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2022-09-02 · +30d

beta_5y · in-sample — the model trained on this date · 188 tokens predicted

These numbers are in-sample. The model was trained on this date, so predicted-vs-actual agreement here is not evidence of skill.
+1d+7d+30dasset cohort only
rank IC
+0.2445
188 of 188 tokens assessed
long-short decile
+5.13%
realised beta-adjusted alpha
direction hit
75.5%
in alpha space · 84.0% on raw price
BTC over horizon
-4.48%
the unhedgeable market factor

Predicted vs actual (188 rows, sorted by pred)

tokennamechainanchor pxpred px ▾pred Δactual pxactual Δalpha errhitβ90dvol 30dtarget
ALEPHAleph CloudEthereum0.19720.194651-1.29%0.1159-41.23%0.5182✓0.0198k2022-10-02
WBTCWrapped BitcoinEthereum20,019.3019,757.15-1.31%19,019.30-5.00%0.0051✓0.9413k2022-10-02
AGLDAdventure GoldEthereum0.34890.343691-1.49%0.3151-9.69%0.0298✓1.24176k2022-10-02
TRBTellor TributesEthereum19.3419.0307-1.60%14.91-22.91%0.2113✓0.711.7M2022-10-02
DIADIAEthereum0.37710.370587-1.73%0.38071+0.96%0.0711✗0.9635k2022-10-02
TRXTRONTron0.0626280.06145-1.88%0.060916-2.73%0.0190✗0.60129k2022-10-02
INDEXThe IndexRobinhood1.981.9388-2.08%2.59+30.81%0.3127✗0.5089k2022-10-02
CHRChromiaEthereum0.17680.173041-2.13%0.1462-17.31%0.1054✓1.382,2552022-10-02
LEOLEO TokenEthereum5.4025.2782-2.29%4.0964-24.17%0.2489✓0.10115k2022-10-02
LCXLCXEthereum0.05580.054482-2.36%0.0489-12.37%0.0567✓1.12238k2022-10-02
YGGYield Guild GamesEthereum0.4790.467597-2.38%0.364-24.01%0.1955✓1.203,4962022-10-02
ARPAARPAEthereum0.0350.034161-2.40%0.0331-5.43%0.0102✓0.9177k2022-10-02
BTCBitcoinBitcoin19,953.7419,434.04-2.60%19,059.17-4.48%0.0264✓1.00490.8M2022-10-02
STORJStorjEthereum0.539720.524413-2.84%0.44189-18.13%0.1110✓1.3133k2022-10-02
MEDMediblocOsmosis0.0207850.020185-2.89%0.018831-9.40%0.0324✓0.8113k2022-10-02
AAVEAaveEthereum88.3985.8133-2.92%72.64-17.82%0.0969✓1.525.6M2022-10-02
POWRPowerledgerEthereum0.20880.202647-2.95%0.1895-9.24%0.0203✓1.0258k2022-10-02
STEEMSteemnative0.22330.21668-2.96%0.2133-4.48%0.0255✓0.90475k2022-10-02
BTTBitTorrentEthereum8.90e-78.64e-7-2.98%7.70e-7-13.48%0.0783✓0.7915k2022-10-02
FTTFTXEthereum26.3125.5026-3.07%24.04-8.63%0.0146✓0.976.9M2022-10-02
GTGateEthereum4.26554.1338-3.09%4.2724+0.16%0.0685✗0.78766k2022-10-02
AMPAmpEthereum0.006020.005829-3.17%0.00482-19.93%0.1610✓0.641.0M2022-10-02
FORTFortaEthereum0.23130.223897-3.20%0.1316-43.10%0.4902✓0.9071k2022-10-02
NANOnanopayBase0.8764120.846634-3.40%0.825694-5.79%0.0128✓0.8363k2022-10-02
AIOZAIOZ NetworkEthereum0.05680.054859-3.42%0.0494-13.03%0.0625✓0.9290k2022-10-02
