31.41%0.3271✓1.203,8602022-10-03
SUNSun TokenTron0.0058930.00567-3.80%0.006682+13.38%0.1712✗0.682,1282022-10-03
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05780.055571-3.86%0.0497-14.01%0.1022✓0.9297k2022-10-03
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020590.019779-3.94%0.02256+9.57%0.1400✗0.8210.2M2022-10-03
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12110.116306-3.96%0.1259+3.96%0.0899✗1.0425k2022-10-03
COTICOTIEthereum0.09490.091113-3.99%0.1273+34.14%0.3442✗0.96375k2022-10-03
KCSKuCoinnative9.1928.8242-4.00%9.173-0.21%0.0485✗0.951.3M2022-10-03
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.05720.054886-4.05%0.0646+12.94%0.1717✗0.8699k2022-10-03
SOLSolanaSolana31.1229.858-4.06%32.9+5.72%0.1089✗1.1663.0M2022-10-03
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4120.395286-4.06%0.419+1.70%0.0687✗1.028,1172022-10-03
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13630.130769-4.06%0.1259-7.63%0.0326✓0.523.4M2022-10-03
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044770.042953-4.06%0.04-10.65%0.0638✓0.7315k2022-10-03
MANADecentralandEthereum0.787750.755508-4.09%0.69677-11.55%0.0720✓0.87519k2022-10-03
CBKCobakEthereum0.868520.832768-4.12%0.78487-9.63%0.0490✓1.0013k2022-10-03
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022030.021122-4.12%0.01851-15.98%0.1238✓0.80459k2022-10-03
XVGVergenative0.003110.002981-4.14%0.00337+8.36%0.1327✗0.99486k2022-10-03
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7564.5591-4.14%5.176+8.83%0.1406✗1.337.0M2022-10-03
XMRMoneroMonero154.44148.0151-4.16%141.93-8.10%0.0315✓1.021.4M2022-10-03
ZECZcashZcash62.760.0853-4.17%55.86-10.91%0.0611✓1.161.5M2022-10-03
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04430.04244-4.20%0.0421-4.97%0.0018✓0.96138k2022-10-03
PHAPHALAEthereum0.1020.097684-4.23%0.089-12.75%0.0858✓0.712,7842022-10-03
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071350.068318-4.25%0.06066-14.98%0.1069✓1.1725k2022-10-03
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.145888-4.27%0.1421-6.76%0.0150✓1.111,6102022-10-03
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.037620.035992-4.33%0.03525-6.30%0.0126✓0.812,6082022-10-03
QNTQuantEthereum93.8389.7412-4.36%139.27+48.43%0.4482✗0.853.5M2022-10-03
AVTAventusEthereum1.491.425-4.37%1.57+5.37%0.0956✗-0.13116k2022-10-03
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.28040.268148-4.37%0.2786-0.64%0.0479✗0.952.8M2022-10-03
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.07291.0257-4.40%0.898-16.30%0.1173✓1.534.5M2022-10-03
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334970.320197-4.41%0.30266-9.65%0.0462✓0.9942k2022-10-03
DODODODOEthereum0.12580.120167-4.48%0.1403+11.53%0.1655✗1.031.6M2022-10-03
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.361790.34551-4.50%0.3746+3.54%0.0890✗0.80332k2022-10-03
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.45830.437625-4.51%0.4331-5.50%0.0013✓1.14384k2022-10-03
SGBSongbirdnative0.02640.0252-4.54%0.0197-25.38%0.2403✓0.5847k2022-10-03
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.2690.256729-4.56%0.259-3.72%0.0161✓0.72654k2022-10-03
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10120.096552-4.59%0.0976-3.56%0.0195✓0.85150k2022-10-03
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.92950.88603-4.68%0.8306-10.64%0.0523✓1.20841k2022-10-03
XEMNEMnative0.0434960.041441-4.72%0.040781-6.24%0.0074✓0.8429k2022-10-03
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.024720.023546-4.75%0.02435-1.50%0.0467✓1.283,2982022-10-03
XVSVenusEthereum4.844.6087-4.78%5.29+9.30%0.1465✗0.841.3M2022-10-03
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.2120.201851-4.79%0.1724-18.68%0.1443✓1.31140k2022-10-03