ADXheyAuraEthereum0.159050.153557-3.45%0.16934+6.47%0.1911✗2.034042022-10-02
CERECere NetworkEthereum0.0064680.006244-3.47%0.006299-2.61%0.0280✓0.4253k2022-10-02
LTCLitecoinLitecoin61.0258.8723-3.52%51.82-15.08%0.0827✓0.9812.7M2022-10-02
SCSiacoinnative0.003960.00382-3.53%0.00341-13.89%0.0684✓0.98136k2022-10-02
SUNSun TokenTron0.0057670.005562-3.56%0.007246+25.66%0.2957✗0.682,1662022-10-02
NCTPolySwarmEthereum0.013240.012768-3.57%0.00951-28.17%0.2651✓0.64220k2022-10-02
BCHSVBitcoin Cash SV53.74151.8158-3.58%47.774-11.10%0.0469✓0.75302k2022-10-02
BORABORAKlay Token0.293760.283079-3.64%0.22927-21.95%0.1630✓1.0412k2022-10-02
CBKCobakEthereum0.871220.839179-3.68%0.77693-10.82%0.0309✓1.0113k2022-10-02
ACHAlchemy PayEthereum0.013330.012836-3.71%0.011361-14.77%0.0929✓0.63932k2022-10-02
IDEXIDEXEthereum0.06710.064588-3.74%0.06071-9.52%0.0212✓0.897702022-10-02
FISStafiEthereum0.3620.348425-3.75%0.3363-7.10%0.0064✓0.912732022-10-02
ZECZcashZcash60.3658.065-3.80%53.63-11.15%0.0264✓1.161.7M2022-10-02
PEOPLEConstitutionDAOEthereum0.020240.019469-3.81%0.02185+7.95%0.1530✗0.8210.5M2022-10-02
GLMGolemEthereum0.24090.23171-3.81%0.2595+7.72%0.1566✗0.9481k2022-10-02
COTICOTIEthereum0.09310.089526-3.84%0.1084+16.43%0.2352✗0.96375k2022-10-02
PHAPHALAEthereum0.10.096067-3.93%0.0874-12.60%0.0618✓0.712,5272022-10-02
DUSKDUSKEthereum0.13520.129817-3.98%0.1152-14.79%0.0955✓0.523.4M2022-10-02
DKAdKargoEthereum0.044760.04297-4.00%0.03933-12.13%0.0553✓0.7215k2022-10-02
DNTdistrict0xEthereum0.04380.042028-4.05%0.0412-5.94%0.0243✓0.96137k2022-10-02
APEApeCoinEthereum4.7064.5154-4.05%5.007+6.40%0.1645✗1.337.3M2022-10-02
NAKANakamoto GamesPolygon0.0570.054667-4.09%0.0626+9.82%0.1752✗0.8799k2022-10-02
AERGOAergo [OLD]Ethereum0.12180.116802-4.10%0.1238+1.64%0.1058✗1.0423k2022-10-02
SOLSolanaSolana31.2429.9532-4.12%32.05+2.59%0.1206✗1.1664.4M2022-10-02
MANADecentralandEthereum0.776220.744113-4.14%0.68342-11.96%0.0451✓0.87519k2022-10-02
KCSKuCoinnative9.1618.7807-4.15%9.028-1.45%0.0714✗0.951.3M2022-10-02
XMRMoneroMonero153.67147.2897-4.15%137.15-10.75%0.0245✓1.021.3M2022-10-02
ASMAssemble AIEthereum0.022480.021543-4.17%0.01833-18.46%0.1246✓0.80459k2022-10-02
XVGVergenative0.003130.002999-4.19%0.00325+3.83%0.1262✗1.00486k2022-10-02
DODODODOEthereum0.12320.118012-4.21%0.1437+16.64%0.2443✗1.031.6M2022-10-02
AVTAventusEthereum1.481.4168-4.27%1.5+1.35%0.0511✗-0.13128k2022-10-02
ADACardanoCardano0.45440.434806-4.31%0.4196-7.66%0.0072✓0.9335.8M2022-10-02
IOTAIOTAIOTA0.2810.268626-4.40%0.2747-2.24%0.0658✗0.952.9M2022-10-02
FIDABonfidaSolana0.4230.40427-4.43%0.433+2.36%0.1154✗1.028,3142022-10-02
GODSGods UnchainedEthereum0.353460.337695-4.46%0.3686+4.28%0.1240✗0.79332k2022-10-02
TKOTokocryptoBinance Smart Chain0.270.257932-4.47%0.248-8.15%0.0063✓0.72658k2022-10-02
OXTOrchid ProtocolEthereum0.10070.096176-4.49%0.0976-3.08%0.0537✗0.85150k2022-10-02
BFCBifrostEthereum0.071820.068588-4.50%0.06132-14.62%0.0585✓1.1725k2022-10-02
BATBasic AttentionEthereum0.334130.319076-4.51%0.29154-12.75%0.0451✓0.9944k2022-10-02
TLMAlien WorldsEthereum0.02460.023487-4.53%0.02483+0.93%0.1142✗1.283,3752022-10-02
ORBSOrbsEthereum0.038090.036358-4.55%0.03468-8.95%0.0103✓0.812,6082022-10-02
QNTQuantEthereum92.7888.5358-4.57%129.63+39.72%0.4204✗0.853.5M2022-10-02
DASHDashDash45.6943.5907-4.59%39.86-12.76%0.0452✓0.96419k2022-10-02
WOOWOOEthereum0.15240.145368-4.61%0.1352-11.29%0.0218✓1.111,6102022-10-02
CRVCurve DAOEthereum1.09391.0422-4.72%0.8598-21.40%0.1223✓1.534.5M2022-10-02
QTUMQtumQtum3.13772.9883-4.76%2.7758-11.53%0.0276✓1.0123k2022-10-02
XVSVenusEthereum4.864.6283-4.77%4.95+1.85%0.1056✗0.841.4M2022-10-02
CTSICartesiEthereum0.13810.131471-4.80%0.136-1.52%0.0811✗1.03489k2022-10-02
OMGOMG NetworkEthereum1.7881.7016-4.83%1.6468-7.90%0.0166✓1.0728k2022-10-02
BNTBancor NetworkEthereum0.4660.443445-4.84%0.424-9.01%0.0074✓1.14384k2022-10-02
SANDThe SandboxEthereum0.930.884726-4.87%0.8133-12.55%0.0290✓1.20841k2022-10-02
BCHBitcoin CashBitcoin Cash116.4110.6163-4.97%114.3-1.80%0.0850✗1.144.6M2022-10-02
XEMNEMnative0.0440710.04188-4.97%0.03945-10.49%0.0212✓0.8429k2022-10-02
ZENHorizenBase15.5314.7499-5.02%13.5-13.07%0.0377✓1.11107k2022-10-02
XYMSymbolnative0.0432040.041023-5.05%0.037191-13.92%0.0744✓0.5227k2022-10-02
ETHEthereumEthereum1,575.691,495.17-5.11%1,277.02-18.95%0.0946✓1.38660.9M2022-10-02
ICPInternet ComputerEthereum6.2925.9666-5.17%5.909-6.09%0.0285✓0.834.6M2022-10-02
UMAUMAEthereum2.7432.5995-5.23%2.255-17.79%0.1023✓0.87682k2022-10-02
VSYSV.SYSTEMSnative0.0015280.001448-5.24%0.001389-9.10%0.0094✓0.708,3412022-10-02
PROPropyEthereum0.720.682168-5.25%0.61-15.28%0.0988✓0.2874k2022-10-02
LSKLiskEthereum1.03930.98418-5.30%0.938564-9.69%0.0082✓0.8540k2022-10-02
SGBSongbirdnative0.02740.025945-5.31%0.0195-28.83%0.2589✓0.5847k2022-10-02
DEXEDeXeEthereum2.962.8015-5.36%2.973+0.44%0.0823✗0.50653k2022-10-02
SHIBShiba InuEthereum0.000012180.000011527-5.36%0.00001094-10.18%0.0089✓0.95828k2022-10-02
LINKChainlinkEthereum6.936.5535-5.43%7.11+2.60%0.1294✗1.0417.9M2022-10-02
ASTRAstarEthereum0.03670.034696-5.46%0.0365-0.54%0.0863✗0.788,1752022-10-02
FETArtificial Superintelligence AllianceEthereum0.08210.0776-5.48%0.0786-4.26%0.0555✓0.9311k2022-10-02
GTCGitcoinEthereum2.192.0699-5.49%1.75-20.09%0.1151✓1.15229k2022-10-02