DASHDashDash46.7744.5162-4.82%41.25-11.80%0.0663✓0.96419k2022-10-03
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.79051.7042-4.82%1.6967-5.24%0.0066✓1.0727k2022-10-03
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0014990.001427-4.82%0.00137-8.61%0.0334✓0.707,6332022-10-03
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.8616.5254-4.89%7.331+6.85%0.1271✗1.0417.9M2022-10-03
SNXSynthetixEthereum2.9412.7971-4.89%2.298-21.86%0.1809✓1.533.6M2022-10-03
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03580.034039-4.92%0.0375+4.75%0.1048✗0.789,5472022-10-03
QTUMQtumQtum3.15112.9956-4.94%2.8543-9.42%0.0380✓1.0121k2022-10-03
XYMSymbolnative0.0423070.040199-4.98%0.037395-11.61%0.0670✓0.5226k2022-10-03
ZENHorizenBase15.5214.7462-4.99%14.02-9.66%0.0391✓1.11107k2022-10-03
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.6880.653555-5.01%0.573-16.72%0.1216✓0.97202k2022-10-03
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13790.130964-5.03%0.142+2.97%0.0914✗1.02409k2022-10-03
MOVRMoonriverBase12.680812.0393-5.06%11.2387-11.37%0.0590✓0.9632k2022-10-03
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash117.83111.8617-5.07%116.23-1.36%0.0500✓1.144.4M2022-10-03
ETHEthereumEthereum1,557.701,478.70-5.07%1,323.31-15.05%0.0969✓1.38660.9M2022-10-03
UMAUMAEthereum2.7442.6031-5.14%2.29-16.55%0.1192✓0.87682k2022-10-03
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08240.078109-5.21%0.0803-2.55%0.0372✓0.9310k2022-10-03
ADACardanoCardano0.48040.455114-5.26%0.4276-10.99%0.0528✓0.9337.1M2022-10-03
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.30930.293012-5.27%0.2884-6.76%0.0039✓1.16124k2022-10-03
API3Api3Ethereum1.681.591-5.30%1.707+1.61%0.0798✗0.92540k2022-10-03
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.9762.818-5.31%3.03+1.81%0.0776✗0.49650k2022-10-03
STXStacksnative0.3610.341727-5.34%0.3217-10.89%0.0486✓1.15335k2022-10-03
LSKLiskEthereum1.05721.0004-5.38%0.959606-9.23%0.0329✓0.8541k2022-10-03
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.00001230.000011634-5.41%0.00001116-9.27%0.0319✓0.95828k2022-10-03
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.4996.1461-5.43%6.021-7.35%0.0120✓0.834.4M2022-10-03
PROPropyEthereum0.730.68999-5.48%0.62-15.07%0.1042✓0.2774k2022-10-03
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6690.63219-5.50%0.616-7.92%0.0126✓1.304.1M2022-10-03
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.917.8382-5.62%17.16-9.21%0.0256✓1.2820.7M2022-10-03
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.252.1202-5.77%1.85-17.78%0.1246✓1.15227k2022-10-03
XTZTezosTezos1.52271.4344-5.80%1.444-5.17%0.0182✓1.12255k2022-10-03
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008690.008186-5.80%0.00645-25.78%0.2309✓0.735.2M2022-10-03
ELAElastosEthereum1.7711.6677-5.83%1.549-12.54%0.0645✓0.91109k2022-10-03
BTTCBTTC8.80e-78.28e-7-5.86%7.90e-7-10.23%0.0394✓0.791.8M2022-10-03
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2927850.275593-5.87%0.265451-9.34%0.0264✓1.08534k2022-10-03
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.3030.285165-5.89%0.3543+16.93%0.2263✗0.905.8M2022-10-03
SUSHISushiEthereum1.13281.0661-5.89%1.0875-4.00%0.0322✓1.21973k2022-10-03
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4821.3938-5.95%1.467-1.01%0.0630✗1.1686k2022-10-03
XLMStellarStellar0.1052380.098947-5.98%0.116739+10.93%0.1737✗0.826.8M2022-10-03
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04850.045575-6.03%0.0389-19.79%0.1483✓0.98758k2022-10-03
RARESuperRareEthereum0.20360.191272-6.06%0.1545-24.12%0.2000✓1.32111k2022-10-03
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137070.12873-6.08%0.13154-4.03%0.0337✓1.19190k2022-10-03