MOVRMoonriverBase12.834212.1271-5.51%10.4723-18.40%0.1026✓0.9632k2022-10-02
TRACOriginTrailEthereum0.22190.20965-5.52%0.1735-21.81%0.1291✓1.31139k2022-10-02
BELBella ProtocolEthereum0.6680.63112-5.52%0.599-10.33%0.0072✓1.304.1M2022-10-02
XTZTezosTezos1.49071.408-5.54%1.374-7.83%0.0271✓1.12265k2022-10-02
SNXSynthetixEthereum3.0282.8597-5.56%2.215-26.85%0.1856✓1.523.7M2022-10-02
AVAXAvalancheAvalanche18.8717.8165-5.58%16.53-12.40%0.0161✓1.2820.7M2022-10-02
STXStacksnative0.36350.343184-5.59%0.3169-12.82%0.0267✓1.16360k2022-10-02
SWFTCSWFTCOINEthereum0.0016030.001512-5.68%0.00154-3.93%0.0621✗0.95406k2022-10-02
ELAElastosEthereum1.761.6599-5.69%1.603-8.92%0.0068✓0.91121k2022-10-02
JASMYJasmyCoinEthereum0.008750.008249-5.73%0.00635-27.43%0.2282✓0.735.2M2022-10-02
API3Api3Ethereum1.7011.603-5.76%1.632-4.06%0.0601✗0.92574k2022-10-02
BOBABoba NetworkEthereum0.31860.300209-5.77%0.2824-11.36%0.0078✓1.16132k2022-10-02
KSMKusamaHydration47.8345.0323-5.85%40.59-15.14%0.0590✓0.98459k2022-10-02
ZRX0x ProtocolEthereum0.2926160.275452-5.87%0.259305-11.38%0.0107✓1.08542k2022-10-02
RARESuperRareEthereum0.19860.186868-5.91%0.1558-21.55%0.1214✓1.32112k2022-10-02
1INCH1INCHEthereum0.7130.670621-5.94%0.554-22.30%0.1467✓0.97207k2022-10-02
SUSHISushiEthereum1.11311.0469-5.95%1.0324-7.25%0.0415✓1.21996k2022-10-02
XLMStellarStellar0.1045960.098357-5.96%0.118426+13.22%0.2232✗0.826.8M2022-10-02
ALGOAlgorandAlgorand0.30240.284112-6.05%0.3543+17.16%0.2619✗0.905.9M2022-10-02
CVCCivicEthereum0.1410.132411-6.09%0.1231-12.70%0.0261✓1.02113k2022-10-02
BTTCBTTC8.90e-78.36e-7-6.11%7.60e-7-14.61%0.0584✓0.791.9M2022-10-02
NMRNumeraireEthereum17.0816.0309-6.14%14.21-16.80%0.0893✓0.68580k2022-10-02
SKLSKALEEthereum0.04860.045613-6.15%0.0378-22.22%0.1428✓0.98781k2022-10-02
UOSUltraEthereum0.343520.322346-6.16%0.32581-5.16%0.0536✓0.93392k2022-10-02
HIGHHighstreetEthereum1.4881.3955-6.21%1.401-5.85%0.0569✓1.1595k2022-10-02
SUPERSuperVerseEthereum0.137220.128549-6.32%0.12496-8.93%0.0261✓1.19190k2022-10-02
GITCOINGITCOIN2.20742.0666-6.38%1.7646-20.06%0.1067✓1.1213k2022-10-02
COMPCompoundEthereum45.8142.8874-6.38%59.41+29.69%0.3835✗1.269,1802022-10-02
RLCiExec RLCEthereum1.10471.0341-6.39%1.1934+8.03%0.1837✗0.881.1M2022-10-02
RIFRootstock Infrastructure FrameworkEthereum0.06190.057941-6.40%0.0562-9.21%0.0281✓1.28851k2022-10-02
MTLMetal DAOMetal L21.1811.1048-6.45%1.017-13.89%0.0374✓0.991.4M2022-10-02
ENJEnjin CoinEthereum0.5080.475125-6.47%0.436-14.17%0.0340✓1.1380k2022-10-02
HIVEHivenative0.55410.51813-6.49%0.4773-13.86%0.0440✓0.831.0M2022-10-02
DOGEDogecoinDogecoin0.0616620.057609-6.57%0.059203-3.99%0.0757✗1.061.4M2022-10-02
BANDBandEthereum1.311.2235-6.60%1.184-9.62%0.0215✓1.18460k2022-10-02
OGNOrigin TokenEthereum0.1680.156827-6.65%0.14283-14.98%0.0490✓0.97307k2022-10-02
TWTTrust WalletBinance Smart Chain0.96790.903495-6.65%0.8869-8.37%0.0039✓0.493.3M2022-10-02
LPTLivepeerEthereum10.189.4975-6.70%8.73-14.24%0.0282✓1.22298k2022-10-02
XYOXYO NetworkEthereum0.008140.007594-6.71%0.00677-16.83%0.0633✓1.12456k2022-10-02
XPRXPR NetworkEthereum0.0029890.002786-6.79%0.002093-29.98%0.2442✓0.911.2M2022-10-02
AUCTIONBounceEthereum7.597.0644-6.93%6.36-16.21%0.0556✓1.08384k2022-10-02
GLMRMoonbeamBase0.5380.500734-6.93%0.448-16.73%0.0634✓1.0474k2022-10-02
IMXImmutableEthereum0.8290.771365-6.95%0.7441-10.24%0.0117✓1.041.6M2022-10-02
DOTPolkadotPolkadot7.36.7805-7.12%6.16-15.62%0.0487✓1.0310.2M2022-10-02
MINAMina Protocolnative0.6570.609856-7.18%0.576-12.33%0.0176✓0.86222k2022-10-02
GMTGMTEthereum0.67220.6239-7.19%0.6069-9.71%0.0362✓1.39214k2022-10-02
BICOBiconomyEthereum0.49790.46208-7.19%0.3966-20.35%0.1184✓0.75501k2022-10-02
UNIUniswapEthereum6.4065.9372-7.32%6.259-2.29%0.1124✗1.307.6M2022-10-02
XCNOnyxcoinEthereum0.08010.07422-7.34%0.07347-8.28%0.0080✓0.05403k2022-10-02
ATMAtletico Madrid Fan TokenSolana4.954.5838-7.40%4.48-9.49%0.0015✓0.531.1M2022-10-02
ALICEMy Neighbor AliceEthereum2.0341.8819-7.48%1.663-18.24%0.0717✓1.1342k2022-10-02
AXSAxie InfinityEthereum14.0312.9776-7.50%12.14-13.47%0.0165✓1.09959k2022-10-02
XECeCashnative0.000046220.000042748-7.51%0.00003996-13.54%0.0279✓0.861.7M2022-10-02
GALAGALAEthereum0.04990.046103-7.61%0.0395-20.84%0.1100✓0.97226k2022-10-02
RADRadworksEthereum2.252.0781-7.64%1.98-12.00%0.0133✓0.77287k2022-10-02
ASRAS Roma Fan TokenSolana4.6124.2585-7.67%3.691-19.97%0.1317✓0.252.3M2022-10-02
GRTThe GraphEthereum0.1030.095072-7.70%0.0944-8.35%0.0417✓1.062.8M2022-10-02
SPELLSpellEthereum0.0013550.00125-7.71%0.0009955-26.53%0.1918✓0.792.4M2022-10-02
CELLCellframeEthereum0.30310.279472-7.80%0.2576-15.01%0.0323✓1.07101k2022-10-02
RUNETHORChainTHORChain1.8991.7502-7.83%1.502-20.91%0.0761✓1.6883k2022-10-02
ENSEthereum Name ServiceEthereum13.7612.6802-7.85%14.22+3.34%0.1631✗1.061.8M2022-10-02
PSGParis Saint-Germain Fan TokenSolana9.588.8277-7.85%8.1-15.45%0.0636✓0.492.0M2022-10-02
ATOMCosmos HubCosmos12.61411.5896-8.12%11.99-4.95%0.0850✗1.1112.3M2022-10-02
C98Coin98Ethereum0.4360.400522-8.14%0.3542-18.76%0.0701✓1.15100k2022-10-02
ACMAC Milan Fan TokenSolana4.424.0411-8.57%3.642-17.60%0.0824✓0.472.1M2022-10-02
ANKRAnkr NetworkEthereum0.034370.031419-8.59%0.0301-12.42%0.0032✓1.0040k2022-10-02
DYDXdYdXCosmos1.5341.4021-8.60%1.201-21.71%0.1011✓1.1762k2022-10-02