CVCCivicEthereum0.14180.13312-6.12%0.1275-10.08%0.0327✓1.0299k2022-10-03
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06080.057074-6.13%0.0578-4.93%0.0257✓1.28810k2022-10-03
KSMKusamaHydration48.8145.8124-6.14%42.69-12.54%0.0606✓0.98459k2022-10-03
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5270.494417-6.18%0.46-12.71%0.0615✓1.0471k2022-10-03
HIVEHivenative0.54340.509759-6.19%0.4844-10.86%0.0425✓0.83980k2022-10-03
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1591.0872-6.20%1.052-9.23%0.0228✓0.991.4M2022-10-03
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.007980.007485-6.20%0.00692-13.28%0.0670✓1.12441k2022-10-03
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.1316.0669-6.21%14.59-14.83%0.0894✓0.68551k2022-10-03
UOSUltraEthereum0.350.32768-6.38%0.3353-4.20%0.0325✓0.93392k2022-10-03
BANDBandEthereum1.3191.2347-6.39%1.235-6.37%0.0124✓1.18460k2022-10-03
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016550.001548-6.44%0.001536-7.19%0.0017✓0.95406k2022-10-03
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029480.002758-6.46%0.00229-22.32%0.1765✓0.911.1M2022-10-03
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0626750.058619-6.47%0.060341-3.72%0.0398✓1.061.4M2022-10-03
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.520.486064-6.53%0.453-12.88%0.0589✓1.1378k2022-10-03
IMXImmutableEthereum0.82430.770362-6.54%0.7685-6.77%0.0082✓1.041.5M2022-10-03
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96760.904004-6.57%0.9058-6.39%0.0070✓0.493.1M2022-10-03
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.129.4499-6.62%9.04-10.67%0.0318✓1.22297k2022-10-03
COMPCompoundEthereum47.8944.6964-6.67%59.82+24.91%0.3043✗1.259,0502022-10-03
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.170.158632-6.69%0.14988-11.84%0.0468✓0.97293k2022-10-03
UNIUniswapEthereum6.3055.8761-6.80%6.628+5.12%0.1337✗1.307.3M2022-10-03
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.296.7923-6.83%6.37-12.62%0.0536✓1.0310.2M2022-10-03
GITCOINGITCOIN2.26362.1079-6.88%1.8431-18.58%0.1228✓1.1213k2022-10-03
XECeCashnative0.000044710.000041617-6.92%0.00004077-8.81%0.0117✓0.861.8M2022-10-03
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.13371.0549-6.95%1.2273+8.26%0.1604✗0.881.1M2022-10-03
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.657.1115-7.04%6.67-12.81%0.0531✓1.08360k2022-10-03
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.50070.465381-7.05%0.3988-20.35%0.1468✓0.75501k2022-10-03
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0451.8987-7.16%1.766-13.64%0.0608✓1.1438k2022-10-03
GMTGMTEthereum0.6780.629385-7.17%0.6256-7.73%0.0082✓1.39200k2022-10-03
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.318.6388-7.21%8.24-11.49%0.0422✓0.492.0M2022-10-03
ORCAOrcaSolana0.84160.780757-7.23%0.8267-1.77%0.0721✓1.46128k2022-10-03
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.078010.072366-7.24%0.07406-5.06%0.0237✓0.05397k2022-10-03
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6710.622145-7.28%0.595-11.33%0.0358✓0.86210k2022-10-03
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.964.597-7.32%4.45-10.28%0.0271✓0.531.3M2022-10-03
GALAGALAEthereum0.050.046324-7.35%0.0407-18.60%0.1195✓0.97216k2022-10-03
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013260.001228-7.38%0.001006-24.11%0.1912✓0.792.4M2022-10-03
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.10180.09428-7.39%0.0976-4.13%0.0455✓1.072.8M2022-10-03
RADRadworksEthereum2.262.0923-7.42%2.02-10.62%0.0274✓0.76269k2022-10-03
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8811.7387-7.56%1.592-15.36%0.0710✓1.6883k2022-10-03
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum14.0312.9465-7.72%15.63+11.40%0.1992✗1.061.8M2022-10-03