LRCLoopringEthereum0.35350.322729-8.70%0.286-19.09%0.0719✓1.07116k2022-10-02
OGOG Fan TokenSolana6.3655.8012-8.86%5.106-19.78%0.1054✓0.484.4M2022-10-02
KNCKyber Network CrystalEthereum1.7981.6384-8.87%1.1171-37.87%0.3388✓0.961.1M2022-10-02
METISMetisEthereum31.728.8771-8.91%23.24-26.69%0.1306✓1.89271k2022-10-02
NEXONEXOEthereum1.0840.984459-9.18%0.864-20.30%0.0731✓1.251.5M2022-10-02
MASKMask NetworkEthereum1.311.189-9.24%1.12-14.50%0.0184✓0.90109k2022-10-02
FLOWFlownative1.9651.7834-9.24%1.625-17.30%0.0312✓1.351.4M2022-10-02
CTKShentuOsmosis1.0080.912241-9.50%0.858-14.88%0.0442✓0.373.4M2022-10-02
FILFilecoinFilecoin5.8315.2698-9.62%5.379-7.75%0.0596✓0.857.8M2022-10-02
CWEBCoinwebEthereum0.0257790.023271-9.73%0.026153+1.45%0.1225✗0.13287k2022-10-02
ROSEOasisBinance Smart Chain0.064970.058628-9.76%0.05831-10.25%0.0435✓1.071.9M2022-10-02
OPTIMOptimism1.2341.1132-9.79%0.842-31.77%0.2013✓1.703.1M2022-10-02
ORCAOrcaSolana0.8890.801134-9.88%0.8344-6.14%0.1076✗1.46128k2022-10-02
ETCEthereum Classicnative32.4529.2376-9.90%26.95-16.95%0.0123✓1.5111.8M2022-10-02
JUVJuventus Fan TokenSolana5.995.3793-10.19%4.9-18.20%0.0728✓0.452.3M2022-10-02
POKTPocket NetworkEthereum0.11960.107227-10.35%0.066-44.82%0.4532✓0.70203k2022-10-02
BARFC Barcelona Fan TokenSolana6.916.1656-10.77%5.81-15.92%0.0367✓0.492.1M2022-10-02
EWTEnergy Web TokenEthereum3.823.4072-10.81%3.729-2.38%0.1346✗0.97259k2022-10-02
YFIyearn.financeEthereum10,076.208,981.04-10.87%7,876.06-21.84%0.0681✓1.385.9M2022-10-02
PORPortugal National Team Fan TokenSolana5.04274.4378-11.99%5.2668+4.44%0.2171✗1.00145k2022-10-02
CITYManchester City Fan TokenSolana7.116.2549-12.03%6.3-11.39%0.0291✓0.481.9M2022-10-02
CHZChilizEthereum0.21870.191911-12.25%0.2156-1.42%0.1546✗0.833.1M2022-10-02
ALPINEAlpine F1 Team Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain5.15744.5181-12.40%3.5357-31.44%0.2181✓0.594.7M2022-10-02
LUNATerraTerra 20.000241480.000208335-13.73%0.00033517+38.80%0.5103✗0.76546k2022-10-02
BRISEBitgertEthereum8.64e-77.38e-7-14.58%5.91e-7-31.56%0.1838✓0.821.5M2022-10-02
SANTOSSantos FC Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain14.87512.5415-15.69%14.671-1.37%0.1808✗0.5215.2M2022-10-02
PORTOFC PortoBinance Smart Chain7.54776.3437-15.95%5.2296-30.71%0.1830✓0.225.8M2022-10-02
LAZIOLazio Fan TokenBinance Smart Chain7.95846.6483-16.46%5.8567-26.41%0.1108✓0.357.5M2022-10-02
Δ columns are percentage price moves; alpha err and the hit column are in beta-adjusted log-return space, which is what the model actually predicts. “pending” means the horizon has not matured yet. Rows are capped for readability — add &limit=2000 to widen.