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.62711.6268-7.92%12.857+1.82%0.1120✗1.1112.3M2022-10-03
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.70511.569-7.98%1.1423-33.01%0.3075✓0.971.1M2022-10-03
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.7974.414-7.99%3.74-22.03%0.1631✓0.252.4M2022-10-03
C98Coin98Ethereum0.44180.405835-8.14%0.3682-16.66%0.0855✓1.1596k2022-10-03
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0370.950494-8.34%0.877-15.43%0.0677✓1.251.5M2022-10-03
METISMetisEthereum30.9828.3828-8.38%23.76-23.31%0.1584✓1.89259k2022-10-03
CELLCellframeEthereum0.32080.293705-8.45%0.2588-19.33%0.1156✓1.07101k2022-10-03
LRCLoopringEthereum0.3540.324094-8.45%0.2964-16.27%0.0784✓1.0795k2022-10-03
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5431.4112-8.55%1.274-17.43%0.0903✓1.1760k2022-10-03
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034430.031432-8.71%0.03058-11.18%0.0172✓1.0040k2022-10-03
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.4924.1006-8.71%3.764-16.21%0.0808✓0.472.3M2022-10-03
OPTIMOptimism1.1951.0904-8.75%0.869-27.28%0.2095✓1.713.0M2022-10-03
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.291.1762-8.82%1.18-8.53%0.0125✓0.90106k2022-10-03
FLOWFlownative1.9511.7789-8.82%1.681-13.84%0.0428✓1.351.4M2022-10-03
CBETHCoinbase Wrapped Staked ETHEthereum1,432.071,304.01-8.94%1,281.16-10.54%0.0074✓1.003.4M2022-10-03
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.062790.057085-9.09%0.06018-4.16%0.0637✓1.071.9M2022-10-03
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum15.2113.8253-9.10%12.66-16.77%0.0768✓1.101.0M2022-10-03
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.785.2376-9.38%4.98-13.84%0.0458✓0.452.3M2022-10-03
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.2329.1714-9.49%27.42-14.92%0.0465✓1.5110.6M2022-10-03
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0140.917332-9.53%0.878-13.41%0.0400✓0.373.3M2022-10-03
YFIyearn.financeEthereum9,785.948,848.09-9.58%8,118.40-17.04%0.0720✓1.385.7M2022-10-03
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.6095.9667-9.72%5.118-22.56%0.1484✓0.494.4M2022-10-03
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.1190.107004-10.08%0.0671-43.61%0.4596✓0.69208k2022-10-03
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0266850.023974-10.16%0.026138-2.05%0.0878✓0.13287k2022-10-03
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.856.1497-10.22%5.87-14.31%0.0415✓0.502.2M2022-10-03
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum4.0263.5825-11.02%3.881-3.60%0.0899✓0.97259k2022-10-03
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain4.80074.2638-11.18%3.5911-25.20%0.1656✓0.594.7M2022-10-03
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana6.876.0978-11.24%6.4-6.84%0.0533✓0.482.1M2022-10-03
FILFilecoinFilecoin6.5075.7662-11.38%5.52-15.17%0.0349✓0.857.8M2022-10-03
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.0374.4512-11.63%5.2413+4.06%0.1736✗1.00143k2022-10-03
CHZChilizEthereum0.21710.191247-11.91%0.221+1.80%0.1531✗0.833.1M2022-10-03
LUNATerraTerra 20.000261150.000224299-14.11%0.00031113+19.14%0.3351✗0.77600k2022-10-03
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.93e-77.63e-7-14.62%6.40e-7-28.41%0.1676✓0.831.7M2022-10-03
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.32346.243-14.75%5.269-28.05%0.1674✓0.226.5M2022-10-03
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain13.80411.7268-15.05%14.503+5.06%0.2179✗0.5315.8M2022-10-03
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.52786.3236-16.00%5.8252-22.62%0.0785✓0.357.6M2022-10-03
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.